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China Will Corner the Gold Market                  
Thursday, November 16, 2006

Dear Subscriber,

If China were to lay its $1 trillion in reserves end-to-end using dollar bills, the trail of paper would stretch for 96,906,565 miles. That�s enough to wrap around the widest part of the earth 3,876 times!
Clearly, Beijing�s coffers are overflowing. In fact, China has the largest foreign reserves of any country in the history of the planet. Compare that to Washington, which owes nearly $9 trillion, not counting contingent liabilities.

Whose paper currency do you think should have more purchasing power? Naturally, the yuan. Yet that�s not the case � the dollar remains stronger. But not for long. Here�s why ...

China Is Going to Corner The World�s Gold Market

I warned of this nearly three years ago, but now the signs are even clearer: Over the next few years China is essentially going to corner the world�s gold market. In the process, the price of the precious yellow metal could soar to well over $1,000 per ounce, and eventually to more than $2,000 an ounce.
 
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Mind you, this won�t be intentional on China�s part. Beijing will not set out to consciously �corner� the gold market. But, in effect, that will be the end result.

Take it from me. I�ve met with central bankers, banking regulators, and gold traders in China. I know their views on the yuan and gold. I�ve been told that China will be buying up huge amounts of gold.

You see, Beijing knows that the rest of the world perceives China�s economy as loaded down with hidden debts and plagued by corruption. So as China progresses toward superpower economic status, authorities in Beijing want the country�s currency to be a world-class, stable medium of exchange.
They envision the yuan as a major international currency some day, with as much (or more) status than the U.S. dollar. That�s why they�re going to back the yuan with gold ... loads of it.

Consider this: China has a mere 1.3% of its reserves in gold (600 tons). That�s the lowest of any industrialized economy! To put it into perspective ...
� The U.S. has nearly 75% of its foreign reserves in gold.
� The European Union has 26.5% of its reserves in gold.
� Lithuania, Mozambique, and even tiny Nepal all have more of their reserves in gold than China.
          
                      Tonnes         % of                                                          Tonnes     % of
                                         reserves                                                                     reserves

United States    8,133.5        74.5%                     Nigeria                         21.4  1.    1%
Germany          3,423.5        61.4%                     Ukraine                        17.3        1.9%
IMF                 3,217.3        1)                            Belarus                        16.5        24.6%
France             2,768.0         62.9%                     Cyprus                        14.5        5.9%
Italy                 2,451.8         66.1%                     Korea                         14.3        0.1%
Switzerland       1,290.1        42.1%                      Brazil                         13.7        0.4%
Japan                 765.2          1.8%                      Czech Republic            13.5        0.9%
ECB                   662.9          25.8%                     Netherlands Antilles    13.1        34.9%
Netherlands         654.9          57.3%                    Jordan                        12.7        4.6%
China                 600.0           1.3%                      Cambodia                   12.4        19.7%
Spain                  457.7           48.9%                   Mongolia                     8.9        22.3%
Taiwan               423.3            3.2%                    Ghana                         8.7        8.9%
Portugal              402.5            80.3%                   Latvia                         7.7        4.4%
Russia                385.5            3.0%                     El Salvador                  7.3        6.3%
India                  357.7           4.4%                     Myanmar                     7.2        13.8%
Venezuela            357.1           23.3%                   CEMAC                       7.1        2.1%
United Kingdom   310.3           14.1%                   Colombia                     6.9        1.0%
Austria                290.8            43.3%                  Guatemala                   6.9        3.5%
Lebanon              286.8            31.0%                  Macedonia, FYR           6.8        8.1%
Belgium               227.7            34.9%                 Tunisia                         6.8        3.5%
Algeria                 173.6            4.9%                   Lithuania                      5.8        2.7%
BIS                     165.8             1)                       Ireland                        5.5        11.9%
Sweden               161.8             12.1%                 Sri Lanka                     5.2        3.6%
Philippines             146.3           14.0%                 Slovenia                       5.1        1.2%
Libya                    143.8            5.8%                  Bahrain                        4.7        1)
Saudi Arabia          143.0            11.3%                Nepal                          4.0        4.8%
Singapore              127.4            2.0%                 Mexico                         3.5        0.1%
South Africa           124.1           10.5%                Canada                        3.4        0.2%
Turkey                 116.1            3.9%                  Aruba                           3.1        18.1%
Greece                   108.1           76.2%                Hungary                       3.1        0.3%
Romania                 104.8           8.4%                  Kyrgyz Republic           2.6        7.7%
Poland                    102.9           4.3%                Luxembourg                2.3        17.1%
Indonesia                 96.4            4.8%                
Albania                        2.2        2.8%
Thailand                  84.0           2.9%                 Hong Kong                  2.1        0.0%
Australia                  79.8           3.4%                  Iceland                        2.0        4.0%
Kuwait                    79.0            14.5%              Papua New Guinea         2.0        4.0%
Egypt                       75.6            6.7%                Mauritius                       1.9        2.8%
Denmark                  66.5           4.3%                Trinidad and Tobago      1.9        0.7%
Pakistan                   65.3            10.3%             Mozambique                1.7        2.9%
Kazakhstan               59.8            8.8%              Yemen                         1.6        0.5%
Argentina                  54.7            4.2%              Tajikistan                     1.3        14.0%
Finland                     49.1            13.8%              Suriname                     1.1        9.9%
Bulgaria                     39.8            7.6%              Cameroon                    0.9        1.5%
WAEMU                   36.5            9.7%               Honduras                      0.7        0.5%
Malaysia                    36.4            0.9%              Qatar                            0.6        0.2%
Slovak Republic           35.1           5.4%              Dominican Republic      0.6        0.6%
Peru                          34.7           4.8%                Gabon                         0.4        0.8%
Bolivia                       28.3            21.5%              Malawi                       0.4        5.3%
Ecuador                     26.3           22.3%               Central African Rep     0.3        4.7%
Morocco                   22.0            2.4%                Chad                            0.3        2.8%

Just to up its reserves to 5% in gold, Beijing would have to purchase $50 billion worth. That could easily send the yellow metal skyrocketing to more than $1,000 an ounce.

And if China were to match roughly half of the gold reserves held by the United States, it would have to buy another $300 billion worth. That kind of buying would send gold to more than $2,000 an ounce.
We�re getting closer and closer to the day when this starts unfolding. Why?

A few months ago, China announced that it will plow at least 2.5% of its trade surplus into gold. That�s a staggering $2.5 billion of brand new demand for gold every year.

Then, last week, People�s Bank of China governor Zhou Xiaochuan said China�s government is seeking alternative investments to risky U.S. dollars.

My view: China has probably already started purchasing gold. That�s one of the reasons gold is now trading in the $625 range, well above important support levels on the charts between $590 and $600 an ounce.

This is why I suggest getting more aggressive in gold right now. By the time Beijing officially declares that it�s buying gold, it will be too late.

Another Reason Why Gold Can Triple, and Four Ways to Profit

In terms of the purchasing power of today�s dollars, gold reached $2,176 in 1980. But right now, it�s trading near $625 an ounce, less than one-third of its inflation-adjusted high. This alone suggests that gold has much more upside.

Even if gold got halfway to its inflation-adjusted price, it would zoom to more than $1,000 an ounce, more than a 50% gain from current levels.

So is gold undervalued? You bet it is! Just to catch up with inflation, it should soar above $2,000 an ounce. China�s buying would just be the icing on the cake.

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I believe gold is still one of the best bets out there, loaded with huge profit opportunities. No matter what aspect of the market I examine, I see much, much higher prices. So, without further delay, here are four ways to get a stake in gold ...

First, you can buy bullion. For small amounts, a convenient vehicle is 1- and 10-ounce gold ingots. It might be a good idea to own some physical gold this way, but don�t go overboard. It�s too much of a pain in the butt to transport and store it.

Second, I think the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (GLD) exchange-traded fund is a �must-own� investment. Each share represents 1/10 of an ounce of pure gold. And the metal is stored for you! This is the single best way I know of to own physical gold.

Third, consider gold mutual funds like DWS Gold and Precious Metal (SCGDX) and Tocqueville Gold (TGLDX). You can pack them away, with a view toward holding them for at least a couple years. In my view, these funds could double, triple, even quadruple, over that timeframe.

Fourth, you can invest in individual gold stocks. But be careful here. The irony of today�s bull market in gold is that some gold mining companies may actually go out of business as the price of gold soars. Reason: They still hedge too much of their gold production and/or reserves. As I always remind my Real Wealth Report subscribers, you need to be selective.

Best wishes,
Larry

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