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The
ability to reason plausibly, that is to derive useful conclusions from
imperfect premises, is one of the most remarkable properties of the
human mind, and a key to understanding intelligent behavior. In
plausible reasoning, the premises may be incomplete, uncertain,
imprecise or only partially relevant to the task. Yet, people are able
to make useful conclusions from premises. The initial core theory of
human plausible reasoning was developed by Collins and Michalski
(1989). For 15 years, Collins and his colleagues have been collecting
and organizing a wide variety of human plausible inferences people do
in everyday’s life. His collaboration with Michalski led to
development of a formal system based on Michalski’s variable valued
logic that characterized different patterns of plausible inferences
people use in reasoning about the world. They attempted to formalize
plausible inferences that frequently occur in people’s responses to
questions for which they don’t have ready answers.
Below there are
some references to principal publications about HPR:
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A. Collins, "Fragments of a theory of human plausible reasoning".
Theoretical Issues in Natural Language Processing-2. pp. 194-201,
1978.
Collins, A.
and Michalski R.S.,
"The Logic of Plausible Reasoning: A Core
Theory,"
Cognitive Science, Vol. 13, pp. 1-49, 1989.
Michalski R.S.,
Boehm-Davis, D. and Dontas, K., "Plausible reasoning: An outline of
theory and experiments to validate its structural Properties,"
invited chapter in INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS: State of the Art and Future
Directions, North Holland, 1990.
Dontas, K.,
"APPLAUSE: An Implementation of the Collins-Michalski Theory of
Plausible Reasoning,"
M.S. Thesis, Computer Science Department, University of
Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, August 1988.
Kelly, Jr.,
J.D., "PRS:
A System for Plausible Reasoning,"
M.S. Thesis, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, 1989.
Kejitan Dontas, Maria Zemankova,
“APPLAUSE: An implementation of the Collins-Michalski theory of
plausible reasoning,” Information Science, 52(2): 111-139, 1990.
J.D. Kelly, PRS: A System for
Plausible Reasoning, Master’s Thesis, University of Illinois,
Urbana-Champaign, 1989.
F. Oroumchian, R.N. Oddy, “An
Application of Plausible Reasoning to Information Retrieval,” SIGIR
1996: 244-252.
M. Virvou, K. Kabassi, “IFM: An
Intelligent Graphical User Interface Offering Advice,” In proceeding
of 2nd Hellenic Conf. of AI, SETN 2002, Greece, Companion Volume,
pp. 155-164.
E. Darrudi, M. Rahgozar, F.
Oroumchian, “Human Plausible
Reasoning for Question Answering Systems,” In proceeding of
Advances in Intelligent Systems - Theory and Applications,
Luxembourg, November 2004.
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