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CONTENTS
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2002 .
2003 . 2004 .
2005 . 2006 .
2007 . 2008
2002:
-
A normal year for
seismic activity and more than 20,000 deaths
reported this year. Most have been due to poor
structural engineering and bad location in terms of
stability of soil layers.
-
Predictions of a big
quake in the north, north east of Indian
Subcontinent.
-
Going by the very
large number of improperly constructed buildings it
does seem that loss of life will definitely be
involved before people and authorities begin to
appreciate the value of a good design.
-
top
2003:
-
Water bodies are
likely to be affected more and more and cause some
of the worst disasters due to earthquakes and such
activities in the months to come this year.
-
Unexpected tectonic
activity on a global scale is likely to get
localized and become severe.
-
Rare shaking
characteristics of the crustal movements is likely.
-
Asian continent,
especially towards NE of Indian sub continent is
likely to attract much and strong geological
movements.
-
top
2004:
-
This year a lot of
volcanic activity is expected.
-
There will be tidal
waves and under sea eruptions too.
-
Codification and
data bases will see some changes. Rules and
regulations may be enforced more seriously.
-
Areas around Turkey,
Iran, Far East, West of Americas - are most likely
to be affected.
-
Activities that are
expected during different times of the year are
tabulated below:.
|
1 Jan
to
16 Jan |
Activity
level high, Intensities high. Destruction will
cause disruptions to journeys. |
|
to
8 Feb |
Activity
level infrequent. Intensities high. Improperly
designed and poorly constructed structures
suffer. Cessation of activites. |
|
to
2 Apr |
Activity
which is prolonged and unpredicted.
Intensities will be deep placed. May hurt
planning and cause dislocations. |
|
to
19 May |
Large
movements. Upflow of ground waters, etc. A
time when preparedness will be present, still
loss of lives may take place. Coastal areas
may be more hurt. Oil rigs could be damaged. |
|
to
16 Jul |
Crustal
movements will be more involved. Two to three
triggers in the month. Loss of property
noticeable. |
|
to
8 Sep |
Triggering
of many new movements. Financial losses may be
seen. Night time activity Asian regions will
be affected more. |
|
to
29 Sep |
Further
activities from the earlier triggers. Loss of
lives is very likely. European and Asian
regions may be more affected.. |
|
to
29 Nov |
Regions
where ground water could come up. Separating
faults may show more activity. Establishment
centers and developed areas may be more
affected. |
|
to
17 Dec |
Volcanic and
high intensity activities may be present.
Regions where geysers and the like are present
may be affected more. |
|
to
31 Dec |
Discomfort
creating situations may arise often. Deaths
too may be reported. |
2005:
-
Variational processes will
cause stressed and differential conditions. This
could include magnetic fields, gravitational pulls,
temperature variations, tidal pressures, etc.
Formation of new faults, fissures and openings is
likely.
-
Eruptive processes
will be present along with the separative
conditions. Molten and steam like eruptions could be
quite prominent. Fall of water table in lakes
and reservoirs is likely to play a role.
-
Many a traditional ideas will
be laid aside in favor of the observations and
experiences. Assertion of experimental observations
and conclusions is likely.
-
Places
in and aside Atlantic, Middle East/ Turkey and, the
Far East/ Pacific Rim areas are most likely to be
affected. The worst incidents may be in and around
Europe and Far East. Deaths in the Far East and
Pacific Rim areas may be largest.
-
Well off and
populated areas may be affected much. Warnings,
displacements and destructions should be present.
-
-
|
1 Jan
to
15 Jan |
Destruction of
buildings and infrastructure is likely with
high cost. Chances of much news making levels
and manners. Middle East more so. |
|
to
6 Feb |
Close to shore
epicenters and activities. More disruption
than damage. Large claims for losses. Some
deaths. India to Far East, more so. |
|
to
30 Mar |
Generally high
activity which will leave very long term
impacts. Deaths may be present. Displacements
and relocations will be present. Populated
high tech areas could be involved. Americas
more so. |
|
to
18 May |
Kind of
happenings which would call for activities
related to repairs, rebuilding, etc.
Infrastructural damage to high value locations
and structures being involved. Middle East to
Asia, more so. |
|
to
15 Jul |
High energy
releases are very likely. Death and
destruction in it's wake is likely. Period
when volcanic type or eruptions are strong.
Americas and Middle East areas, more so. |
|
to
6 Sep |
Waves,
geysers, etc. related/ type or phenomena are
rather likely. It could even result in some
transportation and communications breakdowns.
Some coasts of Americas and Asia, more so. |
|
to
27 Sep |
This short
period could bring one or two strong
incidents, which could result in small
communities being nearly wiped out. Asia to
Far East, more so. |
|
to
27 Nov |
When
unexpected phenomena involving numerous
natural features or even faults will play a
role together to create problems. Here the
emphasis may be on few rather destructive
phenomena, and many which will release much
energy. Americas and South East Asia, more so. |
|
to
15 Dec |
Shake up in
the areas where such phenomena occur with very
low probability. Some property damage is
likely. A little spewing activity could also
be heard of. |
|
to
31 Dec |
Activity in
the Far East and Pacific Rim areas, more so.
Some destruction due to flows and heavy
afterwards activity. |
2006:
-
Sudden spewing will be
present. Some blow outs of oil or such materials are
also likely. Cavitations.
-
Trapped pockets,
heating and explosive outcomes are likely to create
incidents.
-
Combination of
gravitational alignment, high temperatures, and
natural fault presence will cause a big event.
-
It seems that
disturbed underlying or other water and other
liquid/ liquefied bodies will play an important role
and such locations should therefore be in focus too.
A coming together of pockets.
-
Deaths should be
most reported from the American continent and/ or
European regions.
-
The European earthquake. The
American quake or eruption. The South East Asian
fault movement. The disaster in the Indian
sub-continent.
-
Regions where there
are no regulations, and/or they are not properly
implemented and/or things may happen above the
levels provided for.
-
Places where
city centers are well defined and sort of separated
from the suburbs or outlying areas, and where reach
of media and communications is good.
-
More
destruction than deaths.
|
1 Jan
to
19 Jan |
Previously
weakened or disturbed locations will see
medium sized events resulting in damage which
could tend to be rather expensive. Underlying
water bodies or water reservoirs could be
involved. Some activity in West Asia and South
East Asia. Most loss in areas around Indian
subcontinent. |
|
to
10 Feb |
Destructive
energies are likely to be released with some
ferocity, and could cause much loss and
damage. Larger structures and larger ferocity
with small number of after events.
Transportation systems and structures could be
affected. Activity could be heard from around
Europe, Indian subcontinent. Worst may be
South East Asia. |
|
to
4 Apr |
Events
related to plate tectonics. Element of
surprise, where warning signals are not clear
though present. Peak may not be extreme but
duration could be long. Destruction is likely
including deaths. South East Asia and Far
East. Some events in America. |
|
to
22 May |
Few medium
intensity occurrences. Indian subcontinent
area may be in focus. Casualties are likely.
There is also the likelihood of some intense
activity in areas in and around the Pacific/
west coast of America. |
|
to
19 Jul |
On shore and
offshore activity. Volcanic and spewing
activity. Europe and around and South East
Asia. Intensities and damage could be high. |
|
to
10 Sep |
Less
explosive incidents, where evacuation of
materials is likely. Also, when earlier
movement of faults is likely to be adjusted
to. Effects of heating of entrapped fluids is
likely. Areas of West Asia may be more active. |
|
to
1 Oct |
Widening and
separation of faults is likely. Americas may
be more likely to be active. On and around New
Moon/ Full Moon times may be more likely.
Damage to buildings is also likely. |
|
to
1 Dec |
Deaths could
be reported in larger numbers. Collapses are
likely. Volcanic activity is also likely.
Large magnitude displacements are possible.
Very dormant areas are likely to be affected.
South East Asia. |
|
to
19 Dec |
After shocks
and after effect activity causing damage.
Casualties likely. Spewing possible. South
East Asian areas may be more in focus. Areas
of west coast of America are also likely to
exhibit increased activity. |
|
to
31 Dec |
Similar to
volcanic activity is possible. Populated areas
affected. That described for the beginning of
the year are applicable here too. Possibility
of a big event. |
2007:
-
Losses. Lives.
Property. Wealth. Rebuilding. Property damage.
Buried under debris. More injuries than deaths.
-
Extreme conditions.
Release of high pressure. Explosive expulsion.
Copious flows.
-
Proximity of fissures
and expulsions.
-
Chain reaction type of
situations.
-
South East Asia.
Occurrence in locations some distance from
populated. On land.
-
Indian subcontinent.
Bordering dry and wet.
-
West Europe -
uncharacteristic intensities. Some sort of flows
could be involved.
-
Central
Pacific-flowing/moving.
-
Loss of lives in
Americas - large plots or areas.
-
Two distinct type of
occurrences. Which could get linked.
|
1 Jan
to
14 Jan |
Severe
damage and situations can arise. Interface of
liquid and solid is likely. Damage to property
and loss of life is likely. Burns and such
affects. Closing/ sliding faults. South East
Asia more in focus. |
2008:
-
The destructive
propensities of Nature could be rather harsh and seem
to be unrelenting.
-
There will loss of
life in violent manners in sophisticated and developed
places, still the number of fatalities should not be
on the higher side.
-
The Atlantic and the
Pacific fault locations are more likely to be active.
-
Europe and African areas
are likely to be affected too.
-
Focus of energy release
may still be the South East Asia.
-
Fatalities in the western
areas of Americas are more likely.
-
Water bodies in general
may be less disturbed. Tidal effects and lunar effects
may be not associated.
-
Strong movement of molten
materials may be involved.
-
Buildup of high
temperatures may be present.
-
Location of faster moving
fault lines.
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