CHAPTER 7
Big Deals and Dangerous Games
Despite the various promises to control the flow of arms to the
Middle East made by President Bush, Prime Minister Major and other Western
leaders during the crisis and subsequent Gulf War, one of the results of
this war has been an acceleration in the already massive Saudi armaments
programme. Superficially it looks as if Saudi Arabia is building a strong
army to protect itself against future contingencies, but this is not the
case and recent Saudi arms purchases are nothing more than an extension of
an old policy which was exposed as ineffective when the country proved
itself unable to face the Iraqi threat alone.
Even before August 1990 Saudi Arabia had more arms than its
small armed forces could use, or master. This fact, known to both Saudi
Arabia and its arms suppliers - America had a military training mission in
the country - was disguised to fool the Saudi people and the country's
neighbours and potential enemies. The House of Saud pretended it could use
the arms to conceal its dependence on the West for protection. The Saudi
people, particularly the strong Muslim fundamentalist movement, would have
objected to too close a relationship with the infidel West and the Arabs
and Muslims would have seen the dependence as neo-colonialism and would
have tried to foment trouble regionally and within the country.
The country's Western protectors, particularly the Americans,
shared the concern of the House of Saud over their people's as well as
Arab and Muslim reaction to any disclosure of the truth. In addition the
West had an interest in selling Saudi Arabia military hardware, even when
it knew that arms purchases alone could not produce an effective military
force. These two considerations made the West an implicit co-conspirator
in the game of pretence. The maintenance of this pretence and its
elevation to the status of a defence policy were aided by the existence of
a powerful inter-mediary establishment, an influential group of princes
and arms dealers who realized billions of dollars worth of commissions
from the country's huge military procurement programme. For the most part
the intermediaries were the very same Saudi decision-makers who formulated
their country's phoney defence policy.
Now, with the Gulf War as background, the House of Saud uses all
the original reasons for pretending to build a strong army and finds it
easier to justify them. Instead of producing a more coherent defence
policy, the increasing internal pressures on the Saudi Government to
distance itself from the West have made the House of Saud perpetuate the
pretence. Simultaneously, in the West, the reductions in defence budgets
and their consequent effect on the defence industry have made the Saudi
arms business more important than before; instead of stopping or reducing
the flow of arms governments are openly trying to sell more. So Saudi
Arabia is buying more arms than ever, and, in addition to the West's
reneging on promises to control arms sales to Middle Eastern countries,
the traditional constraints over selling the House of Saud ultra-modern
equipment have all but disappeared. The game goes on despite what the Gulf
War revealed and the bitter lesson of Iran, under the Shah ~he one country
which diverted funds needed for development purposes to buy more arms than
it needed.
Saudi Arabia has 4400 miles of exposed border and - except for a
number of sheikhdoms and emirates with small populations and insignificant
armies - no friendly neighbours. For different reasons, Iran, Iraq, the
Yemen, Jordan and the Sudan are anti-Saudi and have a combined population
of 100 million people and standing armies which number two million
soldiers. Their quarrels with Saudi Arabia translate into a wish to change
its governmental system, share in its oil wealth and cancel the political
effects of its alliance with the West on the Middle East. This is not to
forget Israel, which continues to overstate the Saudi military potential
and resents Saudi Arabia's 'special relationship' with the West. (Various
Israeli studies available to me, including some by the reputable Dyan
Centre, depict Saudi Arabia as posing a serious military threat to Israel
and argue in favour of exclusive Western reliance on Israeli military
might to keep the Middle East under control.)
This is why, even after the disappearance of the communist
threat, Saudi Arabia continues to feel vulnerable and insecure. And it is
why the ostensible policy of Saudi Arabia calls for the building of a
strong army, air force and navy and why it spends so much money on
armaments. And, of course, it is this 'commitment' to building a strong
army and equipping it with the most modern weapons which has made the
country the world's biggest arms importer and has provided the background
which produced most of the world's best known intermediaries cum arms
dealers. The world knows more about these two subsidiary situations -
Saudi Arabia's role as the top arms importer and the home of unprecedented
intermediary activity - than it does about the more basic issue of the
country's military capability. Happenings in these areas grab the
headlines and overshadow their source, the ostensible wish of the Saudis
to be able to defend themselves against the encroachment and pressure of
their covetous and unfriendly neighbours. In fact, though some reporters
were aware of Saudi shortcomings and wrote about them, until the Gulf War
none of them knew how bad things were and most believed all or part of the
game of pretence.
Forced by circumstances to deal with the basic issue of the
military capability of the country, reporters are now happy to use the
Gulf War, exclusively, to provide answers. But, as with reporting on so
many Middle Eastern situations, the answers are superficial and
unsatisfactory. First of all, Saudi Arabia was not invaded and there is a
big question as to whether Saddam ever intended to invade it. (I am in
possession of Iraqi documents which show that invading Saudi Arabia was
the last thing on Saddam's mind and Pierre Salinger's masterful The Gulf
War Documents and other reliable reports support this contention.)
Ejecting or helping to eject an invading army from a neighbouring country
is not the same as defending one's own, particularly when the neighbouring
country is as unpopular with one's people as Kuwait is with the average
Saudi, who, like the rest of the Arabs, has always seen the Kuwaitis as
libertine, arrogant money-grabbers and troublemakers. Also, the reasons
behind the Gulf War have never been as clear-cut to the typical Saudi as
the Western press has made out. Many Saudis, particularly devout Muslims,
had serious misgivings about joining forces with outsiders to fight fellow
Arabs while others found it difficult to believe that the billions of
dollars spent on defence had failed to produce an army capable of
defending their country without considerable outside help. On the other
hand, Saudi Arabia cried wolf or, prompted by high-level US officials, was
told to do so. In either case and in a move which should have brought an
end to the policy of pretence, it made an important admission that it
could not cope with Iraq alone or even with Arab and Muslim help.
Another element calls into question the use of the Gulf War to
provide a full answer. Militarily Iraq was Saudi Arabia's strongest
neighbour, a country which had spent billions acquiring and mastering
modern weapons including unconventional ones, and it had a standing army
of a million battle-hardened soldiers who had acquitted themselves
relatively well during the country's eight-year war with Iran, albeit with
direct and covert Western help. Iraq was a special case.
Any sensible assessment of Saudi military competence must result
from a thorough analysis of Saudi defence aims, the nature of the
country's armaments programme and what the two have produced. Luckily
there is enough information available to deliver judgement. But, before
delving into the facts and figures which make this judgement possible, a
cautionary note is in order. The Saudi armaments programme may or may not
be the result of Saudi aims, though they are undoubtedly closely related.
In other words, it may reflect considerations which are not contained in
or at variance with the stated defence policy of the country.
The overt Saudi response to the dangers surrounding them
consists of plans to arm the country and guard its wealth against greedy
poachers. With Saudi Arabia and the House of Saud still one and the same,
this has meant that the survival aims of the country as expressed by all
its kings are tantamount to maintaining the House of Saud as the absolute
rulers of a personal fiefdom. Disenfranchised as they are, the Saudi
people have no quarrel with their neighbours and believe that a moderate
amount of wealth-sharing is necessary. But, as we have seen, the Saudi
Army and Air Force have not been reliable and their commitment to the
House of Saud remains in doubt. So an interim question arises: in view of
the fact that a strong army would be better positioned to topple the House
of Saud, is Saudi Arabia really trying to build one to defend itself
against its neighbours - and thus endanger itself? It is the answer to
this question which drives experts such as the Royal United Services
Institute's Rosie Hollis to state: 'What they do has little to do with a
rational defence policy.' I take her condemnation to mean a simple no.
Saudi Arabia is pretending it is building a strong army. The House of Saud
wants to maintain itself but it does not want a strong army capable of
overthrowing it.
That the Saudi Army has never been trusted is attested to by the
presence of the National Guard and its growing importance. The Army, whose
official if exaggerated numbers have fluctuated between 40,000 and 60,000,
is made up of townsmen, with whom the tribal House of Saud has never been
in sympathy. On the other hand, the National Guard, now 32,000 strong, is
made up of Bedoums and Wahhabi co-religionists, a more dependable lot
whose loyalty can be bought the way it was at the time of Ibn Saud. The
Bedoums and Wahhabis are less susceptible to nationalistic ideas and
outside ideology; in fact, their loyalty to the House of Saud is a
personal and tribal one which excludes the idea of a country or the
complex notion of a nation-state.
Further proof of the House of Saud's attitude towards the Army
and the National Guard comes from their disposition within the country.
The Army is stationed in camps far away from the cities, where it cannot
attempt a coup d'etat by trying to control the centres of government, but
the National Guard is based in the cities, including Riyadh, Jeddah and
Dhahran, and is entrusted with protecting the royal family. The policy
which calls for using the loyal National Guard as a foil to the suspect
regular Arn~y is a consistent one and has involved increasing the former's
numbers and upgrading its equipment to match new arms purchases by the
latter. Now the National Guard has armoured personnel carriers and
helicopters and is planning to buy heavy tanks. The numbers of the
National Guard have increased from 22,000 in 1975 to their present size
while the Army has not grown at all. So the National Guard is moving ahead
quantitatively and qualitatively. (Several experts, including Rosie
Hollis, support the contention of Saudi opposition groups that the size of
the Army is overstated, but, unlike the opposition, they shy away from
claiming that the real number is no more than 25,000 and admitting that
the official figures are overstated.)
But perhaps it is the Air Force's lack of dependability which
has spread the greatest fears among the members of the House of Saud. As
mentioned before, repeated rebellions in the ranks have led to a decision
to keep the Air Force's planes unarmed and now nearly 70 per cent of the
pilots come from the House of Saud, relations and 'reliable families'.
Beyond that, because of its history, the Air Force has been a special
target for the security apparatus of the country: a high proportion of the
non-royal recruits are security service spies. Amazingly, all this has not
put an end to problems in this service, as witnessed by the (hushed-up)
defection of six non-royal pilots during the Gulf War, four to Jordan and
two to the Sudan.
But the solidest confirmation of the House of Saud's decision
not to build up strong armed forces comes from the make-up of these
forces. There is no conscription in Saudi Arabia and the so-called
reserves are somewhat of a joke because Bedoum sheikhs are encouraged to
declare some of their followers as reserves when they are never trained
and some of them are too young, too old or non-existent. For example, the
Sheikh of Wablah's tribe in Asir is supposed to control 4000 reservists,
many of whom are long dead. During the critical years between 1975 and
1982, a period of turmoil and challenges such as the Iran-Iraq War and the
Mecca Mosque rebellion, events which should have produced the oppo-site
results, even the official figures showed a decline in the Army's numbers.
More recently, soon after the Gulf War, family disputes over the size and
nature of the armed forces developed when Prince General Khalid bin Sultan
announced, without consulting King Fahd, that the Army's strength would be
doubled and that it would be merged with the National Guard. Rumours
persist that this is what led to Khalid's resignation/dismissal (the
announcement was ambiguous). King Fahd stuck to family policy, which
called for keeping the armed forces small, separate and weak, against the
wishes of the war's best-known Arab commander, a military man who
recognized that a country with a long, exposed border and many enemies
needed a large, integrated army. (The official figures reveal that the
armed forces of Saudi Arabia represent a mere 0.7 per cent of the
population compared with S per cent in Iraq, 6.5 per cent in Syria and 7.5
per cent in Israel.)
So once again, and on a vital issue affecting the country's
survival, there is a contradiction between the Saudis' claim that they are
building a large, strong army and the facts of the situation. Yet in this
case the pretence exceeds most others in its seriousness and cost, and the
armaments procurement programme continues in full swing. In fact, it is
this activity, the seemingly incessant buying of modern arms, which
creates the illusion of a militarily strong Saudi Arabia and which
deserves analysis.
On 18 May 1987 the Washington Star claimed that the Saudis could
only operate one out of five of the AWACS planes they leased from the USA.
The senators and congressmen who had heatedly debated this lease in
Congress did not take this prospect into consideration as much as they
should have. On 12 July 1988 the Financial Times stated that the Saudis
lacked the personnel for the arms they were purchasing, but Saudi plans to
purchase more arms went ahead unabated. Then, on 18 July 1988, the
Economist reported that Saudi Arabia was incapable of manning the 1000
Osano tanks it intended to buy from Brazil. Almost simultaneously, David
Wood of the International Herald Tribune compared the Saudi army to a gold
watch which has faulty moving parts. In 1989 the prestigious Institute for
International Strategic Studies provided a conclusive judgement: 'The
Saudi Arab army is not growing in proportion with the hardware at its
disposal.' But these reports have not altered the mistaken general
perception of the situation created by a mostly pro-House of Saud Western
press which ignores the obvious and continues to speak of 'the country's
legitimate defence needs'.
Furthermore, in the wake of the Gulf War, the hardware being
purchased for the Saudi armed forces will continue to outstrip their
ability to use it. Saudi Arabia has embarked on an armaments shopping
spree which includes contracts to buy American Patriot Missiles; F-lSs;
laser bombs; a Hughes Aircraft aerial-defence sys-tem; Canadian Halifax
frigates; French Helec torpedo boats and British aircraft; and helicopters
and boats from British Aerospace, Westland Helicopters and Vospers
Thorneycroft. In the first six months of 1992 alone, Saudi Arabia signed
$17 billion worth of military hardware contracts. The $6 billion contract
for 72 F-15s followed in August 1992, and this time conditions within the
defence industry dictated approval; unlike in 1985, there was no
congressional opposition and the deal went through virtually unopposed.
This is not to speak of plans to build whole military cities, including a
$12 billion, 600-square-kilometre development south of Riyadh, in the
middle of the Empty Quarter.
This particular economic problem, the offspring of Saudi pre-tence,
has been going on for a long time. Over the past 15 years Saudi Arabia's
armaments procurement budget has averaged between $12 billion and $18
billion a year, and is growing. Meanwhile, even if assuming the Government
is telling the truth, the number of people in the country's armed and
paramilitary forces has remained at around 110,000 (50,000 in the Army,
32,000 in the National Guard, 15,000 in the Air Force, 4500 in the Navy
and 6500 in the Frontier Guard). This means an annual published hardware
expenditure of $1 13,000-150,000 per soldier, airman and seaman. However,
these exorbitant figures are put into perspective by unpublished ones: the
value of the oil Saudi Arabia uses to barter for arms. As shown by the
AWACS, Lightning and British Aerospace Yamama 1 deals, massive amounts of
oil were used in barter deals for this purpose and the price of this oil
is not included in the published defence budget figures. This method of
payment is a major part of the colossal Yamama 2 contract with the UK,
which is discussed later. So while the figure for 1982 is unusually high,
these 'normal' figures are still considerably above those of other
countries and the Saudi defence budget is between the eighth and sixth
highest in the world. Adding the hidden value of the oil which is used in
payment produces a minimum of $1.5 million worth of hardware per member of
the armed forces over the years 1982 to 1990. It is safely assumed that an
air force is the most expensive branch of a country's armed forces and if
we took the 543,000 personnel in the US Air Force and applied these
figures to them we would get a hardware procurement budget of $65-86
billion. The real US Air Force figure fluctuates but it has always been
less than half of that.
But the story is worse than what a simple financial analysis of
arms purchases reveals. The number of armoured vehicles the Saudi Army
has, excluding what is on order, is 2600 (consisting of French AMX, German
Leopard, American M60 and M6OAI, British Scorpion and Brazilian Osano
tanks and armoured personnel carriers from different countries). It also
has 800 pieces of artillery, mortars and Howitzers.
This simply does not work. The Saudi armed forces do not have
enough people for the equipment - nor indeed for the installations. In
1984 the Air Academy was built to accommodate 50,000 cadets, instructors
and other staff and it has never had more than 6000 occupants; the Hafr Al
Batin Army Base, built to house 14,000 people, has a mere 2000; the 15
airbases in Qutaif are so undermanned that one of them has a total of
three people; and the $8-billion King Khalid Military City built to house
80,000 people and three armoured brigades is less than 20 per cent
occupied. Between 1982 and 1985 the Korean construction companies Kean Nam
Enterprises and Sam bo and contractors from other countries built more
than 7000 National Guard villas and furnished them with everything,
including VCRs, yet most of them are unoccupied.
To use a topical example, extrapolating the Saudi hardware
figures and applying them to the pre-GuIf War Iraqi army would produce an
Iraq which had 61,000 tanks and armoured vehicles and 16,000 pieces of
artillery. And we thought Saddam's 3700 tanks were bad enough.
The story of the Royal Saudi Air Force is the same. It has 400
combat planes, 320 helicopters, 260 other aircraft and 15,000 people,
certainly the highest aircraft-to-personnel ratio in the whole world. Of
course, Saudi Arabia has already signed an agreement to buy an additional
72 American F-lSs and is negotiating to buy more British Tornados, even
before those they already have on order have been delivered.
The situation of the Royal Saudi Navy is even more absurd. It
has 190 naval vessels, including four frigates, four corvettes and nine
Peterson patrol boats. This gives us 21.6 people per vessel:a truly
incredible statistic regardless of the size of the vessels.
Sometimes the quantities of equipment bought by the Saudis are
patently senseless. An example of this is the purchase of one million
nuclear, biological and chemical (NBC) warfare suits. This is nearly ten
suits per soldier, airman and seaman and the cost of a total NBC outfit,
including boots and a helmet, is somewhere around $450, so $450 million
was mostly wasted or pocketed or both.
In most of the preceding cases the analysis of the ratio of
equip-ment to personnel neglects the type of equipment involved. But this
does not matter, for the figures tell the same story regardless of whether
the pieces of equipment involved are sophisticated or simple, big or
small. In fact, when we assume that the inherent inefficiency of the Saudi
armed forces results in a need for more people per item of equipment than
the US, UK or Germany, then the figures become worse. Laments former US
Ambassador to Saudi Arabia James Akins, 'They shouldn't get except what
they can use - this is unacceptable.'
Indeed there were instances during the Gulf War which revealed
how equipment is wasted. According to Robert Fisk of the Independent, a
dump of hundreds of trucks which the Saudis had forgotten all about was
discovered in the middle of nowhere. An Arab journalist with the BBC
laughingly confirms: 'I have no doubt that they had more trucks than
drivers - I saw it for myself', and a CBS reporter who also spoke
anonymously, goes further: 'Judged by equipment they have an army; judged
by men they don't.'
The shortage of defence personnel is compounded by the already
mentioned efficiency factor. The Saudis suffer from a lack of training in
the use of sophisticated weapons, something which the presence in the
country of a US military mission since 1951 has failed to cure. The
ability of members of a society which is only 55 per cent literate to
handle long-range ground-to-ground missiles such as the 1200-mile Deng Fo
(Eastern Wind) weapons bought from China is in doubt, as is their ability
to learn how to handle the advanced electronic gear in F-IS fighter
aircraft or the friend-foe identification radar system made by E-Systems
of Texas. The latter weakness was exposed tragically when the Saudis shot
down two friendly Bahraini planes during the Gulf War, because they could
not tell them from unfriendly Soviet-built Iraqi planes. (The pilots, who
were decorated, kept their medals. The mistake was discovered but hushed
up.)
The problem goes further, however, than a native inabiliiy to
handle sophisticated weapons, for the Saudis are completely unable to
integrate the diverse equipment they have purchased from several
countries. Among other difficulties, their complex mix of American, French
and British armour creates an unmanageable and ineffective armoured corps.
According to the American expert on Middle East armaments Anthony
Cordesman, the Western powers have resigned themselves to the Saudis'
inability to field an effective military force and follow their commercial
interests without making any attempt at coordinating their sales to Saudi
Arabia or between Saudi Arabia and its small Gulf allies. In fact, it is
the impossibility of integrating all the equipment the Saudis possess
which totally cancels the widely accepted theory that the equipment is
there to be used by American forces in cases of emergency.
But there is another factor: the even more basic fact that the
Saudis in the armed forces are people who cannot make it in civilian life
even in an oil-rich country. They tend to be underachievers who are lured
by the prospect of lavish villas, servants and free telephones. But even
if they were willing and able, we have to consider what is done to their
morale after they enlist. The simple fact that the officer class more and
more consists of members of the royal family and their relations and
friends cannot but call into question the esprit de corps of the armed
forces. That the command structure is subordinated to nepotism is attested
to dramatically by the fact that all the operations and intelligence
directorates are always headed by a prince who bypasses his superiors by
having a direct line to the Minister of Defence. In fact, the combination
of lack of technical competence and nepotism is seen as being so damaging
that it prompted a member of a Washington DC think-tank to tell me: 'It's
all a game. They won't be up to any of their big neighbours for 50 years
to come.
So, we have more hardware than people to use it and more housing
than people to occupy it and the people available lack the competence to
handle what they have. And on top of all this, there is nepotism. This
results in a Saudi army even weaker than its small numbers suggest and
totally incapable of defending its country against countries which can
field huge, more professional armies - Iran and Iraq, for example. Yet the
game continues and King Fahd speaks of 'building and strengthening the
armed forces' while objecting to expanding their numbers and Minister of
Defence Prince Sultan speaks of future wars requiring superior technology
and supposes that transfer of technology involves the simple act of buying
modern arms. He shows no signs of stopping the shopping spree, which is
reported to include eight submarines. Says Rosie Hollis in words with
which other experts agree: 'They always provide a rationale for what has
been acquired or is about to be acquired.' As usual, members of the Saudi
opposition in exile go further and one of them speaks of the King and his
brother, Prince Sultan, in the following terms: 'rationalizing the mad
expenditure of $100 billion worth of arms since the Gulf War ended'.
This bizarre situation conceals further deception. The reality
of the situation is that Saudi Arabia cannot protect itself and must look
to the outside for protection. Friendly Arab countries such as Syria and
Egypt cannot provide the needed protection, because the quality of their
armed forces is suspect and neither of them is ever friendly enough long
enough. Saudi Arabia wasted no time in asking the suspect Syrian and
Egyptian troops to leave its territory after the Gulf War. Muslim
countries, despite Pakistan's previous dispatch of troops to protect the
Saudi oilfields, are also unreliable. The rise of radical Islamic
fundamentalism stands in the way of further dependence on them. In fact,
it was fear of religious turmoil which prompted Saudi Arabia to ask
Pakistan to recall the Shia soldiers among its Saudi-based army
contingents and which led Pakistan to withdraw all of them. This is why
Saudi Arabia must depend on the West, particularly the United States, and
why, with the internal and external dangers facing the country on the
increase, this dependence is likely to deepen.
But Saudi Arabia, though more capable of doing so than in the
past, cannot openly admit this dependence without increasing the danger to
itself from its own Muslim fundamentalists and its Arab and Muslim
neighbours. But even if the internal and external objections and the
danger they carry are overcome, the United States is unable to enter into
an open military alliance with Saudi Arabia. Says former US National
Security adviser Robert Komer: 'Part of the problem is that the Israeli
lobby would never stand for a military pact between the two countries [the
USA and Saudi Arabia]. This forces the Saudis into their present posture.'
It is easy to extend the above speculation and theorize about
the existence of a conspiracy between the House of Saud and their
defenders, the West. Both sides have a vested interest in disguising the
dependence and in order to do that Saudi Arabia buys more and more arms to
pretend it does not exist. Recently the increasing importance to the US
economy of Saudi arms purchases has become another extremely important
factor. Not only does the United States, and the rest of the West, pretend
to be helping the Saudis defend themselves, but the high level of
unemployment in the defence business in the US, UK, France and Brazil has
made these countries seek hardware orders like never before. This reliance
on Saudi purchases is so great that the French arms maker Metra developed
the Shahine missile to meet Saudi Arabia's specific needs, Brazil signed a
five-year joint manufacturing agreement with them and, according to
Britain's Minister of State for Defence Jonathan Aitken, the United
Kingdom is looking to them to fund the manufacture of the European Fighter
Aircraft. This advanced fighter is supposed to meet European defence needs
well into the next century.
The US is not far behind. In 1978 the sale of F-lSs to Saudi
Arabia took a year and a half to complete. Now, not to be outdone, US
defence contractors and senators and congressmen representing states where
the former are located are rumoured to be petitioning the US Government to
allow them to offer the Saudis their most modern wares. Because of the
cost and sophistication of the equipment involved, a Saudi commitment to
buy something more advanced than the McDonnell Douglas F-5 aircraft they
already have means that huge sums of money will continue to be wasted and
pocketed. And when, as we have seen, all this is taking place in a country
where the policy-makers and the intermediaries are one and the same then
what is happening suits their policies and their pockets.
The most mysterious aspect of this convergence of interest which
produces a wasteful armaments procurement policy is the role of the
intermediary. The image of the Arab 'fixer' popularized by the Western
press is a vague and incomplete one of a blonde-chasing, casino-haunting,
jet-setting international smoothie with endless supplies of money to
support these activities. But despite assiduous reporting of this kind,
the picture of the vital role of intermediaries in places like Saudi
Arabia remains incomplete.
Fundamentally he - or on extremely rare occasions she - is
someone who can help a foreign corporation obtain business in this
oil-rich country. Even when the business is there and the existence of a
conspiracy between the House of Saud and their defenders, the West. Both
sides have a vested interest in disguising the dependence and in order to
do that Saudi Arabia buys more and more arms to pretend it does not exist.
Recently the increasing importance to the US economy of Saudi arms
purchases has become another extremely important factor. Not only does the
United States, and the rest of the West, pretend to be helping the Saudis
defend themselves, but the high level of unemployment in the defence
business in the US, UK, France and Brazil has made these countries seek
hardware orders like never before. This reliance on Saudi purchases is so
great that the French arms maker Metra developed the Shahine missile to
meet Saudi Arabia's specific needs, Brazil signed a five-year joint
manufacturing agreement with them and, according to Britain's Minister of
State for Defence Jonathan Aitken, the United Kingdom is looking to them
to fund the manufacture of the European Fighter Aircraft. This advanced
fighter is supposed to meet European defence needs well into the next
century.
The US is not far behind. In 1978 the sale of F-lSs to Saudi
Arabia took a year and a half to complete. Now, not to be outdone, US
defence contractors and senators and congressmen representing states where
the former are located are rumoured to be petitioning the US Government to
allow them to offer the Saudis their most modern wares. Because of the
cost and sophistication of the equipment involved, a Saudi commitment to
buy something more advanced than the McDonnell Douglas F-iS aircraft they
already have means that huge sums of money will continue to be wasted and
pocketed. And when, as we have seen, all this is taking place in a country
where the policy-makers and the intermediaries are one and the same then
what is happening suits their policies and their pockets.
The most mysterious aspect of this convergence of interest which
produces a wasteful armaments procurement policy is the role of the
intermediary. The image of the Arab 'fixer' popularized by the Western
press is a vague and incomplete one of a blonde-chasing, casino-haunting,
jet-setting international smoothie with endless supplies of money to
support these activities. But despite assiduous reporting of this kind,
the picture of the vital role of intermediaries in places like Saudi
Arabia remains incomplete.
Fundamentally he - or on extremely rare occasions she - is
someone who can help a foreign corporation obtain business in this
oil-rich country. Even when the business is there and ½ the company is
qualified to do it, a fixer is needed. To most Western corporations, a
piece of business, in this case winning a contract, is an organized, legal
transaction which is expected to yield benefits to those participating in
it. In Saudi Arabia, it is not a business transaction but a deal, and it
is a highly private affair which is often extra-legal. Therefore how much
profit is realized and how, is subject more to personal whims and greed
than to standard business practices. For example, even a recognized need,
be it for medical equipment or army Jeeps, is not addressed until the
mechanism is established to guarantee the intermediary his share. The
fixer is the man who bridges this gap in perception by translating the
ways of one side to the other side to effect a modus vivendi acceptable to
both.
But what is a fixer? Above all, the confusion surrounding his
function is compounded by the number of names used to describe him. I am
talking about the terms 'intermediary', 'middleman', 'go-between',
'wheeler-dealer' and 'promoter'. In fact, 'deal organizer' or 'deal fixer'
are closer to the truth than the rest, but they are cumbersome expressions
and the commonly used 'intermediary' is the most appropriate substitute.
In addition to reconciling the business ways of East and West,
the intermediary's job is to provide a company wishing to do business in
Saudi Arabia with an advantage over its competitors and to turn this
advantage into the largest profit possible. He does this through getting a
prince of the House of Saud to favour the company's interests over those
of others in return for a commission/bribe which is shared by the
intermediary and his sponsor. Intermediaries have become identified with
the arms trade because that is where commissions are larger. Saudi defence
expenditure has exceeded 30 per cent of the country's total budget for
years and individual defence contracts tend to be larger than others. At
present there are 22 defence contracts of over $500 million each.
Furthermore, the uniqueness of some defence products and consequent
absence of competitive pressure allows the intermediary to charge a very
high percentage. But again, this is only part of the background to Saudi
arms purchases, though it is the aspect which has excited the world
because it has produced commissions and scandals worth talking and writing
about.
The way in which the intermediary performs his duties begins
with his assumption of his role. To become an intermediary, a person must
ally himself with a Saudi prince who knows where contracts are and who can
influence their awarding. After he becomes an extension of the prince the
intermediary goes Out to match companies with the business his mentor can
'deliver':the right company for the right contract, at the greatest
possible benefit acceptable to the corporation for himself and his boss.
While intermediaries mostly get competent defence contractors to supply
hardware and provide services, they have been known to err against policy
and get such services from the wrong country or choose contractors with
less than the required competence. Construction companies with little
experience in the field have been awarded contracts to build armaments
depots (Fotenhauer Enterprises of Florida, for example) and Ford and
Chevrolet trucks which cannot meet the brutal demands of the desert have
been bought. (In other fields the wrong suppliers of laboratories to
schools have been used and the Saudis have bought equipment using
different measures than are standard in their country.)
This matching game reveals the intermediary's sophistication or
lack of it, but the demands on his ability go further. First there is his
ability to entice a corporation into cooperating with him, something which
very often depends on his track record and the influence of his princely
sponsor. For example, Adnan Khashoggi is a super-intermediarY because he
is a close friend of King Fahd and Minister of Defence Prince Sultan. He
is also a worldly man who is at ease using Western corporate language and
his track record includes obtaining business for major Western
corporations such as Lockheed, Rolls-Royce, Grueman and others. It is
difficult to imagine someone with credentials to match his. (I have yet to
discover any corporation which refuses to deal with him because of his
flamboyant lifestyle, involvement in several scandals or the fact that he
served a prison term. (See Servants of the Crown.)
Of course, with the great majority of the 7000 princes available
to indulge in influence peddling, cases develop when the sponsor is not
influential enough for the particular project under consid-eration. A
prince in the Eastern region, a nephew of the King and a colonel in the
Saudi Air Force, got his intermediary to engage a company capable of
building a huge army munitions depot only to discover that a better-placed
prince, a deputy minister and likewise a nephew of the King, was after the
same project. Clearly, the colonel was in no position to 'deliver' the
contract. Ostensibly two princes vying for the same contract creates
competition, but influence peddling in the country is the exclusive domain
of the royal family, an extension of absolute power, so the competition is
strictly between big and small princes.
Beyond the intermediary, there is a little-known but much more
important person involved in Saudi business deals. He is the intermedler,
or 'skimmer'. The intermedler may be the intermediary's immediate boss or
someone higher up. He is the powerful prince whose demands must be met,
the prince who is in a position to decide who gets the deal, a royal
member of the Cabinet, a province emir, the head of a branch of the armed
forces or the head of a royal commission entrusted with overseeing a
specific development scheme (the building of the oil-terminal cities of
Jubeil and Yanbu was supervised by a royal commission). Some skimmers use
their own intermediaries while others deal with other members of the
family who use intermediaries. In the first case the commission is divided
two ways and in the second the intermediary and his boss share their
commission with the intermedler. Because the intermedler cannot lose, all
the intermediaries and their bosses are in the business of keeping in with
him.
Prince Sultan bin Abdel Aziz, Saudi Arabia's Minister of Defence
and officially number two in line to the throne, is probably the world's
leading example of an intermedler and is certainly one of the wealthiest
men alive. Merging the functions of policy-maker and intermedler, he
decides what the country needs, and has to be satisfied regardless of who
wins a defence contract. Given the value of business transacted through
his ministry, the rest follows as a matter of course, except in cases when
what the contract yields is beneath his dignity. The competition between
the USA and the UK to supply Saudi Arabia with F-i5s or Tornados - it was
decided in favour of the USA - was under Sultan's control every step of
the way. As will be explained below, this did not mean that the makers of
these planes offered to make direct payments, and Sultan is able to
realize his money in ways which satisfy the constraints placed on the
company by the laws of its country. In big contracts like those for the
supply of aircraft, because hundreds of millions of dollars of commission
are involved, the skimmer realizes most of the money while the
intermediary and his boss settle for a 'normal' share. (It is axiomatic
that the intermediary on the British-made Tornado aircraft deal (known as
Yamama 2) accepted a small percentage but the supplier of American-made
uniforms received a much higher share.)
Royal skimming represents the House of Saud's share of all
business done in Saudi Arabia. But to judge it simply as an abusive,
corrupt act solely in terms of the amount of money it yields is to
overlook the additional disastrous effect it has on the merchant class of
the country. When the skimmer arrives late, when he belatedly decides a
contract is big enough to deserve his attention, he can disrupt the whole
process of awarding the contract. An example of this is the Swedish
contractors who won a $900-million contract to build the harbour at
Jeddah. The contractors' Saudi agent had accepted a 2 per cent commission
and taken all the known influence peddlers into consideration. The
prince-governor of the province heard about this after the fact and
demanded a 3 per cent payment, or else. Because the company was unwilling
to increase its payment, their Saudi agent had the choice of paying much
of the required money out of his own pocket or incurring the prince's
wrath. He paid. In the defence area, the contract to supply a million
nuclear, biological and chemical warfare suits went ahead without a
skimmer because the original request was for a mere 20,000. The skimmer
appeared when the order was increased to a million. Because the product
was unique and carried a high commission, the intermediary was able to
cover the skimmer's commission and still make a lot of money.
But who the Saudi intermediaries and intermedlers are and what
they do are not the only things which are elusive and misunderstood. The
level of commission paid and how it is paid is another grey area. In fact,
it is the level of commissions paid which reveals why policy-makers and
intermedlers are one and the same.
While the budgets of Saudi Arabia have fluctuated widely to
reflect the price of oil and how much of it the country has exported, it
is safe to assume that at least 70 per cent of the business transacted in
the country is subject to commissions (some put the figure at 90 per
cent). So, in a year when the budget is $50 billion, the commissionable
business amounts to $34 billion. Assuming a conservative level of
commission of 10 per cent, the commissions paid would amount to $3.4
billion. But the waste of money, or the reduction of its real value
through recycling, does not stop there. Instead it continues vertically,
with commissions piled on top of each other at every step on the ladder.
To explain this, I will take two examples. The building of a
palace for the King, a lavish $2 billion affair for which the Government
pays, is subject to the commission system. The contractor agrees to pay a
15 per cent commission, or $300 million. But subcontractors handling work
worth $1.2 billion pay the contractor a 15 per cent commission: $180
million. Before that, suppliers of equipment and material pay the
subcontractors 15 per cent on $500 million, or $75 million. So, without
compounding the figures, the total commission paid is $555 million, though
in all likelihood even more, a rate of over 25 per cent. On another
occasion the supplier of a electronic defence system was a British company
which had an agent who had no sponsor in high places, but the product was
unique and needed. In this case, the intermediary took over from the agent
after covering him. The people who had to be satisfied were the agent,
intermediary, intermediary's boss and skimmer. Naturally the uniqueness of
the product sanctioned the necessary increase in commissions. Here, again,
we may be talking about a commission of 25 per cent. If we assume this is
applicable to the commissionable budget as a whole, then the total figure
is about $9 billion a year, considerably more than the budgets of most
developing countries, including the needy Arab ones of Jordan and the
Yemen, and equal to the entire foreign-aid budget of the USA. This is why
there are so many House of Saud billionaires.
But a straight commission payment, when it takes place, no
longer represents all the money realized from contracts. Straight payments
can be traced and result in scandals such as the one which involved
Lockheed. The USA in particular has enacted anti-corruption laws against
them. And, as evidenced by the amount of reporting surrounding the British
Tornado and Ameri-can F-iS deals, the press in the West is certainly on
the lookout for them. To circumvent anti-corruption laws and avoid
scandals, more elaborate and elusive commission schemes which escape the
eyes of trained accountants and government auditors have been developed.
In fact, if both supplier and purchaser are interested in concealing
payments, then they will find a legal way to do it.
Essentially four basic ways to realize commissions indirectly,
in effect to hide them, are used regularly. The first is to provide the
services of an intermediary under a different name. For example, in
America most Saudi contracts with US corporations contain payments to
'consultants' and the consultancy fees, though regulated, can be
substantial, and, on the surface, totally justified. Some companies claim
their Saudi 'consultants' have offices in Saudi Arabia which employ dozens
of people to assist them in their endeavours when no such entities exist
except on paper. The intermedler, when needed, uses his influence with the
Saudi Government to provide the 'paperwork'. Naturally this doubling or
trebling of the real costs is done with the full knowledge of the
contractor. Also there is room to use other local services which are not
needed - for example, lawyers and translation agencies, remunerated at an
exorbitant level.
Some of the favourite in-laws of King Fahd, the Ibrahims, used
this method when they decided to assume the role of skimmers on an already
existing deal with an American military-electronics firm. The Texas-based
corporation had supplied Saudi Arabia with military radar for years and
had transacted $50 million worth of skimmerless business annually through
a Riyadh agent.
Fahd's in-laws approached the company and demanded that they be
paid a commission on their on-going business. The company protested that
it was already paying its agent the limit allowed by US laws, and that
paying more would threaten its profitability. The skimmers were
unimpressed, and in the words of a vice president of the company, who
spoke on condition of remaining anonymous:
'It was like talking to the wall.'
Thinking of ways to get through to them, the company rightly
claimed that it was one of two companies in the world who make the type of
radar needed, something which is vital to the security of the country. The
threat to Saudi defences implied by cancellation of the contract was met
by an open threat to make the company's presence and the agent's life
miserable. After lengthy 'negotiations', the company succumbed and
appointed them on-the-ground consultants who charge millions of dollars
for a fully staffed office which does not exist. Lamented my informant:
'There was nobody in Saudi Arabia or the United States to protect us; we
were at the mercy of people who do not shy from threatening the security
of their country and using crude methods.' Referring to the source of
power of the Ibrahims would have been gratuitous.
A second way of realizing indirect commissions occurs when oil
is used in a barter deal, as was the case with the purchase of the
British-made Lightning aircraft in the 1960s, the Boeing 747s in the 1980s
and the lease of the AWACS during the same decade.
Oil was used to pay for the aircraft, but in an indirect way and
the companies involved are probably innocent, or at least they did not
benefit. In these cases, realizing the commission was an internal
accounting procedure. On the books in Saudi Arabia, the value of each
aircraft was exaggerated - for example, instead of a plane being worth ten
barrels of oil it was entered on Saudi books as being worth eleven. After
that the oil was shipped to Rotterdam and sold on the open market, with
the proceeds from ten barrels being paid to the company and those from the
extra barrel to the intermediary group. The Lightning deal went through
without difficulty, but, to his credit, Saudi Oil Minister Yamani, afraid
of undermining OPEC's production and pricing policies, unsuccessfully
tried to stop the Boeing 747 deal (see Servants of the Crown).
There is no way for the supplier country to control situations
like these. Not only is it impossible to get the Saudi books and examine
them without infringing on the sovereignty of the country, but the books
open to inspection tell an innocent story backed by an official cover-up.
The document used by Fahd's in-laws listed the names of 40 full-time
employees and the Ibrahims and Fahd are quite capable of producing 40
phoney Saudis.
A third totally local and legal way of disguising commission
pay-ments is through the awarding of subcontracts. The intermediary group
locates a subcontractor to do the 30 per cent of the work of a project
which, according to a Saudi policy developed by the decision-making head
of this intermediary group, must go to local contractors. The
policy-making intermediary group prevails on the company to pay the
subcontractor inflated fees amounting to 40 per cent, including an extra
10 per cent to cover their commissions. All the main contractor has to do
is to accept the price of the subcontractor and look the other way. This
is why, compared with prices in the West, the costs of certain Saudi
projects such as the building of army barracks and palaces make no sense.
Certainly the huge sports cities built in Jeddah, Riyadh and Dhahran by
Prince Faisal bin Fahd qualify as examples of this kind of exaggeration,
most of them accommodating more people than ever attend sports events in
Saudi Arabia, and so is the $3.4-billion Bechtel-built King Khalid
International Airport in Riyadh. ('I can build five airports for the price
of this one,' lamented an American contractor.) More recently, the costs
of the catering contracts to feed US troops during the Gulf War differed
dramatically. One figure was $133 per American soldier per day while
another was $70 - both considerably higher than the $30 per day it cost to
feed French soldiers.
A fourth, relatively new elaboration of the subcontracts are the
offset deals, when the Saudi Government insists that a contractor place a
proportion of the value of a contract with Saudi companies, ostensibly a
move to encourage them to acquire new disciplines. In contracts with a
high technical input which fall under the Ministry of Defence and which
are covered by this policy, the intermediary group creates a new company
to take care of this business because existing companies do not qualify.
The American sale to Saudi Arabia in 1986 of an air defence
system produced an example of the use of this new policy to make money. A
Saudi company, Al Salem, was created to handle the maintenance part of the
contract, 35 per cent of $1.2 billion. Boeing, ITT and Westinghouse, the
contractors, who refuse to comment on the deal, lived up to their part of
the contract. They contributed $4.5 million towards the creation of Al
Salem while the Saudi partners provided an equal amount and the Saudi
Government, through the Saudi Industrial Development Fund, provided $21.5
million and commercial banks $10.75 million. In other words, the control
of the company fell into the hands of the Saudi partners, who paid a mere
$4.5 million of the required $43-million capitalization.
The select group which contributed the $4.5 million are close to
the royal family and among them are four members of the royal household
and the bin Laden contracting company, known in Saudi Arabia as 'the
King's private contractors'. There was no competition for Al Salem because
there were 110 local com-panies with the necessary competence and even the
company's American acting president, Larry Warfield, admits that its level
of profitability is not possible in the United States. Naturally the Gulf
War increased the need for the company's maintenance services, and again
the competitive environment which keeps a lid on the level of
profitability in other countries did not exist. This particular contract
was one of many awarded under the Desert Shield programme, a complex, and
obviously unsuccessful, multi-billion-dollar plan to provide Saudi Arabia
with the capability to defend itself against aerial attacks.
The use of these various ways to realize a commission should not
be seen as mutually exclusive and very often a deal involves a number of
them. A big deal may involve direct commission payments (from companies
from countries which allow them), barter, subcontracts, offset deals,
consultancy fees and subsidiary payments in the form of sending people's
children to university and making charitable donations in their names.
What we have is a House of Saud which makes the procurement
policies of the country and allows its members to execute them in a way
which vitiates the effectiveness of the purchases by the commission
percentage they realize. Members of the House of Saud award themselves the
same contracts their policy creates because winning contracts involves
wielding power and all power is in their hands, in all fields. Thus there
is no check on the level of commissions, and companies and governments,
even when they are loath to pay them, cannot avoid them. Says the vice
president of the already mentioned Texas-based electronics defence
contractor: 'I can see the whole thing as having nothing to do with us,
after all it's their money - even when they increase the price by 100 per
cent. They aren't cheating Uncle Sam, or our company - they're cheating
their own treasury.' This is the glib amorality which now determines the
attitude of Western companies and governments.
The announcement of a big arms deals with Saudi Arabia produces
the same reaction: the press and public begin to speculate on who is
getting how much and how. Sadly much more is written about the pay-offs,
commissions or bribes than about what the deal contributes to Saudi
defences - not to speak of the immorality of it all. The governments and
contractors behind deals do not even concern themselves with the obvious;
to them, an arms deal with Saudi Arabia is cash in the bank and greater
employment.
This is particularly true of the Yamama 2 arms deal between
Saudi Arabia and Britain. In this case the estimates of the size of the
deal and the potential commissions have dwarfed all else and have
generated considerable reporting and gossip. 'Anything new on Yamama 2?'
and 'Is the money going to himself?' are oft-heard questions. But even the
final size of the deal is unknown and newspapers have placed it at
somewhere between $60 and 150 billion. So far $34~0 billion has been
committed (the figures are not exact and the fluctations in the exchange
rate and use of oil to barter affect them).
In reality, the confusion over the size of Yamama 2 is not
difficult to understand. It is not an arms deal in the conventional sense,
rather a whole armaments programme which calls for the UK to meet the
needs of Saudi Arabia in the areas of creating a modern air force and
building an aerial defence system. But how Saudi defence needs are
assessed is not clear, and with the Saudis' inherent inability to use
modern arms in mind it sounds more like a supplier selling a purchaser a
Rolls-Royce when a Chevrolet would do nicely. Unlike the US, the UK has
had no effective pro-Israeli lobby to stand in the way of concluding a
deal involving the most advanced equipment, and UK laws governing the
payment of commissions are comparatively lax. So the UK entered into a
modular arms deal with Saudi Arabia, a situation which resembles a
corporation providing the most modern state-of-the-art data-processing
technology to someone who needs a home computer. Whether America's newly
acquired permissive attitude will lead US defence contractors to try to
redirect this deal remains to be seen.
The original Yamama deal was signed in September 1985 and
included the purchase of 72 Tornado aircraft of various types, Hawk
trainer jets, improvements in Saudi airbases and the supply of spare parts
and provision of maintenance personnel. The total value of the deal was
around $10 billion and there was an oil-for-arms aspect to it, in that
some payments to lead contractor British Aerospace were to be made in oil
or through the sale of oil allocated especially to pay for this purpose.
The huge Yamama 2, to author of The Arms Bazaar Anthony Sampson
'the arms deal of the century', did not go the UK's way without an
Anglo~French fight. British Secretary of Defence Michael Heseltine and his
successor George Younger and Air Field Marshal Sir Peter Huntington
trekked to Saudi Arabia to plead their case with Saudi Minister of Defence
Prince Sultan, who accepted an invitation to visit Britain. French Defence
Minister Charles Hernu met King Fahd in the South of France to sing the
praises of the French Mirage 200 aircraft. Influential arms dealers were
invited to parties given by Prime Minister Thatcher and the French gave
Akram Oje, an arms dealer friend of Prince Sultan, the Legion d'Honneur.
The British and French press went as far as to hint at official pimping.
Yamama 2 made the first, $10-billion, Yamama resemble a sample
order. It was concluded in July 1988 and the initial part of the deal
involved 50 Tornado combat aircraft, 60 Hawk trainers, 50 Westland Black
Hawk helicopters made under licence from the USA's United Technologies
Corporation, four minesweepers and the building of at least one airbase.
This order was part of a 20-year programme; what would follow depended on
the updating of Saudi defence 'needs' and the availability of new hardware
to meet them, something like the $50-million European Fighter Aircraft.
Like the first Yamama, there were oil-for-arms provisions.
The ability of Saudi Arabia to absorb the hardware of either
Yamama deal was never considered; to repeat, how what was and is being
purchased was arrived at is vague, though in all likelihood it was by a
committee representing the sellers and policy-makers/intermedlers. A few
commentators and think-tank analysts wondered about the Saudis' problem of
hardware indigestion, but their opinions made little if any impact. The
British Government, from Margaret Thatcher down, described both agreements
as a triumph for British industry and talked about the number of defence
jobs dependent on them. Even the simple questions of what would happen to
the old equipment rendered obsolete by these deals and identifying the
potential enemy were neglected.
As it now stands, this extendable deal contains all the elements
which facilitate the payment of commissions - if the programme fulfils its
potential, perhaps the largest commission in history. Bri-tish Aerospace,
the lead contractor and manager of the whole deal, has no problem using
agents to pay commissions. As explained before, the barter of oil
facilitates commission payments; and huge subcontracts will be awarded to
Saudi companies adept at padding their costs and the Saudi Government has
included a number of suspect offset deals.
That British Aerospace uses agents and pays commissions is a
fact which the company has never denied. I am in possession of copies of
contracts which confirm its willingness to pay huge com-missions in
connection with the selling of Jaguar fighter-bomber aircraft and the
building of airbases. In connection with Yamama 2, the Observer newspaper
has alleged that the early stages of this programme have already produced
$300 million worth of direct commissions. British Aerospace has neither
denied nor confirmed this report. That aside, indirect commissions are
likely to be larger.
Initially, Saudi Arabia allocated 400,000 barrels of oil a day
to pay for part of this deal, but this figure was increased by 100,000
barrels a day two years ago. Depending on the price of oil this amounts to
between $2.7 billion and $3.5 billion a year. The details of how the
Saudis are disposing of this oil are not known. British Aerospace has a
trading subsidiary which is capable of selling it or helping to sell it.
British Aerospace refuses to comment on either possibility.
According to the terms of Yamama 2, the subcontracts to house
and feed the British Aerospace personnel stationed in Saudi Arabia,
somewhere between 3500 and 5000 engineers and technicians, who implement
the on-the-ground segment of the programme, must go to Saudi companies.
The value of these contracts is unknown but ranges between $175,000 and
US$500,000 a day. The ability of the local Saudi contractor to manipulate
these contracts is wide open and, as we have seen, there is no business
reason for British Aerospace not to accept an inflated figure. This is
another opportunity for commission realization.
A further indirect way of realizing commission is through the
offset programmes. Yamama 2 has provisions calling for the placement of
several maintenance and personnel contracts with Saudi companies. Among
them is a joint venture for maintaining the air-to-air missile plant. This
joint venture is funded by the Saudi Arab Offset Investment Committee
headed by Prince Fahd bin Abdallah. If, as British Aerospace Chairman John
Cahill states, the whole programme could reach $150 billion over 20 years,
then conservative estimates place the value of subcontracts, offset deals
and oil at between $55 billion and $75 billion. Though it is difficult to
deal with the huge figures involved, we are talking about a commission of
$12-20 billion dollars.
Not only is Yamama 2 of exceptional size, but it involves most
of the UK's defence contractors: British Aerospace, Westland Helicopters,
GEC, Vospers, Plessey, Rolls-Royce and many others. The deal continues
against a background of growing awareness of Saudi inability to use the
hardware they have already purchased and serious questions about the
country's human rights record. Once again, the British press has raised
new questions about the appropriateness of Yamama 2, but the British
Government appears totally impervious to all criticism.
The investigations carried out by British newspapers have gone
beyond judging the merits of the deal to address the size of commissions
and who is involved. In particular, questions have been raised about
British participation, namely whether Govern-ment officials have joined
the intermediary group. The purpose of their involvement would be to
guarantee the suppliers', the companies' and the Government's facilitation
of the commission arrangements. (Belatedly the House of Commons has
ordered an investigation to determine Mark Thatcher's involvement in
Middle East business deals.) With some newspapers claiming that the
rake-off amounts to 30 per cent of the value of the deal, potentially $45
billion, the press pressure on the British Government to come clean on the
whole deal became so great that it led to an investigation by the National
Audit Office. However, though the report compiled by this Government
watchdog has never been published, the Government insists that it
uncovered nothing illegal. In an amazing violation of procedure and a
highly suspect move, the Government has also refused to submit copies of
the supposedly innocent report to the Parliamentary Public Accounts
Committee, the House of Commons overseer of these matters.
The argument between the press and the Government continues.
The press stubbornly argues in favour of the right of the public
to know, while the Government persists in claiming that Yamama 2 is a
government-to-government deal which precludes pay-offs. Statements by
Secretaries of Defence Michael Heseltine and George Younger betray a
haughty exasperation with a press which pursues moral issues at the
expense of British jobs.
Suddenly, as often happens, an insider began to level serious
accusations at the British Government and the supplier compa-nies. It came
from an unexpected source. A legal case which began in the District Court
of the District of Columbia in October 1991 has focused on the question of
the commission payments of Yamama 2. The strange suit was brought by one
Lieutenant Colonel Thomas Dooley (Rt) against United Tech-nologies
Corporation. Dooley is demanding $130 million in compensation.
Dooley alleges wrongful dismissal, denial of opportunity,
inva-sion of privacy, denial of the right to exercise stock options,
defamation and suffering distress and loss of peace of mind. Put in more
pertinent terms, Dooley alleges that United Technologies Corporation
demoted him for blowing the whistle on a bribery scheme involving Westland
Helicopters. Westland, which is 15 per cent owned by UTC, is licensed to
manufacture and sell the Black Hawk helicopter and through Yamama 2 it had
contracted to sell 78 of them to Saudi Arabia.
He claims that Westland, with the knowledge of UTC, agreed to
create two Saudi companies to handle the maintenance and the personnel
needed for this deal. The Saudi companies are jointly owned by the
Sikorsky Aircraft Division of UTC and Saudis close to the royal family, 45
and 55 per cent respectively. According to Dooley, the Saudi companies,
Thimar Aviation and Thimar Al J azzira Group, headed by one Ibrahim Al
Namla, were 'handling' a contract, acting as a front while, in reality,
others were doing the work. In other words, they are no more than shell
companies who use the personnel of other companies and pocket the
difference between the real cost and the inflated cost which they charge
and which this scheme allows them.
Dooley maintains that it was his objection to this phoney scheme
whose sole purpose was to overcharge for services provided by Sikorsky to
the benefit of the royal family which landed him in trouble. It is
supposed to have led to his demotion, punishment and the issuance of
threats against him.
The Dooley v. UTC case gained importance and momentum after the
plaintiff began filing his evidence. The Dooley papers filed with the
Washington District Court allege the existence of Mafia-like international
groups who manipulate the underground world of the arms trade. The group
handling the non-US aspect of the deal are called the Global Enterprise
Group while the ones dealing with the whole world including the USA are
called the Enterprise Group. The groups include several members of the
House of Saud, corporate officers in the USA and Britain and Government
officials. Beyond the existence of these sinister groups, the Dooley
papers allege the following:
· Westland knowingly agreed to and helped in the establishment
of phoney Saudi companies without competence to handle the work assigned
to them.
· Five members of the Saudi royal family, including Prince
Bandar, the Saudi Ambassador to Washington and a close personal friend of
former President Bush, and General Prince Khalid, his brother and the
former commander of the Saudi Air Force and the Arab forces during the
Gulf War, were involved in organizing the deal.
· It is alleged that the deal is in violation of US laws,
including the Arms Export Control Act, which prohibits the payment of
commissions on arms deals.
· The deal is also alleged to violate RICO, the Racketeering
Influence Corruption Act.
· According to Dooley's allegations, even the equipping of the
Black Hawk helicopters with missiles was subject to discussions which
centred more on which suppliers were willing to pay the highest
commissions than on the most suitable missile.
Broad as they are, Dooley's allegations leave two vital points
unclear. Did UTC, a company which on a previous occasion sent 20,000
telegrams to lobby for passage of the AWACS lease deal to Saudi Arabia,
acquire part of Westland and license it to make and sell the Black Hawk
helicopter to circumvent US laws prohibiting the payments of bribes by US
corporations? One of Dooley's documents (Trip Report Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia 18-27 April 1989) filed with the court mentions 'M. Thatcher's son
in connection with the deal, and though this a clear reference to Mark
Thatcher, Dooley has refused to elaborate on what this means.
So far, the UTC response to this legal suit represents nothing
more than an example of unimaginative corporate thinking. The corporation
asked that the suit be dismissed because of 'act of state doctrine',
claiming that the law which places limits on the ability of US law courts
to deal with corporations under the jurisdiction of another state applied
to Westland. It also asked that the case be transferred to Connecticut,
the state where it is headquartered. Both motions were rejected and the
case is pending.
Once again, Dooley alleges that there is a larger picture. His
law suit has confirmed that UK companies stop at noth-ing to accommodate
their Saudi clients. It strongly suggests that the whole of the Yamama 2
programme is being han-dled with that in mind. It implies that US
corporations have found ways of circumventing their country's laws in
order to pay bribes to members of the Saudi royal family and their
appointees.
Above all, when set against the background of Mrs Thatcher
inviting known arms dealers to 10 Downing Street and George Bush's close
friendship with Prince Bandar, the Dooley allegation that both governments
are party to the commission conspiracy comes as no surprise.* It is the
attitude of the governments of the USA and Britain, as well as France and
others in other cases, which amounts to a sordid conspiracy of silence to
use Saudi Arabia to keep their defence industries going. It is another
reason why the West's support for the House of Saud appears stronger than
ever.
This symbiotic Saudi-Western relationship, which starts at the
highest policy level of pretending to create a strong Saudi Arabia and
descends to embracing payment of commission and keeping the West's defence
industry busy, is gathering momentum. Now the realities of the defence
industry in the West make the situation resemble what always existed in
Saudi Arabia: the sellers and policy-makers are one and the same. There
are other complications in all this. The Saudi purchase of 72 F-iS
aircraft during the American presidential election was a hurried affair
aimed at helping George Bush's election chances. Beyond involving a number
of subsidiary offset deals which might lead to a congressional
investigation to determine if commissions are going to be paid, the deal
is a landmark attempt by the Saudis to influence US politics. The Saudis
have found another use for pretending to need arms.
*Dooley won a substantial out-of-court settlement in 1994.
The dangers are many in this sequence of errors which multiply
as they perpetuate themselves. The acceleration in Saudi arms purchases to
guarantee Western political support has not escaped the attention of the
Saudi opposition, both the liberal new class and the Islamic
fundamentalists. The most recent petition to King Fahd, signed by 124
ulemas, demanded the immediate enactment of a considerable number of
reforms including the immediate curtailment of arms purchases and the
reallocation of the money to the areas of health care and education. On
this, the religious opposition has the support of the new class. In the
words of a wealthy Saudi car distributor: 'Somebody better tell the West
to stop this. Even taxi drivers in my country know that we're being taken
for a ride.' The more arms the West sells to the House of Saud, the fewer
friends it has in Saudi Arabia.