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2002-03 FANTASY BASKETBALL PREVIEW - THE TOP 120

Duncan leads the way, Shaq slides...



Unlike fantasy sports such as football, where the object normally is acquiring players who simply gain yards and score as much as possible, assembling a truly successful fantasy basketball team (at least roto style) is all about variety, producing a squad combining a symphony of talents. Your first two or three draft picks will be star players, who help you in multiple categories. After that point you look at filling needs. Owners look for players who won�t kill them in field goal or free throw percentage. Perhaps a couple of point-guards, followed by a shot blocker and then a rebounder or two. In fact basketball is perhaps the best roto-sport of all in regards to the need of managing and fulfilling a wide number of needs, perhaps even more so than fantasy baseball.

The following list of the top 120 fantasy NBA players is based on an eight-category roto league involving field goal percentage, free throw percentage, 3-pointers made, rebounds, assists, blocks, steals, and points. I will make special notations for those who commit (or don�t commit) turnovers � as well as special cases where players may be more (or less) valuable in leagues that use number of free throws and 2-point baskets made, as opposed to percentages.

The list is here, and for the first time in recent memory #1 is a heated debate�

  1. Tim Duncan (SA) � The selection of many for the #1 pick and why not. Jumped up the scoring average from 22.2 to 25.5, along with a league leading 12.7 rebounds per contest along with 203 blocks. Also good for a 50 percent shooting perentage. Shot 80 percent from the stripe, the only concern would be Tim returning to the erratic ways of the previous season, where Tim struggled with his mechanics and shot only 62 percent. His #1 status is solidified further in position-designated leagues that recognize Tim as a center.


  2. Paul Pierce (BOS) � Pierce misses out on the top spot, but only by a whisker. In fact if you happen to get the #1 pick, this is definitely a good year to trade down � as Pierce will be available in many league in the middle or even late first round. Now for the cause of making Paul #1: 26 points a game, check. Seven rebounds, adequate. 210 3-pointers last year, big check. 45 percent field goal percentage, OK. 80 percent from the strike, check. Block a game, check. Two steals a game, big check. Three assists a game is the only week spot. That makes for six strong categories, one OK category and one down category, that is a balance unmatched by any player in the Association.


  3. Dirk Nowitzki (DAL) � A.K.A Larry Bird Mark II. Only 23 points a game, but ten boards, one steal and one block per game. A 48 percent mark from the field as well as 85 percent plus makes for a great combination. Also is good for 150 3-pointers playing for the league�s best offensive team.


  4. Ray Allen (MIL) � Not the flashiest player, but the stats add up. 3-Ball Ray is second to none, canning 229 from downtown in just 69 games last year. Ray is also automatic from the charity stripe at a near 90 percent clip. You can also count on 46-48 percent from the field (outstanding for a point guard) along with 22 points, five boards and four dimes per night. Also, the departure of Glenn Robinson will result in additional scoring responsibilities. Ray missed some time for the first time last year with a bum knee, but rested during the off-season, wisely declining an opportunity to be part of Coach Karl�s debacle at the World Championships. I hate that video-game commercial that features him with his knee propped up though.


  5. Kevin Garnett (MIN) � Only good for 22 points a game, but that comes along with 12 boards and five assists per night � the dimes being absolutely freakish for a seven-footer. The rest of �01-�02�s stats for KG is as follows: 96 steals, 126 blocks (that could actually improve), 37 threes (again, freakish), 47 percent from the field, 80 percent from the stripe.


  6. Chris Webber (SAC) � His name will remain in the blotter for much of the season, as C-Web stands alleged to lying to a grand jury concerning a case involving a University of Michigan booster. I do not see that case resulting in any lost time when all is settled. Like Garnett, Webber is good for nearly five assists a night along with 25+ points and 10+ rebounds. That goes along with nearly 50 percent from the field along with 75 percent from the line, where C-Web has made great strides over his early years.


  7. Vince Carter (TOR) � Scoring dropped from 27.6 to 24.7, while the shooting percentage dropped from 46 to 43 percent as VC tried to play through �jumpers knee� for much of the campaign. Vince also contributes 5+ rebounds, 4+ dimes, 1.5 steals and nearly one block a game. A solid cross-the-board contributor � just make sure the knee�s sound during the pre-season.


  8. Tracy McGrady (ORL) � Slightly better than his cousin in Toronto with 26 points, nearly eight boards, and five assists per game. T-Mac falls slightly behind VC when it comes to FG (45%) and FT (75%).


  9. Antoine Walker (BOS) � A-Walk and Pierce make for one of the Association�s deadliest duos. A-Walk�s strongest areas are rebounds (9), assists (5), and three�s (443 over the past two seasons), his steal (1.5 per game), block (.5 per game), and point (22) totals fall somewhat behind Pierce � his biggest fantasy drawback though was his .394 shooting percentage, and A-Walk hoists it up as much as anyone in basketball. On the plus side he did cut down his turnovers from 301 to 251 last year.


  10. Kobe Bryant (LAK) � You won�t go wrong with Kobe, I just don�t have him considered as a top-five fantasy player like most others. Last year it was 25 points, 5.5 rebounds, 5.5 assists, 1.5 steals, .5 blocks, .4 threes, per game along with 47 percent from the field and 83 percent from the stripe. Nice solid across the board numbers. Alarming from a fantasy perspective was a scoring drop from 28.5 to 25.2 along with a drop in three�s from 61 to 33. However, I must remind that KB is still only 24 years old.


  11. Jason Kidd (NJ) - You�re man if you�re after assists (10 per), steals (175) and triple-doubles with some threes (117 last year) thrown in. You won�t get the scoring (14.7 per) like other elite players but you don�t have to worry as much about the 39-40 percent shooting, since Kidd does not attempt a high number of shots.


  12. Shawn Marion (PHX) � The rare combination of 20/10 numbers on a nightly basis, along with nearly two steals and a block per thrown in. His value goes even higher in leagues using turnovers as a negative category, he has had only 273 in his last 160 contests. His 85 percent shooting from the stripe is also a rarity for a big man.


  13. Steve Nash (DAL) � Let the point-guard run begin. You can count on 18 points and eight assists on a nightly basis, his 48 percent shooting from the field is exceptional for his position and is also one of the association�s best (90%) free-throw shooters. Not to mention Maverick players are just fun to own period. One point of concern is a drop in steals, from 72 in 70 games two years ago to 53 playing in all 82 contests last year.


  14. Baron Davis (NO) � Has a claw-hold on the competition when it comes to steals, netting over 170 in each of the last two seasons. Last year�s core numbers of 18 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 8.5 assists are also a nice combo. Also managed 47 blocks last year, a good number for a point-guard and has also comes through in the durability department, playing in all 246 games since coming out of UCLA. Shooting percentages are an issue though, 42 percent from the field and 58 percent from the line last year.


  15. Allen Iverson (PHI) � Second to no one when it comes to 31 points per night and 168 steals in just 60 contests last year. 4+ rebounds and 5+ assists are not bad but 40 percent shooting on a ton of attempts, along with nearly four turnovers a game is a negative. Has also missed 43 games over the past three seasons with an assortment of injuries and is already questionable for the start of this season with a broken digit.


  16. Gary Payton (SEA) � Now 34, Payton has seen his 3-pointers drop from 177 (�99-�00) to 74 last year, his steals have also dropped from 2.2 a contest as recently as �98-�99 to just over 1.5 last year. However, the Glove�s pct�s have been on the rise, and wound up shooting 47 percent from the field and just under 80 percent from the stripe last year. And you can still look for 22 points, five points and nine assists per game.


  17. Andre Miller (LAC) � The point-guard run continues with this emerging star. If you wan�t an idea on how quick this guy is, find an old copy of Final Four �99 (989 Sports) and play the University of Utah with it. Led the association with nearly 11 assists per game, although there is a concern on whether he will be dishing the rock that much with the Clips. You can also look forward to 15 points +, 45 percent from the field and 80 percent from the stripe.


  18. Steve Francis (HOU) � Migraines, dizziness, and a bum shoulder gave a headache to many a fantasy owner, as Francis ended up missing 25 contests. The vertigo/migraines were traced to a correctable condition during the off-season, and also underwent off-season surgery on the shoulder. When healthy, Stevie provided the appetizing combination of 21 points, seven boards, and 6.5 assists per contest. Only downside was the FG pct dropping to 41.7% after being around the 45 percent range the first two years. Make sure he�s healthy during the pre-season but he should be good to go.


  19. Pau Gasol (MEM) � Someone who would only identify himself as 'Dr. Doolittle, said Pau (originally ranked #31) should be higher, so shall be it. And with 169 blocks from a sensational rookie season, along with 52 percent shooting from the floor, 17 points, and ten rebounds per night you should move him up your draft sheets as well.


  20. Pedrag Stoyakovic (SAC) � Still only 25 and becoming one of the game�s true snipers. Look forward to 21 points, 5+ boards, up to 150 3�s, at least 47 percent shooting from the floor along with 85% plus from the stripe.


  21. Jason Terry (ATL) � Pushed 20 points per game for a second consecutive campaign, while bumping his assists to nearly six per game, along with 144 steals, 172 3�s, 43% from the field and an 85 percent shooter from the line. There is talk about Terry losing playing time after the drafting of Gonzaga�s Dan Dickau � but Jason�s still just 25 and entering his prime, they�ll find a way to get him his usual minutes.


  22. Eddie Jones (MIA) � Injuries have slowed Eddie in recent years. At one time one of the league leaders in steals (2.5 per game in �98-�99), that total has slumped to just 117 in 81 contests last year. On the plus side, Eddie now hits the 3-ball more often � canning 149 from downtown last year, averaging 19 points a game overall, and is also a 85 percent shooter from the stripe.


  23. Sam Cassell (MIL) � Not a great assist man (seven per game), but pushes 20 points along with 47 percent from the field and is money (85%) from the stripe. Also stepped up in shooting the three-ball, hitting 71 in 74 games after only hitting 56 from downtown the previous two years. Value goes down if Coach Karl ever elects to deal him.


  24. Rasheed Wallace (POR) � An elite power forward who has become an accomplished three-point shooter to boot, increasing that total from just eight in �99-�00 to 114 last year, along with 101 steals and 101 blocks. Also is good for 19 points and eight boards per night, along with 47 percent shooting. Too bad this isn�t hockey because in that sport Rasheed would help you with game misconducts. As it is you grin and bear the technicals and ejections and hope he never really snaps.


  25. Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL) � 21 points, nine boards, 46 percent from the line, and 80+ percent plus from the stripe � so there are four solid categories. Also good for a block and a little over a steal per game. Solid, but not elite.


  26. Cuttino Mobley (HOU) � Undervalued no more, now a solid top-25 player after averaging 21.7 a game last season. A healthy Steve Francis will cut into that a little, but you can still look for 100 steals, 130-150 3�s, 44 percent from the field and 85 percent from the stripe.


  27. Rashard Lewis (SEA) � In his fifth year, but still only 23 years old � so expect further improvement from last years totals of 17-7, along with 104 steals, 40 blocks, 123 3�s, and only 97 turnovers in 71 games. Also good for 46-48 percent from the field along with 80 percent plus from the line. Was hurt early pre-season but should be good for opening night.


  28. Wally Szczerbiak (MN) � FG %�s of .511, .510, and .508 his first three years in the league � not bad for a shooting gurard. Is also an 85 percent shooter from the stripe to go along with 19 points per night. Only good for five rebounds, and don�t expect much from the assist, steals or block categories.


  29. Jalen Rose (CHI) � Trade from Indiana a good thing, as he is the #1 option along with being the centerpiece for the Bulls rebuiling project. In 30 games after the trade, Jalen averaged 24 points along with five rebounds and five assists per game. Also look for a three pointer, steal and half a block per night along with 45% from the field and 80 percent + from the stripe.


  30. Shaquille O�Neal (LAK) � Probably a good year to avoid the Shaq-Daddy, as he�s coming off toe surgery on 9/11 and will probably not be at full strength until Thanksgiving. And you know someone in your league will pick him way too early. That said, he�s still a solid second-round pick if your league doesn�t use percentages. And he�s worth a first-round pick in leagues that doesn�t use percentages and also mandates specific positions � as it is a wide gap from Shaq to the second best center. If your league does use percentages and you do select Shaq, then be aware that you will be assured of last place in FT% even though Shaq�s FT shooting improved to 55 percent last year. His free throw shooting will never be at a respectable number, and will always be fouled a ton. On the other hand, you are also assured of 57 percent from the field with plenty of attempts � so your team will be a near lock for first in that category. Any team in a percentage league selecting Shaq needs to spend the remainder of the draft concentrating on specialists in assists, steals, and threes while totally disregarding the free throw percentage category. Also, don�t pair Shaq with a player such as Antoine Walker, his FG% is so bad, and shoots so much that he negates Shaq�s FG% #�s.


  31. Jerry Stackhouse (WSH) � Recently traded from Detroit, but don�t expect a return to his old 30 point per night ways. Still, Stack will be good for 23-25 points per night, along with four rebounds and fives assists along with some threes and an 85% FT. Downside is 40 percent from the field and a ton of turnovers, although that was reduced from a league-leading 326 in �00-�01 to 266 last year.


  32. Elton Brand (LAC) � Hopes to return from a knee scope by opening night. Look for 18 points, 11 rebounds, two blocks and 50 percent shooting from the floor when healthy.


  33. Michael Finley (DAL) � The third cog in the Maverick offense, Finley started games over four consecutive seasons before missing time with a hammy last year. Aside from that, is good for a solid 20 points, five rebounds, and four assists per night. Is also good for a steal and a three-pointer per night, along with 45-46 percent from the field and 80 percent plus from the stripe.


  34. Jamal Mashburn (NO) � Look for 20 points, six + rebounds, four + assists, and 80 percent from the stripe. Downside is 40-41 percent shooting from the field and zero block contribution.


  35. Andrei Krilenko (UT) � One of this years true sleepers. One key number to remember from Andrei�s rookie season, which is 158 blocks and 116 steals playing a little over 20 minutes per night. Those numbers could approach 200 and 150 this season. Will also at worst become the Jazz� #2 option this year, and net 13-15 points per night Also look for an occasional 3-pointer along with 45 percent from the field and 75 percent (not bad for a big man) from the stripe.


  36. Glenn Robinson (ATL) � Played his �Get Out of Milwaukee� card in the off-season and has now moved on to Atlanta. Look for a slight decline from his usual numbers of 20 points, six rebounds, 100 steals, 50 blocks � along with a three per night, 47 percent from the field and 80 percent plus from the line.


  37. Doug Christie (SAC) � The #5 option offensively with the Kings, but that�s not the key # for Doug. That would be 343 steals over the past two seasons, an NBA high. You only get 12 points per night, but also four plus boards, four assists, near 100 three�s and 85 percent plus from the line.


  38. Jermaine O�Neal (IND) � Another player to get for the blocks, although that went down from 228 to 166 in 72 games last year. However the points/rebounds improved from 13/10 to 19/10.5 per game. Free throw shooting also improved from 60 to 69 percent.


  39. Stephon Marbury (PHX) � Would usually rank higher but his bum ankle is not 100 percent, and is talking about �attempting� to play through the pain while avoiding surgery. Averaged 20/3/8 per night in his first year out west, along with 44 percent from the field and 78 percent from the stripe.


  40. John Stockton (UT) � Think I�m nuts ranking a 40-year old this high??? He averaged 13 points and eight assists, along with 152 steals and still shoots a phenomenal 51 percent from the field. This was supposed to be the year Stockton tutors #1 draft pick Felipe Lopez but that�s out the window after a recent ACL tear on Lopez�s knee. There is the risk of a trade that would see Stock become a role player on a contending team, but I wouldn�t look too highly at that possibility. Look for Stockton to prove much like Jerry Rice in football that 40 is not too old.


  41. Ben Wallace (DET) � A latter-day Dennis Rodman, and that is said in a positive spin when it comes to rebounding and shot blocking. Ben led the world in those two category with 13 boards per game along with 277 blocks. With his domination in those two categories you look past the seven point per night average and even his sub-50 percent free throw percentage, since unlike Shaq � he doesn�t get there often.


  42. Antonio Davis (TOR) � If looking for a top-flight center who won�t kill you at the foul line, AD is your man. With Hakeem Olajuwon now retired, 15 points and 10 rebounds per night are now a good bet (along with at least 75 percent from the stripe. as arguably the Raptors second option. Only downsides were his blocks went down from 151 to 83 last year while AD only shoots 43 percent from the field.


  43. Dikembe Mutombo (NJ) � Part of the multi-player Nets/Sixers trade, Dikembe has seen his rebournds drop from 14.1 to 10.8, blocks drop from 269 to 190, and FG percentage drop from 56 to 50 over the past two seasons. Still �Cookie Monster� is still one of just a handful of top flight picks in a depleted center pool.


  44. Karl Malone (UT) � There hasn�t been much of a decline in the Mailman�s game, in fact his steals shot upward from 92 to 152 last year to go along with 22+ points, 8.6 rebounds and 4.3 assists. His shooting percentage did drop from his usual 50 percent to just a shade over 45. The only reason Malone isn�t rated higher is that unlike Stockton, there is a strong possibility of Malone accepting a trade to a contender � where he would be a role player in a Ray Bourque like quest to finally get a ring.


  45. Brent Barry (SEA) � Like all Berry�s can hit from the line (85 percent last year), and is also 50 percent from the floor - just part of a great all-around game of 14 points, five boards, and five assists. Also experienced huge jumps in three�s (164 from 109) as well as steals (147 from 80). A god-send for many fantasy teams last year.


  46. Bonzi Wells (POR) � The days of worrying about playing time are over for Bonzi, who was good for 17 points and six boards per game last year. You can also look for steals (113 in 74 games last year) and a three-pointer per game. Shooting percentage from the floor fell to a still decent 47 percent, but down from 53% the year before.


  47. Darius Miles (CLE) � To give you an idea of the potential breakthrough, Miles had a game-high 19 points, along with seven rebounds and four assists in a recent exhibition game. But his real value will come in the form of blocked shots, look for about 150 of those.


  48. Jay Williams (CHI) � Not to get confused with Jason or Jayson Williams. Would not want you to inadvertently wind up with an erratic scud missile firing point guard, or a retired center awaiting trial. The former Duke star is the smart money choice for Rookie of the Year and should deliver 15 points, along with assists and a bevy of steals as well as threes.


  49. Morris Peterson (TOR) � In his third year, MoPete should be good for 15 points, four rebounds, 100 steals, 100 3�s, a 44-45 percent from the floor and 75 percent from the line. Not a bad combo.


  50. Reggie Miller (IND) � Slowing down but still good for 15 points, with his key areas being 3�s (180 last year) along with 92 percent free throw shooting.


  51. Allan Houston (NY) � Similar game to Reggie, and will have to pick up an additional load at the outset due to the absence of Latrell Sprewell. Look for 20 points, 130-140 three�s, 44-45 percent from the field and near 90% from the line.


  52. Darrell Armstrong (ORL) � The talk is for the 34 year-old Armstrong to see reduced minutes this season. Still look for 11-12 points a game, four rebounds, five assists, 130-140 steals � and near 90 percent from the stripe.


  53. Jason Richardson (GS) � Could be the Warrior�s go-to man as soon as this year. Averaged 18 points, 4.5 boards and three assists over the second half of last season. Also look for steals, 3�s, and even an occasional block (31 in his rookie year).


  54. Antawn Jamison (GS) � Fell behind fellow Tar-Heels Vince Carter and Jerry Stackhouse last season, falling from 24.9/8.7 to 19.7/6.8 � quite a drop for someone supposedly entering the prime of his career. 44 percent shooter from the floor, the free throw shooting has improved but is still in the low-70�s.


  55. Richard Hamilton (DET) � 20 points per night along with near 90 percent shooting from the line top the resume of this fourth-year player. Will RIP ascend to a Stackhouse-like role with the Pistons???


  56. Raef Lafrentz (DAL) � Fell from 14.9 points and three blocks per game as a Nugget to 10.8/2.2 blks as a Mav. Still finished second in the Association in blocks per game. Also is now happily settled in Dallas with a new seven-year contract in tow. Who would you choose, Raef or Shawn Bradley??? Another plus is Raef laps his center competition in three-pointers (104 last year).


  57. Chauncey Billups (DET) � Signed a six-year, $35 million dollar contract to join Detroit this summer. Is listed as a starter, but expect Chucky Atkins to get time as well � as Chauncey has never seemed to be able to handle a starting point gig before. Averaged 12.5 pts and 5.5 assists with the T-Wolves last year, another plus was an assist-to-turnover ratio of over 3 to 1 � so he won�t hurt with the TO�s. 124 three�s and an .885 FT percentage does not hurt neither.


  58. Jason Williams (MEM) � A career-high eight assists per game last year, along with a 15-pt per game average, 111 steals and 127 three�s in 65 games. Downside is a 38 percent shooting percentage and the very real opportunity that the Griz (like the Kings before) get tired of his erratic way and look in a different direction.


  59. Donyell Marshall (CHI) � Free agent signee already hobbled by pre-season hamstring and knee (minor traffic accident) woes. If healthy, look for 15 points, eight rebounds and a block per game. Also exceeded 50 percent shooting his final two seasons in Utah.


  60. Tim Thomas (MIL) � T-square�s role expands with the departure of the Big Dog. Great 3-point shooter (95 in 74 games) for someone his height. But his rebounding and shot-blocking needs improvement if he�s to be a solid NBA starter. Look for 15/5 per night.


  61. Damon Stoudamire (POR) � Another in the long line of disgruntled Blazers the team is desperately trying to unload. In the meantime enjoy 13 points, four rebounds, six assists, well over a three-pointer per game � along with 85 plus percent shooting from the stripe. A FG percentage in the low 40�s is the only real negative.


  62. Ricky Davis (CLE) � Not happy that Cleveland matched Minnesota�s offer sheet for six years � $35 million. Here�s hoping Rick doesn�t come down with a Marc Jackson-type case of disgruntlement and wind up buried on the bench. As it stands now, look for Rick to emerge perhaps as the Cavs go-to player with potential #�s of 18 points and four rebounds � along with some steals and decent FG/FT percentages.


  63. Eric Snow (PHI) � With AI missing some games, Snow proved he could take some of the scoring load and wound up with a career-high 12.1 avg., along with 6.6 assists per contest. Also good for 1 � steals per game.


  64. Shane Battier (MEM) � Nice rookie season, but there is concern on playing time with the return of Michael Dickerson along with Drew Gooden looking great in camp. Bottom line is Battier is solid across the board with 13 points, five assists, as well as over 100 steals, 80 blocks, and 100 three�s.


  65. Clifford Robinson (DET) � Awful rebounding (4.8) numbers for an alleged power forward � but should again be good for 90 steals, 90 blocks, and over 100 three�s. Not bad numbers for the position. Also beware however that Cliff is now up to 36 years in age.


  66. Kenyon Martin (NJ) � Good for 16 points and seven rebounds a night, along with over 100 steals and nearly two blocks per game. Free throws (under 70 percent) are an issue, and also got missed some late-season games after exceeding the flagrant-foul point limit.


  67. Grant Hill (ORL) � After playing all of 18 games over the past two seasons, who can forget about seeing the Grant Hill of the mid-to-late 1990�s. If he makes it back (and that�s a big if) you can look for 15 points and seven points, along with a few assists per night. Hill has never been much when it comes to three-point shooting. His pre-season numbers thus far have been extremely encouraging.


  68. Keith Van Horn (PHI) � Trade from the Nets may note bode well fantasy-wise, and is battling a sore quad in camp. In three years KVH has gone from a 20+ pt. scorer to 14.8 last year, along with 7.5 rebounds. Did top the 100 3-point barrier while shooting 43 percent from the floor and 80% from the line.


  69. Juwan Howard (DEN) � Good for 15 points plus and seven rebounds. Also does not hurt in the FG (46%) or FT (75%) departments. Downside is Howard is a classic small forward who doesn�t help in the steal and block categories, and made his last three back in 1995.


  70. Brad Miller (IND) � Like Jalen Rose on the other end � Brad really benefited from the Pacers/Bulls trade, averaging 15 points and 56 percent in 28 games for Indiana. His blocks (41 in 76 games) are horrible for a center but is good for eight boards a night along with the scoring.


  71. Ron Artest (IND) � A steals monster, with 138 in just 52 games last year. Not much of a factor in any other categories, but you can look for 12 points and about five rebounds.


  72. Caron Butler (MIA) � Drawing comparison�s to Paul Pierce and a possible ROY candidate. Delivered 18 points and nine rebounds in a recent pre-season outing. With Alonzo Mourning again sidelined, Butler gets an opportunity to be a go-to guy from the start.


  73. Gilbert Arenas (GS) � Battling with veteran Bob Sura to be Golden State�s starting point guard. Had decent across-the-board #�s as a rookie including 11 PPG and 69 steals in 47 games, along with 45% from the field and 77% from the stripe.


  74. Kurt Thomas (NY) � Recently made the police blotter, but should be in camp before long. He will be needed with Antonio McDyess sustaining yet another long-term injury (broken kneecap). Last year Thomas was good for 14 points, nine boards, and a block per game along with 49% from the field and 81% from the stripe.


  75. Richard Jefferson (NJ) � Will get starters minutes with the departure on Keith Van Horn, and should respond with 13 points a night, along with five rebounds along with blocks and steals.

  76. Kerry Kittles (NJ) � 13 points a game last year returning from injury, but not a factor as far as rebounds and assists are concerned. Kittles did contribute 130 steals and 98 three�s while shooting 47 percent from the floor.


  77. Theo Ratliff (ATL) � Your man if looking for blocks. The Hawks will handle him with kid gloves after the hip problems of the past year and a half, but 18 points, six rebounds and three blocks in 21 minute of a recent exhibition bode well for this season.


  78. DaJuan Wagner (CLE) � Dare to put a 19-year old in the lineup??? There is talk of playing DaJuan at the point, but they also talk about him as a player potentially �in the Allen Iverson mold�. So points along with assists are a good possibility, but also expect no better than 40 percent from the field.


  79. Brian Grant (MIA) � Scoring fell from 15.3 to 9.3 last year, rebounds also fell slightly from 8.8 to 8.0. Grant�s scoring will improved due to having to take some of Alonzo�s Mourning�s load. Don�t expect much in the scoring or block departments.


  80. Alvin Williams (TOR) � Did bump the scoring up to nearly 12 per game, along with 5.7 assists per contest. Good for steals (135 last year) but shoots in the low 40�s. A healthy Vince Carter will help bump the assists an extra tad.


  81. Michael Jordan (WSH) � His return to the Association was not a complete bust, in fact far from it. MJ did average nearly 23 per night along with 5.7 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game, along with providing a couple of more 50-point nights and heroic buzzer-beaters. Downside was a career low 41.6% from the floor, only 10 three-pointers (as opposed to 111 back in �96-�97) and 22 missed games due to injury. This year look for MJ to play a supporting role, along with Stackhouse and Rip Hamilton. Someone in your league will take a look at the history and even last year�s numbers and select MJ way too early (like third round). Due to that, it is best not to think about MJ unless he were to slip into the later rounds.


  82. Mike Miller (ORL) � 2000-�01 ROY still good for 15 points and well over 100 3-pointers � but doesn�t help much in the other categories and production will be an issue with Grant Hill apparently healthy.


  83. Aaron McKie (PHI) � When healthy, a nice serviceable late-round player across the board. At his best look for 12 points, four rebounds, four assists, some steals, some blocks, and decent FG and FT percentages (45/80). Now for the bad news, Aaron is coming off off-season shoulder surgery and is questionable for opening night.


  84. DerMarr Johnson (ATL) � A 12.3 scoring average over the final nine games, including a 28-point outburst v. the defensively challenged Bucks highlighted DerMarr�s rookie campaign. He�s your typical 22-year old shooting guard � expect low 40�s in percentage as best. Will fight for PT with the likes of Jason Terry and Dan Dickau.


  85. James Posey (DEN) � The Nuggets as usual are a mess, but Posey should emerge as one of it�s better players this year. Posey should be good for 11-12 points and six rebounds, and an excellent amount of steals (120-130) for a small forward. Downside is a miserable 37.6 percentage from the field last year.


  86. Bobby Jackson (SAC) - Won't see a lot of assists, but will get increased playing time due to Mike Bibby's foot injuries. Draft him late and look forward to at least two months worth of starts.


  87. Mike Bibby (SAC) � Out several weeks after sustaining a stress fracture in his foot. Move from the Grizzlies to SAC-Town was a disaster fantasy-wise as Bibby dropped from 16 points and nearly 8 � assists to 13.7/5.0. Three-pointers also saw a massive drop from 108 to 51. Still not a bad mid-to-late round pick if desperate for assists.


  88. P.J. Brown (NO) � Only nine points per game, but nearly ten rebounds per game last year. Decent in the block and steal departments, and also helps with 85 percent free throw shooting.


  89. Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA) � Should be a good threat to emerge this season. Best case scenario is to look for 13 points and 7 rebounds, along with a good amount of steals, some blocks, and over 100 three�s.


  90. Latrell Sprewell (NY) � You have no doubt heard about the incident on Lake Michigan with his yacht that resulted in a broken hand and a record quarter-million dollar fine. When healthy and not in trouble, Latrell�s good for 19 points, four rebounds, four assists, some steals and nearly two threes per game, along with 80 percent from the line. The shooting percentage dropped to just over 40 percent from his usual 43 percent of recent years.


  91. Larry Hughes (WSH) � Actually got his shooting percentage over 42 percent last year, but his scoring dropped from 16.5 to 12.3. He may actually get some time at the point with Washington but PT will be an issue.


  92. Steve Smith (SA) � 11 points and 116 three pointers last year, along with decent 45 percent shooting from the field and near 90 percent shooting from the line.


  93. Lamar Odom (LAC) � Still on the shelf, this time with a bum ankle. Early December is the best case scenario for a return. Was good for six rebounds and six assists per night last year, but the scoring dropped from 17 to 13 PPG. His percentages from the line and the floor could both be better, and also seems good for at least one off-the-court incident per year.


  94. Penny Hardaway (PHX) � 12 points, four rebounds, four assists, and 122 steals last year and actually played 80 games. Look for things to fall further downhill from here.


  95. Jamaal Magloire (NO) � Should see more playing time over veteran Elden Campbell this year. Look for 10 points, seven rebounds, over 100 blocks and well over 50 percent from the floor.


  96. Yao Ming (HOU) � Now signed, and it appears the Chinese government will actually let him come to Houston by opening night. At the very least he will contribute in the rebound and always difficult block shot categories. He may even contribute a few three�s from time to time. Feel safe to take a flier late.


  97. Anthony Mason (MIL) � You know Mason by now, ten points, eight rebounds, a decent percentage from the floor � and some weird free-throw shooting.


  98. Vlade Divac (SAC) � On the back nine of his career, but still good for a solid 11 points, eight rebounds and nearly four assists per night. Also gets a decent amount of steals for a big man. FT shooting usually runs in the 60�s and is his weak spot.


  99. David Robinson (SA) � You will still get ten points, eight rebounds, and over a hundred blocks from the veteran. Should also still be good for about a steal a game.


  100. Troy Hudson (MN) � Terrell Brandon�s rehab from knee surgery is not going well, so Hudson should start the season at the point for the Wolves. A good pick for late that not many will know about.


  101. Desmond Mason (SEA) � Sixth man gets twelve points and five rebounds a night, also gets some nice percentages: 46 percent from the floor and over 80 percent from the line.


  102. Michael Olowokandi (LAC) � Last year went from 8.5 to 11.1 in points, 6.4 to 8.9 in assists, 30 to 55 in steals, and 108 to 145 in blocks. Look for him to peak in his fifth NBA season.


  103. Tony Parker (SA) � Allegedly only 20-years old, and became the starter at point-guard as a rookie early last season. Don�t expect a lot of assists with the offense running through Tim Duncan.


  104. Jamaal Tinsley (IND) � Exploded early as a rookie, and wound up averaging over eight assists a game with 138 steals. But Tinsley hit the rookie wall late and even sat during the playoffs, and was shopped around during the off-season. Tinsley also hurts with 38 percent shooting, single-digit scoring, and a ton of turnovers.


  105. Nick Van Exel (DAL) � Currently buried with the Mavs, and a trade would return NVE into the top-50. As of right now, expect no more than 12-13 points per game along with a few assists and close to 100 three-pointers. Was good for 8.5 assists a night as recently as two seasons ago.


  106. Mike Dunleavy (GS) � Was good for 80 steals in 35 games as America�s most known collegiate player last year � so he will help in that area. Otherwise, don�t expect a whole lot except some rebounding.


  107. Al Harrington (IND) � Coming off major knee surgery, so don�t expect much at first. Was good for 13 points, six rebounds, 47% from the field and 80% from the stripe before going down last year.


  108. Kenny Thomas (HOU) � Nice 14 point, 7 rebound average last year, also good for about a block a game. His three pointers have gone from 32 to 25 to zero in the last three years.


  109. David Wesley (NO) � Scoring dropped from 17 to 14 points last year. Good for 85 threes but only a 40 percent shooter last year.


  110. Dale Davis (POR) � Not much for a center in the block department, but a nightly double-double candidate � look for ten points and nine boards per night.


  111. Lorenzen Wright (MEM) � Was very impressive before going down and missing half of last season. Wound up contributing 12 points and 9.4 rebounds per night, but only 22 blocks in 43 games.


  112. Hidayet Turkoglu (SAC) � Saw some time when Stoykavich missed some time last year. Top-side potential this year is twelve points and some three�s, but not much help in the other categories.


  113. Michael Dickerson (MEM) � Now Dickerson�s having trouble with back spasms. Averaged over 16 points with 86 three-pointers two years ago, before injuries took over.


  114. Brevin Knight (MEM) � Will see time at the point behind Jason Williams. If Jason goes down, Brevin becomes an assists monster.


  115. Rodney Rogers (NJ) � Signed by the Nets and will see time backing up both Kenyon Martin and Richard Jefferson. Had good percentages (47/78) last year and is also good for three�s and some blocks.


  116. Danny Fortson (GS) � Opened some eyebrows a few years back with 98 rebounds in six games before succumbing to yet another foot injury. Good news was Fortson actually made it through the whole year averaging 11.7 boards a game. Bad news is that he virtually gets no shots and Mike Dunleavy will be squeezing him out of PT this year.


  117. Vin Baker (BOS) � Free agent signee who rebounded a bit last year, with 14 points and over six boards per game with the Sonics. Also gets a few blocks but can�t make a steal to save his life.


  118. Eddie Griffin (HOU) � Yet another 20-year old whose playing time should increase this year. Recorded 134 blocks in rookie year, look for a few more of those along with double-digit points and six plus rebounds per night.


  119. Malik Rose (SA) � Will get some time at the forward positions, and be good for some rebounds along with decent percentages.


  120. Joe Smith (MN) � The T-Wolves thought this guy was worth forfeiting five draft picks for??? Look for ten points, six boards, a few blocks, and 80 percent from the stripe � but nothing special, and that�s if he starts.



And now for some additional injury news so you don�t look like a dunce come draft day�

Antonio McDyess (NY) � Suffered a fractured kneecap late in a recent pre-season game, after scoring 23 points and 15 rebounds in the contest. Check on his status and consider him for the final round should he come back mid-season.

Raul Lopez (UT) � 24th pick overall and projected to be John Stockton�s successor someday at point guard. Was found to have a torn ACL and will miss his rookie campaign.

Marcus Camby (DEN) � The other end of the Knicks/Nuggets trade didn�t work well neither. Camby recently underwent hip surgery and like McDyess, will miss a good chunk of regular season action.

Blotter � Both Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Derrick Coleman have been issued one game suspensions for DUI violations over the offseason. Other possibilities for league-imposed suspensions for legal situations include Allen Iverson (domestic), Glenn Robinson (domestic), and Marcus Fizer (gun posession).




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