New York Times
November 6, 1998
ON MY MIND / By A.M. ROSENTHAL
Killing U.N. Inspection
(via Information for Democracy)
The United Nations arms inspection system in Iraq is near death. Even if Saddam Hussein
lifts his new bans on inspection imposed three months ago, Iraq and its friends at the
U.N. have so eviscerated the system that there is no realistic hope it can be revived,
with or without bombing, except as a thin facade.
These realities are held secret at the U.N. because so many bureaucrats and member
nations share responsibility for what is happening. Some countries, like Russia and
France, eviscerate quite openly; others, like the U.S., use the hidden knife of apathy.
During election campaigns, we don't bother to talk about it.
But in the past days a few intimately informed U.N. people have been willing to reveal
these truths about the fate of the hunt for Saddam's stockpiles of chemical, nuclear and
biological weapons and his plans to build ever more.
They are not ready yet to go public, as have Scott Ritter and David Kay of the U.S. and
David Kelly of Britain.
By daily harassment and trickery, Saddam tried to prevent arms inspection for the first
six years after it was put in place by the victors in the gulf war, to contain his power
and dreams.
But inspection worked anyway. Without it, his weapons would be in use by selected
terrorists around the world.
The inspectorate found 21 nuclear facilities that Iraq denied existed. Warheads loaded
with anthrax and botulinum, evidence of VX, 400,000 liters of chemical agents, missiles,
two million liters of precursors used in making chemical weapons, lists of foreign
suppliers of death, a whole inventory from hell.
Two years ago inspectors drew close to more weapons, and weapons programs, more foreign
supply lines. So Saddam started his endgame.
First he limited inspectors to four to a site. Then he put a choke collar on inspectors
-- where they could go with how much advance notice, where they could never go.
Then in October 1997 he banned inspection altogether, as if the U.N. did not exist; a
reasonable attitude for a dictator with good friends abroad.
Secretary General Kofi Annan flew off to Baghdad in February 1998 to make a
Saddam-appeasing deal, including allusions of lifting sanctions. The U.S. approved, and
warned Saddam -- do it again, we clobber you.
Sanctions hurt Iraqi civilians. But everybody knew Saddam could end sanctions whenever
he wished. All he had to do was reveal his weapons of mass destruction; the agreement in
1991 was that he do it within 15 days.
Mr. Annan and the Security Council pretended that lifting the sanctions was Iraq's
major goal. That was world-class cynicism. Anthrax, VX, missiles -- those goals Saddam
cherishes over all of Iraq's children.
"I can do business with him," said Mr. Annan. He did -- until Aug. 5, five
months later, when Saddam ordered U.N. inspectors out, again.
The Clinton Administration did nothing for three months. Now there is serious talk of
"using" Mr. Annan again! This would be one more evisceration -- of the
major-power responsibility on which the U.N. was founded. Meanwhile Defense Secretary
William Cohen tries to get support for possible bombing of Iraq.
Six years ago, even two years ago, bombing might have made Saddam permit real
inspection again. Now, if bombing comes, he will let the inspectors back for awhile, in
confidence of his controlling knowledge.
International arms inspection is not just snooping around a suspected site. It is a
continuous complex of gathering information from intelligence and commercial sources
everywhere, scientific analyses, laboratories, amassing data banks on Iraq's foreign
suppliers and pipelines.
The information about U.N. inspection methods that Iraqi specialists have collected by
harassing, disrupting and banning cannot be bombed out of their heads, or the new hiding
places Saddam now has created at home these past few years and in very friendly nations
abroad.
Journalists write as if what we report is the whole universe of the story. Generally we
do not mention the existence of what we do not know, often the most important information.
I do not know how, when or if
arms inspection can be repaired without obliteration of
Saddam and his regime. And I do not know when Americans
will realize that the next terrorist explosion in their
country might suffocate a million people, and therefore
is worth talking about, even during a political campaign. |