In my late teens, my older brother introduced me to Sportsmans Park for harness racing under the lights. Some early success and a good time with my friends made going to the track a regular weekend occurrence.
Then I bought a book on handicapping and I learned a lot from my studies, including how to read a racing program. However, I began losing more money than before. The problem is that most handicapping systems lead to the horse which is statistically the best (favorite), many of which lost.
I took what I learned from my studies and began my own research to find out what it takes for a horse to statistically be a good play (a good favorite). How much faster should a horses final time be than the other horses in the race to be a good play? Finding the answer to that question was the beginning of a long quest. Inputting statistics into a database to compare differences in final times along with other variables I thought were relevant, I began to get a basic picture of a good favorite. As I began to understand final times, I was able to develop new systems that don�t rely as heavily on final times. I have recently been applying my systems to other tracks besides my home town with success. I now generate enough plays to make my service worthwhile to many people around the country. I have not finished my quest and probably never will. There is always more to learn and the journey continues.
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