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by
Mr. Horace Burton, Chief Meteorologist, Caribbean
Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH).
The transformation from a weak
tropical disturbance to an intense hurricane appears to require a special set of
conditions which are not necessarily present for every tropical disturbance. The
initial tropical system is the source of the pressure and wind fields from which
the initial low pressure centre and circulation develops. In addition, the
following conditions are required.
(1) A warm ocean surface with sea surface temperature exceeding 26.5°C to provide the energy and instability necessary for the growth and
maintenance of the system.
(2) A location more than 5° latitude away from the Equator
which helps
to create the initial rotational circulation of the system.
(3) The existence of an area of upper level divergence
or outflow in the vicinity of the developing cyclone. The divergence extracts
mass from the centre to maintain the low pressure and takes away excess heat
from the system so that the warm core is maintained.
(4)
Weak shear (change) of the horizontal wind in the vertical. This allows heat
released when water vapour condenses and form clouds to be concentrated in a
smaller area and thus lead to a greater reduction in the pressure at the
surface.
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