STOCK AND BOND CYCLES
                          by Pete Gersbacher
INTRODUCTION

My study of the financial markets over the last 40 years has led me to to the following conclusions:  1)They exhibit cyclical behavior that is sufficiently predictable to be useful in market  timing, and 2) Peaks and troughs in investor sentiment tend to coincide with the peaks and troughs in the market cycles.  In early 1999, I began publishing a weekly market letter via e-mail that charts and interprets the cycle and sentiment indicators that I use. In March of 2001 I replaced that letter with this web site  

To read the current or past reports or to view the current charts, click on the appropriate link on the left side of this screen. (Links are in blue).To return to the previous page, click the "BACK" arrow on your browser. For an understanding of the basis of these reports, click on the TUTORIAL in the upper left.

RESTRICTIONS and DISCLAIMER

The information contained on this page may only be reproduced with attribution to the author, F Peter Gersbacher. 
The validity of information on this page is not guaranteed, and past performance is no guarantee of future performance.
You use this information at your own risk.
TUTORIAL
CYCLES
S&P 500
SPX Ex Energy
REPORTS
NASDAQ100
NYSE
Earluer Reoorts Can be accessed by clicking here
Russell2000
Treasury Rates
Corporate Bonds
Dollar
MONTHLY BRIEFINGS
Crude Oil
Gold Stocks
LATEST REPORT:
10/18/09
9-Month Cycle
4-Year Cycle
RECENT REPORTS
6/8/08
10/11/09 Long-term Overview
1/18/09
6/1/08
9/13/09
Inflaton Adjusted S&P500
9/7/09
1/11/09 5/25/08
Timing Systems:
1/4/09
8/9/09 5/18/08
Semiannual Ultra
12/28/08 8/2/09
5/11/08
BREADTH CHARTS
12/21/08
7/26/09
5/2/08
10 Month Advance-Decline
12/14/08
7/04/09
4/27/08
NYSE Ratio Adj Sum
12/07/08
6/21/09 4/20/08
NASDAQ Ratio Adj Sum
11/30/08
4/13/08
6/14/09
NYSE Ratio Adj H/L Sum
11/23/08
4/6/08
6/7//09
NASDAQ Ratio Adj H/L Sum
11/16/08
3/30/08
5/31/09 NASDAQ High/Low
NYSE High/Low
10/26/08
3/25/08
NYSE Weekly Breadth
5/25/09
Contact me
9/28/08
3/23/08
NASDAQ Weekly Breadth
5/17/09
BONDS
OTHER MARKET TIMING SITES
3/16/08
9/21/08
SENTIMENT
5/10/09
3/9/08
9/14/08
Walter Bressert
10 Year Treasury yield
5/3/09 Volatility Index
3/2/08
9/7/08
20 Yr Treasury ETF
Bernie Schaeffer
S&P500
4/26/09 S&P weekly
2/26/08
Corporate Bond ETF
Decision Point
8/31/08
Nasdaq 100
NDX weekly
4/19/09
2/17/08
Municipal Bonds
Cross-currents
8/26/08
Bull/Bear Ratio
4/12/09 2/10/08 Inflation Protected Treasuries
Ultra Financial Systems
8/24/08
Investors Intelligence
AAII Correlation to Stocks
Yield Spread
2/3/08
4/5/09
REFERENCE
8/17/08
AAII Asset Allocation
3/29/09 1/29/08
VALUATION
Fed Tightening
8/10/08
Put/Call Ratio
1/27/08
3/22/09
8/3/08
Valuation Models
Sector  Comparison
Year over Year
ARMS INDEX
1/15/09 1/20/08
7/27/08
Historical Valuations
NASDAQ
NYSE
Stock Charts.com
1/13/08
3/8/09
S&P 60 Year Trend
7/6/08 SPX vs Earn
DEBT STATISTICS
1/6/08
3/1/09
Earnings Forecasts Wall Street JournaL
6/29/08
2/8/09
12/30/07
Fed Debt/GDP
Earnings vs Interest Rates
6/24/08
2/1/09
12/23/07
Gold Bullion
GOLD
1/25/09
12/16/07
Gold Stocks-d
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