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Indian Security sources
prove LTTE smuggle-in arms through Tamil Nadu coast
Monday, 16 April 2007
LTTE using refugees as readily available couriers
Indian Security sources re-ensure that by through a well-organized
mechanism the LTTE have been constantly smuggling in fuel, medicines and
calipers, components for making explosives to Sri Lanka clandestinely by
boats from several "landing points" along the Ramanathapuram coast in
Tamil Nadu, news reports from India state. The seizure of explosives in
recent months seems to be just the tip of the iceberg, the Indian daily
The Hindu states.
As was evident in recent seizures, the smugglers seem to have in place a
well-oiled mechanism for transport of consignments, the reports state
further. Loads of ball bearings and aluminum ingots meant for smuggling to
Sri Lanka were found in different parts of India.
As was evident in recent seizures, the smugglers seem to have in place a
well-oiled mechanism for transport of consignments, the reports state
further. Loads of ball bearings and aluminum ingots meant for smuggling to
Sri Lanka were found in different parts of India.
However it is recorded that it is not only through the smuggling scams
that the LTTE are expanding their terror net in Indian land but also by
arriving in South Indian coast using their high-speed boats and its cadres
which are capable of reaching the Indian coast in a short time. This
development can be seen as a security threat to the South Indian states.
According to Indian Security personnel, mechanized high speed fiber glass
boats owned by illegal operators, is the mostly used method for smuggling.
"Country boats registered with the Fisheries Department are used only
occasionally; the smugglers find them ill-equipped to carry heavy
consignments. The ‘couriers’ and ‘crew members’ are either fishermen or
refugees who are already staying in the southern districts," The Hindu
reports.
The Hindu further reports that intelligence agencies suspect that most of
the smuggling is either for the LTTE or with its assistance for onward
transshipment to western countries.
further reports that intelligence agencies suspect that most of the
smuggling is either for the LTTE or with its assistance for onward
transshipment to western countries.
Since January 2006 about 18,600 Tamil refugees have arrived at Rameswaram.
Of them, more than a hundred were sent to special camps because of the
suspicion that they could have links with the LTTE, The Hindu states
quoting a `Q' Branch police officer.
Clandestine boat operators of Sri Lanka drop refugees on islets near the
Tamil Nadu mainland and return with "consignments" delivered by boats from
the Indian side. While some goods reach destinations in LTTE-dominated
areas, others, mainly drugs, are handed over to agents in mid-sea for
loading on to foreign ships. Many smugglers communicate through satellite
phones, a Coastal Security Group official have pointed out, the Indian
reports said.
As these news reports state, certain landing points near Tuticorin and
Kodiakarai along the 1,076-km-long coastline of Tamil Nadu are seen as
safe havens for smugglers transporting medicines and callipers. According
to the Indian Security Agencies, this safe heaven in the sea provides them
the opportunity to smuggle anything that could aid a war effort such as
medicines, fuel, arms, ammunition and components for making explosives.
Sri Lankan Tamil refugees camping in and around Ramanathapuram district
are often considered "readily available couriers" for smugglers as they
have good contacts in both countries, the news reports further points out.
Aspects of India's
economy.
The Real
State of India's Economy
X. Deteriorating
Base
Within
the productive sector, as we have seen above, the industrial sector has
failed to bring about sustained growth. Employment in industry has not
risen to levels at which the industrial workforce itself becomes a major
source of demand (ie, accounting for a major part of the market).
Artificial stimulants, such as dismantling industrial licensing to spur
the growth of luxury production, soon wear off. For only three years in
the mid-1990s was there a spurt of growth; after the pent-up demand for
luxury goods ran its course, recession set in again. The Government
thereafter repeatedly reduced interest rates, but industry merely
substituted its old debt with fresh lower-interest debt and pocketed the
saving, rather than expand production. Finally it was the partial recovery
of agriculture in 2003-04 that gave some sort of stimulus to industrial
demand.
Indeed, for all the
official talk that India is an increasingly modern, even post-industrial,
economy, agriculture remains its base. This is so not only in the
depressed prices of inputs it supplies to industry. Manufacturing growth
is still linked to the demand generated by agricultural performance, as a
glance at the last four decades will reveal. When this is so even in
agriculture's present stunted state, one can imagine the boost that could
be given to industrial demand if agriculture were freed of its present
shackles. However, the rural classes which today control land, credit,
inputs and the levers of governmental power extract surplus from the
peasantry in various forms, but do not reinvest much of it in expanding
productive forces in agriculture. In effect they act as a drain on surplus
from agriculture.
Agriculture even now
remains the largest employer, providing the majority of the workforce some
sort of subsistence in the form of under-employment. This has its negative
aspect: The existence of an army of under-employed in agriculture helps
industrialists keep industrial wages depressed. (First, industrial workers
can be paid less because their families can be kept in the villages; even
otherwise they can get some help from the farm to make ends meet, and find
refuge there after retirement. Secondly, those employed in industry find
it difficult to unionise and raise their wages, given that their place can
easily be taken by the large pool of under-employed in agriculture.) It is
important to note that here the army of unemployed/ under-employed is much
larger than the industrial workforce.
Agriculture also acts as a
social shock-absorber, helping to prevent sharp class struggle by workers,
who can fall back on their village subsistence when they lose their jobs.
And the feudal forces and backwardness that reign in agriculture sustain
all sorts of reactionary cultural influences and structures such as caste
and communalism that help keep working people subjugated and keep them
from uniting on class lines. Thus agriculture serves as an economic base
for the type of economic growth taking place, and as a social base for the
ruling classes to sustain their rule. It casts the shadow of its own
backwardness and stagnation over the entire economy.
The condition of this base
of the Indian economy and society is deteriorating even
further.
Steep fall in investment
Investment in agriculture, already very low, has been declining to
appallingly low levels. In particular, public investment in agriculture,
which in present circumstances has been the key to improving land
productivity, has been declining for the last two decades. As a proportion
of GDP, it has fallen from 3.4 per cent in 1980-81 to 1.3 per cent in
2000-01 — this for a sector that constitutes one-fourth of GDP. Even as a
proportion of GDP in agriculture itself, investment has fallen from 8.5
per cent to 6.1 per cent in the same period.24 In other words, from the
value added in agriculture, a smaller and smaller share is re-invested in
agriculture.
It is worth noting that as
public sector investment in agriculture has fallen, private sector
investment has constituted a larger share of total investment. However, it
has not compensated for the fall in public investment; on the contrary, it
too has fallen as a share of GDP. This is natural, as it is public sector
investment that encourages private investment. About 90 per cent of public
sector investment in agriculture is in major and medium irrigation
facilities, and the spread of irrigation makes it attractive for farmers
to make other investments, since they are assured of
returns.
Table 18: Capital
Formation in Agriculture as a Percentage of GDP
Public
Private Total
1980-81
1.3 2.1
3.4
1990-91
0.6 1.6 2.2
1993-94 0.5
1.1 1.6
1996-97
0.4
1.1 1.5
1999-00
0.3 1.1 1.4
2000-01
0.3
1.0 1.3
2001-02
0.3
1.0 1.3
Economic Survey, different years.
1980-81 figures on the basis of the old series (base year 1980-81);
remaining on the basis of 1993-94 series.
Moreover, in the absence
of public sector investment the type of private investment being carried
out now has dangerous consequences: "most of the private sector capital
formation goes towards minor irrigation facilities like pump sets....
private sector capital formation in irrigation typically favours digging
of wells, as this practice has the advantage of excludability, as opposed
to the non-excludable nature of canal irrigation. However, it needs to be
recognised that such implements draw water from the ground water table,
which covers larger area beyond a farm size. This means that farmers with
larger capacity pumps can actually draw water away from the water table
adjoining their farms, and at a faster rate than those with smaller pumps.
This tendency clearly has adverse impact on the level of the water table
and the ability of small and marginal farmers to irrigate their farms."25
This would have several consequences: inequality would worsen; commercial
crops would get priority over consumption crops; and overall productivity
would fall, even as productivity on farms of better-off farmers may
increase.
Slowdown in spread of new
technology
The Green Revolution
dramatically increased yields in the regions where it was introduced
(mainly Punjab, Haryana, and western U.P.); meanwhile yields stagnated or
fell throughout the rest of the country. The contrast was particularly
striking in the case of eastern India, which was endowed with the
appropriate natural conditions, including large water wealth, needed for
rapid growth. Yet the backward social relations prevailing, as well as the
paucity of State expenditure on irrigation, agricultural extension,
agricultural research, and rural infrastructure (electricity, storage,
rural roads, etc) prevented such an advance. Per capita foodgrains
production in Bihar fell from 155 kg in 1970-73 to 121 kg in 1990-93.
Similar declines occurred in a number of other states.
In the 1990s, cereal
yields in the Green Revolution areas in northwest India reached a plateau,
and there are major environmental problems emerging from the present
pattern of agriculture and irrigation there. These may cause a fall in
output, unless the State makes large outlays for a combination of
measures. In eastern India, however, two important developments took place
in this decade to stifle hopes of rapid yield growth. First, there were
huge shortfalls in public investment in irrigation: barely half the target
for creation of additional irrigation was achieved in 1997-2002.
Agricultural extension services were wound up by the states and the
Centre, and bank credit to agriculture was reduced. Secondly, though input
costs rose, prices paid to farmers for their crops fell below the cost of
production, acting as a disincentive. Now the rulers have openly taken the
stand that there is too much grain production, and it needs to be
decreased. Among the measures being adopted is to lower procurement by
freezing procurement prices and by rejecting much of the grain offered for
procurement on grounds of quality. When this is the policy adopted in
areas of normally high procurement, the effect on areas of low procurement
will be to depress prices further.
As a result of these
trends, the the trend growth rate of area under high-yielding variety
seeds slowed down from 8.1 per cent per annum to 4.4 per cent, and growth
rate of consumption of fertilisers slowed down from 7.8 per cent in the
1980s to 4.3 per cent in the 1990s, and fell further in the last few
years. Moreover, the hikes in prices of potash and phosphatic fertilisers
have led to an imbalance between nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium; the
three were in the ratio of 8.5:3:1 by 1998-99, as opposed to the desirable
ratio of 4:2:1. The soil is thus being massively depleted of nutrients,
damaging its productivity. This, combined with the draining of underground
aquifers by wealthier farmers' pumpsets, portends an even graver situation
in the near future.
Dramatic slowdown in
production The effects on agricultural production have already been seen
quite dramatically. Yield growth rates have plummeted. Since area under
foodgrains is falling, the fact that yield growth is below population
growth (1.9 per cent per year) means that foodgrains production per capita
is falling. Importantly, this is not a fluctuation caused by the weather;
on the contrary, there has been a long string of good monsoons during the
last decade, whereas there has been a steady downward trend in yield
growth. The situation is even worse with non-foodgrains, which are cash
crops such as edible oilseeds, cotton, jute, and sugarcane. Yield growth
has turned negative for them, and production is propped up by turning over
more and more area to these crops (the index of area under non-foodgrains
grew 1.2 per cent per year during the 1990s). The growth of area under
these crops appears to be driven by the desperate need for cash to pay off
debts.
Table 19: Rates of growth
of yields per unit area
(Moving five-year growth
rates calculated upon three-year moving averages of indices of
yields)
Foodgrains
1992-93
1993-94 1994-95 1995-96
1996-97 1997-98 1998-99
1999-00 2000-01 2001-02
3.39%
3.04% 2.57%
1.55% 1.80%
1.40% 1.47%
1.05% 1.29% 1.39%
Non-foodgrains
1992-93
1993-94 1994-95 1995-96
1996-97 1997-98 1998-99
1999-00 2000-01 2001-02
3.19%
2.44% 2.13%
1.44% 2.05%
1.54% 1.55%
0.44% 0.19% -0.57%
Report of the Committee on Long
Term Grain Policy.
Ever since the new
economic policy was imposed in 1991, and more particularly since the
mid-90s, agriculture has taken a severe beating. From an average annual
growth rate of 5.2 per cent in the 1980s (1980-81 to 1989-90), the growth
rate of agricultural production during the period of so-called reforms
(1993-94 to 2002-03) has fallen to 0.4 per cent.26 Again, this amounts to
a sharp fall in production in per capita terms.
If agricultural output had
continued to grow during 1993-94 to 2002-03 at the rate at which it grew
during the 1980s, output now would have been one-third higher than
actually achieved.
Land alienation Given the
fall in the growth of agricultural production, one would have expected
employment growth to slow down. Continuing mechanisation in parts of the
country and for particular crops would further reduce demand for labour.
Even so, it is startling that between 1993-94 and 1999-2000 agricultural
employment growth fell to virtually zero.
The reason for this
appears to be massive land alienation. Input costs are rising, bank credit
is disappearing, and the price peasants get for their crops is falling,
making it difficult for peasants to hold on to their land. The percentage
of landless households among rural households has risen from 35 per cent
in 1987-88 to 41 per cent in 1999-2000, and the percentage of households
with marginal holdings too has risen from 19 per cent to 22 per cent. Thus
landless and marginal account for 63 per cent of rural households, up from
55 per cent in 1987-88.27
A crucial role is played
by usurers in this process — one that has been dramatically highlighted by
the thousands of suicides of peasants taking place in states as varied as
Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar,
and Punjab. The extractions start even before the planting of the crop, in
the form of overpriced inputs often sold by the moneylender himself; they
continue to the stage of sale of the crop at a depressed price, often to
the same person. The effective rates of interest charged (including the
extractions by inflating input prices and depressing output prices) are
such as to stifle production. Since the overwhelming bulk of agricultural
credit is given by usurers, and what little bank credit was earlier
extended is vanishing rapidly, the scale of these extractions in
agriculture is huge. The final alienation of land is thus the end of a
long process in which the peasant slowly loses effective control of the
land -- his sole means of sustenance in a degenerating
economy.
It is important to note
that the increasing concentration of land is taking place at a time when
yields are stagnating, and per capita production is falling. This is not
the process of land being concentrated in the hands of more efficient
producers in a dynamic agrarian sector, but of a crippled sector in which
producers are finally alienated of land by parasitic
forces.
The entire process is
parasitic in that the extractions made by the rural exploiting classes
from the peasantry are neither going toward investment in agriculture nor
toward rapid expansion of industry, but are being spent on conspicuous
consumption, invested in unproductive activities such as trade and
transport, used as bribes to Government officials to capture more
resources, re-cycled in more usury and purchase of land of bankrupt
peasants, and the like.
Indeed it is not only
agriculture, but the entire economy, which is crippled. The peasants who
lose employment in agriculture are unable to find employment in industry,
and must find some sort of refuge 'employment' in the services
sector.
The current abysmal
condition of the Indian economy — the condition of its people and their
productive future — calls attention to the enormous potential for growth
if the present political economy of the country is changed. The enormous
squandering of the surplus, and therefore of the productive potential of
the country, is difficult to capture in statistics. A democratic
re-ordering of the Indian economy and society, beginning with its base,
would be a painful process, no doubt, as those who stand to gain from the
current order would do their best to prevent such change. But it would be
far less painful than what is routinely suffered by those on whose labour
this economy runs.
Source: Monthly Review Nos. 36 & 37 (March 2004): THE REAL
STATE OF INDIA'S ECONOMY
------------------------------------
Notes: 24.
Report on Currency and Finance 2001-02. (back)
25. Ibid. (back)
26. RBI, Annual Report 2002-03. (back)
27. Jayati Ghosh, "Why is
agricultural employment falling?", 22/4/03, www.macroscan.org.
(back)
IPKF

A Female Para-Military forces soldier from India’s
Rapid Action Force (RAF) calls relatives on her mobile phone in New Delhi,
during a farewell function ahead of her unit’s departure to Liberia on a
United Nations Peacekeeping mission. Their combat training over, 125 of
India’s crack policewomen are travelling to Liberia to act as UN
peacekeepers, the first time the world body has deployed an all-female
unit. AFP-18-01-2007
"Sri Lanka’s security is
India’s responsibility" India would extend its fullest support to Sri Lanka to resolve
its ethnic issue said Ms. Nirupama Rao, High Commissioner of India. She
said India considered that National security of Sri Lanka was a
responsibility of India and India would do everything possible to
safeguard the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka. The
Indian High Commissioner made these observations when she met Prime
Minister Ratnasiri Wickremanayake yesterday.
Ms. Nirupama Rao Indian High
Commissioner (27th November,2005 - 03.30 S.L.T)
Indian troops train with United States Army in
Hawaii Dated 18/9/2006, India Defence
Forty Indian soldiers in
jungle camouflage descend on a mock village in the central Oahu mountains,
hunting for insurgents. American officers watch for lessons they can apply
when leading their own soldiers through the same course on a US Army
training ground.
The
troops are in the island for the biggest joint drills the Indian and US
armies have had to date, the latest sign of growing military relations
between the two nuclear powers.
The bilateral exercise, called "Yudh Abhyas," or
"Training for War" in Hindi, started four years ago with a handful of
Indian and US soldiers. It has since ballooned to involve hundreds of
troops, including 140 Indians who flew to Hawaii, which hosts the US
Pacific Command whose reach extends to their homeland.
"It's a tremendous
expansion," said Col Dinesh Singh, of the Indian army's 3rd Battalion, 9th
Gurkha Rifles. He added the exercises were now teaching platoons from the
two nations how to talk to each other in the field, moving beyond the
basics of training individual soldiers.
"We work on larger issues at this stage. We're trying
to work on commonalities," Singh said. "If you're talking about
interoperability, this is the basic thing. We should be able to understand
each other's actions."
Analysts say the United States is eager to deepen
military ties with India to learn some of the counter-insurgency methods
India's military has cultivated during its long battle against Muslim
separatists in Kashmir.
The Americans also want India's large navy to help
patrol the seas for terrorists and pirates, analysts
say.
FROM CONFLICT TO
CONVERGENCE India and Israel Forge a Solid Strategic
Alliance By Martin Sherman The
Jerusalem Post Feb 28, 2003
India and Israel used to be rivals during the Cold
War, but the fall of the Soviet Union and the rise of global terror have
generated what seems like a solid strategic alliance.
Last week's press
announcement regarding an agreement for the supply of advanced Israeli
avionic systems for the Indian air force's new MiG-27 combat aircraft
threw into sharp relief just how dramatically the ties between the two
countries have progressed since their early days of independence.
Just over half a century
ago, two ancient peoples managed to cast off the bonds of British colonial
rule and assert political independence.
At their inception, the newly born states could
hardly have been more dissimilar. The one, India, was a giant subcontinent
with an enormous and impoverished indigenous population. The other,
Israel, was minuscule in size but eager to augment the sparse numbers of
its domestic populace by large-scale immigration from countries as diverse
as Morocco and Austria.
Moreover, despite the fact that both opted for
heavily state-controlled economies in their early years, the divergence
between the two countries appeared to grow over time. Israel gradually
began to adopt an orientation increasingly conducive to free trade and
private enterprise; India, on the other hand, continued to maintain its
emphasis on centralized control and an aspiration for economic
autarchy.
On the
political and diplomatic front, Israel and India were estranged for
several decades, with the former aligned firmly with the United States,
while the latter opted to maintain close links with the Soviet
Union.
This
significant disparity between the two countries hardly boded well for
mutual cooperation between them. However, since the onset of the 1990s,
with the fall of the Soviet bloc and the accelerating liberalization of
the Indian economy, considerable - even dramatic - changes began to take
place, bringing with them a marked convergence of Indo-Israeli
interests.
The
culmination of this process took place in 1992 when full diplomatic
relations were established between Jerusalem and New Delhi. The
developments on the diplomatic front were paralleled by those on the
economic one. With the policy of economic liberalization, instituted in
1991, India and its newly accessible markets emerged as an increasingly
coveted objective for many of the world's largest corporations. This
process was accompanied by a growing interest in economic opportunities in
India on the part of the Israeli business sector, and a burgeoning volume
of trade between the two countries.
However, it is in the sphere of security that
convergence of interests the two countries is most obvious. Both India and
Israel face serious threats, internally and externally. Both countries
face, and have faced in the past, the risk of military confrontation with
dictatorial regimes, armed with weapons of mass destruction along their
borders.
Among
India's potential (and indeed current) antagonists are countries and
organizations which may pose a threat to Israel in time to come, or are
likely to ally themselves with Israel's adversaries in some future
conflict. In both countries there lurk dangers of dissident action by
large domestic ethno-religious minorities, fueled by a growing
fundamentalism in neighboring states. In many respects, therefore, Israeli
and Indian interests appear highly compatible.
The case for a close
Indo-Israeli relationship is indeed compelling. Across a wide range of
fields the two countries can both complement and supplement each
other.
On the level
of civilian commerce, there has already been considerable success.
Bilateral trade has increased dramatically since the early Nineties -
growing fivefold from barely $200 million in 1992 to more than $1 billion
by 2000.
Although
India is commonly seen as a largely labor intensive economy offering
competitively-priced skilled manpower as its major asset, and Israel as an
advanced knowledge-based economy, this view only partially captures the
real picture. For while it is undoubtedly true that India still has many
of the attributes of a developing country, in several fields, such as IT
and computer science, it is on the cutting edge of technological
advancement, with its own space program, ballistic missile project, and
nuclear capabilities.
On the diplomatic front, although New Delhi is still
somewhat reticent in its support for Israel - due mainly to concern about
the reaction of India's large Muslim minority and dependence on Arab oil -
some signs in the opposite direction have been evident. The most prominent
was during the 2001 Durban conference on racism, when India helped thwart
Arab attempts to insert virulent censure of Israel in the conference's
final resolution.
Then-foreign minister Shimon Peres had warm words for
India's action, praising it for its help in "tipping the scales on the
side of justice."
For India, Israel and its affiliated lobbies in
Washington can be a useful instrument, for promoting New Delhi's case on
the Pakistani issue. This was a topic raised in a recent trilateral
meeting held this month in New Delhi, attended by Jewish Institute of
National Security Affairs (JINSA), the influential Washington-based think
tank, former Israeli intelligence chiefs and Indian security and defense
experts.
In the
realm of security, the ties between Israel and India are booming. Israel
appears to have become India's second largest arms supplier after Russia.
Israel has provided India with sea-to-sea missiles, radar and other
surveillance systems, border monitoring equipment, night vision devices,
and the upgrading of India's Soviet-era armor and aircraft.
Moreover, in marked contrast
to Washington's vigorous opposition to the supply of Phalcon
reconnaissance aircraft from Israel to China, the U.S. is apparently
favorably disposed to the delivery of such planes to India. In December
2002 Defense Minister George Fernandes announced in the Indian parliament
that India and Israel are planning to jointly produce and market an
Advanced Light Helicopter (ALH). Overall, contracts of over U.S. $3
billion for the supply of military equipment and know-how are said to be
in the pipeline.
Given Israel's minuscule territorial dimensions,
there is growing awareness of the crucial strategic significance of the
marine - and submarine - theater for the country's national defense. The
range and destructive power of modern weaponry in the hands of Israel's
enemies make most of Israel's land based strategic installations
vulnerable to a long-range first strike. Thus, the deployment of sea-borne
second-strike capability - an essential factor for effective deterrence of
such a possible first strike - is emerging as a strategic imperative for
Israel.
In this
regard, the Indian Ocean, as location for a logistic infrastructure,
facilitating the deployment and maintenance of this capability could well
assume vital importance. This is particularly pertinent since advances in
satellite surveillance techniques, and the dominant Arab presence along
most of the southern and eastern shores of the Mediterranean - and ever
more inhospitable Europeans along the northern ones - make this an
increasingly problematic environment for the Israeli Navy.
Of course, for the
establishment and operation of such a maritime venture, cooperation with
the Indian Navy would be vital. In this regard, it is especially
significant that in 2000, Israeli submarines reportedly conducted test
launches of cruise missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads in the
waters of the Indian Ocean of the Sri Lanka coast.
There are also persistent
reports of mutual Indo-Israeli desire to collaborate on the development of
a Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) system, based on the Israeli Arrow
technologies.
As
both countries face the specter of a possible missile attack from
dictatorial, and often less than predictable regimes, this desire is
eminently understandable.
However, as the Arrow is a joint Israeli-U.S.
enterprise, approval from Washington is necessary for the prospective
venture to go ahead. As yet, such approval has not been forthcoming - due
to fears of escalating tensions in the already flammable Indo-Pakistani
confrontation.
Nonetheless, Israel is said to have already provided
India with the Green Pine radar used in the Arrow system - with U.S.
consent.
The region
spanned by Israel and India include many of America's most implacable
enemies. Nothing, therefore, seems more reasonable or more pressing than
for Washington to cultivate countervailing centers of power with allies
who genuinely and autonomously embrace similar values of liberal
pluralism.
The
political milieu of both India and Israel is one that might have been
expected to be highly conducive to dictatorship. However, the fact that
dictatorship has not taken root in either country bears eloquent testimony
to their deep-rooted commitment to the principles of liberty, tolerance
and an open civil society. This should serve to bolster U.S. confidence as
to the long-term durability of India and Israel as reliable allies, which
should translate into a lenient and forthcoming American attitude to
technological transfers.
For Washington must seriously address the question of
who will dominate the Indian Ocean, the eastern approaches to Europe, and
south and central Asia - powers committed to policies of moderation,
restraint and the preservation of stability; or those committed to
fundamentalist fanaticism and violent radicalism. In this regard it is
significant that a recent CIA publication asserted that "Although
stability has long been a goal of the [USA], after September 11th, it has
become our key objective."
An alliance between India and Israel, openly endorsed
by the U.S., would create a potent stabilizing force in the region, which
together with like-minded regimes such as Turkey, could contribute
significantly towards facing down the forces of radical extremism so
hostile to American interests in Western and Central Asia and
beyond.
There are
however considerations beyond regional stability that make a vibrant
Indo-Israeli axis a clear U.S. interest. For example, in the newly
emerging balance of geo-strategic power, the growing Chinese challenge to
U.S. primacy will almost inevitably dictate the need for a regional
counterweight to Chinese domination.
In this regard, a powerful, progressive India
bolstered by Israeli technological expertise appears the most plausible
and practical alternative. Several weeks after 9/11, prominent Washington
Post columnist Jim Hoagland wrote in an article, "A Test of True allies":
"India and Israel are the most vibrant democracies in a vast swath of
countries from North Africa through the Himalayas that should now be seen
as a single strategic region. Jerusalem and New Delhi are also end points
of the U.S. campaign [against terror]."
He went on to warn that the U.S. should resist
pressure from the bureaucracy of falling into "one of the fundamental
mistakes of the Cold War, which was to convert tactical relationships with
dictators into ideological, strategic alliances."
Hoagland's final words seem
appropriate here: "Dictators snap the whip and seem to make things happen
quickly. But they own only the moment. That is why they clutch the present
so fiercely. The future belongs to democratic leaders, who can build and
sustain consensus and commitment to ideas and values. They are Bush's true
allies, however difficult dealing with them can be at a moment of
crisis."
The
economic and political success of the American-Jewish community is well
known. Far less known are the impressive accomplishments of the Indian
community in the U.S.
Only recently the Indian government began to
recognize the latent potential of their kin-folk abroad. In September
2000, the Government of India launched a High Level Committee to prepare a
comprehensive report on the Indian Diaspora, to inform the Indian public
of the achievements of the Indian Diaspora and to propose a new policy
framework to leverage these invaluable human resources This major
initiative revealed: The per capita income of the [Indo-American]
community is currently estimated at $60,093 compared to the average per
capita income of $38,885.
High levels of education have enabled the
Indo-Americans to become a very productive segment of the U.S. population.
More than 87 percent of the Indo-Americans have completed high school
while 62% have some college education compared to just over 20% for the
[overall] U.S. population.
The estimated annual buying power of Indian Americans
in the U.S. is around $20 billion.
As a result of these factors, together with the
growing commercial interest in investment in India, the India caucus in
the House of Representatives now numbers 118, indicating an impressive
accumulation of political influence.
Gerald Segal, late Director of Studies at the
International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) referred to India and
Israel as kin democracies "confronting insurgence."
This view was echoed by
India's Home Minister and deputy Prime Minister L. K. Advani. On a FOX
Television interview he stated: "terrorism insofar as we've seen it on
11th September ... has a common source, and that common source has
described the United States, Israel and India as its three main
enemies.
Perhaps
one of the most ironic illustrations of how the fates of the two nations
have intertwined in the fight against common threats occurred on September
11, 2001 itself.
At
the time, a high level Israeli security delegation led by then head of the
National Security Council Maj. Gen. Uzi Dayan was on a visit to India to
discuss future cooperation in dealing with threats from terrorism, and
other developments in the Middle East and South Asia.
During the course of
meetings on the afternoon of that fateful day with his Indian counterpart
Brajesh Mishra, word came of the attacks against the World Trade Center
and the Pentagon.
The discussion reportedly ended so that both sides
could watch television together as the events in America
unfolded.
Indo-U.S.
relations have undoubtedly developed tremendously since the days of the
Cold War when India was more closely aligned with the Soviet Union.
Indeed, apart from a short period of tension following the Indian nuclear
tests in May 1998, there has been an almost uninterrupted development of
the bond between New Delhi and Washington.
Almost paradoxically, the
events of 9/11, which should have brought the parties even closer
together, have given rise to an issue of dispute. This focuses on American
policy towards Pakistan. Indian sources warn repeatedly that the U.S.
policy of cultivating Pakistan and the Musharraf regime is both
short-sighted and counter-productive. They point out that it was the
Pakistani intelligence services (ISI) that created the Taliban and that
they now continue to cultivate and collaborate with Taliban and al-Qaida
elements.
According
to the Indians, the U.S. action in Afghanistan has not resolved the
problem, but merely displaced it - to a possibly more difficult and
dangerous location. Russian sources tend to echo Indian concerns and
identify Pakistan as the most worrying epicenter of terror and
fundamentalist fanaticism today. Voices in the U.S. support the Indian
position. One Washington-based researcher states that: "Musharraf used his
alliance with radical Muslim clerics to ... form a powerful and
destructive military-mosque nexus that helped transform Pakistan into a
magnet for radical Islamic terrorists in the region and around the
world."
Jim
Hoagland of The Washington Post also strongly backs the Indian position
and cautions against the dangers of Bush being "urged by the bureaucracy
to concentrate on the short-term advantages of a Faustian bargain with the
Pakistani ruler" and observes that "that bargain's shortcomings [have]
become apparent. The promise by Pakistan's intelligence services to foment
uprisings in southern Afghanistan and to arrange defections from the
Taliban and bin Laden's network have fallen flat, even as Bush heaps more
economic aid and political forgiveness on Musharraf."
Martin Sherman is Professor
of Political Science at Tel Aviv University and a contributing expert at
the Ariel Center for Policy Research and a senior research fellow at the
Interdisciplinary Center, Herzliya, both also in Israel. Sherman acted as
a ministerial advisor in the 1991-2 Shamir government
U.S. Acknowledges India as Regional
Force Pledge to Share Civilian Nuclear
Technology Follows Military Cooperation, Indian Navy Growth Cooperation between Washington and New Delhi reached
new heights on July 19, when President Bush announced his intention to
provide civilian nuclear technology to the world’s most populous
democracy. While the announcement came in for criticism by the arms
control community and will necessitate a congressional ok. The White House
was quick to note that India’s civilian nuclear programs are already open
to international inspection and the country has a spotless record on
proliferation. It is understood that the deal will also help reduce
India’s dependence on imported energy sources; a driving factor in India’s
relationship with Iran.
President Bush toasts Prime Minister Singh during the
State Dinner.The grand reception given Indian Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh in mid-July by the Bush Administration, including the first State
Dinner since the President’s reelection last year and only his fifth since
taking office, suggests that the White House wishes to secure a firm
partnership with the dynamic country of more than one billion persons.
India may also prove to be a strategic counterweight to China’s growing
global might.
While
the recent elevation of the U.S.-India relationship may be centered on
India’s burgeoning energy needs and its concomitant dependence on imported
energy sources, it remains a relationship built upon the solid foundation
of cooperative military ventures conducted since the Cold War’s demise
opened the door for New Delhi to reassess its strategic position both
regionally and globally.
U.S.-India Military Cooperation
The United States and India
have cooperated with one another in the military realm since the late
1980s. In recent years, maritime piracy, terrorism and India’s links to
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, for example, have brought
about unprecedented levels of international cooperation in order to police
the world’s oceans. One driver for this cooperation has been the
U.S.-devised and -led Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), a
cooperative international program designed to prevent rogue states from
receiving materials and equipment used to construct weapons of mass
destruction. While India is not yet a PSI participant, Washington has been
keen to get New Delhi to sign on. Indian participation is important as the
Indian navy has the operational capability to make its presence felt in
the most vulnerable regions of the Pacific Ocean such as the Straits of
Malacca, a 500-mile long route between Malaysia and Indonesia. For more on
possible Indian naval counter-terrorism and anti-piracy operations in the
Malacca Straits region
India's Kalpakkam nuclear power plant.India and the
United States have engaged in joint naval cooperation since the mid 1990s
most recently completing the Malabar 04 joint exercises in October 2004.
Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld was in India in early December 2004
discussing a range of issues with Prime Minister Singh and Defense
Minister Pranab Mukherjee. Rumsfeld told reporters, “The defense
relationship is a strong one and something we intend to see is further
knitted together as we go forward in the months and years ahead.”
Blue Water Fleet and
Shipbuilding Expansion
India’s relatively recent acquisitions and
modernizations are indications of their commitment to a “blue water” navy.
India has commissioned new frontline warships such as the INS Brahmaputra,
a Delhi-class missile frigate with major high-technology components
manufactured in India. In April 2000, the Indian Navy commissioned a
24,000 ton fleet replenishment tanker, the INS Aditya. This tanker, which
can double as a command platform, is a necessary component for a naval
force to operate for long periods of time on the open ocean.
The INS Brahmaputra, a
Delhi-class missile frigate. The navy has also
refitted and modernized the INS Viraat, previously India’s only aircraft
carrier, with close-in weapon systems (CIWS) for defense against
sea-skimming cruise missiles, improved radar and electronic-warfare
equipment, and a new communications suite.
The navy also acquired the
former Soviet aircraft carrier Admiral Gorshkov as well as two Russian
Akula II fast attack nuclear submarines. The Gorshkov deal was finalized
in 2004 after years of haggling. Reportedly, the ship will undergo an
extensive refit costing some $800 million to include modifications to
allow the operation of the Mig-29 Fulcrum’ naval fighter, 30 of which
India will take delivery of as part of the carrier purchase. Also
reportedly purchased were six Kamov-31 attack and reconnaissance
anti-submarine helicopters, torpedo tubes, missile systems and gun units,
costing an additional $700 million. It is estimated that the ship will
enter service in 2008 as the INS Vikramaditya.
India also has vast plans
for keeping its shipbuilding facilities up to date. Dedicating $110.6
million of the 2005 defense budget to this purpose, India’s domestic
shipbuilding facilities will be much better equipped to deal with the 19
warship orders placed over the last two years. Despite this, the Indian
navy will have a difficult time keeping an adequate number of ships in
their fleet as the current shipbuilding rate is but two-and-a-half per
year while the navy’s retirement rate is six per year. The newly allocated
money will help equalize the countries shipbuilding capabilities with the
navy’s demand for new warships.
India’s Strategic Imperative
India seems to have several
reasons for its naval expansion. In an interview with Bharat Rakshak
(www.bharat-rashak.com), a consortium of Indian military web sites, former
Chief of Naval Staff Admiral Madhvendra Singh said, “Today, a navy is not
just for safeguarding your borders. It is also an instrument of state
policy. There are common concerns like terrorism, protection of sea lines
of communication, piracy and transportation of weapons of mass
destruction. With the growing concern about international terrorism, it is
necessary that on account of its unique location, size and potential in
the Indian Ocean, India plays a more meaningful role.”
Two Indian navy
Shishumar-class submarines.India has long desired the capability to secure
its exclusive economic zone, which extends 200 nautical miles from the
coastline, as well as key trade routes around the Indian Ocean. The Indian
economy is one of the largest in the world and is the second largest GDP
among emerging countries based on purchasing power parity. India’s textile
industry is the single highest foreign exchange earner and accounts for 20
percent of India’s industrial output and about 30 percent of India’s
exports. The consequences of a disruption in maritime shipping could be
devastating to this industry. India therefore will look to take
responsibility for ensuring free passage of goods through the Indian
Ocean.
The World
Energy Outlook 2002 conducted by the International Energy Agency (IEA)
concluded that by the year 2030, India would have a 94 percent oil import
dependency. The IEA is an international energy policy advisor serving its
26 member countries, including the U.S. Due to its dependency on imported
energy sources, India faces very real risks of having that supply
disrupted. U.S. overtures to share non-military nuclear technology to
boost electricity production in India can be understood in this
light.
U.S.-India
Cooperative Naval Exercises
India has pursued a cooperative relationship with the
United States Navy and has entertained invitations from regional states to
patrol vulnerable shipping lanes in southeast Asia. In the modern age, the
U.S. Navy has been the only substantial naval force in the Indian
Ocean.
Indian
reporters speak with a U.S. sailor during the Malabar 04 exercises.One of
the most recent joint military exercises between the United States and
India occurred in October 2004. These exercises, known as Malabar 04,
involved close to 2,000 U.S. and Indian naval personnel and took place off
the southwest coast of India.
Participating in the exercises from the U.S. Navy
were the Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Cowpens (CG 63), the
Oliver Hazard Perry-class guided-missile frigate USS Gary (FFG 51), the
Los Angeles-class attack submarine USS Alexandria (SSN 757), and P-3C
maritime patrol and reconnaissance aircraft. The Indian navy participated
with the destroyer INS Mysore, the frigate INS Brahmaputra, the tanker INS
Aditya and the Shishumar-class submarine the INS Shankul. The Shankul , a
locally-constructed German Type 1500 submarine, is equipped with eight
21-inch torpedo tubes, anti-ship mines and has a crew of 40.
The 24,000 ton fleet
replenishment tanker INS Aditya.The 2004 exercises were the sixth of their
kind between the Indian and United States navies. What began as simple
communications checks and basic maneuvers quickly became full-scale
“war-at-sea” exercises. Other exercises during Malabar 04 included small
boat transfers, maneuvering as a group, nighttime underway replenishments,
and visit, board, search and seizure drills. U.S. Navy public affairs
noted that Malabar 04 was designed to “increase the interoperability
between the two navies while enhancing the cooperative security
relationship between India and the United States.”
After practicing boarding
operations and search and seizure techniques learned from the U.S. Navy,
the Indian navy have considerably improved its skills at fighting the
growing scourge of maritime piracy and terrorism. India took a further
step when it commenced joint exercises with the Japanese Coast Guard.
Termed Sahyog Kaijan 2004, the exercises involved a mock hijacking of a
merchant vessel. India and Japan share a common strategic ground with
regard to their dependence on oil shipping routes in the Persian
Gulf.
India-Israel
Military Ties Continue to Grow Troop
Training to Supplement Arms Sales
Israel is expected to train four battalions of nearly
3,000 Indian soldiers for specialized anti-insurgency strikes, adding to
their training in desert, mountain, jungle, and counter-hijacking and
hostage crisis situations. New Delhi's turn to Jerusalem for combat
soldier expertise is due, in part, to disappointing results in border
clashes with Pakistani forces and to last year's suicide attack by Muslim
terrorist infiltrators on Indian Parliament members. Among the many tasks
expected of them, the newly trained Indian troops are expected to stop
infiltration by Pakistani terrorists into India via the contested Kashmir
region, according to the Jerusalem Post, Feb. 3, 2003.
Presumably to equip these
soldiers, India recently concluded a $30 million agreement with Israel
Military Industries (IMI) for 3,400 Tavor assault rifles, 200 Galil sniper
rifles, as well as night vision and laser range finding and targeting
equipment. The purchase seems to demonstrate a broadening of the defense
trade relationship beyond Indian purchase of Israeli high-tech electronic
systems. For decades, New Delhi has bought most of its Air Force and Army
hardware from Russia. To pay for all of this, the Indian defense budget
has grown considerably and is expected to reach $100 billion in the next
decade.
Indo-Israeli trade is on the rise climbing from about
$250 million annually to more than $1.15 billion in the most recent years
and the defense sector has seen the most rapid growth.
Israel Aircraft Industries
(IAI) services several large contracts with the Indian Air Force (IAF)
including the upgrading of the IAF's Russian-made MiG-21 ground attack
aircraft, sales of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) and laser-guided bombs.
Negotiations reportedly are in advanced stages for Israel to provide
state-of-the-art fire control systems and thermal imagers for the Indian
Army's Russian-made T-72 tank fleet.
Indian defense officials acknowledged the acquisition
of two Israeli Elta Green Pine long-range radar systems, a component of
the Arrow Ballistic Missile Defense System, according to the International
Herald Tribune, Feb.10, 2003. The same paper reports that India is
negotiating the purchase the sophisticated airborne early-warning and
control Phalcon system in a bid to bolster the country's defenses against
missilesÑa deal that requires approval from the U.S. due to sanctions
imposed on India in 1998 as a result of the country's Pokhran nuclear
tests.
Israeli-Indian-U.S. strategic talks have also begun
on the sale of the complete Arrow missile defense system to New Delhi. A
2001 Pentagon review concluded that the defensive nature of the Arrow
system exempts it from sales restrictions imposed by the Missile
Technology Control Regime (MTCR), an international agreement designed to
stop the spread of offensive missile technology.
Along with its military
needs however, the burgeoning Indian economy has led to keen competition
for India's growing civilian aircraft market as well, where demand is
expected to soar in the coming years. Europe's Airbus consortium recently
won out over the Boeing Co. for the $1.7 billion contract to supply 28
commercial jets to Indian Airlines and the international flagship carrier
Air India. The largest Indian aerospace firm, Hindustan Aeronautics
Limited (HAL), joined hands with IAI for the joint marketing of the
HAL-built Advanced Light Helicopter (ALH).
During February's Aero India
2003, the international aerospace exposition in Bangalore, HAL officials
announced an agreement to integrate IAI's avionics into the ALH platform
and to market the ALH globally. Also at the expo, IMI exhibited its
anti-tank anti-personnel (ATAP) cluster bomb, designed to strike infantry
and armored vehicles. Its sub-munitions include a self-destruct mechanism
to minimize the risk to friendly forces and civilians entering the area
after an attack, resulting in a significant upgrade for both Indian
defensive and commercial operations.
By JINSA Editorial
Assistant Amrith K. Mago
FOREIGN
POLICY Indian betrayal JOHN
CHERIAN
India announces its pro-American orientation once
again by voting, at the IAEA meet in Vienna, in favour of reporting Iran
to the United Nations Security Council on its nuclear programme.
HERWIG PRAMMER / REUTERS
At the beginning of the IAEA
Board session in Vienna on February 2.
AFTER three days of discussions, the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board finally voted to report Iran to the
United Nations Security Council on its nuclear programme. Twenty-seven out
of the 35 countries on the board voted for the resolution. Not
surprisingly, India was among them. Cuba, Venezuela and Syria voted
against the resolution and Algeria, Belarus, Indonesia, Libya and South
Africa abstained.
The vote was taken after Washington reluctantly
agreed to put in a clause in the resolution to make West Asia "a nuclear
weapons-free zone". The resolution expressed "serious" concern about
Iran's nuclear programme and said that it may not be "exclusively for
peaceful purposes". The resolution requested IAEA Director-General Mohamed
ElBaradei to "report to the Security Council" steps Iran needed to take to
dispel suspicions about its nuclear programme.
The Indian government had
bargained for a quick vote in the February 2 meeting on the question of
referring Iran to the Security Council. The disinformation campaign
launched by the Bush administration in the world media gave the impression
that the overwhelming majority in the IAEA Board was in favour of the
move. Russia and China, which had abstained in the vote against Iran in
October, had signalled that this time around they would vote with the
United States, France, Britain and Germany.
The Indian government, which
had come under considerable criticism domestically for voting against Iran
the last time around, was ostensibly sitting on the fence this time. Prime
Minster Manmohan Singh had expressed the hope that the dispute would be
resolved without the matter being taken to the Security Council. He,
however, went on to add that India's vote would depend on the text of the
draft resolution. He again denied at a press conference that his
government was under pressure from the West: "There is no question of
bending... But we are also very keen to have strategic nuclear cooperation
so that our energy security can get an added edge." Prior to the vote,
senior Indian Foreign Office officials had, however, indicated that the
country's vote would once again be with the West.
The majority of the
countries representing the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) at the IAEA Board
did not blindly offer their support to Washington's position.
Interestingly, India, which is a founder member of NAM, seems to be more
keen on distancing itself from the organisation. It was Malaysia that
chaired the meeting of NAM member-countries on the sidelines of the IAEA
meeting at Vienna. The majority of NAM members either sided with Iran or
abstained in the vote.
Egypt, with the support of NAM, had spearheaded the
move to link Iran's referral to the Security Council to the long-standing
demand that the whole of West Asia be declared a "nuclear weapons-free
zone". This was an implicit demand that the West should ask its ally in
the region, Israel, to get rid of its nuclear arsenal. NAM countries as
well as independent observers of the international scene have all been
pointing at the double standards involved in the current exercise to
blackmail Teheran into giving up its right to engage in peaceful nuclear
activities.
Washington, despite the majority of IAEA Board
members being in favour of such a resolution, refused to be flexible. Even
the European states on the IAEA Board are not averse to this move. France
had played a key role in helping Israel develop its nuclear weapons at the
Dimona nuclear facility. Arab countries as well as Iran fear nuclear
blackmail from the West and Israel. French President Jacques Chirac
recently stated that using nuclear weapons to combat terrorism is
justified. Every other day, senior Israeli officials threaten to bomb
Iranian nuclear facilities.
Javed Veaidi, the deputy head of Iran's National
Security Council, said in the first week of February when the IAEA meet
was on that if his country were referred to the Security Council, the
proposal to move Iran's uranium enrichment programme to Russia would stand
cancelled. Senior Iranian officials have once again said that they are
willing to negotiate directly with Washington on the nuclear issue. Ali
Larijani, Iran's top nuclear negotiator in Vienna, sent a written
communication stating that any referral of Iran to the Security Council
"would be the final blow to the confidence of Iran" in the IAEA.
Former Iranian President
Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani said that referring Iran to the Security Council
would be an "act of injustice and cruelty" that would undermine the
credibility of organisations such as the U.N. Russian and Chinese
officials have once again reiterated that they are against economic
sanctions being imposed on Iran by the Security Council on the nuclear
issue. Russia and China continue to insist that reporting Teheran to the
Security Council does not automatically mean the imposition of
sanctions.
After
the latest turn of events, the Security Council will have to wait first
for ElBaradei's comprehensive report on Iran's nuclear programme. The
report will be presented in the first week of March. ElBaradei said in the
first week of February that he had been told by the major powers that
sanctions on Iran were not on the cards. "All of them are saying that this
is simply a continuation of diplomacy," he added. ElBaradei told the IAEA
Board that Iran had one more month to extend full cooperation to the
international community. He told the media in Vienna that "we are reaching
a critical phase, but it is not a crisis".
Iranian President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad had vowed to resist pressure from the West. At a rally in the
town of Bushehr on February 1, he stressed that on the nuclear issue, his
country would resist until it fully achieved its rights. Foreign Minister
Manouchehr Mottaki had warned the IAEA that if Iran were hauled to the
Security Council, the country would immediately stop cooperating with the
U.N. inspectors and "eject" them from the country. Teheran has also
indicated that it will consider seriously the option of walking out from
the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and accelerating work on its nuclear
projects. The Iranians have reasons to be angry. President George W. Bush
had, in his State of the Union address in February, virtually called on
the Iranian people for help in effecting a "regime change" in
Teheran.
The way
India voted in Vienna will have serious repercussions in domestic
politics. The U.S. Ambassador to India, David Mulford, is known for his
blunt manner of speaking. He seems to have forgotten basic diplomatic
norms in the course of an interview he gave to the Press Trust of India
(PTI) in the last week of January. The interview was given at a time when
there was a national debate on the "Iran" issue and the India-U.S. nuclear
deal. The Left parties as well as many of the other leading Opposition
parties have been openly critical of the United Progressive Alliance (UPA)
government's handling of the two issues. Many of the parties supporting
the UPA government had even threatened to consider withdrawing support to
the Congress-led government on the issue.
Mulford, in his interview,
"made an observation" that if India did not vote with the West on Iran at
the IAEA Board meeting, then "the effect on members of Congress with
regard to this civil nuclear initiative will be devastating". Mulford was
referring to the opposition in the U.S. Congress to the nuclear
cooperation deal signed between India and the U.S. He emphasised that if
India did not vote with Washington and the European Union-3 countries
(Germany, Britain and France), Congress "will simply stop considering the
matter" and the Indo-U.S. nuclear deal "will die in the
Congress".
In the
course of the interview, Mulford also said that India's plans to separate
its civilian and military nuclear facilities were in fact "inadequate". He
said that Washington wanted more of India's facilities to be classified as
civilian so that they were subject to inspection. As recent events have
shown, the Indian government has given the "deal" its highest priority. It
is only the criticism from the Left parties and the debate that it
triggered that has made the government a little cautious in its headlong
rush to embrace the Bush administration.
In the face of the protests from almost all major
political parties, the government had no other option but to summon the
American Ambassador and officially convey the government's displeasure.
Indian Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran told Mulford that his remarks were
inappropriate. The U.S. State Department claimed that the American
Ambassador's statement had been taken "out of context". The American
reaction came in the wake of the domestic uproar. Mulford had in the same
week demanded that India open up unconditionally to foreign direct
investment.
The
Communist Party of India (Marxist) as well as the Bharatiya Janata Party
has demanded the recall of the Ambassador. The CPI(M) Polit Bureau, in a
statement, termed Mulford's comments as "a serious affront to India and
its sovereignty". The CPI(M) said that the government should issue a
categorical statement that India would not countenance a reference to the
Security Council on the Iran nuclear issue. The party also demanded that
the UPA government make public all details about the proposal regarding
the separation of civilian and military nuclear facilities. Surprisingly,
the BJP, which is known for its pro-American orientation, has called for
an all-party meeting to discuss Indo-U.S. relations.
Another illustration of the
American imperial overreach was the U.S. State Department's "aide memoire"
to the Indian government to protest against the decision to allow Oil and
Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) Videsh to purchase a stake in a Syrian
oilfield along with a Chinese company. The Bush administration has
included Syria, along with Iran, in its black list. U.S. Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice had earlier advised New Delhi publicly to desist
from going ahead with the gas pipeline project with Iran. It may not be a
coincidence hence that India's outspoken Petroleum Minister Mani Shankar
Aiyar was shifted out of the high-profile Ministry recently. Murli Deora,
who is known for his pro-business and pro-American proclivities, has
replaced him. From available indications, the Iran gas pipeline has
already been put on the back burner. In any case, Iran may not be in a
mood to oblige India after the latest vote in Vienna.
Southern Indian army chief begins Sri Lanka
visit Press Trust
of India Colombo, November 30|18:35 IST
The chief of India's southern army command today
called on Sri Lankan army commander and discussed matters of concern and
exchanged views of bilateral of interest, the defence minsitry here
said. Lt Gen B S Takhar is on a five-day
visit to Sri Lanka. According to the Defence Ministry, Takhar and Shantha
Kottegoda "discussed matters of concern and exchanged views on bilateral
matters of interest."
The
Indian commander also called on Sri Lanka's Chief of defence staff, Daya
Sandagiri, a naval officer, the Ministy said in a statement.
The visit comes amid changes
in the military leadership in Sri lanka following the victory of President
Mahinda Rajapakse who is expected to make several changes in the military
top brass.
India steps up security for missions in
Bangladesh Indo-Asian
News Service New Delhi, November 30, 2005|13:07 IST
India has stepped up
security at its missions in Bangladesh following militant threats to
Western embassies and is framing a long-term strategy to insulate itself
from a new wave of Al-Qaeda-inspired terror threatening that country.
"There is now a greater
preparedness to deal with these terrorist threats. We have been putting in
place a series of steps since the Aug 17 serial bombings in Dhaka," a top
official in New Delhi said.
The Indian mission in Dhaka was put on high alert
after a militant group claiming allegiance to the Al-Qaeda threatened on
Sunday to blow up Western missions in Dhaka, including that of the US and
Britain.
Security was
also stepped up at India's assistant high commissions in Chittagong and
Rajshahi.
Refusing to
disclose specific steps on the ground that they would impinge on national
security, the official said: "We have stepped up security in our high
commission. There is no threat to us as such, but we are tightening
security to be on safer side."
The threats could not be taken lightly as some
terrorists were spreading anti-India sentiments in Bangladesh, he
remarked.
"We are working
on a long-term strategy to deal with this new brand of terrorism that has
struck Bangladesh," one official said.
This strategy could include a move to strengthen
democratic institutions in Bangladesh through steps taken along with the
US. India and the US -- which is the largest foreign investor in
Bangladesh -- plan to intensify their efforts to promote democracy in the
region under the Global Democracy Initiative.
In a fresh spell of terror attacks on Tuesday, six
people were killed and 65 wounded by suspected suicide bombings in the
capital Dhaka and the port city of Chittagong.
The attacks have been attributed to militants who
want to convert Bangladesh into an Islamic state based on sharia (Muslim
law).
The August 17
strike, when some 500 small bombs went off across Bangladesh within half
an hour, bore all the hallmarks of an Al-Qaeda operation, said
intelligence officials. The bombings also highlighted the threat to
India's security interests in the region, they said.
This new brand of
fundamentalist terrorism inspired by the Al-Qaeda was steadily increasing
in Bangladesh with the active patronage of the ruling establishment, the
officials said.
The
ruling Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) led by Prime Minister Khaleda
Zia had aligned with fundamentalist outfits like the Jamaat-e-Islami and
the Islami Oikya Jote (United Islamic Front), they pointed out.
Indo-Lanka defence pact soon:
Natwar DH News
Service Colombo: Saturday, June 11, 2005
India has offered the Sri Lankan army an air defence
system to strengthen the Lankan air force.
Visiting External Affairs
Minister of India Natwar Singh said here on Friday that the proposed
Defence Co-operation Agreement between Sri Lanka and India “is in the
process of being finalised”.
“India and Sri Lanka already have extensive
cooperation in the defence field. The Defence Co-operation Agreement is in
the process of being finalised.
There are certain procedures to be followed and the
process is underway,” Mr Natwar Singh told reporters here on Friday after
the end of the sixth session of the India-Sri Lanka Joint
Commission.
Mr
Natwar Singh on Friday morning co-chaired along with his Sri Lankan
counterpart Lakshman Kadirgamar the sixth session of the India-Sri Lanka
Joint Commission, where both the countries have entered into two bilateral
agreements, on Small Development Projects and an exchange programme for
educational development.
Answering a question pertaining to the proposed
defence agreement, Mr Natwar Singh, who arrived in Colombo on Thursday on
a three-day official visit, said, “The Defence Co-operation Agreement
would be a framework for co-operation avoiding the regular exchanges
between our defence establishments, training of personnel and capacity
building.
“This is
a continuous process”.
Claiming that the government of India maintained “an
abiding interest in the security of Sri Lanka and remains committed to its
sovereignty and territorial integrity”, the visiting Foreign Minister said
India is always supportive “of seeking a comprehensive negotiated
settlement acceptable to all communities and reflecting the pluralistic
nature of Sri Lankan society within the framework of a united and
democratic Sri Lanka”.
Speaking at the joint press conference, Sri Lanka’s
Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar confirmed that India has offered an
air defence system to strengthen the Sri Lankan air force after reports of
the illegal acquisition of air capabilities by Tamil Tiger
rebels.
“Yes,
certainly, this is very much under discussion. We will accept it yes. We
are looking into ways and means as to when it can be done,” Mr Kadirgamar
said, there was no time frame set for the acquisition of such a system
from India.
President Chandrika Kumaratunga will host a dinner on
Saturday in honour of the visiting Indian foreign minister, who has
already held talks with Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapakse.
During his stay in Colombo
Mr Natwar Singh is also scheduled to meet leader of the Opposition Ranil
Wickremesinghe and other representatives of political parties, including
the four-party Tamil National Alliance (TNA) before leaving Colombo on
Saturday.
Indo-Lanka Defence Agreement draft
finalised [October 20,
2004 - 8.45 GMT]
The Governments of Sri Lanka and India yesterday
finalized the draft of the proposed Indo-Lanka Defence Agreement.
Some of the fields that
would be included in the agreement are military training, exchange of
military intelligence and information and maritime surveillance to prevent
illegal activities affecting both countries
A five member Indian delegation led by Additional
Secretary to the Indian Defence Ministry Ranjith Issar arrived in Sri
Lankan yesterday to finalize the draft which was on hold for more than a
year
All
Lankan eggs in Indian basket? The Island :10 November 2004
"The joint Indo- Sri Lanka
statement issued after the visit of President Chandrika Kumaratunga to New
Delhi and the proposed Defence Co-operation Agreement together with
complementary agreements such as on Pallaly Airport are being hailed in
all quarters here, except by the LTTE. There is much satisfaction because
such Indo-Lanka co-operation, it is considered, would be a positive
deterrent to LTTE terrorism breaking out again and would help resolve the
20 year- old North-East conflict.
The basic assertions of the Indo-Lanka joint
statement reveals that there are no fundamental changes in India’s Sri
Lanka policy and it is a reiteration of the former Indian position, even
when relations were at their worst. India being committed to the unity,
sovereignty, territorial integrity, their support for a negotiated
settlement and opposition to terrorism in all its manifestations, have
been stated in documents exchanged between the two countries much earlier
and even quite recently. What is new is the warmth, friendship, and
commitment of both countries to these stated objectives which are being
bolstered by the economic and trade ties such as the Free Trade Agreement
and more such agreements on economic co-operation in the offing.
The Indo- Sri Lanka Defence
Co- operation is being welcomed even by those who opposed the hegemonic
features in the Indo-Sri Lanka Agreement of 1987 because of the
militaristic threat of the LTTE in the North-particuarly in the Jaffna
peninsula. The Sri Lanka government is trapped in its own peace process
from opposing the LTTE’s military build up. The LTTE, all concerned are
aware, has been building up its military cadres and re-arming by smuggling
of arms during the entire period of this cease- fire.
A recent report by the
prestigious London based International Institute of Strategic Studies has
said that the LTTE has even acquired a light aircraft. On the other hand
the ‘international community’ involved in our ‘peace process’ does nothing
to halt this military build up and will howl if Sri Lanka commences rapid
arming of its forces. America helps in training the armed services and
perhaps may even provide some military intelligence but the European
nations involved are doing nothing to prevent contributions flowing in
from their countries into the LTTE war chest.
Thus, India whose security is being threatened on the
Southern flank by this terrorist organisation is the only foreign power
that will be committed to take on the LTTE militarily as it did in the
late 1980s. As the former Indian Defence Minister George Fernandes has
said: the security concerns of Sri Lanka are the security concerns of
India as well.
But all
this places Sri Lanka firmly in the Indian sphere of influence
circumscribing its defence strategies and limiting its foreign policy
options. It will no longer be have the freedom of action as it did as an
independent, non aligned nation when it permitted Pakistani troops to pass
through Sri Lankan ports from the west wing of Pakistan to the east wing
during the Bangladesh war. According to reports there appear to be some
hiccups about the agreement on the Pallaly Airport because the Indian
government wants to limit its use to Sri Lankan and Indian Forces only.
While such limitations will not be desirable in normal times, does Sri
Lanka now have another option than to grant India’s request?
Former Indian Prime Minister
Indira Gandhi made no bones about hiding Indian hegemonic desires in South
Asia and used the Sri Lanka Tamil insurgency to make Colombo toe the New
Delhi line. While Indians did realise its folly of using terrorism as an
instrument of foreign policy and fought LTTE terrorism later on, today’s
situation is that Sri Lanka has to depend on India to save its territorial
integrity.
Perhaps, as
some Indian political strategists maintain, no country is fully sovereign
and certainly small countries such as Sri Lanka can enjoy only limited
sovereignty.
But can Sri
Lanka place all its eggs in the Indian basket? New Delhi’s Sri Lanka
policy is also conditioned by the so-called Southern option—- central
coalition governments depending heavily on support of South Indian
parties, particuarly from Tamil Nadu. What would happen if a pro- LTTE
Tamil Nadu party begins to rock an Indian coalition government?
What is required now is
astute political leadership although the present incumbents are light
years away from it. The only option available appears to be the Superpower
or Hyperpower as it is now called. India too has its limitations when it
comes to relations with the United States. Could our leaders be smart
enough to use Lanka-US relations to influence India to our advantage? This
will indeed be a long shot considering what President Ronald Reagan’s
trouble- shooter General Walters told Colombo newsmen in 1987: ‘You settle
your problems with India, we will not interfere.’
Right now, there appears to
be no option but to place all Lankan eggs in the Indian
basket."
Making conditions right for Indo-Lanka
collaboration Jehan Perera
from Colombo
The visit of Pakistan?s Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz
to Sri Lanka came a less than a fortnight after two Pakistani naval ships
docked in Colombo harbour on a goodwill visit. The timing of these visits
may be coincidental. Mr Aziz?s visit was in his capacity as Chairman of
SAARC, a position currently held by Pakistan. He is presently on a visit
of several South Asian countries, including India. But the fact that the
two Pakistani visits come shortly after the visit by President Chandrika
Kumaratunga to New Delhi where she met with Indian leaders including Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh brings the proposed Indo-Lanka Defence Agreement
into focus. The question is against whom is this agreement targeted. Mr
Aziz for his part diplomatically declined to comment on this issue when in
Sri Lanka. Signing a Defence Agreement with India
appears to be one of the few matters on which there is bipartisan
political agreement in Sri Lanka. Former Prime Minister Ranil
Wickremesinghe also canvassed the matter with his Indian counterpart,
former Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee. An Indo-Lanka Defence
Agreement was part of the grand design of an ?international safety net?
that the former Prime Minister sought to put in place as a countervailing
factor to the concessions he was making to the LTTE on the ground.
However, the LTTE reacted very negatively to what it perceived to be a
grand coalition of world powers that would throttle it and render it
impotent in the end. They helped to precipitate the downfall of Mr
Wickremesinghe?s government. LTTE breaches of the Ceasefire Agreement
severely eroded the former government?s credibility as one that could
safeguard the integrity of the country. The
proposed Indo-Lanka Defence Agreement seeks to bring India?s military
dealings with Sri Lanka under one framework. It seeks to systematise the
military training, sale of military equipment and sharing of information
that already take place between the two countries. India is now by far the
biggest trainer of Sri Lankan military personnel. The proposed defence
agreement would, however, see an increased role for India as a supplier of
military equipment to Sri Lanka. But perhaps the most significant aspect
is that the combined impact of formalising the Indo-Lanka military
cooperation would be that Sri Lanka would enter into the realm of having a
?special relation? with India that would clearly bring the country within
the Indian sphere of control. This could be a blow to Sri Lanka?s
traditional defence-related allies in the region, of which Pakistan and
China take the leading place. General belief So far the only publicly pronounced unhappiness shown
by any party to the proposed Indo-Lanka Defence Agreement has come from
the LTTE and Tamil political parties. During the tenure of former Prime
Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, the LTTE?s chief ideologue, Dr Anton
Balasingham, voiced his apprehension that ?A military pact with India
would encourage the Sinhalese political leadership to take a hardline
belligerent attitude towards the Tamils and eventually destroy the mutual
trust between the estranged communities which is a crucial factor
necessary for the consolidation and promotion of peace.? In his recently
published book, Dr Balasingham has spelled out the LTTE?s belief in their
cat and mouse relationship with India. The
mainstream Tamil media, which has been closely echoing the LTTE?s views on
matters that affect the overall strength of the Tamil polity in Sri Lanka,
have also taken a strong stand against the signing of the Indo-Lanka
Defence Agreement. One newspaper editorialised that ?India would have to
clarify whether the pact was aimed at scuttling the struggle of Sri
Lanka?s Tamils for substantial autonomy based on their right to
self-determination.? Another commentator accused India of ?fishing in
troubled waters of Sri Lanka to establish its economic and military
hegemony over the entire island.? This Tamil apprehension is that the
defence agreement would lead to a strengthening of the Sri Lankan
government?s military capacity and hence reduce its willingness to yield
or be politically accommodative to the LTTE?s negotiating position. Most Sri Lankans, on the other hand, do see India as
a bulwark against the LTTE and against Tamil separatism. It is believed
that India would never permit the division of Sri Lanka into two states
because this could inspire similar separatist sentiments in India,
particularly in Tamil Nadu state. India has had, and will continue to
have, its separatist movements in a number of states, such as Nagaland,
and they will continue to be resisted regardless of the status of Sri
Lanka. There is also a need to be sensitive about India?s domestic
pressures that can lead to India ignore appeals from its troubled
neighbours. Both the government and people of Tamil Nadu have in the
not-so-distant past been openly supportive of the Tamil struggle in Sri
Lanka. As the well-known maxim of international relations goes, states do
not have permanent friends but only permanent interests. In this context the memory of the dramatic events of
May 2001 cannot be far from the minds of Sri Lankans who uphold the
territorial unity of the country and oppose the division of the island on
an ethnic basis. It was in that fateful month that the biggest military
base in the Jaffna peninsula was overrun by the LTTE who then made their
way to the outskirts of Jaffna city itself. The Indian response to the Sri
Lankan government?s appeal for military assistance was lukewarm and was to
offer humanitarian assistance to evacuate the troops. In the end it was
military equipment from Pakistan that tilted the balance and enabled the
Sri Lankan army to turn back the LTTE and hold on to the northern capital.
If, in the realm of inter-personal relations a friend in need is a friend
in deed, it would be Pakistan that would count as nearest to a friend of
the Sri Lankan state in that time of need. India has not yet publicly
explained the constraints that held it back from acceding to the Sri
Lankan request for military assistance. Caution
warranted India?s constraints as a military ally
would be only one reason why Sri Lanka should be judicious in signing a
defence agreement with India when it has no external enemies. A comparison
with other defence-related agreements that India has signed, such as with
its other neigbours, Bhutan and Nepal, would reveal that India tends to
demand a high price in terms of exclusive relations. Sri Lanka has only to
look at its own Indo-Lanka Peace Accord that was signed in 1987. Letters
exchanged between the leaders of the two governments summarised Indian
concerns about Sri Lanka?s independent foreign policy where it touched on
India?s geopolitical concerns. They stated that ?both Sri Lanka and India
reaffirm the decision not to allow our respective territories to be used
for activities prejudicial to each other?s unity, territorial integrity
and security.? Indian concerns at that time pertained to the use of Sri
Lanka?s ports and airwaves by foreign powers. The
issue of Indian conditionalities when it comes to the signing of
military-related agreements has surfaced once again over the repairing of
military airport within the military complex at Palaly in the Jaffna
peninsula. Media reports indicate that the Sri Lankan government has been
considering an Indian request to grant India sole user rights of that
airport along with Sri Lanka, therefore creating a special relationship
that would exclude all other countries. In return India has offered to
repair the airport as a gift from India. The Sri Lankan experience in May
2001 raises the question whether accepting such a condition would be in
the best interests of Sri Lanka. Also as a democratic government that
seeks a negotiated settlement of the ethnic conflict there is a need for
the government to seriously consider the protests that emanate from Tamil
society as they are a part of the polity whose sentiments need to be
respected. On the other hand, there are important
reasons why India would wish to be more involved in Sri Lanka?s peace
process, which is heavily internationalised at present, with the US, Japan
and the EU playing important roles in it in addition to the Norwegian
facilitators. It is reasonable for India, as the big power of the region,
to be apprehensive about the entry of so many other big powers into a
region it considers its own backyard. However, if India is to play a
constructive role in Sri Lanka, it should find itself a role that would be
welcomed by all sections of the polity, by ensuring a win-win solution for
every one of them. Unfortunately this is the genius that India has failed
to show in the past in its dealings with Sri Lanka. The still-evolving
Indo-Lanka Free Trade Agreement could be the centre-piece of a new
relationship based on mutual benefit.
A document
of deviation JOHN
CHERIAN
The Framework Defence
Agreement between New Delhi and Washington signals India's continuing
shift towards a U.S.-led unipolar world and the UPA government's violation
of the Common Minimum Programme. Front
Line :Volume 22 - Issue 16, Jul 30- Aug 12, 2005
THAT the special
relationship between New Delhi and Washington was being elevated to an
even higher level by the Indian government became amply clear with the
signing of the Framework Defence Agreement. The 10-year agreement was
signed during the visit of Defence Minister Pranab Mukherjee to Washington
on June 28. "The United States and India have entered a new era," said a
statement issued after the signing of the agreement, which came three
months after Washington announced its intention to help India become a
"major world power". The two countries had signed the Next Steps in the
Strategic Partnership (NSSP) Programme in January 2004.
Before his departure to the
U.S., the Defence Minister had told the media that his visit was a routine
one. However, he returned with the agreement on "strategic partnership".
The Left parties were stringent in their criticism of the agreement. The
Communist Party of India (Marxist) said that the agreement was fraught
"with serious consequences for India's strategic and security interests"
and would have a "direct bearing" on India's foreign policy.
Not surprisingly, the only
major political party to support the agreement openly was the Bharatiya
Janata Party. In fact, Jaswant Singh, External Affairs Minster in the
BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government and currently a
senior spokesperson for the party on foreign affairs, claimed much of the
credit for the agreement. He said that the agreement was merely
"paperwork" implementing the understanding his government had reached with
the U.S. "What Pranab Mukherjee has done is to ink a document" to take the
present government on "the path that the NDA had first embarked on,"
Jaswant Singh told the media.
It is evident that a lot of diplomatic spadework,
much of it in a cloak-and-dagger fashion, was done prior to Pranab
Mukherjee's visit to Washington. Prakash Karat, general secretary of the
CPI(M), told Frontline that the agreement was signed in a "stealthy
manner". He pointed out that the Defence Minister who had said that he was
on an "exploratory visit", came back with a full-fledged agreement. "The
agreement does not augur well. It ties India to the strategic goals of the
United States in the region," Prakash Karat said.
In retrospect, the Indian
side seemed keen to sign on the dotted line in order to guarantee the
"success" of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's visit to Washington a few
weeks later. The agreement, a detailed and comprehensive document, talks
"about transforming" the relationship between the two countries on the
basis of "shared national interests". It lays great emphasis on the two
countries being among the "largest" democracies in the world. The Bush
administration wants India to play a key role in its mission to spread
"democracy".
The
U.S. seeks to impose Western-style democracy on the resource-rich states
of West Asia and Central Asia. Using the "democracy card", it seeks to
undermine Moscow's influence in East Europe and Central Asia. In capitals
such as Moscow and Beijing, "democracy" has become a buzzword for
"destabilisation" of their governments. What they most dread at this
juncture are more "democratic revolutions", supervised from Washington,
like the "rose" and "orange" revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine, which
brought pro-Western governments to power.
THE opening paragraph of the
agreement talks of "the vital importance of political and economic
freedom, democratic institutions, the rule of law, security, opportunity
around the world". Manmohan Singh also struck to the script written in
Washington by constantly emphasising on "shared democratic values" and
"civilisational" bonding between India and the U.S., during his
visit.
The more
substantive part of the agreement deals with defence cooperation. The
first defence cooperation agreement between the two countries was signed
10 years ago, when the Congress had a monopoly of power at the Centre. The
new agreement notes that in the past 10 years Indo-U.S. defence
relationship had "advanced in a short time to unprecedented levels of
cooperation unimaginable in 1995". The agreement goes on to state that the
new defence relationship "will be an element of the broader U.S.-India
strategic partnership". Its other key point pertains to the goal of
"defeating terrorism and violent religious extremism". More
controversially, the agreement states that the defence establishments of
the two countries will "collaborate in multinational operations when it is
in their common interests".
Prakash Karat pointed out that under the terms of the
agreement, both the military establishments have agreed "to collaborate in
multinational operations when it is in their common interest". There is no
mention that such multilateral operations will be under the auspices of
the United Nations. "It opens the way for Indian participation in
American-led military operations", he said. It is no secret that the
American establishment views China as the main threat in the region. "The
primary U.S. strategic goal is to isolate China," Karat said.
The CPI(M) leader said that
the Bush administration was also keen to rope in India into its missile
defence system programme for Asia. The American game plan for the Asian
region has become even more blatant after the release of the Pentagon
annual report on China in the third week of July. The report stresses that
China has long-term ambitions to extend its influence across Asia and its
leaders and it "may be tempted to resort to force or coercion more
quickly" to advance its security interests or resolve disputes.
The agreement states that
the defence establishments of the two countries "will expand collaboration
relating to missile defence". The NDA was among the first to welcome
Washington's decision to scrap the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty and
replace it with the missile defence programme. "The offering of the
Patriot missile system to India is a bait," Prakash Karat said. It is well
known that the U.S. Missile Defence System is targeted against China. It
is no surprise that its most enthusiastic backers are Japan and Taiwan,
the two closest allies of the U.S. in the region. The CPI(M) in its
statement said that the agreement came at a time when the U.S. was
actively working to prevent China from enhancing its defence potential.
"What is unstated in this agreement is the U.S. aim of containment of
China, using India as a counter-weight," the statement said.
Prakash Karat warned that
the U.S. offer for co-production of defence equipment was a ploy to open
the lucrative Indian defence market to the American military industrial
complex. The Bush administration is especially keen to sell F-16s to
India. "There is no talk of sharing high technology," Karat said. Under
the terms of the agreement, the two sides have also envisaged joint
patrolling of important sea-lanes such as the Malacca Straits. Karat said
that it was the prerogative of Asian states to cooperate to ensure the
security of maritime trade in the region. "Malaysia and Indonesia are
against the concept of joint patrolling." The member-countries of the
Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) have said that they would
jointly ensure the security of the sea-lanes and are against outside
powers stepping in. Karat feels that the eagerness of the U.S. to involve
the Indian Navy in the joint patrols is part of the larger game plan of
drawing India into the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI). Japan and
Australia are enthusiastic backers of the PSI in Asia.
Karat emphasised that there
was no mention of "collaboration with the U.S. on this scale" in the
Common Minimum Programme (CMP), to which the United Progressive Alliance
(UPA) government is committed. He said that the CMP highlighted the need
to pursue an independent foreign policy and promote multi-polarity in
international relations. "The Congress-led government may end up
dovetailing our military capabilities with that of the Americans," he
said.
Left leaders
have cautioned the government not to go beyond the "framework" stage of
the agreement.
DIPLOMATS belonging to several developing countries
are surprised by the Indian government's haste in initialling the defence
agreement with the U.S. "After this India will not be welcome in groupings
such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation. The agreement goes against
the principles of the Non-aligned Movement," said a senior diplomat based
in New Delhi. He said the agreement, besides bypassing the U.N., supported
the concept of "preventive action" propounded by the neo-conservative Bush
administration. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation has in fact demanded
that Washington set a date for dismantling its military bases in Central
Asia.
Pranab
Mukherjee insists that the agreement was designed merely to fill up
"critical gaps" in technology. In an interaction with the media he said
that the UPA government continued to follow an independent foreign policy
and that the agreement "to widen Indo-U.S. friendship in the important
sector of defence" was also part of this policy. "Through this framework
agreement, we have expanded and widened the relationship. Nobody is
forcing us to do something." Pranab Mukherjee said that the Congress
government headed by P.V. Narasimha Rao in the early 1990s started the
policy of strengthening relations with the U.S.
Manmohan Singh told the
media team accompanying him on his Washington visit that India's national
interests would not be compromised. Reacting to the criticism from the
Left parties, he said that he and the Congress were not willing to "take
lessons in patriotism" from other parties.
The present leadership in
the Congress has few foreign policy differences with the BJP. In fact,
some influential policy-makers in the present government are of the view
that the NDA government's cosying up with Washington and Tel Aviv when it
was in power was only a continuation of the foreign policy initiated by
the Congress in the 1990s, after the end of the Cold War.
Decoding the India-U.S. defence
tie-up Sandeep
Dikshit (The Hindu Tuesday, Jul 05, 2005)
Was the agreement on defence cooperation suddenly
sprung on Pranab Mukherjee when he arrived at the Pentagon? This is a
question that needs to be answered.
DID DEFENCE Minister Pranab Mukherjee and senior
Defence Ministry officials mislead the media and the country about the
significance of their American visit, which ended in the signing of the
"New framework for the Indo-U.S. defence relationship"? Would it not have
been fair for the Government to indicate the impendency of an arrangement
that could rework the country's security philosophy?
Before setting out for the
United States, Mr. Mukherjee did not want much significance to be read
into the visit. Emerging from the meeting of the Cabinet Committee on
Security that discussed his brief for talks with his American counterpart,
Donald Rumsfeld, and other senior State Department and Pentagon officials,
he said the trip was "exploratory" in nature. "I am not going with a
shopping list. This is a visit by an Indian Defence Minister to the U.S.
after a long time."
If it was only an exploratory visit, how did the two
countries end up signing a document obligating India to a defence
relationship some of whose provisions go against the tenets of its foreign
policy? These clauses include the intention to "collaborate in
multinational operations," "expand collaboration relating to missile
defence" and "assist in building worldwide capacity to conduct successful
peacekeeping operations."
Besides the fact that there were no discussions with
the supporting parties on the defence framework, which transcends the term
of the present Government, Mr. Mukherjee's briefing to the media after the
CCS meeting lost credibility when he concealed the main purpose of his
tour.
To be fair to
Mr. Mukherjee, most of the questions at the post-CCS meeting explored the
prospects of a mega arms purchase agreement. But at another briefing by
senior Defence Ministry officials hours before they boarded the aircraft
as part of Mr. Mukherjee's entourage, an official said: "We are not going
to open something that is closed but to build on the existing
relationship." "The invitation for the visit had come from the previous
Bush regime but the Defence Minister could not go as he had Parliamentary
commitments. So it was decided to utilise the gap between two Parliament
Sessions to make an exploratory visit," he added.
So, was the agreement
suddenly sprung on Mr. Mukherjee when he arrived at the Pentagon? This is
a question that needs to be answered.
Those in the know say that an agreement was in the
pipeline for "quite sometime." It was initiated when the previous
government was in office and some senior Cabinet Ministers from the
Congress party had their way by deciding to continue with its formulation.
They did not want the work on the defence framework to be made public for
"obvious reasons," meaning the fear of opposition from within the ruling
establishment and its supporting parties to continuing with the previous
government's urge to build a more abiding defence relationship with the
U.S.
In the
pipeline for long?
"It was in the works and is well prepared. Such a
thing cannot be conjured out of nothing. It seems to have been processed
carefully," says the former Foreign Secretary, Shankar Bajpai. He believes
the reason for the secrecy was the need to fine-tune the clauses and
points out that no Government will reveal such an agreement in advance. As
for discussing the broad contours with the allies and supporting parties,
he points out there is no past precedence of negotiating an element of
broader strategic partnership with another government through the
public.
The
supporting parties and a large section of the strategic community feel
otherwise. They had banked on the United Progressive Alliance Government
adopting an operating style different from that of the previous
government, of encouraging debate and discussions on broad aspects of the
country's approach to regional security. Instead of opening to the public
the hitherto closed process of evolving a new defence paradigm, the new
Government has sustained the old approach.
Indo-US Defence Agreement: Impact on India's
Neighbourhood
Article no. 1782 Date 7 July 2005 ,IPCS* Mathew
Joseph C Fellow, Centre for Strategic and
Regional Studies, University of Jammu
The Defense Agreement signed by India and the US on
28 June 2005 is of historic significance. Known as the New Framework for
US-India Defense Relationship (NFDR), it extends the Agreed Minute on
Defense Relations signed between the two countries in 1995. The NFDR will
continue for the next ten years; it envisages that both countries will
cooperate in fighting terrorism, curbing the proliferation of Weapons of
Mass Destruction, strengthening their respective militaries, enhancing
defense related research and development, and collaboration in
multinational operations.
The NFDR is a forward step in the strategic
partnership between the two countries, and is a great recognition accorded
to India by the sole superpower in the world. According to them, this has
occurred because of the tectonic shifts that have taken place on the
strategic horizon. In line with this thinking, the US will support India's
aspirations to become a member of the UN Security Council. We can easily
conclude that it is out of political compulsions that the US has entered
into this agreement with India.
The present agreement conforms to the long-term
strategic calculations of the US. The end of Cold War suddenly removed its
'other' from the scene. However, the American strategic planners needed
the presence of an 'Other' to maintain its pre-eminent position in the
world. This led to the invention of new enemies like 'Islamic
fundamentalism' and China. In the US strategic framework, India is ideally
placed to be an ally in its conflict with these new enemies.
There is considerable
ideological convergence between the current neo-conservative strategic
thinking in the US and the ultra-nationalist strategic discourse in India.
Both are virulently anti-Muslim, and share the view that an emerging China
would be a threat to their respective national interests. It is
interesting that, despite a change in government, the mainstream Indian
strategic thinking continues to follow the ultra-nationalist worldview.
India may not gain much from
this agreement in the longer run. There is a stark contradiction between
the unilateral approach of the US and India's multilateralism. It will be
difficult to reconcile these two diametrically opposite principles in
international politics. Pragmatism cannot obliterate such fundamental
contradictions.
The
impact of NFDR on India's neighbourhood will be negative. Both China and
Pakistan have already expressed their concern and anxieties about this new
development. The smaller countries in South Asia will also not feel
comfortable with the new Indo-US camaraderie. The fragile peace in South
Asia will certainly become a casualty. The current normalisation process
between India and China will also be adversely affected by the new
agreement. China will be suspicious of a major power like India drifting
towards its strategic adversary. This could hamper the progress in the
ongoing negotiations on the border dispute between India and
China.
Unlike
China, Pakistan will be greatly worried about the developing friendship
between India and the US. Pakistan's position as the 'major non-NATO ally'
of the US will not be of much solace. The insecurity complex that Pakistan
suffers vis-a-vis India will automatically increase due to the NFDR.
Pakistan's strategic experts have already pointed out that the NFDR will
result in the undoing of the delicate strategic balance in South Asia.
Hence, Pakistan will also be compelled to acquire more sophisticated
state-of- the-art weapons to counter the strategic imbalance caused by the
signing of the NFDR by India and the US. This could lead to a renewed arms
race between India and Pakistan.
The NFDR has the potential to derail the present
peace process between India and Pakistan. The major strides taken by both
countries in their bilateral relations during the last two years might
evaporate as a result of the Indo-US agreement. In other words, enlarging
American intervention in South Asia is not good for the stability of the
region.
As a regional
power, India needs to understand its geo-strategic limitations. It is
important that it reassures its nervous neighbours. This does not mean
that India must sacrifice its national interests for peace and tranquility
in its neighbourhood. However, India must not forget its potential and
limitations in becoming a 'great power'. In this context, the NFDR will
not be beneficial to India. It will make India a pawn in larger US
strategic designs despite the rhetoric of common interests and values
being shared by both countries. Furthermore, it will create suspicions and
misunderstandings about India in South Asia. (*IPCS: Institute of peace and conflict
studies)
India
Seeks New Relationship With U.S. - After Coming Out of the Nuclear Closet
"When India came out of the
closet as a nuclear power, the Indian government made a huge and important
shift in its politics, from ambiguity to clarity," Dr. Raja Mohan, a
nuclear physicist, told JINSA leaders in a November 16 meeting. Mohan and
Mr. S. K. Singh, former Indian foreign secretary and long-time Indian
representative to the United Nations, held an informal presentation on the
Indian view on the nuclear tests, the sanctions and the future. Both
stressed that because of the shift in politics, India is now seeking a new
relationship with the United States. Mohan,
strategic affairs editor for The Hindu(one of India's largest newspapers),
said the five Indian underground nuclear tests in May 1998 made an
important change in both the global and the regional nuclear
question.
Singh
emphasized too that the Indian attitude towards the global nuclear
export-control mechanisms has changed. Historically, India opposed arms
limitations such as export-controlling mechanisms, because India would
have profited from such exports, he said. "Today, however, we are willing
to cooperate with these institutions." India is beginning to emerge as a
major exporter of nuclear technology. For instance, they have exported one
hundred tons heavy water to South Korea, and have the potential to export
small reactors to various states, Singh maintained.
The contradiction, however,
is that India still is subject to trade restrictions, Singh continued.
"The United States is saying 'fine, don't export, but we're not going to
make you a member of the nuclear regime.'"
Mohan said that the
differential treatment India is receiving from the world community is
unfair. "India will abide the rules of the nuclear regime if the U.S. just
will let us in," he said. He also pointed out the different American
approach to China. India, unlike China, which violates MTCR, scrupulously
abides by the nonproliferation regime and is not rewarded. "The United
States deals very differently with China and India when it comes to export
issues, which is a sore spot in New Delhi," Mohan said. He related that
because of the severe bans on trade with the Indian nuclear programs; the
sale of all American goods, including items as innocuous as toilet paper,
are prohibited. "There seems to be an overriding philosophy that giving a
pin to the Indian Atomic Agency is threatening to the balance of power,"
he said.
Mohan also
raised the concern that the nuclear regime character is not evaluated in
the U.S. "The non-proliferation regime is flawed. India is democratic and
China is not; China is a proliferator and India is not; China escapes
sanctions and India does not."
At the end of the Cold War, the world faced new
realities, Singh continued. "Today, the non-proliferation world is
deteriorating fast, with new powers and new technologies emerging. In this
environment, the U.S., the only remaining superpower, is insinuating that
India should [live in the past] and ignore the real world," Singh
said.
The economic
sanctions imposed on India after the May tests are believed by India to be
manifestly unfair, Singh said. "The U.S. has lifted the sanctions on
Pakistan. But they can't do the same for us, because our economy is doing
well at the moment," he said. Mohan and Singh agreed that New Delhi has
been penalized because the Indian economy is doing much better than the
Pakistani economy. "Must the Indian economy decline and reach Pakistan's
level before we will get help from the U.S.?" the two asked.
The effects of the sanctions
on India will not have a deep impact in the long run, because of the
country's former emphasis on independence in economic politics, Mohan
said. "In the short term the sanctions will have an impact due to the
general decline in world economies," he said. "India has now a five to six
per cent GDP growth rate, but we really need a seven or eight percent
growth per year, so we are definitely facing some uncertainty in the short
term."
Singh said
the technology sanctions have forced India to do all research and
development on her own. "Remember, India has the largest number of
civilian remote-controlled satellites in space." Although the United
States over the years has imported Indian technology, it has not been
exporting technology to India. And now, Singh and Mohan claimed, the
United States is starting to pressure Israel, with whom India has had good
technical trade relations, to buy their products elsewhere.
Over the past ten years
India has undergone changes in its outlook on the world, Singh and Mohan
contended. "Prior to 1989, the India that pursued non-alignment and the
G-77 globally," Singh said, "was also an India that followed socialism and
self-reliance. In 1989, we came to the realization that socialism was not
effective anymore, and we appraised globalization after that." Today,
India is not wedded to socialism or multilateralism, but prepared to
embark on more bilateral oriented policies, Singh said.
Back in 1947 when India won
her independence, it was important for the nation to consider the balance
of power game in the region, Mohan said. "As a newly independent country
India was not ready to jump straight into a new relationship, where India
would be the junior partner. So that is a way to look at the non-alignment
strategy we pursued," he said. "It was a way for India to maximize its own
room between the two power blocks. After 1991, however, things have
changed, and on a basis of common interests India will negotiate with
anyone." He continued: "India is becoming a 'normal' power; it has matured
as a modern state, and is past the phase of rigid
'independence'."
Regarding India's relations with Pakistan, Singh and
Mohan said that India is not worried about Pakistan alone, but is
concerned by the Pakistan-China relationship. They also pointed out that
the U.S. and India have a common interest in the future of Pakistan.
"Where Pakistan is going in the next ten years is a concern for both us
and you," Mohan said. "The 'Talebanization' of Pakistan, the decline in
the elite classes, and the concern that people will turn to the extreme
side of Islam, is a problem for all parts concerned in the region," he
said.
U.S. Ends
Sanctions
The
Clinton Administration announced on Dec. 2, 1998 that it waives the
economic sanctions against India and Pakistan, the Washington Times
reported. The lift in sanctions came about only six months after the
nuclear tests that set off the punishment on the two countries. The
announcement followed after a meeting between President Clinton and the
Pakistani Prime Minister Mohammad Nawaz Sharif, during which Clinton urged
the Pakistanis to sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.
Indian left out of step over US
exercises By Siddharth
Srivastava Asia Times: South Asia Nov 11, 2005
NEW DELHI - India's left
parties' antipathy toward the United States has reached new
heights.
The Indian
military, known to stay neutral vis-a-vis the politics of the country, is
facing the ire of pickets organized by left parties angry over mock
exercises between the Indian Air Force and its US counterparts.
Protest leaders say the plan
is to assemble 500,000 pickets across the country. The exercises are
ongoing this week in the state of West Bengal, a left bastion.
Initial reports suggested
protestors were distracted by the amazing array of aircraft on display,
instead of going about their job. But the mood changed as more than
150,000 slogan-shouting communist activists assembled and thousands more
began pouring in to demonstrate against the "American military presence".
Huge contingents of police have been deployed, but so far the protest has
been peaceful - though the left is known to orchestrate rallies that turn
violent.
In a
conciliatory statement, the US Air Force has said the left protest against
the Indo-US military exercise is an example of freedom of speech and
expression in a democracy. "One of the reasons we serve in the military is
to preserve freedom of speech in a democracy," said Colonel David Cannon,
Pacific Air Force's public affairs director. Pacific Air Force is the
sponsor of the joint exercise, codenamed "Cope 05".
The left is a crucial
coalition partner to the Congress Party-led government in New Delhi,
without whose support it cannot survive. It is the first time Indian
pilots have encountered the vaunted F-16 fighter planes in India, and also
the first time in decades that a military airbase is facing the brunt of a
political protest. Observers say that a rally of this scale only occurred
prior to India's independence in 1947.
The exercises were conceived almost two years ago as
part of thawing relations between New Delhi and Washington, which
previously had held back sending F-16s to India out of fear of a reaction
from Pakistan. This is the third such exercise, though Indian and American
forces have been engaged in mock exercises for more than a decade. More
than 250 US air force personnel along with equipment, including a dozen
F-16s, have arrived at the Kalaikunda airbase in West Bengal.
Though Indian pilots are
facing American F-16s from the Misawa base in Japan, the Indian Air Force
had held an exercise with Singapore's F-16s earlier this year. Established
in the 1940s, the Misawa base is Washington's main military buffer against
Beijing in the sensitive Pacific arena to defend Japan.
Prime Minister Manmohan
Singh last week sought personal assurance from the chief minister of West
Bengal, Buddhadeb Bhattacharjee (who belongs to the left), that state
law-enforcement agencies would ensure that protests did not get out of
hand. According to reports, the federal government threatened to invoke
the National Security Act that allows unlimited powers to maintain
internal security. However, the state government promised that the protest
will be "peaceful".
Still, this has not prevented the high-decibel,
anti-US rhetoric the left parties are known for. At the protest site, a
stone's throw from the barbed enclosure of the air force base, a left
party leader said: "The days are not far when we will have red [US] flags
flying over this airbase and at other airports in the country. Who can
tell for sure that the US forces will not take over this air force base
should they find it to their liking? As many as 130 countries in the world
have American military bases."
Veteran left leader and former chief minister of West
Bengal, Jyoti Basu, has been quoted as saying: "We are totally against
such joint military operations. It is unfortunate that the government
seems to be getting into the clutches of the Americans."
In a statement from New
Delhi, the left parties supported the call to hold demonstrations at the
Kalaikunda airbase, emphasizing that they were not happy with ongoing
talks between New Delhi and Washington for a "big arms purchase" from the
US, which could include F-16 fighter aircraft. "The missile defense
cooperation negotiations are also being held. The deepening military
collaboration does not augur well for India's strategic interests and
independent foreign policy."
Fearing mass protests against the military exercises,
a US Embassy statement in Kolkata clarified: "These developments do not
compromise India's sovereignty or independence. These are arrangements
between two equal, important partners who look to the future and
understand what some of their shared values and objectives must
be."
The left has
been critical of the growing military ties between India and US, including
the defense pact signed between the two countries in July.
India and US inked a 10-year
defense agreement, titled the "New Framework for the US-India Defense
Relationship", which was signed by Defense Minister Pranab Mukherjee and
his US counterpart, Donald Rumsfeld. The agreement is vast in scope and
envisages a broad range of joint activities, including multinational
operations, strengthening the two militaries to promote security and
defeat terrorism, and deepening capacity to take on the proliferation of
weapons of mass destruction.
A prominent left party said in a statement the pact
would only help serve US strategic goals in Asia and "was fraught with
serious consequences" for the country's strategic and security interests.
"If this agreement is carried forward, India will be placing itself in the
same category as Japan, South Korea and Philippines, all traditional
military allies of the United States."
The protests against military ties are an extension
of the overall antipathy of the left parties to the US. It may be recalled
that they have been protesting against steps by the Manmohan Singh
government to unshackle the economy (which they refer as capitulating to
"consumerism" and "imperialism" of the US) as well the "agenda" to take
Indo-US relations to new heights. Examples include deals relating to
nuclear energy and military cooperation.
Of note, no protests occurred during military
exercises with Russia, and the left has always supported New Delhi's moves
to build relations with Beijing.
But while some analysts say the left parties operate
in a time warp, the fact is the Manmohan Singh government cannot survive
without their support. And, they have managed to slow down or force the
government to renege on many decisions. And they pressure the government
on numerous fronts.
There has been virulent criticism of the Indian
government's support of the US and European Union at the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) for their stance against Iran due to its
insistence on pursuing an independent nuclear program.
In another attempt to
pressure New Delhi on Iran, the left parties extended support to Natwar
Singh, who was forced out this week as foreign minister after being
accused by a UN report of taking bribes in the oil-for-food program from
the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq. According to reports, the deal was that
the left would back Natwar in exchange for his support of Tehran. Noting
the importance of the left, senior Iranian diplomats in India have also
been seeking out left leaders to press Tehran's point of view.
Also, the left parties have
stalled attempts to remove foreign investment restrictions in retail that
are being actively lobbied for in New Delhi by US giant Wal-Mart. The left
has also protested against moves at privatization of public sector
companies. Recently, a countrywide protest was organized against the
private sector taking over management of the country's airports.
Government employees and the section of unionized labor form a
considerable support base and are capable of holding the nation to ransom
if they wish.
Meanwhile, direct action by taking to the streets
against the growing military ties with the US will come as another shocker
for a government that is feeling increasingly suffocated by the demands of
the left parties.
There have been significant steps toward military
cooperation between India and the US, with Washington also eyeing India's
huge arms purchases scheduled over the next few years, in a bid to
modernize the forces. New Delhi has been actively courted by the US in the
recent past, with the country for the first time offering its complete
range of weapon systems and platforms last year.
Indian and US forces joined
in the northwest Arabian Sea for India's largest-ever naval exercise. The
10-day "Malabar-05", which concluded last month, involved more than 10,000
officers and sailors from the two nations. It was the first time that
aircraft carriers and fighters from the two navies exercised
together.
The
Pentagon is extending an invitation to New Delhi to witness the first
flight next year of one of Washington's most ambitious and classified
fighter aircraft, the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. This is an important
gesture as India is not a partner country in the multi-billion dollar
project. US Army personnel are also learning from the Indian Army's
experience of combating insurgencies over the past 50 years, including
recent operations at Kargil and Kashmir, to combat the situation in
Iraq.
Indeed, the
US wants to engage India independently and move beyond the traditional
hyphenation of US-India-Pakistan relations toward being a strategic
partner to fend off China. This is the first time in the history of
India-US relations that the US is looking toward India beyond the axis of
Cold War nations, when India was seen to be allied closely with the former
Soviet Union.
Although the US has upped the supply of F-16 jets to
Pakistan to 80 fighters, given Islamabad's supposed cooperation in the
"war on terror", Washington has been looking to deal with India
independently, as evidenced by the nuclear deal between the two, which
seeks to recognize India as the sixth atomic power nation.
However, the left parties
have other ideas. By taking to the streets once again, the differences
between the Congress-led government and its main coalition partner has
only become shriller.
Siddharth Srivastava is a New Delhi-based
journalist.
Sri
Lanka Military Commitment Not in India's Interests Analysis - by Ranjit Devraj
NEW DELHI, Nov 11 (IPS) -
While India is ready to enter into a 'defence cooperation agreement' with
Sri Lanka, it is wary of being drawn into any military involvement in the
island nation's two decades-old civil war that has seen violent strife
between ethnic Tamils and the Sinhalese majority - leaving over 60,000
dead on both sides.
And that explains the delay in the signing of a
formal defence agreement that was at the heart of Sri Lankan President
Chandrika Kumaratunga's four-day visit to India last week.
According to Prof. S. D.
Muni, South Asia expert at the Jawaharal Nehru University (JNU), the
two-year peace talks between Colombo and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil
Eelam (LTTE) are stalemated. For that reason, he said, Kumaratunga's
government was keen to beef up military preparedness with Indian
support.
''The Sri
Lankan government does not want to initiate a conflict but would be
interested in deterring the LTTE from starting one. And the Tigers look as
if they are on the brink of launching another offensive,'' Muni told
IPS.
Colombo held
six rounds of talks with the Tigers between September 2002 and March 2003.
But in last April, the rebels abruptly pulled out of negotiations
demanding recognition, first, for the right to self-rule before proceeding
any further.
Kumaratunga's India tour preceded a three-day visit
to Sri Lanka, that started Wednesday, by Norwegian Foreign Minister Jan
Petersen in a new bid to revive the peace talks that were supposed to
follow a ceasefire that Oslo successfully brokered in February
2002.
Petersen who
was scheduled to hold discussions with both Kumaratunga and the reclusive
LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran in the rebel stronghold of Kilinochchi
has already made it known he did not have high expectations over the
outcome. The envoy said he merely wanted to ascertain whether the two
sides ''wished to move towards resuming negotiations.''
Colombo, too, seems to be in
an intractable position.
According to former Indian army general A.S. Kalkat,
the difficulty for Kumaratunga's government lay in the fact that the LTTE
had become a 'de jure' power in the north and east of the island and was
running every aspect of civil administration in the areas within its
control.
A veteran
of India's military intervention in the Jaffna peninsula to help implement
the 1987 Indo-Sri Lanka Peace Accord -- which ambitiously provided for the
disarming of the formidable LTTE -- Kalkat said the new defence deal would
essentially be a reiteration of the older one minus its military
commitment.
Kalkat,
who currently chairs the independent U.S.-based International Council on
Conflict Resolution, said despite the failure of the Indian army to disarm
or even subdue the Tigers, India remained the only power capable of
influencing the course of the current peace talks.
''The Norwegians mean well
but their role is limited to that of honest broker and the LTTE is keenly
aware that they do not have the power (unlike India) to underwrite any
arrangement,'' Kalkat told IPS in an interview.
In 1987, the Tamil Tigers
reluctantly accepted the peace accord under Indian pressure. Under the
accord, a new north-eastern provincial council was formed and the Indian
army was deployed as peace keepers in the north and east.
However, differences between
India and LTTE soon surfaced and led to clashes between Tiger guerrillas
and the Indian peace keeping force (IPKF). About 1,200 Indian soldiers
were killed during this phase of the conflict.
India had to pull back its
forces from Sri Lanka in 1989 following the election of Ranasinghe
Premadasa, a strong critic of Indian mediation.
Last June, an international
initiative led by Japan to persuade the LTTE to come back to the
negotiating table failed despite an aid package offer of 4.5 billion U.S.
dollars.
Japan's
special envoy, Yasushi Akashi, who called for tangible progress in the
peace process before the money would be released, came back from visits to
Colombo and Kilinochchi in early last November a frustrated man. He
complained about the ''visible lack of progress'' and reaching an impasse
in talks with both sides.
The Tigers' chief ideologue Anton Balasingham sniffed
at the proposal saying that ''a solution to the ethnic conflict cannot be
pre-determined by the resolutions or declarations of donor conferences,
but has to be negotiated by the parties in conflict without the
constraints of external forces.''
But there are strong hints in the country that a new
Indo-Sri Lanka defence deal could be in the making. And this has already
drawn protests from the Tamil National Alliance (TNA) which was backed by
the LTTE in the April general elections held in Sri Lanka.
''Tamils feel that the
proposed defence agreement between India and Sri Lanka would encourage
Sinhala rulers to prepare for another war abandoning the current peace
process,'' TNA member of parliament P. Sithamparanathan was quoted as
saying in a statement.
She added that recent visits to the island by India's
top military brass including Army Chief Gen. Nirmal Chander Vij have
''caused apprehension among Tamils that preparations are underway for
another war in the island.''
But Kalkat pointed out that India would be
ill-advised to be involved again, militarily, with Sri Lanka if only
because it still had to consider the sentiments of 45 million ethnic
Tamils in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu - separated from Sri Lanka's
Jaffna peninsula by the narrow Palk Straits.
Apart from the 1,200 Indian
lives lost in 1987, the IPKF was immensely unpopular not only in Tamil
Nadu and the Jaffna peninsula but also among the Sinhalese majority who
considered it a violation of their country's sovereignty.
The best option, now, under
the present difficult circumstances is for Colombo to do its own dirty
work although New Delhi can always be counted on to render good
neighbourly help because of the shared belief that religion, ethnicity and
language cannot be the basis for secession.
In any case, Kalkat puts it
succinctly: ''There cannot be a military option to what is a political
situation.'' (END/2004)
India
pulls Sri Lankan strings By Ramtanu
Maitra Asia Times
A two-pronged intervention by India and the United
States over the past several days has helped avert a full-blown crisis in
Sri Lanka, following President Chandrika Kumaratunga's peremptory sacking
of three cabinet ministers - including the powerful Defense Minister Tilak
Marapana - as well as the dismissal of parliament and a day later the
imposition of a nationwide emergency.
Kumaratunga's actions, which have all the earmarks of
a coup attempt, coincided with Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ranil
Wickremesinghe's meeting with US President George W Bush in Washington.
The crucial White House meeting was to secure formal US support for the
peace-process to end the two-decade-old ethnic war between the Tamils and
Sinhalas of Sri Lanka, and to enhance trade and economic ties with the US.
The meeting took on added significance as it followed similar meetings
Wickremesinghe has recently held with the heads of state of Japan, India
and the European Union.
By November 5, in response to growing international
concern over the future of the peace process, Kumaratunga pledged her
commitment to the ceasefire between the government and the Liberation
Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), and declared that she had no intention of
"resuming or provoking" hostilities with the rebels. But it is no secret
that her actions are a deliberate strike at the Norwegian-brokered peace
efforts and the ceasefire that has been in force for some time.
Two days later, on November
7, Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee told Kumaratunga that India
was "anxious" about the recent political developments on the island, and
that a constitutional crisis must be avoided. The peace process needs to
continue, he told her, and a solution to current problems found through
"internal political dialogue". That same day, Kumaratunga called for a
"grand alliance" of all "national and patriotic forces", and backed down
on the declaration of a state of emergency.
India's advice had also been
delivered by the US, which in addition withheld the signing of the free
trade agreement that had been slated for the Washington visit. Later, to
underscore that instability would not be tolerated, the US announced that
joint US-Sri Lankan military exercises were to continue as
scheduled.
The
upheaval in Colombo may eventually lead to an attempt to form a new
government under the People's Alliance, backed by Kumaratunga. In the
meantime, however, the danger is that with the prime minister ostensibly
weakened and Kumaratunga's credibility already low, the most aggressive
factions within both the Tamil and the Sinhala communities will find in
the president's moves an open invitation to provoke a violent showdown.
India's ability to weigh in critically and constructively in the current
turmoil is testimony to the progress New Delhi has made in reshaping and
deepening ties with Sri Lanka.
Behind New Delhi's constructive role Over the past few years, the relationship between New
Delhi and Colombo has improved dramatically. Today, the Delhi-Colombo tie
is a privileged one, based on total trust and willingness to cooperate on
each side. Moreover, India's present-day policies toward Sri Lanka have
Washington's open endorsement.
Speaking to rediff.com on November 3, US Deputy
Secretary of State Richard Armitage said it is up to India whether to play
a "catalytic role" in the Sri Lankan peace process. Expressing concern
over the on-going violence in Sri Lanka, Armitage said: "The overwhelming
interest we have is one of humanity. And that is the development of Sri
Lanka. We want this island - this nation of over 20 million - to be a
full, complete partner in the economic life not only of South Asia, but of
the globe. We see no reason why Sri Lanka can't be an engine of growth in
South Asia and I look forward to the day when it will be."
US support to bringing Sri
Lankan security under the Indian umbrella was evident when the USS Sides
(FFG 14) completed port visits to Cochin, India and Colombo in May. At the
time, USS Sides commander Octavio Manduley issued a statement saying, "The
United States shares many common interests with India and Sri Lanka as
well as the other countries of the Indian Ocean region, including mutual
security and the prosperity of our people. Port visits like these two help
contribute to those goals."
Along with security concerns that India and Sri Lanka
share, Armitage was referring to the recent strengthening of the Indo-Sri
Lanka relationship with a qualitative boost in economic ties - a
development identified with Wickremesinghe.
In 1998, India and Sri Lanka
signed a free trade agreement (FTA). Despite India's reluctance to sign it
at the time, the accord was inked because of the Sri Lankan initiative.
Under the agreement, India vowed to eliminate tariffs on 1,000 Sri Lankan
products over a period of three years, and Sri Lanka promised to do away
with tariffs on 900 Indian products within eight years. The development
was hailed by a section within Sri Lanka as a "landmark agreement" because
it provided Sri Lankan manufacturers with access to the vast Indian
market.
But others
in Sri Lanka criticized it, fearing a danger of downsizing and closures
with resultant mass unemployment and a setback to indigenous technologies.
However, the success of the FTA became visible within a short period of
time. According to recent statements by Central Bank of Sri Lanka Governor
A S Jayawardena, there has been a huge improvement in two-way trade
between India and Sri Lanka since the FTA was signed. He views it as a
prospective model for similar agreements, not only with countries in the
South Asia region, but elsewhere. For instance, Sri Lanka has signed a
preliminary agreement with the US, and a final agreement is expected in
the near future.
"Even a small country can have an advantage over a
large country because of specialization," Jayawardena points out,
discussing the accomplishments of the FTA. Likewise, Indian industry was
worried about products from Sri Lanka flooding the market. That also did
not happen. The genius of Wickremesinghe was in realizing the essence that
economic relations could be increased multifold, and made a precursor to
the much broader regional economic cooperation which has so far eluded the
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in its two
decades of existence. The Sri Lankan prime minister's vision is for
regional economic integration through free trade, shared infrastructure
and expanded physical connectivity across borders. On paper, all seven of
SAARC's member nations - Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal,
Pakistan and Sri Lanka - are committed to such an agenda.
Economic partnership The fast growing economic and trade ties between Sri
Lanka and India were given a boost when the prime ministers of the two
countries formally received the first two copies of the reports of the
Indo-Lanka Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) in New
Delhi last month. A decision had been taken in June 2002 to expand
economic ties from the current trade in goods to cover new areas of
economic cooperation. The two prime ministers appointed an India-Sri Lanka
joint study group in April to make recommendations for the establishment
of a partnership. Its report subsequently pointed out that entering into a
comprehensive partnership agreement would take the two countries to a
qualitatively new level of engagement.
The CEPA replaces the existing trade agreement, which
was restricted to a list of goods for trade between the two countries and
covers a very wide spectrum of trade and economic areas such as service,
aviation, transport, tourism and investment. In fact, the agreement in
general allows the two countries to enter into broad negotiations covering
all service sectors and modes of supply within the GATT framework.
Besides, it facilitates greater investment flows by addressing identified
regulatory and operational constraints, helps implement measures to
enhance economic cooperation, and paves the way for trade and investment
liberalization.
In
addition to the economic ties now enhanced, Sri Lanka has indicated that
it is most likely to award oil and gas exploration rights off the island's
northwest coast to India's Oil and Natural Gas Corp.
"We feel that Indian
companies will be at an advantage, especially in the Cauvery Basin,
because they are familiar with the region," Daham Wimalasena, chairman of
Ceylon Petroleum Corp, said recently. Records indicate that Sri Lanka had
carried out a drilling exploration program more than 20 years ago, but did
not find any oil. Now, Wimalasena concludes, the government cannot afford
further drilling.
The peace process The moves
to enhance bilateral economic relations between India and Sri Lanka were
not being carried out in a vacuum. They were triggered at a time when
international efforts were afoot to bring about a political solution to
the two-decade-old ethnic hostilities in Sri Lanka. They took place also
at a time when New Delhi was pushing hard to develop concrete economic and
investment ties with Southeast Asia, East Asia, China and the SAARC
nations. In addition, India, too, has endorsed the peace moves.
It is no secret that
Wickremesinghe's three official working visits to India since his
government came to power in December, 2001 have brought about a sea of
change in Indo-Sri Lankan relations. It is widely acknowledged both in
Colombo and in New Delhi that the Sri Lankan prime minister considers
relations with India one of the cornerstones of his foreign, economic and
national security policies. In fact, whether it is publicly admitted by
Colombo or not, the Sri Lankan government has long realized that the peace
process between the Tigers and Colombo is a non-starter without
acknowledging the fact that India is a vital component of the process. In
recent months, the Europeans and Americans have also made clear India's
importance in working out a solution of the Sri Lankan imbroglio.
It is widely known by now
that in the 1980s, particularly during Indira Gandhi's regime, India
harbored and trained Tamil Tigers, and provided operational intelligence
to the LTTE. There was a time when the Tigers used Tamil Nadu, the
southernmost Indian state of some 55 million Indian Tamils, as a sanctuary
for Tamil opposition groups, including the LTTE. It was pointed out by Sri
Lankan analyst Gaston de Rosayro that as late as 1996, New Delhi had
warned Colombo that a former south Indian-based militant group had been
attempting to mobilize political support among radical groups for the
Tigers. But it became evident later that the overtures by the Tamil
Nadu-based Eelam National Democratic Left Front to garner support for the
Sri Lankan guerillas had had little impact on the Indian Tamils. The
goodwill that the Sri Lankan Tamil extremists once enjoyed among Indian
Tamils had evaporated like a bottle of camphor during the 1990s. This
development provided New Delhi with a mandate to act tough against the
Tigers, but without taking recourse to vengeance.
Sri Lanka recognizes that
India has been circumspect throughout the last 20 months of peace talks
between Colombo and the Tigers. By not demanding extradition of Tiger
supreme Velupillai Prabhakaran, who has been tried in absentia in India
and found guilty of the murder of former Indian prime minister Rajiv
Gandhi, at an early stage of talks, New Delhi paid heed to Colombo's
concerns on the sensitive extradition issue. Colombo feared that a demand
for extradition of Prabhakaran by New Delhi would preemptively collapse
the peace talks.
Security concerns New Delhi
appears to be aware at this point that it cannot afford to perpetuate yet
another serious security problem in the neighborhood. According to
analysts in Colombo, Wickremesinghe's official visit to Delhi last month
was not only to strengthen economic ties, but also to establish formal
military ties constituting a defense pact.
As the joint statement
issued subsequently said: "The two prime ministers discussed the ongoing
cooperation in training and supply of equipment to the Sri Lankan defense
forces, and agreed that the two sides will commence discussions with a
view to conclude a defense cooperation agreement at the
earliest."
Wickremesinghe reportedly pressed for the signing of
a Defense Cooperation Agreement. India is understood to have kept the door
open for discussions on the matter at an appropriate time, as reported by
the Delhi-based news daily, The Hindustan Times. It is a moot question
whether Kumaratunga's sudden act was to bring about an end to that
process.
On the
other hand, it should be noted that although there had been no formal
agreement between New Delhi and Colombo on joint naval surveillance, the
two countries joined hands during these 20 months to put up a joint naval
blockade across the Palk Strait, which separates Sri Lanka's northernmost
tip from the Indian state of Tamil Nadu. This blockade was aimed at
preventing the Tiger cadres from running guns and drugs, ferrying the
Tiger cadres and smuggling in fuel from the Indian coastal areas.
It is evident that no matter
what New Delhi and Colombo work out as a security arrangement, the vital
Tamil issue will be subsumed within it. Those in Colombo who find it
difficult to accept the growing power of India in the region will
eventually come to recognize that the huge Indian republic cannot allow
the festering of an on-going security problem on its threshold.
India's priority on
resolving the Tamil-Sinhala conflict reflects the international
convergence on security issues. Recent reports from the US embassy in
Colombo indicate that about 30 US Air Force experts have begun a joint
survey of Sri Lanka's airfields to assist their local counterparts with
their security, medical and engineering needs. For the past eight years or
so, the Tigers have claimed that Sri Lankan troops were being afforded
extensive combat-training in the southern Wirawila district, where US
Special Forces have set up a sophisticated military training camp. The
Colombo government, while maintaining a diplomatic silence on the issue of
foreign intervention, had not denied any of the rebel
allegations.
In
reality, the US is not only involved in training the Sri Lankan military,
but is also selling military hardware to Colombo. Despite the measures
undertaken by Colombo, India is aware that the Tamil Tigers remain a
potent force. In mid-October, Defense Minister Tilak Marapana admitted
that the Tigers "have gradually crept in and established a stronger
foothold". As a result of this aggressive posture by the Tigers during the
period of ceasefire, Colombo has increased defense outlays in its budget
and made some procurements from Russia, China and Israel to update
equipment for the military.
The threat posed by the LTTE was also addressed
recently in the United Kingdom, which had long been the international
headquarters of the Tamil Tigers. Recent reports indicate that the Tigers
are in the process of winding down operations in London in the wake of
tough UK anti-terrorism laws. Sri Lanka has conveyed its "serious
concerns" to South Africa that the violent separatist group may shift its
headquarters there. "The South African government has been forewarned
about this possibility and they have taken this question on board," said
foreign ministry spokesman Ravinatha Aryasinha.
Tamil Nadu bans CPI (Maoist) Press Trust of India Posted
online: Wednesday, July 13, 2005 at 1237 hours IST
Chennai, July 13: The Tamil
Nadu government today banned Communist Party of India (Maoist) for
indulging in unlawful activities, an official release said here.
The party, formed in
September 2004 with the merger of two banned Naxalites parties --
Communist Party of India (Marxist Leninist), popularly known as People's
War and Maoist Communist Centre of India - both of which were proscribed
by the Centre and Tamil Nadu government.
"The party was banned as it was indulging in
'unlawful activities, maintaining links with other banned extremist
groups, circulating handbills, pasting handwritten posters containing
seditious slogans, calling upon the people to pursue the path of violence
and had involved itself in violence and in criminal cases and causing
terror among the people," the release said.
The party, through seditious
literature, wall writing, posters and pamphlets had been inciting and
encouraging its members to use criminal force and violence against
government machinery, it said.
Speech of Prakash Karat
At The Public Meeting Held By the Left Parties
“New Framework For The India-US Defence
Relationship” On July 8,
2005
The framework
agreement on India-US Defence Relations signed in Washington recently is a
major step to harness India to serve the US strategic goals in Asia.
The Indo-US military
collaboration began in January 1992 during the Narasimha Rao government.
An India-US Army Executive Steering Committee was set up. This was
followed by the setting up of the Joint Steering Committee of the two
navies. Joint naval exercises were conducted in 1992. In 1994, the Joint
Steering Committee of the two air forces was set up.
The Indo-US Military
Cooperation Agreement was signed in 1995. This agreement, the first of its
kind, provided for officers of the Indian Armed forces being sent to the
United States for training programmes, staff exchanges and joint
exercises.
The BJP-led
government took forward the military collaboration to the level of a
strategic alliance. This was in keeping with the Vajpayee government’s
declaration that India was a natural ally of the United States.
After the interruption
caused by the sanctions imposed by the United States after the Pokhran
explosion in 1998, the BJP-led government proceeded rapidly to cement a
strategic alliance with the United States. This involved regular joint
exercises between the defence wings of the two armed forces and resumption
of the International Military Exchange and Training (IMET) Programme for
the Indian armed forces.
The BJP-led government offered port and airport
facilities for the US armed forces when they began their military
operations in Afghanistan after the September 11 terrorist attacks. The
Vajpayee government was disappointed when the United States decided to
make Pakistan the frontline state and ally. The BJP-led government
redoubled its efforts to make India act as a junior partner for the US
strategic interests in the region.
It is in this period that the Indian government
allowed the FBI to set up its office in Delhi. It was the first country to
welcome the National Missile Defence programme announced by President
Bush. The BJP-led government agreed to use Indian naval ships to escort US
ships through the straits of Malacca.
The current agreement takes this strategic and
military cooperation further. There are four major features which stand
out and which are not in India’s security and strategic interests.
Firstly, the agreement says
the two defence establishments will “collaborate” in multinational
operations when it is in their common interests. There is no mention of
the United Nations auspices for such operations. By this clause, India has
accepted the US concept of multinational operations in third countries
without UN mandate. It is well known that such operations such as the
multinational force in Iraq are commanded solely by the United States
military. The UPA government should explain what are the multinational
operations outside the purview of the United Nations in which India can
participate with the United States.
Second – the agreement states that both countries
will expand collaboration relating to missile defence. It is well known
that the United States is actively trying to build a missile defence
shield by drawing in Asian countries as part of its National Missile
Defence system. Japan has already agreed to be part of the system.
The United States cannot be
offering the Patriot missile system without expecting India to be part of
this overall missile defence system.
One should remember that in the 1990s the United
States sought to prevent India developing its missile defence system. Two
instances can be cited. In 1992 the US pressurized Russia to cancel the
sale of the cryogenic rocket engines to India by threat of sanctions
against the Russian space agency, Glavkasmos. In August 1993, the USA
alongwith G7 countries issues a diplomatic note to India not to deploy the
Prithvi missiles and to stop the Agni programme.
If the United States is
today offering the Patriot missile system to India, it is only with the
motive of interlocking India in its missile defence system.
India and the United States
have gone beyond just talking about ballistic missile defence. In a report
in The Hindu dated 9th October 2004 by Amit Baruah, an interview to the
October issue of Force magazine by David Mulferd, the US Ambassador to
India has been cited. “Asked if he saw the possibility of the two
countries going beyond merely talking about such defences, the Ambassador
was quoted as saying, `Yes, I think that is what is under discussion now.
There has already been a discussion about technology and systems.’ Do you
think that ballistic missile defences would destabilize the entire region?
No, the Ambassador responded, stressing that these were defensive systems.
`The only problem that I see is that it is a technically complicated
subject and there are different generations of systems available. So the
issue is to figure out which system is needed where. This is a complicated
process.’ Mr. Mulford said.”
Third, the agreement talks about shared security
interests in protecting free flow of commerce via land, air and sea lanes
alongwith preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction and
associated materials, data and technology. It is unfortunate that the UPA
government does not view security issues in Asia as those which can be
discussed and resolved among the Asian countries but seeks to advance US
interests in the region. For instance, the security of the sea lands is an
issue in which the US has already involved the US Navy in the Malacca
straits.
It is
significant that Malaysia and Indonesia took the stand that they can
cooperate with Singapore to ensure the security of the sea-lanes in their
region when the later proposed to involve the United States. The
formulations in this section seek to involve India in the proliferation
security initiative sponsored by the US. The US has set up a Regional
Maritime Security Initiative (RMSI) in which Australia and Singapore are
participants.
The
littoral states of the straits of Malacca are Malaysia, Indonesia and
Singapore. Both Malaysia and Indonesia are opposed to the introduction of
external armed forces in guarding the Malacca straits. Unlike Singapore,
which wants the involvement of the US, the two countries have been
advocating a joint regional initiative in the ASEAN.
The Chief of the Indonesian
navy stated in January 2004 that “Indonesia deems it not necessary to
include troops from outside countries including the United States – to be
involved in safeguarding the strategic waterway” (Jakarta Post, June 17,
2004)
Fourth – the
prospects for co-production of defence equipment is mentioned. This is
clearly meant to llure India to buy F16 fighter planes and open the market
for US weaponary. But we find no specific commitment on lifting the curbs
on supply of high technology which has been raised by India
continuously.
The UPA
government should know the track record of the United States in using
weapons supply as a political tool. Time and again the US has cut off
supplies or imposed sanctions through decisions of the US Congress or the
administration whenever it perceives a country as not willing to accept
its policies and strategic goals.
The United States wishes to see India as its reliable
ally like Japan, South Korea and Philippines. That is why it offered to
station an Indian officer in the Pacific Command and the Central Command.
The demand that India should have a position in the Central Command was
being made by the BJP-led government and the pro-American strategic
experts. Further, the agreement displays USA’s interests to make the two
armed forces compatible for joint operations through
“inter-operatability”
The
UPA government in its Common Minimum Programme has committed to pursue an
independent foreign policy and promoting multi-polarity in international
relations. Regarding the United States, the CMP states, “Even as it
pursues closer engagement and relations with the USA, the UPA government
will maintain the independence of India’s foreign policy positions on all
regional and global issues.”
Can the Defence Minister and the UPA government
explain whether this agreement is in consonance with this approach in the
CMP?
Indo-US defence
agreement comes at a time when the US is actively working to contain
China. It is pressurizing the European Union not to lift its embargo on
supply of arms to China. Donald Rumsfield the US Secretary of State has
recently in Singapore voiced concern about China’s defence expenditure and
acquisition of arms. The United States does not see China has a strategic
partner but as a strategic rival. In contrast, the US approach manifested
in this agreement is to prop up India as a counterweight.
It is clear that India will
be given concessions only if it plays the role the US has designated for
it in its global and Asian strategy.
The Union Defence Minister Shri Pranab Mukherjee
before leaving for the United States told the media that he is going on an
“exploratory” visit. If such an “exploration” has resulted in this
agreement, one shudders to think of what will be the outcome of a
substantive visit.
This
agreement has come just before the first official visit of our Prime
Minister to Washington this month. There are apprehensions. The government
is anxious to get US support for the permanent membership of the Security
Council. The Government should be warned not to give further concessions
to the United States.
The
stand of the Left parties on defence, security and foreign policy issues
is resented by the BJP. L.K. Advani had warned the UPA government not to
allow the communists to meddle in security matters. This was stated when
we protested against the Chief Minister of Assam saying that the FBI is
welcome to investigate the bomb blasts in the state last year. Advani had
justified the FBI being involved in such enquiries. After all, this is the
gentleman who in 1999 welcomed the first India-US joint naval exercises.
And this is the gentleman who was the first home minister to pay a visit
to the CIA headquarters at Langley. It is not surprising, therefore that
the BJP has welcomed this agreement wholeheartedly.
We are rejecting the
contention that the Left cannot have any say in security, defence and
foreign policy issues. It is our intervention that rallied the opposition
against sending troops to Iraq at a time when the Vajpayee government was
on the verge of deciding to do so. We shall not hesitate to express our
opinion. Matters of security, defence and foreign affairs cannot be
treated as a holy cow and kept away from public debate and scrutiny.
The framework of the Indo-US
defence relations should be rejected. Let it remain just a framework
skeleton. It should not be fleshed out.
Gunning for peace in South Asia By Siddharth Srivastava Asia Times South
Asia Aug 13, 2005
NEW DELHI - Two recent defense-related happenings in
India and Pakistan are of note. Pakistan has test-fired its first cruise
missile, which India believes cannot happen without the help of the
Chinese. Second, there are revelations of a quiet but steep climb in
India-Israel defense relations, despite stiff competition from Russia,
France and United Kingdom, the traditional big suppliers to India. The US,
which has opened its arms arsenal to India, is expected to give Israel
stiff competition.
The two developments in Pakistan and India are
inter-linked. They show that despite confidence-building measures, peace
talks, synergies in the Iran-Pakistan-India oil pipeline and the recent
breakthroughs in trade-related matters, India and Pakistan continue to
stockpile arms, and suspicions refuse to subside.
While some of the sources of
defense inputs and material to Pakistan may be unknown (with indicators
pointing towards China and North Korea), India is not averse to finding
new partners and upgrading its weapons systems. The Israelis are known for
cutting-edge equipment and fit the bill to modernize the Indian armed
forces.
Many
experts believe that Pakistan wants to quickly upgrade its weapons systems
in response to India's burgeoning defense relations with Israel and the
US, with their state-of-the art weapon system. The Chinese are more than
willing to oblige as they are never comfortable with India rising
militarily without an effective check by Pakistan. China's fears have been
compounded by the new-found bonhomie between India and US.
The share of India-US arms
relations is expected to pick up in the future as discussions have only
begun. In June, a 10-year defense agreement titled the "New Framework for
the US-India Defense Relationship", was signed between Defense Minister
Pranab Mukherjee and his counterpart Donald Rumsfeld. The US has offered
joint production of weapons, apart from sales, that sets the tone of a
long-term relationship.
India miffed India is
predictably miffed with Pakistan successfully test-firing its first cruise
missile this week, joining a select band of nations that have developed
the ground-hugging projectiles. President General Pervez Musharraf hailed
the launch of the Hatf VII Babur, which is capable of carrying nuclear
warheads, as a "major milestone" in the country's defense
program.
Experts in
India insist that Pakistan does not have the know-how to build cruise
missiles which, unlike ballistic missiles, do not leave the atmosphere and
are powered and guided throughout their flight path. In an interview,
former chief adviser (technology) of the Defense Research and Development
Organization, K Santhanam, said: "China is peddling at least two types of
cruise missiles in the international market ... My assessment is that this
Pakistani missile is of Chinese origin, with a label change."
The US-backed Missile
Technology Control Regime prevents the proliferation of missiles capable
of delivering a 500-kilogram payload over distances of 300 kilometers and
more. Although Musharraf hailed his scientists and engineers who "have
once again done the nation proud by mastering a rare technology", experts
in India believe that Pakistan's missile program has the secret backing of
China and North Korea. The 750-kilometer range Shaheen-I and
1,500-kilometer Ghauri-I ballistic missiles are believed to be derivatives
of the Chinese M-9 and North Korean Nodong missiles
But it is clear that
Pakistan's bid to induct cruise missiles as well as pile up ballistic
missiles is an attempt to balance India's declared intentions to
incorporate a ballistic missile defense (BMD) system either from Israel or
the US. India is already examining offers for the American Patriot-3 and
Israeli Arrow-2 anti-ballistic missile systems. The BMD system can be
effectively checked by cruise missiles.
Apart from inducting the Agni-I (700-800-kilometer
range) and Agni-II (2,000-kilometer-plus range) ballistic missiles, India
has its own cruise missile BrahMos, with a 300-kilometer strike range. The
Indian navy is already inducting the BrahMos, which is believed to be
similar to the American Tomahawk cruise missiles widely used in Iraq and
Afghanistan.
Curiously, Pakistan did not give any prior warning to
India of the cruise test, despite a recent agreement between the two to
notify each other before missile tests and to set up a hotline to prevent
an accidental atomic exchange. The deal only referred to ballistic
missiles and not to cruise missiles, for which there was no agreement,
Pakistani Foreign Ministry spokesman Muhammad Naeem Khan said.
The India-Israel
nexus There is reason for Pakistan to
modernize its weapons systems, by any means. It is estimated that India
will purchase arms to the tune of $15 billion over the next few years.
This will include fighter jets, submarines, tanks and technological
advancements.
This
week, Mukherjee put a figure to the rising defense ties between India and
Israel. The fillip to India-Israel defense relations happened under the
previous Bharatiya Janata Party administration of Atal Bihari Vajpayee,
but the current dispensation under Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has kept
up the tempo. Israel has now overtaken France, the UK and other countries
to become the second-largest defense supplier to India. The value of
military arsenal works out close to $1 billion each year for the past
three years.
Russia
remains India's biggest defense partner, notching over $1.5 billion every
year due to the deeply entrenched relations between the two countries that
hark back to the Cold War era. Three-quarters of the equipment in use by
the armed forces is of Russian origin, requiring spares and maintenance.
However, it is increasingly becoming apparent that the breakup of the
Soviet Union has had its impact, with Russia unable to keep up with the
latest upgrades in technology.
This major chunks of the modernization efforts of the
Indian armed forces are now being sourced from Israel. One of the biggest
deals has been the $1.1 billion contract signed in March 2004 for three
Phalcon early warning radar and communications systems to fulfill the air
force's long-standing demand for AWACS (airborne warning and control
systems). Israel is supplying the latest technology that ranges from Green
Pine radars and Barak anti-missile systems to Searcher-11 and Heron UAVs
(unmanned aerial vehicles) and ship-borne electronic warfare systems. A
major project is in place to modernize the Indian army, which includes
night-vision capabilities, Tavor-21 5.56mm standard assault rifles, Galil
7.62mm sniper rifles and advanced VHF radios.
The Mukherjee-Rumsfeld
agreement in June this year is also expected to open up new vistas for
India. The deal is extremely vast in scope and envisages a broad range of
joint activities, including engaging in multi-national operations,
strengthening the two militaries to promote security and defeat terrorism,
and deepening capacity to take on the proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction. A new panel called the defense procurement and production
group has been established to oversee defense trade and a joint working
group will carry out a mid-year review to be overseen by the US-India
defense policy group.
Peace may be the motto of the Indo-Pakistani talks,
but there is no letting up on the arms race.
Siddharth Srivastava is a
New Delhi-based journalist.
Closer Sri Lanka-India economic and defence
ties By Wije Dias
(WSWS) 3 November 2003
The recent visit by Sri Lankan Prime Minister Ranil
Wickremesinghe to India points to the broader economic and strategic
interests involved in the current attempts to restart negotiations to end
the country’s longrunning civil war.
Wickremesinghe and Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari
Vajpayee issued a joint statement after meeting in New Delhi on October 21
announcing plans to expand economic cooperation and to formalise defence
ties between the two countries. The plans were broadly hailed by big
business and the media in Colombo, which senses an opportunity for carving
out a key role for Sri Lanka in the region—in alliance with India and the
United States in particular.
A Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, based
on a statement already prepared by a joint committee, is scheduled to be
signed in March 2004. The proposal will widen the existing free trade
agreement, dealing with goods, to include services and to facilitate
greater investment flows between the two countries. The initial deal,
which became operational in March 2002, has already significantly lifted
trade between the two countries.
The latest agreement is another boost to
Wickremesinghe’s plans to transform Sri Lanka into an investment and trade
hub for South Asia, in order to resuscitate the economy after two decades
of devastating war. The ruling United National Party (UNF) government
released its “Regaining Sri Lanka” program in May, setting out ambitious
economic restructuring proposals aimed at slashing the public sector and
transforming the island into a South Asian equivalent of Singapore.
Already there is a flurry of
economic activity in Colombo. The major five star hotels are booked out,
with business delegations from around the world engaged in trade fairs,
business conventions and marketing forums. Free trade agreements are being
negotiated not only with India, but with the US, Pakistan and Singapore.
Investors have their eye on the potential profits to be made from
rebuilding Sri Lanka’s infrastructure and exploiting the country’s supply
of cheap, educated labour, as well as turning Sri Lanka into a base for
regional operations.
The
Wickremesinghe-Vajpayee statement also called for closer defence ties,
declaring: “India will maintain an abiding interest in the security of Sri
Lanka and remains committed to its sovereignty and territorial integrity”.
The defence secretaries of the two countries will meet in the near future
to establish the basis for a Defence Cooperation Agreement. Defence ties
have already been growing—last year India trained over 2,000 Sri Lanka
security personnel as compared to just 700 in the year 2000.
But these growing defence
and economic ties could rapidly unravel if a peace deal is not reached
between Colombo and the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE).
Wickremesinghe’s trip to India came just 10 days before the LTTE released
its proposals for an interim administration in the north and east of the
island, as the basis for restarting stalled negotiations.
The joint statement was
aimed at maximising pressure on the LTTE prior to the announcement of its
proposals. It reiterated that any interim arrangement should be within
“the framework of the unity and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka”—firmly
ruling out the LTTE’s previous demands for an independent statelet. The
two prime ministers also called on the LTTE to ensure that its plan for an
interim administration be “reasonable and comprehensive.”
In a thinly disguised
warning, the statement called for “concerted opposition to terrorism,”
adding that “there can be no justification for terrorism, be it political,
religious or ideological.” India, along with the US and a number of other
countries, has formally branded the LTTE as a terrorist organisation.
Taken as a whole, the declaration indicates that India intends to play a
larger role in Sri Lankan affairs, including using its considerable
political and military muscle to pressure the LTTE to reach a deal with
Colombo.
The LTTE reacted
sharply to India’s implied threat. An editorial in the pro-LTTE Tamil
Guardian warned that “Wickremesinghe’s public courting of Delhi has struck
a raw nerve and revived unpleasant memories.” It accused the Sri Lankan
prime minister of attempting to “coerce the LTTE into a political solution
as opposed to co-operatively negotiating one.” The paper also accused
Wickremasinghe of “turning what ought to be a process of conflict
resolution into one of military blackmail.”
Indo-Lanka Accord
The reference to “unpleasant memories” is a reminder
of the last time that India intervened directly into Sri Lanka, after the
signing of the Indo-Lankan Accord in 1987. Under the deal, New Delhi
dispatched 150,000 troops to northern Sri Lanka, ostensibly as a
peace-keeping force. But the intervention rapidly became a debacle.
The real aim of the Indian
“peacekeepers” was to disarm the LTTE and stabilise the shaky Colombo
government. Fighting broke out in the north between Indian troops and LTTE
fighters, while in the south the government came under intense pressure
from a Sinhala chauvinist campaign against the Indian presence. In 1990,
President R. Premedasa called for India to remove its military forces from
the island.
For the last
decade, Indian governments have been wary about any involvement in Sri
Lankan affairs. New Delhi refused to come to the assistance of the Sri
Lankan military in May 2000, when LTTE forces overran the strategic
Elephant Pass and trapped the bulk of the army on the tip of the Jaffna
peninsula.
India’s new
involvement in Sri Lanka flows, in part, from its growing economic and
defence ties with Washington. The Bush administration has called on the
Vajpayee government to play a more active regional defence role in South
Asia, which lies adjacent to three areas of US strategic interest—China,
Central Asia and the Middle East. The US has been pushing for an end to
the Sri Lankan conflict, which has long been a destabilising influence in
the region.
In a report
to a US Congressional Committee on October 29, US Assistant Secretary of
State Christina Rocca declared: “Increasingly intensive Indo-US
counterterrorism cooperation reflects the closer relations that the United
States seeks across the board with India.” At the same time, Rocca kept up
the pressure on the LTTE, declaring that the US would continue to
designate it as a terrorist organization, even though it has kept to the
20-month ceasefire with Colombo.
For his part, Wickremesinghe has sought to ingratiate
himself with the Bush administration in return for US assistance in
bringing the LTTE to heel. During the recent UN General Assembly session,
the Sri Lankan prime minister used his speech to openly endorse the
criminal US occupation of Iraq, declaring “the US and its allies had no
choice but to intervene.... the failure of the United Nations has created
the need for a world policeman.”
As Wickremesinghe headed off for talks in Washington
this week, the UNF government announced that Sri Lankan engineers and
medical staff would join the US occupation forces in Iraq. The UNF
government obviously calculates that this token force will help to further
strengthen ties with the Bush administration.
Wickremesinghe’s official visit to Washington is the
second in just over a year. Prior to that, no Sri Lankan prime minister
had been received at the White House for more than two decades. It is a
sure indication that strong US pressure is being exerted behind the scenes
to ensure that a deal is eventually consummated between the LTTE and
Colombo, in line with Washington’s broader economic and strategic plans
for the region.
India
insists on giving the people of the North and the East the choice to merge
or to de-merge -TNA
Thu,
2006-09-28 12:29
Colombo, 28,
September, (Asiantribune.com):India might be forced to take appropriate
action in case the Government in Colombo attempts to de-merge the North
and East without consulting the people of these two regions and without
holding a referendum on this issue, according to Tamil National Alliance
delegates who met high official sources in New Delhi last week.
According to a newspaper
reports published in Jaffna, Delhi officials have also expressed
suspicions to the Tamil National Alliance delegates about behind-the-scene
efforts by extremist groups in the South of the country to demerge the
North and East.
Recently a delegation of the Tamil National Alliance
went to New Delhi on the invitation of the Indian External Affairs
Ministry. This issue of de-merging the north from the east, after it had
been merged for the last 18 years, was taken up for discussion.
According to reports the
Delhi officials had said:
"North and East of Sri Lanka are the homeland regions
of the Tamils. Without the approval of the peoples’ of these two regions
and without conducting a referendum, the homeland region of the Tamils
should not be demerged. This is the position of India.
"The Indo-Sri Lanka Accord
resulted in the 13th amendment to the Sri Lanka Constitution which made
provisions for the merging of the North and East. Therefore, it cannot be
arbitrarily de-merged.
"While India maintains that Sri Lanka should never be
divided it also maintains that North and East should never be demerged. In
case North and East are demerged, India may be compelled to take actions
that may not be in any way favorable to Lanka. All aspects remain opened
to take necessary action.
"The same view of India has been very clearly
indicated in diplomatic parlance in the last report to the leaders of the
Sri Lanka’s donor conference held in Tokyo.
"Therefore New Delhi believes firmly that Colombo
will not take any hasty or irresponsible decision on a subject that has
been already been notified to the international community," according to
the TNA delegation.
Source – Uthayan - Jaffna based pro-LTTE Tamil
Daily- Asian Tribune
-
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