The Oil Boom provided enough money for the House of
Saud to explore new avenues in its search for security. An extraordinary
number of heads of state paraded through Riyadh seeking contracts, trade,
and aid at the trough of Saudi plenitude. No sooner were the flags of one
nation pulled off the streetlight poles on Intercontinental Road than
those of another nation went up. Since the King Faisal Specialist Hospital
was a major stop on the official sightseeing tour of Riyadh, I could sit
on my doorstep and literally watch the world go by. France's Valerie
Giscard d'Estaing came, Prince Philip of Britain, and Libyan leader
Muammar Qaddafi, as well as a parade of lesser notables, in cluding the
head of some obscure African state who was encased in a leopard skin and
carried a fly flicker. All of this activity was a procession of homage
before the superrich Saudis. The cavalcade reached its height in February
'979 with the state visit of Elizabeth II of Britain. The queen faced a
substantial challenge as the first female head of state to call on the
Wahhabi kingdom. After so many famous figures had passed tranquilly
through Riyadh, the quiver of excitement and the explosion of publicity in
the capital prior to the queen's arrival was astounding. The dour figures
in the House of Saud were swept up in the excitement, impressed by the
longevity and glamour of the British monarchy. In retrospect, I think they
may also have been fascinated by a visit from a lady.
Before the queen arrived, I was not exactly sure how it would
go. After all, this was male-dominated Saudi Arabia. But the queen came
and Saudi Arabia's men sailed through the ceremonies with aplomb. Although
the Western press reported that the king surmounted the problem of being
seen in public with a woman by declaring Elizabeth an honorary man, the
story is doubtful. There was no reason that female political figures from
the West should not take on the same status as female professionals
working in the kingdom. The Saudis simply deal with them on a different
psychological plane than other women, which allows them to shuck all of
the sexual taboos surrounding fe male chastity. Still, Queen Elizabeth's
dress designers were put to a real test to create a wardrobe that
respected local tradition without clamping the queen into a veil and
abaaya. Her Majesty was swathed in turbans and tulle in her public
appearances with King Khalid. And at the horse and camel race that the
king held in her honor, I saw the queen step from her car attired in a
simple red and white two-piece dress with a long skirt. On her head sat a
matching bowler hat with a whispy veil that subtly fell to her chin.
When Queen Margrethe II of Denmark arrived in Riyadh four years
later, the demands on female dignitaries had decreased remarkably. Her
majesty stood in a receiving line in a knee-length dress with her head
uncovered, firmly shaking hands with smiling Saudi men. But when her
picture appeared in the newspaper, Margrethe had been discreetly hidden
behind a giant pot of tulips.
This grand caravan of foreign visitors was indicative of Saudi
weaah, not Saudi power. The ceremonies the House of Saud attached to
political hospitality marked the reality that Saudi Arabia was militarily
impotent and politically under siege.
King Faisal was the architect of the kingdom's grand scheme of
promoting its security by buying off Saudi Arabia's enemies and
cultivating the American option. After Faisal's death, Khalid continued
his predecessor's policies of staying in the Arab mainstream while pre
serving a close, if strained, relationship with the United States. But by
1980 Saudi Arabia was facing a whole new set of strategic problems. As the
decade of the seventies was characterized by the challenge of leftist
ideologies from within the Arab world, the eighties would be characterized
by the challenge of Islamic fundamentalism. Instead of adopting a whole
new strategy to meet the added challenges, the Saudis have made military
and diplomatic decisions since 1980 on an ad hoc basis. Like a covey of
quail startled into flight, the Saudis go scurrying in all directions as
every new crisis startles them to action. Yet every action taken by the
House of Saud seeks to achieve the same goal of protecting Saudi Arabia's
resources and political system. As a result of this crisis diplomacy, the
House of Saud has become tangled in a morass of conflicts. These have been
created by the essential dichotomies of its present situation: its support
of the mystique of the Arab nation and its fear of revolutionary Arabs;
its image as the de fender of the Islamic nation and the burden of
accusations that monarchy is incompatible with Islam; its practice of
buying off the kingdom's enemies and its financial insecurity arising from
the oil glut; and, finally, the reality of war in the Arabian Gulf and the
threat of rejection by its major arms supplier, the United States.
External political forces on the left and right have menacingly joined
against the kingdom, which is desperately in search of policies and
weapons to shield its vulnerability. From riding the crest of power in the
1973 oil embargo, Saudi Arabia has been reduced, more by circumstances
than ineptitude, to a country forced to panhandle for its own protection.
Basic to Saudi Arabia's problems is the issue of Israel, the
festering sore on the Arab body politic. To maintain what the House of
Saud regards as the kingdom's all-important place in the Arab world, Saudi
Arabia maintains a belligerent stance against the state of Israel. This,
in turn, enormously complicates the kingdom's relationship with the United
States, the guarantor of Saudi security and the cornucopia from which
Israel draws so much of its military and economic resources. The struggle
to balance the demands of its Arab brothers against the demands of its
Western ally consumes prodigious amounts of the Saudis' diplomatic energy,
a feat little understood by the United States.
One must understand how Saudi Arabia views the world to
appreciate the importance the Saudis attach to their standing among other
Arabs. The Saudis see the world as a series of concentric circles, with
Saudi Arabia in the center, surrounded by the Arab world, surrounded by
the Islamic world. In this scheme, the world is largely bipolar - Moslem
and non-Moslem. Central to this concept of bipolarization is an acute
consciousness of being a member of the second ring, the Arab nation, a
consciousness shared by all Arabs. Yet there exists an enormous gap
between the ideal of Arab brotherhood and the national interests and
ambitions of individual countries. Consequently, all relations between
Arab countries are conducted on the basis of unity and discord. Although
profoundly confusing to Westerners, this is not contradictory to Arabs,
who view the Arab nation much like a family. Furthermore, the rules worked
out for the survival of the Arab family are applied to the Arab nation: I
against my brothers; I and my brothers against my cousins; I and my
cousins against the world. Within this psychological context, all
conflicts are viewed as temporary and any unity as permanent.
From the standpoint of its American ally, a great deal of the
confusion about where Saudi loyalties lie (with the United States or with
the Arabs) is in the nature of Arab diplomacy. Arabs, to a large degree,
deal with their disagreements by mediation and meeting in conference.
These traditional patterns of conflict resolution, which for centuries
maintained a certain equilibrium, are now applied to new situations that
have arisen from the absorption of elements of Western culture, not the
least of which is diplomacy conducted in the glare of publicity. A typical
summit conference dealing with the Palestinian issue, for instance, opens
a day or two late. The participants are usually unable to convene or end
the sessions at the appointed time. Arab disunity is expressed by frequent
boycotts of one or several countries, walkouts of delegations during the
conference, or open displays of animosity. There is fiery and flowery
oratory disproportionate to the concrete is- sues being discussed. And the
conference often closes days behind schedule. But these conferences should
not be viewed by the West as either comic or pathetic. Being Arabs, the
parties cannot resist the pull of coming together again and again in the
hope that agreement, as happened in the tribal council tent, will come out
of what seems to be irreconcilable differences. Therefore, the most
fundamental and painful conflicts between Arab nations are regarded as
little more than temporary disagreements that will in time give way to
unity. While they last they in no way encroach on the principle of Arab
brotherhood or the mystique of Arab unity.
Although there is a historical identity among Arabs, the actual
concept of the Arab nation did not emerge until the twentieth century.
Following four hundred years under the yoke of the Ottoman Empire, Arab
nationalism was awakened by the promises of independence made by the
Allied powers in World War I. Nonetheless, after the war the imperialistic
demands of Britain and France dashed the hopes of the Arabs, forcing them
once again under the rule of foreign powers. Only after another war
destroyed Europe's empires did the Arab states of Iraq, Jordan, Syria, and
Lebanon become independent states. But at the same time, another form of
Western imperialism was taking root in the Middle East. Regardless of how
anyone else viewed the issue, the Arabs saw Jewish immigration to
Arab-occupied and British-ruled.
Palestine between 1920 and 1948 as nothing less than European
colonialism, this time packaged as Zionism. The 1948 declaration of the
state of Israel by the Jews of Palestine and the displacement of seven
hundred thousand Arabs from their land served to stoke the passions of
Arab nationalism. Since then, through four wars, multiple domestic
economic crises, and persistent territorial expansion, the United States
has provided enormous sums of military and economic aid to Israel. In the
process, America has become to the Arabs the arch-imperialist of the
Middle East. Four decades after the state of Israel was born, whether the
issues involve the leftist government of Syria or the conservative
monarchy of Saudi Arabia, Arab intercourse with the United States takes
place within the framework of the Arab-Israeli imbroglio.
From the time Franklin Roosevelt brought Abdul Aziz to Cairo in
a failed attempt to charm him into supporting the Jewish state, Saudi
Arabia has stood, however reluctantly, with its Arab brothers in op
position to Israel. Yet unlike the front-line states of Egypt, Syria, and
Jordan, Saudi Arabia's fight against Israel has been verbal and financial,
not military. Abhorring instability above all else, Saudi Arabia sees the
threat from Israel in terms of the unrest the confrontation with its Arab
neighbors churns up on the kingdom's borders. Consequently, in the
frequent flare-ups between Israel and the Arabs, the kingdom seeks
whatever course promises it the most security. Saudi Arabia sup ports the
Arab cause enough to protect the kingdom against repercussions from
radical Arab regimes while being cautious enough not to ignite an Israeli
military strike against Saudi territory or an open break with its American
ally. Except for the token presence of a few soldiers, the kingdom stayed
out of the 1948 war that created Israel. The Saudis also avoided the 1956
Suez war. But with the 1967 war, the six days that so upset the
territorial and psychological balance of the Arab world, it became more
difficult for the Saudis to distance themselves from the central struggle
between Arab and Jew. While the Arabs were humiliated by the scope of
their defeat, Saudi Arabia was profoundly affected in another way.
Jerusalem, the third holiest site in Islam, passed into the hands of the
Israelis. As the self-proclaimed guardian of Islam's holy places, the
House of Saud starkly faced the need to confront Israel in the name of
Islam. Yet King Faisal's concern about the new Israeli territorial
conquests was more political than religious. Faisal saw the Arab-Israeli
struggle as one that strengthened the influence of the So viet Union among
the Arab states and fueled Arab radicalism in the Middle East.
During the 1950's and 1960's, the Saudis had learned an
important lesson about the disfavor of radical regimes. * In 1966 Egypt,
using Yemeni expatriates, executed a series of sabotage bombings targeted
against various installations of the Saudi government and its American
ally. The radicals delivered their message to a defenseless kingdom. The
incidents fueled anew the House of Saud's anxieties about internal
violence. The fear of what is now called terrorism haunted Saudi Ara bia
in the period between the 1967 and 1973 wars.
With the vacuum of political leadership in the Arab world
created by the 1967 war, fear of Egypt was replaced by fear of the
Palestinians. Charging forth from their refugee camps, the Palestinians
declared vengeance on Arab regimes tepid in support of their cause. The
Saudis ranked as a special target because of their strong connection to
the United States. And the kingdom held the promise of a terrorist's
delight because of the logistical impossibility of protecting a highly
exposed oil delivery system and thousands of members of the royal family.
As if to justify these fears, the Popular Front for the Liberation of
Palestine was suspected of blowing up on May 30, 1969, a section of the
Tapline that carried twenty-three million tons of oil a year to
Mediterranean ports.
As the Saudis watched with alarm, the Palestine Liberation
Organization captured international attention in the swirl of publicity
surrounding airline hijackings and the massacre of Olympic athletes. All
the while, Nasser continued to rail against "reactionary forces"
within the Arab fold while he imported more and more Soviet arms and
advisers. But then Gamal Abdul Nasser died, opening the way for Faisal to
pursue his goal of banishing Soviet influence from the Middle East and
reining in the radical Arabs. The 1973 alliance of Egyptian man power and
Saudi oil forged by Nasser's successor, Anwar Sadat, and Faisal ibn Abdul
Aziz was an alliance to restore Arab honor and open the way for some
accommodation with Israel. Although Egypt wanted the return of the Sinai,
Sadat's major goal was to be freed of the enormous military costs
associated with the Arabs' wars against Israel. What Saudi Arabia wanted
in any agreement with Israel was the liberation of Jerusalem from the
hands of the Zionists and some agreement between Israel and her Arab
neighbors that would protect Saudi Arabia by defusing the radical Arabs.
* In Saudi terminology, a radical Arab state is defined by
its political and/or economic system and its level of hostility toward
Israel.
The Yom Kippur War in Jewish terminology and the Ramadan War in
Arab terminology was a war in which everyone miscalculated. Sadat's army
could not sustain its early advances. The Israelis, surprised by the
attack, were pushed back from the Suez Canal and lost many of their
weapons. The United States, failing to appreciate the political nature of
the war, re-supplied the Israelis even in the face of the oil embargo. And
Saudi Arabia, suddenly finding itself incredibly wealthy, sacrificed the
luxury of staying somewhat aloof from the deadly quarrel between the Arabs
and Israel. The oil embargo and subsequent escalation of oil prices threw
Saudi Arabia onto the main stage of Arab politics, a role that presented
the kingdom with as many dangers as it did opportunities. It quickly
became clear that in its new position in the Arab world, the kingdom was
expected not only to use its oil as leverage but to bankroll the Arabs'
military effort against Israel and perhaps even contribute its meager
armed forces. For an action that Faisal anticipated would help stabilize
the Middle East, the oil embargo created even more perils for defenseless
Saudi Arabia.
From the outset, Saudi Arabia was extremely uncomfortable in its
new position of leadership in Arab politics. The conservative King Faisal
found himself forced to bend to the hard line Arab forces in the
Arab-Israeli dispute, which conflicted with the monarchy's need to
maintain its relationship with the United States.
The House of Saud's first defensive move was to keep the
radicals out of Saudi Arabia. One of the prime reasons for Saudi Arabia's
tight visa policy was to control the immigration of the Middle East's
political instability into the kingdom. The House of Saud was determined
to prevent the kingdom from becoming a haven for Palestinians, dragging
Saudi Arabia into the execution of the Palestinians' political agenda. The
Palestinian issue had emotional appeal for the Saudis only as long as
Israel held Jerusalem and as long as the Saudis were not pulled into
direct confrontation with the Jewish state.
Saudi Arabia's insatiable appetite for labor during the oil boom
and the Palestinians' high level of skills made some Palestinian
immigration inevitable. But the Saudis' apprehensions about the
Palestinians they did allow in the kingdom were so acute that few of the
Palestinians I knew would readily admit their origins. Not until I became
well acquainted with them would they confess that their lineage extended
beyond the Hashemite kingdom of Jordan. And most Palestinian professionals
or managers holding jobs in ARAMCO or the government buried their
nationality behind an apolitical facade.
In 1973, in the wake of the Ramadan War, Faisal had reluctantly
allowed the largest faction of the Palestine Liberation Organization, al-Fatab,
to open an office in Riyadh. The move illustrates Saudi Arabia's policy of
extending the symbol but not the substance of commitment to the dreaded
Palestinians.
By the time I arrived in Saudi Arabia, two hundred thousand
Palestinians were working in the kingdom and the PLO was discreetly housed
in a two-story white stucco building on a side street at the top end of
Wassir. The only outward indication of the PLO's presence in the
nondescript structure was the modest quadricolored flag of black, white,
green, and red that flew from a short staff on the roof. One hot day in
late spring, I dropped in on the PLO to find out how it functioned among
its hostile hosts.
I approached the headquarters with a certain amount of
trepidation arising more from the uncertainty of what the Saudi government
might do to a Westerner making contact with the Palestinians than from any
fear of the PLO itself. Just as I passed into the shade of the portico
that extended from the building out over the sidewalk, a man in fatigues
with a small Palestinian flag pinned to his shirt snapped to attention.
Behind him, lolling in the shade on a rather dilapidated folding chair,
was a Saudi in a thobe. I assumed the Ministry of Interior had
posted him on the site to observe who came and went. Since he made no move
to stop me, I walked in the front door, turned left, and popped my head
into the nearest doorway. Except for the absence of women and the way in
which the men were dressed, the room looked surprisingly
like a campaign headquarters in the West. There were two desks,
a large beat-up table, a well-worn sofa, and a collection of mismatched
chairs scattered across the room. In the far corner, a young man stood
cranking out handbills on an antiquated duplicating machine. Other men sat
at the table folding flyers, while others stood in front of a clattering
window air conditioner to take advantage of the pitiful out put of
refrigerated air. One by one, as they saw me, the men stopped whatever
they were doing and fell silent. Standing there with every one's eyes
riveted on me, I felt somehow like an apparition of Western imperialism
that had suddenly materialized. In time one of the young men sitting at
the table recovered enough to rise and greet me. I introduced myself and
explained that I was there because I was interested in learning something
about the organization and activities of the Palestinians in Saudi Arabia.
Still suspicious but conforming to the strong dictates of Arab
hospitality, the man summoned the tea boy and I was asked to sit down. A
few of the others came within hearing distance, but responsibility for
conversing stayed with the young man who had greeted me. In answer to my
prodding questions, he told me that most of the men in the room were
students at the University of Riyadh, some were Palestinian, some were
other Arabs, including a few Saudis. Pressing him further, I asked him
what activities the PLO sponsored at the headquarters and what
restrictions the Saudi government placed on those activities. He explained
that the membership met every other Monday night for commando training.
Since the Saudi government forbid them to possess weapons, they trained
with wooden guns. Then he nervously added that any type of instruction in
explosives was strictly banned.
At this point, a middle-aged, aggressively hostile PLO field
organizer blustered into the room and immediately took over. Challenging
me in a voice that was just below a scream, he demanded to know who I was
and what was I doing there. Assuming I was a spy for the CIA, he launched
into a tirade about American policy in the Middle East. Patiently I waited
while he ticked off the Palestinian grievances against the United States.
Finally, he paused. Before he could collect his thoughts for another
verbal assault, I asked him what the PLO hoped to accomplish in Saudi
Arabia beyond providing a contact point for Palestinians working in the
country. He looked at me, stunned. Becoming totally flustered, he dropped
his aggressive demeanor and went on the defensive. Jumping to his feet, he
firmly declared that he was not allowed to respond to that, the answer
would have to come from higher authority. After repeating this for the
third time, he rose and whirled out of the room.
The students took over again. Ushering me to another room, which
served as a library, they presented me with a head scarf in the design of
the black and white kufiyyah that Yassir Arafat wears, with the PLO
flag set in two corners. Remembering Saudi sensitivities, I stuffed it
deep in my pocket and bid them good-by. As I passed back through the
foyer, the Saudi lookout was on the phone, shouting to someone on the
other end that a Western woman was in the PLO headquarters.
In 1978 the Saudis' ability to tiptoe through the minefield of
Middle Eastern politics while retaining the American option faltered in
the face of the Camp David accords, signed by Israel and Egypt and
mediated by the Saudis' ally, the United States. American strategy was to
use Camp David as the core of a Middle East peace settlement, drawing in
one Arab country at a time until a comprehensive settlement between the
Jews and the Arabs was reached. The key to this strategy was Saudi Arabia,
which in the first phase of the plan the Americans had assigned the role
of bringing the moderate Arabs to the conference table. But because the
agreement contained no firm guarantees for the Palestinians or on the
future of Jerusalem, Saudi Arabia feared its compliance would open the
kingdom to charges from the radical Arabs of being a lackey of American
interests. If the Saudis refused, they would incur the anger of the United
States.
In the aftermath of Camp David, opponents of the peace agreement
banished Egypt from the Arab countries' political organization, the Arab
League. With Syria and Libya in the lead, Arab attention shifted to Saudi
Arabia. Did the kingdom intend to stand with its Arab brothers or with its
Western ally? As the House of Saud wavered, it was possible to feel the
tension of indecision hanging in the air. Finally, the regime, as always,
opted for caution and stayed in the Arab fold. In March 1979, shortly
after the decision was announced, the news that Crown Prince Fahd had gone
into self-imposed exile because of his brothers' refusal to support the
United States flashed through Riyadh like an electric current. Fahd had in
fact left, and he did not return until mid-May. But exactly what Fahd was
doing during this time still remains somewhat a mystery. He was without
doubt making a statement in support of the American alliance. At the same
time, he was grossly overweight and had been ordered by his doctors to use
his home in Spain as a royal fat farm. There was also a rumor circulating
in the hareems that Fahd left Saudi Arabia in order to take a
Moroccan woman as a third wife. In a period of growing nationalism, it was
politically wise for the crown prince, if he chose a foreign wife, to keep
her hidden on the Costa del Sol. The story still lives but the wife has
never been identified in Spain or Saudi Arabia.
Regardless of the auxiliary reasons for Fahd's absence, the
Saudi decision to opt out of the Camp David process has plagued U.S.-Saudi
relations ever since 1979. The United States harbors resentment
against Saudi Arabia for refusing to seize the chance to break the
Arab-Israeli impasse and for expecting American military support while
simultaneously sabotaging American peace efforts. The Saudis accuse the
Americans of failing to understand their fragile position within the Arab
world and of not appreciating Saudi Arabia's efforts during the period of
severe shortages to maintain high rates of oil production in order to hold
down prices and keep the West supplied with petroleum. As the United
States drew even closer to Israel after the Saudi rebuff over Camp David,
the Saudis once again intensified their search for an alternative to the
American alliance.
In the late 1970's and early 1980s, Saudi Arabia's
rulers, driven by the absence of any military strength or political
leverage beyond money, hit on the strategy of forging Islamic fervor into
a tool to promote Saudi Arabia's own national interests. Not since the
days of the evangelical union of the missionaries and the imperialists of
nineteenth- century Europe was religion to play such a commanding role in
the foreign policy of any country.
The architect of this linkage of foreign policy to religion was
Saudi Arabia's foreign minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal. The tall, brooding
son of the late King Faisal sought to mobilize Saudi Arabia's resources of
oil, cash, and diplomatic influence, and above all the spiritual legacy of
custodianship of Mecca, to establish Saudi Arabia's position as a major
force in the Moslem world and to assure the kingdom's dominance over the
entire Arabian Peninsula.
By promoting universal Islamic solidarity, the House of Saud was
striving to escape the specter of pan-Arabism that had haunted it since
the 1950s. Through the stormy years with Gamal Abdul Nasser and
into the period of the revolutionary ascension of Syria's Hafiz Assad and
Iraq's Saddam Hussein and on into the heyday of the PLO, the Saudis had
never been comfortable with the concept of Arab unity hawked by the pan-Arabists.
The secularism and socialism preached by the pan-Arab movement had little
appeal to all but a tiny minority of Saudis. There was either no firm
understanding of the philosophy or it was seen as diluting the position of
religion. Even more important, though, was the threat the Saudis perceived
from the pan-Arab appeals of the Arab socialists. Any political theory
that implied that the wealth from the oil-rich Arab states should be
distributed among its poorer Arab brothers was appalling to a people who
had endured centuries of poverty more severe than most of its neighbors
now knew. All the Saudis wanted, royalty and commoner alike, was regional
stability that would give Saudi Arabia the opportunity to control its pace
of modernization and to enjoy the advantages of its wealth in peace.
The meteoric rise in oil prices following the oil embargo and
the political dividend of seeing the Western world crawl on its knees to
the oil producers was not lost on the image-conscious Saudis. From this
pinnacle of Saudi Arabia's influence and power, the concept of "petro-Islam"
was born.* Under this policy, the prestige and money derived from the
energy shortage would be used to forge a new alliance among not just Arabs
but all Islamic peoples. This would allow the House of Saud to move out
from the prison of pan-Arabism with its threats of violence and socialist
unity into the broader, safer world of Islam. For as long as the oil boom
lasted, Saudi Arabia was determined to shift the balance of power in the
Middle East from the forces of thawra ("revolution") to
the forces of tharawa ("fortune").
Saudi Arabia's image as leader of the Moslem world was promoted
by the sheer circumstance of being the cradle of Islam. The House of Saud
believed that by coupling its image as the champion of Islam with its vast
financial resources, petro-Islam could mobilize the approximately six
hundred million Moslem faithful worldwide to defend Saudi Arabia against
the real and perceived threats to its security and its rulers.
Consequently, a whole panoply of devices was adopted to tie Islamic
peoples to the fortunes of Saudi Arabia.
The House of Saud has embraced the hajj, or pilgrimage to
Mecca, as a major symbol of the kingdom's commitment to the Islamic world.
Every year the Saudis host over two million foreign visitors making the hajj.
These "guests of God" are the beneficiaries of the enormous
sums of money and effort that Saudi Arabia expends on polishing its image
among the faithful. The Ministry of Pilgrimage and Endowments at the time
that Saudi Arabia had more money than it could spend brought in heavy
earth-moving equipment to level millions of square meters of hill peaks to
accommodate pilgrims' tents, which were then equipped with electricity.
One year the ministry had copious amounts of costly ice carted from Mecca
to wherever the white-robed hajjis were performing their religious
rites.
During the petro-Islam offensive, the goodwill generated by the hajj
was followed up. Through its generosity, Saudi Arabia established de
partments of Islamic studies at universities throughout the world, which
were regularly visited by members of the Saudi royal family on the road as
roving ambassadors. Lavish funding for elaborate mosques in places as
divergent as Islamabad and Regency Park in London's fashionable West End
was provided by Saudi Arabia. In fact, one never knew when one might
stumble on another symbol of Saudi philanthropy. I was once standing in
the shade of an ornate mosque under construction on the Israeli-occupied
West Bank, halfway between the Jewish settlement of Qiriyat Araba and the
Arab town of Hebron. As I was glancing up toward the surrounding hills, a
handsome brass plaque embedded in the wall of the mosque caught my eye.
Simply inscribed on its polished face was "Gift of Saudi
Arabia."
* 'Petro-Islam" is a term coined by Middle Eastern scholar
Fouad Ajami.
In addition, a steady stream of Islamic political figures both
famous and obscure passed through Saudi Arabia's elaborate hospitality
routine. Ghazi Algosaibi, minister of Industry and Electricity at the
time, tells the story of a visit to Saudi Arabia by the infamous Idi Amin
Oumee Dada, President for Life of Uganda. With the endless procession of
personalities coming through Saudi Arabia, cabinet ministers hosted the
visiting heads of state on a rotating basis. When Amin arrived, it was
Algosaibi's turn. The welcoming delegation, made up of the crown prince,
the chief of protocol, various ministers, and the military band, was
standing on the tarmac when Amin's plane rolled to a stop. As soon as the
engines shut down, the cabin door opened and a steward stepped forward. He
reached for a hook just above the opening and pulled down what looked like
a giant window shade on which was painted a life-size portrait of the
Ugandan leader. Not knowing what to expect next, the Saudi chief of
protocol ordered the band to strike up its music. As if on cue, the
portrait rolled up and out stepped Idi Amin. In an attempt to impress his
hosts, the tall, rotund Amin was clad in what he thought were Saudi
clothes. On his ample body was a tight nightshirt split around the bottom
every six inches, creating long strips that extended above his pudgy
knees. And on his head lay a big white handkerchief with a knot tied at
each corner. Fahd, the crown prince, went into paroxysms of laughter.
Pulling the end of his gutra to hide his face from the television
cameras, he turned to Algosaibi and said, "Take this man and find him
some real Saudi clothes!"
Heads of state like Idi Amin stay in King Saud's old palace,
which has been turned into a guest house. Decidedly theatrical, it looks
like a Hollywood version of an Arabian villa. Down the street, the
government built a multimillion dollar center for international
conferences of Moslem leaders and organizations. In a style that can best
be described as "Arabesque modern," the impressive complex
contains a multi story hotel, with an interior atrium paneled with rich,
dark wood, an imposing mosque, and a vast round conference hall, wired
with all the most advanced audiovisual technology and dominated by a heavy
crystal chandelier that cost more than a million dollars. But the opulence
of the hall pales in comparison to the dining facilities in the hotel.
There are banquet halls and tearooms everywhere, all furnished with sleek
chrome tables and Arabized Louis XIV chairs embellished with overwrought
damask and heavy fringe. In room after room, elongated dining tables
seating dozens are lined up and dressed in silky cloths, fine china,
pristine crystal, and the gold-toned flatwear that the Saudi taste so much
admires. The only credential required for leaders from Bangladesh to
Senegal to share in the grandeur is that the visitor be Moslem.
During the petro-Islam blitz, Saudi Arabia mobilized its oil
revenues to sponsor a multitude of political and financial organizations
aimed at proving that Islam is a cohesive force that transcends
nationality and culture to unite all believers in brotherhood. Bypassing
the Arab League, Islamic diplomacy was carried on through the
thirty-seven-member Organization of Islamic Conferences (OIC) and the
Moslem League, created and nurtured by Saudi Arabia. Through these groups,
the Saudis channeled financial aid to the poorer Islamic states, making
Saudi Arabia the major financier of the Moslem world. Unilateral
government-to-government funds were dispersed through the Saudi
Development Fund, which granted loans totaling approximately $557 million
during the 1979 fiscal year alone. In addition, Saudi Arabia was a highly
visible, generous contributor to the Islamic Development Bank, which
between 1975 and 1980 financed projects totaling $930 million
in thirty countries, to the Islamic Center for Trade, to the Islamic
Chamber of Commerce, to the Islamic Industry and Commodity Exchange, and
on through an entire collection of Moslem associations.
All the while, members of the Saudi royal family constantly
moved through the Islamic countries, pouring oil and its golden residue on
troubled waters. Through petro-Islam, Saudi whims and desires could, for a
time, make or break the designs of many leaders. The Saudis used their
leverage openly with every country from monarchist Dubai to leftist Syria.
But the Saudis were never able to control the Arab League.
The Arab League, composed of twenty-one member nations plus the
Palestine Liberation Organization, not only exerts the most pressure
within Arab affairs but also dominates the Organization of Islamic
Conferences. The challenge to Saudi Arabia's preeminence within the League
and its whole Islamic foreign policy came from the infamous, mercurial,
and violently antimonarchial Colonel Muammar Qaddafi. Riding his own wave
of 011 wealth, the diminutive Qaddafi, bemedaled and bedecked in a
multitude of uniforms, whirled out of North Africa. Everything that
Qaddafi would stand for was anathema to the House of Saud. Brandishing an
irresistible charisma among the lower classes throughout the Arab world,
Qaddafi proclaimed himself the new Moslem messiah. In his rhetoric, he
summoned forth a new pan-Arab movement that would merge the Arab states,
rich and poor, under some form of Islamic socialism with himself at the
helm. To the horror of the House of Saud, Qaddafi succeeded in promoting
his own foreign policy by combining the emotion of Islam with the
economics of socialism. In essence, he not only challenged the Saudis with
the very threat they were trying to escape, pan-Arabism, but he had done
so by capturing the al-Sauds' own platform - Islamic unity.
Even though relations between Libya and Saudi Arabia were
strained, Qaddafi was a frequent visitor to the Guest Palace. In July 1979
he prayed at Riyadh's al-Maadhar mosque, prominently stationed between
King Khalid and Crown Prince Fahd. It was a grand act in the House of
Saud's constant struggle to hold Arab animosities toward the kingdom in
check. But Qaddafi would not be checked. When the early- warning
surveillance planes provided to Saudi Arabia by the United States arrived
in October 1980, Qaddafi launched a vituperative verbal assault on the
House of Saud. He claimed that the idea of American- owned planes manned
by American crews flying over Mecca was in tolerable to the Moslem nation
and urged the Saudi people to rise up against the House of Saud to restore
their honor. In response, Saudi Arabia broke diplomatic relations with
Tripoli.
Each using its own combination of oil money and religion, the
House of Saud sought to stabilize the Middle East and Qaddafi sought to
foment conflict. Through the rhetoric of Muammar Qaddafi, Saudi Arabia
trembled at the possibility that Libya would disrupt the Middle East,
which was tantamount to destroying the political stability that was the
whole goal of petro-Islam.
Since some accommodation to Israel was central to any kind of
stability, Crown Prince Fahd launched a new peace initiative among the
Arabs in 1981. The Fahd plan would replace the Camp David accords
as the basis for negotiation between the Arabs and Israel. Requiring
Israel to withdraw from the occupied territories and to accept a
Palestinian state with Jerusalem as its capital (terms considered
impossible by the Israelis), the plan nevertheless implied more clearly
the recognition of the state of Israel than any previous Arab position.
Saud al Faisal as well as Jafar Allaghany, Saudi Arabia's representative
to the United Nations, both stated that Saudi Arabia was willing to
recognize Israel under the terms of the Fahd plan. As the plan originally
escaped the condemnation of Syria and appeared to be acceptable to the
PLO, the possibility emerged that Saudi Arabia might deliver the PLO and
the United States might deliver Israel to the conference table. Then
everything began to fall apart. Syria and Iraq, recipients of massive
amounts of Saudi economic aid, went on the offensive against the plan. The
acquiescence of Yassir Arafat fell victim to his own radical wing. And the
United States, after originally endorsing the plan, began to back off in
order to mend relations with Israel. Frightened, the Saudis failed to
press ahead, allowing the plan to be sabotaged by the radicals. It was
finally laid to rest after the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982.
Saudi Arabia's main problem in its excursion through Islamic
politics was that its push for regional stability left an ideological
vacuum that petro-Islam was not capable of filling. Islam standing alone,
unsupported by either a charismatic figure or a message of rage against
the corrupting influence of the West, could not mobilize the Islamic world
or bypass pan-Arabism. Petro-Islam was not so much a viable policy as an
entrenchment of a conservative moral and political ideology backed up by
little but oil money. And because petro-Islam depended as much on money as
religion, the oil glut effectively ended Saudi Arabia's attempt to weld
the Islamic world together in its own defense. Over the ashes of petro-Islam,
a new Islamic crusade began to push into the Middle East from Iran.
When the Iraq-Iran war began in 1980, the Arab world was divided
into the familiar pattern of the moderate camp versus the radicals. Egypt,
shepherded by Saudi Arabia, had tenuously returned to the Arab fold to
join Jordan, Kuwait, and the sheikhdoms of the Arabian Gulf to form the
moderate bloc. Allying themselves with leftist Iraq as common enemies of
Khomeini's ideology, the oil states would bankroll the Iraqi war effort.
Syria, leading the opposing camp, supported Iran be cause of Hafiz Assad's
long-standing rivalry with Iraq's political regime. Libya's Qaddafi,
touting Islamic revolution, joined Syria. Saudi Arabia as the richest of
the oil states directed policy toward its own ends. Iraq would be
supported with enough money to stop an Iranian victory. At the same time,
the House of Saud would continue to purchase a measure of security by its
time-honored mechanism of funneling monetary grants to the leader of the
opposition, Syria, and to Yas sir Arafat's Fatah, the most moderate of the
politically viable factions of the PLO and one under heavy attack from
Syria.
The Saudis had no hesitation in pulling out all the stops to
support Iraq, its former adversary. The threat from Iran under Khomeini is
proving far greater than the somewhat limited territorial ambitions of the
former shah. Khomeini and his Shiite followers are pushing a religious and
political revolution that recognizes no national boundaries. It aims to
wash away established governments, especially Iraq and the gulf
monarchies, and to replace them with Islamic republics or "societies
of the just" and to drive Western influence out of the world of
Islam. Saudi Arabia is a particularly vulnerable target of Khomeini's
fanaticism because it is a monarchy tied in an alliance with the United
States. Major plots by Khomeini disciples to destabilize Bahrain and Saudi
Arabia were uncovered in 1981. By 1983 the Saudis were compelled to
sell anywhere from 200,000 barrels of oil per day (by Saudi government
estimates) to 800,000 barrels a day (by the estimate of an American
intelligence agent) in support of the Iraqi war effort. Even the hajj, the
linchpin of Saudi Arabia's Islamic strategy, came under attack by Iran. On
the eve of the 1983 hajj, Prince Naif, the minister of Interior,
charged that since 1980 Iranian pilgrims to Mecca had engaged in
"political and demagogic activities," distributed pro- Khomeini
pamphlets, called for revolution against the monarchy of Saudi Arabia, and
even attempted to carry concealed weapons into the Holy Haram, the sacred
area around the mosque. Saudi Arabia was facing the grim truth that
militant Iran intended to pursue its revolutionary goals in the Arabian
Gulf by means the Saudis had always dreaded: the combination of external
pressure and internal subversion.
Saudi Arabia, baffled about how to combat an assault from the
right, organized the 1983 military maneuvers, the first ever held with its
partners in the Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC). The military exercises
fulfilled more a symbolic than a military function by serving no tice on
the West that the Saudis and their gulf neighbors were prepared to stake
out their own position, free of the menacing American connection. The Gulf
Cooperative Council, an alliance of the sheikhdoms of Kuwait, Bahrain,
Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates in concert with larger, richer
Saudi Arabia, is the culmination of the Saudis' latest plan to defend
themselves. The organization was originally constituted in 1976 in an
effort to pool information on criminals and political dissidents in the
gulf region. As strategic considerations in the area changed, it would
become the framework for a defensive alliance that was outside the Arab
League and its radical politics and outside the sphere of either
superpower, East or West. In 1981 the GCC was formalized and
expanded. Although the council has moved forward to free up the movement
of capital and manpower between its members, Ito create its own trade
zone, to connect its members with roads and bridges, and even to talk of
unifying its currencies, its prime objective is to provide a security
shield in the gulf. Members of the GCC coordinate their armies through
training, strategic exercises, integrated weapons systems, and their own
light arms industry. But can they actually protect themselves?
In December 1983 a Lebanese Shiite group loyal to Iran set off a
series of bombs in neighboring Kuwait, just to the north of Saudi oil
fields.* Consternation reigned in Saudi Arabia as Saudis clustered around
television screens unreeling films of the destruction. Government
pronouncements about Saudi Arabia's ability and determination to defend
itself filled the newspapers. The night following the incident, I was
changing planes at the airport in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia's major air
facility on the gulf. With the level of alarm the attack had set off in
Riyadh, I expected to find security forces of the military on full alert
and conspicuously placed. Instead, as I walked through the terminal I saw
nothing beyond the usual number of unarmed airport guards watching the
normal movement of passenger traffic. It was 2:00 A.M. when I emerged from
the unattended door of the terminal. The area outside was largely
deserted. The only clue that anything out of the ordinary was happening
was that the incandescent lights that usually flood the parking lot had
been dimmed. Otherwise, there was stillness. And then Out of the dark,
humid night, a jeep quietly approached. One soldier, with the gutra under
his military helmet drawn across his mouth and nose, sat behind the wheel.
Another man faced the rear, his arm slung across an M16 mounted on a
tripod. They slowed then crept on, leaving me once again in the hushed
stillness.
The terrorist attack on Kuwait was only one episode in a steady
progression of events that have shaken the Arabian Gulf since 1980. Weary
in the war, Iran threatened to close the vital Strait of Hormuz, the
narrow passage in the gulf through which all oil tankers must pass. And
Iraq and Iran both bomb and strafe gulf shipping with impunity. To protect
its markets from these potential bottlenecks in the gulf, Saudi Arabia has
stored oil at various times in critical locations in western Europe and
the Caribbean. Forty million barrels of oil are believed to have been in
floating storage in 1985. By 1986 Saudi Arabia's trans-peninsula pipeline
was carrying Iraqi as well as Saudi crude from the Arabian Gulf to Red Sea
ports, bypassing the dangers of the gulf. Through these measures, Saudi
Arabia has ensured that a level of oil shipments will continue as long as
the vulnerable fields and the delivery system do not fall victim to
Iranian encroachment.
*This is the group suspected of holding the American hostages
in Lebanon
Iranian testing of the oil fields defense system began in the
spring of 1984. In May a Liberian tanker was attacked by an Iranian
fighter in or very near Saudi Arabia's territorial waters. Although the
Saudi defense ministry was loath to admit the incursion, before the week
was over a U.S. Air Force unit was in residence at the Riyadh Marriott
Hotel and the United States had shipped the Saudis four hundred Stinger
missiles.* In June, one, possibly two, Iranian planes skirted the coast
line near the Ras Tanura oil-loading facilities. Picked up on the
sophisticated radar of the AWACS, one plane was downed over the gulf by an
F-15 of the Royal Saudi Air Force. This time the government had to admit
that its territory had been violated. That night I stood on my small
balcony, watching as planes, in a continuous circle, took off and landed
from the direction of Dhahran. After years of successfully staying out of
armed conflicts, it seemed that Saudi Arabia might now be threatened with
war at its frontiers. A tension that I had not felt since the uprising at
Mecca permeated the atmosphere. Westerners once more wondered how much
longer they might be able to stay.
The crisis passed. The shipping lanes were still being
assaulted, but the Strait of Hormuz stayed open. The land war bogged down
once again in the marshes of the Shatt al-Arab. Iraq, as long as Saudi
money held out, appeared to be holding the Iranians at bay. Then in the
spring of 1986, two years later, Iranian troops broke out, crossing the
Shatt al-Arab to occupy the Faw Peninsula. Iran was sitting on the
doorstep of Kuwait. Across the city-state is the open plain to Riyadh.
Short of intervention by the United States, the only defense the
gulf states have is the arsenal of weapons the members of the GCC buy in
prodigious amounts from the West. In 1985 Saudi Arabia alone spent $17.7
billion on defense, nearly a third of all government spending. The
kingdom and its GCC partners have bought sophisticated aircraft, missiles,
tanks, armored personnel carriers, air defense systems, and surveillance
planes. Yet so short is manpower that together they have been able to
assemble only one five-thousand-man force, which is stationed at the King
Khalid Military City near the border with Ku wait. There they wait in case
the Iranians come. Although the GCC, led by Saudi Arabia's American-made
fighter planes, probably has better equipment than Iran, the unknown is
how well the Saudis and their partners would perform under fire. Except
for the 1984 air skir mish over the Arabian Gulf, the GCC forces have no
combat experi ence, have a cultural tradition that shuns military
discipline, and lack the revolutionary fervor that has sustained the
Iranians through six years of grueling war. Now they have another grave
problem: access to the hardware that would give them any chance of fending
off at tack.
*The Stinger is an ideal weapon for Saudi Arabia. It can be
carried and fired by one man, maximizing Saudi manpower, and it is
particularly effective in use against low-flying aircraft.
The United States, the Saudis' supplier of first choice, appears
by the actions of Congress to be shutting down arms sales. The 1981 sale
of the AWACS surveillance planes to Saudi Arabia was a political
donnybrook. The Saudis' request to buy additional F-15s in 1985 was mired
down. The arms package the Saudis sought in the spring of 1986 was
originally voted down by Congress. Later when the arms sale proposal was
stripped of the Stinger missiles, President Reagan's veto of the
Congressional rejection was sustained with just enough votes.
Congress and the president sidestepped the issue of whether or
not the AWACS Saudi Arabia was given permission to buy in 1981 could be
delivered. It is not only weapon supplies that are at issue. The Saudis'
public humiliation at being forced to grovel before the American Congress
strikes at the heart of Saudi honor. Begging for the arms to protect
itself from Iran, an enemy that Saudi Arabia shares with the United
States, offends the sensitive Saudis as nothing else in the long,
difficult relationship between the two countries. Nevertheless, a
combination of diminished dependence on Saudi oil, the domestic political
reality of Israel's allies in the American electorate, and the
misconception in the American mind of all Arabs as terrorists is straining
the American alliance as it has never been strained before.
Much of the current difficulty between the Americans and the
Saudis lies in how each perceives the power of the other. The United
States throughout the history of the alliance has expected the Saudis to
deliver something concrete in the way of Arab willingness to accept the
existence of Israel. Misled by the kingdom's ability to influence oil
markets with its vast petroleum reserves, the United States deludes itself
that the Saudis can effectively moderate Arab opposition to Israel. Ever
since the Camp David accords were signed, the Carter and Reagan
administrations have shared one miscalculation. Both have overestimated
what the House of Saud can actually deliver. Defenseless, threatened by
opposing political philosophies, custodians of a society still emerging
from the feudal era, Saudi Arabia does not lead, it muddles through. It is
folly to count on the Saudis for what they cannot be - a powerful force
within the Arab political constellation.
But the misconceptions in the alliance are by no means
one-sided. The Saudis have as little appreciation of what the United
States can extract from Israel as the United States has of what the Saudis
can extract from the Arabs. Barry Rubin of the Georgetown Center for
Strategic Studies has said, the local actors in the Middle East expect the
United States to provide a solution [for the area's problems), and they
invariably overstate American power. They expect the United States to do
all the work, make the concessions, and take the blame. In this game,
questioning American credibility is simply a bargaining chip. *
Thus the alliance stands, each partner trapped in its own myths.
The value of the American alliance has already split the House
of Saud. The family has been long divided between the pro-American faction
led by King Fahd and Prince Sultan, the defense minister, and the
nationalists who rally around Crown Prince Abdullah and Saud al Faisal,
the foreign minister. The pro-American faction believes that no matter how
much the kingdom seeks other defense strategies, in the end America is its
only option. The nationalists, whom many would claim are simply
anti-Western, fervently believe that Saudi Arabia al ways has been in a
one-way alliance with the United States. While the Saudis produced enough
oil to sustain Western economies during the years of the oil drought and
risked their own political well-being by serving as the counterweight to
radical Arabs, the United States did nothing to wring concessions from
Israel. Furthermore, the United States, instead of moderating its policy
toward Israel, has become increasingly supportive of it during the years
of the Reagan administration. The Israeli invasion of Lebanon, the bombing
of the PLO headquarters in Tunis, American acquiescence to Jewish
colonization of the West Bank, the bombing of Libya, and the denial of
arms to Saudi Arabia on the grounds that the Saudis support terrorists
have all combined to con vince the nationalists that the interests of the
House of Saud lie in opposing the United States. To bolster the argument
of the nationalists, Saud al-Faisal frequently discusses the Saudis'
option of seeking Soviet support. But although the Saudis periodically
vent their frustrations with the United States by threatening to improve
relations with the Soviet Union, the Russians are even more unpalatable to
them. The Soviets are socialists politically and atheists religiously,
neither of which is compatible with a conservative monarchy that functions
like a Pseudo-theocracy. Riyadh and Moscow may exchange ambassadors in the
near future, but as long as the House of Saud rules, relations are likely
to stay at arm's length.
*Barry Rubin, "Two Years After, Lebanon's Lessons,"
New York Times, August 29, 1984.
Instead, to balance the factions in the royal family and to
return to the tried-and-true practice of buying off their enemies, Saudi
Arabia is the scurrying to mend its fences with the radical Arabs. The
primary beneficiary of the Saudis' latest diplomatic stance is Syria, ally
of Libya, supporter of Iran, and major destabilizer of the Middle East. In
a pe riod of severe economic strain, Saudi Arabia is providing Syria with
perhaps as much as half a billion dollars a year in aid. Stopping short of
subjugating themselves to Hafiz Assad's leadership, the Saudis are
gambling that they can moderate Assad's actions toward Israel and his
sponsorship of the anti-Arafat faction of the PLO. Most important, the
House of Saud seeks to win Assad's intervention with Iran to convince the
ayatollahs to stay clear of Saudi territory.
Unless the House of Saud falls to a radical political regime,
the United States remains the ultimate guarantor of the kingdom's security
in spite of the Saudis' alternative defense pacts. Despite the opposition
of the nationalists, the House of Saud also largely accepts this truth. As
a result, the Saudis have built military facilities and purchased
equipment with an eye toward the use of friendly forces in an emergency.
Military bases have been built large enough to accommodate Pakistani
mercenaries as well as a Jordanian rapid deployment force to fill the role
that Iran was to fill under the shah, to hold off a hostile attack until
the United States arrives. Airfields have redundant runways to handle the
aircraft of the U.S. Air Force. Military hardware, including radar and
communications equipment, has been bought for its compatibility with the
equipment of an American intervention force.
The United States in its current relations with Saudi Arabia is
also forced to face the hard truth that the kingdom falls within its vital
interests. Commanding oil reserves of ioo billion barrels, Saudi Arabia
has as much oil as the total proven reserves of the United States, the
Soviet Union, Mexico, and Venezuela combined. Those reserves will loom
even larger when the next cycle of want and plenty in the petroleum market
hits the Western industrial nations in the 1990$. Cur rent American policy
is simply making the task of safeguarding Saudi Arabia more difficult.
Because of the political pressures within the United States, Saudi Arabia
is being forced to turn to the British and French for military supplies.
And the Europeans are happily filling the void. While the Saudis secure
their weapons and Congressmen and presidents gauge the domestic political
scene, Saudi Arabia and its gulf allies are acquiring a hodgepodge of
incompatible equipment that can not be easily supplemented by the
Americans in case the United States does have to intervene.
Ironically, the crisis in American-Saudi relations is coming at
a time when the two countries share a remarkable compatibility of
interests in their defense against the insidious hatred fanned by Iran's
Islamic rev olution. The oil monarchies of Bahrain and Kuwait have both
been victims of a war of subversion from Iran. Nor in all probability has
Saudi Arabia escaped. In the spring of 1985, Riyadh, the physical,
historic, and visceral center of the kingdom of the al-Sauds, was hit by
two terrorist bombs. Little damage resulted, but the symbolism was
profound. The House of Saud had been struck at its heart, its inland
capital. And the targets were manifestations of the Western presence: a
compound housing American advisers for the Saudi Arabian National Guard,
and a nearby pizza parlor, one of the more odious icons of Westernization.
The perpetrators escaped and responsibility was never assigned. No one
seriously believed it was the work of either Saudi liberals or religious
fundamentalists. This left the whole range of Saudi Arabia's foreign
opponents to consider: radical Palestinians, terrorist groups under the
sponsorship of Muammar Qaddafi, or Shiites under the sway of Iran's
Ayatollah Khomeini. The most likely source was any one of a number of
opposition groups answering to the ideology of the Islamic revolution.
Appealing to the significant numbers of Shiites and other disaffected
Moslems scattered through the gulf region, Khomeini and his followers cry
out for revolution against the evil, Western-tainted monarchies. These
calls to battle in the name of Islam carry with them an acrid condemnation
of the West, especially the United States, the "great Satan."
Western passions in the Arabian Gulf have waned in proportion to
the rise in oil supplies. But the peninsula remains one of the most
strategic regions in the world for Western interests. Any interruption in
the flow of gulf oil would generate a major Western economic crisis that
would carry over into the military, affecting the viability of NATO. The
present threat to Western oil supplies lies with the fomenting revolution
against Westernization that is stoked by the rhetoric coming out of Iran.
"It is in the Gulf that the Iranian revolution will either be
contained or will receive the fuel it needs to spread." *
Consequently, the West is facing a new battle of ideologies. The major
East-West conflict in the Middle East has ceased to be the struggle over
Marxist ideology between the surrogates of the superpowers. The new East-
West conflict is between the traditions of Islam and the cultural
imperialism of the West. As a result, the Western nations, especially the
United States, can no longer conduct their relations with Saudi Arabia
solely in terms of the Arab-Israeli dispute.
*Mazher Ham, Arabia Imperiled. The Security imperatives of
the Arab Gulf States (Washington, D.C.: Middle East Assessments Group,
1986), quoted in the Christian Science Monitor, July 10, 1986, p.21.