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We now turn our attention to the crowded masses of the outfield. Unlike the infield position, there is no consensus #1 pick in either the AL, NL, or overall. There is so much to choose from, that other than straight ranking the players, a better course of action on draft day is to simply address your needs when selecting outfielders, whether it be power, speed, average, or a combination thereof. This page will deal with the AL guys.
Manny Ramirez (BOS/1650/$35) - Manny gets an ever so-slight nod as the top AL outfielder since he's still only 29 and a potential of matching his monster '99 #'s of .333/131/44/165. That would be 165 runs batted in. Manny also hit .351 in 2000, before slipping a bit in his first year in Boston, going .306/93/41/125.
Magglio Ordonez (CWS/1750/$35) - The best 5-cat player available in the AL, coming off a .305/97/31/113/25 season. Although he could be comng up on a career year at age 28, it would be a stretch to expect 40+ bombs.
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Enlist Ichiro, and watch your hits, runs, and steals pile up... |
Juan Gonzalez (TX/1460/$28) - Now back in his old Arlington stomping grounds, which will be a plus. Juan was good for exactly one RBI a game in '01, 140 RBI's but only 140 games - which is the downside. You are only guaranteed five months worth of producutin. Gonzo has also hit .325+ in two of the past three season.
Bernie Williams (NYY/1550/$27) - A huge dropoff begins here. His RBI totals were a little of in '01 (.307/102/26/94/11). Bernies ribbie's usually fall in the 110-120 range. A nice solid four-cat performer, but nothing off the charts.
Raul Mondesi (TOR/1290/$27) - If Raul could just be a .300 hitter instead of .250, he would be Fantasy MVP material. His recent HR #'s (33/24/27) as well as SB's (36/22/30) spell the potential for a .270/100/30/100/30 season.
Shannon Stewart (TOR/1410/$27) - Another potential 5-cat stud in the Toronto outfield. HR's (12) and RBI (60) are the only weak spots. Shannon did hit 21 bombs in 2000, so we know he has that potential. Shannon's other '01 #'s (.316, 103 runs, 27 SB's) were just fine.
Carlos Beltran (KC/1460/$26) - Like rolling the dice??? There is the '99 version of Beltran (.293/112/22/108/27) and the '01 version (.306/106/24/101/31). That would be just fine, but then there's the 2000 model (.247/49/7/44/13 in 98 games). A monster final game of the '01 season (2 HR, 6 RBI) helped some fantasy teams nip their rivals at the end.
Jose Cruz Jr. (TOR/1190/$23) - The third member of fantasy balls best outfileder who is coming off his own 30-30 season (.274/92/34/88/32). The plus side is that he may be peaking at age 28, the downside is '99-'00 BA's of .241 and .242.
Darin Erstad (ANH/1200/$25) - Another lottery player. His 2000 season was a bonified monster (672 AB's,.355/121/25/100/28, along with 366 total bases) but his '99 (.253/84/13/53/13) and '01 (.258/89/9/63/24) were disasters. Fantasy owners would just be happy with a consistant .300/100/20/100/25.
Johnny Damon (BOS/1430/$27) - Damon's a left-hander, so the Green Monster will not come much into play for him. 2001 #'s (.256/108/9/49/27) were a huge drop from 2000 (.327/136/16/88/46).
Mike Cameron (SEA/1370/$25) � Not a bad throw-in for Griff, eh. Though not a great BA guy (.267 the past two years) but is excellent in the other four cats with 99 runs, 25 HR, 110 RBI, and 34 steals in �01.
Garret Anderson (ANH/1210/$22) � Dependable performer who�s only missed nine games in the past three years, compiling 620, 647, and 672 AB�s along the way. When all was said and done last year Garrett wound up with a nice 123 RBI�s to go along with a .289 BA and 28 bombs. Also added a career-high 13 SB�s.
Carlos Lee (CWS/1230/$23) � Looking for a mid-20�s fourth-year explosion, Carlos may be your mind. Slumped with a bad hand in the second-half of �01 but still finished .269/75/24/84/17. His 2000 #�s (.301/107/24/92/13) are a better indication of potential. .300/100/30/100/20 is not an unrealistic expectation.
Jermaine Dye (OAK/1490/$25) � Coming off a .282/91/26/106 campaign, but is also recovering from the broken leg suffered in last years playoffs.
Bobby Higginson (DET/1080/$23) � Added some SB�s (20) to his diet in �01, but other #�s were down the board dramatically � going .277/84/17/71 (in 541 AB�s) v. .300/104/30/102 in �00. Don�t be surprised if he starts having to fight for PT this go around.
Gabe Kapler (TX/940/$20) � Intriguing 5-cat sleeper. Will be fighting Everett, Catalanotto, Rusty Greer, and Carlos Pena for playing time. Coming off a .267/77/17/72/23 season in which he struggled some with mechanics. Kapler did hit .302 in 444 AB�s in �00. Also know for being the cover boy on some muscle magazines a few years back.
Carl Everett (TX/1060/$21) � A lock to miss 40 games a year, if you�re lucky. Stolen bases have dropped from 27 in 2000 to 9 last year (though it�s apparently unlawful to steal bases in Boston). Also dropped from .300/82/34/108 (496 AB�s) in 2000 to .257/61/14/58 last year. Heading to a great offensive situation but look for Greer and others to steal playtime while Carl pouts.
Trot Nixon (BOS/940/$19) � Only has stolen 18 bases the last three years but manager on record for saying Trot is capable of swiping 30 bags. Hope he wasn�t confusing him with Otis. Even without the steals Trot developed nicely in �01 going .280/100/27/88. Anything close to 30 bags on top of that would be pure gravy.
Torii Hunter (MN/830/$15) � Another prospect for those who follow the age 26 rule. Best known for his nightly highlight-reel plays in the outfield, Torii blossomed in 2001 following two years of part-time duty, and ended up with .261/82/27/92/9. Look for additional improvement in the average and steal categories.
Matt Lawton (CLE/1180/$18) � 20+ steals for three straight seasons, but doesn�t off a whole lot else across the board. 20+ HR and a .300 BA would be his top-end potential.
Tim Salmon (ANH/830/$17) � Another inconsistent Angel outfielder who is on or off. Huge drop from .290/108/34/97 in 2000 to .227/63/14/49 last year. And believe it or not, Fish is up to age 33.
Ellis Burks (CLE/1000/$17) � Now 37, Burks still offers decent power, going .280/83/28/74 in 2001.
Ben Grieve (TB/1050/$17) � A career inexplicably going downhill early and fast. Dropped from .279/92/27/104 in 2000 to .264/72/11/72 in 542 AB�s last year. A trade out of Tampa could offer some hope, other than that get him late or cheap if at all.
Mark Quinn (KC/660/$15) � Another player who did not develop as expected in �01, finishing .269/17/60 in 453 AB�s. Worth a late round consideration as he could end up being a decent power hitter in the middle of KC�s order.
Frank Catalanotto (TX/750/$14) � A valuable waiver wire pick-up for many teams during the season, as he surprised by hitting a solid .330, which he�ll be hard pressed to repeat. Also offers home run and stolen base potential in the 15-20 range.
Chris Richard (BAL/700/$12) � Still some upside, as the 27 year-old went .265/74/15/61/11 last year in 483 AB�s. Could also qualify at first base at some juncture, where he appeared 18 times in �01.
Vernon Wells (TOR/440/$9) � People like his speed potential, but is stuck behind Cruz, Mondesi, and Stewart in the Jays outfield.