Like said these graphs are from Stuart Staniford, with data from IEA and EIA. Official monthly updates, believed to be all liquids.

 

 

Average daily oil production, by month, EIA and IEA (corrected) estimate averaged. Also a nine month centered moving average of the monthly series. Click to enlarge. Believed to be all liquids. Graph is not zero-scaled. Source: IEA, and EIA.

 

The left graph now shows the whole picture from the start of the oil business, starting somewhere with Drake or in Spindletop. The right graph is the same as on former page, and it is the little yellow rectangle up right for whole oil history. It is without question clear that production of oil (and consumption) can be easily, and to a large extent, influenced by decisions making (from producers, politicians, and luckily, by us consumers, think that over, please).

 

Here are the biggest projects coming on line. How much are current production declining during the same time frame?

I already hailed this update in a previous thread. It may be useful to list all the countries promising more than 0,4 mb of additional capacity, with the date by which, on optimistic assumptions, more than half of it should have come on line.

  1. KSA. 4,3mb, 2008.
  1. Canada. 2,3mb, 2010.
  1. Brazil. 2mb, 2008.
  1. Iran. 1,3mb, 2010.
  1. Qatar. 1,3 mb, 2009.
  1. Nigeria. 1,3mb, 2008.
  1. Iraq. 1,2 mb, ??
  1. Russia. 1 mb, 2010.
  1. Kazakhstan. 1 mb, 2012.
  1. Angola. 0,9 mb, 2007.
  1. Azerbaijan. 0,8 mb, 2007.
  1. UAE. 0,6 mb, 2006.
  1. Kuwait. 0,6 mb, 2010.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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