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2004 KAC BASEBALL BLUE SHEET - WEEK 18


WAITING FOR THE BLOCKBUSTERS...



'Go trades, go trades! Go trades! I don't see anything happening. Go trades! Go trades! Go trades! Standby trades. Keep coming, trades. More trades. Bring it- Unit, Nomar, Beltran, anything. We want trades, tons of them. Bring them down. Let them all come. No trades. No trades yet.

All right, go trades, go trades. We need more trades. All trades! All trades! Keep going! Come on, guys, lets move it, ESPN IS WAITING!!!!! Gee Whiz! We need more trades. I want all trades to go, DAMN IT!!!!! Go trades. Go trades. More trades. I want more trades. What's happening to the trades? We need more trades.

'We need more trades coming down. Go trades- trades? What's happening to the trades? There's not enough trades coming down! What the hell � no one�s making any trades!!!!! What the #*@% are you GM�s doing??? We want more trades coming down, more trades. More trades. More trades'...



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Of course we won�t know for sure until baseball�s poker game ends sometime Saturday afternoon, but this year�s trade deadline is shaping up to be a snoozer. After turning down a potential trade to the Dodgers, Randy Johnson gave the Diamondbacks organization an ultimatum, either trade him to the Yankees by Wednesday � or �deal with an unhappy camper the rest of the year�. D-Backs executive Joe Garigiola Jr. responded by saying �we wouldn�t know the difference�. Be careful what you wish for Joey, nobody wants to see the Unit go postal.

However the trade deadline continues to have an impact on a fantasy basis, with the biggest questions being (a) Which contenders will trade for a closer and (b) what will the Colorado Rockies do. The top names who could be dealt include�

Randy Johnson � Supposedly the Yankees aren�t that interested, the D-Backs would love to be able to deal him to the Dodgers or Angels, who could offer more in the way of prospects in return. A three-way deal involving the Yanks also remains a possibility.

Kris Benson � This is the time of year where a particular pitcher suddenly sounds like Sandy Koufax to would-be contenders. You could even say Benson is becoming as hot a property as his model wife. But then again, Benson was the #1 overall pick back in 1996 so the upside has always been there, and the Pirates have been torched before giving up on potential aces too soon (see Jason Schmidt). Benson has been solid since June 1, recording a 3.01 ERA and 1.05 ratio. As of midweek Minnesota sounded like a possible destination, and Benson is from that area. But later the Mets became a frontrunner in the Benson sweeps. There are close to a half-dozen potential suitors here.

Nomar Garciaparra � Obviously it is well chronicled that Nomar wants out of Boston, and the contract is up at the end of the year. The Cubs have been mentioned along with even Florida earlier this month. But for some reason I don�t see him going at the deadline.

Steve Finley � Yet another 5/10 guy who basically can call his own shots. Finley doesn�t want to go out east so the contenders are the Padres, Angels, Dodgers, and Giants. Sounds like a Padre-like acquisition to me.

Ugueth Urbina/Jose Mesa � The Cubs and Giants are the two teams seeking veteran closers, Mesa and Triple-U are the leading candidates to be hired guns for those teams.

Carlos Beltran � Late word out of Houston has Beltran staying put, but the Astros are going nothing besides battling the Brewers and Pirates for last place. The Yankees don�t seem as interested as I thought they might be, sounds like a possible Dodger acquisition.

Larry Walker � Another 5/10 players who will be reluctant to leave the team he�s called home for the last ten years. Lets see, Manny, Damon, Walker � sounds like an interesting enough Red Sox outfield to me. Preston Wilson is another candidate to leave Bedrock kicking and screaming, but like Walker injuries are a concern.

Roberto Alomar � If he gets into the hall, whose hat does he wear?? A trade would give him an eighth team to choose from. Perhaps he can wear one of those Gaylord Perry multi-logo jerseys when he hits the Old-Timers circuit. One wild rumor has the D-Backs unloading Robby along with Randy Johnson to get rid of some additional salary.

Orlando Cabrera � Unlike Carlos Delgado, Cabrera can�t wait to leave Canada, and I don�t think he�s too excited about RFK stadium either. The Cubs could probably get a much better value with Cabrera than with Nomar.

Brad Penny/Carl Pavano � The Marlins are still only 3 � games out, but one or both members of this rotation could go in the right blockbuster deal.

Many experts feel that there will actually be more trades after the deadline this year. The only difference is that the players involved must clear waivers first. It sounds easy enough for any team to block a trade, but the risk is that a team could wind up with an unwanted player. HYPOTHETICAL EXAMPLE: Nomar Garciaparra shows up on the waiver wire, Cardinals attempt to block the trade - at which time the Red Sox actually release Nomar, leaving St. Louis with a player they don't really need (Edgar Renteria) while also being stuck paying Nomar's salary for the rest of the year. Best real example of that was the Padres getting stuck with reliever Randy Myers (who had multiple years left on his contract) while trying to keep him from going to an NL rival a few years back.


OTHER NEWS

The mainstream media has finally caught on with Johan Santana, who hasn�t allowed more than four hits in 10 of his last 11 outings. Santana has a 1.42 ERA since June 9 and opponents are hitting a microscopic .095 in 46 innings this month. Quick, who leads the National League in hits??? None other than Mark Loretta, what would had been the odds of that back in March. In another shocker, Cleveland�s Travis Hafner ranks third in the AL in slugging pct. (.589) and OPS (1.008). There was an interesting note in the Sports Weekly column this week, a lineup with nine Barry Bonds would create on average 20.9 runs per game (maybe infinity runs per game as opposing pitchers keep on serving intentional walks. That total dwarfs th likes of Todd Helton (11.32), Travis Hafner (9.72), and Albert Pujols (9.63). The Padres further solidified the infield acquiring Rich Aurilia in the past week, who will spit time with rookie Khalil Greene. The suspension appeal docket at the commissioners office is really getting backed up. Alex Rodriguez, Jason Varitek, Carlos Zambrano, Latroy Hawkins, and David Ortiz are among those appealing suspensions right now. One of the more interesting acquisitions of the week was the offense starved Brewers acquiring all-or-nothing hitter Russell Branyan. In his first series for Milwaukee Branyan lived up to his M-O going 1-12 with six strikeouts, however his one hit went 480 feet, the longest home run in the history of Miller Park.

The story of the Yankee parasite outbreak gets scarier by the week, now it comes out that Gary Sheffield and Jason Giambi�s wife have come down with the illness as well. You have to wonder about others on the team, including Derek Jeter and Alex Rodriguez � who have not seemed themselves at times this year. Finally, check on the status of Tim Worrell on the waiver wire with Billy Wagner's latests DL stint. Word is Wagner may not be totally right for the rest of this season. The Cubs didn't get the OK to play their home series with the Phillies until the last minute due to recent problems concerning Wrigley Field, which brought back memories of the old Seattle Kingdome, where falling tiles forced the Mariners on an extended road trip back in 1994, had it not been for the players strike the M's would had spent the final 2+ months away from their home park. Getting back to the Cubs, on the off chance that Wrigley might not be available I imagine that playing in Comiskey Park would be the first option, the schedule is set up so the White Sox and Cubs are rarely home at the same time.


CDM PICK-UPS/ADDS (FA'S IN BOLD)

ADDS

1. Ben Sheets SP-MIL (584) � But you can�t win if your team doesn�t score.
2. Johan Santana SP-MN (373) � Finally getting run on a national level, I�ve been hyping him for the last month.
3. Victor Martinez C-CLE (214)
� Impressive number of adds for a non free agent.
4. Brad Lidge RP-HOU (88) � Wise owners didn�t take the bait on Hawkins off the free agent list.
5. Jim Thome 1B-PHI (85) � For those who need homers�
6. Carl Crawford OF-TB (82) � �and for those who need steals.
7. Adrian Beltre 3B-LA (52)
� Improves MVP resume with 10 HR and a Bonds like 1.210 OPS for the month.
8. Carlos Guillen SS-DET (35) � Showing more power than that other ex-Mariner shortstop, 11 HR/45 RBI since June 1.
9. Latroy Hawkins RP-CHC (34) � Owners did take notice to the trade rumors, barely in ripple in a FA week. 10. Travis Hafner 1B-CLE (32) � Only one RBI since his homer binge.


DROPS

1. Roy Halladay SP-TOR (461) � Season has been as ugly as the Jays uniforms.
2. Frank Thomas 1B-CWS (146) � Paul Konerko now the leader on the South Side.
3. Matt Herges RP-SF (115) � Opponents hitting .342 on the season.
4. Brandon Webb SP-AZ (101) � Has not struck out more than seven in any game this year, even Victor Santos looks more attractive compared to him.
5. Arthur Rhodes RP-OAK (89) � Maybe the Giants could use him.
6. Kevin Brown SP-NYY (80) � Due to return and is 7-1 on the season. The parasite story with him and Giambi is scary though.
7. Josh Beckett RP-FL (58) � Also due to return this weekend, but one more blister will end his season.
8. Vernon Wells OF-TOR (35) � Does have a couple HR�s this week...
9. Orlando Hudson 2B-TOR (28) � Which is two more than Hudson.
10(T). Mike Piazza C-NYM (27) � RBI production (42) down there with the other garden variety catchers.
10(T). Tim Hudson SP-OAK (27) � Due back the end of next week, ERA/ratio are fine but strikeouts are way down.


WEEK 18 PREVIEW

7 GAMES: CLE, TOR, TB, SEA (everyone else plays six)

HOME: BAL, NYY, TB, DET, KC, MN, AZ, COL, HOU, LA, STL, SD, SF

ROAD: ANH, BOS, CLE, OAK, SEA, TX, ATL, CHC, CIN, MTL, NYM, PHI, PIT (Reds and Cubs visit Colorado)

TWO STARTS: Mike Mussina, Esteban Loiaza, C.C. Sabathia, Mark Mulder, Brad Penny, Kerry Wood, Roger Clemens, Oliver Perez

CDM FA LIST (recommended buys in bold)

C - Javy Lopez (940) - Don't know where the power went, but still hitting .322
1B - Mark Teixeira (760) - Player of the Month candidate slugging .761 with 12 HR/29 RBI in July.
2B - Bret Boone (1540) - Hitting .314 with 17 RBI in July as the Mariners possibly showcase him for an August trade.
3B - Bill Mueller (850) - Numbers far off from 2003's career year.
SS - Jack Wilson (710) - Has walked only 13 times on the year, average has also tailed on in July hitting only .250.
OF - Gary Sheffield (1600) - The next one-time Brewer to make it in the hall??? Has been raking in June and July, driving in 47 runs.
OF - Richard Hidalgo (970) - Also deserves Player of the Month consideration, belting 10 HR and 22 RBI for the month.
OF - David Wells (890) - Nice numbers this year with a 3.66 ERA and 1.12 ratio, lack of strikeouts keep him from being a consideration.
OF - Chris Carpenter (750) - ERA a little high, but you get wins and strikeouts.
RP - Brad Lidge (830) - He will be the top pick-up of the week.





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