Buffon's
Neddle
Buffon's Needle
refers to a simple Monte Carlo method for the estimation
of the value of pi, 3.14159265... The idea is very simple.
Suppose you have a tabletop with a number of parallel lines
drawn on it, which are equally spaced (say the spacing is
1 inch, for example). Suppose you also have a pin or needle,
which is also an inch long. If you drop the needle on the
table, you will find that one of two things happens: (1)
The needle crosses or touches one of the lines, or (2) the
needle crosses no lines. The idea now is to keep dropping
this needle over and over on the table, and to record the
statistics. Namely, we want to keep track of both the total
number of times that the needle is randomly dropped on the
table (call this N), and the number of times that it crosses
a line (call this C). If you keep dropping the needle, eventually
you will find that the number 2N/C approaches the value
of pi!
Why does this work?
It is not hard to show, with a little bit of calculus, that
the probability on any given drop of the needle that it
should cross a line is given by 2/pi. After many trials,
the value of C/N, the number of crossing needles divided
by the total number of needles, will approach the value
of the probability.