Atlanta Falcons



2003-04 CDM FANTASY HOCKEY PREVIEW - WINGERS


ATLANTA DUO WILL BE SCORING



2002-03 SALARIES AVAILABLE NOW


NOTE: This preview was written before the car accident involving Dany Heatley. Unfortunately my comparison of Heatley to Michael Vick became way too real. My thoughts and prayers go out to Dany Heatley, Dan Snyder, their families, and the Atlanta Thrashers organization and fans. - KAC


Until breaking a leg in a pre-season game, much of the pre-season fantasy football buzz last month concerned an Atlanta quarterback with electric skills who is just blossoming into a superstar. Today, it is a different sport but the same concept, as the Atlanta Thrashers have a pair of their own emerging stars who will take the ranks among the leagues leading scorers in 2003-04. Since goals are five points (as opposed to three for assists) in the CDM game, it is best to have a mass collection of snipers at your disposal while making the wingers the focal point of your team, regardless of price. Power wing combos such as Naslund/Bertuzzi, Hejduk/Tanguay, and Heatley/Kovalchuk can single-handedly lead the way to a quantum-leap in your fantasy league standings. Here are the best bets for this season.


BEST VALUES

Dany Heatley (ATL � 3250) � 89 points, including 41 goals in only his second season in the league. But that only tells part of the story as he finished with 15 goals and 30 points in his final 20 games. Multiply that by four and you have the potential for a 60 goal/120 point season. A must-have at this price.

Ilya Kovalchuk (ATL � 2760) � Only 20 years old and he goes 6�2�, 235 � just wait till he fills out a little more. Like Heatley is entering his third year and is coming off a 38 goal, 67 point season (81 games). Finished at �24 last year, but only �4 after January 3rd. Keep him and Heat in your lineup all year and you shouldn�t have to worry much about these two slots.

Alex Tanguay (COL � 3460) � It seems like he�s been around for a while, but he only turns 24 in November. Finished last year with 67 points, but keep in mind he had 45 of those in the final 35 games. Although he clicks best with Milan Hejduk and Peter Forsberg, the additions of Paul Kariya and Teemu Selanne should provide insurance if one of the other first-liners go down.

Paul Kariya (COL � 3850)/Teemu Selanne (3440) � Remember when these two were the best line combo around in the mid-to-late 90�s. Now they have both taken massive pay cuts to reunite in Colorado, as the Av�s opt to compensate for the retirement of goalie Patrick Roy by adding even more offense. Kariya and Selanne will team up with Joe Sakic on the second line, which would make for a great first line on most teams.


TOP SNIPERS

Milan Hejduk (COL � 4780) � Hit 50 goals for the first time in his career, along with 98 points and an astounding +52. Fell off the face of the earth without Peter Forsberg a couple years back but you would think he�d find a way to get along with Joe Sakic if it came down to it.

Todd Bertuzzi (VAN � 4780) � As long as he has Markus Naslund alongside, he will be a threat for 50 goals and 100 points while providing a nice bonus with close to 150 PIM�s. If you can only afford to have one of the Vancouver duo in your lineup go with Bertuzzi who comes far cheaper than Naslund.

Markus Naslund (VAN � 5300) � Ouch, that�s a nasty salary. But then again he is coming off a 104-point season and should merit consideration to at least be on your roster for those four-game weeks.

Zigmund Palffy (LA � 4540) � Has been well over a point a game in two of the past three seasons, very capable of contending for a scoring title if both he and Jason Allison stay healthy for once.

Jarome Iginla (CGY � 4450) � Throw out last season, as Iginla gutted through an injury early on and dropped from 96 to 67 points. 13 goals in 12 games in February gives an idea on how nuclear he can become. Although he is a near must for the Flames to keep, a trade during the season is at least a remote possibility. As good a bet as anyone to score 50.

Glen Murray (BOS -4420) � The major benefactor to playing with Joe Thornton, Murray has back-to-back 40 goal seasons, including 92 points last year. THN�s Murray Townsend has him projected for 50 goals this year.

Simon Gagne (PHI � 3340) - Last year�s injury riddled campaign leaves him a touch undervalued, after only scoring 27 points in 46 games. The previous two seasons saw a .85 point per game average along with 33 goals two years ago. Always has a great plus/minus, including a +20 last year. Is still only 23 years of age and should be an excellent bet on one of the top two-lines of the always powerful Flyer offense.

Marian Hossa (OTT � 4410) � Was already coming off a pair of 30-goal season, but bumped up the totals with 45 goals and an even point per game last year. At age 24 is just coming into his prime and is as good a bet as anyone to win the goal scoring crown.

Martin St. Louis (TB � 3010) � He had shown signs the year before by scoring 35 points in 53 games, but St. Louis had a true career year with 70 points (33 goals) in the regular season, capped off by seven goals and 12 points in 11 playoff contests. St. Louis came into the league undrafted and not as a highly prized prospect, so don�t expect an even better year. Still a nice value in the CDM game though.


WORTH CONSIDERATION

Patrick Elias (NJ � 4040) � Pumped home 96 points along with a +45 when Larry Robinson was coach a few years back. Since then has only been about a 60 point man but keep an eye on him if the Devils open things up.

Jeff O�Neill (CAR � 3580) � 30 goals plus the past three years, including 41 back in 2000-�01. His plus-minus always takes a beating, even when the Canes won the division two years ago.

Geoff Sanderson (CLM � 3030) � Simply the best the Blue Jackets have, and a 30 goal man for two of the past three seasons. Also manages to keep his plus-minus at about even money, and may actually be an asset if the team improves.

Richard Zednik (MTL � 1449) � 31 goals last year, but only 50 points overall. If he could just add some assists it would really help his value.

Ray Whitney (DET � 2940) � Parlayed a 76 point season (52 assists) with Columbus into a $12+ million dollar contract with the Red Wings. Look for the point total to actually go down some as no one sees excessive ice time with the Wings, but look for a 180 degree reversal with his usually awful plus-minus.

Mike York (EDM � 2760) � Listed as a winger in the CDM game but could wind up seeing time as the #1 center if Mike Comrie�s holdout lasts two long. You may remember him from having a few good month as a member of the FLY line (with Fleury and Lindros).

Brendan Shanahan (DET � 4360) � Perennial lock for 30 goals, 70 points, a good plus/minus, and 100+ PIM�s while being surprisingly durable. What you see is what you get here.


SLEEPERS

Martin Straka (PIT � 2440) � Still potential for downright spectacular numbers if paired with Mario Lemieux, and had a 95-point season as recently as 2000-�01. Just make sure to get him out of your lineup when (not if) #66 gets hurt.

Aleksey Morozov (PIT � 1740) � Some got burned picking him up last year after a hot start. Had 25 points in 27 games before a broken wrist put a major crimp in his season. Slated for first line duty with Lemieux and Straka.

Henrik Zetterberg (DET � 2200) � Last year�s leading scorer among rookies with 44 points (22 goals). With Brett Hull now 39 years old, expect more ice time and improved production out of Z.

Justin Williams (PHI � 1760) � Was quite impressive in jumping into the Flyers lineup straight out of Juniors a few years back. Missed half the season last year but had 24 points in 41 games. Very capable of 55-60 points if paired on one of the Flyers top two-lines.

Alexander Frolov (LA � 1440) � Got some quality ice time as a rookie with 31 points, and is slated for second-line duty aline with Jozef Stumpel which isn�t too bad. Value could skyrocket if Frolov suddenly found himself playing along side Allison and/or Palffy.

Eero Somervuori (TB � unlisted 1500) � Import is a candidate for one of the Lightning�s top two lines and is projected for 50 points by THN. Recent history tells us that European players rarely make an immediate splash in this league. Wait for Eero to get his feet wet before taking action.

Ramzi Abid (PIT � 1220) � Actually a very deep sleeper. Showed flashes when given an opportunity with the Coyotes and Penguins last year, and could be in the mix to be paired with Super Mario.

Marcel Hossa (MTL � 1510) � Like his older brother, Hossa knows how to put the puck in the net. Is a possibility for one of the Habs top two lines where 20 goals is a conservative possibility.


TREAD CAREFULLY

Jaromir Jagr (WSH � 4900) � At least he�s no longer the most expensive winger. Has been merely mortal as slightly more than a point-per-game score since arriving in Washington. There is a chance for upside if Jags were to get traded to a favorable situation, which is very possible this year.

Marian Gaborik (MN � 3690) � It was a great breakthrough season for the Wild in it�s third season, reaching the conference finals. The offensive leader was the 21 year old Gaborik, who already has consecutive 30-goal seasons, along with 17 points in 18 playoff games. But now comes the hangover, as Gaborik is a camp holdout this fall. Consider him if he signs before the season starts, but remember Gaborik is prone to slumps and does not have a lot of offensive help around him.

Pascal Dupuis (MN � 1900) � Was the second most productive Wild player behind Gaborik last year, but is now holding out along with him. Dupuis came into the league undrafted so I imagine the team would like to see him do it again before offering big money.

Alexei Kovalev (NYR � 4650) � Among the top point producers in the league when aligned with Mario in Pittsburgh, but dropped off the face of the earth (13 points in 24 games) after being traded last year.

Pavel Bure (NYR - 3670) - You can be saved the agony this year, as Bure's knee has already failed his training camp physical and now appears to be headed either to surgery or the glue factory.


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