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$15 Trillion Cost to U.S. Taxpayers/ Insurance Premium Payers for 1985-2000 ... And Will Almost Triple in Cost to $40 Trillion in Next 15 Years!!!!! This calculation sheet is to support: How to save the U.S. Health Care System: http://www.geocities.com/fltaxpayer/endocrine/costed1.html Calculation to find medical care cost per household in year 2000: U.S. Total Medical Care Cost: $1.3 Trillion, Year 2000 U.S. population: 282 million http://eire.census.gov/popest/data/national/populartables/table01.php Table 1: Households by Type and Selected Characteristics: March 2000 http://www.census.gov/prod/2001pubs/p20-537.pdf �All households�, size is approximately 2.6 persons per household. U.S. Medical Cost per person: = $1.3 trillion cost / 282 million people in US = $1,300,000,000,000 / 282,000,000 = $1,300,000 / 282 = $4610 /person U.S. Medical Cost per household, year 2000: = $4510 x 2.6 persons per household = $11,700 per household Calculation to find medical care cost per household in year 2016: U.S. Total Medical Care Cost: $1.3 Trillion, Year 2016 U.S. population: 322 million http://eire.census.gov/popest/data/national/populartables/table01.php Table 1: Households by Type and Selected Characteristics: March 2000 http://www.census.gov/prod/2001pubs/p20-537.pdf �All households�, size is approximately 2.4 persons per household. See note 1 below, 2.4 is a really rough estimate. U.S. Medical Cost per person: = $4.0 trillion cost / 322 million people in US = $4,000,000,000,000 / 322,000,000 = $4,000,000 / 322 = $12,400 /person U.S. Medical Cost per household, year 2016: = $12,400 x 2.4 persons per household (2.4 is a really rough estimate) = $29,700 per household U.S. Health Care Spending growth rate: 7.3% after year ~2010 (Other estimates show a higher growth rate.) ..................................... Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services http://cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/projections-2001/t1.asp (Data was on http://www.hcfa.gov/stats/NHE-Proj/proj2001/tables/t2.htm) National health expenditures are projected to reach $2.8 trillion in 2011, growing at a mean annual rate of 7.3 percent during the forecast period 2001-2011. During this period, we expect health spending to grow 2.5 percent per year faster than nominal gross domestic product (GDP), so that by 2011 it will constitute approximately 17.0 percent of GDP compared to its 2000 level of 13.2 percent. U.S. Total Health Care Spending , year 2000: $1.3 Trillion Sources: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary. 2000 version of the National Health Expenditures (NHE) released in January 2002. National Health Expenditure Amounts, and Average Annual Percent Change by Type of Expenditure: ----------------------- Table 2: Selected Calendar Years 1980-2011 http://cms.hhs.gov/statistics/nhe/projections-2001/t1.asp (Data was on http://www.hcfa.gov/stats/NHE-Proj/proj2001/tables/t2.htm) [Projections based on 7.3% growth per year] Year Total Expenditure ...........Billions U.S. Dollars ...........(For Trillions, divide by 1000) 1980 $ 245.8 HCFA [1981 $ 272] ~11 % estimated [1982 $ 302] � [1983 $ 335] � [1984 $ 372] � Years 1985-2000: [1985 $ 413] � [1986 $ 458] � [1987 $ 508] � [1988 $ 565.] � [1989 $ 627.] ~11% estimated 1990 $ 696.0 HCFA [1991 $ 814.] ~7.2% estimated [1992 $ 855.] � [1993 $ 608.] � [1994 $ 943.] ~7.2% estimated 1995 $ 990.3 HCFA [1996 $1043.] ~5.0% estimated [1997 $1095.] ~5.0% estimated 1998 $1,149.8 HCFA 1999 $1,215.6 HCFA 2000 $1,299.5<--------- $1.3 Trillion/year HCFA $14,807 billion for Yrs 1985-2000 ~$15 Trillion for Yrs 1985-2000 Years 2001-2016 2001 $1,423.8 HCFA estimate 2002 $1,545.9 ... � 2003 $1,653.4 ... " 2004 $1,773.4 ... " 2005 $1,902.2 ... " 2006 $2,036.6 ... " 2007 $2,174.9 ... " 2008 $2,320.0 ... " 2009 $2,476.1 ... " 2010 $2,639.2 ... "<--------------$2.6 Trillion/year 2011 $2,815.8 ... � Continuing estimates based on 7.3% per year Some estimates have even higher cost growth rates. 2012 $3022. ... � 2013 $3242 .... � 2014 $3479 .... � 2015 $3733 ... � 2016 $4005 ... �<-----------------$4 Trillion/year Years 2001-2016; $40 Trillion U.S. Population Estimates 1990-2016: ----------------------- http://eire.census.gov/popest/data/national/populartables/table01.php Year Millions Adjustment Millions .........................Note 1 1990 .. 249 1991 .. 252 1992 .. 255 1993 .. 258........Note 1 1994 .. 260 1995 .. 263 1996 .. 265 1997 .. 268 1998 .. 270.......+ ~ 6.8 =~ 277 Projections 1999 .. 273......+ ~ 6.8 =~ 280 2000 .. 275......+ ~ 6.8 =~ 282 Note 1 2001 .. 278......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 286 2002 .. 280......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 287 2003 .. 283......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 290 2004 .. 285......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 292 2005 .. 288......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 295 2006 .. 290......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 297 2007 .. 293......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 300 2008 .. 295......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 302 2009 .. 297......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 304 2010 .. 399......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 306 2011 .. 302......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 309 2012 .. 305......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 312 2013 .. 307......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 314 2014 .. 310......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 317 2015 .. 312......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 319 2016 .. 315......+ ~ 7 .. =~ 322 Note 1: Census Personnel indicated that 1990's numbers should be approximately 6.8 million higher. Estimate approximately 1 / 2 of 6.8 million correction-growth were here all along. Approximately 1 / 2 of 6.8 million correction-growth due to international migration and children of immigrants in 1990's. Possible by 2016, total population will probably be higher. Number of persons per household has been dropping. Note per telephone call with G. Spencer (301)763-2436 census.gov
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* General Note: Dioxin causes expensive disabilities
like ADD/ADHD, diabetes and cancer |. Support incentives to eliminate endocrine disruptors like dioxin and save |
$12,900 / year / household | on unnecessarily high indirect and direct medical costs, Medicare and private medical insurance, disability taxes and extra income taxes to make up for taxes not paid by unnecessarily disabled people. The solution is to provide 100% tax grants for dioxin etc. elimination using "taxes generated by industry."
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