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NCAA TOURNAMENT - WHAT TO WATCH FOR

Get ready for a postseason over the brink...



CLICK HERE FOR 2003 TOURNAMENT PREVIEW!!!!!


Welcome to the annual wild three-week binge known as the NCAA Men�s basketball tournament, so it�s time to fill your brackets out, to no avail of course. Before running down the field, a couple of observations�



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Do not count on all four #1�s making it through to the A-T-L, that has never happened. The usual Final Four formula consists of either one or two #1�s, one or two teams seeded in the neighborhood of #2 through #4, along with at least one shocker (#5 or lower). Who would had thunk Wisconsin (seeded eighth) a couple of years back. If a bracket gets broken enough, almost anyone can sneak through. The higher seeded teams are usually good for about 22-24 wins in the first round. The #13 through #15 teams are usually good for at least one, if not two major upsets. Do not hold your breath on #16 beating #1 though, #1 is 68-0 all-time. One last item, no one ever goes 63-0 (Sandbox never has to worry about giving away the 10 million). There will no doubt be a couple of results that no bracket-nit could put down without being taken away in a straightjacket first. With that, my fearless forecast on how the tourney will go down�

EAST � FIRST ROUND

#1 Maryland over #16 Siena/Alcorn St � Siena is ranked #216, Alcorn #234 � any questions.
#9 St. Johns over #8 Wisconsin � Wisco has been doing it with mirrors the last two months, they find themselves over their heads here.
#12 Tulsa over #5 Marquette � A second round caliber matchup in round #1, the computer has Marquette #9, Tulsa #30. Teams have been using a 2-3 zone to baffle MU with great success lately, so go with the upset.
#4 Kentucky over #13 Valpariso � Valpo an annual bracket breaker, and will be a popular pick here, but will resist the urge.
#11 Southern Illinois over #6 Texas Tech � If F-bombs were nukes, even the cockroaches wouldn�t survive a 40-point loss to Kansas.
#3 Georgia over #14 Murray St. � Georgia battle-tested with nations ninth toughest schedule.
#10 Michigan St over #7 North Carolina St. � NC State�s first trip to the dance in 11 years, Michigan St. coming off three straight Final Fours.
#2 Connecticut over #15 Hampton - No upset this time around.

SECOND ROUND

#1 Maryland over #9 St John�s � DC playground legends v. NY area playground legends. Should be a blast.
#12 Tulsa over #4 Kentucky � Glass slipper fits!!!!!
#3 Georgia over #11 So. Illinois � No joy in Carbondale.
#2 Connecticut over #10 Michigan St. � Spartans run ends here.

REGIONAL SEMIS

#1 Maryland over #12 Tulsa � Walking down the yellow brick road.
#2 Connecticut over #3 Georgia � Take Uconn.

REGIONAL FINALS

#1 Maryland over #2 Connecticut � Terps take heavyweight matchup.


MIDWEST REGION � FIRST ROUND

#1 Kansas over #16 Holy Cross � HC gave Kentucky a run for their money last year.
#9 Western Kentucky over #8 Stanford � Two ranked teams square off, WKU is 20th, Stanford 23rd.
#5 Florida over #12 Creighton � Florida still ranked #6 by the computer.
#4 Illinois over #13 San Diego St. � Game in Chicago. Illini ranked second in pre-season polls and had hiccups along the way, but a horse I�m going to run a long way.
#6 Texas over #11 Boston College � Game in Dallas, simple geography should be good enough here.
#3 Mississippi St. over McNeese St � Miss State coming off strong conference tourney showing.
#10 Pepperdine over #7 Wake Forest � Game out west (Sacremento) giving the Waves an advantage.
#2 Oregon over #15 Montana � OU not NCAA tourney tested but should get past backwater 16-14 team.

SECOND ROUND

#1 Kansas over #9 Western Kentucky � Not before a scare.
#4 Illinois over #5 Florida � Home crowd helps again.
#6 Texas over #3 Mississippi St. � Will take the home state team here as well.
#10 Pepperdine over #2 Oregon � UPSET CITY!!!!!

REGIONAL SEMIS

#4 Illinois over #1 Kansas � The Jayhawks annual sweet 16 swan dive.
#6 Texas over #10 Pepperdine � The bottom of a broken up bracket.

REGIONAL FINALS

#4 Illinois over #6 Texas � Illini finally realizes it�s preseason potential.


SOUTH REGION � FIRST ROUND #1 Duke over #16 Winthrop � Don�t like Winthrop�s tourney chances at 14 gazillion to one.
#8 Notre Dame over #9 Charlotte � Teams are dead even, can tell network wants that Duke-ND matchup.
#5 Indiana over #12 Utah � Utes edge out Butler for last at-large bid. Why?????
#4 USC over #13 UNC-Wilmington � SCCC building off last year�s final eight run.
#11 Penn over #6 California � Your basic Ivy League ambush.
#3 Pittsburgh over #14 Central Connecticut St. � Would give CCS a chance except game is in Pittsburgh.
#10 Kent St. over #7 Oklahoma St. � Kent St. your mid-major Cinderella for this year.
#2 Alabama over #15 Florida Atlantic � FAU�s first trip to the dance.

SECOND ROUND

#1 Duke over #8 Notre Dame � No doubt the early Sunday game, just call it the Digger Phelps/Jay Bilas bowl.
#4 USC over #5 Indiana � Where the Hoosiers usually bow out.
#3 Pittsburgh over #11 Penn � That home city sure helps.
#2 Alabama over #10 Kent St. � Was tempted to take the Flashes

REGIONAL SEMIS

#1 Duke over #4 USC � Duke can almost waltz from here.
#2 Alabama over #3 Pittsburgh � Panthers won�t fare quite as well away from home.

REGIONAL FINALS

#1 Duke over #2 Alabama � Another businesslike perfromance.


WEST REGION � FIRST ROUND

#1 Cincinnati over #16 Boston � Look for BU to keep it close though.
#9 Mississippi over #8 UCLA � Pick Steve Lavin??? I�ll pass.
#12 Missouri over #5 Miami (FL) � Missouri seemingly has been playing marquee games all year. Look for the experience and the Duke coaching karma to make the Tigers this year�s tourney darlings.
#4 Ohio St. over #13 Davidson � Buckeyes coming off conference tourney championship.
#6 Gonzaga over #11 Wyoming � Zags won�t be sneaking up on anyone this time around.
#3 Arizona over #14 UCSB � Dangerous game for Cats, as Gauchos are not exactly backwater. And AZ has pulled first-round flops before.
#7 Xavier over #10 Hawaii � Xavier ranked 19th, Hawaii 24th. Difference is the 2 PM start in Dallas, which makes it 10 AM in Hawaii. Couple that along with the 4,000+ mile trip and Aloha probably means goodbye.
#2 Oklahoma over #15 Ill-Chicago � Sooners should roll.

SECOND ROUND

#1 Cincinnati over #9 Mississippi � OK, I will actually pick Huggins to win two games.
#12 Missouri over #4 Ohio St. � Quin Snyder quickly becomes even hotter property.
#3 Arizona over #6 Gonzaga � Cats win Round 2�s best matchup.
#2 Oklahoma over #7 Xavier � Can�t see OK losing here neither.

REGIONAL SEMIS

#12 Missouri over #1 Cincinnati � Huggins never makes it past here.
#3 Arizona over #2 Oklahoma � Luke Walton is a force!!!!!

REGIONAL FINALS

#3 Arizona over #12 Missouri � Lute Olson over Quin Snyder.




FINAL FOUR

We�re now left with two one�s, a three, and a four. Duke beats Arizona (again), Maryland beats Illinois, Maryland beats Duke. There�s your 63-0 (lol).




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