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NO NUKES NEWS
SEPTEMBER 2007

Clean energy - various - energy efficiency - geothermal - wind - bioenergy
Uranium sales to India and Russia
Uranium -Roxby Downs expansion
Australian Nuclear Free Alliance
Critique of so-called Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office
Nuclear power for Australia - various
Nuclear power for Australia - plebiscites, backflips
Nuclear power for Australia - local councils
Nuclear research in Australia
Nuclear dump proposed for the NT
Australia to join Global Nuclear Energy Partnership?
Nuclear weapons
Nuclear power and weapons - flaws in the safeguards system
Nuclear weapons - victims of US nuclear weapons program
Smuggling - China
Earthquakes and nuclear plants

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CLEAN ENERGY - VARIOUS

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Energy giant backs 20% renewables
Marian Wilkinson, Environment Editor
August 30, 2007
http://www.smh.com.au/news/environment/energy-giant-backs-20-renewables/2007/08/29/1188067191612.html

WIND, solar and other renewable energy should make up 20 per cent of power needs within 12 years if Australia wants to seriously cut the carbon emissions causing climate change, the head of the energy giant AGL said.

AGL's chief executive, Paul Anthony, is calling on the Prime Minister, John Howard, and the Opposition Leader, Kevin Rudd, to set a renewable energy target of 20 per cent by 2020, a far more ambitious goal than either side has agreed to so far.

"Look at the rest of the world," Mr Anthony told the Herald. "You can't effectively have a carbon abatement scheme without a very, very strong national obligation for renewable energy."

Mr Anthony's comments come as the major parties are examining targets for renewable energy in the lead-up to the federal election. For a decade, the Howard Government has resisted raising the mandatory national target for renewable energy above 2 per cent. Labor is expected to release its target soon.

Mr Anthony has been appointed chairman of the sustainable energy pressure group which is about to become the Clean Energy Council. His company has one of the largest retail energy businesses in Australia, with 3.6 million customers.

He also criticised the Howard Government approach to a carbon emissions trading scheme, which is supposed to set a price on carbon from fossil fuels that are causing pollution.

While committed to a trading scheme by 2012, neither Mr Howard nor Mr Rudd will set national targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions until after the election. Without targets, the emissions trading scheme cannot operate. Mr Anthony said business was concerned that there was still so much confusion over how the scheme would work.

"The piecemeal disclosure of the Government's thinking worries us," he said.

"We are finding it difficult to understand the logic." Most concerning, he said, was the plan by the Government to auction some permits to emit greenhouse gases but give permits or exemptions to particular industries.

Questions were raised about AGL's commitment to renewable energy recently when it dropped its plans to build the Dollar Wind Farm in Victoria. Mr Anthony insisted this was simply because there were better sites elsewhere.

"We've got a strong appetite for wind," he said, pointing to plans to build a $600 million wind farm at Macarthur in Victoria.

Mr Anthony said he believed Australia could economically make deep cuts in its greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.

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Matter of time until renewable energy is competitive
30 August 2007    
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your+say&subclass=general&story_id=1045135&category=letters+to+the+editor

Contrary to the assertions of Peter Lang (Letters, July 31, August 27), a renewable energy future is eminently feasible and no more costly than other low-emission technologies.

The intermittency of some (but not all) forms of renewable energy can already be managed at modest cost by: demand management (shifting loads from night to day); wide geographic dispersal (to minimise the effect of local cloud); technology diversity (photovoltaics, solar thermal, wind and wave); dispatchability (biomass, hydro and geothermal can generate at any time); storage (hot water, hot rocks, pumped hydroelectric storage etc); the judicious use of natural gas.

It will be several decades before renewables dominate energy markets, allowing time to develop additional solutions.

The solar and wind energy industries are doubling in size every two years and costs are falling. Wind, hydro, solar heaters and biomass from waste are already fully competitive with both nuclear energy and the predicted future cost of zero-emission fossil fuel.

The cost of photovoltaics on building roofs will soon fall below the retail price of electricity in many countries.

The mass of mined material and waste per unit of energy produced is 100 times smaller for solar than for fossil and nuclear energy systems.

Widely dispersed renewable energy generation is of low utility to terrorists. There are minimal impacts from accidents, no energy resource wars and no risks of nuclear weapons proliferation.

Renewable energy is a good solution.

Professor Andrew Blakers, director, ARC Centre for Solar Energy Systems Australian National University

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Matter of time until renewable energy is competitive
30 August 2007    
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your+say&subclass=general&story_id=1045135&category=letters+to+the+editor

It is apparent from a number of letters over the past few weeks that there is still a lot of ignorance in the community regarding renewable energy.

I guess this is only to be expected, given the Government's fossil fuel and nuclear bias. Consider that nuclear has its own promoting body, ANSTO, with a high-profile director (Dr Ziggy Switkowski) whose appointment was announced by Minister Julie Bishop.

Where is the solar energy equivalent of ANSTO? Which high-profile person will receive a highly publicised appointment to the directorship?

Those who are concerned about subsidies for renewable energy technologies should have a look at the research of Dr Chris Riedy.

He identified about $9 billion of taxpayer subsidies that go to fossil fuel industries, every year. I'm sure if these biases were removed, we'd see a number of renewable energy technologies rapidly become competitive.

Stephen Wootten, Bungendore, NSW

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SA's green energy credentials under fire
Article from: The Advertiser
MICHAEL OWEN, POLITICAL REPORTER
http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,22180929-2682,00.html
August 03, 2007 02:15am

THE State Government has been attacked by the nation's leading advocate for sustainable energy over a lack of mandatory renewable energy targets in South Australia.

The 280-member Australian Business Council for Sustainable Energy says Premier Mike Rann is claiming credit for renewable energy investment in SA, despite other states and the Federal Government being responsible.

This is because other states, notably Victoria and NSW, and the Commonwealth require electricity retailers to buy a certain percentage of their electricity from renewable sources, such as wind farms, and surrender certificates they get when they buy the electricity.

SA has no such system in place, the council argues.

But Mr Rann said mandatory targets would increase prices by about 10 per cent for South Australians and were unnecessary because other policy initiatives were in place.

"We are achieving market penetrations for renewable energy that are already better than those being aimed for in the jurisdictions with mandatory targets," he said.

"No other state comes within cooee, which shows how hopelessly out of touch the BCSE and eastern-seaboard focus is."

However, BCSE executive director Ric Brazzale said the structure of the renewable energy market meant an interstate retailer could use an SA wind farm to get its renewable energy certificate, without having to invest in more wind farms.

If SA had mandatory targets, there would have to be more investment in renewable energy, he said.

While SA's Climate Change and Greenhouse Emissions Reduction Act (2007) includes renewable energy targets of 20 per cent by 2014, the council said the targets were not mandatory.

" . . . none of the investment in renewable power projects in SA can be attributed to the renewable energy target of the Rann Government," Mr Brazzale said.

"The SA Government runs the risk of being seen as free-riding on the policies of other governments."

But Mr Rann said the BCSE was "taking a very narrow view of SA's achievements in this area".

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CLEAN ENERGY - ENERGY EFFICIENCY

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Energy Efficiency Seen Easiest Path to Aid Climate
AUSTRIA: August 29, 2007
http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/43998/story.htm

VIENNA - Energy efficiency for power plants, cars or homes is the easiest way to slow global warming in a long-term investment shift that will cost hundreds of billions of dollars, the United Nations said on Tuesday.


A UN report about climate investments, outlined to a meeting in Vienna of 1,000 delegates from 158 nations, also said emissions of greenhouse gases could be curbed more cheaply in developing nations than in rich states in coming decades.

The cash needed to return rising emissions, mainly from burning fossil fuels, to current levels by 2030 would amount to 0.3 to 0.5 percent of projected gross domestic product (GDP), or 1.1 to 1.7 percent of global investment flows, in 2030, it said.

"Energy efficiency is the most promising means to reduce greenhouse gases in the short term," said Yvo de Boer, the head of the UN Climate Change Secretariat, presenting the report to the Aug. 27-31 meeting.

That could mean tougher standards for cars, factories, coal-fired power plants or buildings in using fossil fuels.

And government policies could encourage people to pick energy efficient lightbulbs, for instance, or discourage them from wasting energy by heating empty outdoor terraces.

The 216-page report was published online last week.

De Boer said the study could help guide governments, meeting in Austria to discuss a longer-term strategy against global warming beyond the UN's Kyoto Protocol. The protocol binds 35 rich nations to cap emissions of greenhouse gases by 2008-12.

The report estimates that "global additional investment and financial flows of US$200 billion-$210 billion will be necessary in 2030 to return greenhouse gas emissions to current levels", including measures for energy supply, forestry and transport.

The study foresees a shift to renewable energies such as solar and hydropower, and some nuclear power. Environmentalists say that the report lacks ambition and that emissions need to be below current levels by 2030.

The report also estimates that investments in helping nations adapt to the impact of climate change would run to tens of billions of dollars in 2030, such as treating more cases of malaria or building dykes to protect beaches from rising seas.

It said carbon markets would have to be "significantly expanded to address needs for additional investments and financial flows." Companies are now responsible for about 60 percent of global investments.

Harlan Watson, the chief US climate negotiator, said it was unclear how governments could mobilise such vast investments by the private sector. "That's a key question," he said.

The report fills in some gaps in a wider picture given by previous studies such as one by former World Bank chief economist Nicholas Stern saying it would be cheaper to confront climate change now than wait to combat the consequences.

UN reports this year have also projected that warming will bring more heatwaves, droughts, disease and rising seas.

De Boer said investments to developing nations should rise.

"The bulk of cost-effective opportunities are in developing countries," he said, adding that did not mean that rich nations should seek only to invest abroad rather than at home.

"More than half the energy investment needed is in developing countries," he said. China is opening coal-fired power plants at a rate of two per week to feed its growing economy and cleaner technology would help the climate.

Story by Alister Doyle, Environment Correspondent


REUTERS NEWS SERVICE

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It makes sense to become energy efficient
Tim Colebatch
August 28, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/it-makes-sense-to-become-energy-efficient/2007/08/27/1188067029984.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

MOST of the big options in tackling climate change are very expensive, but some of the smaller ones are actually quite profitable. They are what economists call "low-hanging fruit": easy to harvest, costing us little or nothing, yet delivering valuable benefits.

The management consultants McKinseys a while back produced a study ranking the cost of different measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The cheapest, improving the efficiency of appliances, cost minus $150-$175 for every tonne of emissions saved. (Yes, you read that right. The cost is negative. You actually pocket $150 to $175 with every tonne of emissions you save.)

Federal Environment Minister Malcolm Turnbull and his predecessor, Ian Campbell, have outflanked Labor several times in the past year with initiatives to pluck that low-hanging fruit. Last year Campbell ordered appliance manufacturers to cut their products' electricity use in standby mode to just 1 watt by 2012. That might seem a minor matter, but the Australian Greenhouse Office tells us that 7 per cent of our entire household use of electricity comes from appliances when they are not actually being used.

That alone, Campbell said, would cut Australia's annual emissions by 2.5 million tonnes. They will also reduce our power bills. Emissions cuts don't come easier than that.

Lighting uses 12 per cent of household power, mostly because, thanks to familiarity and inertia, Australians usually buy filament bulbs — which are cheap to buy, expensive to run, burn up the energy and then die young. Fluoro bulbs cost more at the supermarket, but last 10 times as long and use far less power. This is ridiculous, said Turnbull, and he ordered filament bulbs to leave the house by 2011.

Good move, sir! That will not only save another 4 million tonnes a year of greenhouse gases, but over time it will also save us a small but appreciable sum of money.

Now Labor's minders have finally allowed Peter Garrett to strike back, and at a bigger target: electric hot-water heaters. Last week Garrett declared that Labor in government would ban the installation of electric hot-water heaters, except in blocks of flats, or in areas where you can't get reticulated natural gas.

That's a big one, and Turnbull was clearly envious. Government figures show water heaters are by far the biggest consumers of household energy, accounting for 28 per cent of energy use in the home. That's largely because half of Australia's homes still use electricity to heat their water, even though gas is cheaper — and, in most of Australia, so are solar water heaters.

That is changing rapidly. Already in 2006, the authoritative BIS Shrapnel survey found just 8 per cent of new water heaters installed in Victoria were electric, whereas 73 per cent were gas and 19 per cent some form of solar heaters or heat pumps. Electric heaters are still far more popular in New South Wales and Queensland, but even there the tide is turning.

That's not surprising.

As Prime Minister John Howard has pointed out, you cannot tackle climate change without making it more expensive to use electricity. Prices have soared in wholesale markets, and even at retail level NSW prices regulator Mike Keating has approved rises of 7 to 8 per cent for the next three years, with a lot more of that ahead as emissions caps bite.

It makes sense to stop using electricity where other fuels can do the job better. Even in Melbourne, an average solar heater can provide two-thirds of a household's hot-water needs. A recent report to the State Government by consultants George Wickenfeld and Associates and Energy Efficient Strategies implies that, after subsidies, a solar heater costs about $1750 more to buy and install than an electric one, or $1500 more than gas. Over time, the annual savings will offset that, although in Melbourne, if cost is the issue, gas is the best answer.

The further north you go, however, the more the odds shift in solar's favour. Queensland and South Australia have already banned electric water heaters in new houses, and WA will join them next week. Queensland has already moved to extend this ban to replacement heaters in existing homes where piped gas is available, and that is what Garrett now proposes at a national level.

It was all too much for the climate sceptics at The Australian. "Garrett's $6.5 billion hot water bill," they screamed, claiming that "households will have to pay up to $6.5 billion extra to replace their electric hot water systems" under Garrett's policy.

Last month the same newspaper and environment writer told us: "New solar hot water systems could become effectively free for some households courtesy of a matrix of generous rebates and other subsidies." Now he claims those heaters will cost us $2800 more.

The Australian did not explain how it arrived at its "bill", which is nonsense. At most, 4 million households have electric systems now. Many of them live in flats or areas without gas; they would be exempt under Labor's policy. Many others live in Queensland, where the policy already applies. Many of those to whom it will apply will choose gas, at little extra cost. And most of those who choose solar will get the $1000 subsidy.

The paper failed to mention the offsetting benefits. A five-star gas heater is cheaper to run than even off-peak electricity, and solar power is free. Turnbull and the Greenhouse Office cite savings of up to $300 a year, per household. That's a good return on a net investment of $1750.

Rod Sims, once Bob Hawke's economic adviser and now managing director of Pacific Energy Partners, has called on governments to regulate greater energy efficiency "to ensure that people pick up the $100 notes lying on the street". That is what banning electric systems will do.

Tim Colebatch is economics editor.

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CLEAN ENERGY - GEOTHERMAL

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Geodynamics generates hot interest
Peter Hannam
August 13, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/geodynamics-generates-hot-interest/2007/08/12/1186857344494.html

GEODYNAMICS will this week begin drilling Australia's first commercial-scale geothermal well, the first step to a "proof of concept" test planned for the end of 2007.

"No other company has actually drilled in its resource," said Adrian Williams, chief executive of the Brisbane-based company, referring to the slew of miners now prospecting the potential of generating electricity from so-called "hot rocks" located kilometres below the surface.

Once the new well, dubbed Haberno 3, is completed, it will be linked to an earlier well to create a circulation test.

"It will well and truly demonstrate the concept," Dr Williams said. "Then Geodynamics will be focused on commercial development."

News that its new $32 million rig was ready to start drilling at the site near Innamincka in South Australia lifted the company's shares by 3.2 per cent to $1.62 on Friday, one of a few stocks to dodge the market drop.

Geodynamics shares have almost doubled in value this year. The region's hot rocks, which have temperatures up to 300 degrees Celsius, have the potential to generate as much as 10,000 megawatts of power, in the order of 15 Snowy Hydro schemes, Dr Williams has said.

"There's a large number of people in North America and Europe watching us," he said.

www.geodynamics.com.au

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Energy minister recharges state green power push
Mathew Murphy
August 6, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/energy-minister-recharges-state-green-power-push/2007/08/05/1186252543092.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

Mr Batchelor said the Government was excited about the prospects of geothermal energy in Victoria, which pipes water down to "hot rocks", producing hot water and steam. It is then brought to the surface and is captured by power turbines producing electricity.

"At the end of the day it keeps producing electricity when the sun goes down and the wind dies down," he said. "You have that base-load capacity, which sometimes isn't available with other renewables."

Jim Driscoll, from GeoScience Victoria, said a second round of drilling permits were expected to be offered for the rest of the state within months. In April the Government announced five drilling licences for 13 sites around southern Victoria. "There is a process at the moment on what to do with the remaining 19 blocks in Victoria," Mr Driscoll said.

"We are getting interest in those blocks, which haven't been released, and as soon as we put those out I am sure we will get some more encouraging results of geothermal activity in northern Victoria."

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CLEAN ENERGY - WIND

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Matthew Franklin | August 23, 2007
Wind power firm runs out of puff
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22291368-30417,00.html

THE Howard Government has defended its record of support for alternative energy sources after the Opposition blamed it for the planned closure of a Victorian wind turbine blade producer with the loss of 130 jobs.

Vestas Australia Wind Technology announced yesterday it would close its Portland turbine blade factory at the end of the year after concluding that Australia's green energy market was unviable.

Labor environment spokesman Peter Garrett said the Howard Government's refusal to lift the Mandatory Renewable Energy Target beyond 2 per cent was responsible.

The Vestas operation was the fourth to shut in the past year.

"The closure of the Portland factory is a major blow to the local community and another kick in the guts for our renewable energy industry," Mr Garrett said.

"While the global renewable energy market is set to be worth $US750 billion ($935 billion) a year by 2016 and the industry has an excellent track record in creating jobs in regional Australia, the Government's failure to deliver a price for carbon and its continuing refusal to ratify the Kyoto protocol means Australian jobs and investment are heading overseas."

But Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane said he was surprised by the announcement and that the company had not approached the Government for assistance. "We understand, however, that it is a commercial decision driven by changing market demand," he said.

Mr Macfarlane said he was disappointed about the job losses but the Government had strongly supported Australia's renewable energy sector, stimulating $3.5 billion in extra investment, which had seen Australia's wind energy capacity increase by about 8000 per cent.

Vestas Asia-Pacific senior vice-president Jorn Hammer said if the Government was prepared to put in place "the necessary security for a long-term market", the company might reassess its position.

"It's definitely a fact that the current environment for the wind industry is not big enough to encourage these kinds of investments," he said.

The Danish-based company last year closed a similar $15million factory in Wynyard, Tasmania, laying off 65 staff.

The new announcement came as Labor continued its attacks on the Government's promotion of the use of nuclear energy.

An expert report prepared for the Government last year said Australia could have 25 nuclear reactors by 2050.

But Mr Macfarlane has stressed that the community will need to agree to the construction of reactors and that their location will be determined by the private sector, not the Government.

Despite this, Labor is running a seat-by-seat campaign warning of the possibility of reactors being built in populated areas.

Yesterday, Deputy Prime Minister Mark Vaile said local communities should be able to hold ballots over whether they wanted reactors.

Kevin Rudd said the comment was at odds with the assurances of Mr Macfarlane and John Howard that governments would not determine the location of reactors. "You can't have it both ways," the Opposition Leader said.

Additional reporting: AAP

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CLEAN ENERGY - BIOENERGY

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Energy, climate fuel food concerns
The Canberra Times
15 August 2007    
Joachim Von Braun
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your+say&subclass=general&story_id=1037325&category=opinion
WORLD agriculture is at a turning point: energy and climate change are redefining the global food situation. As demand for affordable energy increases, along with greenhouse gas emissions, bioenergy is increasingly seen as an economically and environmentally sound solution. The growing potential of biofuels appears to create a substantial opportunity for the world's farmers in both industrialised and developing countries.

A modern biofuel industry could also provide developing-country farmers with a use for crop residues and marginal land, and generate additional employment in rural areas. However, the extent to which farmers will be able to realise the benefits of switching to biofuels production depends on many conditions, including access to markets and access to technological innovation.

Despite the significant, positive potential of bioenergy, biofuels also pose challenges, especially for the poor in developing countries. Increased production of energy crops, for example, has the potential to exacerbate socio-economic inequalities by concentrating benefits in the hands of those who are already well-off. If not well managed, biofuel production can also lead to deforestation, a loss of biodiversity, and excessive use of fertilisers and pesticides, thereby degrading the land and water that poor people depend on.

More importantly, biofuels could increase food prices. According to analyses by the International Food Policy Research Institute, such price increases could range between 5-15per cent for various crops, given the current plans for biofuel production. Aggressive growth in biofuels, however, could lead to even greater price increases. By 2020, prices for grain crops could increase by 20-40 per cent, over and above other causes for price increases, including increased demand from the growing and wealthier populations of developing countries.

Such price increases would pose difficulties for many of the world's one billion poor people who earn only a dollar a day and typically spend 50c-70c of that on food. However, new technologies that increase efficiency and productivity in crop production and biofuel processing could reduce these price increases.

Higher feedstock prices would benefit energy crop producers. They would, however, adversely affect poor consumers, as well as small farmers who buy more food than they grow. For countries with a limited natural resource base, biofuels could divert land and water away from the production of food and feed. Critics argue that crop production for biofuels competes with food production, reducing access to affordable food. But hunger is not simply due to a lack of food availability. The primary cause of hunger is poverty. If increased production of biofuels can raise the incomes of small farmers and rural workers in developing countries, it may in fact improve food security. Still, risks for food security remain, particularly if a country's biofuel sector is not well managed and if oil prices are unstable.

Policy-makers have recognised that the high demand for energy and the apparent enormous potential of biofuels do not automatically guarantee a positive impact on poor people and developing countries. Creating an industry that helps the neediest people improve their lives and livelihoods will require careful management by both the public and private sectors.

In order to make a difference in the lives of poor people, as both energy producers and consumers, and to make strong environmental and economic contributions, biofuel technology needs further advancement. A comprehensive policy framework is needed that covers science and technology, markets and trade, and insurance and social protection for the poor. The latter could include employment programs, cash transfer programs, and social security systems for the poorest. To develop a pro-poor biofuels sector that is sustainable, players at the international, national, and local levels have crucial roles to play. International institutions must help transfer knowledge and technology for developing an efficient and sustainable biofuel industry to poor countries. The international community must also create a level playing field for trade in biofuels. By subsidising domestic agriculture and biofuel industries, the price of grains and other feedstock rises, distorting the opportunities for biofuel production and trade.

At the national level, policy-makers must take steps to create a well-functioning market for biofuels, to promote investment in associated areas like flexible-fuel vehicles and fuelling stations, and to regulate land use in line with socio-economic and environmental goals.

Dr von Braun is the director-general of the International Food Policy Research Institute.

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URANIUM SALES TO INDIA AND RUSSIA

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EnergyScience briefing paper on uranium sales to India at
<www.energyscience.org.au>.

URANIUM, INDIA AND THE NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION REGIME

EnergyScience Coalition
Briefing Paper No. 18

Jim Green and Sara Franzoni

August 2007

Table of contents:
Acknowledgements
Acronyms
1. Introduction and summary
2. The US-India deal
3. Safeguards and India's weapons program
4. India's uranium shortage
5. The precedent set by nuclear trade with India
6. Nuclear exports
7. Violation of resolutions and treaty obligations
8. Windfall profits?
9. Reactor safety
10. Climate change and energy options
11. References and further information
About the authors

1. Introduction and summary

The Australian federal government is actively moving to facilitate uranium sales to India – a move with important implications for Australia's uranium safeguards regime and the credibility of the international nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament regime.

Within days of the conclusion of a nuclear cooperation agreement between the US and India, foreign minister Alexander Downer said on July 31 that federal Cabinet would discuss the potential sale of Australian uranium to India "fairly soon". Mr Downer and Prime Minister John Howard have expressed support for both uranium sales to India and the US-India deal.

Nuclear trade with India undermines the fundamental principle of the global non-proliferation regime – the principle that signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) can engage in international nuclear trade for their civil nuclear programs while countries which remain outside the NPT are excluded from civil nuclear trade.

For decades, India has been invited to dismantle its nuclear weapons and join the NPT as a non-weapons state. It would then be free to participate in international civil nuclear trade. Now, the US and Australia propose to engage in nuclear trade with India with no requirement for India to dismantle its nuclear arsenal or to join the NPT. This legitimises India's nuclear weapons program and makes it less likely that it will disarm. The recently-concluded US-India deal does nothing to curtail India's nuclear weapons program; indeed it will facilitate India's weapons program.

Nuclear trade with India will also make it less likely that other non-NPT weapons states such as Israel and Pakistan will disarm and accede to the NPT. Pakistan resents the selective support for India's nuclear program and is well aware of the potential for the US-India deal and Australian uranium exports to facilitate an expansion of India's arsenal of nuclear weapons. Increased nuclear cooperation between Pakistan and China is a likely outcome of nuclear trade between the US, Australia and India.

The precedent set by nuclear trade with India increases the risk of other countries pulling out of the NPT, building nuclear weapons, and doing so with the expectation that civil nuclear trade would continue given the Indian precedent.

A key problem with proposed uranium exports to India is that it will free up domestic uranium in India for weapons production. Indeed, K. Subrahmanyam, former head of the India's National Security Advisory Board, was quoted in the Times of India on 12 December 2005, saying that: "Given India's uranium ore crunch and the need to build up our minimum credible nuclear deterrent arsenal as fast as possible, it is to India's advantage to categorize as many power reactors as possible as civilian ones to be refueled by imported uranium and conserve our native uranium fuel for weapons grade plutonium production."

Civil nuclear trade with India would violate the rules of the Nuclear Suppliers Group. It cannot be reconciled with UN Security Council Resolution 1172, which calls on India and Pakistan to stop further production of fissile material for nuclear weapons. It would arguably amount to a violation of the NPT. Australian uranium sales to India would violate treaty commitments under the South Pacific Nuclear Weapons Free Zone Treaty.

The economic benefits of uranium sales to India would be negligible. If Australia supplied one quarter of India's current demand, annual sales revenue would amount to $8.6 million, uranium export revenue would increase by 1.3%, and Australia's export revenue from all products would increase by 0.005%. If India's ambitious nuclear expansion plan is realised, Australia's uranium export revenue would increase by 6.8% over the current figure and export revenue from all products would increase by 0.026%.

Rest of the report at: <www.energyscience.org.au>.

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Australian uranium sales to India will be illegal <http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2007%5C08%5C30%5Cstory_30-8-2007_pg7_45>
Daily Times - Lahore,Pakistan
By Khalid Hasan

WASHINGTON: Australia, which has announced that it will sell uranium to India, will be violating its international legal obligations if it does so, according to Leonard S Spector of the California-based James Martin Centre for Non-proliferation Studies, “The question of whether Australia can legally export uranium to India is no longer in doubt. It cannot,” he said.

According to him, official records show that Australian Foreign Minister Alexander Downer told the Australian Parliament unambiguously that the 1985 South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone Treaty bans Australian uranium exports to states like India.

Downer made the statement in 1996, during consideration of uranium exports to Taiwan. The point was repeated before Parliament in 2001 by a more junior Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade diplomat, presumably with Downer’s authorisation, in conjunction with nuclear exports to Argentina, the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Taiwan. Australia signed the treaty in 1985, which entered into force in December 1986.

Despite earlier statements, on August 16, 2007, Prime Minister John Howard announced that Australia is prepared to sell uranium to India, ending a long-standing embargo. According to Spector, the announcement anticipates a controversial change in international nuclear trade rules being sought by the United States to permit peaceful nuclear cooperation with India, pursuant to a July 18, 2005, agreement between US President George Bush and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. Under the 1996 and 2001 determinations by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, however, Australian uranium sales to India would be a violation of Australia’s treaty obligations.

The South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone Treaty bans nuclear testing in the region. But it also prohibits parties from making nuclear exports to states, like India, that have refused to place all of their nuclear activities under monitoring by the International Atomic Energy Agency. The shorthand for these comprehensive inspections is “full-scope safeguards,” Spector explained. India declared itself a nuclear power in 1998.

But under the 1968 nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT), only countries that detonated nuclear explosions before 1967 — the United States, Russia, the UK, France, and China — are considered legitimate nuclear weapon states. All other countries are considered non-nuclear weapon states.

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Weapons inspector fears new arms race
Sarah Smiles
August 27, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/weapons-inspector-fears-new-arms-race/2007/08/26/1188066946419.html

FORMER top UN weapons inspector Hans Blix has warned that Australian uranium sales to India could help the country generate nuclear weapons.

In an interview with The Age, the veteran Swedish diplomat cautioned that the world is witnessing a dangerous phase of rearmament.

He said Australian uranium sales could free up India to use its own uranium to create weapons-grade material and heighten tensions in the region.

"It would make it easier for them to make bomb-grade material and this may increase tension vis-a-vis Pakistan and China," Dr Blix said.

Dr Blix, who is addressing a UN function in Melbourne tonight, led UN weapons inspections in Iraq in the lead-up to the 2003 war. After the invasion, he criticised the US and Britain for exaggerating the case for war around weapons of mass destruction.

Beyond Iraq, Dr Blix said the world had entered a dangerous period of rearmament, from the Russians developing new missiles to Britain's decision to extend its nuclear weapons program. "Despite the ending of the Cold War, which is now 17 years behind us, we are moving in the wrong direction," he said.

Dr Blix said Cold War thinking underpinned the United States' new nuclear deal with India, which he says is aimed at containing China.

While Dr Blix acknowledged the need for India to secure energy supplies, he said stricter safeguards were needed to prevent proliferation globally.

He said Australia had a "great reputation" in taking part in disarmament initiatives and had a "past to live up to".

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Russian roulette
Tuesday, August 21, 2007
http://bulletin.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=288522

As Russia enters a new Cold War phase former world chess champion and pro-democracy leader Garry Kasparov warns that the regime can't be trusted with Australian uranium. By Julie-Anne Davies.
On the eve of APEC, one of Russia's most prominent opposition political figures, former world chess champion Garry Kasparov, has warned the Howard government against selling uranium to Russia. It is expected that during the visit of President Vladimir Putin to Australia - the first by a Russian president - he and Prime Minister John Howard will sign a historic deal which, for the first time, will see Australian uranium sold to the Russians for domestic use.

In an exclusive interview with The Bulletin, Kasparov says Australia should not assume Russia can be trusted with uranium. He says Australia will have to accept moral responsibility if Russia then on-sells the uranium to a rogue state or uses it for other non-civil purposes.

"Should Australian uranium end up in the wrong hands - and it's not too far-fetched to suggest that Russia under Putin is already in the wrong hands - Australia will not be able to act innocent or to claim ignorance," Kasparov says.

Rest of article at: http://bulletin.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=288522

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Australia is backing a nuclear rogue
Andy Butfoy
August 20, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/australia-is-backing-a-nuclear-rogue/2007/08/19/1187462081031.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

THE Australian Government will be seen around the world as pulling the rug from under global arms control. This is an obvious consequence of its decision to pave the way for uranium sales to India, a country that rejects treaties aimed at stopping the nuclear arms race. The Government, apparently led by Foreign Minister Downer, believes boosting mining profits, and following Washington's lead on nuclear co-operation with India, are more important than reinforcing global non-proliferation rules.

Of course, there is a case for selling uranium to India. It's one that tends to reflect the views of the US neo-cons who laid much of the groundwork for the idea. Advocates of the exports often pin their case on three points. First, they can play the global warming card, although this mostly looks like tactical positioning rather than a genuine motive. Second, they say it's a moral nonsense for the rules to ban civil nuclear sales to a democracy such as India, while simultaneously permitting sales to an authoritarian state such as China just because Beijing has signed arms control agreements. Third, armchair strategists think India can be used to balance the growing power of China.

Where does the nuclear non-proliferation treaty figure here? It doesn't, except in a few limited regards. For a start, it's sometimes said (although not by Downer) that the NPT has passed its use-by date. This is simplistic rhetoric more than analysis, but it serves the purpose of making it easier to paint India's refusal to sign as irrelevant. Unfortunately, this approach risks turning the collapse of the NPT into a reckless self-fulfilling prophecy.

Then we are told Australia's hands are clean because inspections will ensure our material won't find its way into Indian weapons. However, imports from here can be used to free other sources of uranium for India's military.

Finally, it's asserted India has a good record and acts in a manner consistent with the spirit of the NPT. This last claim has been a favourite mantra of media supporters of the deal eager to display their supposed expertise on the subject. The Government seems to have settled on this line as the key selling point of its policy.

This marketing pitch should be put into perspective, an exercise that also reveals how far Downer has been prepared to twist around on the topic. Here it's worth stepping back a few years.

In the 1990s Australia, more than any other country, was responsible for getting near universal backing for the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty — despite strong opposition from India. The Labor and Liberal governments of the time had much to be proud of as the CTBT was widely seen as the key next step in reinforcing the NPT. In 1998 Downer said: "The pivotal role we played in the negotiation and adoption of the CTBT is a reflection of our commitment to the global nuclear non-proliferation … regime. This regime is central to our national security."

As Downer explained "One of the great achievements of the CTBT is to provide a codified international benchmark against which the actions of individual members of the international community … can be judged.

"Countries which defy this code of behaviour, as India and Pakistan have done, know that they can expect to feel the full weight of international opprobrium."

Just two years ago Downer was president of an international conference given the task of bringing the CTBT into legal force, something that requires, among other things, a reversal of Indian policy.

He spoke of his "unwavering support" for the treaty and his determination to take it forward, saying it would be "a decisive contribution to world peace and stability for generations to come". He explicitly argued that a suspension of tests was not an acceptable substitute for full treaty ratification. Moreover, he said of those not ratifying: "We have over the years heard many reasons why this is so. The time for excuses is past. It is time for them to act." India ignored the appeal.

No matter. Canberra has now sold out, and is backing a re-write of the internationally agreed rules on nuclear trade for the sake of a country that has repeatedly spat on the CTBT. (At least Russia, another market just opened for business by the government, supports the treaty.) Even today India insists deals with foreign governments will not constrain its nuclear weapons program, including its stance on testing. And this stance has been reckless, bloody-minded and provocative. Only signing and ratifying the CTBT will fix the damage.

The global rules on nuclear exports are laid down by the Nuclear Suppliers Group. Sensibly, the NSG keeps countries that refuse to sign the NPT on the outer. However, if the US and Australia have their way, this provision will be blown apart.

Downer should reflect on a key line from the NSG's webpage. It says: "The NSG was created following the explosion in 1974 of a nuclear device by a (previously) non-nuclear-weapon state, which demonstrated that nuclear technology transferred for peaceful purposes could be misused." The country in question was India; it had lied and bombed its way into the nuclear club. Australia will now be seen as tacitly endorsing this strategy.

Andy Butfoy is a lecturer in international relations at Monash University.

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Uranium deal with India hits hurdles
Craig Skehan and Anne Davies in Washington
August 17, 2007
http://www.smh.com.au/news/world/uranium-deal-with-india-hits-hurdles/2007/08/16/1186857683428.html

PLANS to sell Australian uranium to India for power generation are in doubt, with controversy on three continents and an apparent unwillingness by India to agree not to conduct future nuclear weapons tests.

The Prime Minister, John Howard, last night announced a series of strict conditions on any uranium sales after a telephone conversation with his Indian counterpart, Manmohan Singh.

Mr Howard said a nuclear agreement between India and the United States would have to be ratified by Congress, and New Delhi would have to agree to International Atomic Energy Agency inspections.

"We want to be satisfied that the uranium will only be used for peaceful purposes," he said.

The possibility of uranium sales to Russia was also floated last night, but Mr Howard's office told the Herald it was unaware of any agreement. However, sources said there had been discussions about transferring Australian nuclear-related technology to Russia.

Diplomatic sensitivities over the Indian deal were underscored when the Pakistani high commission in Canberra issued a statement yesterday criticising the Government for seeking the uranium deal with India.

It said that in the interests of non-proliferation and "strategic stability in South Asia" there should instead be a "package approach" where Australia supplied both India and Pakistan.

There were warnings yesterday that undermining the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, which neither country had signed, could have wider implications for a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.

The Federal Government conceded there were hurdles to overcome before any sales to India could take place.

It was unclear last night whether Australia would require a watertight commitment from India that it would never conduct further nuclear weapons tests, or merely warn that sales would be suspended if such tests occurred.

The former foreign minister Gareth Evans, now president of the International Crisis Group, said it was likely the Government had not imposed suitably strict conditions on India.

With Australia having 40 per cent of the world's known uranium reserves, Mr Evans believes the Government should use this advantage to strike a better deal.

"The real leverage we have is that because of [India's] hunger to acquire these stocks you can in fact impose some [stricter] conditions."

An international nuclear non-proliferation research and advocacy group, the Arms Control Association, accused Australia of "flagrantly contradicting" its stand on nuclear non-proliferation.

"The decision severely tarnishes Australia's otherwise good reputation as a leader in support of nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament by all states," said the association's executive director, Daryl Kimball.

"Australia has had an international treaty obligation not to transfer uranium to India."

Mr Howard said India would need an additional protocol on strengthened safeguards.

Uranium exports to India would create jobs in Australia, he said.

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India nukes deal, now for Russia
Sarah Smiles, Katharine Murphy and Anne Davies
August 17, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/india-nukes-deal-now-for-russia/2007/08/16/1186857682270.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

THE Howard Government has set the scene for a massive expansion of Australia's uranium industry, with the sealing last night of a controversial deal for exports to India and talks nearing completion for a new pact with Russia.

Increasing the focus on the nuclear issue before the federal election, Prime Minister John Howard announced the sale of uranium to India under "strict conditions", which he discussed in a phone conversation last night with his Indian counterpart, Manmohan Singh.

At the same time, Government officials confirmed that a new agreement to sell uranium to Russia could be signed next month during the visit of President Vladimir Putin to Australia. The deal will pave the way for Australian uranium to fuel Russian reactors for the first time.

Announcing the deal with India, the Government said it would include a bilateral safeguards agreement to ensure Australia uranium was only used for peaceful purposes.

Foreign Minister Alexander Downer has also said Australia will sell uranium to India if it agrees to put two-thirds of its existing nuclear power plants, and any new facilities, under United Nations supervision.

But the Government has been forced to fend off questions about whether there are sufficient safeguards to sell uranium to a country outside the international treaty on non-proliferation.

There was also controversy over the issue yesterday in India, after a declaration by the Bush Administration that the United States will scrap its planned nuclear co-operation agreement with Delhi if the Singh Government conducts a nuclear test, according to local press reports.

The Age reported this week that India's chief scientific adviser, Dr Rajagopala Chidambaram, said India and not the world community would decide which reactors to open for inspections. "Whatever reactors we put under safeguards will be decided at India's discretion."

Asked about Dr Chidambaram's comments yesterday, Mr Howard said he would call his Indian counterpart to allay concerns about the strength of the safeguards. "I believe the sort of conditions we have in mind will meet any concerns on which those points are based," he said.

But the deal with India has drawn a strong rebuke from the leading nuclear non-proliferation research and advocacy group, the Arms Control Association, which has accused Australia of "flagrantly contradicting" its international stand on nuclear non-proliferation.

Labor also stepped up political pressure on the Government over the India deal and its ambitions to introduce nuclear power in Australia, asking why it was supporting plebiscites on Queensland council amalgamations but not on the location of future reactors. Mr Howard said the location of reactors would be determined by commercial decisions in the future.

"The Prime Minister has now put Australians on notice that their wishes will be ignored," Labor environment spokesman Peter Garrett said.

The planned deal with Russia follows negotiations in Moscow in May. Under a 1990 agreement, Russia has processed Australian uranium for other countries but not for its own use.

The new agreement follows Russia's decision to separate its civil and military nuclear programs last year. This includes putting its civil facilities under the International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards agreement.

Russian ambassador Alexander Blokhin said the nuclear agreement entailed "co-operation in the field of peaceful atomic energy."

Academics have raised concerns that Australia's exports could free up Russia to sell its own weapons-grade uranium to rogue states. "Does that then allow the Russians to export to other third states?" said Donald Rothwell, Professor of International Law at the Australian National University.

But Andrew Davies, of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, said the exports were not problematic because Russia was a signatory to the Non-proliferation Treaty and had an existing bilateral safeguards agreement with Australia.

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Uranium sale to fuel arms race: Imran
Katharine Murphy
August 16, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/uranium-sale-to-fuel-arms-race-imran/2007/08/15/1186857593210.html

PAKISTANI cricketer turned politician Imran Khan has predicted that the Howard Government's decision to sell uranium to India will spark a new arms race on the subcontinent.

Khan, who leads the Movement for Justice party, told SBS Television last night that Australia's decision to export uranium would encourage generals in his country to spend more on weapons to counter India's access to nuclear fuel.

Australia has decided to sell uranium to India, but not Pakistan, because Foreign Minister Alexander Downer argues that India has a good record on weapons non-proliferation.

Khan said last night that Australia should have been even-handed in its decision on uranium exports. He said funds in Pakistan would now be diverted from human development to arms development, "and we will have a sort of arms race in the subcontinent which poor people in our countries cannot afford".

Asked whether Australia should have made the decision, he replied: "Absolutely not."

In comments that defy the upbeat assessments from Canberra that selling uranium to Delhi will make the world safer, India's chief scientific adviser, Rajagopala Chidambaram, said Delhi would decide which of its nuclear plants to open to inspectors and which would remain closed off.

In an interview with The Hindu newspaper, Mr Chidambaram said: "Whatever reactors we put under safeguards will be decided at India's discretion."

He said India had no intention to quarantine its military program from its civilian program because nuclear scientists would work across both programs.

"We are not firewalling between the civil and military programs in terms of manpower or personnel. That's not on," Dr Chidambaram said.

His comments followed the nuclear co-operation agreement struck between Washington and Delhi. Dr Chidambaram was a key player in those negotiations.

That agreement will form a template for the Howard Government, which plans to pursue its own safeguards agreement to sell uranium to the subcontinent.

Mr Downer said selling uranium to India would make the world safer because its nuclear plants would be subject to international inspections for the first time.

He said there was no way the uranium could be used for military purposes.

Last night Mr Downer told the ABC that United Nations inspectors would ensure the uranium remained in the civilian program.

But the comments of Dr Chidambaram reveal that India will retain discretion over which plants are in the net and which remain closed to the rest of the world.

He also said new fast-breeder reactors should stay outside inspections. "Now, anything which requires advanced R&D, we don't want to slow it down by having someone looking over their shoulder," he said.

Australia's decision is a groundbreaking shift in foreign policy, which had prohibited the sale of uranium to countries outside the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Labor leader Kevin Rudd condemned the decision yesterday.

"It is a very bad development indeed when we have the possibility of the Government of Australia stepping outside the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and saying it's OK to sell uranium (to a country) which isn't a signatory," he said.

Greens leader Bob Brown said: "Australia is directly fuelling the production of nuclear weapons for a country which will soon have rockets that will reach Australia."

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Uranium cleared for India
Dennis Shanahan and Siobhain Ryan | August 15, 2007
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22247581-601,00.html
AUSTRALIA has decided to start uranium shipments to India with the condition that Australian inspectors be allowed to check on site that the yellowcake is used only for peaceful purposes and electricity generation.

The Australian nuclear safety inspectors would check the "chain of supply" of nuclear material from Australia to India to ensure none was siphoned off into weapons programs.

The national security committee of federal cabinet decided last night, after more than two hours, to allow the uranium shipments to India, despite the subcontinental nuclear power not signing the international Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Australia has only recently decided to ship uranium to China for the first time.

The National Security Committee discussed ways for Australia to export uranium to India without contributing to nuclear tensions between India and Pakistan or assisting the spread of nuclear weapons.

John Howard will contact his Indian counterpart, Manmohan Singh, who is also Minister for Atomic Energy, to explain the conditions before formally announcing the agreement.

The cabinet committee was under pressure to both allow India access to uranium -- a process the US has offered to assist with -- and defend its record on the non-proliferation of nuclear weapons.

It is understood Mr Howard will be personally contacting Mr Singh as soon as possible.

Labor has accused the Howard Government of being prepared to water down strict controls on uranium exports and move away from the international agreements limiting nuclear weapons.

Pakistan has also asked for uranium to power its domestic electricity grid if it is sold to India.

The Australian Government wants to help India with its peaceful energy needs, but does not want to contribute to the nuclear tensions between India and Pakistan.

The decision comes as the ALP has committed to a scare campaign over nuclear power reactor sites in Australia.

Foreign Minister Alexander Downer said yesterday the fact that India already had nuclear weapons meant "there is no risk" of contributing to nuclear proliferation by exporting uranium to the energy-hungry economy.

"I think the reverse in fact is the case -- that the more you can get the India civil nuclear program under UN inspections and under the UN protocols of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the better," Mr Downer told the ABC. "I think that creates a safer and more secure environment for those power stations."

Labor foreign affairs spokesman Rob McClelland said any step towards uranium exports to India would be moving away from the NPT signed by Australia.

"We see that the Government is prepared to further undermine the NPT by selling uranium to India while that country remains outside the non-proliferation regime," he told the UN Association of Australia last night.

"The bottom line is that the Howard Government is worse than ambivalent when it comes to nuclear non-proliferation -- it is positively obstructive."

Even the uranium industry has reserved judgment on the Government's support for uranium exports to India until it hears how the NPT can be protected.

Michael Angwin, executive director of the Australian Uranium Association, said Australia's policy of exporting uranium only to signatories to the treaty had been successful to date.

India now needs to win IAEA approval of its planned safeguards, the support of an international grouping of nuclear suppliers, and ratification of its nuclear co-operation agreement with the US. Only then can it do a bilateral deal with Australia to allow the uranium trade and start negotiating with local miners.

Last week, Pakistan's Minister for Religious Affairs, Ejaz ul-Haq, said Australia should consider selling uranium to Pakistan. He rejected concerns Islamabad would use the uranium in nuclear weapons. But Mr Downer ruled out selling uranium to Pakistan.

Australian uranium miners are bound by national legislation which allows them to sell yellowcake (uranium oxide) only to companies in countries that are signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as well as a bilateral safeguards agreement with the Australian Government. Neither India nor Pakistan is a signatory to the treaty. They also do not yet have any bilateral agreement with Australia.

Under these arrangements, exporters must apply for a licence from the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferations Office, where it can be proved that the uranium will be used for peaceful purposes.

Labor plans to escalate its anti-nuclear campaign next week, with Kevin Rudd to visit coastal seats around the nation to warn voters that a returned Howard Government could deliver a nuclear power plant to their neighbourhoods.

A report to the Government late last year by the Nuclear Energy Review Taskforce said there could be up to 25 nuclear reactors in Australia by 2050.

But Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane said Mr Rudd's tour would be a scare campaign in which he would seek to mislead voters.

Mr Macfarlane said Labor's determination to tackle climate change by setting emissions-reduction targets would also hasten the need for the use of nuclear power in Australia.

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URANIUM - ROXBY DOWNS EXPANSION

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BHP out of the medals for Olympic
Barry Fitzgerald
August 25, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/bhp-out-of-the-medals-for-olympic/2007/08/24/1187462524956.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

BHP BILLITON remains on a collision course with the South Australian and Federal governments over its plan to slash billions of dollars from the cost of expanding its Olympic Dam copper/uranium/gold mine by avoiding new investment in labor and capital-intensive smelting assets.

Incoming chief executive Marius Kloppers has already come under fire for proposing that an expanded Olympic Dam stop short of producing finished metal at the remote site by adopting the lower-cost and higher-margin option of shipping out concentrates, leaving customers in Asia and elsewhere to do the final processing.

Last month the South Australian Government said the option was "not on". But in briefings this week, Mr Kloppers refused to retreat from the no-smelting option, noting that smelting added as little as 4 per cent to the value of the copper and that Olympic Dam was no different from the rest of the industry in that it was facing increased capital costs.

The Olympic Dam expansion has long been formally priced by BHP at $US6 billion ($A7.4 billion) but more recent pre-feasibility study work is believed to have indicated the cost could increase to a staggering $US15 billion, prompting BHP to reconsider the best way to reduce capital outlays, with the no-smelting option at the top of the list.

Federal Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane said yesterday he had "serious reservations about a plan, which reduces the number of Australian jobs created from the mine expansion, as well as removing an opportunity to add value to the ore here in Australia".

"I am always very keen to see as much value-adding to our resources as possible on Australian soil, so that Australian workers and businesses can extract the most benefit from the value chain," Mr Macfarlane said.

He said he understood BHP had stressed it was at a very early stage of its planning process. "As such, no formal proposal of any type has been submitted to the Government," he said.

Meanwhile, the SA Government reaffirmed its mid-July statement that BHP faces a legislative backlash if it pursues the no-smelter option. It will also insist that jobs and value-adding be the foundation of any indenture legislation covering the expansion.

In a media briefing in Melbourne yesterday, Mr Kloppers said BHP remained at a "very early stage there (Olympic Dam) in terms of firming things up".

Asked if BHP was not ruling out additional smelting investment, Mr Kloppers said BHP had not yet "finalised how we want to develop that asset".

"But look, in that particular project we believe that when we go ahead there we will deliver huge value to the state and to the communities and so on. And we are going to continue to explore what it is that those people want," Mr Kloppers said, without reference to SA and Federal Government comments on the issue.

Earlier in yesterday's briefing Mr Kloppers, in a response to a question about development opportunities in Africa, said the "most important thing is you do need to deliver something to the people there".

"If that is not your approach, you are not going to be successful," he said.

The Olympic Dam expansion was originally planned to increase copper production from 220,000 tonnes a year to 500,000 tonnes a year. Uranium production would increase from about 5000 tonnes a year to 15,000 tonnes a year. BHP has not said so, but there is industry talk that the 500,000 tonne-a-year copper target could be just the first stage on the way to 1 million tonnes a year, with attendant increases in uranium.

Mr Kloppers told the briefing that while BHP was being aggressive in selling commodities to the fast-growing Indian market, that marketing effort had not yet extended to uranium.

"We only sell to countries or try and market our product to countries where they have got all of the (safeguard) agreements in place. So we haven't had any discussions at all with them," he said. Australia has an in-principle agreement to sell uranium to the subcontinent, subject to guarantees.

The reporter owns BHP shares.

http://tinyurl.com/yyufk5

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Insight into Olympic Dam a rare treat
http://www.independentweekly.com.au/?article_id=10224618

The biggest game in South Australia is far and away BHP Billiton's Olympic Dam. But getting useful information is pretty hard to come by so it was a full house at a Hilton dinner last week when BHP Billiton's Adelaide-based Corporate Affairs Manager, Richard Yeeles was invited to give us the latest on Olympic Dam.

BHP Billiton dropped the "quiet achiever" tag years ago but the company still likes to operate as quietly as possible.
Even though Adelaide is BHPB's global headquarters for its base metals subsidiary- and by far the biggest earner for the global group with $8.62 billion in the latest year (up 28 per cent)- news is scarce.

For instance, Dr Roger Higgins - who until quite recently was responsible for this vital part of the empire from an office in Grenfell Street - seems to have disappeared without trace.  The announcement of a former Pilbara iron ore miner and current aluminium chief, Graeme Hunt as president of a newly created business division within BHPB, the Uranium and Olympic Dam Development CSG, was made and there's been no mention of Higgins.

The media-shy Higgins made a rare public appearance early in the year when the University of Adelaide beefed up its mining educative activities and Higgins outlined how BHPB was bringing 25 mining graduates to Adelaide for a three year training program - most of whom were from countries like Russia, Indonesia and India - where the company was planning to expand - and from Adelaide the graduates could work on projects in Chile, South Africa and PNG.  He declined any interviews.

Even in the latest extensive BHPB profit report the revenue contribution of Olympic Dam was not outlined - the only reference being that sales volumes of base metals were lower at Olympic Dam due to a scheduled smelter shutdown, lower head grades and lower tonnes milled.
Arts SA

And: "In addition, the Olympic Dam Expansion pre-feasibility study expenditures increased. The expenditure on business development was $US166 million higher than last year mainly due to the pre-feasibility study on the Olympic Dam expansion and other Base Metals activities."

So when Yeeles got on his feet at a Pipelines Association of Australia dinner at the Hilton, an inquisitive and record-breaking crowd of engineers, contractors, logistics experts and other business suppliers keen to get the biggest client in town on their books, were all ears.

"Although the mine has been going 20 years and it's already the biggest mine in Australia, this is just the start of the journey," Yeeles suggests. "We know it's a great orebody but we have yet to convert it into a great mine."

They still haven't found the bottom of the orebody and it still extends who knows how far in a couple of sideways directions too.  They have 20 diamond drilling rigs going 24/7 and they're still finding new ore as they step out.  From what they do know already Olympic Dam, or OD as they call it, is almost 20 times the size of Broken Hill.
Yeeles said the 200 staff engaged in the pre-feasibility study was the largest study of its type ever.  The team was working on a complete range of options for every aspect of the expansion - from housing temporary and permanent workers, beefing up the electricity supply, getting more  water, building an all weather airport, putting in a railway, working out the economics of the smelting process and planning for the biggest logistics exercise ever.

The pre-feasibility study will be completed early next year and a 12-month feasibility study will then kick off - including an environmental impact statement and the negotiation of a new Indenture Agreement with the SA Government. The key message from Yeeles was simply that BHP Billiton is a specialist large-scale miner -and it was looking for contractors to supply all of the other stuff so they can concentrate on what they do best.

He was quick to correct the story that emerged just after Premier Mike Rann's return from an extensive fact-finding tour of BHPB's Escondida copper mine in Chile, that one of the options being looked at in SA was to ship the ore straight to China where the processing costs might be slightly more economic.

Yeeles was quick to point out that most of the value-adding would remain in SA and that the base case plan was for a major increase in the smelting capacity.

BHP Billiton is looking for someone to build and operate the second largest desalination plant in the world at a site near Port Bonython. Olympic Dam is currently supplied with its water from the GreatArtesianBasin via two pipelines -one from 100km and another from around 200km away.  Yeeles said the company's $100 million investment on water infrastructure had also included upgrading many station owners' water supplies from the same Basin from open channels to pipelines. This meant the cattle stations were now saving more water now than BHPB was using.

The waste rock dug up during the four years stripping of the overburden of a hole 3km long, 3km wide and 1km deep was enough to ruin the flight path of the airport so a new all weather, 24-7 operation was needed.

Olympic Dam currently uses 10 per cent of the state's electricity and would need substantially more when the expansion kicked in. The SA Government currently has renewable energy requirements as part of the state's baseload power -which he says might be a big issue to debate with the government.  

-- Bill Nicholas

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AUSTRALIAN NUCLEAR FREE ALLIANCE

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MEDIA RELEASE
August 12th, 2007
Bush condemns Howard’s nuclear agenda
A national anti-nuclear Alliance launched this weekend at a bush
meeting in central Australia has committed to supporting
Indigenous opposition to federal government and industry plans
for uranium mining and radioactive waste dumping.
The Australian Nuclear Free Alliance is comprised of traditional
owners, Indigenous community members and environmental, public
health and community groups from every Australian State and
Territory. The group has evolved from the Alliance against
Uranium, a network of concerned people and groups that formed in
1997.
“For ten years, this group has worked to turn back the toxic
nuclear tide”, said Natalie Wasley from the Arid Lands
Environment Centre-Beyond Nuclear Initiative (ALEC-BNI). “Now
there is a new name, a new structure, a new enthusiasm and a new
commitment to continue and expand our efforts for a nuclear free
Australia.”
The meeting heard Indigenous concerns about the environmental,
social and cultural impacts of uranium mining and proposed
radioactive waste dumping and discussed strategies to highlight
these ahead of the coming Federal election.
“This is a living land - the hills, ground, trees, springs and
water tell stories. We teach the children stories from the land
which they can pass on from generation to generation. If you
destroy the land you kill our tradition, spirit and story. We
don’t want the land destroyed by mining or nuclear waste”, said
Christopher Poulson, a Traditional Owner for Pikilyi Springs who
attended the meeting.

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Australian Nuclear Free Alliance*
Meeting Statement: August 2007
The meeting took place on Werre Therre land, 40 kilometres from
Alice Springs on the weekend of August 11-12, 2007. The meeting
site is three kilometres from country threatened by the Federal
Government’s plan to impose a radioactive waste dump in the
Northern Territory.
The meeting celebrated ten years of solidarity and effective
resistance to the imposition or expansion of the nuclear industry
in Australia. Since it began in 1997, the Alliance has been part
of successful campaigns against uranium mining at Jabiluka and
nuclear waste dumping in South Australia. Alliance members
reaffirmed their commitment to continue active campaigning for a
nuclear free Australia.
The Alliance heard the continued and emphatic opposition by
Traditional Owners to the proposed federal radioactive waste dump
in the NT and will continue to work together to end this threat.
The cultural, social and environmental impacts of the toxic
uranium industry are of deep concern - particularly its
unsustainable use and contamination of precious water resources,
links with nuclear weapons and production of radioactive waste.
This most hazardous industry was recognised as no answer to
climate change.
The current aggressive nuclear push has been characterised by
extreme lack of community consultation and heavy handed laws and
policies. This is echoed on Indigenous lands around the world.
The current federal intervention in the NT undermines Indigenous
rights. Linking land access and tenure to addressing child sexual
abuse is a Trojan Horse. Removing a community’s right to control
their land will never improve that community’s ability to control
their lives.
The meeting committed to ongoing support for Indigenous people
defending country, culture and communities. Alliance members will
work collaboratively and creatively to maintain a high public
profile for nuclear issues before, during and after the federal
election.
*The Australian Nuclear Free Alliance has evolved from the
Alliance against Uranium (formed in 1997). The name change has
been adopted to better reflect the opposition of the group to the
diverse range of nuclear threats currently facing Australia.

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CRITIQUE OF SO-CALLED SAFEGUARDS OFFICE

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Who's Watching the Nuclear Watchdog?

A Critique of the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office

EnergyScience Coalition Briefing Paper
Number 19
<www.energyscience.org.au>

August 2007

Contents

About the Authors
About the EnergyScience Coalition
Acronyms
1. Executive Summary
2. Introduction (Richard Broinowski)
3. Summaries of Sections 4-6
4 Australian Uranium Exports to China (Tilman Ruff)
5. Plutonium and Proliferation (Alan Roberts)
6. Fact or Fission (Jim Green)

1. Executive Summary

This EnergyScience Briefing Paper raises serious concerns regarding the competence and professionalism of the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office (ASNO). ASNO's mission, to prevent nuclear proliferation dangers associated with Australia's uranium exports, is a task vital to the long-term security of Australians and all people. This paper details a large number of statements made by ASNO which are false or misleading. The evidence compiled raises critical questions of good governance, and leads inescapably to the conclusion that the safeguards on Australian uranium which ASNO is responsible for implementing are deeply flawed both in their design and in their execution.

This situation requires redress.

The authors of this paper believe there is a compelling case for major reform of ASNO as a matter of urgency. An alternative course of action would be for the Australian government to establish an independent public inquiry. Such an inquiry should have a broad mandate to review all aspects of ASNO's structure and function, should be adequately resourced, and should have powers similar to those of a Royal Commission to access witnesses, documents and other evidence.

Such an inquiry should be carried out independently of ASNO. It should also be carried out independently of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), given that the current relationship between ASNO and DFAT is arguably one of the areas in need of review. DFAT has declined a request to review a paper detailing numerous inaccurate statements made by ASNO (letter to NGOs, 28 May 2007, available on request).

Such an inquiry should address the competence and performance of ASNO; its scientific and technical expertise; whether its current management, organisation, structure and relationships best serve its mandate; any conflicts of interest; the implications of ASNO's structural connection to DFAT (whether it has sufficient independence or operates as a 'captured bureaucracy'); and options for reform including consideration of organisational models in other countries.

ASNO's previous responses to criticism have included angry and dismissive attacks on its critics, assertions that an entire document can be dismissed on the basis of questionable challenges to just one or two points (see for example ASNO, 'Reactor Grade Plutonium', <www.asno.dfat.gov.au/infosheets/rgp_dec06.pdf>), and a conspicuous failure to address the substance of a large majority of the criticisms. We sincerely hope that the multiple serious concerns raised in this paper will prompt serious consideration by government and parliamentarians, and responses which are substantive and constructive.

The authors of this paper intend to continue to monitor ASNO's activities and its statements. The matters raised here go to the heart of Australia's obligations as a major uranium exporting nation. We hope that it will not be long before the Australian government addresses the unacceptable and untenable situation which currently prevails regarding a matter of such critical importance to the security of Australians and the world as preventing further nuclear proliferation.

Richard Broinowski
Tilman Ruff
Alan Roberts
Jim Green

August, 2007.

Rest of tthe report at: <www.energyscience.org.au>

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Danger: nuke cover-up
Richard Broinowski and Tilman Ruff
Herald Sun
September 03, 2007
<www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,22350333-5000117,00.html>

THE agency dealing with Australia's uranium exports is making an absurd claim.

The Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office says Australia sells uranium only to countries with "impeccable" non-proliferation credentials.

In fact, Australia has uranium export agreements with nuclear weapon states that are failing to fulfil their disarmament obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Australia is also dealing with states with a history of covert nuclear weapons research based on their "civil" nuclear programs.

The Australian Government permits uranium sales to countries, including the United States, which are blocking progress on the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty and the proposed Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty.

This is supported by the Safeguards Office and the Government proposes allowing uranium sales to India, which is not a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

This is a serious blow to the international non-proliferation regime, yet has been met with silence from the Safeguards Office.

Last year's debate on uranium sales to China showed the Safeguards Office at its worst.

The Safeguards Office did not know the number of nuclear facilities in China, nor which of these would process uranium and its by-products.

The Safeguards Office was dismissive of China having the worst record of exports of proliferation-sensitive materials and know-how of any of the nuclear weapon states.

The Safeguards Office claims that all nuclear materials derived from Australia's uranium exports are "fully accounted for".

But that claim is false. There are frequent accounting discrepancies involving Australia's nuclear exports.

What the Safeguards Office means when it says that nuclear material is "fully accounted for" is that it has accepted all the explanations provided by uranium customer countries for accounting discrepancies, however fanciful those explanations may be.

Perhaps the most misleading of the claims made by the Safeguards Office is its repeated assertion that nuclear power does not present a weapons proliferation risk.

In fact, power reactors have been used directly in weapons programs.

Some examples include India, which is reserving eight out of 22 power reactors for weapons production.

The inevitable conclusion arising from our detailed critique of the Safeguards Office is that, at best, it is ineffectual.

At worst, the Safeguards Office serves the commercial interests of the nuclear industry and the political interests of those who promote it.

It contributes more to the problem of nuclear weapons proliferation than to the solutions.

We call on the Federal Government to establish an independent public inquiry to review all aspects of the Safeguards Office.

The inquiry should be adequately resourced, and should have powers similar to those of a royal commission.

Prof RICHARD BROINOWSKI is a former Australian ambassador and Assoc Prof TILMAN RUFF is the Australian chair of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - VARIOUS

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MEDIA RELEASE
Peter Garrett MP
Shadow Minister for Climate Change, Environment and Heritage
      
Thursday 23 August
JOHN HOWARD CANNOT BE TRUSTED
The Prime Minister has done another about-face on nuclear reactors.
Mr Howard simply cannot be trusted on nuclear reactors and waste dumps.
His vague support today for local plebiscites on nuclear reactors is his third position on the matter in as many months.
Mr Howard’s latest position exists only for political convenience - to paper over the gaping cracks in the Coalition on nuclear and climate change matters.
Mr Howard has shown many times in the past that he does not follow through on such promises. Today’s comments are merely an attempt to take political pressure off the Coalition and neutralise nuclear reactors as an election issue.
First, in May 2007, Senate Estimates hearings revealed the Government had begun work on removing legal barriers to overturning State and Local Government bans on nuclear power. This was confirmed by Mr Howard in Parliament on 29 May.
On 4 June 2007, when asked if nuclear power was inevitable, Mr Howard said “Of course…it has to come”.
Then, on 16 August when I first raised the idea of local nuclear plebiscites in Question Time, the Prime Minister dismissed the idea. He instead said it would be “commercial decision-making”, rather than the people that would determine when and where nuclear reactors would be built.
Finally, today, Mr Howard has said he would support local communities voting on whether they want nuclear reactors in their area, but not ahead of the election or with AEC funding.
The Prime Minister has flip-flopped on nuclear issues. He will say and do anything to get elected.
The only way to guarantee there will be no nuclear reactor or waste dump in your local community is to elect a Rudd Labor Government.
The Federal Election will be a referendum on nuclear reactors.
The Australian people face a stark choice between the solar power and clean energy offered by a Rudd Labor Government and Mr Howard’s nuclear nation.
For further information please contact Ryan Heath 0449 141 398

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JOHN HOWARD -  NUCLEAR POWER
ZIGGY SWITKOWSKI FINAL REPORT - FORESHADOWS 25 NUCLEAR PLANTS, DECEMBER 2006
Under a scenario in which the first reactor comes on line in 2020 and Australia has in place a fleet of 25 reactors by 2050, it is clear that nuclear power could enhance Australia’s ability to meet its electricity needs from low-emission sources….

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HOWARD VOWS TO AMEND LEGISLATION TO FACILIATE NUCLEAR POWER
JOHN HOWARD: The Government’s next step will be to repeal Commonwealth legislation prohibiting nuclear activities, including the relevant provisions of the Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999. This will be addressed soon.
[Source: Howard, Statement, "Uranium Mining and Nuclear Energy: A Way Forward For Australia", 28 April 07]

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HOWARD SAYS NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS ARE 'INEVITABLE'
JOHN HOWARD: … And inevitably part of the solution, part of the solution, must be to admit of the use in years to come of nuclear power in this country. And that is why I’m announcing today a strategy for the future development of uranium mining and nuclear power in Australia…
[Source: Address to the Liberal Party - Victoria Division, State Council Meeting, 28 April 2007]

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HOWARD WONT RULE OUT OVERRIDING STATE LAWS TO CONSTRUCT NUCLEAR REACTORS
Mr Garrett (2.34 p.m.)— Prime Minister, have there been any discussions with the Attorney-General’s Department or the Australian Government Solicitor on how the Commonwealth might override state laws to enable construction of nuclear reactors?
Mr HOWARD—...But obviously, as Prime Minister, I would be interested in the constitutional position and I do not run away from that. I actually believe that this country has to embrace the option of nuclear power … it stands to reason that, if you have a policy which leaves open the opportunity of nuclear power and you are a Commonwealth government, of course you would want to know at some stage whether the Commonwealth could legislate to make it possible for nuclear power to come about... I happen to believe that the states are wrong on nuclear power; I think the Labor Party is wrong on nuclear power—and it follows from that that I would be most interested to know what the legal power of the Commonwealth actually is.
[Source: Questions Without Notice: Nuclear Energy, House of Representatives, 30 May 2007]

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HOWARD SAYS IT IS A COMMERCIAL DECISION WHERE NUCLEAR REACTORS ARE LOCATED
JOHN HOWARD: "Decisions as to where nuclear power plants might be located in the future will not be decisions of the Government. It will be decisions of commercial investors….And therefore whether they're in the magnificent municipality of Randwick or the shire of the Shoalhaven or indeed anywhere else, the municipality of Waverley, the city of Ryde, wherever you might go, that will be a matter of commercial decision-making and it won't be a decision of the Government."
[Source: John Howard, House of Representatives, 16 August 2007]

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HOWARD NOW CLAIMS LOCAL COMMUNITIES SHOULD GET A VOTE RE: REACTORS
JOHN HOWARD: “When the time does come for plants to be considered in particular parts of Australia, I believe local communities should be given a vote and I think having a plebiscite in a local community would be a good demonstration to the rest of the nation.
[Source: John Howard, Doorstop, 23 August 2007] 
JOHN HOWARD: “There are no plans to develop nuclear power stations in Australia. The Government will not build nuclear power stations and does not expect to see proposals for private nuclear power stations for 10 to 15 years. …“Power stations would only be constructed if they were commercially viable and satisfied strict environmental, non-proliferation, health and safety requirements….“My Government has decided there will be binding local plebiscites conducted in communities where power stations are proposed to be built. This would follow extensive community consultation.
[Source: John Howard, Press Release, 23 August 2007]

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Howard dodging fallout of pro-nuclear position
August 27, 2007
http://www.smh.com.au/news/opinion/howard-dodging-fallout-of-pronuclear-position/2007/08/26/1188066927470.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

A major tenet of the Government's climate-change policy is being cleverly exploited by Labor, Michelle Grattan writes.

Sue Page is the Nationals' candidate in the northern NSW coastal seat of Richmond, once the political kennel of the Anthony family, but currently in Labor hands.

Page, a former president of the Rural Doctors Association who knows her mind and is not afraid to speak it, is considered a strong contender by her party. Although it would be extraordinary if the Coalition won any Labor seats in NSW, the Nats say their research is showing she is doing well in Richmond.

But Page anticipated the risk of Labor's campaign on the threat of nuclear reactors in people's backyards. Her fears increased after the Liberals' June federal council passed a strongly pro-nuclear motion.

Page spoke to Deputy Prime Minister Mark Vaile at the Nationals' state conference in June. A week ago she issued a statement declaring that "there will be no nuclear power stations or waste storage facilities on the North Coast or anywhere else in Australia if the Coalition government is re-elected".

The Nationals' position, she said, was that "there will be no nuclear power industry ... unless and until it is supported by all major political parties at the state and federal level".

In the same statement, NSW Nationals senator Fiona Nash said pointedly that no legislation on any potential nuclear power industry would be passed "without the support of the Nationals in the Senate". The Vaile office knew the statement was coming and, when it did, Vaile backed Page.

It wasn't only Page who was reacting on nukes. A number of Liberals had also been chiming in with the "not in our backyard" line.

When cabinet last Tuesday considered nuclear issues, it was clear the debate was going pear-shaped for the Government and something needed to be done.

Ministers agreed the Government would say that local plebiscites would be allowed. This was despite Howard only a week before dismissing a question about plebiscites, declaring commercial investment would determine the plants' locations.

Precisely how influential the Nationals were is unclear, but the seat-by-seat feedback was obviously a big factor in the plebiscite decision.

Also, after the Prime Minister had offered ballots to Queenslanders upset by council mergers, it smacked of hypocrisy to reject them out of hand on nuclear reactors.

By Wednesday, Vaile had blurted out the new line. His timing was a surprise, even to his own office.

The next day Howard formally announced the Government had decided "there will be binding local plebiscites conducted in communities where power stations are proposed to be built".

It must go down as one of the more bizarre promises of this election, especially as Howard reiterated that "the Government will not build nuclear power stations and does not expect to see proposals for private nuclear power stations for 10 to 15 years".

By that time we could have seen a Rudd government come and gone. Or a Costello one.

Howard, knowing he won't be around to allow or refuse plebiscites, was talking through his hat.

But the Government needed to react in a debate that, instead of wedging the Opposition, has burnt the Coalition.

Howard had placed domestic nuclear power on the agenda as what it hoped would be an offensive political weapon, as well as a partial neutraliser to criticism of the Government on climate change. But instead it has become ammunition for Labor, with the Coalition now being the one on the defensive.

Labor's anti-nuke campaign is simple, based on six words: "Where do the nuclear reactors go?" Its polling has shown the potency of the scare, which it is not letting up on. It is currently running a TV ad in Queensland exploiting local fears: "[Howard] refuses to talk about a list of possible sites for reactors that includes Rockhampton, Bundaberg, Mackay, Townsville, the Sunshine Coast, even Bribie Island."

The Government now finds itself conflicted. On the one hand it is arguing nuclear power must be considered in tackling climate change. On the other, it is trying to sweep the reactors off the agenda for this election.

Howard is left with the rather feeble proposition that he is sure public opinion will eventually turn in favour of nuclear power. Perhaps - but not in his political lifetime.

Labor will continue to go on the front foot by putting the frighteners into everyone. But Sue Page is less concerned than she was, after making what she describes as her "pre-emptive strike".

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ALP ad blitz names Qld nuclear sites
Scott Casey and AAP | August 26, 2007
http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/articles/2007/08/25/1187462565149.html?s_rid=theage:top5

The ALP has aired the first in a series of national advertisements detailing areas where the government is allegedly considering building nuclear power plants.

Airing for the first time in Queensland, the ad identifies Rockhampton, Bundaberg, Mackay, Townsville, the Sunshine Coast and Bribie Island as prospective nuclear reactor sites.

Federal opposition Infrastructure and Water spokesman Anthony Albanese said Prime Minister John Howard resembled The Simpsons Montgomery Burns in his support for nuclear energy and " meanness of spirit".

"Australians want their beautiful locations such as Bribie Island to continue as they are, not to become parallels of (The Simpsons) Springfield."

However, Caboolture Shire Mayor Joy Leishman says the Labor ad blitz is "rubbish".

"This is just rubbish, there was a report done, not by the government, about 25 years ago that apparently identified it (Bribie Island)," she said.

"I have to say that this is all rubbish, absolute rubbish and I can't believe they are that desperate and would use this as an election ploy.

"They won't win votes by being untruthful with the community. Bribie Island people are smarter than that and they will see it for how shallow it is."

The Howard Government has promised plebiscites for communities where nuclear reactors are proposed. However, Labor doubts these promises believing it would rush through legislation in a similar manner to work choices laws.

"John Howard was determined to push through his WorkChoices laws and he did. John Howard is determined that Australia will have 25 nuclear reactors right around the coast of Australia," Mr Albanese said.

Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane hit back at the ads claiming they were part of scare tactics by the Labor Party and that they incorrectly claimed the government planned to build 25 reactors in Australia.

"There is absolutely no substance to this claim,'' he said in a statement.

"The government has made it abundantly clear that it will not build nuclear power stations, has not received any proposals to build nuclear power stations, and does not expect nuclear power to be economic in Australia for many years.

"Again ignoring the facts, Mr Albanese today named five locations, located in seats targeted by Labor, as sites where nuclear power stations 'will' be built. He has promised to use the same scare tactics around the country."

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US-backed nuke club 'appealing'
Siobhain Ryan | August 14, 2007
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22240860-30417,00.html#

A US-backed proposal to set up a nuclear energy club, potentially including Australia, holds "considerable appeal", a government advocate of nuclear power has said.

Ziggy Switkowski, chairman of the Australian National Science and Technology Organisation, said the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership was a "conceptually appealing" framework for safely expanding the industry internationally.

The plan, supported by the US for economic and security reasons, is expected to encourage a select number of friendly nations supplying nuclear fuel to reactors overseas to take back and store the waste generated by their customers.

It is likely to be discussed at an annual nuclear energy forum next month, where Australia will be an observer. "As more countries go nuclear ... they will find it very appealing to be able to source enriched uranium and fuel rods from a supplier which will also be responsible for the management and storage of spent fuel," Dr Switkowski said.

The former nuclear physicist and Telstra chief executive, who chaired a recent government taskforce into options for developing a nuclear power industry for Australia, considers it the country's "only real option" in curbing its energy emissions without stalling the economy.

Australia is one of the world's biggest uranium miners and the Howard Government has shown interest in moving the country up the global nuclear energy supply chain.

But it has ruled out accepting nuclear waste from other countries as part of any new arrangement.

Dr Switkowski said the group's charter and membership might take a year or more to decide, given the challenges in one nation accepting another's nuclear waste.

"But we'll know more in September," he said.

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Labor homes in on nuclear fears
Sid Marris | August 14, 2007
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22242921-11949,00.html

LABOR will begin a scare campaign about nuclear reactors on the eastern seaboard, targeting marginal seats about the risk of power generators in their local area if the Coalition is re-elected.

Opposition leader Kevin Rudd told his party room this morning that the government still had no real plan for dealing with climate change and the Environment minister Malcolm Turnbull was distracted in the contest for his eastern Sydney suburb of Wentworth.

Mr Turnbull's office immediately dismissed the attack saying "it's obviously complete nonsense but flattering for the Minister I suppose that Mr Rudd's dwelling on him so much’’.

Mr Rudd said the Government’s own report, conducted by nuclear scientist Ziggy Switkowski, had spoken about the potential for 25 reactors on the east coast by 2050.

Labor says that with power stations needing to be near the coast, near fresh water and near population centres it was justified in warning voters about the implications of returning the Government.

A trial run of the campaign was running in deputy Julia Gillard’s seat of Lalor in western Melbourne last week, with a petition circulated demanding the Howard Government rule out.

Asked about the petition last week John Howard dismissed it as a scare campaign and there were no plans for a nuclear industry.

"All that we have said is that this country should consider the option of having nuclear power as a source of power generation in order to effectively fight greenhouse gas emissions because nuclear power is clean and green,’’ he told Melbourne radio.

"It's just dishonest of the Labor Party to run that kind of fear campaign."

In his address Mr Rudd said that Labor would not be “reckless’’ in its campaign promises and would not be adding any further pressure on inflation and interest rates.

He told his colleagues, “this is a government that has stopped governing, they had abandoned the advantage of incumbency’’, a party spokesman said.

Mr Rudd said they no longer used question time to put forward its plan, rather Coalition backbenchers asked questions designed to allow ministers to make negative attacks on Labor. 

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - PLEBISCITES, BACKFLIPS

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http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=287531
Coalition split over nuclear future
Sunday Aug 19 17:56 AEST
An apparent split has opened in the coalition over plans to create a nuclear industry in Australia.

Nationals leader Mark Vaile backed a federal candidate who said the party would prevent the Liberals building nuclear power stations or waste storage facilities anywhere in Australia.

Dr Sue Page, who will contest the federal seat of Richmond in northern NSW in the coming election, said the Nationals were committed to opposing nuclear development.

"There will be no nuclear power stations or waste storage facilities on the north coast or anywhere else in Australia if the coalition government is re-elected this year," Dr Page said in a press release.

"Any such developments would require the approval of the state and federal governments.

"The state government has already said no and the Nationals in federal government, without whom the coalition cannot enact legislation, are also committed to opposing this."

Dr Page said she was making the statement to head off an expected Labor "scare campaign" about nuclear facilities on the north coast.

Deputy Prime Minister Mr Vaile stood by Dr Page and indicated the Nationals did not support the development of a nuclear industry.

"Dr Page is an excellent candidate and is one of many new-generation Nationals contesting this election for the party," Mr Vaile's spokesman said.

The spokesman said the Nationals leader agreed with the prime minister that Australia should not rule out a nuclear power industry in future decades if and when it becomes economical.

"But there should also be bipartisan support at state and federal level, and the current debate is about building that support," he said.

"There are no plans to build nuclear power plants at present and nor is it envisaged that the federal government would play any role in building such plants."

Prime Minister John Howard announced in April that the federal government would develop a regulatory regime to govern an expanded nuclear industry and any future nuclear plants.

The legislation would also remove "unnecessary restrictions" on mining, processing and exporting uranium.

The relevant ministers and departments were ordered to start work immediately and report to cabinet by September, ahead of the federal election.

"The government will implement this strategy to increase uranium exports and to prepare for a possible expansion of the nuclear industry in Australia," Mr Howard said at the time.

Mr Howard has since admitted the federal government had sought informal legal advice on whether it could use its constitutional powers to force nuclear reactors on the states.

And last week he told parliament that commercial investors, not politicians, would determine the location of nuclear reactors.

Labor's environment spokesman Peter Garrett said Dr Page's view put the Liberals and the Nationals at odds.

"The coalition is now completely fractured on the nuclear issue," Mr Garrett said.

"Coalition members continue to engage in the most arrogant hypocrisy by refusing to support nuclear facilities in their own electorate, yet supporting John Howard's pro-nuclear policies in parliament."

©AAP 2007

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Letter in AFR and Advertiser:

A core promise?
 
Prime Minister John Howard says that local communities would have the right to a binding plebiscite on the construction of nuclear power reactors. But is this a core promise, Mr Howard?
 
The government has been authoritarian and undemocratic in relation to its plans to dump Lucas Heights nuclear waste in the Northern Territory. The federal government has ignored NT legislation banning the imposition of nuclear dumps.
 
In 2005, Mr Howard rail-roaded legislation through parliament to by-pass normal decision-making and consulatation processes in relation to the proposed dump. This legislation - the Commonwealth Radioactive Waste Management Act 2005 - undermines environmental, public safety and Aboriginal heritage protections.
 
Then in 2006, Mr Howard rail-roaded legislation through parliament which states that a nuclear dump site nomination is legally valid even without consultation with, or consent from, Traditional Owners. This legislation - the Commonwealth Radioactive Waste Management Legislation Amendment Act - also removes the right to appeal under the Administrative Decisions (Judicial Review) Act 1977 and it removals all legal rights to "procedural fairness".
 
Jim Green
Friends of the Earth

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NT wants vote on proposed nuclear dump
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/08/23/2013405.htm
23/8/07

Northern Territory Chief Minister Claire Martin says the Federal Government should hold a vote on whether a nuclear waste dump should be built in the Territory.

Prime Minister John Howard has announced there will be binding local plebiscites in communities where nuclear power stations are proposed.

But Ms Martin says she wants Territorians to have a say on whether a proposed low and intermediate level nuclear waste facility goes ahead.

"Before the last election John Howard said 'No, we won't have a nuclear waste facility in the Territory'," she said.

"Go past the election, he's said 'Got you on that one, we're going to do it and we're going to do it regardless of how Territorians feel'.

"So I say to John Howard, if you're talking about nuclear, you have a plebiscite here in the Territory about a nuclear waste facility."

Anti-nuclear campaigners say they agree Mr Howard is hypocritical for supporting plebiscites on whether communities want nuclear power plants in their area but not nuclear waste dumps.

Coordinator for the Alice Springs-based Beyond Nuclear Campaign, Natalie Wasley, says Mr Howard is employing double standards.

"John Howard's stepping up and saying communities should be given the opportunity to have a say on nuclear development and facilities in their area," she said.

"Given that the nuclear waste dump in the Northern Territory - or the proposal for one - has been imposed on the communities that are living nearby, it's been imposed on the Northern Territory community as a whole and also overriding the wishes of the Northern Territory Government."

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TWS MEDIA RELEASE                   
August 23 2007
Local Nuclear Plebiscites Laughable
 
Local plebiscites on nuclear power are a complete joke according to the Wilderness Society, which today called on the National Party to reject the Prime Minister’s push for Australia to join the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership and turn Australia into the world’s nuclear waste dump.

“Local plebiscites are a ridiculous concept when fallout from a nuclear power accident can endanger people living thousands of kilometres away,” said nuclear spokesperson, Imogen Zethoven.

“We already know that the majority of Australians don’t want a nuclear future. A Newspoll in March 2007 found that two thirds of the population were opposed to a nuclear power plants near them. A plebiscite would be a complete waste of taxpayers money and a diversion from the real issue.

The real threat faced by Australians is this: the Prime Minister is keen to sign up to President George W. Bush’s Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP). Full membership of GNEP would commit Australia to an international nuclear waste dump, something the Liberal Party has already unanimously endorsed this year.

“It is encouraging that Dr Sue Page, National Party candidate for the seat of Richmond, has rejected the Liberal Party’s nuclear agenda. We now look to the National’s Leader, Mark Vaile, to fully support his candidate and stand up to the Prime Minister on this matter of huge importance to Australia’s future.

Mr Vaile should immediately demand that the Liberal-led Government withdraw from secret negotiations to join GNEP – the global nuclear club. “The price of full admission is an international nuclear waste dump in Australia” Ms Zethoven said.

The Wilderness Society accused the Government of having one approach for people living in marginal seats in eastern and southern Australia, and another for people living in the Northern Territory, where people’s basic democratic rights have been removed by draconian federal legislation to impose a national nuclear waste dump.

“The Government has stripped Territorians of their democratic rights, yet says that in 10 years time people living in the states can have a plebiscite. The Government is turning Territorians into second class citizens: if you live in the east of south you get a plebiscite and power plant, and if you live in the Territory you get nothing and a dump.”

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Too far, too fast: Howard's plans have gone critical
Katharine Murphy
August 24, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/too-far-too-fast-howards-plans-have-gone-critical/2007/08/23/1187462438806.html

IF YOU are going to do a base jump, first check your parachute. Any time in the past year or so, John Howard could have yanked back his nuclear agenda. Instead he's gone forward. Way forward. In the end, too far forward.

Government figures will say that rational policy debate has been clubbed by a Labor scare campaign. That's true, of course, but it's also true that Howard pressed the throttle too hard. Some in the Government always believed nuclear was too hard a political sell, and the key to success was hasten slowly. Keep it a "debate" and not a distinct possibility that people were actually able to visualise.

Selling uranium to India — a country outside the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty — has proved a tipping point of sorts.

Coalition MPs, sitting in their electorates with a hurricane Kevin outside, sensed that this was all getting too much. Some of the Government's closest advisers sensed it. It was hard enough holding the line against Labor's electorate-by-electorate reminder that Howard's nuclear vision would bring 25 reactors around the country.

Deputy Prime Minister Mark Vaile knew it. His candidates were getting restive. He improvised on Wednesday when he made an off-the-cuff remark about communities getting binding plebiscites before they got nuclear power plants.

In doing that, he locked Howard in. After Vaile's intervention, Howard had two options: cut down Vaile and risk a rebellion among Coalition candidates, or back Vaile and put nuclear on ice until after the election.

Howard opted to neutralise nuclear power. The question now is, will voters believe him?

Labor is gearing up for phase two of the scare campaign. Phase one was scary power plants. Phase two is that Howard is lying when he says you'll get a say before you get the scary power plants.

Whom do you trust? Monty Burns or that lovely Kevin and that nice rock star person, Peter Garrett?

The fact is that Howard has only iced nuclear, not killed it. If he wins, it will be back, and for all the reasons we began this wild ride in the first place.

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - LOCAL COUNCILS

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Council asks PM to approve nuke plebiscite
Posted Tue Aug 21, 2007 7:40am AEST
http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/08/21/2010424.htm
Lake Macquarie Council will write to Prime Minister John Howard seeking approval to run a plebiscite to ask people if they would support a nuclear power station in the New South Wales Hunter region.
The council last night adopted a motion from councillor John Jenkins calling for a plebiscite, funded by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC).
Support will also be sought from neighbouring Hunter councils.
Councillor Jenkins says the idea came from Mr Howard's decision to pay the costs of Queensland councils who want to hold plebiscites to gauge public reaction to Queensland Premier Peter Beattie's forced council amalgamations.
"I thought it would be a good idea for us to have the same opportunity as those folk in Queensland," he said.
"If the Prime Minister is offering an AEC-funded plebiscite [for Queensland councils], for us to have the issue of nuclear power generation considered here, and ask the community for their advice as to what may or may not take place in this area."

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NUCLEAR RESEARCH IN AUSTRALIA

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Australian Institute of Nuclear Science and Engineering INC
Call for Expressions of Interest
Nuclear Research Funding - a new Government initiative for Universities
A New Government Initiative

AINSE is pleased to be part of this new initiative to implement and facilitate the development of Australia's core nuclear skills base. AINSE seeks expressions of interest from Universities to progress this exciting initiative.

Background

The $12.5 million nuclear research funding announcement made by The Prime Minister, on 18 July will help develop a core nuclear skills base by funding university staff and post-graduate students to work in collaboration with ANSTO in specific nuclear power related areas.

Overall the program is part of a nuclear capability building exercise that will introduce research programs into universities and facilitate the training of graduate engineers, chemists, and materials scientists whose skills could support nuclear power industry.

The program will also encourage the introduction of nuclear components into science and engineering programs in Australian universities.

The Australian University research activities will augment ANSTO's core activities as a participant in the international Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems Initiative (Gen IV), a major international project which aims to further examine and develop six next generation nuclear power technologies. The Prime Minister recently announced that Australia is seeking to participate in the Gen IV International Forum.

The Program

Of the $12.5 million, $5 million is earmarked for establishing infrastructure at ANSTO to support collaborative research with universities in this area. This would include facilities to enable irradiation, testing, and characterisation of materials that may be used in the next generation of nuclear reactors.

The remaining $7.5 million will be used to create University consortia to work with ANSTO to support Australian Generation IV research and to build nuclear relevant educational resources in Australian Higher Education. It is envisaged that a consortium will comprise a number of academic groups working in partnership with ANSTO to design and deliver a collaborative program of world-class research and nuclear relevant education.  It is expected that the consortium will deliver higher quality outputs than groups working in isolation.  To support these activities the  funding may be used for new academic positions, targeted research grants, post doctoral fellowships, post graduate studentships and undergraduate scholarships.

The targeted areas are:
*          Fuel development
-         Gen IV fuels + partitioning
*          Reactor performance
-         Reactor performance modelling, Computational Fluid Dynamics
*          Nuclear materials science and engineering
-         High temperature materials, testing, radiation damage, modelling
*          Waste
-         Partitioning, wasteform behaviour, wasteform modelling

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NUCLEAR DUMP PROPOSED FOR THE NT

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MEDIA RELEASE
August 29, 2007


PM’s half truths about half lives


The Arid Lands Environment Centre (ALEC) has criticised Prime Minister Howard’s support for a federal radioactive dump in the NT, claiming the project and process has never been accepted or endorsed by Territory residents or the Territory government.


“Territorians have never been given the opportunity to have a say on the dump plan, the federal government simply rammed through legislation to over ride NT laws and impose it here,” said ALEC campaigner Natalie Wasley.


Ms Wasley expressed concern that the Prime Minister has not spoken directly to affected people and urged him to visit the communities – some only kilometers – from the proposed dump sites.
“If Mr Howard visited these places he would hear that people are living and running successful business ventures extremely close to the proposed dump and are strongly opposed to hosting federal radioactive waste.”


“In the case of Muckaty, where some traditional owners agreed to nominate their land through the Northern Land Council, they will receive the first installment of their $12 million payment when the nomination is accepted by Science Minister Julie Bishop, regardless of whether this is chosen as the preferred site. Cheque book politics is not a responsible way to manage radioactive waste.”


“It is also misleading for Mr Howard to say that ‘we're talking here about the disposal of waste largely as a result of hospital and other uses,’ (ABC online August 29, 2007). The long-lived radioactive spent fuel rods from the Lucas Heights reactor, Australia’s most radioactive material, are also earmarked for the dump. These are highly toxic and remain radioactive for a quarter of a million years”. 


“It is cute politics for Mr Howard to announce that in ten years a Liberal Government might allow people a vote on nuclear reactor locations, but right now the Howard government is imposing a radioactive waste dump on the Territory against the wishes of traditional owners, targeted communities and the Northern Territory Government and against the advice of all peak national environmental groups”. 


“The government has continually told communities near the proposed sites that the waste is ‘safe’ and ‘innocuous’. Why then are they hurrying to move it out of Sydney? The Government should acknowledge the growing international consensus that community consultation and acceptance of nuclear facilities is an essential part of any siting study,” Ms Wasley concluded.

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PM backs off nuke waste dump referendum
August 29, 2007 - 8:09PM
http://www.theage.com.au/news/National/PM-backs-off-nuke-waste-dump-referendum/2007/08/29/1188067184789.html

Prime Minister John Howard has refused to hold a referendum on a nuclear waste dump in the Northern Territory.

Last week, Mr Howard promised that nuclear power stations would not be imposed on any community in Australia unless residents agree to it in a binding referendum.

Territory parliament on Tuesday passed a motion calling on the commonwealth to offer Territorians the same chance to vote on a nuclear dump.

"We will not allow the federal government to dump its political problems on the territory without a fight," said Environment Minister Delia Lawrie.

But Mr Howard ruled out holding a plebiscite on whether low and intermediate level waste should be transported and stored in the territory, calling the NT government's request for a vote "hypocritical".

"We're negotiating with the traditional owners of the land and let's see how those negotiations proceed," he told ABC radio.

"I know the territory government is adopting this incredible attitude and that is that the waste has to go somewhere but it has not got to go in the Northern Territory."

Following a meeting with the prime minister, NT Chief Minister Clare Martin said they remained at loggerheads.

"If the prime minister has committed to the rest of Australia that they can have plebiscites about where nuclear reactors should be placed, the same should apply for a nuclear waste repository for all of this country's nuclear waste," she said.

"I argued hard, the prime minister disagreed."

Mr Howard said the "best thing to do" was to let discussions between the commonwealth and traditional owners continue.

Muckaty Station, about 120km north of Tennant Creek, has been nominated by the Northern Land Council for consideration by the federal government for the national facility.

The proposed 1.5sq km site is expected to be considered along with three commonwealth defence sites, including Harts Range and Mount Everard near Alice Springs and Fishers Ridge near Katherine.

But a nuclear waste site in the territory has been opposed by environmentalists, the NT government and some traditional owners.

The Arid Lands Environment Centre (ALEC)criticised the prime minister for overlooking the wishes of territory people.

"Territorians have never been given the opportunity to have a say on the dump plan, the federal government simply rammed through legislation to over-ride NT laws and impose it here," said ALEC campaigner Natalie Wasley.

"If Mr Howard visited these places he would hear that people are living and running successful business ventures extremely close to the proposed dump and are strongly opposed to hosting federal radioactive waste...

"Cheque book politics is not a responsible way to manage radioactive waste."

Labor member for Lingiari Warren Snowdon said Territorians were "entitled to ask at least a couple of questions".

He also called on the federal government to provide more information about the proposed sites and who had been consulted.

"Which community and which site is he referring to and did people reach this conclusion after a full local plebiscite?" he said.

"If so, will the Australian Electoral Commission publish the results so Territorians, and indeed the rest of the nation, can see this example of democracy in action?"

© 2007 AAP

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AUSTRALIA TO JOIN GLOBAL NUCLEAR ENERGY PARTNERSHIP?

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Australia may join nuclear group: Downer
August 27, 2007 - 10:10PM
http://www.smh.com.au/news/National/Australia-may-join-nuclear-group-Downer/2007/08/27/1188067031210.html

The Australian government would be inclined to accept a US invitation to join the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership, Foreign Minister Alexander Downer says.

Fairfax newspapers reported US President George W Bush would invite Australia to join the partnership, which is made up of many of some of the main world nuclear powers.

Mr Downer said the Australian government would look favourably upon Mr Bush's offer to joint the partnership.

"Well we would be inclined to," he told ABC TV.

"I mean we would certainly be inclined to go to the meeting in Vienna to discuss the shape of a Global Nuclear Energy Partnership.

"We, like (former international weapons inspector) Hans Blix, believe that the future of .... global energy has got to include nuclear in the mix.

"If we're going to do something about C02 emissions and climate change, it's just not realistic to leave nuclear out; and in many case many countries won't and we export uranium."

Mr Downer said the Australian government would not (not) automatically agree to proposals made by countries which jointed the partnership.

"What we'd sign up to, what we'd agree to? Let's see what's actually put on the table," he said.

© 2007 AAP

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http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/news/stories/s2016966.htm
Last Updated 28/08/2007, 02:47:41

Australia's Foreign Minister says accepting an invitation to join a Global Nuclear Energy Partnership will not lead to Australia being used as a nuclear waste dump site.

The United States is expected to ask Australia to join the group which is set up to regulate the production of nuclear resources.

Alexander Downer says the Government will consider the idea closely.

But he says it won't result in Australia accepting nuclear waste.

"What we sign up, what we'd agree to, let's see what actually's put on the table. Nobody can make us do anything and no matter what the scare mongering of the labor party and their friends on left may be we've made it clear we won't be taking it back and that's the beginning and that's the end of it," he said.

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Nuclear, ethanol on Bush-Howard agenda
Anne Davies and Sarah Smiles
August 27, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/nuclear-ethanol-on-bushhoward-agenda/2007/08/26/1188066946410.html

US PRESIDENT George Bush will invite Australia to be part of two initiatives aimed at guaranteeing future energy supplies: his global nuclear partnership and an initiative to produce ethanol from wild grasses.

Both issues will be raised by Mr Bush at bilateral talks ahead of the APEC meeting next week, senior officials said.

Prime Minister John Howard will today outline his objectives for APEC in an address to the Lowy Institute. The timing of the September 8-9 meeting is politically important — the election could be announced as early as a week or fortnight later.

The US, through the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership, is already driving a major research effort to develop a new generation of fast-cycle reactors that would produce far less hazardous waste than conventional nuclear reactors. The group includes many countries involved in the nuclear fuel cycle, including Russia, China and France.

Its broader aim is to eventually secure the entire fuel cycle and confine production and reprocessing to members of the group, thus reducing the threat of nuclear proliferation.

Australia and Canada, the world's largest uranium producers, have so far stalled on joining because of domestic concerns about obligations to take back nuclear waste and store it.

They have also been concerned about being locked out of a core group inside the partnership that is allowed to process uranium, say diplomatic sources.

Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Mr Howard are likely to compare notes in a bilateral meeting around APEC.

A senior official said last week that the US would not pressure Australia to take back nuclear waste if it joined the group.

"We want Australia to be part of the research effort. It doesn't mean Australia would have to take back nuclear waste," the official said. Documents reveal that the Department of Foreign Affairs and the Department of Energy have worked on a bilateral nuclear partnership with the US, which would see closer research ties and more involvement by Australia.

Hans Blix, the head of the Weapons of Mass Destruction Commission who is visiting Melbourne, said there were "attractive features" in the partnership initiative, which aims to reduce proliferation by confining uranium production to a small group of countries.

Yet he said it remains a "hypothetical" plan and noted that the US has been averse to taking back fuel.

"GNEP is pretty much far in the future, there are many things that need to be clarified and worked out before they can get to such a scheme. It presupposes new types of reactors … the type of reactors we don't have yet," Dr Blix told The Age.

Ethanol will also be a major area of discussion. The US has announced a program to boost ethanol production to 35 billion gallons by 2017, in a bid to reduce its dependence on foreign oil by 20 per cent.

With MICHELLE GRATTAN

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NUCLEAR WEAPONS

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Is peace that difficult?
Hans Blix
August 28, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/is-peace-that-difficult/2007/08/27/1188067029813.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

AT THE end of the Cold War there was an opportunity for the world to create a new collective security order. In 1991, after decades of blockages in the Security Council, it authorised armed intervention to stop the Iraqi aggression against Kuwait. In the same period, Russia and the United States took steps to reduce the number of deployed non-strategic nuclear weapons: the Chemical Weapons Convention was adopted in 1993, the Non-Proliferation Treaty was prolonged indefinitely after renewed commitments by nuclear weapon states to take get serious about disarmament; a Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty was negotiated and adopted in 1996; and at the review conference of the NPT in 2000, countries agreed on 13 practical steps to disarmament.

But the window of opportunity soon closed. The US embarked on unilateralism. In 2003, the UN Security Council was said to be irrelevant if it did not agree with the US and its coalition of the willing.

By the middle of the first decade of the 21st century, US confidence and trust in international negotiations, particularly in dealing with disarmament issues, was at a record low. And tensions continue to grow. Instead of negotiations towards disarmament, nuclear weapon states are renewing and modernising their nuclear arsenals.

In 2006, North Korea tested a nuclear device. After a US decision to place components of its missile defence system in Poland and the Czech Republic, Russia declared its withdrawal from the Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe. China has demonstrated its space war capabilities by shooting down one of its own weather satellites.

These developments are worrying and somewhat paradoxical. At a time when there are no longer any ideological differences between the main powers, when the economic and political interdependence between states and regions reaches new heights, and when the revolution in information technology brings the world into the living rooms of billions of people, we ought to be able to agree on steps to restrain our capacity for war and destruction.

So, where do we go from here?

There is some movement indicating that key actors may be moving back to multilateral approaches and diplomacy. The failure and vast human cost of the military adventures in Iraq and Lebanon may have demonstrated the limitations of military strategies to achieve foreign policy objectives. The shift in strategy towards North Korea in negotiations over its nuclear program and the resumption of the six-party talks is encouraging. Waving a big stick may be counterproductive. An alternative path, containing suitable carrots, needs to be offered. It remains to be seen if this approach will be taken also in the case of Iran.

For the past few years, I have chaired the independent international Weapons of Mass Destruction Commission, with 14 experts from different parts of the world. In June 2006, I presented our report, Weapons of Terror: Freeing the World of Nuclear Biological and Chemical Arms. We made 60 recommendations on how to revive disarmament and restore the confidence in the international disarmament and non-proliferation regime.

The commission urged all states to return to the fundamental undertakings made under the Non-Proliferation Treaty. The treaty is based on a double bargain: the non-nuclear weapons states committed themselves not to develop nuclear weapons and the nuclear weapon states committed themselves to negotiate towards disarmament.

So long as the nuclear weapon states maintain that they need nuclear weapons for their national security, why shouldn't others? The commission concluded that one of the most important ways to curb weapons' proliferation is working to avoid states feeling a need to obtain nuclear weapons.

The co-operative approach needs to be complemented by the enforcement of the test-ban treaty, a cut-off treaty on the production of fissile material for weapons, and effective safeguards and international verification to prevent states as well as non-state actors from acquiring nuclear weapons.

I hope the window of opportunity is not yet shut. There may still be time to wake up and turn back to co-operative solutions to contemporary security challenges.

The new generation of political leaders has an unprecedented opportunity to achieve peace through co-operation. We do not have the threat of war between the military powers hanging over our heads. Admittedly, there are flashpoints that need to be dealt with constructively — such as Kashmir, the Middle East, Taiwan and so on. But the numbers of armed conflicts and victims of armed conflicts have decreased. Never before have nations been so interdependent and never before have peoples of the world cared so much for the wellbeing of each other. Prospects are great for a functioning world organisation devoted to establishing peace, promoting respect for universal human rights and securing our environment for future generations.

If all can agree that we need international co-operation and multilateral solutions to protect the earth against climate change and the destruction of our environment, to keep the world economy in balance and moving, and to prevent terrorism and organised crime, then should it be so difficult to conclude that we also need to co-operate to stop shooting at each other?

Dr Hans Blix is president of the World Federation of United Nations Association and was director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency from 1981 to 1997. This is an edited extract from a speech he gave in Melbourne last night.

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Maintaining anti-nuclear rage
Gareth Evans
The Canberra Times
17 August 2007
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your+say&subclass=general&story_id=1038715&category=opinion

IN JANUARY this year the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists Doomsday Clock, for six decades now the best-known symbolic indicator of the threat posed by nuclear proliferation, moved two minutes closer to midnight at 11.55pm, the closest to doomsday it has been since the Cold War. At the start of the nuclear arms race in 1953 its hands were set at two minutes to midnight. Under United States president Bush Sr, with the end of the Cold War and after the US and Soviet Union signed the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty in 1991, the clock moved the farthest from doomsday it has ever been, to 11.43pm.

Now, under his son's watch, the hands have been pushed back almost as close to midnight as they have ever been with the renewed value being attached to the possession of nuclear weapons by so many countries; with the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty in limbo and the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty being steadily eroded; with North Korea's bomb test and Iran's nuclear plans; with the deal with India unaccompanied by any serious discipline on fissile material production or anything else; with continuing talk about the development of new generation weapons; with the emergence of talk almost unthinkable in the Cold War years of nuclear weapons being an acceptable means of war-fighting, even to the extent of their use in pre-emptive strikes; and with the new anxiety felt about non-state actors, combined with old fears about poor safeguards of nuclear materials.

In case anyone feels that I am over-emphasising the contributions to this alarming new nuclear insecurity environment of the current President Bush and I acknowledge that is always a temptation it is worth pondering whether anything would be any better under his likely Democrat successor.

When the increasingly struggling Democrat presidential candidate Barack Obama recently said that he would rule out, as a profound mistake, the use of nuclear weapons in Afghanistan or Pakistan to target al-Qaeda, the increasingly confident Hillary Clinton pounced on him, saying that it was unwise to be so specific: "I don't believe any President should make blanket statements with respect to the use or non-use of nuclear weapons."

It's easy to quickly lose one's bearings in the arcane world of nuclear policy with, if you let it get you down its extraordinary technical complexity, jargon all its own, and multiplicity of closely interrelated issues, substantive and procedural. Let me try to cut through that a little and focus on just two big things for the world's policymakers to do: get serious about disarmament, about eliminating nuclear weapons once and for all; and get serious about overcoming the many and obvious weaknesses of the present non-proliferation regime.

There is no doubt that the current non-proliferation regime is under great and increasing stress. This is particularly so when one thinks of it, as one should, as comprising not just the treaty itself, and the International Atomic Energy Agency safeguards system which supports it, but as a whole constellation of mutually reinforcing elements, including the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty which has yet to enter into force because a number of designated states have failed to ratify (including China, North Korea, India, Iran, Israel, Pakistan, and, indefensibly, the US) and the long-hoped for Fissile Material Cut-Off Treaty designed to ban any further production of weapons-usable highly enriched uranium and plutonium, but negotiations on which have been stalled for years.

The biggest single nuclear proliferation issue global policymakers now face is Iran. The situation with North Korea is at least partly back on track as a result of the Bush Administration learning the hard way, at the cost of up to another 10 weapons-worth of fissile material being added to North Korea's nuclear stock that negotiation can be a better option than confrontation. But for the moment Iran remains a paid-up member of the axis of evil, so far as the US is concerned, and tensions continue to mount as it becomes more and more obviously technically capable of enriching uranium up to weapons grade.

The most attractive solution, given Iran's less than honest and open record of reporting to the IAEA over a number of years, was to persuade it, by a mixture of incentives and disincentives, to forgo the acquisition of fissile-material making capacity or full fuel-cycle capability, as the jargon has it in return for guaranteed external supply of fuel to run its energy reactors.

But it does not appear that Iran is in any kind of mood to accept a guaranteed supply from offshore, either an international fuel bank if one existed, or from Russia, as Russia has proposed, or anyone else, in return for forgoing its fuel-cycle ambitions and agreeing to indefinitely relinquish whatever right as it has under the non-proliferation treaty to enrich uranium even in the context of all the sanctions and threatened sanctions that are now on the table, and incentives (including restored relations with the US) that could be put back on the table.

Some are confident that sanctions, particularly the back-door variety that the US, and Europeans under American pressure, are capable of applying through the banking system, to choke off both trade and investment finance, will ultimately force the Iranians to cave in. My reading is that, while the potential impact of these kinds of measures can never be understated (and was probably decisive, for example in South Africa against the apartheid regime), in Iran too many factors are pulling the other way, including:Iran's sense of national pride, consciousness of its history, and deeply rooted ideology of independence, which cuts across other internal political and cultural divisions, and makes it reluctant to be seen to be pushed around. Associated with this the sense that Iran is a major, not minor, league player, not least in its own region, and entitled to have the kind of capability that goes with that. The widespread sense that the West is trying to prevent Iran from having access to scientific progress, patronising it, to keep it in dependence and tutelage. The sense that the international community's heart is not really in a full-scale sanctions squeeze that Russia (although it has gone along with the security council so far), China and the great majority of non-proliferation treaty countries don't really believe that they are at present acting outside the letter or even spirit of the treaty in rushing to acquire full fuel-cycle capability.

Add to all that the Iranians' current perception that military strike action is a non-starter in the present environment with, except for a few fringe dwellers, the clear thinking in both the US and Israel that the negatives would far outweigh the positives and you have all the makings of a full-scale impasse.

The downside from the West's point of view which will be repeated over and over as this debate continues is that, although stretching out the process, delayed limited enrichment would permit Iran to eventually achieve full fuel-cycle capability, with the risk in turn of weapons acquisition when that happens.

But the reality of Iran having that choice, sooner rather than later, and with minimal inspection and supervision along the way, now stares us in the face.

Nobody wants to see the present diplomatic impasse slide into the kind of situation where the West's unwillingness to compromise strengthens its opponents' extremists to the point that their country walks away from the treaty, shrugs off any kind of international monitoring, produces a large stock of weapons-grade material and ultimately takes the risk of building its own bomb.

We have been there and done that with North Korea. Although there has at last been a breakthrough in the six-party talks, it is still going to be nightmarishly difficult to wholly recover the ground which has been lost to North Korea through earlier Western obduracy.

If the present diplomatic strategy is going nowhere, the only rational response is a new one which may be ideal for no one but has attractions for everyone. If all diplomacy fails, the alternative course of military action is simply too horrible to contemplate.

It is important to remember just how indiscriminately destructive these weapons are; to remain passionate about them being outlawed; and to be unyieldingly intolerant about arguments for their retention or use. We are right to be enraged about them, and to maintain that passion and commitment as long as we live.

Gareth Evans is chief executive of the Brussels-based International Crisis Group and a former foreign minister and deputy Labor leader. This is an edited extract of the first Dr John Gee Memorial Lecture delivered at the Australian National University last night.

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Russian bomb flights spark 'grave' fears
Luke Harding and Ewen Macaskill
August 19, 2007
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2007/08/18/1186857831963.html

RUSSIA has resumed long-range flights of strategic bombers capable of striking targets deep inside the United States with nuclear weapons.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he had restarted the Soviet-era practice
of sending bomber aircraft on regular patrols beyond its borders.

Speaking after Russian and Chinese forces completed a day of war games in
Russia's Urals, Mr Putin said 14 Russian bombers had taken off simultaneously
yesterday on long-range missions.

"We have decided to restore flights by Russian strategic bombers on a permanent basis," he said.

"Russia stopped this practice in 1992. Unfortunately not everybody followed
suit. This creates a strategic risk for Russia … we hope our partners show
understanding towards the resumption of Russian air patrols."

Analysts described Russia's move as a "grave development". They said Mr Putin appeared to have unilaterally abrogated an agreement with the US and Britain
signed in 1991 not to engage in long-range nuclear bomber flights.

Russia's then president, Boris Yeltsin, and the former Soviet leader, Mikhail
Gorbachev, signed the agreement with the then US president, George Bush snr.
All sides agreed to reduce their strategic rocket forces and to stop long-range
bomber flights.

"This is a very grave development that threatens the US with nuclear weapons.
It means that Russian bombers will be ready to attack the US at a moment's
notice, just like in the Cold War," said Pavel Felgenhauer, a leading
Moscow-based defence analyst.

Mr Felgenhauer said the bombers would be deployed in positions north of Britain over the North Pole, from where they would be able to fly across the Pacific or Atlantic to attack US targets. He said there was a real risk that bombers equipped with nuclear warheads might crash.

"These flights are very dangerous. The planes are old and the maintenance is
patchy. Crews are not always as best prepared as in the Cold War. A crash with nuclear weapons is very possible," he said.

During the Cold War, Russian long-range bombers regularly played elaborate
games of cat-and-mouse with Western air forces.

Earlier this month Russian air force generals said bomber crews had flown near
the Pacific island of Guam, where the US military has a base, and "exchanged
smiles" with US pilots scrambled to track them. The Pentagon said Russian
aircraft had not come close enough to US ships for US planes to react.

Last month the Royal Air Force scrambled fighter jets to intercept two Tupolev
Tu-95 "Bear" bombers spotted heading towards British air space. Russia's air
force said it was a routine flight.

Mr Putin has been incensed by the Bush Administration's plans to site parts of
its controversial missile defence system in central Europe, close to the
Russian border. As well as denouncing US unilateralism, he recently announced that Russia was withdrawing from a series of key arms agreements struck in the aftermath of the Cold War.

Last month Mr Putin said Moscow was suspending its obligations under the
conventional arms forces in Europe treaty, which limits the deployment of NATO and Russian troops. He said the real target of the Pentagon's controversial missile shield was Russia. Moscow has also claimed a large chunk of the Arctic, planting a Russian flag on a deep-sea shelf.

All this has taken place against a backdrop of rapidly worsening relations with
the West — and with Britain in particular.

The White House yesterday played down concerns about the Russian move, saying it was a matter for Moscow what it did with its planes. The US has had a consistent policy over the past month or so of conciliatory responses in an
attempt to reduce tensions over European missile defence.

GUARDIAN

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NUCLEAR POWER AND WEAPONS - FLAWS IN THE SAFEGUARDS SYSTEM

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In pursuit of the undoable
Troubling flaws in the world's nuclear safeguards
Aug 23rd 2007
From The Economist print edition
http://www.economist.com/world/international/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9687869

IF THE predictions of the nuclear industry prove correct, and concerns about carbon emissions and climate change drive more governments to start investing in nuclear power to keep the lights on, how will the world protect itself from the technology's inherent dangers? It is not just the risk of accidents that keeps people awake at night. Some materials and technologies used to generate electricity can, without a lot of extra effort, be abused for bomb-making. And with more and more nuclear material being processed and reprocessed—as mostly uranium-laden reactor fuel-rods turn into mostly plutonium-laden spent fuel—the possibilities for theft or diversion can only grow. A crude nuclear device, or a dirty bomb that spews radioactive debris about, is everyone's nightmare.

The scale of the potential problem is getting clearer: 31 countries already operate large nuclear-power reactors, and some of those will be adding more. Since 2005 at least 15 more governments have said they want one too.

A whole clutch of these—Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Turkey and Yemen—are in the fissile Middle East. Their plans seem to have been prompted in part by the discovery in 2003 of Iran's extensive, covert and hence suspicious nuclear activities. At one time or another in recent years officials from Egypt, Saudi Arabia and even Turkey, a member of NATO, have mused aloud about the possibility of a nuclear or “strategic” option. For some Muslim states, the spur to proliferate might be Israel, for others Iran. Algeria, for its part, has always been worryingly secretive about a nuclear research reactor discovered in 1991 and that it surrounds with air defences.

Not all the supposedly “civilian” nuclear plans now being laid will come to fruition. But some will. Meanwhile a detailed two-year study by the Nonproliferation Policy Education Centre (NPEC), a Washington-based think-tank, has uncovered troubling flaws in the internationally approved verification and monitoring procedures for safeguarding nuclear materials against diversion or theft.

In a new report, NPEC's director, Henry Sokolski, argues that UN nuclear inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency have too little money for the job they are asked to do. Not only that, but the yardsticks by which the IAEA measures its own safeguarding success are woefully out of date. Indeed, some of its supposed safeguarding, Mr Sokolski argues, is inherently undoable.

The money problem is easier to remedy. As the chart shows, the amount of potentially weapons-usable nuclear material—either highly enriched uranium or separated plutonium—under inspection has increased far faster than the funds available for safeguarding it. New methods and technologies have increased the efficiency of inspections, but the IAEA's director-general, Mohamed ElBaradei, has long complained that his regular budget does not even cover all costs; it has to be topped up by less certain voluntary contributions, mostly from America. Among the few things America and Russia agree on now is that the IAEA needs more cash.

Without more money, Mr ElBaradei told his agency's 35-country board in June, safeguarding capacity will diminish. Last month he said he would ask a panel of experts to look at an internal review of safeguards-spending requirements—and then come up with some ideas about ways to meet them.

One improvement, suggests Mr Sokolski, would be to install more real-time remote-monitoring cameras, so inspectors can check more reliably that materials and equipment are not being diverted to covert use. According to the NPEC study, over the past six years the IAEA has learned of camera “blackouts” that lasted for more than 30 hours on 12 separate occasions. It found the gaps only after inspectors visited the sites and downloaded the camera recordings, as they do every 90 days.

That is more than enough time to divert nuclear material and make mischief with it. The IAEA assesses these things using a measure of militarily “significant quantity”: the amount of highly enriched uranium (25kg) or separated plutonium (8kg) it would take to make a weapon. But these quantities were arrived at 30 years ago. The NPEC study finds them too high by between 25% and 800%, depending on the type of weapon and yield required. What is more, in each case what the IAEA considers timely detection of such diverted quantities exceeds the time needed to process the materials for weapons use.

The search for MUF

All the more important, then, to keep a close eye on plants that produce quantities of such dangerous materials—especially where uranium is enriched and plutonium is extracted from spent fuel. But NPEC's conclusion is that proper verification here is impossible. At best, the report says, the IAEA can improve its monitoring techniques (those more capable cameras would help).

That is because of the volume of material involved and the way the plants work. Material unaccounted for (called MUF) is often stuck in piping. Discrepancies, even at the best-run plants, can amount to many bombs' worth. And it can take months for inspectors to be confident they have it all more or less accounted for. Imagine the problems if the IAEA is attempting to monitor such plants in a country like Iran, with its past record of lying to inspectors.

Mr ElBaradei and others have suggested multinational fuel centres as a way to avoid dangerous technologies being abused by individual governments. But safeguarding those would be no easier. Better that such fuel-making technology isn't spread around at all.

---

To get the full report:
Falling Behind:  International Scrutiny of the Peaceful Atom
A Report of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center 
On the International Atomic Energy Agency’s Nuclear Safeguards System
http://www.npec-web.org
or direct download: <www.npec-web.org/Reports/20070731-NPEC-ReportOnIaeaSafeguardsSystem.pdf>

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NUCLEAR WEAPONS - VICTIMS OF US NUCLEAR WEAPONS PROGRAM

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Rocky: U.S. nuke work afflicted 36,500 Americans
Radiation sickened 36,500 and killed at least 4,000 of those who built bombs, mined uranium, breathed test fallout
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/local/article/0,1299,DRMN_15_5686694,00.html

By Ann Imse, Rocky Mountain News
August 31, 2007
The U.S. nuclear weapons program has sickened 36,500 Americans and killed more than 4,000, the Rocky Mountain News has determined from government figures.

Those numbers reflect only people who have been approved for government compensation. They include people who mined uranium, built bombs and breathed dust from bomb tests.

Full article at:
http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/local/article/0,1299,DRMN_15_5686694,00.html

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SMUGGLING - CHINA

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Dubious tale of a nuclear bandit
John Garnaut
August 27, 2007
http://www.smh.com.au/news/business/dubious-tale-of-a-nuclear-bandit/2007/08/26/1188066946731.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

Last week a gang of white-haired, radiation-riddled peasants gave a demonstration of how the international nuclear safeguard regime applies to their small corner of China's uranium market.

International safeguards, of course, underpin the Australia-China nuclear transfer agreements that were ratified four months ago. The agreements mean Australia will soon join Russia, Kazakhstan and Namibia as primary members of China's nuclear suppliers' club. With any luck, Australia will be supplying $250 million of uranium to China each year, equivalent to about a half its current total uranium exports.

The nuclear transfer agreement is Australia's guarantee that its uranium will never find its way from China to North Korea, Iran, Pakistan or al-Qaeda, let alone China's own nuclear weapons arsenal.

Meanwhile, three sorry peasants and a mine worker spent last Tuesday in a Guangzhou courtroom charged with uranium trafficking.

According to Chinese journalists, who relayed to the Herald what they could not publish, all four appeared pale and lethargic and had ghost-white hair. Unfortunately, two other accused uranium traffickers could not attend court because they were suffering from a variety of diseases.

So, how do you establish a uranium smuggling racket in China? First, according to the defendants' courtroom testimony, you become friendly with someone high up in a "military-controlled" mine in the mountainous southern province of Yunnan. That person - Old Zhou as he was known in court - gives you eight kilograms of uranium-235 and uranium-238 on a "no-money-down" basis.

Zhou was to receive 200,000 yuan ($32,000) a kilogram and the defendants would keep any additional profit. Zhou is apparently being tried separately.

Second, according to one of the defendants, Yang Guoliang, you carefully pack the uranium in plastic bags, wrap the bags in an old cloth and then package it all in carbon duplicate paper. Apparently, the carbon paper is meant to be a nuclear-proof safety feature, as recommended by one of Old Zhou's former professors.

You then have your uranium sampled at the Chenzhou uranium mine in central China's Hunan province. And if you are not happy with the 46.7 per cent purity reading, you can purify it yourself. "I loaded the samples and Zhang and I used a sieve, a sieve screen," explained one of the smugglers, Yang Guoliang.

His collaborator, Zhang Sangang, now has tuberculosis. It seems the smugglers were dealing with yellowcake, or uranium oxide, rather than the refined product. The uranium sample, now 56.7 per cent pure, according to a colleague in Hunan, is packed into a small plastic bottle and the bottle is carefully placed in a shirt pocket. One of the smugglers, Li Zi'an, catches an overnight bus from Hunan to meet a middleman at, of all places, Guangzhou's Golden Goose Hotel. The middleman, Peng Shuangjin, agrees to buy the uranium at 260,000 yuan per kilo. But he gets cold feet, phones the police, and undercover cops confiscate the sample and arrest the trafficker in the foyer of the Golden Goose.

The middleman, Peng, says Li Zi'an told him he had stashed the uranium in a cave in Hunan province which no one else could ever find. But Li Zi'an told the court he had only been "blowing bull" to make a quick sale. In fact, he told the court, he had sent so many samples to so many different potential buyers that they now had no idea where all the uranium had gone.

According to one version of events, eight kilograms of uranium is sitting in a cave somewhere in Hunan. In the other version, it has been split into countless samples in countless briefcases and could now be anywhere in or out of the country. While some of the above is in dispute, it seems clear China has a nuclear safeguards problem. Western intelligence agencies have long been concerned with top-level nuclear technology transfers between China and North Korea, Pakistan and, more recently, Iran.

Abdul Qadeer Khan, the disgraced "father" of Pakistan's nuclear bomb, spent much of his time in Beijing, although it was not clear whether his interlocutors were representing the People's Liberation Army, Chinese intelligence or just themselves. A Chinese nuclear warhead design was once found in Khan's luggage. Later, the same design was found in another suitcase in Libya. But these days, the greater proliferation concern is further down the food chain. 

In May 2005, nine months after a senior Chinese official first told Alexander Downer he wanted to discuss a "sensitive" issue, China's Commission of Science, Technology and Industry for National Defence circulated a national warning about unauthorised uranium mining, smelting and trafficking throughout southern China.

In July last year, after Australia and China had signed a draft nuclear transfer treaty, the defence commission was forced to issue another similar warning, this time targeted at Hunan province and co-signed by police, environmental and mining authorities.

Further, in Mongolia a fortnight ago, I heard unconfirmed reports that a North Korean delegation had just been in town asking about uranium exploration rights with joint venture Chinese companies.

Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs assures us China has committed to meet the requirements of the Convention on the Physical Protection of Nuclear Material.

A Carnegie Institute paper, Deadly Arsenals, says the China National Nuclear Corporation "produces, stores and controls all fissile material for civilian as well as military use".

But as is so often (and so paradoxically) the case in China, it is the authoritarian regime's lack of control in the nation's lower rungs that creates the greatest problems.

Chinese authorities know the country is home to a raging underground uranium production system. In all probability, only the dopiest smugglers with the most obviously radioactive hair have so far been caught.
 
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Chinese police track missing uranium
http://www.theage.com.au/news/world/chinese-police-track-missing-uranium/2007/08/24/1187462521949.html
Mary-anne Toy
August 25, 2007

CHINESE police are attempting to trace eight kilograms of radioactive uranium ore that has gone missing.

The police arrested four men trying to sell the highly dangerous substance on the black market, state media have reported.

The men from Hunan province are on trial in Guangzhou, capital of the southern province of Guangdong, after they were arrested attempting to sell the the ore — comprising U-235 and U-238 uranium — for 1.6 million yuan ($A260,000) per kilogram.

A fifth accomplice, who allegedly has the bulk of the ore, has not been found.

Health authorities warned that the ore was highly dangerous. "The radioactive substance uranium does not explode when it is in its raw state, but it is very harmful to people's health," Jiang Chaoqiang, director of the Guangzhou No. 12 People's Hospital, told China Daily.

Mr Jiang said close contact with uranium for long periods could lead to leukaemia or other cancers.

Two of the defendants were arrested in Guangzhou in January trying to sell the uranium to Peng Shuang Jin. He offered to buy apparently on behalf of a customer in Hong Kong, but then informed police of the illegal activity, the New Express Daily newspaper reported.

Another two accomplices were arrested in Hunan six days later.

Police have recovered only 35 grams of uranium from the four men. They claimed a fifth partner, Zhang Xinfang, had disappeared with the bulk of the uranium and had since become seriously ill, presumably from exposure to the radioactivity.

"The men claimed it had been lost because it had been moved around so much between potential buyers," the paper said.

A verdict had yet to be reached as the court said the trial would continue until authorities tracked down the uranium.

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EARTHQUAKES AND NUCLEAR PLANTS

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For Immediate Release                
July 18, 2007                                    
 
Contact: Linda Gunter, Beyond Nuclear
301.455.5655
[email protected]
 
Concerns rise over vulnerability of U.S. atomic facilities to earthquakes after world’s largest nuclear plant damaged by Japanese quake
 
TAKOMA PARK, MD – The extensive damage at a seven-reactor nuclear power plant in Japan after an earthquake this week is stoking concern that U.S. reactors and other nuclear facilities may also be vulnerable to releases of deadly radioactivity into the environment due to earthquakes.
 
Tokyo Electric Power Company’s Kashiwazaki-Kariwa atomic power plant, the largest in the world in terms of electricity output, suffered 50 cases of “malfunctioning and trouble” after a 6.7 tremor struck nearby two days ago. Radioactively contaminated water, now calculated at more than 600 gallons, leaked into the Pacific Ocean and an estimated 400 barrels containing radioactive waste tipped over, with 10% of the lids falling off. Hazardous radioactive isotopes, cobalt-60 and chromium-51, were emitted into the atmosphere from an exhaust stack.
 
Concerns that a similar event could happen here are confirmed by an incident in August 2004, when an earthquake in Illinois broke an underground pipe attached to one of the Dresden nuclear power plant’s radioactive waste condensate storage tanks. The broken pipe was leaking tritium (a harmful, radioactive form of hydrogen) into groundwater, creating an expanding underground plume of hazardous radioactive contamination.
 
Several U.S. atomic reactors may be especially vulnerable to earthquakes. The twin reactor Diablo Canyon nuclear power plant near San Luis Obispo, California was already built before it was discovered that an earthquake fault line associated with the infamous San Andreas Fault lay just offshore in the Pacific Ocean.
 
Fires, such as the one that broke out in Japan, are also a legitimate U.S. concern.
 
“Earthquakes are notorious for sparking fires, which could spell disaster at U.S. nuclear power plants given that many are not in compliance with safety regulations for fire protection and reactor shutdown systems,” said Paul Gunter, the nuclear industry watchdog at Beyond Nuclear, and an expert on nuclear plant fire protection. “An earthquake-sparked inferno, or failure to safely shut down a reactor, could lead to a meltdown, catastrophic release of radioactivity, and deadly fallout hundreds of miles downwind and downstream,” Gunter added.
 
A 1982 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) report, known as CRAC-2, shows that a major accident at a U.S. atomic reactor could cause tens to hundreds of thousands of radiation-related deaths and injuries, as well as hundreds of billions of dollars of property damage.
 
Risks extend to the radioactive wastes stored on-site at U.S. reactors as well. Environmental groups filed a federal lawsuit last month against the NRC for failing to enforce its earthquake safety regulations for outdoor storage of high-level radioactive wastes at the Palisades atomic reactor on the shores of Lake Michigan. The lake supplies drinking water for Chicago and millions downstream.
 
“An earthquake could bury the containers under sand causing the nuclear fuel rods to overheat, or could even submerge them under the waters of Lake Michigan,” said Kevin Kamps, Radioactive Waste Watchdog at Beyond Nuclear. “This could initiate a nuclear chain reaction in the wastes making emergency response a suicide mission. In either case, it would amount to a radiological disaster for Lake Michigan and the millions who depend on it for drinking water.”
 
Earthquake risks also plague the proposed Yucca Mountain, Nevada dumpsite for commercial and military high-level radioactive wastes. Nearly three dozen earthquake fault lines are in the vicinity, and two faults actually intersect the proposed burial spot. Many hundreds of tremors larger than 2.5 on the Richter scale have struck within 50 miles of Yucca Mountain since 1975. One jolt, measuring 5.4 on the Richter scale, struck just ten miles from Yucca Mountain in 1992, doing extensive damage to the U.S. Department of Energy’s field office at the site. Critics fear that a major earthquake at the dump site could cause a radiological catastrophe by damaging waste handling surface facilities planned for the site, or could cause tunnel collapses that would breach waste burial containers, spilling their deadly contents into the drinking water aquifer below.
 
“The risks of earthquakes alone are reason enough to stop the Yucca Mountain dump proposal dead in its tracks right now,” said Kamps.
 
###
 
The Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Quake Chronology
Tokyo Electric Power Company’s seven reactor Kashiwazaki-Kariwa atomic power plant, the largest in the world in terms of electricity output, suffered 50 cases of “malfunctioning and trouble” after a 6.7 tremor struck nearby two days ago. Radioactively contaminated water, at first estimated to be around 315 gallons but later raised by 50%, leaked into the Pacific Ocean. Barrels containing radioactive waste tipped over, and 10% of their lids fell off; the number of barrels was first estimated at 100, but later increased to 400. Hazardous radioactive isotopes cobalt-60 and chromium-51 were emitted into the atmosphere from an exhaust stack. The first sign of trouble was not an alert issued by the company, but rather a column of black smoke pouring off a transformer fire that took two hours to bring under control. The quake, epi-centered on a previously unknown fault line just over five miles from the nuclear plant, created forces 2.5 times stronger than the plant was designed to withstand. Based upon data from the quake’s aftershocks, Japanese authorities now fear an extension of the fault line may pass very near to, or even directly under, the atomic complex itself. The twelve hour delay before the company announced the radioactive leak into the ocean, the day-long delay in discovering the tipped over barrels, and the increasing magnitude of the spills and other problems has caused consternation among environmental groups, local residents and politicians, even with the Japanese Prime Minister himself.
 


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