Perplexed
by Placebo |
"....and that becomes, sort of, true menopause." |
From the FDA public hearings on the relabeling of non-contraceptive estrogen drug products; October 18, 1999: The Reproductive Health Drugs Advisory Committee discussed the types of tests required to allow a drug to claim they are effective for hot flashes. Currently, estrogen drugs are recommended only for moderate to severe hot flashes. They describe "moderate to severe" based upon frequency and severity as follows:
When developing testing protocols, the study must show a clinically significant difference when compared to a placebo in post-menopausal women. Menopause is defined as 12 months without a period, or six months without a period with an FSH greater than 40 "units" and estradiol less than 20 "units." Subsequent to this discussion on how to "define" menopause is an admission by the panelists that
NB: No agreement as of October 1999 what the definition of "menopause" is by laboratory tests, or even the value of any of the blood assays that are currently used as "menopause" tests. But you already
knew that from reading asm. From the FDA hearings October 1999: For a drug to be recommended for control of hot flashes, the testing 1 must be as follows, according to the new FDA proposed guidelines:
NB: trials conducted under this protocol have found that the placebo arm works as well as the "low- dose" estrogen levels, and that the "high-dose" estrogen levels only reduce hot flashes approximately one or two more a day compared to the placebo. The FDA recommends estrogen drugs be only used for 3 months when attempting to reduce hot flashes- then terminated. The panelists recognized this was not the "real world" practice and realized that the long term safety of these drug products has not been adequately tested. The panelists recommended the need for these drugs be reassessed every 3 months and that endometrial biopsies be done every 3 months to ensure the health of the endometrium. One woman panelist said endometrial biopsies done every 3 months was not realistic. Debate ensued. NB: These are the people deciding when, if and how estrogen drug products are to be used in your body. The researchers are still perplexed as to why placebo results in such a high degree of success when tested against estrogen drug products and what this placebo effect does to analyzing study data. Joan Example study testing (.pdf file - see page 5) |