AUSTRALIA - NUCLEAR + CLIMATE + ENERGY DEBATES

New Information Resources
Climate Change
Clean Energy Solutions for Climate Change
Climate Change and Nuclear Power
Maralinga
Nuclear Dump Proposed for the NT
Australia as the World's Nuclear Waste Dump
Enrichment of Uranium for Australia?
Push for Asian Nuclear Energy Body Like Euratom

Nuclear Power for Australia - Government's Nuclear Inquiry (Ziggy Switkowski)
Nuclear Power for Australia - Responses to Switkowski Draft Report
Nuclear Power for Australia - EnergyScience Coalition info
Nuclear Power for Australia - Various
Nuclear Power for Australia - Economics
Nuclear Power for Australia - Locations
Nuclear  Power For Australia - Workforce Issues
Nuclear Power - Summary Of Impacts

Uranium - Various
Uranium - Ranger Extension in NT
Uranium Industry Framework
Uranium - Safeguards are a Joke
Uranium - SA Government
Honeymoon Approved
Uranium Mining - Roxby Downs
Uranium Mining In WA ... Not
Uranium Sales To Russia
Uranium Sales To China
Uranium Sales To India + USA Reactor Supply

GLOBAL NUCLEAR ISSUES

Uranium Reserves
Indonesia - Nuclear Power
THORP UK Reprocessing Accident
Fusion
Nuclear Smuggling

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NEW INFORMATION RESOURCES

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Energyscience - coalition of nuclear experts, briefing papers at <energyscience.org.au>

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Greenpeace-convened expert international panel on nuclear power:
http://www.greenpeace.org/australia/resources/reports/nuclear-power/more-nuclear-what-internation
or direct download:
http://www.greenpeace.org/raw/content/australia/resources/reports/nuclear-power/more-nuclear-what-internation.pdf

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Hi everyone, 

The 'Living Country' DVD, produced by CAAMA (Central Australian Aboriginal Media Association) about the waste dump, is finally available for purchase!

 The 22 minute film is an excellent introduction to the NT waste dump issue, with interviews expressing the concerns of communities living closest to the sites (as close as 3km away) and beautiful shots of country targeted for the dump.

It has so far been screened in Darwin, Brisbane, Canberra, Melbourne and of course Alice Springs, each time with fantastic feedback.

I have bought copies directly from CAAMA for $38.50 each and am selling these on for $45 to cover packaging, postage and a small change donation to round it out! 

Any extra donation on top of the suggested $45 will go toward the vibrant but extremely underfunded community campaign against the dump.

There have only been 50 copies of the DVD made, and while there could be another run in the future, it has been a long time and a lot of persistance in hassling CAAMA to get these out for sale, so I recommend you grab one while you can!

Please contact me with any questions. 
Any cheques please make out to 'Arid Lands Environment Centre' (and address the envelope to me).

Thanks, 
Nat
------
Beyond Nuclear Initiative
Arid Lands Environment Centre (ALEC)
Cummins Plaza, 67 Todd Mall / PO box 2796, 
Alice Springs, NT
Australia 0871

ph: 08 8952 2011
mobile : 0429 900 774
email: [email protected]

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Heaps of info on uranium mine in Oz and globally ...
http://www.infomine.com/commodities/uranium.asp

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Great new report on flawed safeguards at: <www.mapw.org.au/Illusion%20of%20Protection%20index.html>

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Anna Rose (ASEN) on JJJ Hack re climate change, the Australian Youth Climate CHange Coalition and a youth response to the Shitkowski report, particularly around the chapter on the role universities are gonna be pushed to play to expand the nuclear industry
http://www.abc.net.au/triplej/hack/podcast/tuesday.htm

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UNSW (anti-)nuclear power conference papers at <www.ies.unsw.edu.au/events/events.htm>

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Lots of excellent info re nukes:
www.waltpatterson.org

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FoE Adelaide's 'Call the Honeymoon Off' action http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk1AmSVXbvA

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CLIMATE CHANGE

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Is Howard burnt out?
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20705462-5000117,00.html
November 06, 2006
JILL Singer writes: John Howard wants a new Kyoto because he reckons the old one is useless.
I want a new PM for much the same reason.
The evidence is irrefutable that he is stubbornly refusing to take the threat of climate change seriously and is prepared to engage in media stunts and window dressing only in the hope he can fool us into thinking all is well.
Just listen to his use of language. It's all designed to soothe Australia into thinking the problem isn't necessarily all that bad and that he is absolutely on top of it.
Consider the release of Britain's devastating report by Sir Nicholas Stern, which warns that poor old parched Australia is at particular risk of devastating environmental and economic disaster.
First, Mr Howard advises Coalition MPs not to get mesmerised by one report, never mind that it echoes last year's dire predictions by Australia's CSIRO scientists.
Then he tells the public it is very important we don't overreact to Stern.
No one, he says, can assert with any confidence that Sir Nicholas's doomsday scenarios are right or wrong.
It's almost as if you can hear Joh Bjelke-Petersen's voice from the grave saying, "Don't you worry about that".
Then, last Thursday, a Newspoll revealed that 79 per cent of Australians wanted the Government to ratify the Kyoto Protocol and commit itself to greenhouse-gas emission targets.
And 91 per cent wanted the Government to shift from fossil fuels, such as coal, to renewable sources. Surely, such public concern cannot be dismissed lightly?
Think again. Mr Howard's response to the poll was to question its veracity but he later had to correct himself in Parliament and admit it was legitimate.
Furthermore, he says it's not surprising people say we've got to do more because of all the focus of the last few days on climate change.
The last few days . . . Who is he kidding?
Obviously, Mr Howard is bargaining on the public having the collective attention span of a gnat.
You know, today we're worried about climate change, tomorrow we'll all be so preoccupied with a horse race that we will forget about it.
He could be right. For now we have Channel 7's Mel and Kochie plugging events, such as the Walk Against Warming and asking irritating questions, such as why the Howard Government is spending twice as much taxpayer money on advertising the Government as it spends on climate change.
But such programs are not noted for keeping the heat on, if you'll pardon the pun.
Tomorrow, I'm sure, it will all be jolly old hats and feathers and next week it could well be some other worthy cause that shocks their socks off.
The fact is that today marks the start of the United Nations Climate Change conference in Kenya, Nairobi.
Over the next two weeks, the 165 countries that have ratified the Kyoto Protocol will discuss the way forward for global co-operation in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
India and China, the two countries that John Howard highlights as not doing enough to combat climate change, will be there and exercising their right to vote.
And Australia, the greatest per capita producer of greenhouse gases in the world, will be sitting on the sidelines, along with the world's single greatest polluter, the US, plotting how to form a splinter group that will advantage their coal and oil industries.
Yes, it's true Australia is in the Asia Pacific Clean Development and Climate Partnership (the AP6).
It's also true the Howard Government announced last week $60 million for initiatives to reduce carbon emissions. But let's get this in perspective. It's akin to putting a Band-Aid on a bloke shot at point-blank range.
Not only is Australia the nation most reliant on dirty fossil fuels for energy, we also export a staggering $61 billion worth of pollution a year in the form of coal, according to economic modelling based on the Stern report.
What's more, the Australian Conservation Foundation estimates the Government is spending $1 billion on subsidising company cars.
And here is the PM expecting us to get all excited because he is contributing a mingy $57 million to a $319 million solar power project in Victoria.
For another comparison, Howard's much vaunted national chaplains in schools are going to cost $90 million.
Why, oh why, are we still being encouraged to think we shouldn't overreact or get hysterical about our future?
Listen again to the PM's language.
In a prime bit of Biblespeak, John Howard reckons he won't destroy the natural advantage that Providence has given the working men and women of Australia: apparently the retired, the unemployed and children are exempt from any natural advantage.
Ah, Divine Providence.
God has delivered unto us plenty of coal and it would be economically sinful not to capitalise on it.
God also happened to bury lots of uranium deep under our land, so we'd better use that up too.
One might point out that Providence has also given us lots of wind and sunshine.
No doubt, come election time, Mr Howard will post everyone a cheque for some reason or other, have his photo taken alongside some token windmill or solar panel and reckon it will be enough to get him over the line, yet again.
It might even work for him, but the risks he is taking now are not personally large for him. He has already had a long, happy and successful life.
The risks he is taking threaten the future of the country he professes to love.
They also threaten the rest of the world, from which he is increasingly alienating us.
I am beginning to understand why Mr Howard says we need chaplains in school. They are particularly good at bereavement counselling in times of crisis and loss.
The only option left us may well be prayer.
[email protected]

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PM's windy rhetoric denounced as a scare tactic
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/pms-windy-rhetoric-denounced-as-a-scare-tactic/2006/11/12/1163266413050.html
Richard Macey
November 13, 2006
A SCIENTIST has accused the Prime Minister of frightening the public to undermine wind power's potential.
Responding last week to a Herald/ACNielsen poll showing 91 per cent of people regarded climate change as serious, John Howard warned that wind power could become a key source of energy only if the coast was festooned with windmills.
"Unless you want to have a windmill every few hundred feet starting at South Head and going down to Malabar," he said, "you simply won't be able to generate enough power from something like wind in order to take the load of the power that is generated by the use of coal and gas and, in time, I believe, nuclear."
Looking "years ahead", the only means of generating the required energy were fossil fuels and nuclear power.
However, Mark Diesendorf, an expert in renewable energy at the Institute of Environmental Studies, University of NSW, dismissed Mr Howard's comments as "just not true".
He said the depiction of a coastline of windmills was "a straw man … designed to frighten people … It's the same old misleading stuff."
The truth, Dr Diesendorf said, was that wind farms could supply 20 per cent of Australia's energy needs by 2040, using less land than required today for generating coal-fired power.
And no one was proposing dotting the coast with wind farms. In NSW, the most likely sites would be inland, "in high country on the Southern Tablelands".
Only "1 or 2 per cent" of a wind farm would be covered with turbines and associated works, such as access roads. The rest would remain available for agriculture, including grazing.
Dr Diesendorf said the turbines and roads for a wind farm that could replace a 1000-megawatt coal-fired station would occupy between five and 19 square kilometres. An open-cut coalmine to support a station producing the same amount of power could take up 50 to 100 square kilometres.
Dr Diesendorf said Mr Howard's comments followed equally misleading claims by the Minister for Foreign Affairs, Alexander Downer, in May. "It has been estimated," Mr Downer told Parliament, "that you would need a wind farm occupying 3200 square kilometres to produce the equivalent energy of a medium-sized power station."
A 2004 study, Clean Energy Future for Australia, found carbon dioxide emissions from stationary sources could be halved by 2040 with existing technology. Natural gas, the cleanest fossil fuel, could supply 30 per cent of power, said Dr Diesendorf, who worked on the study.
Small "bioenergy" power stations burning crop leftovers could supply 28 to 30 per cent, and wind power another 20 per cent.

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(Unpublished)
Howard and the greenhouse mafia

On Saturday, tens of thousands of Australians participated in the 'Walk Against Warming' to express concern about climate change and show support for clean energy solutions. That morning, the leading news item was a leak from the government's nuclear inquiry to the effect that nuclear power might be economical in 15 years if the government puts a price on carbon (which it insists it will not do).

The leak was attributed to an unidentified 'source'. No doubt the 'source' was part of the nuclear inquiry secretariat located in the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet. No doubt the leak was timed to coincide with the Walk Against Warming.

Howard's strategy is clear: muddy the push for clean energy - renewables and energy efficiency - by tossing the 'N' word into the debate at every opportunity.

That strategy distracts attention from the government's disgraceful record: closing the Energy Research and Development Corporation in 1997; shutting down most renewable energy research within the CSIRO; withdrawing funding from the Co-operative Research Centre for Renewable Energy in 2002; allowing fossil fuel interests to buy their way on to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics climate change modeling team; refusing to extend the Mandatory Renewable Energy Target, which was set at a paltry 2%; blocking wind farm projects and promoting a "national code" which would have the effect of blocking more wind farms; establishing a self-described "greenhouse mafia" of fossil fuel interests, the Lower Emissions Technical Advisory Group, to formulate energy and climate change policy; and persisting with its relentless efforts to kill, weaken, and marginalise the Kyoto Protocol.

No wonder the contribution of renewable energy has fallen from 10% in 1999 to its current level of 8%. Howard and his greenhouse mafia should be held to account.

Jim Green
Friends of the Earth

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PM's stance on climate change immoral
By Robyn Eckersley
November 8, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/pms-stance-on-climate-change-immoral/2006/11/07/1162661678871.html
Prime Minister John Howard has long maintained the Kyoto Protocol is flawed because it excludes major carbon emitters in the developing world. In Parliament last week, in defiance of the British Stern report, he declared that it would be foolish for Australia to embark on a carbon trading scheme, because developing countries would enjoy a free ride at our expense.
Yet the Prime Minister's stance directly contravenes Australia's obligations under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change 1992. The fundamental environmental justice principle running through this convention, which Australia has signed and ratified, is that parties should take steps to protect the climate "on the basis of equity and in accordance with their common but differentiated responsibilities and respective capacities" (article 3(1)). The convention provides that developed countries must "take the lead in combating climate change". Developed countries have benefited from a long history of exploiting fossil fuels and are responsible for the bulk of past emissions. They also have a greater economic capacity to absorb emission reductions and develop technological alternatives.
These environmental justice principles also served as the cornerstone of the Berlin mandate, which framed the negotiations for the Kyoto Protocol. Developing countries, including growing aggregate emitters such as China, are not expected to undertake mandatory emissions reduction until developed countries have shown the way. For the Prime Minister to maintain that the protocol is flawed because it allows free riders, flies in the face of the principles of the Kyoto Protocol's parent convention. The main reason the Kyoto Protocol is suboptimal, in both environmental and political terms, is because the world's biggest aggregate carbon polluter (the US) and the world's second biggest per capita carbon polluter (Australia) have defected.
The idea that a rich country such as Australia should not reduce its oversized per capita carbon footprint unless poorer countries also take measures to reduce their tiny per capita footprint is to kick the ladder down. It denies poorer countries the opportunity to improve the livelihoods of their peoples and avoids Australia's obligations under the convention. Such a stance is morally and politically unjustifiable.
Robyn Eckersley teaches global politics at the University of Melbourn

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CLEAN ENERGY SOLUTIONS & CLIMATE CHANGE

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It's clean and it's green, but Howard isn't interested in it
Suzy Freeman-Greene
September 26, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/its-clean-and-its-green-but-howard-isnt-interested-in-it/2006/09/25/1159036469469.html

IN MAY, John Howard called for a "full-blooded debate" on nuclear power. When the Prime Minister asks for debate, we oblige, and the issue has attracted headlines since. But while nuclear, wind power and even carbon geosequestration are the subject of spirited discussion as we grapple with global warming, there's a clean, green power source that barely seems to rate a mention. It's solar power.
Australia is one of the world's sunniest countries and an innovator in solar research. "We used to be a world leader in solar power," says the Australian Conservation Foundation's Erwin Jackson. "Now we're falling abysmally behind countries like Japan."
For more than a decade, according to the New Internationalist, the Japanese Government has paid subsidies to householders who install photovoltaic panels on their roofs. The subsidies are being phased out but capacity is still expected to grow by 20 per cent a year.
Germany, meanwhile, has installed more than 100 times Australia's grid-connected solar capacity. "Yet if you put the same panel on a roof in Australia (where it's sunnier) it would produce twice as much capacity," says Jackson.
But in Australia, the Federal Government is quietly phasing out the rebates available to homeowners who install panels. The rebate has been replaced by the $75 million Solar Cities project, in which four locations will be used to demonstrate and trial solar technology. In North Adelaide, the first "solar city", panels and "smart meters" will be installed in 1700 homes.
The project will run until 2012-13. While worthy, it will be limited to just a few locations and seems small fry compared with what's going on elsewhere. In Spain, the Government has legislated to require solar panels in all new and renovated shopping centres, offices, hotels or warehouses. Jackson says about 70 per cent of the panels made at BP Solar's Sydney manufacturing plant are sold overseas.
It costs about $10,000 to $15,000 to put panels on your roof. We have the technology. We just need to make it cheaper. Says Haydn Fletcher from Melbourne firm Going Solar: "We already know how to become solar cities … What we need is policy change." He says the past 10 months have been the quietest he's seen.
No single power source can replace our reliance on coal; we need diversity. Solar is not the panacea. But there's so much more we could do to foster an affordable, large-scale industry. Far from a fringe affair, the foundation says solar PV is the fastest-growing energy technology in the world, with growth rates of 60 per cent annually over the past five years.
One effective way to encourage investment in solar power is to reward panel owners for the unused power they can feed into the electricity grid. Many in the local solar industry are calling for the introduction of a "feed-in tariff", where a small levy is added to all power bills. The money is then used to pay households or businesses for their excess solar power at a higher rate than that paid to dirtier sources.
Governments in Germany, Italy, China, Indonesia, Spain, South Korea and Switzerland have kick-started their industry with such a tariff. A draft proposal prepared by BP Solar and Conergy, says a feed-in tariff would cost the typical power consumer the equivalent of one cup of coffee a year (presumably about $3).
Things are happening slowly here. Melbourne firm Solar Systems has proposed a $420 million solar power station in north-western Victoria that could power 40,000 homes. Solar Systems and Boeing have developed the project using PV technology designed for satellites. They have applied for federal funding from the low emission technologies fund.
The State Government has legislated to require electricity retailers to meet 10 per cent of their energy needs through renewable sources by 2016. But the Victorian Opposition has pledged to scrap the scheme.
When the Prime Minister spoke in May, he described nuclear power, which produces radioactive waste, as "cleaner and greener than other forms of power".
Whose debate do we want to have? The one framed by politicians in thrall to the mining lobby or a discussion about genuinely clean forms of power? Clearly the Government wants to boost our coal and uranium industries, but in 100 years' time will there even be an economy around to protect?
Suzy Freeman-Greene is a staff writer.

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Here's the plan for fast and effective action on climate change
By George  Monbiot
Published in the Guardian 31st October 2006

It is a testament to the power of money that Nicholas Stern's report should have swung the argument for drastic action, even before anyone has finished reading it. He appears to have demonstrated what many of us suspected: that it would cost much less to prevent runaway climate change than to seek to live with it. Useful as this finding is, I hope it doesn't mean that the debate will now concentrate on money. The principal costs of climate change will be measured in lives, not pounds. As Stern reminded us yesterday, there would be a moral imperative to seek to prevent mass death even if the economic case did not stack up.

But at least almost everyone now agrees that we must act, if not at the necessary speed. If we're to have a high chance of preventing global temperatures from rising by 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, we need, in the rich nations, a 90% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030(1). The greater part of the cut has to be made at the beginning of this period. To see why, picture two graphs with time on the horizontal axis and the rate of emissions plotted vertically. One falls like a ski jump: a steep drop followed by a shallow tail. The other falls like the trajectory of a bullet. To the left of each line is the total volume of greenhouse gases produced in that period. They fall to the same point by the same date, but far more gases have been produced in the second case, making runaway climate change more likely.

So how do we do it without bringing civilisation crashing down? Here is a plan for drastic but affordable action the government could take. It goes much further than the proposals discussed by Tony Blair and Gordon Brown yesterday, for the reason that this is what the science demands.

1. Set a target for reducing greenhouse gas emissions based on the latest science. The government is using outdated figures - restated by Blair and Brown yesterday - aiming for a 60% reduction by 2050. Even the annual 3% cut proposed in the early day motion calling for a new climate change bill does not go far enough. Timescale: immediately.

2. Use that target to set an annual carbon cap, which falls on the ski jump trajectory. Then use the cap to set a personal carbon ration. Every citizen is given a free annual quota of carbon dioxide. He spends it by buying gas and electricity, petrol and train and plane tickets. If he runs out, he must buy the rest from someone who has has used less than his quota(2). This accounts for about 40% of the carbon dioxide we produce. The rest is auctioned off to companies. It's a simpler and fairer approach than either green taxation or the Emissions Trading Scheme, and it also provides people with a powerful incentive to demand low-carbon technologies. Timescale: a full scheme in place by January 2009.

3. Introduce a new set of building regulations, with three objectives.
A. Imposing strict energy efficiency requirements on all major refurbishments (costing £3000 or more). Timescale: comes into force by June 2007.
B. Obliging landlords to bring their houses up to high energy efficiency standards before they can rent them out. Timescale: to cover all new rentals from January 2008.
C. Ensuring that all new homes in the UK are built to the German passivhaus standard (which requires no heating system). Timescale: comes into force by 2012.

4. Ban the sale of incandescent lightbulbs, patio heaters, garden floodlights and several other wasteful and unnecessary technologies. Introduce a stiff "feebate" system for all electronic goods sold in this country. The least efficient are taxed heavily while the most efficient receive tax discounts. Every year the standards in each category rise. Timescale: fully implemented by November 2007.

5. Redeploy the money now earmarked for new nuclear missiles towards a massive investment in energy generation and distribution. Two schemes in particular require government support to make them commercially viable: very large wind farms, many miles offshore, connected to the grid with high voltage direct current cables; and a hydrogen pipeline network to take over from the natural gas grid as the primary means of delivering fuel for home heating. Timescale: both programmes commence at the end of 2007 and are completed by 2018.

6. Promote the development of a new national coach network. City centre coach stations are shut down and moved to the junctions of the motorways. Urban public transport networks are extended to meet them. The coaches travel on dedicated lanes and never leave the motorways(3). Journeys by public transport then become as fast as journeys by car, while saving 90% of emissions. It is self-financing, through the sale of the land now used for coach stations. Timescale: commences in 2008; completed by 2020.

7. Oblige all chains of filling stations to supply leasable electric car batteries. This provides electric cars with unlimited mileage: as the battery runs down, you pull into a forecourt. A crane lifts it out and drops in a fresh one. The batteries are charged overnight with surplus electricity from offshore windfarms. Timescale: fully operational by 2011.

8. Abandon the road-building and road-widening programme, and spend the money on tackling climate change. The government has earmarked £11.4 billion for new roads(4). It claims to be allocating just £545 million a year to "spending policies that tackle climate change"(5). Timescale: immediately.

9. Freeze and then reduce UK airport capacity. While capacity remains high there will be constant upward pressure on any scheme the government introduces to limit flights. We need a freeze on all new airport construction and the introduction of a national quota for landing slots, to be reduced by 90% by 2030. Timescale: immediately.

10. Legislate for the closure of all out-of-town superstores, and their replacement with a warehouse and delivery system. Shops use a staggering amount of energy (six times as much electricity per square metre as factories, for example), and major reductions are hard to achieve: Tesco's "state of the art" energy-saving store at Diss has managed to cut its energy use by only 20%(6). Warehouses containing the same quantity of goods use roughly 5% of the energy(7). Out-of-town shops are also hard-wired to the car - delivery vehicles use 70% less fuel(8). Timescale: fully implemented by 2012.

These timescales might seem extraordinarily ambitious. They are, by contrast to the current glacial pace of change. But when the US entered the second world war, it turned the economy around on a sixpence. Carmakers began producing aircraft and missiles within a year, and amphibious vehicles in 90 days, from a standing start(9). And that was 65 years ago. If we want this to happen, we can make it happen. It will require more economic intervention than we're used to and some pretty brutal emergency planning policies (with little time or scope for objections). But if you believe these are worse than mass death, there is something wrong with your value system.

Climate change is not just a moral question: it is the moral question of the 21st century. There is one position even more morally culpable than denial. That is to accept that it's happening and that its results will be catastrophic; but to fail to take the measures needed to prevent it.
 
George Monbiot's book Heat: how to stop the planet burning is published by Penguin.

References:

1. This is explained, with references, in Heat: how to stop the planet burning.

2. The idea was first proposed by Mayer Hillamn in 1990, and has been championed and refined by David Fleming. See David Fleming, no date given. Energy and the Common Purpose: descending the energy staircase with tradeable energy quotas (TEQs). http://www.teqs.net/book/teqs.pdf

3. This plan was proposed by Alan Storkey, 2005. A Motorway-Based National Coach System. Available from [email protected] . I summarise his paper in Heat.

4. Department for Transport statistics, December 2005, collated by Road Block. http://www.roadblock.org.uk/press_releases/info/TPI%20and%20local%20schemes%20Dec05.xls

5. Lord McKenzie of Luton, 10th October 2005. Parliamentary answer HL 1508. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200405/ldhansrd/pdvn/lds05/text/51010w04.htm

6. http://www.tescocorporate.com/crreport06/pdf/Tesco_CRR_2006_Full.pdf

7. See the figures and discussion in Heat.

8. S. Cairns et al, 2004. Home shopping. Chapter in Transport for Quality of Life, p. 324. Report to the Department for Transport. The Robert Gordon University and Eco-Logica London, UK. http://www.dft.gov.uk/stellent/groups/dft_susttravel/documents/page/dft_susttravel_029756.pdf

9. Jack Doyle, 2000. Taken for a Ride: Detroit's big three and the politics of pollution, pp.1-2. Four Walls, Eight Windows, New York.

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The choice is not nuclear energy v coal
Ric Brazzale
November 24, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/the-choice-is-not-nuclear-energy-v-coal/2006/11/23/1163871546318.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1
THE findings of the Government's nuclear taskforce should come as little surprise, as the focus was narrowly on nuclear power and excluded consideration of clean energy sources, such as renewable energy, gas-fired generation and energy efficiency.
In essence, the review posits a false choice — between nuclear energy and coal — as if no other large-capacity power options were available. This is a false choice.
What conclusions might have been drawn if it had been a wide-ranging inquiry that compared solar power, wind power, bioenergy, geothermal "hot rocks", energy efficiency, solar water heating and natural gas, as well as nuclear power?
We can only wonder, because it wasn't that sort of inquiry.
So, what has the review contributed?
First, it was encouraging to see it conclude that a carbon price signal is essential for greenhouse gas reduction and for investment in the development and deployment of zero and low-emission technologies.
This is a critical step towards a clean economy. Per capita, Australians are the most polluting people in the world. Greenhouse gas emissions from coal-dominated electricity generation in Australia are soaring and forecast to rise rapidly. ABARE predicts our energy emissions will be more than 60 per cent higher over the next 25 years if we continue with "business as usual".
The most effective way to begin reining in these galloping emissions is to put a price on pollution. Putting a price on carbon pollution would, as former World Bank chief economist Sir Nicholas Stern says, simply "correct the greatest market failure the world has ever seen". A carbon trading scheme can be designed in a way that protects trade-exposed industries. But a carbon trading scheme needs to start soon, not in five or 10 years.
And this matter — of time — is of critical importance.
We don't need to wait 15 to 20 years to build nuclear power stations.
More importantly, we don't have 15 to 20 years to wait to build them.
As Stern observed in his recent report: "There is a high price to delay. Weak action in the next 10 to 20 years would put stabilisation even at 550 ppm (parts per million) carbon dioxide beyond reach — and this level is already associated with significant risks."
Time is a precious commodity we don't have much of in relation to global warming.
Every tonne of carbon dioxide we release into the atmosphere is up there for the next 100 years. Every year we wait is a 100-year legacy that makes our job that much harder and requires much steeper cuts later.
If Stern is right, making nuclear power the vanguard of an energy revolution pitches Australia head first into risky territory — economically and otherwise — simply because of the delay it demands.
Australia already has an abundance of zero-emission renewable and low-emission energy technologies. They could be deployed en masse tomorrow and begin to cut our greenhouse gas emissions. This would be instead of our waiting 15 or 20 years for a nuclear power station to be built.
Australia does have lots of coal and uranium. But it also has almost unlimited quantities of clean renewable energy from the sun, wind, biomass, geothermal "hot rocks" and other sources, which can be used far more. We also have vast reserves of natural gas, which produce about one-third of the carbon dioxide emissions of coal.
Some of these clean energies are being put to good use. Their contribution needs to be expanded and others can — and should — be added to the energy mix now. This can take place while we consider and debate the merits of nuclear power.
Biomass, geothermal energy and gas are all storable forms of energy that can be turned up or down as needed, exploding the myth that coal or nuclear energy are our only base-load (24-hour) power options.
Renewable energies are proven and affordable. They work well now and they produce zero emissions.
By next year, South Australia will have 15 per cent of its power needs met from wind when only a few years ago it was zero. The same could be done for the whole of Australia.
Another 20 per cent saving could be met by conserving the coal-fired electricity we already waste; another 20 per cent from converting from coal to natural gas; and another 20 per cent from bioenergy. The list goes on.
The decisions we will soon make about energy sources will go down in history as among the most defining ever — economically, socially and environmentally.
Generations to come will judge us on the paths we now take. Did we look at all the options and make use of all the clean energy sources at our disposal? Did we map out a responsible, strategic path to lower greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining a healthy economy and forging dynamic new markets in clean renewable energies?
Ric Brazzale is executive director of the Business Council for Sustainable Energy.

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Carpenter warms to geothermal energy
Amanda O'Brien, West Australian political reporter
November 18, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20777815-30417,00.html
"HOT rocks" 7km below the earth's surface could soon be used to produce power for Western Australia.
Premier Alan Carpenter said vast amounts of clean, green energy could be drawn from the hot granite rocks, which have temperatures of up to 300C.
He said geothermal energy was created by passing water over the hot, dry rocks and using the heated water to generate power.
Mr Carpenter said the Government would legislate next year to provide a clear legal framework for companies to pursue large-scale geothermal energy projects and called for expressions of interest from companies wanting to harness the hot-rock power.
The call was answered immediately by local company HGR Energy, which confirmed it would apply for a geothermal exploration licence.
HGR director Tony Veitch said its desktop analysis showed prospective areas in Western Australia for geothermal production and the company wanted to move to the exploration and drilling phase as soon as possible.
While hot-rocks technology is still to be commercially proven, considerable activity has already begun in South Australia and NSW to prove it is possible.
Mr Carpenter claimed Western Australia had an edge over the other states because its hot-rock deposits were near populated areas all over the state.
He said exploration elsewhere was mainly in remote areas.
As well, Western Australia was at the forefront in deep-drilling technology from its oil and gas industry.
"We are the masters," Mr Carpenter said.

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The rise of solar: why the sun is shining on main street
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/the-rise-of-solar-why-the-sun-is-shining-on-main-street/2006/11/11/1162661949377.html
Brod Street on the roof of his house in Smart Street, Hawthorn, which is almost completely powered by the energy captured from the sun by these solar panels.
Photo: Justin McManus
Paul Heinrichs
November 12, 2006
BROD Street is quietly reaping satisfaction — and huge savings — from a decision four years ago to go solar.
As well as cutting his power bill to just $190 a year, he's doing his bit to limit greenhouse gas emissions.
Brod, wife Vivienne and son Alexander live in their own smart house in Smart Street, Hawthorn — one smart enough to reduce emissions from about 12,000 kilograms to just 700 kilograms a year.
"We're not far off zero greenhouse," he said. "Let's be honest — if people followed in our footsteps, we'd probably have a different debate, a different world."
By choosing to add $40,000 worth of environmental efficiency to a $250,000 renovation four years ago, they have shown what can be done, and now see others joining the solar movement.
Under the impact of what one industry figure calls an environmental "perfect storm" — a unique convergence of influential factors — solar energy is shifting rapidly from the fringe to the mainstream of Australian life.
As well as solar water heaters, there is suddenly a big market developing among wealthier people — environmentally conscious doctors, lawyers and retirees — for the expensive photovoltaic (PV) solar power systems.
Until now, Victoria has lagged behind the nation in installations of this equipment, with only about 2000 out of a national total of about 25,000 homes carrying the panels on their roofs, many in the outback off the electricity grids.
But conversely, Victoria has been installing solar hot water services at about twice the rate of the rest of the country.
Executive director of the Business Council for Sustainable Energy, Ric Brazzale, says there has been a huge spike of interest in both solar hot water and power systems.
Mr Brazzale attributes new levels of climate-change awareness to a "perfect storm" which included the hottest October since 1950, including bushfires, the arrival of the Al Gore film An Inconvenient Truth, the ongoing drought and the Stern Review, which argues that the cost of inaction will be significantly greater than that of action.
His observations have been confirmed by industry sources such as solar power installer Going Solar and the Alternative Technologies Association.
Across Australia, the most significant move is the shift to solar hot-water heating, a move the environmentalist David Suzuki calls the best single step a household could make to reduce greenhouse gases.
Electric water heaters account for 30 per cent of greenhouse gas emissions of the total energy consumed in a typical home. Solar water heaters can reduce those emissions by 85 to 90 per cent.
Solar water heater sales in Australia have doubled since 2000-2001, and were estimated to be 42,700 units in 2004-5, up from 36,000 units sold in each of the previous two years.
According to Australian Bureau of Statistics data, nearly 350,000 homes in Australia have had a solar hot water system installed — about 5 per cent of homes. The systems can pay for themselves in savings over about 10 years.
Sales of solar hot water services in Victoria are running at about 4000 a year, four times that of 2000, and there have been about 14,000 units installed since mid-2000.
Sustainability Victoria offers householders a rebate of up to $1500 to replace a gas water heater with a gas-boosted solar water heating unit, which can cost up to $4000.
Sales are now being driven by regulations that require either a solar hot water service or a water tank to be installed in all new homes built since July 1.
Mr Brazzale said the industry was hoping that up to half of new-home builders opted for the solar unit — or went for both options.
"We are arguing that given the heightened water crisis and energy and climate crisis, there's no reason why you shouldn't go for both. It's not an either/or situation — you should do both," he said.
The big new market opening up in Victoria for PV solar systems includes people such as St Kilda architect Marcus O'Reilly, who has recently ordered a system for his new house. As well, he is designing a four-storey commercial office block for the Nepean Highway, Brighton, which will have a huge system of 140 square metres of photovoltaic panels on its roof.
Mr O'Reilly said the owner was initially reluctant to use solar because it would add significantly to the cost, but changed his mind.
The agent had indicated that this would be an attractive feature in selling or leasing the building, especially as it would not hit the market for a couple of years.
Another commercial development using solar as a selling point is the Bluemountrise development at Trentham, where covenants on the land being subdivided require econologically sustainable houses.
Australian householders are eligible for a federally funded rebate of up to $4000, based on $4 per watt of electricity for a solar PV system of up to one kilowatt.
The Bracks Government is also promising a significant new incentive for PV system buyers if it is re-elected on November 25.
Victoria's Energy Minister, Theo Theophanous, told The Sunday Age that a Bracks Government would legislate to make power companies pay solar power households the retail price of power (about 14 cents a kilowatt hour) for electricity their systems put back into the grid.
Currently, many power retailers pay only the wholesale rate or less, about four cents a kilowatt hour, to those households whose PV systems produce more than the household uses.
Mr Theophanous flagged a time after the end of next year when the big roll-out of so-called "smart meters" begins, when households might even get better than the retail rate for power fed into the system during peak periods.
Brod Street's system, with 18 panels on his roof producing up to 1.35 kilowatts, actually contributed a net 1245 kilowatt hours to the grid in the past year. He's on a good wicket — Origin Energy is already paying him its full retail rate of 12.54 cents a kilowatt hour.
Climate change possibly represented by October's heat meant Mr Street's system produced a record 212 kilowatt hours, twice as much power as he used for the month.
All the same, he wishes the world would return to its old pattern.

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Renewable energy has power to generate opportunities
Evan Thornley
November 8, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/renewable-energy-has-power-to-generate-opportunities/2006/11/07/1162661685349.html
THOMAS Watson, the founder of IBM, said in 1943: "I think the world market for computers is maybe five." Visionary as he was, Watson turns out to have been a little conservative. But he certainly did better than The Australian Financial Review, which in 1997 announced with world-weary scepticism that "the internet is the CB radio of the '90s". It was just wrong.
And so it is for conservative politicians who are having a devil of a time getting their head around the possibilities for renewable energy. Prime Minister John Howard says we'll never get there without nuclear power. Victorian Opposition Leader Ted Baillieu promises to tear up the Victorian Renewable Energy Target scheme because he claims it is "too expensive". In stark contrast, the Stern review, led by Sir Nicholas Stern, a former chief economist of the World Bank, reviewed the literature and came to the opposite conclusion. We can't afford not to move to more renewables — and fast.
Why? Firstly, when you look at the full cost of energy sources, some renewables are already cheaper. Secondly, the costs of doing nothing are horrendous. And thirdly, we might actually reignite our manufacturing sector by leading the world in smart renewables technology.
When you look at the full cost of any energy source, there are three elements — the capital cost of the equipment, the operating costs of fuel and staff, and the cost of cleaning up the mess once you've finished. Those who argue that renewable sources are "too expensive" base their entire argument on today's capital costs for the equipment, since both the fuel costs and the clean-up costs are close to zero.
But the history of technology and manufacturing tells us capital costs in any new technology decline dramatically once mass adoption occurs. Why? Firstly, economies of scale mean unit costs reduce once design and tooling costs are spread over large volumes. Secondly, anyone making anything learns as they go about it. With each new version we simplify, make it more efficiently, solve production bottlenecks, find cheaper materials, our suppliers learn more, and so it goes. That's how cars went from a luxury for the few to commonplace. It was the same with computers. It can be the same with wind turbines and solar cells.
Stern makes the same observation: "Experience shows that the costs of technologies fall with scale and experience." That is why he argues that "particularly in electricity generation … policies to support the market for early-stage technologies will be crucial". That's why the Bracks Government's VRET is an essential building block for change and why the Liberals' "promise" to tear it up looks reckless. The closer you look at fossil fuels and nuclear, the more expensive they become. As Stern is now showing, the cost of cleaning up the mess you make turns out to be large indeed. In rough terms it is somewhere between five and 20 times cheaper to take action now to reduce emissions than to cope later with the cost of not doing so.
Similarly, I don't know if Howard asked his accountants to look at the net present value (the cost in today's dollars of things that happen in the future) of guarding plutonium waste from terrorists for the next 500,000 years or more, but I suspect it's a big number.
Finally, this debate is not just about minimising the economic and social downsides of climate change, it's also about capturing the opportunities. When Stern talks of the world investing $US500 billion ($A647 billion) now or having to spend 20 times that later, that $US500 billion is a massive business opportunity. And, as is often the case, "first movers" will have greatest opportunity to capture that opportunity.
There's no reason why Silicon Valley had to be in Silicon Valley and not New York, London or Frankfurt. But it did start there and, having done so, it's hard for anyone to catch up.
And so it is with renewable energy technology at the early stage of its development. Victorians can not only become large customers for this technology and save ourselves a bundle in the medium term, if we become large suppliers, we might even make a bundle. Given the high design and technology-intensive nature of the renewable energy business, it presents a bright opportunity for us to make a virtue of necessity and see if we can build a new high-value, manufacturing export industry.
The targets are expected to produce $2 billion of investment and 2200 jobs. By creating a strong market, the VRET allows companies to compete, and for those who succeed, the potential to open up global markets.
There are always risks in doing something new. But sometimes the risks of doing nothing are bigger. In 1962, Decca Records rejected four Liverpool musicians — "we don't like their sound … and guitar music is on the way out anyway". The cost
of not taking the risk was the Beatles going elsewhere.
Baillieu thinks we "can't afford" to pursue the renewable energy target. He's got it wrong, but fortunately voters have a clear choice — the Bracks Government knows we can't afford not to.
Evan Thornley was co-founder of technology company LookSmart and is a Labor candidate for the Southern Metropolitan Region.

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Households may reap dollars in energy plan
Jason Dowling
November 5, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/victoria-votes/households-may-reap-dollars-in-energy-plan/2006/11/04/1162340095859.html
VICTORIAN households would receive hundreds of dollars in rebates to help save energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions under a Labor Government, Steve Bracks announced yesterday.
Mr Bracks said a Labor Government would provide up to $100 in rebates to households for installing insulation, replacing energy inefficient washing machines and fridges, and upgrading heating. There would be no cap on the number of rebates per house.
In a carrot-and-stick approach, Labor also said the new Victorian Energy Efficiency Target scheme would increase household energy bills by about $12 a year, if no energy savings measures were made.
The Premier also recommitted Victoria to a nuclear-free state under Labor. "Nuclear energy is the wrong way to go. We have legislation prohibiting nuclear energy in this state. That will be reinforced in the future," he said.
Mr Bracks, who launched Labor's $14 million policy at an energy efficient house in the Dandenongs, also announced that energy retailers would be forced to assist in the aim of a 10 per cent reduction in household energy emissions by 2010.
He also announced that households and small business that generated their own power through solar or other methods would be able to sell excess power back into the state's power grid. Energy Minister Theo Theophanous could not say how much money households with solar panels would make from this.
Environment Victoria's Marcus Godinho welcomed the energy saving initiatives. "They are good for families and good for the environment," he said.
Liberal environment spokesman David Davis said it was too little too late from Labor.

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Opposition to Wind Farms Hot Air
www.tai.org.au
26 October 2006
Media release
A detailed critique of concerns raised by anti-wind farm groups reveals the opposition is based largely on fallacies according to the deputy director of the Australia Institute Andrew Macintosh.
The critique is contained in a new report published today by the Institute. Mr Macintosh has co-authored the report entitled Wind Farms: The facts and the fallacies.
"A lot of hot air has been expended trying to undermine the economic and environmental credentials of wind farms," Mr Macintosh said. "Our analysis of the best available national and international evidence shows convincingly that wind farms are an efficient and environmentally-friendly way of reducing greenhouse emissions while meeting Australia's growing energy needs."
He said the analysis showed that wind energy is cost-competitive with other forms of renewable energy, effectively displaces greenhouse gases and has only minor adverse environmental impacts.
Mr Macintosh said claims that wind farms negatively affect birds, bats and landscape values, are noisy and a fire risk are greatly exaggerated. All available evidence indicates that these risks have been overstated and that in practice the negative environmental impacts of wind farms are insignificant.
"The Coalition's attempts to obstruct the wind industry are flying in the face of these facts," he said.
Mr Macintosh and his co-author Christian Downie said the suggestion by the Federal Government and opposition parties in Victoria that local communities should have a veto power over wind developments is absurd. "Wind farms should be subject to the normal planning procedures and not be treated any better or worse than any other major energy development," Mr Downie said.
The Federal Environment Minister is due to decide whether the proposed Bald Hills wind farm in Victoria will be allowed to proceed in the next two weeks.
"The Minister's previous decision to block the proposal illustrates the extent of the politicisation of federal approval processes," Mr Macintosh said. "The Coalition should help allay community concerns about wind farms rather than manipulating the situation for political purposes".

The report can be found under 'What's New' on the Institute's website: www.tai.org.au.

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AP6 Going Nowhere Fast
1 November 2006
Media alert
www.tai.org.au
The Asia-Pacific Partnership is in danger of collapse after the US Congress twice rejected appropriations to fund Bush administration commitments to the pact, according to the Australia Institute.
In late May a Republican-led House Appropriations sub-committee blocked a White House request for US $46 million to fund commitments to AP6. Legislators had rejected another request in early May.
"The lack of support for AP6 in the US Congress is mirrored in other AP6 countries. There has been no political engagement and the process has been left to the bureaucracies", said Dr Clive Hamilton, executive director of The Australia Institute.
US Senator John McCain, the front-runner to be the next Republican Presidential candidate, has dismissed the Asia-Pacific Partnership declaring that it "amounts to nothing more than a nice little public-relations ploy … It has almost no meaning. They aren't even committing money to the effort, much less enacting rules to reduce greenhouse gas emissions".
"The Australian Government is desperate to bolster its climate change credentials by presenting AP6 as a serious alternative to Kyoto, but it is a Clayton's climate pact", said Dr Hamilton.
More than 150 nations have ratified the Kyoto Protocol and are acting on its obligations. The treaty received a new lease of life at last November's Montreal conference where it was agreed to begin negotiations for its second commitment period covering 2013-2018.
Four of the six members of the Asia-Pacific Partnership - China, India, Japan and South Korea - have ratified the Protocol and have a number of legally binding obligations under it. While the Government makes much of the fact that AP6 includes countries responsible for nearly half of global greenhouse gas emissions, the Kyoto Protocol accounts for 75% of global emissions - and
mandates action.
"Significantly, none of the delegates from China, India, Japan or South Korea mentioned the Asia-Pacific Partnership in their high-level addresses at Montreal, and all four strongly affirmed their continued commitment to the UN process", said Dr Hamilton.
The Chinese Ministry for Foreign Affairs was unambiguous; "This pact has no power for legal restrictions. It is a compliment to the Kyoto Treaty, not a replacement".
"Australia is alone in putting money into AP6. The projects being announced today by the Government are vague in construction and likely outcomes. It looks like $100 million of tax payer's money will be wasted trying to provide cover for the Howard Government's embarrassing refusal to participate in the Kyoto Protocol", said Dr Hamilton.

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Government Still Deludes on Climate Change
www.tai.org.au
24 October 2006
Media release
In announcing funding under its Low Emission Technology Fund the federal government is trying to convince the public that we must wait for new technologies to reduce Australia's greenhouse pollution, according to the Australia Institute.
"We can cut our emissions sharply with existing technologies as demonstrated by the huge response of renewable energy companies to the MRET scheme, which is now fully subscribed", said Institute Executive Director Dr Clive Hamilton.
Dr Hamilton was addressing a meeting at Manning Clark House in Canberra.
"Mr Howard is determined to bail out the coal industry even if it means we must wait another 10-15 years before 'clean coal' technologies become viable", he said.
"We have lost ten years with the Howard Government's denial, obfuscation and bloody-mindedness; we simply cannot afford to lose another ten years before we tackle the most severe threat to our future.
"For a decade the Government has been trying to persuade us that throwing a bucket of money at industry will deal with climate change. It has not worked so far and will not work in the future.
"The only answer is to mobilise market forces to cut greenhouse gas emissions by putting a price on carbon. There is no alternative."
Dr Hamilton said that the Government's climate change policy is mired in contradictions.
* The Government says ratifying the Kyoto Protocol would be economically ruinous, yet claims Australia will meet its Kyoto target anyway.
* It says it rejects Kyoto because the treaty does not include big greenhouse polluters like China and India; yet a treaty that did require those countries to reduce their emissions would immediately cut demand for Australian coal exports.
* In a 2003 report titled Voluntary Approaches to Environmental Policy the OECD confirmed that voluntary programs such as those once again being relied on by the Federal Government rarely have any impact.
"Australia's energy and industrial greenhouse gas emissions have been sky-rocketing throughout the tenure of the Howard Government, and the only test of effective policies will be when they start to fall", said Dr Hamilton.

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A climate protection act must have priority
November 2, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/opinion/a-climate-protection-act-must-have-priority/2006/11/01/1162339917711.html
The latecomers should have heeded strong voices long ago, write Stuart White and Chris Riedy.
THE Stern report, while not revealing much we don't know, represents a fork in the road for the debate over climate change in this country. Surveys indicate the majority of Australians are unhappy with the Government's handling of this critical issue.
Well might they be. Arguments based on narrow self-interest and short-term planning make the community cynical about politics and politicians.
One example of this is "we won't act unless China and India act". Deflecting responsibility to the developing world, as both the Treasurer and Prime Minister have done, is morally bankrupt, when we have one of the highest rates of emissions per capita in the world, second only to our mentor in these matters, the United States.
Between Al Gore, once the "next US president", and Nicholas Stern, a former World Bank economist, a pincer movement has developed which gives these issues the gravity they deserve. The drought in Australia adds to the urgency.
The "do-nothing" option can be dismissed; Stern makes it clear strong action is needed in the next decade. It is a crucial period, and attention should shift swiftly from arguing whether or not we have a problem, to how best to respond.
Of course, not all strategies and solutions are the same. At the global level, Australia needs to demonstrate a genuine commitment to work in co-operation with the international community by ratifying the Kyoto Protocol or an equivalent global agreement. The Government's alternative, the Asia-Pacific Partnership, has no targets and no teeth - it will not deliver the necessary reductions in greenhouse pollution.
In A Clean Energy Future for Australia, independent work undertaken for WWF-Australia shows that the reductions in greenhouse emissions of 60 per cent by 2050 argued by Stern are technically feasible.
Will this cost too much? The Stern report makes it clear the costs of not acting are so high that the cost of taking action is five to 20 times less than that. In Australia, as our research indicates, the fossil fuel industry benefits from subsidies of at least $9 billion a year. Removing these would free funding for a more sustainable energy future.
The largest, cheapest and quickest component of that sustainable energy future will be improving the energy efficiency of existing and new households, businesses and industries.
Improving energy efficiency simply means doing better with less energy, through the use of improved or "smarter" design, appliances, equipment and energy-using practices. This will be the unsung hero of the future, despite the attention being paid to high-profile, high-cost options such as "clean coal".
We will need large-scale support for the development of renewable energy, including wind, solar and bio-energy. While much attention is paid to wind, photovoltaics and large-scale electricity production, it is worth noting that the development and application of solar technology for industrial process heat has a great future in Australia, as does the use of micro-generation at the household level.
There is no need for nuclear power: it is too expensive, too slow and too risky. It is not a coincidence that it is only countries with centrally planned economies or active weapons programs that are continuing to invest in nuclear power.
Like Britain and California, we need a climate protection act at the federal level, a legislative underpinning for the actions needed in the next 10 years to make inroads into this global problem.
Above all, Australians need to have input to the decision-making on this important issue that affects all of us. The time for paternalistic political responses has passed. We propose a national conversation on climate change, a series of regional forums where citizens are asked what they want to have done in response to the challenge that the Stern report has issued.
If surveys are anything to go by, people have a lot they want to say and they will be prepared to play their part in meeting this challenge so our politicians had better get out of the way.
Professor Stuart White, director, and Dr Chris Riedy, research director, are at the Institute for Sustainable Futures at the University of Technology, Sydney.

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Climate's last chance
Tim Flannery
October 28, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/climates-last-chance/2006/10/27/1161749313108.html
THE Howard Government seems recently to have accepted that climate change is caused by humans and needs to be dealt with. But has it really accepted this? And will its policies make a difference? The key to answering these questions lies in understanding how urgent the climate threat is.
The main indicator of how long we have to address climate change is the state of the Arctic icecap, which covers Earth's northern ocean. The entire weather system of the northern hemisphere depends on the temperature gradient between it and the equator, so if the North Pole warms up, the winds, monsoons, rains, temperatures and seasons will shift in dramatic ways. And of course, the southern hemisphere's weather system will be affected as well.
By the mid-1970s, the Arctic icecap began melting away at the rate of 8 per cent a decade. This rate of melting persisted almost unchanged until 2004, by which time about one-quarter of the icecap had melted, revealing the dark ocean underneath.
During the summer, the sun falls for 24 hours a day on the Arctic icecap, delivering a huge amount of energy. But ice is bright, and before its melting the Arctic icecap reflected 90 per cent of the sun's energy back into space, keeping the planet cool. But as the ice has melted, more of the sun has fallen on the ocean, and it absorbs 90 per cent of the sun's energy, turning it into heat.
By last year, so much of the sunlight was being captured by the ocean and turned into heat energy that a dramatic change occurred: the ocean stayed so warm that the winter ice did not form properly, and the following summer about 300,000 square kilometres of ice melted. The same thing happened this year, so now huge areas of ocean are exposed where just a few short years ago there was ice.
Before 2004, the rate of melt was such that scientists believed the icecap would melt entirely by about 2100. At the trajectory set by the new rate of melt, however, there will be no Arctic icecap in the next five to 15 years. And with no ice, the Arctic region will rapidly begin heating, perhaps by as much as 12 degrees.
This change will put further pressure on the Greenland icecap, which is already melting at the stupendous rate of 235 cubic kilometres a year. If it succumbs to the heat, the ocean will rise by six metres, and icecaps in the Antarctic may destabilise.
James Hanson, director of NASA's Goddard Institute, is arguably the world authority on climate change. He predicts that we have just a decade to avert a 25-metre rise of the sea. Picture an eight-storey building by a beach, then imagine waves lapping its roof. That's what a 25-metre rise in sea level looks like.
Whatever you think of such predictions, the rate of melt of the Arctic icecap is indisputable and deeply troubling. It should convince everyone that climate change is by far the most urgent threat facing humanity. It also tells us that the long recalcitrance of the Howard Government in respect to climate change has already cost us dearly, and that we must now make great changes in just a few short years. Had we begun a decade earlier, our actions would have been far more effective and less disruptive.
As we judge the Howard Government's climate change policies, we must keep several things in mind. One is the potentially great cost of not ratifying Kyoto. Phase 2 of the treaty begins in 2012, and already the parties are debating who shall accept what restrictions on carbon dioxide emissions. Both China and India must take on meaningful restrictions if our civilisation is to survive this crisis, but with Australia and the United States outside the treaty, they have the perfect excuse to decline: why should they accept such binding restrictions when the richest nations of Earth refuse to do so?
A second thing to watch is Australia's total emissions. Before we rejected Kyoto, Australia was given a target that allowed for a substantial increase in emissions. When the Howard Government talks of meeting its Kyoto target, this is what it's referring to. Sticking with such a lax target is disastrous, and government-funded projects such as the recently announced solar farm and more efficient burning of brown coal cannot achieve a significant reduction in carbon dioxide pollution.
So far the Howard Government's approach has been to hand out hard-earned taxpayers' money — some of it to big corporations — and proclaim that it's doing something. With a world facing as grave a threat as it faced in 1938, John Howard is quickly becoming the Chamberlain of the chequebook, while a climate-change Churchill is nowhere to be seen in Australian politics.
What must the Howard Government do if it is to effectively protect Australians from the looming climate disaster?
First it must inform Australians of the gravity of the situation, then lay out an ambitious plan for emissions reduction that includes public participation. Immediate reductions are required, and these can be had through efficiency gains. In addition, a long-term target of an 80 per cent emissions reduction by 2050 should be set. If we are to achieve that we must use the power of the market. A carbon tax and carbon trading scheme are absolutely indispensable tools to achieve such targets. And of course we must ratify Kyoto immediately.
My sense of the matter is that none of this will happen.
Instead, the Howard Government will do the bare minimum required to appease public opinion, for it appears to have no one able and willing to absorb the scientific evidence, and to champion a more resolute response through the cabinet.
I sincerely hope I'm wrong, because this Government and the one that follows it may well be the last in Australian history to have the chance to avert a climate disaster.
Tim Flannery is an environmental scientist.

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A huge wind farm and a dire warning
Sasha Shtargot, James Button and Liz Minchin
October 28, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2006/10/27/1161749315223.html
A $600 million wind farm generating enough electricity to power almost 190,000 homes will be built in western Victoria.
Planning Minister Rob Hulls said yesterday the wind farm, the biggest in the southern hemisphere, would be built on 5500 hectares of farmland at Macarthur, near Port Fairy.
...
The 183-turbine Macarthur project, will be operated by AGL.
Premier Steve Bracks yesterday cast the state election as presenting voters with a clear choice: "whether they want a cleaner environment in the future, with less greenhouse gases and tackling climate change, or whether they don't."
Mr Bracks said the wind farm would be lost to Victoria if the Government's 10 per cent renewable energy scheme was abandoned. The Opposition has pledged to end the scheme.
But former Liberal leader Denis Napthine, MLA for South-West Coast and a supporter of the project, said abolition of the scheme would not affect the wind farm's viability.
The Macarthur wind farm is the ninth to get the go-ahead in Victoria. A planning panel recommended approval after it received 1295 submissions, of which 1148 were in favour. David O'Brien, the Nationals candidate for South-West Coast, also supported it.
Annie Gardner, a Macarthur sheep farmer, said the turbines would devalue her property by 40 per cent and decimate local brolga numbers.

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Hazy dawn on a greenhouse fix
Herald Sun
October 26, 2006 12:00am
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20646612-5006880,00.html
RIC Brazzale writes: encouraging that the Federal Government is taking action on climate change.
The announcement yesterday of the first allocation of its Low Emissions Technology Demonstration Fund -- $75 million for a 154 megawatt solar station near Mildura and $50 million for the Hazelwood coal power plant to experiment with making coal cleaner -- is welcome recognition that climate change is a problem.
But it falls short of what is needed most. That's a robust, strategic government policy that will make deep cuts to dangerous greenhouse gas emissions now, and develop a vibrant renewable and clean energy industry.
What that means in practice is putting a price on carbon pollution with a carbon tax or carbon emissions trading.
It also entails raising the national Mandatory Renewable Energy Target from its paltry 2 per cent of electricity to come from new clean renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power.
China has a 15 per cent renewables target, yet it has fewer renewable energy choices and less expertise than Australia.
Californian Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger is the Carbon Terminator and leads a thriving economy; he has demanded a cut in carbon emissions of 25 per cent by 2020.
These market-based incentives -- a carbon price "signal' and a useful renewable energy target -- are sensible, sustainable and affordable ways to usher in the genuinely clean, green power that we already have pouring from the sun, roaring in the wind and simmering in rocks under central Australia.
The clean energy industry wants these measures.
Increasingly, many big businesses are clamoring for them too.
Even if climate change weren't a concern, the security of our electricity is.
A huge $24 billion has already been committed to our electricity infrastructure, which is cracking under the pressure of our soaring peak energy demand.
This is where solar panels in particular are good for providing zero-emission peak energy.
On hot summer afternoons, when the air-conditioner is on full blast, solar panels on the roof can pour clean power into your home.
But the clean energy industry has never called for coal to be completely replaced by any single "green energy" source.
Rather, it advocates a gradual build-up of a new clean-energy mix of renewable and low-emission energies; solar, wind, geothermal (hot rocks), bioenergy and natural gas.
AGL, one of Australia's major energy companies, undertook a study with Frontier Economics that found Australia could reduce its greenhouse emissions from electricity by 30 per cent by 2030 at a high-end cost of $2 a person a week.
Would it wreck the economy? Hardly.
The energy choices we make now, especially electricity, are crucial to whether humans manage to slow global warming. Electricity is the largest and fastest growing generator of greenhouse emissions in Australia.
Yet, and this is the good news, it makes up less than 3 per cent of most industry sectors' material costs, and Australian households spend more on grog than they do on electricity.
It means switching to cleaner energy reaps big greenhouse benefits but costs comparatively little.
It's easy to get lost in despair over global warming.
But when you break it down and start putting the issue in context you realise that this is a problem for which we do have the answers.
Their names are solar power, bioenergy, wind power, cogeneration, energy efficiency, hydroelectricity and natural gas.
They have been around for many years and are excellent at cutting greenhouse gas emissions today.
But the longer we wait the less time we have, and the bigger the mess we will have to deal with.
RIC BRAZZALE is the Executive Director of the Australian Business Council for Sustainable Energy

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Backing a long shot
Punting millions on the world's biggest solar power plant guarantees an environmental windfall for a government that has been slow to act on climate change, writes Matthew Warren
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20645117-30417,00.html
October 26, 2006

Follow the sun: Solar Systems plans to locate a solar plant near Mildura in northwestern Victoria that will be similar to, but larger than, this one in the US
IT'S spring carnival racing time and the Howard Government has gone to Victoria to back what it hopes will be a sure thing. Yesterday it dropped $75 million on what will be the world's biggest solar power station as its first big punt on a range of new low greenhouse emission technologies in the coming weeks.
It's been more than two years since it announced the formation of its Low Emissions Technology Development Fund. The realisation of pulling together more than 30 starters and a forensic review of the form by a panel of eminent and expert Australians couldn't have come at a better time for a government seriously needing to back a political winner in the climate change stakes.
Howard's first wager certainly looks handy: a remarkable and innovative Australian solar technology that has enough wow-factor to make Australians simultaneously proud and impressed, with its fancy talk of using space technology, Boeing and even the US Department of Energy. It's enough to cast doubt into the minds of even hardened rationalists with its potential for delivering affordable and clean electricity in the future. It might even work.
Solar Systems managing director Dave Holland got the nod for his innovative approach to solar energy and a $420 million power station using hi-tech mirrors called heliostats which will pump sunlight on to super solar cells on the top of a 40m tower. The project has also received a $50million grant from the Victorian Government's Energy Technology Innovations Fund. In the spring, it seems, everyone loves a winner.
"If Holland can get his costs down to $50 per megawatt hour, he is right in the play," says Brad Page, chief executive of the Energy Supply Association of Australia. "This is quite an unusual approach. Where he has got some advantages is the volume of sunlight he is concentrating and capturing, and, second, the quality of the photovoltaics (converting light to energy) he is using. I think it's in the space where you have got to start feeling a bit more positive about some of these new approaches to solar that just aren't about stacking solar cells on your roof."
The global industrial economy has, naturally, been built on access to affordable energy. The relatively uncomplicated but effective, strategy has been to find resources on earth that are densely packed with energy and burn them: first on their own, then in engines and power stations. Wood, then coal and then gas. The processes of extracting the energy have become more refined, but the logic is still pretty much intact.
That was until the threat of climate change. The allure of renewable sources such as wind and solar has been self-evident: they are abundant, clean and free once the relatively expensive plant to capture them is built.
But the big problems have been twofold: they come and go as days pass to night and winds become calm. And they're also frustratingly un-dense.
Research and development on solar thermal power generation has been going on in Australia and overseas for at least 30 years. Conversion of the concept to commercial use has been run down by the low cost of coal and gas power and even, more recently, by wind power.
The diffuse nature of solar has meant that conventional photovoltaic systems, which transform parts of the spectrum of light rays directly into electrical energy, need too much to generate too little power. Their electricity costs about 10 times the power from fossil fuels and their applications are limited to specific remote applications.
The other problem with these cells is they cannot cope with high temperatures. Some solar technologies have looked to magnifying and collecting the sun's energy to generate high temperatures, which can then be used to run more conventional steam turbines. These solar thermal technologies are cheaper and more promising.
Solar Systems thinks it has gone one better. It has developed breakthrough photovoltaic cells that can withstand temperatures that would melt steel while delivering a wider band of the sun's light directly into electricity, claiming about 35 per cent transformation efficiency. "Like most good technology, it's a very powerful combination of smart engineering and simple concepts," Holland says.
The company will build its 154 megawatt power station in about six large areas covering 600ha to 800ha in yet to be determined sites across the Mildura region, chosen for its relatively high levels of sunshine and suitable topography for broad-acre solar farming.
The first power will come on stream in 2008, with the station fully operational by 2013. While coy about the start-up price, Holland expects to find renewable and boutique markets for all the electricity generated by the plant.
"The objective of this project is to bring the capital costs down to the point (where) you can produce power stations rolling on from this at a capital cost that can compete in the market," he says, "but this project has been put together on the basis that the power from it can be sold for the life of the project.
"Some people will pay a premium to buy electricity that they can market the fact that they are using." In other words, pay more for green power.
While his immediate concerns lie in ensuring a return on the nearly $300 million of private investment in the technology, the public purse has been opened for much longer-term goals. That is, can this or any of the other technologies being funded by the Howard Government under its LETDF make the big jump on the cost curve from development to application and become real players in an affordable low-emissions solution to climate change?
Solar Systems is betting it can get its costs down to about $50 a megawatt hour by 2025 or so, which is extremely ambitious by industry standards and not that much higher than the longer-term estimate for the latest technology in coal-fired power. A tough but not unrealistic price on carbon could conceivably close the gap.
But despite the excitement surrounding Solar Systems' windfall, 2025 is still a long way off and there are still a number of ifs. Aside from cost, the other big challenge for this and any other advanced solar technologies is night time.
But Holland is a realist. He sees his electricity as similar to that from a peaking power plant, which takes advantage of higher demand and prices into daytime markets when peak demand and prices are higher.
That suits his business case but does not fulfil the dream of Opposition Leader Kim Beazley and others who see a solar-base future for Australia replacing the tranche of reliable but ageing coal-fired power stations that supply about 75 per cent of Australia's electricity and all of its base-load supply.
Until technology can be found to cheaply and efficiently store the clean energy from Holland's power stations for use at night, or at least pick up the slack as the sun sets over Mildura, then even solar technology as clever as this is still a fringe player.
But these rational concerns are unlikely to dampen Howard's appetite for further subsidies for potentially green technologies. Not only do they add urgently needed environmental cachet to a government that has been slow to move on climate change, but as ACIL Tasman energy economist Mike Hitchens points out, they are possibly Australia's best way out of its energy catch 22.
He says while putting a price on carbon is a well-established way of driving business to invest and find low-cost, low-emission energy solutions, it would require either a genuinely global price on carbon or such a high domestic price that the ability to deliver solutions in 25 years may be significantly hampered by the impact such an energy spike would have on the economy.
"So in this scheme of public good arguments, this (scheme) is a good one," Hitchens says. "We know there is a market failure, we don't think we have the technologies we need to correct the market failure, and because there is no market there is not going to be private investment until we can create a market some time in the future."
Acting professor Tony Owen from the University of NSW's Centre for Energy and Environmental Markets agrees with the philosophy of investing in infant industries such as Solar Systems, but cautions that these are still relatively risky investments in new technology which will not continue to proceed without being able to benefit in some way from a carbon market.
"If you subsidise these sorts of immature technologies to the stage where they perhaps get economies of scale in production and their development costs are stabilised, and everyone has learned what they have to learn by doing (this), then that's quite acceptable," Owen says.
"Where I have a problem is that they might even still be financially non-viable then.
"And that largely could be due to the fact that there is no carbon price in the competing industries."
Matthew Warren is The Australian's environment writer.

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PM turns up heat on solar power
Joseph Kerr and Dennis Shanahan
October 25, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20640740-601,00.html
A PROPOSED $400 million solar plant that could deliver 154 megawatts of power will be the cornerstone of the Howard Government's fight against climate change.
In a political shift that steals an approach trumpeted by federal Labor, the federal and Victorian governments will contribute $125 million towards the plant, to be built in northern Victoria using technology developed by Melbourne firm Solar Systems.
The announcement today, part of a $230 million package, is the first in a series that will see an eventual $2 billion invested in new technology aimed at cutting greenhouse emissions.
A coal-drying project in the Latrobe Valley is also expected to be announced today, to help burn Victoria's large brown coal deposits more cleanly than current technology allows. Other projects include seed funding for developing affordable ways of pumping carbon gases from coal-fired power stations underground or diverting carbon dioxide from coal before it is used to generate electricity.
The federal Government hopes its spending will encourage up to $10 billion in greenhouse-friendly electricity projects.
The funding is also going towards developing solar and wind technologies as part of a mix between fossil fuel power and renewable energy sources.
Treasurer Peter Costello, who will announce the funding today with Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane, has kept alive the prospect of domestic nuclear power, predicting that a plant will be built in Australia as soon as it becomes economically viable, perhaps within 10 years.
Mr Costello said the Government should not legislate to stop companies investing in nuclear energy apart from on safety and environmental grounds. "I don't think we should legislatively stop it," he said yesterday.
"I think we should legislatively say, provided you meet all of the requirements in relation to safety and export controls and all those sorts of things, environmental consideration, that there is no legislative bar and then I would let the market work. And the day it becomes commercial someone will build it."
The Howard Government's announcements come before the release next week of a British review, which will radically change the attitude to the economic effect of climate change with long-term predictions of economic costs if it's not addressed quickly.
Before heading to Fiji for the Pacific Islands Forum, where climate change and rising sea levels are major concerns, John Howard said climate change had to be addressed.
The Prime Minister said there was no single answer, but Australia's role as an energy producer for the world meant it should look at technological ways to cut greenhouse emissions from coal-fired power.
Instead of simply converting direct sunlight that hits expensive photovoltaic cells to electricity, the Solar Systems technology works by concentrating the sun's rays with cheap glass and steel on to highly efficient photovoltaic units. The Melbourne-based company has been focusing its efforts on drawing ever greater efficiencies from photovoltaic cells, as well as improving its mirror technology. It has invested more than $40 million in developing its technologies.
Such a solar power station would be one of the biggest in the world, but would produce only a quarter of the power of a small coal-fired station.
The funding comes from various federal Government commitments, including promises under the Asia-Pacific Clean Development agreement - struck by the AP-6, which includes India, China and the US - of $500million, state governments and the coal industry's own $300million.
A spokesman for Victorian Energy Minister Theo Theophanous said the state was "likely to attract more significant renewable energy projects thanks to our renewable energy targets, which will cut 27 million tonnes of greenhouse gas emissions".
More announcements are expected in Queensland - where Premier Peter Beattie has pledged his own funding to develop clean coal technology - and one other state.
Mr Beattie recently said he wanted a clean coal process developed before he committed Queensland, a large coal producing state, to a proposed states-backed emissions trading system that would push up the cost of electricity and impose costs on carbon emissions.
Mr Howard on Monday said the Government was about to reveal funding "for exciting new technologies, including those designed to ensure that the use of our abundant fossil fuel reserves will in the future occur in a cleaner, greener fashion, thus reducing the process of climate change".

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Boss queries climate change action
Andrew Trounson and Joseph Kerr
October 26, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20646447-2702,00.html
AT least one member of the expert panel helping to direct hundreds of millions of government money into new low-emission technologies is unsure how effective they will be in fighting climate change.
As the Government yesterday began dishing out money from its $500 million Low Emissions Technology Demonstration Fund, business leader John Ralph warned it was possible little could be done to halt climate change because it might not be the result of human activity.
"We have to be careful that (efforts to cut emissions) don't lead to a situation where people expect there will be large changes by what we do," the former boss of mining giant CRA told The Australian yesterday.
Mr Ralph said that while he backed moves to try to "ameliorate" the effects of climate change by reducing emissions, it was possible climate change might be occurring naturally, rather than being primarily driven by human activities.
"I don't doubt the climate is changing, but I don't know human activity is the primary cause of it," Mr Ralph said.
His stance was immediately welcomed by Finance Minister Nick Minchin, who strongly endorsed Mr Ralph for making his views public, suggesting the extent of atmospheric damage done by humans was an open question.
"It's good that people of John Ralph's standing and character are prepared to contribute to the public debate about the extent, if any, to which human activity has contributed to climate change," Senator Minchin said.
Mr Ralph notes that given Australia generates less than 1.5per cent of world greenhouse gas emissions, there is a limit to what Australia can do in isolation.
"It (cutting greenhouse gas emissions) will do good at the margin, but expectations might be greater than the capacity to deliver," he warned.
However, Peter Costello said he accepted the scientific view on global warming that saw human activity as the prime culprit.
"I accept the scientific evidence, which is that global warming is taking place, that it is caused by carbon emissions, that restraining the increase in carbon emissions will counteract that process of global warming, and that we should play our part," the Treasurer said.
But while backing the need to cut emissions, Mr Costello warned that without the participation of growth nations such as China and India, little would be achieved. "You could close all of Australia's power stations today, and China would open up the equivalent in one year and then they would do double the equivalent in two years and triple in three years," he said.
Mr Ralph said panel members, including former Telstra boss Ziggy Switkowski and former National Australia Bank chief Nobby Clark, had to go through "crates" of documents assessing reports on the various technologies from consultants.
At the time the fund was announced in 2004, there were fears among green groups and the renewable energy sector that it would favour fossil fuel projects, such as technologies to clean up coal emissions.
But Mr Ralph said the panel had been careful to assess projects on their merits, rather than supporting different industries.
"The panel was interested in what was best for Australia, not picking one industry over another," Mr Ralph said yesterday.
Nevertheless, coal has been one of the first beneficiaries. Of the two projects that won funding yesterday, one was a $360 million pilot plan to reduce brown coal emissions from the Hazelwood power station in Victoria, which provides up to 25 per cent of the state's power.
The federal Government has put $50 million into the project, which aims to dry the coal before burning it and then capture the emissions by absorbing the carbon dioxide in a solvent.
The Government also put $75million towards building a $420 million solar power station in northwest Victoria.

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Targets 'crucial' to solar project
Joseph Kerr and Andrew Trounson
October 26, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20646443-2702,00.html
THE Victorian company awarded a massive commonwealth grant to set up the biggest solar energy power plant in the world has praised a state scheme as vital to the project.
Peter Costello yesterday awarded Solar Systems $75 million, with Victoria contributing $50 million, to set up the facility from 2008 as part of the Howard Government's move to fight global warming and climate change.
But while the federal Treasurer provided the lion's share of government funding, the company cited Victoria's mandatory renewable energy scheme as crucial to the project's viability.
Victoria has set a target of 10per cent of all electricity being provided by renewable sources by 2010, giving a clear advantage to renewable energy providers setting up in the state, compared with other parts of Australia.
Solar Systems managing director Dave Holland said the Victorian renewable energy target was "a key ingredient in the economics of the project", which will provide the equivalent of 154MW of power to the state grid.
There was strong support for the $420 million project yesterday, as well as for a $360 million coal-drying and carbon-capture project in Victoria.
John Howard stressed solar power was not the whole answer. "Solar power will never be able to provide base-load power ... in the way that, say, coal and, I believe in the long run, nuclear power can," the Prime Minister said.
"But it's part of the response."
Opposition Leader Kim Beazley dismissed the package as "quite a small one" even though it was "worthy", accusing Mr Howard of simply putting out "bits and pieces of technology" while secretly wanting to turn to nuclear power. "John Howard's lips say solar but his eyes say nuclear," he said.
A further project based in Queensland is expected to be announced on Monday, possibly using clean-coal technology.
NSW Premier Morris Iemma insisted his state was leading the way in providing incentives for alternative power sources, even though Victoria has been the focus of the two projects announced so far and NSW is not expected to win any commonwealth funding.
The long-awaited rollout of the federal Government's $500 million low-emission fund drew criticism from the renewable industry yesterday for not doing enough to encourage the take-up of low-emission technologies.
The Business Council for Sustainable Energy said proven low-emission technologies were already in place, such as wind, biomass and solar, but needed a carbon price signal to make them viable against cheap coal and encourage their development.

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Eco companies to quit NSW
Catharine Munro
October 22, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/eco-companies-to-quit-nsw/2006/10/21/1160851182456.html
(From Sun-Herald.)
NSW risks losing $9 billion in energy investment if it fails to make a quarter of the state's electricity green by 2020, says a report to be released today.
High-tech companies have confirmed they will abandon projects combating climate change and go overseas if Premier Morris Iemma does not do more to help.
With a national scheme about to expire, the companies want new state laws to force electricity retailers to buy energy that is generated using solar power, wind or waste instead of fossil fuels, which are blamed for climate change.
NSW would be halfway towards meeting a 25 per cent renewable energy target if 19 proposed projects, worth $3.1 billion, were developed, the report, co-written by Greenpeace, the Total Environment Centre and the Nature Conservation Council, said.
One proposed project, a solar power development near Moree in the state's north-west, could generate enough power to light up a town the size of the state's largest inland city, Wagga Wagga. Managing director of Solar, Heat and Power, Peter Le Lievre, who is planning the Moree development, said government schemes in Europe and the US were far more profitable.
"If there's nothing coming from NSW we will go overseas," he said. "We are up and out of here.
"It's a pity because we got our start in Australia but we have to pay our bills and make money."
The company has one pilot scheme running. It feeds electricity, generated by solar power, into the grid at the Liddell plant near Singleton in the Hunter Valley.
As the March state election approaches, the issue of alternative energy is shaping up to challenge the Labor Government's green credentials.
The results of polling by independent think tank the Lowy Institute show voters see climate change as a serious concern.
Even China appears to be doing more to find alternatives to fossil fuels, by demanding that 15 per cent of its energy must come from renewable sources by 2015.
Australia was the first country to introduce targets for renewable energy, but the Federal Government has not maintained the targets, leaving no incentives for new companies to look for ways of creating electricity out of alternatives to fossil fuels. Victoria and South Australia have already decided to set their own targets.
"NSW has one of the worst regimes in place for ensuring renewable energy," said Greenpeace's green energy campaigner Mark Wakeham.
"The proof is that since 2001 only two wind turbines have been introduced in NSW and there have been 215 in South Australia."
Meanwhile, a 1 per cent increase in temperatures in Australia would make the drought in NSW increase by 70 per cent, the report says.

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Green power gets the vote
25/9/06
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/bid-for-sport-whistle-for-the-rest-unis-told/2006/09/25/1159036472176.html?page=2
UNIVERSITY of Sydney students have "overwhelmingly" voted for their
administration to adopt renewable energy, in their first referendum in
27 years.
Students were asked last week whether the university should reduce its
energy use, whether it should purchase 20 per cent green power, and
whether the university should declare any partnerships with nuclear or
fossil fuel industries.
"They're still finalising [the count], but the vote is an overwhelming
'yes' for the university to reduce greenhouse gas emissions," said
Wenny Theresia of the Student Representative Council's environment
collective.
It was the university's first referendum since Tony Abbott and Tanya
Coleman, Peter Costello's future wife, urged students to abolish
compulsory unionism in 1979.
The student council has estimated it would cost the university
$125,000 a year to buy 20 per cent of its energy from a provider
approved by Green Power, the Federal Government's accreditation
program.
But the university's vice-chancellor, Gavin Brown, said money would be
better invested in renewable energy research, to which the university
would give $1 million in March.
The students' push is part of a general campus movement towards
renewable energy.

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CLIMATE CHANGE AND NUCLEAR POWER

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The truth? 'Nuclear is not the answer'
Leon Gettler
November 17, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2006/11/16/1163266712885.html?from=top5
NUCLEAR energy is not the panacea for tackling global warming, says one of the world's most celebrated climate change campaigners, former US vice-president Al Gore.
Mr Gore also shrugged off Prime Minister John Howard's recent claim that his film An Inconvenient Truth showed "a degree of the peeved politician".
"It may be one of those elements that's in the eyes of the beholder," he told The Age yesterday.#
Mr Gore said nuclear power was unlikely to play a significantly bigger role in the climate change battle. "Even if you set aside the problem of long-term waste storage and the danger of operator accident and the vulnerability to terrorist attack, you still have two others that are more difficult," he said.
The first problem was one of economics.
"Nuclear power plants are the costliest to build and they take the longest time and at present they come in only one size — extra large."
The second was nuclear weapons proliferation. "For eight years when I was in the White House, every problem of weapons proliferation was connected to a reactor program," he said.
The Prime Minister has recently talked up the prospects of nuclear power plants being built in Australia, arguing the country could not afford to "sacrifice rational discussion on the altar of anti-nuclear theology and political opportunism".
Next week an inquiry into nuclear power headed by former Telstra chief executive Ziggy Switkowski is due to deliver its findings.
Mr Gore said it was extremely important that Mr Howard had now acknowledged the damage from carbon dioxide emissions.
"Let me say I want to be respectful of the Prime Minister's change in rhetoric.
"It's not easy to do something like that and … this position might be a way station for him on the real road to Damascus where he actually joins the world community," he said.
"And he may. I don't know, I can't look into his heart."
Mr Gore said that Australia and the US should sign the Kyoto Protocol but he acknowledged that this presented Mr Howard and US President George Bush with big political problems given that they had previously "demonised" it.
Of Australia's promotion of a new global climate change pact he said: "Obviously neither Australia nor the United States can write its own little treaty and be separate from the rest of the world."
But there was, he said, a third path: "To join the world discussion now in Nairobi on how to strengthen Kyoto and how to make whatever changes Prime Minister Howard wants to advocate and join the rest of the world community. That's the test."
Mr Gore, now chairman of investment firm Generation Investment Management, yesterday met with Premier Steve Bracks and his deputy John Thwaites. He described Victoria as forward thinking on climate change and said he would take a number of local initiatives back to the United States.
He was particularly impressed with the Bracks Government's "black balloons" advertising campaign, which links household energy usage with the amount of carbon dioxide it releases into the air.
"I'm going to take that ad back and show it to some folks there, maybe put it on YouTube," he said.

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Nuclear is not the answer to warming
By Jim Douglas
Canberra Times
Tuesday, 24 October 2006
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your%20say&subclass=general&story_id=524866&category=Opinion&m=10&y=2006
JUST a few weeks ago, the Prime Minister was batting away questions about climate change with responses suggesting that he would need to read the science on this subject, and so on. Now it appears the subject has become significantly more interesting to the Government. The Foreign Affairs Minister, Alexander Downer, has apparently had a damascene moment on this subject on an unseasonably hot day at the Port Elliott Show, and has let it be known that he now recognises the need to act on this matter.

What has produced this apparent change in attitude? Perhaps the Prime Minster is an absolute whiz at speed-reading, and has gotten through all those scientific documents on climate change to come up with an informed view. Or perhaps it is that some recent polling data indicate that most Australians are seriously worried about this issue, and want something done about it.

We need to consider this question of motive, because if it remains a superficial political response, then we can expect measures which are partial, partisan and ineffective. Two pieces of evidence suggest that at present it is going this way. First, the Prime Minister, and the Minister for Industry have recently abandoned their cautious approach to nuclear energy: remember that when the Prime Minister formed the panel of inquiry into nuclear energy, he advised all and sundry to wait on the results of this process before forming a view. Now, with the inquiry ongoing, Mr Howard and Mr MacFarlane have suddenly begun to boost the virtues of the nuclear option as the answer to climate change. Unfortunately for the Prime Minister, he chose to launch this campaign just as the head of that inquiry, Ziggy Switkowski, has done his own little bit of premature evaluation by announcing that compared to the coal option for energy in Australia, nuclear energy is not economically viable. This is hardly a revelation. It is blindingly obvious to anyone who has a fleeting knowledge of the energy sector that virtually no alternative source of energy can compete with coal in Australia - at least, while coal-fired energy plants are not required either to do anything about global warming themselves, or to pay for someone else to do so. We did not need Dr Switkowski to tell us this, and neither did the Prime Minster.

In reality, it hardly matters who wins the nuclear debate. By the time the dust has settled, and sufficient new plants have been built and brought on line, if we have not in the meantime taken other significant measures to abate climate change, then we will have lost another two decades. In a previous article on climate change in this newspaper, I argued that if continued inactivity on this issue increases the risks of potentially catastrophic events occurring in some time-frame relevant to our own lives and those of our children and grandchildren (and most informed analysts of climate change would say that, without significant abatement starting now, this is the likely outcome), then inactivity or business-as-usual is the wrong approach,.

The second reason to doubt the Government's commitment to this issue is that the Prime Minster, and his economic ministers, Mr Costello and Senator Minchin, continue to rule out carbon taxes, and the associated options of emissions trading that could form around these - even though this is the only immediate route to lowering emissions that we have available. This is really the crux of the question of what to do about climate change in Australia. We now know that there are costs associated with emission of greenhouse gases, even if we cannot yet specify exactly what they are. For example, the more coal-fired energy plants are required to pay for their greenhouse gas emissions (which presently they are allowed to do for nothing), the less competitive they will become with the alternative forms of energy, which have lower (or zero) emissions. Importantly, however, this does not necessarily mean the coal-based energy plants could not compete at all: they could improve their technology to reduce emissions (or sequestrate those emissions in a form that prevents their release into the atmosphere), and they could make offset investments by financing activities that actually reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Some of these sorts of investments (for example, avoided deforestation and plantation forestry) may actually be profitable activities in their own right, and end up costing the companies making the offset investments relatively little.

However, these things will not happen voluntarily or spontaneously, even if the Government attempts to subsidise such solutions into existence. They will require introduction of policies requiring emission of greenhouse gases to be priced: a carbon tax system (but with the important addition of rebates for greenhouse-gas reduction activities); or a greenhouse gas licensing system which would issue permits for emission, which industries that succeed in lowering their emissions below permitted levels could sell, and those that exceed their emission permit level would have to buy.

The Prime Minister might not welcome the fact that a defence of sorts of this position comes from none other than Karl Marx, who observed in his essay A Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy that "Mankind thus inevitably sets itself only such tasks as it is able to solve, since closer examination will always show that the problem itself arises only when the material conditions for its solution are already present or at least in the course of formation".

If this Government, or any other that might replace it in Australia, wants to set in formation realistic solutions to this particular problem, then it needs to do two things. First, it must develop meaningful carbon emission targets for all heavy-emission activities in Australia, via taxes or permits, and then establish a trading system that will allow those industries and technologies which prove themselves best at reducing emissions to be rewarded, and those who perform badly to be penalised. Australians have already indicated, in polling data and otherwise, that they are willing to pay more for energy, and this should be seen as a gift for any government that really wishes to lead effectively on this issue. Second, it needs to sponsor the sort of research and policy work that can answer important questions about the best options to pursue to maximise our greenhouse reductions (and minimise the costs to ourselves of doing so). There are difficult and complex choices to be made here: how much effort should be expended on amelioration of drought and land degradation effects, compared to improving climate change abatement approaches? What sort of policies will work in this new environment? Integration of economic modelling work with the results of scientific and technical innovation into a properly thought-out national strategy for greenhouse gas reduction is the way to approach these issues and questions. This process will certainly not be assisted through boosting silver-bullet solutions such as nuclear energy, nor through a flurry of indiscriminate support for anything which looks like an abatement activity.

Jim Douglas worked on climate change and natural resource issues when employed as Forests Adviser to the World Bank in Washington, and continues to do so in his position as a Visiting Fellow in the School of Resources, Environment and Society at the Australian National University.

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MARALINGA

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http://www.aph.gov.au/Senate/committee/fadt_ctte/nuclear_tests_bills_06/index.htm

Inquiry into the provisions of the Australian Participants in British Nuclear Tests (Treatment) Bill 2006; and, the Australian Participants in British Nuclear Tests (Treatment) (Consequential Amendments and Transitional Provisions) Bill 2006
Submissions received
Public hearing and transcript
Report

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Media release –  27th September 2006

'One tree' planted in Alice Springs to commemorate 50 years since the first atomic test at Maralinga.

Fifty years ago today, the first of seven atomic bombs was detonated at Maralinga in South Australia. The bomb, code-named 'one tree' by the Australian and British Governments who conducted the tests, lead to widespread sickness and deaths from the fallout, which was spread heavily across Central Australia.

To commemorate the first atomic test at Maralinga in 1956, one tree will be planted by Alice Springs community members, on the Uniting church lawns in the Todd Mall today at 11am.

"This tree is being planted to recognise and remember the thousands of people who were affected by the nuclear weapons tests at Maralinga, whether by death, sickness or the destruction of country and a way of life. These things can never be replaced and can never be forgotten," said Betty Pearce from Lhere Artepe; a Native Title holder of the Alice Springs area.

Very little warning was given to Aboriginal people in the region, who consequently suffered significant radiation exposure from the blasts. Australian and British military personnel were also deliberately exposed, to test the effects of radiation on humans, clothing and equipment. People were forced to move from their country, which is still highly contaminated and uninhabitable today.

It was only in 2002 that the clean up of the Maralinga site was finally declared successful, though it was widely considered by many in the nuclear industry to be grossly inadequate.

"There are only two end products of the nuclear cycle; nuclear weapons or nuclear waste," said Jayne Alexander from Alice Action, a local social justice and environment group. "We have seen the results of weapons contamination here in Central Australia, let's not wait around to find out what happens with the waste as well."

"This is a timely reminder to the rest of the country that Central Australia is not just 'the middle of nowhere', a place suitable for nuclear testing or radioactive waste, but a lived in, unique environment that has cultures and ecosystems with significant meanings for both Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal Australians." added Reverend Tracy Spencer from the Uniting Church.

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Tests held in undue haste, claims MP
The Advertiser
14/10/06
Colin James    
FEDERAL Parliament has heard a detailed account of why British nuclear
test veterans believe they have been poorly treated for 50 years by
successive Australian governments.
"They argue the testing of atomic test weapons was hazardous and
exposed individuals to ionising radiation and toxic chemicals and other
risks beyond normal peacetime duties, causing high levels of disease and
death among participants,'' Opposition veteran affairs spokesman Allan
Griffin told the House of Representatives.
"The tests were conducted in undue haste with immature technology,
inadequate understanding of the science and poor planning and
management.
"They were conducted with inadequate safety provisions in place and
insufficient knowledge of the risks involved.
"Health physics teams were inexpert and the various test management and
safety committees, including the Australian safety committee, were
ill-informed and negligent.
"Australian members of the armed services were used as guinea pigs in
the tests - that is, they were deliberately exposed to radiation, or at
the very least, those in charge had little regard for their safety,
especially if test outcomes were likely to be jeopardised.
"The nature of the tests, the extent of radiation exposures and the
shortcomings in safety management of the tests have been deliberately
hidden from the Australian public.''

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MARALINGA Veterans still battling for recognition
The Advertiser
SAT 14 OCT 2006
By: COLIN JAMES, LEGAL AFFAIRS EDITOR    
FIFTY years after the first British atomic bomb was tested at Maralinga,
surviving veterans remain immersed in the political fallout it created.
Their latest battle is with scientists who recently published a
comprehensive report dismissing their long-standing claims they were
exposed to excessive levels of radiation during their service in the
South Australian desert during the 1950s and early 1960s.
The report - much of it written by a team of researchers at the
University of Adelaide - blamed other factors such as smoking, skin
cancer and asbestos on the premature deaths of thousands of servicemen
and civilians sent to Maralinga, where hundreds of devices were
detonated in a secret program aimed at developing nuclear weapons for
the British Government.
Nuclear test representatives, who spent seven years working with the
Department of Veterans Affairs on the study, have claimed their views
have not received adequate scientific exploration.
The dispute spilled into Federal Parliament this week, with the Labor
Opposition accusing the Howard Government of ignoring extensive research
accumulated by the veterans on radiation and the medical impact on the
veterans, particularly cancers they developed.
During a debate over legislation introduced by Veteran Affairs Minister
Bruce Billson to grant free cancer treatment to veterans - without any
official acknowledgement of liability - the House of Representatives
heard they have been fighting for decades to have the tests declared
dangerous, which would make them eligible for compensation.
Mr Billson was accused by Labor of "back flipping'' on a promise he
made four years ago to help ensure the veterans received official
recognition. Former ALP leader Simon Crean tabled a letter Mr Billson
wrote to his predecessor, Danna Vale, in August, 2002, saying service at
Maralinga had exposed the veterans to radiation.
"A high proportion of our veterans have experienced conditions
attributed to their exposure to radiation, with many losing their
lives,'' says the letter. "I wholeheartedly support the concept of
graduated benefits to our veterans that takes into account the harm and
hostility to which they have been exposed.''
Among those veterans calling for Mr Billson to stand by his letter is
Peter Webb, who was 21 when he was sent to the top of a small hill to
watch the first nuclear bomb explode at Maralinga at 5pm on September
27, 1956.
Dressed in boots, khaki shorts and a short-sleeved shirt, the Australian
Army private and other soldiers were positioned about 1km away from a
tower containing a 15-kiloton nuclear bomb - 15 times more powerful than
the device detonated 10 days ago by North Korea in a test condemned
across the world.
"The countdown was called and we were ordered to turn our backs to the
tower, shut our eyes and cover them with our hands,'' he said.
"When the bomb was detonated the noise was deafening, there was a vivid
flash, more powerful than a flashlight going off in your face, and you
could see an X-ray of your hands, and there was a scorching sensation on
the skin.
"We were ordered to turn and we saw a dark brown cloud coming up from
the ground with vivid orange flames. For these scientists to say we
weren't exposed to radiation is just absolute nonsense and so typical of
how we have been treated for 50 years.''

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NUCLEAR DUMP PROPOSED FOR THE NT

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Radioactive Waste Act Amendments Fuel Fears of Dodgy Deals on Dump

Environmentalists and Traditional Owners have today expressed disgust at the Commonwealth Government's attempt to rush through legislative changes that would remove the need for procedural fairness and consent of the community, in their attempt to impose a radioactive waste dump on the Northern Territory.

"The original Commonwealth Radioactive Waste Management Bill was bad enough, but these changes have seen John Howard and Julie Bishop stoop to new lows", said Nat Wasley of the Beyond Nuclear Initiative.

With all the whispers about deals being struck between the Northern Land Council and the Commonwealth Government to dump radioactive waste at Muckaty Station, there's a real reason to fear that the passage of these amendments may be designed to expediate this process.

The proposed changes mean that a nomination by a Land Council will no longer require:             
* consultation with the traditional owners
* that the nomination be understood by the traditional owners
* that the traditional owners have consented as a group
* that any community that may be affected has been consulted and had adequate opportunity to express its views

These scandalous and undemocratic additions will also see the removal of the right to appeal on the grounds of procedural fairness.

"Clearly the federal Liberal Government sees procedural fairness as something that could prevent them imposing their radioactive waste on the Territory.  One can only wonder, in light of these changes, what dirty tricks the Commonwealth Government has in mind, to get their way on the nuclear waste dump", said Tim Collins, Coordinator of the Arid Lands Environment Centre.

Given the likely passage of the amendments (no doubt with the ongoing support of "Nuclear" Nigel Scullion) the ball is now squarely in the Northern Land Council's court.  

"The Northern Land Council must publicly declare its intentions in regard to the consultation of the Traditional Owners of Muckaty Station.  If their process is anything but completely transparent, it will raise questions that they have either bowed to bully-boy tactics of the Howard Government, or have been enticed by undisclosed benefits that may have been offered", stated Mr Collins.

"The eyes of the Territory are on Muckaty Station.  Traditional Owners, green groups, the Territory Government and minor parties will be closely monitoring this situation and will not tolerate the dumping of radioactive waste on a community that has so strongly voiced their opposition to the plan." Ms Wasley concluded.

Full details of the proposed amendments http://parlinfoweb.aph.gov.au/piweb/browse.aspx?NodeID=41

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Bill to cut traditional owners out of waste dump consultations
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/bill-to-cut-traditional-owners-out-of-waste-dump-consultations/2006/11/27/1164476139354.html
Annabel Stafford, Canberra
November 28, 2006
Aboriginal elders may no longer have to be consulted before their land is turned into a radioactive waste dump under controversial new legislation set to be passed by Federal Parliament in the next fortnight.
The legislation could clear the way for Aboriginal land to be nominated for use as a radioactive waste repository without the consent of traditional land owners - and without consultation of them or other indigenous people who may be affected.
It will also remove the right to a judicial review or procedural fairness for parties that oppose a particular site being nominated or approved for a dump.
The legislation comes amid speculation that the Northern Land Council is considering a radioactive waste dump at Muckaty Cattle Station in the Northern Territory.
The Labor Party, Aboriginal groups and the environment lobby savaged the Government for giving a parliamentary inquiry just a few hours to investigate the bill. The inquiry was held yesterday evening.
Labor Senator for the NT Trish Crossin said the bill was meant to "block the rights of traditional owners or others from challenging any nomination of Aboriginal land for a dump site". It would "absolve the Government from any responsibility to traditional owners of a site, to ensure that they agree with it becoming a radioactive dump site and losing access to it", she said.
Aboriginal Land Councils in the NT are split over the legislation. The Northern Land Council supports the bill, saying provisions that stop a site selection being overturned - even if the rules about consulting traditional owners have not been followed - are no different from existing arrangements for certain mining leases.
There was "no way" the legislation would allow Land Councils to nominate a waste site without getting the approval of traditional owners, NLC representatives told the parliamentary inquiry. Instead it would simply stop green groups and other parties delaying developments.
But the Central Land Council says the legislation "diminishes the rights of traditional owners, is a gross abuse of process and must be rejected in its entirety".
Nationals senator for the NT Nigel Scullion said he was "absolutely confident" the legislation would not wind back the protections of the Land Rights Act or requirements to consult traditional owners.

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AUSTRALIA AS THE WORLD'S NUCLEAR WASTE DUMP

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(Long, rambling pro-nuclear rant ...)
The big U-turn
Friday, November 17, 2006
http://bulletin.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=161844
The threat of climate change and the fear of rogue states are pushing Australia into the role of the world's champion of safe nuclear power. Paul Toohey reports.

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Excellent articles by Julie Mackin in New Matilda
http://www.newmatilda.com/home/articledetail.asp?ArticleID=1913
http://www.newmatilda.com/home/articledetail.asp?ArticleID=1921
Part 3 is subscribers-only

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Nuclear fuel leasing still 'very much a theory'
Katharine Murphy
October 6, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/nuclear-fuel-leasing-still-very-much-a-theory/2006/10/05/1159641461932.html
THE chairman of the Government's nuclear inquiry has raised questions about the prospects of nuclear fuel leasing.
Ziggy Switkowski told The Age the idea of Australia converting its uranium into fuel rods, exporting them and taking back waste was "very much a theory".
His taskforce had examined nuclear facilities overseas and looked at various ways countries dealt with nuclear waste. "There is little encouragement around the world for gathering up spent fuel rods and storing them away from where they were used," Dr Switkowski said.
But in a radio interview, he appeared to leave the door open for an enrichment industry, saying that "if you project out several decades", increasing demand for nuclear fuel "may provide opportunities for new (enrichment) plants".
Dr Switkowski's taskforce visited a number of international facilities and also went to Chernobyl and Three Mile Island. He said the sites had left a powerful impression, but the technology had now improved to the extent that those sites "no longer represent the modern nuclear industry".
His comments came as the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation argued in a submission to the inquiry that by considering the development of enrichment and reprocessing industries, Australia could "boost its position as an energy superpower".

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ENRICHMENT OF URANIUM FOR AUSTRALIA?

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Plan to export enrinched uranium
Dennis Shanahan and Joseph Kerr
November 21, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20793380-601,00.html
AUSTRALIA could quadruple the value of its uranium exports to $2.4 billion a year by enriching uranium oxide before sending it overseas.
The federal Government's energy inquiry report, to be released today, has found "nuclear power can play a role in Australia's future electricity generation mix" on cost and environmental grounds.
The Government has been advised that the strongly growing global demand for uranium for nuclear power is a significant opportunity for Australia.
The nuclear options inquiry, headed by former Telstra chief Ziggy Switkowski, finds the $573 million worth of uranium oxide exported last year could have been "transformed into a further $1.8 billion in value after conversion, enrichment and fuel fabrication".
But the report warns of "very significant" investment and technology obstacles to the development of uranium enrichment capacity.
Australia is home to more than a third of the world's known low-cost uranium deposits - much of it at BHP Billiton's Olympic Dam mine in outback South Australia - but uranium oxide is sent to countries such as the US and France to be enriched for use in nuclear power plants.
On the question of cost, the report estimates nuclear power would be 20 to 50 per cent more expensive than coal-fired power stations "if pollution, including carbon dioxide emissions, is not priced". However, when the cost of carbon reduction to cut emissions is taken into account, nuclear power becomes competitive with coal energy.
The report finds nuclear power "is the least cost, low-emission technology that can provide baseload power available today and can play a role in Australia's future generation mix".
A discussion paper by the Energy Reform Infrastructure Group says Australia will need to more than double current existing electricity supply by 2050 to meet growing demand.
Ron Oxburgh, chairman of the British House of Lords science and technology committee and former chairman of Shell Oil, said yesterday that nuclear plants were now much cheaper and faster to build and nuclear power could be available within five years.
He said most nuclear power plants operating today were designed before the computer age. "Today, because there is a lot of prefabrication, you can now build one of these things in 4 1/2 years," Lord Oxburgh told ABC radio.
John Howard commissioned the nulear energy review amid a fierce debate on climate change and greenhouse gas emissions. The Prime Minister has argued nuclear power is "clean and green" and being used increasingly overseas to generate electricity, with China expected to rely heavily on it as its economy grows in coming decades.
The Labor Party is opposed to nuclear power in Australia and the creation of a uranium enrichment industry, although it is likely to lift its limits on uranium mining at the ALP national conference next year.
The US has been opposed to the idea of countries such as Australia joining the tight club of countries able to carry out uranium enrichment.
Once developed, the technology can be used to enrich material to the point where it can be used in a nuclear warhead. Some critics view this as a key weapons proliferation risk. But, keen to reduce Australia's heavy reliance on greenhouse-gas-creating fossil fuels, the Government is understood to want to consider enrichment.
Senior figures wanted the Switkowski review to make its findings without being hamstrung by political pressure.
The review is understood to have looked favourably on a submission from the director-general of the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office, John Carlson, who argued that Australia could increase uranium mining and exports without raising any new nuclear proliferation risks. Mr Carlson said the next generation of nuclear reactors offered hope for producing power while substantially reducing the long-lived radioactive waste produced by current models.
But he warned that any expansion of Australia's nuclear industry into new phases in the fuel cycle - such as uranium enrichment or nuclear power generation - would require key regulatory changes and a boost in personnel.
Dr Switkowski's report will devote a chapter to the skills and manpower shortages resulting from the long decline of the nation's nuclear industry.
Bertrand Barre, the former director of reactor engineering at the Atomic Energy Commission in France, said yesterday state and federal governments could establish a national nuclear regulator within one to three years - a key precursor for planning to begin on any domestic nuclear power reactors.

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Miner wanted to enrich uranium at Olympic Dam
Andrew Trounson
October 18, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20600603-2702,00.html
IF last year's $9.2 billion takeover battle for miner WMC Resources had turned out differently, Australia could already be on the way to shifting its uranium industry towards enrichment of nuclear fuel.
Early last year, WMC was in advanced talks with French nuclear fuel giant Areva on developing uranium enrichment facilities at its Olympic Dam copper and uranium mine in South Australia.
The talks came to nothing when mining giant BHP Billiton took over WMC last year, but former WMC chief executive Andrew Michelmore remains a strong advocate of developing a nuclear power industry Australia.
Mr Michelmore said that rather than just "digging it up and shipping it", the country had a unique opportunity to develop a value-adding downstream uranium industry.
It could even extend to taking back radioactive spent fuel rods and burying them deep beneath the stable geology of South Australia.
He said WMC's discussions with Areva were based on producing enriched uranium that could then be shipped to fuel fabricators for conversion to pellets and then fuel rods.
In March, Mr Michelmore was close to putting some proposals to the WMC board as an alternative to accepting a hostile takeover bid from Swiss-based miner Xstrata. Instead, BHP launched its successful takeover bid.
Since then, BHP has made it clear it is not interested in moving downstream in uranium.

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Woolly thinking on enrichment
There is little economic logic to setting up a domestic industry that would succeed only at the cost of stratospheric taxpayer subsidies, writes David Uren
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20475616-30417,00.html
September 26, 2006

ENRICHED uranium is the most politically corrupted commodity market in the world. It is a market where the Cold War never ended and the spectre of nuclear terrorism hangs heavy.
Although there is a semblance of competition among the four giant companies that supply it, governments control who may operate, where, and with whom they may trade.
Prime Minister John Howard has called for Australia to enter the market so that we do not repeat the history of sending our wool to Manchester for processing. However, an industry less like grazing sheep or scouring wool is difficult to imagine.
Analysts say there is little economic logic to a quest that would succeed only at the cost of stratospheric taxpayer subsidies.
"Enrichment supply is an oligopoly of four major players: two from Europe, one from the US and one from Russia. The US firm USEC was privatised in 1998 but still has many tentacles back into government, while the rest are government controlled," says uranium enrichment specialist Ruthanne Neely.
Ms Neely was marketing director for USEC until early this year and is now vice-president of the nuclear industry advisory firm UX Consulting, which sets the world spot price for both enriched and natural uranium.
She says the four companies behave as any oligopoly, minutely following each other's steps, while being careful to avoid any appearance of collusion.
She says it would not be practical for Australia to enter the market from scratch; it would have to entice one of the big suppliers who control enrichment technology.
"The reason it may not be very interesting for these big suppliers is, Australia doesn't use enrichment. It has no nuclear power. There are problems with enrichment once you've got to ship it. The world gets concerned about terrorism and terrorists," she says.
In fact enriched uranium is shipped - Japan buys it from the US and Europe, while, under a bizarre deal that highlights the political nature of the industry, the Russians ship military-grade enriched uranium to the US to be blended down for commercial reactors.
However, Neely says transport restrictions are tight and Australia's distance from markets is a barrier to its entry. If a supplier were going to build a plant in the region, Singapore would be much more attractive, being closer to China.
The industry is fraught with trade barriers. The Russian government-controlled corporation, Rosatom, faces a wall of embargoes and quotas in the West.
The US has a law forbidding imports of Russian enriched uranium, other than the nuclear fuel from decommissioned Soviet warheads, which is shipped under a deal signed in 1993 between former presidents George Bush Sr and Boris Yeltsin.
The European nuclear industry is controlled by Euratom, which restricts imports of Russian enriched uranium to 25 per cent of the market, although it actually delivers much less than that.
Japan also forbids imports of Russian enriched uranium, because of its dispute over sovereignty of the Kurile Islands.
Neely says the Russians are trying to break into the Japanese market and have established a Tokyo office.
They have warned Japanese utilities that the Americans on whom they currently depend could find themselves short of enriched uranium after 2013.
This is when the Russian contract to supply the Americans with military nuclear fuel expires. That contract accounts for about 20 per cent of American supply.
The Europeans also face obstacles in the US market, as a result of allegations by USEC that the two European suppliers - the French-owned Areva, and the German, British and Dutch conglomerate Urenco - were dumping their product.
Punitive duties were imposed, but the Europeans have since won legal appeals arguing that enriched uranium is a service, not a product, and is therefore not covered by US anti-dumping law. USEC is now appealing this finding.
The problem is that USEC uses an old and extremely energy-hungry technology, gas diffusion, whereas Urenco (and also the Russians) use a much more efficient gas centrifuge.
Neely says it is not possible to determine from the USEC accounts whether it makes a profit or a loss from its enrichment activity, because it pools its earnings from natural uranium sales.
Both the Americans and the French, who also use the old technology, are replacing it, with the construction of major new centrifuge plants working their way through the approvals system.
The World Nuclear Association, which represents nuclear utilities, believes these projects will be sufficient to keep the industry supplied for the foreseeable future. In an assessment of the nuclear fuel market over the next 25 years, obtained by The Australian, the association points out that centrifuge plants can be expanded simply by adding new centrifuge modules.
"Given the modular expansion capability of gaseous centrifuge designs and the required timelines for building new nuclear plants, capacity in the enrichment sector of the fuel cycle should be able to meet the requirements of the worldwide commercial nuclear fleet under any current projection of demand in the forecast period."
France's Areva, the only one of the four giants to make a submission to the Government's inquiry into the practicality of establishing a nuclear industry in Australia, has dismissed Australia's prospects for enrichment.
It says a country can only consider enriching uranium if it has a large number of nuclear power plants. It says there is about 20 per cent excess capacity in the industry.
Moreover, it says the global approach to nuclear proliferation by organisations such as the International Atomic Energy Agency and the G8 states is that there should be no increase in the number of countries with enrichment capability.
"It could be difficult to justify (such a) heavy investment, in both economic and political terms, as creating an enrichment activity in Australia," it says.
Not every one shares the view that enrichment is oversupplied, with a submission to the inquiry by Australian listed company Silex Systems arguing there is scope for a new entrant.
Silex is developing a new technology for enriching uranium, based on laser separation.
Chief executive Michael Goldsworthy argues that centrifuge supply cannot be expanded quickly because of its high capital cost.
He says the Russian nuclear weapons material will stop flowing to the market altogether once the deal with the US expires and that the four operators will be able to produce no more than their existing commitments. He says this would leave demand for enriched uranium 33 per cent ahead of supply by 2015.
Silex has signed a commercial development contract with General Electric which Goldsworthy believes can fill this gap.
Neely says the technology is very impressive and, if it can be developed at a commercial scale, has the potential to revolutionise the industry.
"If laser separation works, it is so cheap it will turn centrifuges into dinosaurs. General Electric has enormous resources and its manufacturing engineers are the best in the world, so my feeling is they are very likely to succeed."
She says an enrichment plant based on Silex technology would cost a small fraction of the $US1.7 billion ($2.25 billion) budget for the next USEC centrifuge plant.
Goldsworthy says it is unlikely that USEC's centrifuge technology, if it is successfully developed, would ever be licensed for deployment outside the US. Russia would also refuse to license its centrifuge technology to Australia.
Urenco has just licensed its technology to a joint venture with the French, which many believe will have the effect of reducing the present two European manufacturers to one.
Goldsworthy says the size and significance of this commitment would preclude Urenco from supplying its technology to a third country.
This leaves the Silex technology, and, although Goldworthy would like to see it deployed in Australia, he says such a step is not straightforward.
"Any future deployment of the Silex technology in Australia would be at the discretion of GE, and would require the approval of the US government." The US government has control, because the final form of the technology will have significant input from the GE.
Neely says that if Australia could strike an agreement with the US government, gaining access to technology may be possible. Everything has a price tag she says.
"There are lots of things that governments do to entice people to build plants. It may be very high royalties, tax incentives or labour incentives. If they did that, it could be attractive."
However she says that GE, thinking about where to situate its first uranium enrichment plant, would be much more likely to choose the US. "That is where the market is. They might put one in Europe for the same reason."
Economists say the argument for adding value to mineral resources before exporting them is flawed.
It makes sense to refine bauxite into alumina before exporting it because there are huge savings in transport costs. But transport is an insignificant component of the cost of enriched uranium.
Executive director of the Centre for International Economics, Andy Stoeckel, says raw materials should be processed by whoever has the economic advantage. It is for this reason that Australia exports iron ore but China makes the steel. He says the governments of the Australian colonies in the last century were perfectly correct to let the raw wool go to Manchester for processing.
"That's where the industrial revolution happened and where original woollen mills were. They were the first movers and had the comparative advantage in processing. If we could have done it cheaper, we would have.
"Governments can't force these things," he says.

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PUSH FOR ASIAN NUCLEAR ENERGY BODY LIKE EURATOM

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AUSTRALIA: Push for Asian atomic energy body
http://www.abc.net.au/ra/asiapac/programs/s1766200.htm
Last Updated 16/10/2006 8:14:34 PM


Australia is considering the creation of an Asian organisation to encourage the generation of nuclear power across the region. The Australian Foreign Minister, Alexander Downer, says Asia could use the model of EURATOM, the European body in charge of the peaceful use of atomic energy.

Presenter/Interviewer: Graeme Dobell
Speakers: Australia's Foreign Minister, Alexander Downer; Australian Strategic Policy Institute, Dr Andrew Davies

DOBELL: Australia is looking at an Asian version of Euratom, the body established by the European Community nearly 50 years ago to offer nuclear energy technology to member countries. Australia's Foreign Minister, Alexander Downer says an Asian version of Euratom would offer the region greater energy security, based on a technology, he says, that has improved dramatically, and new generations of reactors that are cheaper to build and run.

DOWNER: There has been some thought given to this and some work done on the idea of having a Euratom for Asia, because it's something we've been having another look at in recent weeks and some internal discussions about the viability of it.

DOBELL: Mr Downer says nuclear energy is especially sensitive at the moment because of North Korea's declared nuclear test. But he says nuclear power is going to be part of the answer for Asia's future energy needs - pointing to Japan's 54 nuclear power stations, and the nuclear programs in place or announced by China, South Korea, Taiwan and Indonesia. Add to that list, he says, Malaysia and Vietnam, which are considering nuclear power generation.

DOWNER: The idea of the region working together under a single framework in the way that the European Union does is I think quite a good idea and it's an area where Australia is the world's largest repository of at least economically recoverable uranium can take a lead and it would also help to reinforce the strength of the Non Proliferation regime in the region, which I mean, quite apart from anything else, the publics of Asia need constant reassurance about the commitment of governments to Non Proliferation.

DOBELL: The thinking about an Asia-wide structure for peaceful use of nuclear power reflects a new debate within Australia about its possible nuclear futures. Australia, with massive coal deposits, doesn't generate any electricity from its one small nuclear plant. But Australia does have a quarter of the world's known deposits of uranium, and 40 percent of the easily exploitable or low-cost uranium. In June, Canberra set up an inquiry to look at the future of uranium mining, nuclear energy and the possible reprocessing of the nuclear fuel. That led to report from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute warning that Asia could see Australia as a potential nuclear-weapons break-out state if Australia seeks to enrich uranium for export. Dr Andrew Davies says Australia will need the utmost openness and careful diplomacy if it moves to uranium enrichment or plutonium reprocessing.

DAVIES: The first thing to notice is that Australia would be the first country in the region that has the ability to produce fissile material, through uranium enrichment or later on even through plutonium reprocessing. No one else in the region has the ability to do that. We would be the first, and regional countries might reasonably ask what does that mean to the strategic picture in the area?

DOBELL: The Foreign Minister says the enrichment issue is highly sensitive, but Mr Downer denies any danger of Australia being seen as reaching towards nuclear weapons.

DOWNER: To claim that expanding the nuclear fuel cycle in Australia sends a signal that we want to build nuclear weapons is of course ridiculous. Other countries are not so stupid. They'd know we don't have any motive of that kind at all.

DOBELL: The United States prefers that no new countries should enrich uranium - a position being questioned by both Australia and Canada. Mr Downer says the Nuclear Suppliers Group is looking at criteria for a regime to be applied to new enrichment countries which would cover a nation's nuclear track record, whether it's in a sensitive and dangerous region, and whether enrichment would be destabilising.

DOWNER: Our government will make sure that any decision on enrichment would be internationally responsible and in line with preserving regional and international security and indeed enhancing it. We certainly wouldn't want this to become a cause for concern in the region or amongst our allies and there's no reason that it should. In fact, regional governments have already indicated that they understand our position.

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 NUCLEAR POWER - GOVERNMENT'S NUCLEAR INQUIRY (ZIGGY SWITKOWSKI)

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Report of the UMPNER / Ziggy Switkowski panel at:
http://www.pmc.gov.au/umpner/index.cfm

In a nutshell: Given its origins and the composition of its panel, the nuclear taskforce report chaired by Ziggy Switkowski, and issued last Tuesday, is in some respects surprisingly downbeat. It supports uranium mining and nuclear power, but for at least the medium term effectively rejects uranium conversion, uranium enrichment, fuel fabrication and spent nuclear fuel reprocessing, and all but ignores the original requirement to investigate the "business case" for establishing a repository accepting high-level nuclear waste from overseas.

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Nuclear power a practical option for Australia
By Dr Ziggy Switkowski
Tuesday, November 21, 2006
http://www.abc.net.au/news/opinion/items/200611/s1792659.htm
The review was established to examine uranium mining, value-added processing and the contribution of nuclear energy in Australia in the longer term. It is intended to provide a factual base and an analytical framework to encourage informed community discussion. The draft report provides an opportunity for the public to comment on the task force's findings.
The task force examined the capacity for Australia to increase uranium mining and exports. As a holder of substantial reserves (38 per cent of known low cost global reserves) and producer of uranium (23 per cent of global production), Australia is well positioned to meet growing market demand. Value adding to Australia's resources is possible and could be worth $1.8 billion annually. However, this is not without its challenges.
Australia's demand for electricity will more than double before 2050. More than two-thirds of existing electricity generation will need to be substantially upgraded or replaced and new capacity added. This additional capacity will need to use near-zero greenhouse gas emitting technology if Australia is just to keep greenhouse gas emissions at today's levels.
On average, nuclear power would be 20–50 per cent more expensive than coal in Australia but can become competitive with fossil fuel-based generation in Australia with the introduction of low to moderate pricing of carbon dioxide emissions.
Nuclear power has a low emissions signature. Although the priority for Australia should continue to be to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from coal and gas, the task force sees nuclear power as a practical option for Australia.
The handling and storage of radioactive waste was an issue often raised in submissions. The safe disposal of low and intermediate-level waste is practised today at many sites around the world. Australia has suitable locations for deep underground repositories for the safe storage of high level waste and spent nuclear fuel.
Many Australians associate nuclear power with the accidents at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. The task force visited these sites and found that while the health and safety legacy from Chernobyl is real, the nuclear industry is far safer than other energy-related industries. However, no industry is risk-free.
Nuclear weapons proliferation is another issue of concern to the public. Increased Australian involvement in the nuclear fuel cycle would not change the risks. It is clandestine activity that is likely to lead to the production of nuclear weapons, not civil nuclear activities.
Nuclear power today is a mature, safe, and relatively clean means of generating baseload electricity. Nuclear power is an option that Australia should seriously consider if it is to meet its growing energy demand and reduce its greenhouse gas signature.

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - RESPONSES TO SWITKOWSKI DRAFT REPORT

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Crikey Editorial, 22/11/06
www.crikey.com.au
If a government wanted to figure out how best to defend the country, it wouldn't hold an inquiry into the air force. It would hold an inquiry into … defence. So if a government wanted to figure out how to plan for responsible energy consumption in an age of climate change you'd assume it would hold an inquiry into energy consumption. Instead, the Australian government holds an inquiry into … nuclear energy.
That single fact tells you almost as much as you need to know about the value of the Switkowski inquiry into nuclear power. It's a political con job perpetrated by a government which is less than a year away from an election and is being dragged kicking and screaming into the debate about climate change.
In fact, Australia did hold an inquiry into energy in 2004 which produced the white paper Securing Australia's Energy Future. This told us what we already knew – that, economically speaking, renewables are a hard sell in Australia. Our embarrassment of fossil fuel riches means that low-emission technology will be more expensive for the foreseeable future. That includes nuclear energy. Nuclear and "other forms of energy like renewables probably can only be competitive" with a carbon tax, acknowledged Ziggy Switkowski yesterday.
If the Howard government was genuine about climate change it would conduct a comprehensive inquiry into all energy sources, all technologies, all emissions and all the economics.
In the meantime it's just window dressing and Labor Party wedging tarted up with false gravitas.

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Nuclear Review: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Continue To Go Up For 25 Years WITH NUCLEAR POWER
Climate Institute - Media Release
<www.climateinstitute.org.au>
21st November 2006
Today's release of the draft nuclear power review shows that nuclear power cannot halt the rise in Australia's greenhouse gas emissions. The review shows that even if 25 nuclear power stations were built across the country, emissions would increase by around 40% by 2030. (Graph attached.)
 "25 years is too late to get our national emissions under control. Any credible Government action on climate change must start to immediately drive emissions down, not up. National emissions have risen by 10% in the last decade and will rise 17% in the next 15 years," said Corin Millais, Chief Executive of the Climate Institute.
The recent Stern Review on the economics of climate change concluded: "the task is urgent. Delaying action, even by a decade or two, will take us into dangerous territory. We must not let this window of opportunity close."
"The cheapest, fastest and fairest way to cut emissions is to introduce a carbon price so that all technologies can compete on a level playing field."
The Review says that:
* Australia's greenhouse gas emissions would continue to rise until 2030 when they would plateau to 2050 even with 25 nuclear power stations in place.
* A carbon price makes low-emission technologies such as nuclear power and renewables more competitive with energy generated by fossil fuels. It also makes technologies that remove emissions more economically viable.
* Delaying emissions reduction can result in more rapid warming, increasing the risk of exceeding critical climate thresholds and making dangerous impacts more likely.
"Whether nuclear power, renewable energy or low emission fossil fuels have a future in Australia depends on one thing - a commitment from the Government to urgently put in place the laws and a carbon price signal to drive all new energy investment into zero or low emission technology".

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ACF Brief to ENGOs: The Prime Minister's Nuclear Taskforce Report 21st Nov
 
'Factual findings' that Nuclear power is safe & nuclear waste management is resolved
The report dismisses concerns over nuclear safety and also claims that Australia's electricity system would be no more of a terrorist target if it were nuclear powered. The Chair says there is no reason that high level nuclear waste can not be safely managed in Australia and that we won't need such a facility till 2050 - so that we should produce the nuclear waste for decades before having a specific answer and site as to how we then manage these wastes forever.
The report makes 'factual findings' rather than recommendations but cant even count as evidenced by the Chair saying the Inquiry received 230 public submissions – not acknowledging the thousands from ACF supporters, counting them as one under ACF's.
 
Calls for a carbon price signal & emissions trading and claims nuclear power will become economic
The Chair says that IF you are serious about addressing climate change you will have a price on carbon and bring in an emissions trading system. This presents a challenge to the PM and will heighten pressure for a credible outcome to the flagged Emission Trading Inquiry in the federal election year. The report claims that an emission trading carbon price of $15-40 tonne will make nuclear power economic verses current coal (Note that env groups expect an ET scheme of at least $35 tonne for it to be of use).
The report falsely claims that nuclear power is the cheapest low emissions option for baseload electricity supply while acknowledging that private investment in the first-built nuclear reactors "may require some form of government support or directive" - meaning federal government public subsidies and draconian imposition?
 
To push the fact that Nuclear power will remain uneconomic without public subsidies
A carbon tax or emissions trading system will not bridge the gap in nuclear economics or address the real costs in nuclear power, across high and uncertain capital & construction costs, the unacceptable consequences of nuclear accidents and the prohibitively high cost of any real 'nuclear insurance', de-commissioning and perpetual nuclear waste management liabilities, and the fact that nuclear facilities are potential terrorist targets.
The environment movement must not get caught out wrongly conceding that nuclear can become economic in Australia and we should draw on nuclear power's record of massive public subsidies across the west and remaining un-costed liabilities especially in UK.
 
Nuclear Taskforce Chair Ziggy Switkowski calls for a massive 25 GW nuclear power build with 25 nuclear reactors coming online from 2020 to 2050
Nuclear power is said to comprise 30% of Australia's electricity by 2050 with the first nuclear reactor coming on line in 2020. The report expects an average time of 15 years for: creation of a regulatory framework & vendor selection & planning approvals & reactor construction; with a potential accelerated timeline of 10 years and a 'slow' timeline of 20 years. The report acknowledges this first requires a national strategy for nuclear power with community involvement but barely cites public opposition and the range of State/Ter anti-nuclear laws.
 
Nuclear power the solution to climate change by 'reducing' emissions relative to coal
The Chair stated "the only reason"  to build nuclear power in Australia is to address climate change by reducing electricity sector emissions, and said that you would not build nuclear in Australia for energy security or for electricity pricing given our fossil fuel options. This is both a huge misleading PR push for nuclear & uranium and also a fundamental weakness in their case. To unravel the nuclear push we need to publicly establish that renewables and energy savings do work, can provide baseload and replace fossil fuel baseload plants
 
Report & Chair's false claim that nuclear power will reduce Australia's GHGE
The report relies on an ABARE 'business as usual' model of electricity demand & of Aust's total GHGE and projects new nuclear power build of 25 GW to displace coal from 2020 on, 'reducing' Australia's total GHGE "by approximately 18% relative to business as usual" increases from 2020 to 2050. This INCREASES Aust total GHGE by app 25% from now to 2020, an increase of app 70% by 2020 over the 1990 Kyoto Treaty reference year, and projects stabilisation of Australia's total GHGE (excluding land use change and forestry) at over 700 Mt CO2 -equivalent compared to app 560 Mt now and app 425 Mt in 1990.
The report accepts a 70% increase in electricity demand from 234 TWh in 2003 to app 400 TWh in 2030, and thereafter proposes that new nuclear build displaces 25 GW of black coal. The Chair's talk of "emission reductions" and the nuclear report's media coverage is misleading Australian's to think that nuclear power provides a significant GHGE reduction option, while completely ignoring demand management options, delaying energy efficiency options until after 2020, and dismissing renewables.
 
Calls for delayed action on climate change and dismissal of renewables
The Chair stated that renewables can not provide continuous electricity, and the report projects renewables will only comprise 8.5% of Australia's electricity by 2030 and 20% by 2050. Further, the proposed new nuclear power program will take over 22 years to light one net new lightbulb in Australia. With the first reactor said to operate in 2020 and then an additional wait for the energy payback time in nuclear of a further 7 year average period. Should we delay emission reductions by nearly a quarter century and await a dangerous and at best ineffective nuclear option?
 
Proposed siting of 25 nuclear reactors and of a high level nuclear waste dump
The Chair said that nuclear reactors should be 10's not 100s of kilometres from the market and from the grid and proposed co-location with existing power plants, essentially targeting millions of Australians who lives within an hours drive of our cities with nuclear accident fallout and terrorist targeting. On being asked where the high level nuclear waste was to go the Chair rather flippantly said "Honestly take your pick" and has falsely claimed that most of Australia has suitable geology and groundwater for deep geological burial of nuclear wastes (500m to 1.2 km deep).
This has opened up a powerful 'postcode' campaign against nuclear siting and imposition across Australia and is a gift to the Federal ALP who will now run this as their environmental and nuclear (dont mention uranium) credibility through out the federal election year.

Backing for a 100-150% increase in uranium production by 2014-15
The report supports expansion of all 3 existing uranium mines and a doubling uranium exports to over 20 000 tonnes/yr and cites potential for 5 new uranium mines with a combined production of 5 000 tones/yr if State & NT government uranium policy is changed. Calls for 'harmonisation' of uranium regulation and backs the Uranium Industry Framework report recommendations.

Finds no increased Proliferation Risks from a doubling of Australian uranium exports
The report is fully accepting of existing safeguards and in denial over proliferation risks from uranium exports. See the ACF & MAPW Report "An Illusion of Protection" for a reality check.

On Uranium Enrichment, Nuclear Fuel Leasing and International Nuclear Dumping
The report cites significent commercial and technical barriers to uranium enrichment and finds "there may be little real opportunity for Australian companies to extend profitably into these areas."  However media coverage & PR on 'value adding' is likely to continue with a $1.8 billion/yr cited increase in export value if all of Aust's uranium production was processed here.
The Chair was dismissive of nuclear fuel leasing, reprocessing and international dumping.

The ALP response on uranium policy?
This report further heighten prominence to the nuclear & climate change debate through to the federal election providing a 'cover' for the ALP to overturn their no new uranium mines policy at their National Conference in April 2007 – which we need to contest.

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Greenpeace expert international panel:
http://www.greenpeace.org/australia/resources/reports/nuclear-power/more-nuclear-what-internation
or direct download:
http://www.greenpeace.org/raw/content/australia/resources/reports/nuclear-power/more-nuclear-what-internation.pdf

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Howard nukes states
Herald Sun
27/11/06
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20824680-5000117,00.html
JILL Singer writes: The real issue surrounding the state election was how much longer will they be necessary?
At the rate the Howard Government is centralising power and over-riding state rights, our state and territory governments are already hopelessly neutered.
Remember when the Northern Territory introduced dying with dignity legislation?
The Prime Minister killed it in cold blood.
The recent High Court decision on the Federal Government's workplace reform legislation was the nail in the coffin for state governments.
Now, the Commonwealth has the power to meddle in virtually any area of policy or regulation it chooses.
Big Ted or Bracksy, what does it ultimately matter?
If John Howard wants state schools to have the same curriculum in Queensland and Victoria, he can have his way.
And, as we've seen, he's very keen to involve himself in our schools, right down to their flagpoles and religious teachings.
One might well ask what sort of preacher would choose to be paid by a government rather than his church, but we already know what sort of politician is willing to play boss to preachers and premiers.
The big issue now, of course, is nuclear energy. John Howard states that his taskforce's evidence provides compelling economic evidence that Australia must pursue a nuclear future. This simply isn't right.
It actually provides compelling evidence that any nuclear power industry would need to be given huge financial advantages by government and would come on stream too slowly to bring the urgently needed reduction in our greenhouse gas emissions.
The allegedly unprejudiced taskforce made no serious examination of sustainable, renewable forms of energy, such as solar and wind.
Instead, it was asked to examine our uranium industry and possibilities for nuclear power. The Federal Government instructed it to do this with our massive uranium deposits kept in mind.
Now, this is not terribly good science. It is akin to asking for a report on capital punishment in light of us having plentiful supplies of good rope.
I'm sure if a prime-ministerial taskforce had been established to investigate solar or wind power technologies based on our plentiful, free and renewable supplies of sunshine and wind, we would have seen a slightly different outcome.
Australians are being asked to think of our future energy needs free of prejudice. But just who is being prejudiced here?
Apart from accepting submissions, the nuclear taskforce commissioned just three reports. One focused entirely on the global market for our uranium.
Another, on Life-Cycle Energy Balance, conducted by the University of Sydney, stressed the need for what is called triple bottom line analysis.
This means that social, economic and environmental factors should all be factored in.
Strange how this hasn't made its way onto the Prime Minister's radar.
Another report was commissioned from the US Electric Power Research Institute, which basically just pulled together eight previously conducted studies, most done in the US and focused on comparing fossil and nuclear technologies, not renewables.
Interestingly, it noted that the costs of uranium are just a small fraction of the total costs of generating nuclear power.
Nuclear power is extremely expensive, but most of the costs are in the lengthy construction of plants and, of course, the disposal of radioactive waste. So much for our massive uranium deposits.
Now, if there is incontrovertible evidence that the only feasible way of reducing our greenhouse gas emissions and averting climate disaster is to go nuclear, then I would agree that it would be the lesser of two evils.
But there is no evidence. There is just mean and tricky political self-interest.
The Federal Government knows it cannot go nuclear without massively penalising the coal industry. It has a choice for this, a tax on carbon, or joining a global emissions trading scheme.
We should not forget that up until a couple of weeks ago the Government was scoffing at greenies for worrying about climate change. It also denounced carbon taxes and an emissions trading scheme.
Now, we are suddenly told we have got to go nuclear because climate change is such a big problem. This is policy on the run. It certainly isn't good leadership.
But while Bracksy and big Ted declare Victoria won't be having nuclear power stations, it is evident neither of them have had a say in the matter.
As the head of John Howard's Mickey-Mouse Go Nuke Taskforce has already conceded, states could be forced to have nuclear power plants.
So much for democracy.
[email protected]

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It's a big risk starting what you can't stop
Katharine Murphy
November 20, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/opinion/its-a-big-risk-starting-what-you-cant-stop/2006/11/19/1163871268495.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1
Flirting should carry a public health warning: feels like fun, but watch out, it could bring complications you neither want nor expect.
Perhaps this simple warning, if it existed, would have been sufficient to deter John Howard's Government from eyeing off nuclear energy when it started courting the concept two years ago. Because opening the nuclear box has delivered consequences well beyond those envisaged in the original plan, not only by reviving a political debate that had been dead in Australia for two decades, but also by the questions it has now raised over the direction Australia takes in two critical areas: whether we need a serious revision of our present energy policy and what we do about global warming.
Nuclear was supposed to be a boutique preoccupation for Howard and his cabinet to help legitimise an expansion of uranium mining, to have a go at Labor on an issue that breaks its heart every 10 years or so, and to have a quiet think about Australia's energy mix in a silo safely away from the environment.
It was supposed to be a dalliance, not a life partnership. But while the Government started playing, the rules changed. Two areas once regarded as fairly distinct in policy terms - energy and the environment - began to overlap, sometimes imperceptibly, sometimes noisily, so that one now can't be contemplated seriously in isolation from the other.
There are lots of reasons for this fusion. There is an obvious intersection point between the two: energy is a highly regulated business, and much of those regulations deal with managing pollution. But the knitting of the issues in recent times is principally a product of our moment in history. And here is that moment in very crude shorthand: oil prices are unstable; governments are thinking seriously about alternative fuels. The days of CO2 belching unconstrained into the atmosphere are coming to an end.
The world's first draft at constraining carbon, the Kyoto Protocol, is lurching towards failure.
Cynics joke that raising nuclear energy has allowed Howard finally to accept climate change on terms he can comprehend. If climate is a problem, then hey presto, nuclear can fix it, because nuclear power is a low-CO2 emission technology. But this analysis implies the Government embarked on the nuclear adventure to deal with climate change - when the evidence points to the collision being, at least in part, accidental.
At first, nuclear was framed by the Government as a technology for use offshore (with Australian uranium of course), and therefore the tough issues it raised, principally whether we need to actually deal with dirty coal, could be kept out of the domestic debate.
But one by one, ministers started to suggest nuclear could work in Australia - and as nuclear moved onshore, so did the climate debate. Howard still looks slightly bemused to be in this position. The conviction politician lacks genuine conviction on this issue, but he knows the Government's stance is now a significant negative for the Coalition. So he has begun the conversion from climate sceptic to believer, and in typical Howard fashion, a backdown starts in increments.
Environmentalists have lurched between fury and despair at the way the nuclear debate has played out in Australia in the past couple of years, but what I'll flippantly dub the yellowcake road has delivered two significant things that should give the movement cause for hope.
The first is that renewable energy is back on the agenda seriously for the first time in a decade and it will remain there for reasons I'll explain in a minute; and the second is Howard is inching closer to accepting the principle that polluters must pay.
If Howard needs to cut greenhouse gas emissions because the public will punish him if he doesn't, then his reality looks a bit like this. Dirty coal has to be cleaned up.
However this is done - by "green" taxes, emissions trading schemes, subsidies, tax incentives - it will increase the cost of coal-fired electricity. On that basis, both nuclear energy and renewable energy become more cost-competitive with coal.
Governments are also talking about "clean coal" as if it actually exists. The reality is it doesn't. At the moment it is a lovely pipe dream: a hideously expensive oxymoron. And the stark reality is we may not succeed in developing the technology now under consideration.
If coal is dirty and emissions need to be cut, then our options are gas, nuclear and renewables. The Greens say renewables can do the job without nuclear, but the reality is all options will need to be considered, certainly internationally and probably in Australia too.
The question for governments around the world has become what do you fear more: Chernobyl and Three Mile Island, or the doomsday scenarios of rising sea levels, millions of refugees and disappearing icecaps.
Two years ago, when nuclear energy was put on the table in Australia, who could have predicted where we are now: that climate change would be a reality rather than a myth perpetuated by crazed scientists and hippies, that renewables would be back in vogue, that Howard would be inching cautiously towards an emissions-trading scheme. Watch that flirting. It started with a kiss, never thought it would come to this.
Katharine Murphy is a staff writer.

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Peter Bradford: Nuclear not the answer
Australia's power push won't stop global warming
November 23, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20804330-7583,00.html
THE draft nuclear taskforce report released this week presents an unbalanced assessment of nuclear power's prospects. Like many other such reviews, it is too optimistic about the price of nuclear power and too quick to dismiss the potential of the alternatives. The US has wasted a lot of money by relying on similarly euphoric assessments through the years. Australia has the chance to learn from that experience.
The safety of nuclear power plants depends on vigilance, careful engineering and construction. It can be seriously compromised if a country freights the technology - as the US did in the 1970s - with unrealistic expectations. What we are seeing from many nuclear proponents today is their old five P game plan: pushed power plants; postponed problems. Nuclear power's asserted comeback in the US rests not on new-found competitiveness in power plant construction but on an old formula: subsidy, licensing shortcuts, risks borne by customers and taxpayers, political muscle, ballyhoo and pointing to other countries to indicate that the US is falling behind. Climate change has replaced oil dependence as the bogeyman from which only nuclear power can save us.
But nuclear power cannot be a magic bullet answer to climate change. Even if it is scaled up much faster than anything now in prospect, it cannot provide more than 10 per cent to 15 per cent of the greenhouse gas displacement that is likely to be needed by mid-century. Not only can nuclear power not stop global warming, it is probably not even an essential part of the solution to global warming.
Princeton University professors Stephen Pacala and Robert Socolow introduce the useful concept of a wedge, defined as any measure that will lead, during the next 50 years, to a global reduction of 25 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide emissions relative to business as usual. The number of wedges required to avoid dangerous climate change depends on many factors. Under optimistic assumptions, seven wedges will be needed; this number could increase significantly under less optimistic assumptions.
The study lists 15 measures from technologies to public policy initiatives that exist today and could be scaled up to become one or more wedges. Energy efficiency and conservation comprise three wedges, alternatives to business-as-usual, gasoline-powered transport accounts for another four, and increasing natural sinks, such as forests, provides two wedges. Generating electricity in less carbon-intensive ways contributes four wedges. Of these, at most one wedge would be contributed by a worldwide tripling of nuclear power.
Such a tripling would require other expenditures. There is also fuel enrichment (perhaps an additional 15 plants), waste repositories (perhaps the equivalent of 14 Yucca Mountains) and perhaps reprocessing plants. The only effort to model the cost of this undertaking that I have seen comes from the Natural Resources Defence Council in the US and puts the total bill at $2000 billion to $3000 billion.
Prime Minister John Howard recently said: "Nuclear power is potentially the cleanest and greenest of them all." Such statements invite the nation into a la-la land in which nuclear power will be over-subsidised and under-scrutinised while other more promising and more rapid responses to climate change are neglected and the greenhouse gases that they could have averted continue to pollute the skies.
Nuclear power has never been viable in any country with competitive power supply procurement. No nuclear plant has won an open competitive power supply auction. There is no reason to think this would be different in Australia, a country with abundant coal and no nuclear experience. So without a large carbon tax, this proposition is nonsense. But even with a large carbon tax, nuclear is not an assured winner against coal with sequestration, and it is an assured loser against energy efficiency and probably against combinations of fossil fuels with renewables.
A sensible approach to climate change would start with a trading regime or a carbon tax that would put a significant price on fuels according to their carbon content. It would offer non-discriminatory governmental support to technologies in accordance with their ability to achieve the needed reductions rapidly, inexpensively and in a manner acceptable to the public. It may well mimic the California approach to new electric facilities, in which all practical efficiency and renewable options are deployed before a new power plant is considered.
For Australia to seek instead to achieve a set number of nuclear plants by a particular time assumes that government is wiser than markets in picking the most promising technologies; surely an odd position for an economically conservative government to embrace.
Peter Bradford is a former member of the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and former chairman of the New York and Maine utility regulatory commissions. He was commissioned to review the draft nuclear taskforce report by Greenpeace Australia Pacific.

(See: <www.greenpeace.org/australia/issues/climate-change/solutions/not-nuclear>

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - ENERGYSCIENCE COALITION RESPONSE TO SWITKOWSKI

EnergyScience Coalition formed to counter Ziggy Switkowski's pro-nuclear panel.

For fact sheets, media releases, and a review of the Ziggy draft report, check the web: <www.energyscience.org.au>

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Switkowski report misses point on energy efficiency
Jim Falk
Canberra Times
27/11/06
<http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=your%20say&subclass=general&story_id=534602&category=Opinion&m=11&y=2006>

GIVEN its origins and the composition of its panel, the nuclear taskforce report chaired by Ziggy Switkowski, and issued last Tuesday, is in some respects surprisingly downbeat.

It supports uranium mining and nuclear power, but for at least the medium term effectively rejects uranium conversion, uranium enrichment, fuel fabrication and spent nuclear fuel reprocessing, and all but ignores the original requirement to investigate the "business case" for establishing a repository accepting high-level nuclear waste from overseas.

The Switkowski report stresses that nuclear power could be competitive only if a substantial carbon tax is imposed, and estimates the cost of nuclear power to be 20-50 per cent greater than the cost of electricity from coal. Even this seems an optimistic assessment.

The narrow terms of reference set by the Federal Government restricted the Switkowski panel to a study of nuclear power, not a serious study of energy options for Australia. As a result, the main problem with the report is that it simply misses the point.

A panel with a broader range of expertise and a less limited brief could have been asked to explore the impact of carbon tax and other policy measures on energy demand. It could have tackled the most effective means by which that demand could be met, and greenhouse emissions reduced, taking into account all the energy options, costs, time frames, waste, safety and other relevant issues.

The report simply accepts that energy demand will grow remorselessly along a projected curve. But it also proposes imposition of a carbon tax in which the cost of electricity will significantly increase.

Of course, as we know with water, in this situation, the simplest thing when a resource becomes harder to buy, is to use it less wastefully. Similarly, a host of studies show that the potential for removing energy wastage is large, and that a dollar invested in energy efficiency will produce some two to seven times the returns in energy and emissions savings versus a dollar invested in new nuclear power.

While the Switkowski panel was prevented from asking key questions, there's no reason for the rest of us to avoid them. A body of existing research indicates that the objectives of meeting energy demand and reducing greenhouse emissions can be met with a combination of renewable energy and gas to displace coal, combined with energy efficiency measures, without recourse to nuclear power.

For example, a study by AGL, Frontier Economics and WWF Australia published in May 2006 finds a 40 per cent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation in Australia can be achieved by 2030 at the modest cost of 43c a week a person over 24 years. A detailed study, A Clean Energy Future for Australia, by Hugh Saddler, Richard Denniss and Mark Diesendorf, identifies methods by which a 50 per cent reduction in greenhouse emissions from stationery energy generators and uses can be achieved by 2040.

The Australian Business Roundtable on Climate Change, and the Renewable Energy Generators of Australia, have produced research on climate change abatement strategies. Many studies dispel myths which, unfortunately, have been promulgated by Switkowski this week, such as the claim that only coal and nuclear power are suitable to provide reliable base-load power.

This claim is an oversimplified rendition of the complex question of how to provide statistical reliability in an energy generation system. Different technologies present different challenges. Nuclear reactors are stable while they work, but when they have an "outage" they can leave a big hole in supply. Once a reactor shuts down it can take days or even weeks to restart.

There are renewable energy sources which are at least as reliable as nuclear power, such as bio-energy, while geothermal "hot rocks" technology may provide another energy source in the near future.

While a single wind turbine cannot be relied upon as a constant source of power, wind farms spread over a wide area provide a reliable power source.

Studies of Australian wind patterns have shown wind power, supported by a small amount of peak-load plant, can substitute for and hence may be regarded as equivalent to base load.

Energy efficiency and waste-saving measures are too often ignored. Apart from their other advantages, energy-efficiency measures can reduce the demand for both base-load and peak-load power.

Energy-efficiency measures can also deliver large reductions in energy consumption and greenhouse emissions.

The Australian Ministerial Council on Energy published a report in 2003, Towards a National Framework for Energy Efficiency, which concludes that "consumption in the manufacturing, commercial and residential sectors could be reduced by 20-30 per cent with the adoption of current commercially available technologies with an average payback of four years".

But as Switkowski has stressed in recent appearances, the taskforce was not charged with assessing those issues. Rather it was to look at the possibilities of a nuclear future. Will the Prime Minister now convene a panel to explore the potential of a non-nuclear future for Australia supported by rapid development in renewable energy sources and energy efficiency?

It is hoped he will, or better still, the Government will simply get to work supporting the implementation of the myriad of clean-energy solutions to the problem of climate change, such as those identified by the Ministerial Council on Energy.

Professor Falk is director of the Australian Centre for Science, Innovation and Society at the University of Melbourne. The centre assists the development of the Energyscience Coalition which provides briefing papers at energyscience.org.au

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All that energy wasted on a 'greenwash' for the nuclear industry
Mark Diesendorf
November 22, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/opinion/a-greenwash-for-the-nuclear-industry/2006/11/21/1163871403328.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1

THE draft report on uranium mining processing and nuclear energy is an exercise in "greenwash" for a dirty and dangerous industry. It skates over the serious risks of proliferation of nuclear weapons, nuclear terrorism and nuclear waste management, misrepresents the carbon dioxide emissions from the nuclear fuel chain, and presents a highly selective and excessively optimistic choice of numbers for the cost of nuclear electricity.
The single positive outcome of the report is the recognition that carbon pricing - either in the form of a carbon tax or an emissions scheme - is essential for reducing Australia's greenhouse gas emissions. However, a more realistic assessment of nuclear economics would recognise that the carbon price range envisaged in the report - $15 to $40 per tonne of carbon dioxide emitted - is far too low to make nuclear power competitive with dirty (conventional) coal-fired power stations. Indeed, the report recognises this implicitly where it admits: "If investor perceptions of risk were greater [than for other base-load technologies], higher carbon prices or other policies [that is, subsidies] would be required to stimulate investment in nuclear power."
The report's very low estimates of carbon prices, required to make nuclear power economically viable, are achieved by a magician's trick. The report shows the cost estimates depend critically upon interest rates and that, at the high interest rates prevailing in a competitive market, nuclear electricity is likely to cost about 10 cents a kilowatt-hour.
However, in the comparison with the costs of competing technologies, the report selects much lower interest rates for nuclear power, in effect halving the cost of nuclear electricity. These carefully selected results are then reproduced in the executive summary, without any explanation that low interest rates were assumed, without justification.
As spelled out clearly in the unbiased Ranger Uranium environmental inquiry, published a generation ago, nuclear power inadvertently contributes to the spread of nuclear weapons and hence the risk of nuclear war. Since then, the risk has become much worse. India, Pakistan and North Korea have all used civil nuclear technology to develop nuclear weapons.
Furthermore, the fragile barrier to nuclear proliferation - the nuclear non-proliferation treaty - is being actively undermined by the United States and Australia. The US is selling uranium to India and Australia is permitting sales to Taiwan. Neither country has signed the treaty.
These sales are part of a US strategy to build a nuclear wall around China. The obvious response by China will be to expand its own nuclear weapons arsenal. However, China's uranium reserves are too small to do this and fuel its nuclear power stations as well. Don't worry, Australia has come to the rescue with its uranium sales to China. This will free Chinese uranium for more nuclear weapons. A future confrontation over Taiwan could be hot indeed.
The report's conclusions on proliferation are breathtaking in their complacency: "Increased involvement [in the nuclear industry] would not change the risks" and "Australia's uranium supply policies reinforce the international non-proliferation regime". This goes beyond greenwash to repainting black as white.
It gets even better. The report dismisses nuclear terrorism with "nor would Australia's [electricity] grid become more vulnerable to terrorist attack". What about an attack on a nuclear power station, high-level nuclear waste in a cooling pond, or highly radioactive nuclear materials being transported? Even if they didn't hijack a jumbo jet, a small paramilitary group with suicidal tendencies could make a ground attack to take over the control room of a nuclear power station and initiate a core meltdown, creating hundreds of thousands of casualties.
The idea of adding value to uranium mining by introducing uranium enrichment is appealing to the authors of the report. However, there is a global over-capacity for uranium enrichment at present and the US is building a new plant. With no market, there would be no value-adding.
It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the Federal Government's push for nuclear power, assisted by the Switkowski report, is a means of distracting attention from its failure to implement strong policies in response to greenhouse gases.
As shown in the report A Clean Energy Future for Australia, commissioned by the Clean Energy Australia Group, carbon dioxide emissions from the electricity industry could be cut by 80 per cent by 2040 using a mix of efficient energy use, bioenergy, natural gas and wind power.
The barriers are neither technological nor economic, but rather the political power of the big greenhouse gas emitters.
Dr Mark Diesendorf is with the Institute of Environmental Studies at the University of NSW.

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Scientists to review PM's nuclear report
Stephanie Peatling
November 18, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/scientists-to-review-pms-nuclear-report/2006/11/17/1163266787615.html
THE REPORT on nuclear energy commissioned by the Prime Minister will be reviewed by a group of scientists to provide an alternative view to what they say is a politically stacked taskforce.
The group, which calls itself the EnergyScience Coalition, yesterday put a series of reports and studies on nuclear power on its website and said it would continue to provide alternative views on the energy debate.
Jim Falk, the director of the Australian Centre for Science, Innovation and Society at Melbourne University, is joined by the retired diplomat Professor Richard Broinowski, academics from the University of NSW and Monash University, and members of the Medical Association for the Prevention of War.
The head of the Federal Government's inquiry into nuclear energy, Ziggy Switkowski, will release his report next week but has already given an interview in which he said it was not economically viable.
Dr Switkowski told the Herald last month that Australia has so much cheap coal that "any comparisons will be unfavourable for every alternative source" of energy, including nuclear.
But it could become economically competitive if new taxes were placed on coal.
The Prime Minister, John Howard, surprised many people this week when he announced that he would establish another taskforce to examine carbon trading, a system of taxing greenhouse gas emissions.
A member of the nuclear taskforce, Warwick McKibbin, a member of the Reserve Bank board, has already developed a model for carbon trading.
Dr Switkowski, the former head of Telstra and a nuclear physicist, will release his report in Canberra on Tuesday. There has already been much fanfare before its release, with the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet organising a busy schedule of media appearances for Dr Switkowski after the report's release.
Environmentalists believe the report's findings are a foregone conclusion, pointing to Dr Switkowski's time as a board member of the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation. He was serving on the board when Mr Howard asked him to head the inquiry, and stepped down from it shortly afterwards.
Professor Falk said he believed that Dr Switkowski's report would support the continued mining of uranium as well as a domestic uranium enrichment industry.
He said any finding that nuclear power could be economically effective in the future could be disputed because of the high level of government subsidies required to overcome side effects of nuclear power such as waste disposal and storage.

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Nuclear power would generate tonnes of weapons fuel
Stephanie Peatling
November 25, 2006
Sydney Morning Herald
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/nuclear-power-would-generate-tonnes-of-weapons-fuel/2006/11/24/1164341401038.html
IF AUSTRALIA pursued a nuclear power industry it could create enough spent fuel for up to 45,000 nuclear weapons, scientists say.
The EnergyScience Coalition scientists reviewed the report produced by a Federal Government taskforce, which found Australia could build 25 nuclear power stations by 2050 to generate one-third of the country's energy.
They criticised the report, saying it did not adequately deal with the issues of proliferation and nuclear waste. If the reactors produced 25 gigawatts of power and were used for 60 years, the scientists estimated, between 37,000 and 45,000 tonnes of spent fuel would be produced.
"That amount of spent fuel contains 370 to 450 tonnes of plutonium … which is enough to build 37,000 to 45,000 nuclear weapons," they found. That report section was written by Dr Jim Green, with the environmental group Friends of the Earth.
The Federal Government taskforce, chaired by the former Telstra boss and nuclear physicist Dr Ziggy Switkowski, said there would be no need for a nuclear waste plan until 2050.
The group includes Jim Falk, the director of the Australian Centre for Science, Innovation and Society at Melbourne University, the retired diplomat Professor Richard Broinowski, academics from the University of NSW and Monash University and members of the Medical Association for the Prevention of War.
Professor Broinowski wrote that Australian nuclear materials were "increasingly likely to end up in weapons".
Professor Broinowski said the report relied too heavily on Australia's bilateral relationships and the effectiveness of the world's non-proliferation regime.

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SMH letters, 27/11/06
More power to plutonium

As the EnergyScience Coalition of scientists says, 25 nuclear power stations would produce a lot of plutonium ("Nuclear power would generate tonnes of weapons fuel", November 25-26). However, it would contain more than 30 per cent non-fissile plutonium-240. The highest concentration of the 240 isotope that has ever been present in plutonium successfully exploded in a bomb was about 10 per cent. This explosion required the highest level of bomb-making expertise in the US.
On the other hand, plutonium is a valuable fuel material. If it is recycled into power-generating reactors, the presence of plutonium-240 is not a disadvantage because it absorbs neutrons to produce fissile plutonium-241.
Dr D.J. Higson Paddington

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Letter sent to SMH
Plutonium and weapons
D.J. Higson agrees with the newly-formed EnergyScience Coalition that 25 nuclear power reactors would produce a large amount of plutonium (letter, 27/11). He disputes whether this 'reactor grade' plutonium could be used in nuclear weapons because it "would contain more than 30 per cent non-fissile plutonium-240". In fact, plutonium from a commercial power reactor typically contains about 23 per cent plutonium-240.
Higson asserts that the "highest concentration of the 240 isotope that has ever been present in plutonium successfully exploded in a bomb was about 10 per cent." The facts of the matter are that the US conducted a successful nuclear test in 1962 using sub-weapon-grade plutonium but Higson has no way of knowing the isotopic ratio as that information is classified.
There is no serious scientific dispute that reactor-grade plutonium can be used in nuclear weapons. The only questions concern the costs to be paid in relation to reliability and yield. As the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency noted in 1990, "the Agency considers high burn-up reactor-grade plutonium and in general plutonium of any isotopic composition with the exception of plutonium containing more than 80 percent Pu-238 to be capable of use in a nuclear explosive device. There is no debate on the matter in the Agency's Department of Safeguards."
Nor is it in dispute that power reactors can produce large volumes of weapon-grade plutonium. It could hardly be simpler - all that needs to be done is to irradiate the fuel for a shorter than normal time to maximise the ratio of plutonium-239 to other, unwanted isotopes.
Dr Jim Green
EnergyScience Coalition
Melbourne.

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Switkowski's nuclear report at first glance
Crikey.com.au 22/11/06
Jim Green from the EnergyScience Coalition writes:
You'll not be surprised to learn that the Switkowski report supports an expansion of the uranium mining industry, regardless of the International Atomic Energy Agency acknowledgement of serious flaws in the safeguards system.
No news there, but the report does manage to surprise by pouring buckets of cold water on the Howard government's enthusiasm for establishing a uranium enrichment industry in Australia.
The report states that: "The enrichment market is very concentrated, structured around a small number of suppliers in the United States, Europe and Russia. It is characterised by high barriers to entry, including limited and costly access to technology, trade restrictions, uncertainty around the future of secondary supply and proliferation concerns."
The report finally decides that "there may be little real opportunity for Australian companies to extend profitably" into enrichment and that "given the new investment and expansion plans under way around the world, the market looks to be reasonably well balanced in the medium term."
Howard likes to compare uranium enrichment to value-adding in the wool industry, which ignores the weapons proliferation protential of uranium enrichment. As the Switkowski report notes: "The greatest proliferation risk arises from undeclared centrifuge enrichment plants capable of producing highly enriched uranium for use in weapons."
On the "con" side, the report states that nuclear power would be 20-50% more expensive than coal or gas-fired power, and that nuclear and renewable energy sources will only become economically competitive in Australia "in a system where the costs of greenhouse gas emissions are explicitly recognised." Unpack that and there's a significant economic challenge for the government.
Further, Switkowski seems to be using the most optimistic estimates of the cost of nuclear power. A recent Victorian Department of Infrastructure report found that coal-fired power stations produce power for $35 per megawatt-hour, while nuclear power would cost between $60-80 per megawatt-hour.
Unfortunately, Switkowski chose to leave out any mention of the numerous studies which find that energy efficiency is 2-7 times more cost-effective than nuclear power in reducing greenhouse emissions.

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Summary of EnergyScience Coalition's review of Swikoski draft report (full review at www.energyscience.org.au)

The Switkowski report misses the point (Professor Jim Falk)
* The narrow terms of reference set by the federal government have restricted the Switkowski panel to a study of nuclear power, not a serious study of energy options for Australia. A body of existing research indicates that the objectives of meeting energy demand and reducing greenhouse emissions can be met with a combination of renewable energy and gas to displace coal, combined with energy efficiency measures, without recourse to nuclear power.

Economics (Dr. Mark Diesendorf)
* The Switkowski report makes questionable assumptions that are highly favorable to nuclear power. In reality, nuclear power is likely to cost more than double dirty coal power and hence even more than wind power. The report's very low estimates of the costs of nuclear electricity are achieved by means of a magician's trick.
* The report cites studies on the external costs of electricity generating technologies. The low environmental and health costs obtained are misleading, because these studies do not include the main hazards of nuclear power - the proliferation of nuclear weapons and terrorism - and most do not treat adequately the hazards of rare but devastating accidents.

CO2 emissions (Dr. Mark Diesendorf)
* The Switkowski report evades the issue of the large increases in CO2 emissions from mining and milling uranium ore as the ore grade decreases from the current high-grade to low-grade over the next few decades.

Renewable energy (Dr. Mark Diesendorf)
* The report has no basis for its claim that "Nuclear power is the least-cost low-emission technology ..." How can the Switkowski panel assert that nuclear is least cost, when it has neither performed any analysis nor commissioned any on this topic? To the contrary, wind power is a lower cost, lower emission technology in both the UK and USA and would also be lower cost in Australia. Hot dry rock geothermal power should be commercially available within a decade and is likely to be less expensive than nuclear power. So are some power stations burning biomass from existing crops and existing plantation forests.

Weapons proliferation and uranium safeguards (Professor Richard Broinowski)
* Switkowski's recommendation to expand Australian uranium exports is irresponsible in today's political climate: the international non-proliferation regime is deeply flawed, pressures exist for both vertical and horizontal nuclear weapons proliferation, and Australian nuclear materials are increasingly likely to end up in weapons programs.
Despite statements from as high as the Prime Minister from within the current Federal Government advocating extending nuclear fuel cycle of activities in Australia, the report is correctly dismissive of the economic potential and technical capacity of Australia to participate in these, at least in the medium term.

Uranium enrichment (Professor Jim Falk)
* The Switkowski report is pessimistic about the short- to medium-term prospects for uranium conversion, uranium enrichment, fuel fabrication or spent nuclear fuel reprocessing industries to be established in Australia.
* On the issue of enrichment, the report concludes that "there may be little real opportunity for Australian companies to extend profitably" into enrichment and that "given the new investment and expansion plans under way around the world, the market looks to be reasonably well balanced in the medium term."
* The report states: "Reprocessing in Australia seems unlikely to be commercially attractive, unless the value of the recovered nuclear fuel increases significantly."
* The report states that: "While all fuel cycle activities are covered by Australia's safeguards agreement with the IAEA, a decision to enrich uranium in Australia would require the management of international perceptions, given that enrichment is a proliferation-sensitive technology." Given the present intense global attention on this matter in the context of Iran, the evident increasing weakness of the effectiveness of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, and the resulting increasing possibility of nuclear proliferation and arms races commencing in various regions, including the Asia-Pacific region, this comment from the Report is if anything an understatement.

A doctor's perspective (Dr. Bill Williams)
* The report optimistically asserts that 25 nuclear reactors could give an 8-18% reduction in Australia's greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, but is silent on the vast amount of weapons-useable plutonium the reactors would produce.
* The report fails to seriously address the vulnerability of nuclear reactors to sabotage resulting in catastrophic radiation emergencies.
* The report is silent on known and quantified increased risks to workers in nuclear industry, and it is silent on multiple reported and controversial clusters of childhood cancers and congenital malformations in the vicinity of nuclear reactors.
* The report is silent on the well-documented capacity of low-level ionising radiation to injure chromosomes and the long-term genetic implications, i.e., gene pool effects and generational toxicity.
* The report fails to anticipate 'necessary' increases in the power of police and other surveillance authorities associated with a nuclear power program, in addition to the potential for restrictions on the public's right-to-know and to resist imposition.

Uranium mining (Dr. Gavin Mudd)
* The Switkowski report fails to properly account for the increasing environmental cost of uranium mining. This includes the magnitude of mine wastes, the long-term impacts on surface water and groundwater resources, the energy costs of extraction which will invariably increase in the future for proposed, and the true life-cycle greenhouse emissions.
* Uranium market / nuclear power scenarios in the past have always proven to be overoptimistic, often by a large margin.
* The current "boom" in uranium exploration from 2004-2006 has not seen any new economic deposit discovered at all - only further drilling at known deposits or prospects.
* There are no "well established plans" for rehabilitation at Ranger as the mining-milling plan changes every year. Additionally, the current bond held by the Australian Government is only one-fifth of the estimated cost of full rehabilitation. For Olympic Dam, the bond held by the South Australian Government is only one-tenth of the estimated cost.
* The Beverley and Honeymoon projects are not required to rehabilitate contaminated groundwater following mining.
* Not one former Australian uranium mine site has demonstrated successful and stable long-term closure of mine wastes (tailings, waste rock and/or low grade ores).

Radioactive waste (Dr. Jim Green)
* The Switkowski report notes that 25 power reactors would produce up to 45,000 tonnes of spent nuclear fuel but is silent on the proliferation and security implications of the 450 tonnes of plutonium contained in that amount of spent fuel.
* The Switkowski report floats the possibility of exporting spent nuclear fuel to the USA although that is at best a remote prospect. The report then ignores the term of reference regarding importation of spent nuclear fuel and high-level nuclear waste for disposal in Australia.
* The Switkowski report stresses the need for public acceptance of waste management proposals but is silent on the draconian imposition of a nuclear dump in the NT. An expanded nuclear industry in Australia would very likely result in further impositions of nuclear facilities on unwilling communities.
* A member of Switkowski's panel, Prof. Peter Johnston, has previously attacked the federal government over its incompetent handling of radioactive waste but there is no mention of these problems in the Switkowski report.

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - VARIOUS

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Nuclear power plants in a decade
Matthew Warren
October 17, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20594327-601,00.html
AUSTRALIA has been put on a path towards nuclear power after the Howard Government said construction on new plants could start within a decade.
John Howard said yesterday Australia had to consider the nuclear power option, given the nation had the largest uranium deposits in the world, and it had to be debated as part of the response to global warming.
The Coalition's strongest endorsement of nuclear power yet establishes a clear divide on climate change policy, with the Labor Party yesterday moving quickly to oppose nuclear and back solar energy as an alternative source of low greenhouse-emissions energy. Solar energy is currently 10 times the cost of conventional sources of power.
The Coalition is also facing a grassroots backlash, with Labor already running a marginal seat campaign with the theme that the Government wants to build a power station in voters' neighbourhoods.
But the Prime Minister said nuclear power had to be examined.
"I believe very strongly that nuclear power is part of the response to global warming, it is clean green, it is something in relation to which many rabid environmentalists have changed their views over recent years," he said.
Industry and Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane, who has largely stayed out of the power debate until now, yesterday claimed Australia could start construction on a nuclear power plant within 10 years.
Mr Macfarlane said the mood towards nuclear energy in Australia was likely to change when the community understood its ability to supply affordable electricity while cutting greenhouse gas emissions.
"Around the world, uranium is coming in from the cold," he said. "This shift isn't driven primarily by the need for energy - we have hundreds of years in coal and gas reserves. It's a demand propelled by communities seeking to balance their economic development and the challenge of curbing greenhouse emissions."
Opposition Leader Kim Beazley said that now the Prime Minister had "declared he wants a nuclear power industry, John Howard must declare where he will build the reactors".
While no sites have yet been identified in Australia, experts say cost-effective nuclear power stations would need to be built on a series on coastal sites about 100km from major cities and energy demand.
Clarence Hardy, president of the Pacific Nuclear Council, said identifying locations would only be feasible if there was clear public acceptance of the technology and an established regulatory framework.
He said possible locations included the coast south and north of Perth, the Hunter Valley in NSW or the coast north of Newcastle, the Iron Triangle in South Australia and north of Brisbane. The coast south of Victoria's La Trobe Valley may also be a potential site.
Nuclear power already generates 16per cent of global electricity supply, with 442 reactors operating and another 30 under construction. China is building three new plants each year.
Australia has been relatively immunised from a debate on nuclear power because of its abundance of low-cost coal and gas, which has continued to undercut the cost of nuclear power - and therefore the necessity of considering it.
New nuclear-powered energy is increasingly cost-competitive in most parts of the world as a result of rising oil and gas prices and improving nuclear technology.
The Prime Minister's taskforce reviewing uranium mining, enrichment and nuclear energy in Australia, headed by former telecommunications executive and nuclear scientist Ziggy Switkowski, is due to table its draft findings next month.
The Labor Opposition has backed solar energy, not nuclear, as the low-emission solution for Australia energy needs, even though the technology is intermittent and expensive.
"Australia's energy future is in renewables, not reactors, and John Howard must abandon his push to build nuclear reactors in Australia's major cities," Mr Beazley said.
"Middle Australia now has a clear choice on Australia's energy future. There will be no nuclear power in Australia under a Beazley Labor government. There will be under John Howard."
While Mr Beazley has rejected nuclear power as a climate-change solution for Australia, he has backed a review of the ALP's no new uranium mines policy, which will be considered at the federal party conference next year.
A paper to be presented today by Geoscience Australia will show that global uranium production may need to double by 2020 to meet growing demand.
Australia currently holds about 36 per cent of the world's minable uranium resources.
Geoscience Australia estimates it would take more than 70 years to mine uranium from the world's biggest deposit, at the Olympic Dam mine in South Australia, which alone represents more than a quarter of global reserves.
Experts say cost-effective nuclear power stations would need to be built on coastal sites about 100km from major cities.

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No word on PM's White House talks
Richard Baker
October 17, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/no-word-on-pms-white-house-talks/2006/10/16/1160850871756.html
WHEN Prime Minister John Howard went to Washington in May, it seems everyone from President George Bush down wanted to talk about nuclear power and uranium.
But every word of those discussions is being kept from Australians. Documents show that in addition to nuclear talks with Mr Bush in the Oval Office and cabinet room of the White House, the Prime Minister discussed Australia's position on nuclear and uranium issues with US Senate Majority Leader William Frist, Speaker of the House of Representatives Dennis Hastert, Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman and the chairman of the Federal Reserve board, Ben Bernanke.
The conversations with the US leaders were important, as they coincided with a strong shift in Mr Howard's support for nuclear power and increased uranium mining in Australia.
Just after the talks, Mr Howard announced that former Telstra chief Ziggy Switkowski would head an inquiry into nuclear and uranium issues.
The Prime Minister's Department has upheld an earlier decision not to release a word of the conversations between Mr Howard, Mr Bush and other officials about nuclear power.
In response to a request from The Age to review a freedom of information decision, the department said the conversations were of such strategic importance to both countries that any disclosure could cause the US to "feel inhibited" in communicating with Australia about key issues in the future.
The decision contrasts with the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade's release last year of dozens of pages of confidential discussions with China about nuclear and uranium issues, including China's wish to buy its own uranium mines in Australia.

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Macfarlane sees green light
COMMENT
Dennis Shanahan
October 17, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20594345-601,00.html
IN June last year, Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane declared he wasn't going "back into that bear pit". That bear pit was a debate about nuclear energy.
He said there was no prospect of Australian nuclear energy for decades and he didn't want to enter the debate.
Sixteen months later, Macfarlane is all but spruiking for a nuclear power station in Australia within years and John Howard is pushing the "debate" harder than ever before towards a pro-nuclear conclusion.
In June last year, Macfarlane was seen as the strongest advocate of the mining industry in the Coalition cabinet.
While Alexander Downer and Brendan Nelson were talking about the need for a nuclear debate, he didn't want a bar of it.
The official change of attitude is a result of the unexpected momentum of the nuclear debate and the perceived political advantage for the Coalition.
Howard is clearly positioning for the potential for more uranium exports and a domestic nuclear industry as a key theme for the next election. He's doing this by linking what may seem to be an unpalatable prospect with an attractive environmental proposition - nuclear is "clean and green" and cuts worldwide greenhouse gas emissions.
It provides a counterpoint for Labor, which is internally divided over more uranium mines and exports, is anti-nuclear and is attacking the Coalition for failing to sign the Kyoto Protocol on greenhouse emissions.
Yesterday, it was Howard accusing Labor and Kim Beazley of being old-fashioned by being anti-nuclear and not serious about cutting greenhouse gas emissions.
Even Macfarlane went into the bear pit on the nuclear side and said putting carbon taxes on industry wasn't the answer.

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PM rules out nuclear weapons
Ben Packham
October 16, 2006 12:00am
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20586876-2862,00.html
JOHN Howard has ruled Australia out of the nuclear arms race, but his support for nuclear power is undiminished.
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20586876-2862,00.html
The Prime Minister said Australia should not acquire nuclear weapons, despite the new threat from a nuclear-armed North Korea.
"I'm not in favour of Australia having a nuclear bomb," he told Channel Nine's 60 Minutes program.
"I'm in favour of Australia developing nuclear power for peaceful purposes. It's clean and green, and in an age where we're worried about global warming we should be looking seriously at nuclear power as an option . . . and I can't understand why the extreme greenies oppose it."
A Government taskforce is examining the potential for nuclear power and whether Australia should process uranium.
The inquiry, headed by former Telstra boss Ziggy Switkowski, is also looking at the idea of nuclear leasing, where Australia would process uranium into fuel rods and accept back nuclear waste.
Mr Howard has said Australia should build nuclear reactors if the power source can compete economically with coal.
Mr Howard's one-time adversary, former prime minister Paul Keating, sees the issue differently.
"Nuclear energy is a bad fuel, a dirty fuel, a dangerous fuel," he told Sky News.
"Nuclear is a no-no generally in my opinion. It is a bad business."
Instead, Mr Keating would prefer to focus on alternative strategies to reduce Australia's reliance on fossil fuels, options such as hybrid cars and hydrogen fuel cells.
Labor is opposed to Australia having nuclear power but Opposition Leader Kim Beazley has called for an end to Labor's policy of no new uranium mines.
Labor has pledged there will be no nuclear power if it wins government, but it does plan to re-examine its policy of no new uranium mines at its national conference next year.
Opposition Leader Kim Beazley wants the policy changed but faces a difficult job persuading some sections of Labor that it is the way to go.
Mr Keating thinks a change in the Labor policy would be a mistake.
"I think I would stay with the existing policy," he said.
"This is not a good industry to encourage, and anyone that has an electricity program, ipso facto ends up with a nuclear weapons capability."
The party will vote on the proposed policy change at its coming national conference.

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PM warned on nuclear findings
Katharine Murphy, Canberra
November 21, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/pm-warned-on-nuclear-findings/2006/11/20/1163871341139.html
A LANDMARK report paving the way for Australia to adopt nuclear energy within two decades is already causing turbulence in Federal Government ranks.
Senior MPs warned Prime Minister John Howard yesterday against dramatic policy shifts to increase the viability of the nuclear industry.
Before today's release of a 150-page report by the Prime Minister's nuclear energy taskforce, Finance Minister Nick Minchin warned that energy prices should not be increased to help level the playing field between coal-fired and nuclear power.
Senator Minchin's comments against making polluters pay for their carbon dioxide emissions in a large-scale way were backed by one of the Government's strongest backbench advocates of nuclear power, West Australian Liberal Dennis Jensen, who said he was still a climate change sceptic.
Today's report from an expert nuclear taskforce led by former Telstra head Ziggy Switkowski is expected to argue that nuclear power will be economically viable within two decades if a carbon "price" — such as an emissions trading scheme floated by Mr Howard last week — is imposed on polluters.
The report will argue that modern nuclear reactors are basically safe and that countries with nuclear industries are working to solve the problem of safe storage of radioactive material.
The report was initially expected to tackle a broader range of issues, including the problem of vehicle emissions, but it is believed that the draft now focuses more narrowly on the nuclear cycle.
The public will have three weeks to comment on the report. Opponents are preparing to argue that nuclear plants cannot be built in Australia in the time frame for action proposed in Britain's recent Stern review.
The nuclear debate has raised the stakes for the Government in responding to community concerns about climate change, with Mr Howard signalling last week that he would consider whether Australia should join other countries in an emissions trading scheme.
Senator Minchin said yesterday that any changes in policy should not "wantonly or carelessly" give up the economic advantages Australia enjoys from "our access to relatively cheap, reliable energy".
Dr Jensen said emissions trading locked the Government into the idea that human-induced climate change was a fact rather than a proposition advanced by some scientists.
"There might be other mechanisms that are cheaper and more do-able than carbon trading," he said.
But Dr Jensen said the Coalition should go to next year's election with a policy removing legal barriers to Australia building a nuclear industry.
Meanwhile, a British energy expert predicted nuclear power plants could be built within five years if Australia gave its approval. Lord Oxburgh, chairman of the House of Lords science and technology committee and former Shell Oil chairman, told ABC radio that nuclear plants were now cheaper and faster to build.
With AAP

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PM to play nuclear card
Clinton Porteous
November 17, 2006 11:00pm
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,20775289-27197,00.html
A YEAR out from a federal election John Howard and Kim Beazley are like two poker players holding their policies close to their chests.
But the Prime Minister is about to play his nuclear card and believes it's a winner.
Beazley knows the atomic play is coming but thinks it's a dud.
The Labor leader is confident his mixed hand of wind, solar and clean coal technology will triumph over nuclear reactors.
Next Tuesday at the National Press Club the nuclear energy plan for Australian will be laid out.
Former Telstra chief and nuclear physicist Ziggy Switkowski will unveil a detailed report into the viability of nuclear power in Australia.
It is known that Howard's handpicked team of experts will conclude that nuclear power will become commercially viable within 15 years.
But Labor has already dismissed the report – it was like asking the AFL to investigate which is the best footy code in Australia.
What else would you expect but a pro-nuclear answer?
But the real test will be the reaction by experts, opinion makers and ultimately the public about the rationale underlying the report.
If there is a strong sense that the economic modelling doesn't stack up it will be a major blow for Howard.
But if it gets a tick of approval, the Prime Minister will gain even greater confidence to go down the nuclear path.
Howard is embarking on a high-risk electoral strategy because inevitably it involves the construction of reactors and a high-level waste dump which no one wants in their back yard.
But Howard believes his timing is perfect in the midst of the global debate about climate change.
And he relishes talking up the environmental benefits of "clean, green" atomic energy compared to alternative sources of power.
"Nuclear power is potentially the cleanest and greenest of them all," he said earlier this month in Brisbane.
"I believe that the world attitude to nuclear power is changing and Australia's attitude to nuclear power is changing."
The nuclear option for Howard is also politically irresistible.
He thinks it can help crack open historical divisions in Labor.
One of his favourite pastimes in Parliament is to praise Labor's resources spokesman Martin Ferguson, who strongly supports the development of new uranium mines in Australia.
This position is bitterly opposed by Left-winger and environment spokesman Anthony Albanese who wants the present Labor ban on new mines to remain.
However, this split should be resolved at Labor's national conference next April and Ferguson's side, backed by Beazley, should overturn the ban so Labor supports the expansion of uranium exports.
Beyond this, Beazley draws a line in the sand and says Labor is rock solid in opposing a nuclear power industry or nuclear enrichment in Australia.
He thinks Labor is way ahead of the Government on climate change and Howard is desperately playing catch-up by pushing the nuclear button.
"John Howard's climate change minister will be the minister for nuclear power. Plain and simple," Beazley said recently.
"Kim Beazley's climate change minister will be the minister for ratifying Kyoto, setting realistic targets and he will be about renewables, not reactors."
The difference between Labor and the Coalition on nuclear power is black and white.
While it might not be a major issue come election time it is part of the broader umbrella of climate change.
Herein lies the danger for Howard. If the nuclear option backfires it undermines his attempt to build credibility on climate change.
When the report is delivered next week Howard will still be overseas as part of his APEC trip but it is believed he had a detailed briefing on its contents before he left Australia.
One of the problems for Howard is that there is deep suspicion within his own ranks about the economics of nuclear power.
Some of his own ministers will be having a long, hard look at the economic modelling.
Key industry groups, particularly the coal sector, will also be analysing the modelling.
A key argument in the report will be that the relative price of power from coal-fired power stations will rise with the shift to clean coal technology to cut greenhouse gas emissions.
At the same time the price of nuclear power production should come down with new technology and economies of scale.
The crossover point where nuclear power becomes competitive against coal is the key to the economic argument and will be heavily scrutinised.
But there is sure to be a second line of attack from the coal industry and the Government's own nuclear sceptics.
They will want to ensure there is adequate modelling about the economic cost of storing high-level waste.
Nuclear energy might have zero carbon emissions but radioactive waste is very expensive to store.
Howard will be hoping the numbers hold up otherwise his nuclear vision could be dead on arrival.
Clinton Porteous is The Courier-Mail's national political correspondent

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French want to be N-pals
Ben Packham and Fiona Hudson
October 19, 2006 12:00am
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20605952-662,00.html
A FRENCH nuclear giant wants to build a $5 billion reactor in Australia in a plan it says would tackle the nation's water crisis.
State-owned AREVA has launched a major push for a slice of Australia's atomic energy market in the hope the Howard Government will flick the switch.
A decade after the French ended nuclear testing in the Pacific, the company has made a submission to the Government's nuclear taskforce.
The submission says:

NUCLEAR power could ease water shortages by giving carbon-free energy for desalination plants.
AUSTRALIA'S uranium reserves would give it a strategic advantage over other nations when considering nuclear power.
BIG reactors are usually favoured over smaller ones, and fleets of identical reactors are often used because of cost advantages.
NEW generation reactors are safe and economically competitive with coal and gas-fired power.
USED fuel should be considered as a resource, containing valuable materials that can be recovered.

The submission says four Japanese reactors are already powering desalination plants, while another in Kazakhstan has been used for that purpose since 1999.
AREVA spokesman Charles Hufnagel said the company was very interested in breaking into a future market in Australia.
AREVA is behind a $5 billion, 1600 megawatt reactor being built in Finland, the first in the world to use so-called "third generation" technology.
Mr Hufnagel said similar pressurised water reactors would likely suit Australian conditions.
He conceded discussion of nuclear power was in its early stages in Australia but the company was keen to do a deal if the Government gave the technology the green light.
"After the decision is made to support new builds, AREVA would be very looking forward to business with your country," Mr Hufnagel said.
"The cost depends on the type and the power.
"The more powerful it is the more expensive. The global trend in the market is for the bigger reactors."
The Federal Government's nuclear taskforce, led by former Telstra boss Ziggy Switkowski, is looking at all aspects of the nuclear industry and is due to release a draft report next month.
In its submission, AREVA says high-level waste is treated to a form that holds it for hundreds of thousands of years.
It offers no solution as to where the waste would be dumped, but says it could be safely stored either above or below ground.

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Letter published in The Australian

Former NSW Premier Bob Carr said on ABC's Lateline program on Friday November 10 that "fourth generation reactors are safe". In fact, fourth generation nuclear power reactors are non-existent. The hype surrounding these non-existent reactors has attracted scepticism and cynicism even from within the nuclear industry, with one industry representative quipping that "the paper-moderated, ink-cooled reactor is the safest of all" and that "all kinds of unexpected problems may occur after a project has been launched."

Mr. Carr also said on Lateline that "in 30 years spent fuel won't be a problem, it will be recycled". Such schemes would require reprocessing plants as well as new fleets of plutonium-fuelled fast-neutron reactors to 'transmute' radioactive waste, thus rendering it less harmful.

Richard Lester, professor of nuclear science and engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, argues that the reprocessing and transmutation schemes outlined in the US government's Global Nuclear Energy Partnership amount to an "appealing vision, but the reality is that GNEP is unlikely to achieve these goals and will also make nuclear power less competitive."

According to Steve Kidd, a director of the World Nuclear Association, the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership proposals have been received "politely, but coolly" by the nuclear industry itself.

Jim Green
Melbourne

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - ECONOMICS

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Nuclear costs understated: report's critics
Wendy Frew Environment Reporter
November 22, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/nuclear-costs-understated-reports-critics/2006/11/21/1163871403156.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1
TAXPAYERS could be forced to subsidise the nuclear energy industry to the tune of several billion dollars as well as facing higher electricity prices, to get the industry up and running in Australia, energy experts say.
A Federal Government-commissioned report published yesterday underestimated the current operating costs of nuclear energy, and put too low a price on the carbon pollution generated by coal-fired power, critics said. Alternative forms of energy will only be able to compete with coal if coal pays for its greenhouse gas pollution.
But a carbon price at least double that recommended by the taskforce, which was headed by the former Telstra boss Ziggy Switkowski, would be necessary if nuclear power was to compete with coal, said Mark Diesendorf, a lecturer at the Institute of Environmental Studies at the University of NSW.
On top of that, it was likely extra government support would have to be offered to private companies to encourage it to invest in the industry, a point even the taskforce conceded in its report.
"The difference between me and Mr Switkowski is that I don't think nuclear power will get up even with carbon pricing … I don't think it could compete with coal on a price of $40 a tonne of carbon," Dr Diesendorf said.
Based on Massachusetts Institute of Technology research, the Sydney academic has estimated construction of a 1000-megawatt nuclear reactor would cost about $3 billion. That does not take account of the cost of insurance, storage of highly radioactive waste and its eventual decommissioning.
In his report, Dr Switkowski said nuclear power would be between 20 and 50 per cent more costly to produce than coal or gas-fired power.
"This gap may close in the decades ahead, but nuclear power and renewable energy sources will only become competitive in Australia in a system where the costs of greenhouse gas emissions are explicitly recognised," the report said.
"Even then, private investment in the first-built nuclear reactors may require some form of government support or directive."
It said nuclear power plants were initially likely to be 10 to 15 per cent more expensive than in the US because Australia had no nuclear power construction experience or any physical or regulatory infrastructure.
Studies by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the University of Chicago showed the industry would also initially suffer from what is known as "first of a kind" costs common in complex engineering projects and initial learning curves. However, the report dismissed those costs.
A campaigner with the Australian Conservation Foundation, Dave Sweeney, agreed the taskforce's calculations were unrealistic. "We welcome a carbon price, but on this basis [$15-$40 a tonne of carbon] I don't think that it will be significant enough to cover all the costs associated with nuclear power, and that is reflected in the report itself, which says the first plants in Australia could not be built as cheaply as they could be built in the US, and would need additional measures to kick start them.
"This is saying very clearly that if nuclear power is pursued in Australia the public purse will have to be open a very long time."
A campaigner with Friends of the Earth, Jim Green, said the Switkowski report's estimate that nuclear power was now up to 50 per cent more expensive than coal or gas-fired power was optimistic.
A recent Victorian Department of Infrastructure report had found that nuclear power was twice as expensive as coal-fired power, Dr Green said.
THE DRAWBACKS:
* Insurance companies will not take on the risk associated with nuclear plants, forcing governments to act as underwriters.
* The cost of cleaning up Britain's ageing nuclear facilities stands at £90 billion ($222 billion).
* A carbon price of about $35 a tonne would make wind power competitive with coal.

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Nuclear costs just a drop in ocean
Wendy Frew Environment Reporter
November 23, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/nuclear-costs-just-a-drop-in-ocean/2006/11/22/1163871481953.html
THE full cost of adopting nuclear power in Australia would probably be several hundred billion dollars and would be likely to go even higher because of a history of cost blow-outs in plant construction, decommissioning and waste storage, energy experts say.
Not only was there no guarantee costs and construction timetables for the latest-model nuclear plants could be controlled, other costs associated with the industry would probably be passed from industry to taxpayers, and from current to future generations, they said.
The $75 billion figure estimated by a Federal Government-commissioned report released on Tuesday covered only the construction of 25 nuclear power plants.
The nuclear industry was shocked last month by news the first reactor being built in Western Europe for two decades, at Olkiluoto in Finland, was running well over budget and causing financial losses for the French builder, Areva.
"It is hard to conceive that the Australian industry as a total newcomer to nuclear power would do better than the largest and most experienced builders in the world, and these builders struggle getting one large project off the ground," said Mycle Schneider, a French consultant on energy and nuclear policy.
Estimated costs for the eventual decommissioning of nuclear reactors have also blown out and there was little experience of how much it costs to dispose of the highly radioactive waste from a nuclear reactor, said Professor Steve Thomas, of the University of Greenwich in Britain.
"Even before there is actual experience of these operations, estimates are going up rapidly and, for example, the estimated cost of decommissioning Britain's oldest reactors has gone up by a factor of about six in only 15 years," Professor Thomas said.
"This could create huge problems for a plant owner that has taken money from consumers to pay for these operations, only to find halfway through the life of the plant that the cost is dramatically higher than predicted," he said.
In June, the British Government said the cost of cleaning up 20 nuclear facilities had risen to £90 billion ($220 billion), up from an estimated £70 billion in 2005.
An Australia Institute analyst, Andrew Macintosh, said other costs for the Government included establishing an agency to regulate the nuclear sector. Based on annual operating costs for the federal environment department, that could cost between $30 million and $50 million a year, he said.
It is also likely the Government would have to spend heavily on an advertising campaign to assure voters nuclear energy was safe, he said. Last year, the Howard Government allocated $55 million to advertise its industrial relations changes.
The storage of radioactive waste would be another costly exercise. The US Government's plan to build a nuclear waste storage facility in the Nevada desert is expected to cost more than $US40 billion ($52 billion).
Mr Macintosh said there could also be intangible costs such as damage to diplomatic relations with Asian neighbours worried about Australia's nuclear build-up.

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Nuclear dream too pricey
Peter Hartcher Political Editor
October 20, 2006
http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/nuclear-dream-too-pricey/2006/10/19/1160851070471.html
THE head of the Federal Government's inquiry into nuclear energy, Ziggy Switkowski, has dashed the Prime Minister's hopes for the future of nuclear power by saying that it is not economically viable.
Dr Switkowski told the Herald yesterday that Australia had so much cheap coal that "any comparison will be unfavourable for every alternative source" - including nuclear power - unless taxes were imposed on coal.
Ministers including the Treasurer, Peter Costello, have ruled out new taxes on coal or carbon emissions.
Yet the Prime Minister, John Howard, said this week: "I believe very strongly that nuclear power is part of the response to global warming. It is clean green." And the Minister for Industry and Resources, Ian Macfarlane, promoted nuclear power in a speech on Monday as the only non-fossil fuel energy source available to provide large loads of electricity. He said nuclear power plants could be under construction here within 10 years.
Dr Switkowski's conclusion mirrors the submissions he has received from two big producers of uranium. Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton have both told his inquiry that processing of uranium in Australia would not be economic.
Dr Switkowski, a nuclear physicist and former head of Telstra, said his panel was writing its report and expected to deliver it to the Government in about a month.
"Australia is blessed with a couple of things - very low-cost electricity because of access to coal and gas, and it has many centuries of coal supply available," he said. "Any comparison will be unfavourable for every alternative source in the absence of an explicit cost for carbon."
An "explicit cost for carbon" means the Government would need either to charge a carbon tax or introduce a cap on national carbon emissions and set up an emissions trading system.
The alternative way to make nuclear power economic would be for the Government to subsidise it.
The Finance Minister, Nick Minchin, predicted Dr Switkowski's findings in June when he said nuclear power would not be financially viable. "Nuclear power could only be really viable if you so taxed the coal and gas industries as to make them unviable," Senator Minchin said, adding that Mr Macfarlane's 10-year prediction was optimistic.
Labor opposes nuclear power because of the toxic waste it produces. It is advocating cleaner renewable energy sources such as wind, gas, solar and clean-coal technology.

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Nuclear 'unviable till coal price rises'
Matthew Warren
October 18, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20600604-2702,00.html
NUCLEAR power is too expensive to be developed in Australia and would only become viable through a massive spike in future coal and gas prices or a significant government-imposed impost on carbon emissions.

Energy generators claim current nuclear technology is between 50 to 100 per cent more expensive than conventional coal-fired power, and faces a range of political and technical hurdles before the first nuclear plant could be built.
Opposition resources spokesman Martin Ferguson yesterday accused the Howard Government of playing wedge politics between sections of the Labor Party by suggesting Australia could start building nuclear plants within a decade.
John Howard this week deliberately put nuclear power back on the political agenda as a potential low greenhouse-emissions energy solution, a month before his taskforce is due to report its draft findings on nuclear energy, reprocessing and uranium mining.
Mr Ferguson told The Australian that nuclear power was a distraction from the Government's unwillingness to properly engage in the energy security debate.
"There's no doubt the Prime Minister's fancy with nuclear power has been consistent with his 11 years of wedge politics," he said. "If he's not careful he's going to wedge himself because nuclear power does not stack up in Australia."
At an international nuclear conference in Sydney yesterday, Energy Supply Association chief executive Brad Page said that while nuclear power might be part of Australia's future energy mix, it would require either a significant rise in coal and gas prices or a regulatory constraint on carbon to be viable.
The Howard Government has consistently opposed carbon regulation without Australia being part of a global scheme.
Mr Page said as well as overcoming relatively higher costs, an Australian nuclear industry would need the support of the community and governments, the development of a skilled nuclear workforce and an established regulatory regime. He said energy investors would also want to minimise the political risk of investing in an expensive and politically sensitive investment such as a nuclear power plant.
"The assets that our industry builds are fixed in nature, very long-lived, and they cost billions of dollars when you are building base-load (power generators)," he said. "You cannot afford for an investment of that size to become stranded for what is seemingly an arbitrary political act."
Mr Page said a more rational perspective on nuclear energy was that it was one of a number of higher-cost, low-emission technologies and might be available by about 2030 as part of a composite of energy solutions to climate change.
"You'd be a very brave person today to say there was a silver bullet to greenhouse and it was any individual technology," Mr Page said.
Globally there are about 30 new nuclear plants under construction and more than 200 planned or proposed, with the World Nuclear Association forecasting a doubling of uranium demand by 2020. Australia holds the world's largest uranium reserves.

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PM's nuclear push outrageous: Suzuki
Paul Maley
Wednesday, 18 October 2006
http://canberra.yourguide.com.au/detail.asp?class=news&subclass=general&story_id=517647&category=General&m=10&y=2006
One of the world's most prominent environmentalists has rubbished suggestions by the Prime Minister that the environmental movement must rethink its opposition to nuclear power, saying nuclear energy was costly, unreliable and vulnerable to terrorist attack.
Dr David Suzuki, who is in Australia on an autobiographical tour, was scathing of the environmental record of the Howard Government, criticising it for its failure to ratify the Kyoto protocol and ignoring the potential of alternate energy sources such as wind and solar.
"This is a man who for four terms has denied the reality of climate change when people in his country, leading scientists, have been telling him urgent action is needed," Dr Suzuki said. "So now suddenly he has discovered climate change is something to do something about and he's telling [the environmental community] 'you've got to get on board with nuclear energy?' I think this is absolutely outrageous."
Dr Suzuki was at the Australian National University last night where he delivered a lecture on his own experiences as an environmentalist.
Speaking to The Canberra Times beforehand, he described the Prime Minister's endorsement of nuclear fuel as "the biggest crock of baloney I've heard". "How can you talk about a serious alternative form if you can't even answer questions about cost, reliability, protection from terrorism and nuclear waste? I mean it's crazy. Especially when there are so many other opportunities."
Dr Suzuki said Australia should be making use of its climate to become a leading exporter in solar technology.
"You've got something most countries would kill for called sunlight. Every bit of water in this country should be heated by the sun. The roof of every house in this country should be solar collectors and water collectors and right away you're dealing in a serious way with two big issues, water shortages and energy."
Dr Suzuki said a clear link existed between industrial activity and the current drought, which some have labelled the worst in the nation's history. "I think the scientists are very reluctant to say this is the result of global warming. It seems to me rather obvious the climate is changing, that's indisputable. We've added more carbon, that's indisputable. What do we think's going to happen? Weather patterns are going to change."
Dr Suzuki agreed with Mr Howard's comments earlier this week that nuclear energy emitted fewer CO2s than fossil fuels, but he denied it was a clean form of energy.
"It's not free, you still have to dig the stuff up out of the ground, you have to process it, you have to manufacture the plants."

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NUCLEAR POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - LOCATIONS

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Nuclear sites listed
Anthony Black
October 29, 2006 12:00am
Article from: Sunday Herald Sun
http://www.news.com.au/sundayheraldsun/story/0,21985,20660922-2862,00.html
FIVE potential sites have been identified for nuclear power stations in Victoria.
The Latrobe Valley, Avalon, near Geelong, Hastings, on Westernport Bay, Wonthaggi and Portland have been earmarked for possible future nuclear sites.
They are listed in a confidential part of a report to the Federal Government compiled by a group of nuclear experts.
One of the nation's leading nuclear scientists, Dr Clarence Hardy, said Victoria needed to change its ways if it wanted sustainable energy.
And he said the Latrobe Valley was the ideal site for a nuclear power station.
It would cut greenhouse gases as part of federal and state government moves to fight global warming and climate change.
"When coastal properties are threatened because of rising seawater levels, then people might want to invest in nuclear power," he said.
Dr Hardy said the Latrobe Valley was a premier power producer and highly regarded as an industrial centre.
He said a nuclear facility would complement existing brown-coal-fired stations, solar energy projects and wind farms.
"Nuclear is one option which must be considered in any future energy mix," he said.
"Solar and wind power are suitable for intermittent supply, but not for base load power.
"No nuclear power would mean building more coal-fired or gas-powered stations."
Dr Hardy, who heads the Pacific Nuclear Council, said coastal regions close to capital cities would be the best location for the plants, eliminating the need for cooling towers.
"I think these sites would be the right ones, but I am sure the environmentalists would have different views," Dr Hardy said.

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 NUCLEAR  POWER FOR AUSTRALIA - WORKFORCE ISSUES

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Atomic jobs explosion
The greatest barrier to developing a nuclear industry in Australia is not political or public will but the lack of a qualified work force, writes Joseph Kerr
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20690453-30417,00.html
November 03, 2006
UKRAINE, Finland, Britain, the US, Canada, France, South Korea and Japan: Ziggy Switkowski has been a dedicated globe-trotter in recent weeks. In charge of a key prime ministerial inquiry into Australia's nuclear future, the former Telstra chief executive has been to nuclear reactors, enrichment facilities and waste storage depots across the world.
Along with the rest of his six-member taskforce, he has been within 100m of the damaged Chernobyl reactor in Ukraine and heard about the long-term effects of the 1986 disaster that remains the world's worst atomic accident. Charged with working out what contribution nuclear energy may make to Australia, Switkowski has gone to the countries with the technology and know-how.
Australia has 40 per cent of the world's most accessible uranium. Despite a strong push to build a reactor by prime minister John Gorton between 1969 and 1972, no enrichment facilities or power plants exist.
That could be about to change.
The push by Prime Minister John Howard, to value-add to Australia's uranium exports, and US President George W. Bush, who wants an international fuel leasing scheme, means Australia may develop enrichment facilities or power plants in the future.
But there is a key issue to be confronted if, as expected, Switkowski recommends an expansion of Australia's nuclear activity: skilled workers. If the Switkowski taskforce backs a second government push for nuclear power, Australia will face a vital skills shortage.
A significant part of the report, which is to be produced in draft form by November 21, is understood to look at the gaping holes in the Australian nuclear work force.
It is expected to explore the chasm in Australia's nuclear skills base and the key workers Australia will need to produce or import to build a nuclear industry, including health and safety experts, radiation physicists, mining engineers and geologists.
The estimated size of the nuclear work force in Britain is 50,000, including about 20,000 involved in the production and reprocessing of nuclear fuel and waste handling.
After the 1972 decision not to proceed with the planned 500-megawatt plant at Jervis Bay on the NSW south coast, Australia's nuclear work force withered. Accidents such as Chernobyl and Three Mile Island in the US gave nuclear power a bad name worldwide.
Australian university courses closed and research was mostly confined to the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation facility at Lucas Heights near Sydney.
Liberal MP and former CSIRO research scientist Dennis Jensen says the development of an Australian nuclear work force was stunted by political setbacks and accidents during the past 30 years. "I think the final nail there at the time was Chernobyl; they just thought: '(We) can't see any future here at all,"' he says.
"Despite Gough (Whitlam) and (William) McMahon and so on having stopped the Nowra nuclear power station, it was still seen as somewhat of a possibility through the '70s. But you had Three Mile Island in '79 which put a bit of a dampener on it, then Labor got in, in '83, and they adopted the three-mines policy and '86 finally killed it."
Jensen says the last Australian nuclear engineering faculty, at the University of NSW, closed down in 1988. Since then, there has been a greying of the nuclear work force with many of the experts in their 70s and 80s.
Aidan Byrne, head of physics at the Australian National University, says there are only a few educational centres in Australia where people can train in nuclear fields and graduates tend to work in hospitals with medical isotopes, where radioactive atoms are used in therapies for diseases including cancer.
Opposition resources spokesman Martin Ferguson says: "After 25 years, when not only Australia but the rest of the world has let its nuclear skills base decline, there is a serious shortage of skilled people; at the same time global demand for reactors is at unprecedented levels."
But Jensen says given the growing interest in nuclear energy as a partial solution to greenhouse gas emissions, this deficit will have to be reduced if Australia goes down the nuclear path.
Emboldened by the Howard Government's nuclear push, universities are looking to develop postgraduate courses to cope with work force needs for nuclear physicists, chemical engineers and miners trained in radiological safety.
Whatever steps are taken to expand the nuclear industry in Australia - whether through increased mining, conversion, enrichment, nuclear power provision or waste storage - more people with the skills to handle radiological material safely will be required, Byrne says.
If Australia decides to develop a conversion and enrichment facility, more chemical engineers will be needed, Byrne explains. If Australia wants to develop a nuclear enrichment plant, it will also need physicists and chemists and centrifuge experts. "That's a really complicated process where you need some really skilled people," Byrne says.
As it seems unlikely the Government will bear the pain of nuclear power to produce just one reactor, Australia may need thousands of skilled workers.
People skilled in environmental sciences and geology are needed for the storage and handling of radioactive waste, Byrne says. A beefed-up regulatory bureaucracy will also have to oversee the industry. "In health physics, we can expand the existing programs around Australia, but for nuclear engineering nobody here does it," he says.
The Australian Institute of Nuclear Science and Engineering has told the Switkowski review that if "Australia were to set up a reprocessing plant similar in size to that at La Hague (in France), it is estimated that approximately 1500 positions for engineers and managers as well as another 2400 technicians" would be needed.
Likewise, an enrichment plant "like that on the Tricastin nuclear site (in France) could employ 300 people, most of whom would require specialist education and training in nuclear science and engineering".
Even if Australia takes a minimalist option and expands uranium mining to feed China's vast growth in coming decades, it will need hundreds of trained staff. At BHP's Olympic Dam mine in South Australia, for example, about 30 people work in radiation and environmental management, including environmental scientists.
Jensen believes Australia will need to import a reactor from overseas, as was the case with the new Open Pool Australian Light-water, or OPAL, research reactor at the Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation that was Argentine designed and built. ANSTO uses neutrons produced in the reactor to conduct research in areas as diverse as food science, engineering science, biology and chemistry.
There are some Australian experts living and working overseas who may be enticed back. But while some of the labour can be imported, Jensen says the expansion of nuclear power production anticipated in China during the next decades and a resurgence in interest across the world because of fossil fuel-driven global warming will mean a great demand for this talent pool.
"Particularly with a growing of the nuclear industry worldwide, there is going to be a shortage of that skill set all over the world," Jensen says.
The Switkowski review is expected to show that while international competition may be fierce for the exact skills needed in Australia, the long lead times for developing an indigenous industry will help relieve the problem.
Dennis Mather, the scientific secretary at AINSE - the link between universities and ANSTO in providing research grants to university researchers to conduct experiments at the Lucas Heights reactor - says it will be possible to import people to train Australians or to do the work themselves.
But some elements of the process, such as the processing and reprocessing of fuel rods, contain highly sensitive information often restricted to a small number of companies internationally. "It may not be possible to gain the necessary licences to operate the technology to fabricate or dismantle fuel rods," Mather says.
To construct a nuclear power plant, a consortium of Australian and foreign companies may be involved, as the Argentines were in the OPAL reactor at Lucas Heights.
Mather says work has begun on developing a new multidisciplinary university course to help breed an Australian work force.
With the results of the Switkowski nuclear review on the horizon - the final report should be in the Government's hands in December - AINSE is surveying universities to see what sort of programs they have in place and "what you think we might have to do if any or all of these parts come to fruition".
"We're still conducting that review but we have established already there's a fair amount of postgraduate education and training going on in the general area," Mather says. "What we don't have is specific training on nuclear engineering." This includes reactor construction and operation, and the processing and reprocessing of nuclear fuel rods.
A multi-badged postgraduate course could be developed between universities across the country, which would allow people to tailor a course to develop the skills they want. ANSTO also has $250,000 fellowships on offer that could help bring in international researchers.
Some experts aren't worried about the skills shortage. John White, former head of the Government's uranium industry taskforce, says building a nuclear power plant can take up to 15 years.
"When you start off on a new class of infrastructure like a new class of submarines (or nuclear power plants), of course you don't have the skilled people," White says.
"But you can put through three to four rounds of graduates and trainees from scratch in the gestation period of the projects we're talking about."
In all the projects White has been involved in, including offshore oil and gas work and the Anzac frigate project, expert subcontractors have been sourced from across the world.
"We can do about anything in this country we've wanted," he says.

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Nuclear industry skills 'lacking'
Joseph Kerr
November 03, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20691951-2702,00.html

THE federal Government review into nuclear energy is likely to find that the lack of a home-grown nuclear power industry has left Australia with skills shortages in key areas.
The review - headed by former Telstra chief Ziggy Switkowski - is expected to produce a draft report by November 21 identifying skills and education in nuclear science as key issues in need of attention.
Industry Minister Ian Macfarlane said yesterday an Australian nuclear industry could act as a magnet to highly skilled scientists and technicians who went overseas to pursue their careers.
It could also create job opportunities for Australians and boost universities that moved to capitalise on its development.
If the review by the six-member taskforce recommends an expansion of the nuclear industry - such as into enrichment - or identifies a way to make nuclear power economically competitive, experts have warned that Australia would need to develop skilled workers.
Some of the nuclear scientists and technicians might have to be imported along with the likely infrastructure for a power reactor, but other key experts could be trained in Australia.
Talk is already turning to designing new university courses to make up the skills shortfall.
It is understood the committee has been considering the steps that would need to be taken should there be an expansion of the nuclear industry in this country, including setting up an appropriate regulatory regime.
The report is also expected to consider the number of health and safety staff that would be required, along with mining engineers, physicists, geologists and radiation physicists.
One of the concerns understood to be expressed in the report is that Australia has allowed a gap to develop in its nuclear skills base over the past two decades due to a lacklustre interest in the technology.
This could leave the nation exposed as it tries to attract the staff it needs from overseas.
Other countries are showing much greater interest in going nuclear or expanding their nuclear power industries themselves as international pressure grows to reduce greenhouse gases from fossil fuels.
But Mr Macfarlane said a nuclear energy industry could provide benefits beyond electricity and greenhouse gas emissions.
"Further development of the nuclear energy sector could not only create job opportunities for people in Australia now, but potentially draw back to the country those who have left to pursue careers in the nuclear industry which is already well established in many countries around the world," he said.
"It could also create good opportunities for universities."
However, Mr Macfarlane urged caution until the Switkowski report was released.
"We first need to determine whether there is an economic and environmental case for nuclear energy in Australia," he said.
The nuclear taskforce was established in June to review uranium mining, the prospects for processing the ore here and the possible contribution of nuclear energy to Australia in the longer term.

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NUCLEAR POWER - SUMMARY OF IMPACTS

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Electricity from Nuclear Energy
US Environmental Protection Agency
http://www.epa.gov/cleanrgy/nuc.htm
Nuclear energy originates from the splitting of uranium atoms in a process called fission. Fission releases energy that can be used to make steam, which is used in a turbine to generate electricity. Nuclear power accounts for approximately 19 percent of the United States' electricity production. More than 100 nuclear generating units are currently in operation in the United States.1 No nuclear power plants have been built since 1996.2
Uranium is a nonrenewable resource that cannot be replenished on a human time scale. Uranium is extracted from open-pit and underground mines. Once mined, the uranium ore is sent to a processing plant to be concentrated into a useful fuel (i.e., uranium oxide pellets). This uranium enrichment process generates radioactive waste. Enriched fuel is then transported to the nuclear power plant.
At the power plant, the uranium oxide pellets are bombarded with neutrons, causing the uranium atoms to split and release both heat and neutrons. These neutrons collide with other uranium atoms and to release additional heat and neutrons in a chain reaction. This heat is used to generate steam, which is used by a turbine to generate electricity.
Environmental Impacts
Although power plants are regulated by federal and state laws to protect human health and the environment, there is a wide variation of environmental impacts associated with power generation technologies.
The purpose of the following section is to give consumers a better idea of the specific air, water, land, and radioactive waste releases associated with nuclear power electricity generation.
Air Emissions
Nuclear power plants do not emit carbon dioxide, sulfur dioxide, or nitrogen oxides. However, fossil fuel emissions are associated with the uranium mining and uranium enrichment process as well as the transport of the uranium fuel to the nuclear plant.
Water Resource Use
Nuclear power plants use large quantities of water for steam production and for cooling. When nuclear power plants remove water from a lake or river for steam production and cooling, fish and other aquatic life can be affected.
Water Discharges
Water pollutants, such as heavy metals and salts, build up in the water used in the nuclear power plant systems. These water pollutants, as well as the higher temperature of the water discharged from the power plant, can negatively affect water quality and aquatic life.
Although the nuclear reactor is radioactive, the water discharged from the power plant is not considered radioactive because it never comes in contact with radioactive materials.3 However, waste generated from uranium mining operations and rainwater runoff can contaminate groundwater and surface water resources with heavy metals and traces of radioactive uranium.
Radioactive Waste Generation
Every 18 to 24 months, nuclear power plants must shut down to remove and replace the "spent" uranium fuel.4 This spent fuel has released most of its energy as a result of the fission process and has become radioactive waste.
All of the nuclear power plants in the United States together produce about 2,000 metric tons per year of radioactive waste.5 Currently, the radioactive waste is stored at the nuclear plants at which it is generated, either in steel-lined, concrete vaults filled with water or in above-ground steel or steel-reinforced concrete containers with steel inner canisters. The Department of Energy is currently preparing a license application to construct a permanent central repository at Yucca Mountain. If the license is granted, the respository could begin to accept waste by 2012. In addition to the fuel waste, much of the equipment in the nuclear power plants becomes contaminated with radiation and will become radioactive waste after the plant is closed. These wastes will remain radioactive for many thousands of years.
Uranium processing produces radioactive wastes that must be adequately stored and isolated to minimize the risk of radioactive release. The management, packaging, transport, and disposal of this waste is strictly regulated and carefully controlled by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
Land Resource Use
The construction of nuclear power plants can destroy natural habitat for animals and plants or contaminate local land with toxic by-products. For example, the storage of radioactive waste may preclude any future re-use of these contaminated lands.
Reserves
In 2003, U.S. uranium ore reserves were estimated at about 890 million pounds. These reserves are located primarily in Wyoming and New Mexico.6
1. U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, Uranium Industry Annual 2000 (PDF, 81 pp., 491 KB, About PDF). 

2. Ibid.

3. Nuclear Energy Institute, Fact Sheet: Nuclear Energy and the Environment. July 2000. 

4. Ibid.

5. U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Agency, Nuclear Power Generation and Fuel Cycle Report 1997.

6. U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, U.S. Uranium Reserves Estimates, June 2004.

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URANIUM - VARIOUS

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Yellowcake fever
Friday, November 17, 2006
Uranium shares are booming as an energy-hungry world and global warming become significant factors, reports Alan Deans.
http://bulletin.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=161894

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Uranium's glow waning, investors warned
Robin Bromby
27oct06
The Australian
URANIUM investors beware: there aren't many bargains left in the sector.
This is the conclusion reached by Far East Capital's Warwick Grigor after he analysed more than 50 uranium stocks listed on the Australian Stock Exchange. The size of the known resource, the market capitalisation per pound of uranium in the ground and exploration results were all examined.
Stocks where there is still value to be found at present prices are pretty thin on the ground.
Top of the pile is Metex Resources, which has a uranium deposit in Italy, although Mr Grigor believes the resource needs to double in size to make it worth developing. But with Metex shares trading at 6.1c on Tuesday (the day on which all price calculations were based), the shares offered good upside.
"It is a cautiously and competently managed company that would be one of the lower risk ways to play the uranium market," the report says.
Nova Energy gets a "sound" rating because its projects have real production possibilities once the political opposition in Western Australia is resolved.
Summit Resources has been one of Far East's preferred uranium plays for some time, having, in Queensland, one of the largest undeveloped uranium resources in Australia.
Mr Grigor expects Paladin Resources to make a move on Summit, following the latter's successful takeover of Valhalla Uranium, which owns half of Summit's main deposits.
Mr Grigor has a big stake in uranium. He is chairman of Monaro Mining, which is in Krygyzstan; a director of Peninsula Mining, which is looking in South Australia and South Africa; and a shareholder in Western Metals.
All three, as would be expected, get a "good" grading at Far East Capital - Monaro because it is seen as one of the cheapest potential producers, Peninsula because of the potential of its grassroots projects, and Western Metals because its ex-WMC Resources management team has picked up uranium ground in Tanzania.
The report - "What is the value in the Uranium Sector?" - says uranium prices up to $US100/lb (nearly double the present $US56/lb spot) could be reached in a year or two, allowing many marginal projects to come on stream.
But Mr Grigor says investors should pick out the companies with sizeable deposits with the potential for between 25,000 tonnes and 50,000 tonnes of uranium.
He warns against placing too much emphasis on a few good intersections or assays.
"Beware of beat-ups designed to drive the share price," Mr Grigor says.
Tricks that companies use to get a good headline for a stock exchange release include drilling right beside an old hole that had good grades - which guaranteed a good intercept but doesn't add any new information about the deposit - and reassaying previous drilling as a substitute for getting stuck into detailed drilling programs.
There are plenty of uranium stocks that don't appeal to Mr Grigor, who charts these and many other resources juniors daily.
Compass Resources, which has the old Rum Jungle project in the Northern Territory, had been taken to unrealistic levels because US funds bought aggressively.
Uranium Exploration Australia is another to get the thumbs-down.
Bannerman Resources has been running since August and its $152 million market cap is looking "a bit heady".
Toro Energy, while having good projects, has too much expectation built into its 74c share price.
Aurora Minerals, which is looking for uranium projects, gets dismissed: "There is nothing compelling here."

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URANIUM - RANGER EXTENSION IN NT

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http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200610/s1773519.htm
Last Update: Wednesday, October 25, 2006. 4:28pm (AEST)
Ranger processing operations extended
The mining company operating the Ranger uranium mine, which is surrounded by Kakadu National Park, has announced it will extend processing operations for a further six years.
Energy Resources Australia (ERA) says it will be able to extract an additional 11,000 tonnes of uranium from low grade material that has been sitting in stockpiles for some years.
The chief executive of ERA, Harry Kenyon-Slaney, says that will extend the life of the processing operations until 2020.
"Clearly one of the reasons that this has been possible is that the market price of uranium has increased significantly over recent years, and that lowers the cut-off grade that we can use," he said.

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Media - Release
27/11/06

Kakadu uranium miner's blurred 2020 vision

Plans by Energy Resources of Australia (ERA) to extend uranium production at its controversial Ranger uranium mine in Kakadu until 2020 have been described as radioactive roulette and bad news for the Kakadu environment by the Australian Conservation Foundation (ACF).

ERA has broken an earlier commitment to end milling operations by 2014 and is planning to process greater volumes of low grade ore. This move would see more radioactive waste and water made and stored in Kakadu National Park.

"ERA is putting perceived short term profit ahead of prudent risk management, long term corporate responsibility and the unique Kakadu environment," said ACF nuclear campaigner Dave Sweeney.

"More milling of low grade ore means trouble for Kakadu and a bigger clean up cost for ERA and its parent company Rio Tinto".

"The aging Ranger mill is under pressure and underperforming and ERA's plan means more tailings, more waste and more contamination will need to be managed at Ranger when operations do end," said Dave Sweeney.

"This long term financial burden for ERA will far outweigh any short term gain."

The Ranger mine has been plagued with continuing serious water and waste management issues and has a long history of leaks, spills and incidents.

A 2003 Senate report into the operations of Ranger called for urgent changes to the operation in order to avoid 'serious or irreversible damage'.

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Uranium soars as new mine flooded
Nigel Wilson, Energy writer
October 26, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20646375-643,00.html
A FLOOD at a new uranium mine in Canada spurred uranium stocks around the world to fresh highs yesterday with shares in Australia's biggest uranium exporter, the 68 per cent-owned Rio Tinto subsidiary ERA, jumping almost 8 per cent for a second day of gains.
Cameco, the world's biggest uranium producer, reported earlier in the week that it was unable to control flooding at the Cigar Lake development in Saskatchewan following a rock fall on Sunday.
The accident has led market analysts to suggest that the spot price, which was $US56 a pound this week, could top $US100 a pound as consumers attempt to find replacement supplies for post-2008 consumption.
Uranium prices, which were languishing at under $US10 a pound four years ago, have increased from $US36.25 since the end of last year.
Cigar Lake is a joint venture owned by Canada's Cameco (50 per cent), French nuclear giant AREVA (37 per cent) and Japanese groups Idemitsu (8 per cent) and Tokyo Electric (5 per cent).
The new underground mine had been expected to be in production in 2008, exploiting proven and probable reserves of 232 million pounds grading 19 per cent uranium at an annual plateau rate of 18 million pounds.
ERA was queried by the stock exchange on Tuesday about the increase in its share price from closing at $14.28 on Friday to $15.77 mid Tuesday. It responded by pointing to the Cigar Lake incident and noting that a number of uranium stocks had risen since Cameco's announcement. ERA shares closed up $1.19 or 7.7 per cent to $16.70 yesterday.
ERA also yesterday confirmed that the operational life of its Ranger mine would be extended until at least 2020 and probably much longer.
Mining at Ranger was still expected to end in 2008 but milling previously mined material, which was expected to end in 2014, will now continue to 2020.
ERA said it had increased its total reserves of contained uranium oxide by 11,100 tonnes - from 44,458 at the beginning of January to 52,433 tonnes at the end of September.
The reserves increase results from screening and processing stockpiled material grading between 0.02 and 0.08 per cent uranium oxide.
ERA said the additional reserves, with an average grade of 0.074 per cent uranium oxide, would be processed between 2014 and 2020 - adding six years to the predicted life of Ranger.
The company said a further 41.8 million tonnes of material grading between 0.02 and 0.08 per cent with an average grade of 0.04 per cent would be in stockpiles at the end of mining.
This was not included in ERA's mineral resources or ore reserves.
"The company is investigating methods of economically processing this material. Options include further sorting and plant throughput increases," ERA said.
It is understood the stored material is too much for the existing process facilities to treat economically.
Last week ERA reported encouraging drilling results from its program to define new economic reserves that could extend the life of Ranger well beyond the new closure date.
ERA said drilling to the east of the Ranger pit had yielded significant intersections grading above 0.4 per cent uranium oxide about 150 to 250 metres underground.
A feasibility study into whether the existing pit can be extended by up to 300m is expected to be completed by the end of the year.

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Kakadu under threat - again
 
The Environment Centre of the NT (ECNT) has vowed to vigorously oppose ERA's move to expand the controversial Ranger uranium mine in Kakadu.
 ERA are considering significantly expanding the existing open cut operation – a move that would have serious impacts on the region's unique environment.
 "The current closure plan to end mining in 2008 and milling in 2014 has been much anticipated by those concerned with protection of the World Heritage-listed Kakadu National," said ECNT uranium campaigner Emma King.
 "Since Ranger opened in 1979 there have been over 200 accidents and spills. Many of these have released radioactive material into the local environment.
 "There are on-going problems with the containment and management of water at the mine. Fundamental design mistakes made during the development of Ranger continue to cause problems for the mine operators and increase the risk of wider contamination.
 "Monitoring of surface water has shown that levels of contamination – including uranium -  downstream from the mine are steadily rising.
 "The other big issue for the mine is the storage and containment of tailings. The existing tailings dam is leaking and contamination is moving through the groundwater. Despite this ERA are increasing the size of this dam.
 "The current authority to mine includes a legal requirement that all tailings be placed back into the pits at the end of operations. ERA is required to physically isolate the tailings from the environment for at least 10,000 years.
 "If ERA is allowed to expand Ranger, keeping pit 3 open, there will be even greater problems with tailings management.
 "ECNT will keep a close eye on the proposed expansion and continue to work for the long-term protection of Kakadu National Park."
 Ranger is currently the only operating uranium mine in the NT. The development of other deposits in Kakadu have been consistently vetoed by traditional owners. Following a major anti-mining fight the Jabiluka deposit has been stalled under a long term care and maintenance agreement between Mirarr people and ERA. Applications for an exploration licence by French company Areva over the Koongarra deposit have been vetoed by traditional owners several times.

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URANIUM INDUSTRY FRAMEWORK REPORT

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Uranium Industry Framework report now uploaded at http://industry.gov.au/uif

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Uranium mining report angers environmental groups
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200611/s1787743.htm
Last Update: Tuesday, November 14, 2006. 9:00am (AEDT)
Environmental groups have been incensed by a report published by the Uranium Industry Framework Steering Group, which is aimed at removing impediments to uranium mining.
The Federal Government-commissioned report gives 20 recommendations to remove impediments to uranium mining.
It recommends a national program to ease transport restrictions on uranium oxide and calls for uranium "stewardship" rather than punitive regulation of the industry.
Australian Conservation Foundation (ACF) spokesman Dave Sweeney says the steering group is dominated by uranium industry executives and pro-mining government officials.
He says the report reads more like a brochure for uranium mining than a serious discussion of a contentious industry.
"It is not inevitable, it is not desirable, it is not safe or sustainable and if you do a genuine and rigorous assessment, it is not a good clean business for this country to be involved in," he said.
"Unfortunately this report doesn't do a genuine or rigorous assessment, it's an industry advocacy document."
Environment groups are also sceptical about a promise from the federal Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane not to start new uranium mines without the support of Indigenous traditional owners.
Four recommendations urge closer partnerships with Indigenous people who own land sitting on uranium deposits.
Mr Macfarlane has reiterated that mines will not go ahead without their consent, but Mr Sweeney says it is a surprising promise given the industry's history.
"I wish they could make that retrospective, because they'd close Ranger," Mr Sweeney said.
"It has never enjoyed Aboriginal consent. It was actively opposed by the Mirrar people, but there was a determination following a Federal Government process at that time that the opposition of the Mirrar would not be allowed to prevail, and ever since then we've seen a gradual increasing pressure on people to say yes to mining."
ACF says a report from senior figures connected to the mining industry cannot guarantee that uranium exports will not be used in nuclear weapons.
Mr Sweeney says the document glosses over massive holes in the global nuclear safeguards regime and its inability to track Australian uranium.
"We have to be absolutely red hot certain that we can track, guarantee and isolate and quite frankly we're not," he said.
"We cannot guarantee that Australian uranium will not inadvertently either end up in nuclear weapons programs or free up other uranium to end up in nuclear weapons programs."

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Macfarlane welcomes uranium industry shake-up
http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/200611/s1787581.htm
Last Update: Monday, November 13, 2006. 8:20pm (AEDT)
The federal Resources Minister has welcomed a report aimed at removing restrictions to the growth of Australia's uranium mining industry.
Ian Macfarlane says a plan for the future of the uranium mining industry is aimed at removing the structural and political impediments to growth.
Mr Macfarlane set up the Uranium Industry Framework (UIF) steering group in August last year.
He has backed the group's report that lists 20 recommendations, including the creation of a uranium stewardship system that it says avoids a punitive and regulatory approach.
"But there's no suggestion that in any way the regulation or the safety requirements will be lessened," he said.
The recommendations also include redressing a shortage of radiation safety officers, a national approach to transporting uranium and closer partnerships with Indigenous land owners.
Mr Macfarlane says state governments should ease restrictions on transporting uranium oxide that force all exports through Darwin's port.
"In the end many of these regulations are set by state governments and therefore subject to the vagary of their politics," he said.
Mr Macfarlane says until recently the biggest roadblock has been opposition by state and territory governments to new mines.
"That's created an uncertainty in the industry about its future," he said.
"But with the support of the South Australian Government and with mining proceeding in the Northern Territory, most people in the resources sector see the uranium industry as a secure industry to be part of."

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MEDIA ALERT 13/11/06 ------ FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
FRIENDS OF THE EARTH, AUSTRALIA
 
RESPONSE TO URANIUM INDUSTRY FRAMEWORK REPORT

Federal industry minister Ian Macfarlane will this afternoon release the report of the Uranium Industry Framework Steering Group, which will include numerous recommendations to expand Australia's uranium mining industry.
 
The UIF Steering Group is chaired by Dr. John White from the controversial Nuclear Fuel Leasing Group (NFLG), a consortium which wants to import high-level nuclear waste and to dump it in Australia. See the NFLG submission at: <www.pmc.gov.au/umpner/submissions.cfm> and the article by journalist Julie Macken at <www.newmatilda.com>.
 
Some facts which will not be included in the Uranium Industry Framework report:
* A 1999 survey found that 85% of Australians want the federal parliament to pass legislation banning the import of foreign nuclear waste into Australia (Insight Research Australia). Not only has the Howard government refused to enact such legislation, but all Coalition Senators opposed a May 2006 Senate motion opposing the import of nuclear waste.
* A May 2006 Newspoll of 1200 Australians found that 66% are opposed to new uranium mines.
* An International Atomic Energy Agency survey of 1000 Australians in 2005 found that 56% think the IAEA's safeguards system is ineffective. Dr Mohamed El Baradei, the Director-General of the IAEA, describes the safeguards system as "fairly limited", subject to "vulnerabilities" and operating on a "shoestring budget ... comparable to a local police department". Australia's uranium has produced 86 tonnes of plutonium in power reactors around the world, enough for about 8,600 nuclear weapons, yet we are entirely reliant on the flawed and underfunded safeguards system of the IAEA to prevent the misuse of that plutonium.
 
Dr Jim Green, national nuclear campaigner for Friends of the Earth, said: "Last year, uranium accounted for one third of 1% of Australia's export income. Wine and medicines each accounted for five times as much export revenue. We can export wine and medicines with a clear conscience but the same cannot be said for exports of WMD feedstock in the form of uranium. The best-case scenario is that uranium will end up as high-level nuclear waste and lead to a growing push to dump the waste in Australia since there is no permanent repository for high-level waste anywhere in the world. The alternative scenario is that Australian uranium finds its way into nuclear weapons - the most destructive weapons ever devised."
 
David Noonan from the Australian Conservation Foundation said: "Far from 'harmonising' the regulation of the uranium mining industry, as Ian Macfarlane claims, the Uranium Industry Framework report will promote self-regulation and fast-tracking the imposition of expanded uranium mining and exports."

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URANIUM - SAFEGUARDS ARE A JOKE

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Safeguarding our nuclear ambitions

By Nadia Watson
November 21, 2006
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=5168

The Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office claims that nuclear safeguards "provide assurances that exported uranium and its derivatives cannot benefit the development of nuclear weapons".

In fact, the safeguards system is flawed in many respects and it cannot provide such assurances.

The main component of nuclear safeguards is the monitoring and inspection regime operated by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) signatory states are expected to bring all nuclear material and activities under IAEA safeguards. There is an important exception to this rule, however, the five "declared" nuclear weapons states (US, Russia, UK, France, and China) are not required to put any nuclear facilities under safeguards though they may do so on a voluntary basis.

All but three states - Israel, India and Pakistan - are NPT signatories. North Korea has effectively withdrawn from the NPT although there are ongoing efforts to bring it back within the NPT "tent" through the protracted six-party talks.

IAEA safeguards involve periodical inspections of nuclear facilities and nuclear materials accounting to determine whether the amount of nuclear material going through the fuel cycle matches the country's records. In theory, the system is simple. In practice, IAEA safeguards have proven to be technically complex and politically contentious.

Five states have been reported to the UN Security Council for non-compliance with their safeguards agreements: Iraq in 1991, Romania in 1992, North Korea in 1993, Libya in 2004, and Iran in 2006. Other countries have carried out weapons-related research projects in violation of their NPT agreement, or have failed to carry out reporting requirements, without the matter being referred to the Security Council - including South Korea, Taiwan, the former Yugoslavia, and Egypt.

The five "declared" weapons states have NPT obligations to pursue disarmament. While none have been reported to the United Nations Security Council, they are arguably all in breach of their NPT commitments given their unwillingness to seriously pursue disarmament.

As IAEA Director-General Mohamed El Baradei noted in a February 2004 speech: "We must abandon the unworkable notion that it is morally reprehensible for some countries to pursue weapons of mass destruction yet morally acceptable for others to rely on them for security - indeed to continue to refine their capacities and postulate plans for their use."
IAEA budgetary constraints

The IAEA lacks the resources to effectively carry out its safeguards role. For more than 15 years, the IAEA's verification program operated under conditions of zero real growth. Then in 2004, the budget was increased by 12.4 per cent, with a further 3.3 per cent increase in 2005.

In October, El Baradei stressed the seriousness of the funding problem in a speech to an International Safeguards symposium in Vienna:
"Financial resources are another key issue. Our budget is only $130 million; that's the budget with which we're supposed to verify the nuclear activities of the entire world. Reportedly some $1 billion was spent by the Iraq Survey Group after the war in that country. Our budget, as I have said before, is comparable with the budget of the police department in Vienna. So we don't have the required resources in many ways to be independent, to buy our own satellite monitoring imagery, or crucial instrumentation for our inspections. We still do not have our laboratories here in Vienna equipped for state-of-the-art analysis of environmental samples."

The IAEA oversees approximately 900 nuclear facilities in 71 countries. The problem of inadequate funding is exacerbated by the ever-increasing challenge of safeguards. The volume of nuclear material - and the number of nuclear facilities - requiring safeguarding increases steadily and the expanded inspection rights provided by Additional Protocols (discussed later) further stretch the system.

In addition to resource constraints, issues relating to national sovereignty and commercial confidentiality have also adversely impacted on safeguards. In a 2004 paper, Harvard University academic Matthew Bunn points to the constraints enshrined in the IAEA's basic safeguards template, "INFCIRC 153":
"INFCIRC 153 is replete with provisions designed to ensure that safeguards would not be too intrusive. They are to be implemented in a manner designed "to avoid hampering" technological development, "to avoid undue interference" in civilian nuclear energy, and "to reduce to a minimum the possible inconvenience and disturbance to the State". The IAEA is not to ask for more from the state than "the minimum amount of information and data consistent with carrying out its responsibilities", and specific upper bounds are placed on the number of person-days of inspection permitted at various types of nuclear facilities."

Untimely detection

Detection of diversion can only be discovered after it has occurred, thus safeguards can never actually physically prevent the development of clandestine nuclear programs. IAEA safeguards discourage diversion but they cannot stop it.

The "detection time" should be shorter than the "conversion time", the latter being the "time required to convert different forms of nuclear material to the components of a nuclear explosive device". Conversion times vary - for metallic plutonium and highly-enriched uranium, the time is seven to ten days; for highly-enriched uranium in irradiated fuel, one to three months; and one year for low-enriched uranium.

Facilities using nuclear materials with shorter conversion times ought to be inspected more often. In practice, this objective is compromised as the IAEA does not actually inspect all facilities which are potentially subject to safeguards, because of the aforementioned resource constraints and political and commercial sensitivities.

For example, the federal parliament's Joint Standing Committee on Treaties is currently assessing the merits of uranium exports to China, and it has emerged during the course of the Committee's deliberations that of the ten Chinese facilities potentially subject to IAEA safeguards last year, only three were actually inspected. (The application of safeguards to China is the subject of a detailed report released by the Medical Association for the Prevention of War on November 7. <www.mapw.org.au>.)

When suspicions arise regarding the possible diversion of nuclear material, the response has proven to be far from "timely". An October 2005 paper by the Union of Concerned Scientists noted that there have been standoffs where unresolved discrepancies in nuclear material accountancy have remained unresolved for years. Iran and North Korea provide two contemporary examples of protracted disputes.

Material unaccounted for

"Material unaccounted for" refers to discrepancies between the "book stock" (the expected measured amount) and the "physical stock" (the actual measured amount) of nuclear materials at a location under safeguards. Such discrepancies are frequent due to the difficulty of precisely measuring amounts of nuclear material.

Discrepancies make it difficult to be confident that nuclear material has not been diverted for military use.

"Material unaccounted for" is a problem that is possibly unsolvable. In a large plant, even a tiny percentage of the annual through-put of nuclear material may suffice to build one or more weapons without being detected. For example, the Rokkasho reprocessing plant in Japan will have the capacity to separate about eight tonnes of plutonium from spent nuclear fuel each year. Diverting 1 per cent of that amount of plutonium would be very difficult for the IAEA to detect against the background of routine accounting discrepancies, yet it would suffice to build at least one nuclear weapon a month.

The Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office refuses to publicly reveal any country-specific information, or even aggregate information, concerning discrepancies involving Australian uranium or its derivatives. Nor has the Office explained why it refuses to release this information.
Strengthened safeguards

Under traditional safeguards the IAEA was only able to monitor and assess formally declared materials and facilities. This meant that there was plenty of scope for states to develop "undeclared" nuclear capabilities with little or no threat of detection by the IAEA.

Prompted by the inability to address undeclared facilities, and other limitations, the IAEA initiated efforts to strengthen the system in the early 1990s. The IAEA's strengthened safeguards program began in 1993 with "Programme 93+2". The intention - which proved to be wildly optimistic - was to implement a strengthened safeguards regime in two years.

The Model Additional Protocol was introduced in 1997. With the Additional Protocol in force the IAEA should theoretically be able to develop a more inclusive "cradle to grave" picture of states' nuclear activities. The improvements include:
requiring substantially more information from states regarding their nuclear activities, other relevant sites, imports and exports, and material holdings;
increased use of environmental sampling, analysis, and remote monitoring;
allowing IAEA inspectors extended access to any location that is included on an expanded declaration, and to other necessary locations; and
additional authority to use the most advanced technologies and intelligence, such as commercial satellite imagery.

As of October 2006, 78 NPT states had negotiated and ratified an AP but over 100 NPT states had not done so.

While strengthened safeguards are welcome, serious problems with the safeguards system remain. One is that the development of the full suite of nuclear fuel cycle facilities - including sensitive, dual-use enrichment and reprocessing facilities - is enshrined in the NPT as an "inalienable right" of all NPT states.

El Baradei noted in a December 2005 statement: "If a country with a full nuclear fuel cycle decides to break away from its non-proliferation commitments, a nuclear weapon could be only months away. In such cases, we are only as secure as the outbreak of the next major crisis. In today's environment, this margin of security is simply untenable."

Another unresolved problem is highlighted by North Korea. It is difficult or impossible to prevent an NPT state from simply withdrawing from the NPT and pursuing weapons. North Korea joined the NPT but withdrew in 2003 and tested a nuclear weapon in October 2006. Iran could be the next country withdrawing from the NPT/IAEA system.

Australia's bilateral safeguards

In justifying Australia's international trade in uranium, the government and the uranium industry place much emphasis on bilateral safeguards agreements which prospective customer countries must negotiate with the government. These agreements cover Australian Obligated Nuclear Material - uranium and by-products such as depleted uranium produced at enrichment plants, and plutonium formed by neutron irradiation of uranium in reactors. The most important provisions are for prior Australian consent before Australian Obligated Nuclear Material is transferred to a third party, enriched beyond 20 per cent uranium-235, or reprocessed.

The provisions for Australian consent for "high enrichment" (to 20 per cent or more uranium-235) and for reprocessing have never once been invoked since the bilateral agreements were initiated by the Fraser government in 1977. No country has ever requested permission to enrich beyond 20 per cent uranium-235. More importantly, permission to reprocess has never once been refused even when it leads to the stockpiling of Australian-obligated plutonium - as it has in Japan and several European countries. Control of reprocessing has also been weakened by allowing open-ended "programmatic" consent instead of the previous policy of case-by-case approval.

Neither IAEA safeguards nor the provisions of bilateral agreements ensure that Australian uranium will not find its way into weapons. Claims from government bodies such as the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office, and from the uranium industry, that safeguards provide "assurances" that Australian Obligated Nuclear Material will not be diverted should be disregarded.

Of course, it is possible that safeguards could be improved, and it is possible that Australia could play a leading role in improving safeguards. However, as Professor Richard Broinowski details in his 2003 book Fact or Fission? The Truth About Australia's Nuclear Ambitions, safeguards pertaining to Australian Obligated Nuclear Material have been gradually weakened over the years. The reason was identified by Mike Rann - then a young Labor Party researcher and now the pro-uranium premier of South Australia - in his 1982 booklet, Uranium: Play It Safe.

"Again and again," Rann wrote, "it has been demonstrated here and overseas that when problems over safeguards prove difficult, commercial considerations will come first".

A genuine nuclear debate in Australia would include a reassessment of the uranium export industry given the risks of diversion and proliferation identified in this article.

Nadia Watson recently completed her undergraduate studies in International Relations at LaTrobe University. She has spent the previous six months researching the effectiveness of the international nuclear safeguards system.

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Great new report at: <www.mapw.org.au/Illusion%20of%20Protection%20index.html>

An Illusion of Protection
The unavoidable limitations of safeguards on nuclear materials and the export of uranium to China

The Federal government has spoken repeatedly of the strength of international safeguards when it comes to export of Australian uranium. The government have insisted that these safeguards ensure Australian uranium can only be used for peaceful purposes, even by those nuclear trading partners that have existing nuclear weapons programs. But is this true? Can Australian uranium be safely secured from contributing to nuclear weapons production? Or is there a more sinister reality?

Illusion of Protection – the unavoidable limitations of safeguards on nuclear materials and the export of uranium to China is a new report (launched on 5 November 2006) prepared for the Australian Conservation Foundation and the Medical Association for Prevention of War which addresses these questions in detail.

Although the Illusion of Protection report makes a case specifically against sales of Australian uranium to China, the lessons and problems outlined are applicable to any plans to sell uranium to India or any other state with nuclear weapons programs or ambitions.

The key messages
The dual use and coupled nature of military and civilian nuclear programs confounds attempts at safeguards such that Australia's uranium exports contribute toward threshold and actual nuclear weapons capabilities.

Strengthened safeguards face the challenge of competing commercial considerations by Australian uranium mining interests, particularly BHP Billiton, and that of nuclear corporations and governments including Japan.

The IAEA's conflict of interest in promoting and expanding nuclear power, while seeking to deter proliferation through the unavoidable limitations of safeguards, invalidates the IAEA as an independent nuclear regulator.

Nuclear disarmament is going nowhere. All the nuclear weapons states - including China - are developing their nuclear arsenals further, the global non-proliferation regime is under severe strain and has clearly failed in the case of Israel, Iraq, India and Pakistan, Libya and North Korea. Military confrontation in Korea or Taiwan risks nuclear escalation.

China has a disturbing history of exporting sensitive nuclear and missile equipment and know-how to numerous other countries. Chinese nuclear weapons designs have been distributed on the international nuclear black market. All nuclear facilities in China  - military and civilian - are run by the same organisation.

Proposed uranium exports to China and to India can both directly and indirectly fuel the fires of future nuclear weapons, and likely further regional insecurities, compromising Australia's national interests for private gain.

The key recommendations
Australia should stop its contribution to the global nuclear chain by phasing out mining and export of uranium.
Australia should not export uranium to China. On such a serious matter as proliferation of nuclear weapons, China's poor non-proliferation record and lack of transparency – and indeed active contribution to horizontal nuclear proliferation – warrants the disqualification of China as an appropriate recipient of Australian uranium on these grounds alone.
Massive resources and government support in Australia and China, as elsewhere, should be directed as an urgent priority to research, development and deployment of safe and renewable sources of energy, in combination with improved efficiency of energy use; and not to nuclear power. China has made clear a substantial financial and planning commitment to developing renewable energy technologies over the coming decade, and should be encouraged to replace their plans for nuclear power with an expanded commitment to energy efficiency and deploying a mix of renewable energy sources.
IAEA safeguards should be strengthened through universal, mandatory and permanent application, including the full application of Additional Protocols, to Nuclear Weapon States including China, to the same degree as to Non-Nuclear Weapon States.
Australia should withdraw from agreement to export uranium to Taiwan and fully enforce and maintain restrictions against nuclear trade including uranium sales to any non-NPT signatory entities, including India, Pakistan and Israel.
Proposed administrative arrangements to enact the Australian bilateral safeguards agreement with China should be made public and be subject to parliamentary scrutiny as part of the process of formal consideration of the proposed Nuclear Cooperation Treaty with China.
The Australian Government should withdraw consent in existing bilateral treaties, and not provide any future agreements or consent, including to China, for reprocessing of Australian Obligated Nuclear Materials or for any use of such materials in mixed oxide (MOX) or other plutonium-based fuels.
Australia should require verifiable cessation of production of missile material and support for a Fissile Materials Cut-Off Treaty that prohibits reprocessing and the separation of weapons-usable fissile materials, from all countries with which Australia currently has bilateral nuclear cooperation agreements.
Application of IAEA safeguards should be extended to fully apply to mined uranium ores, to refined uranium oxides, to uranium hexafluoride gas, and to uranium conversion facilities, prior to the stages of enrichment or fuel fabrication.
Australia should not enter into additional bilateral agreements allowing for conversion and enrichment of Australian uranium in countries, including China and India, where such safeguards arrangements are not in place.
Australia should withdraw uranium sales from all Nuclear Weapon States that have breached their non-proliferation obligations, or continue to fail to comply with their nuclear disarmament obligations under the Non-Proliferation Treaty, and that fail to ratify and abide by the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty including verifiable closure of nuclear weapons testing facilities.

The contents: The report includes a critique of the international nuclear safeguards system, but also deals specifically with the proposed sale of Australian uranium to China. It provides a background on the history and current status of the nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament measures internationally, an overview of the current international safeguards systems, how they are designed to work and the inherent difficulties and flaws in them. It also profiles the attempts of the IAEA to strengthen safeguards through Additional Protocols and the problems they face.
The final chapter looks in detail at the China question in the current context of the Federal Parliament considering proposals to export uranium to this nuclear weapons state. It examines the proposed bilateral agreements with China, considers the Chinese energy strategy, and China's record of nuclear weapons and nuclear proliferation as well as the potential for nuclear modernisation and conflict within the region.
Report contributors: The report has been prepared for the Australian Conservation Foundation and the Medical Association for Prevention of War (Australia) by a team of academic, medical and non-governmental experts on nuclear disarmament, non-proliferation and nuclear safeguards.

The Foreword has been written by Dr Frank Barnaby BSc, MSc, PhD, DSc (Hon), a nuclear physicist by training, known as an expert on nuclear weapons and a consultant to the Oxford Research Group in the UK.

Online: Both the Executive Summary and the Full Report will be available online after 5 November from the ACF and MAPW websites: www.acfonline.org.au or www.mapw.org.au

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Uranium export safeguards found wanting
Michelle Grattan
November 5, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/uranium-export-safeguards-found-wanting/2006/11/04/1162340095835.html
AUSTRALIA'S proposed safeguards are inadequate to track any diversion of its uranium exports to China's nuclear weapons program, a report released today claims.
The planned big exports to China and potential large through-puts of spent reactor fuel to extract plutonium increase the risks Australian nuclear material could be diverted, without detection, to military programs, it says.
"The capacity to verify that such diversion has occurred is lacking," says the report, issued by the Australian Conservation Foundation and the Medical Association for Prevention of War. The report has been prepared by a team including academic experts.
It says the way in which Australian safeguards in China are to operate will be subject to secret administrative arrangements, yet to be negotiated. "Beijing is likely to drive a hard bargain. The history of Australian diluting of safeguards in favour of commercial considerations suggests that Canberra is likely to oblige," it states.
The report calls for the administrative arrangements to be made public and Parliament to scrutinise them. The safeguards agreement is currently before the parliamentary treaties committee.
The nature of the strategic and economic relationship between the two countries shows China has greater leverage over Canberra than vice versa, the report says. The result is that "claimed safeguards assurances in the bilateral agreement cannot be relied upon in practice".
China's system for accounting for its nuclear material is lax. It lacks even an adequate physical inventory of fissile materials. This seriously erodes "the veracity of the book-keeping exercise of Australian safeguards policy", says the report. "If Beijing does not have a precise inventory of nuclear material it becomes difficult to accept the proposition that Canberra can do better."
The question of relative influence is important because the bilateral agreement doesn't lock China into a set system of safeguards over the 30 years of the agreement, the report says.
Should the safeguards agreement be revised, as the agreement allows for, "it is to be expected that the revision will again continue the trend of weakening Australian safeguards policy in favour of commercial interests".

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Trust us
By Tilman Ruff
17/11/06
http://www.onlineopinion.com.au/view.asp?article=5156
The Howard Government has spoken repeatedly of the strength of international safeguards when it comes to exporting Australian uranium to other nations. The government has insisted that these safeguards are strong enough to ensure Australian uranium is not used in nuclear weapons, even by those trading partners that have existing nuclear weapons programs. But is this true? Can Australian uranium be safely secured from nuclear weapons production? Or is there a more sinister reality?
On Sunday, November 2, a major new Australian report was released entitled Illusion of Protection: the unavoidable limitations of safeguards on nuclear materials and the export of uranium to China.
This report, prepared for the Australian Conservation Foundation (ACF) and the Medical Association for Prevention of War (Australia) (MAPW), addresses the flaws and limitations of the international nuclear safeguards system with particular reference to the proposed sale of Australian uranium to China, a declared nuclear weapons state. The report highlights the limitations of the global nuclear safeguards regime, an issue of particular importance in the context of current moves to dramatically expand the Australian uranium industry.
The report finds there is a serious and unavoidable risk that Australian uranium exports to China will directly or indirectly support Chinese nuclear weapons manufacture, and potentially nuclear weapons proliferation in other countries.
There is much that could and needs to be done to improve the international safeguards system, however its fundamental flaws and the pervasive interconnections between the civil and military applications of nuclear technologies and materials mean that the most prudent and responsible position is to phase out the mining and export of uranium.
Supporters of Australia's uranium export industry claim that the safeguards applied to Australia's uranium exports are the equal of, or better than, safeguards applied by other uranium exporting nations. This claim ignores the problem that all uranium-exporting nations are reliant on the inadequate and under-resourced safeguards system of the IAEA, and it cannot be credibly advanced to justify Australian uranium exports.
Australia's Safeguards and Non-proliferation Office (ASNO) has no substantive verification capacity to add to limited IAEA safeguards. The government's Regulation Impact Statement for the nuclear agreement with China foreshadows annual visits to reconcile nuclear material transfer reports. This is essentially an arms-length book-keeping exercise that relies on the importing state's adherence to materials accountancy standards. Little is known or verifiable about the veracity of China's nuclear materials accountancy, but available information is concerning.
Claims that Australia would have no leverage in relation to international nuclear safeguards in the absence of a uranium export industry are false. Australia's moral and political authority to actively pursue a strengthened non-proliferation and safeguards regime would be enhanced by such an approach. Furthermore, non-nuclear and non-uranium exporting states can and do influence international safeguards through the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and by engagement with a range of other international fora and mechanisms.
Although the Illusion of Protection report makes a case specifically against sales of Australian uranium to China, the lessons and problems outlined are applicable generally, and particularly to any plans to sell uranium to India or any other state with nuclear weapons programs or ambitions.
The unique physical and medical realities of nuclear materials and technology have powerful implications. The assurances of safety and safeguards needed are way higher than for any other materials. At issue are materials which can be used to make nuclear weapons. Just 100 - 0.4 per cent - of the 27,000 nuclear weapons in the world, if targeted on major cities, could end human civilisation and drastically compromise the earth's ability to support life in the space of a few hours.
Uranium, nuclear fuel, and extracted plutonium will still be toxic and usable for nuclear weapons in hundreds of thousands of years, much longer than any human institution has survived.
The timeframes of political leaders, governments and political systems represent just the blink of an eye in these geological timeframes. Policies, governments and political systems can change rapidly. Only three decades ago, former foreign minister Andrew Peacock was advocating sale of Australian uranium to Iran. The half-life of plutonium is 24,400 years, after which its radioactivity will have declined by half. The half-life of uranium-235, the isotope enriched for reactors and weapons, is 713 million years.
To put this in perspective about 30,000 years ago, neanderthals still roamed parts of Europe and Asia. As little as 12,000 years ago, no society practiced widespread agriculture. Writing was developed about 5,000 years ago.
Fissile materials will still be hazardous and weapons-usable when the world has changed beyond our wildest dreams. People for thousands of generations to come will have no choice but to still be dealing with the nuclear legacy of the present generation.
Nuclear weapons constitute the greatest immediate threat to global survival and health. In the event of a nuclear war, don't bother to call your doctor. No meaningful response will be possible for most victims if even one nuclear weapon is detonated in a city.
Anything which increases the number of nuclear weapons; the number of places they are kept; the number of groups who build, steal or buy them; the number of people who have access to them; anything which increases the range of ways and the number of situations they might be used, or reduces the threshold for their use, is bad for your health.
Like other nuclear powers, rather than disarming as the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty requires, China is currently expanding and modernising its nuclear arsenal. This is largely driven by the US missile defence program, to which Australia contributes, and US plans to militarily dominate space.
The standards of safety and caution need to be extraordinarily high when dealing with nuclear materials, and the first rule of the healing professions applies to decision-makers as well: First, do no harm.
IAEA safeguards are intended to have a 90-95 per cent probability of detecting a significant diversion in time before weapons could be made. The significant quantities of fissile materials defined by the IAEA as sufficient to build a nuclear weapon are several times too high. The conversion times within which diversion is supposed to be able to be detected, are also too high. And add to that the lack of universal implementation of safeguards. As of last month, the Additional Protocol which was developed 10 years ago in response to Iraq's advanced weapons program was in force in only 78 of the more than 180 countries signed up to the NPT.
States can withdraw from the NPT, as North Korea has done, with three months' notice. Application of safeguards in a nuclear weapons state is voluntary. In China only about 10 of 44 proliferation-sensitive nuclear facilities are eligible for safeguards (and therefore might process Australian uranium). In China for the past few years, IAEA safeguards have been implemented at only three facilities. And only one of these has a detailed facility-specific Subsidiary Arrangement in place with the IAEA.
The IAEA does not in any way specifically safeguard uranium from any particular source. If you were dealing with these kinds of gross deficiencies in being investigated for a serious illness, you would be right to find this completely unacceptable and look for another doctor.
The Joint Standing Committee on Treaties of the Federal Parliament has been holding public hearings on the nuclear co-operation and safeguards agreements the government has signed with China in the hope these will pave the way to large and growing exports of Australian uranium to China. The committee is expected to report in the coming month.
However, there seems to be a disturbing systematic pattern of error, misinformation and complacency which is alarming, and which undermines the long-term interests of Australians. The Federal Government and the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office (ASNO) are increasingly part of the problem of proliferation risk, rather than part of the urgently needed solution.
The Federal Government claims that for years it was ignorant of, and cannot be held accountable for, the world's largest case of illegal and corrupt sanctions breaches, involving the Australian Wheat Board (AWB). For years it ignored, played down and didn't want to hear questions and what should have been alarm signals from the UN, US and Canada. And that was about wheat. Yet in relation to uranium the government is asking us to trust flawed safeguards regarding the most dangerous of materials, where the weight of leverage lies with China.
The processing of Australian uranium in China prior to enrichment is not subject to safeguards, which only begin to apply at the enrichment stage. And the one organisation - the China National Nuclear Corporation - manages nuclear materials and facilities for both power and weapons purposes. Australians have little reason to be confident in such arrangements.
It is almost 30 years after the Fox Inquiry established by a previous coalition government characterised nuclear safeguards as providing "an illusion of protection", and since then the frailty of this illusion has been repeatedly demonstrated - in Iraq, Libya, Iran and North Korea. Since then Australian safeguards have also progressively been watered down, for example in allowing blanket advance, or "programmatic", approval for reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel to extract plutonium.
This is the most proliferation-sensitive of nuclear processes, which is technically impossible to effectively safeguard. China is an authoritarian state with an appalling record of proliferation of sensitive nuclear and missile materials, technology and know-how to other countries. The nuclear weapons designs sold by the international nuclear black market headed by Pakistani scientist AQ Khan were Chinese. Yet the government asks us to trust their assurances on safeguards on Australian uranium and that these will apply to every future government of Australia and China and their instrumentalities and all the companies involved, and whatever succeeds them, essentially forever. Now that is utopian.
Australian uranium used in nuclear reactors can end up as either radioactive waste, or fissile material for weapons. The safeguards applied to Australian uranium, reflected in the agreement signed with China, do in truth provide only an illusion of protection.
At best, Australian uranium would indirectly contribute to weapons by expanding the pool of uranium China says it needs for both power and weapons. At worst, Australian uranium could be directly used in Chinese nuclear weapons, or in nuclear weapons elsewhere. Under current and proposed safeguards, Australians could sleep easy only because if this happened, there would be no way they would ever know.
Both the executive summary and the full report are available online from the ACF and MAPW websites.

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Worth reading El Baradei's stuff re flawed safeguards:

Addressing Verification Challenges
16 October 2006 | Vienna, Austria

Address to Symposium on International Safeguards (16 - 20 October 2006)
by IAEA Director General Dr. Mohamed ElBaradei
http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/Statements/2006/ebsp2006n018.html

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 URANIUM - SA GOVERNMENT

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LABOR has rejected nuclear enrichment or nuclear power for South Australia but referred any decision on allowing further uranium mines to the national convention.
http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,20587880-2682,00.html
A deal between the party's Left and Right wing powerbrokers has ensured any brawl over the uranium issue will be confined to the national conference next year.
A total of five motions dealing with the uranium issue had been on the agenda for the SA branch's convention over the weekend but the main motion was amended, three others withdrawn and one - dealing with water supplies for Roxby Downs - was passed.
The main motion, which called on the party not to allow any additional uranium mines in SA, was amended when the Left and Right combined to refer to the federal conference the issue of allowing any new mines.
The amendment also bound the party in SA to oppose uranium enrichment and nuclear power and also to insist that uranium only be sold to signatories to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty.
The amendment, moved by ministerial adviser Susan Close from Substance Abuse Minister Gail Gago's office, was seconded by Labor backbencher Tom Kenyon, a former adviser to Mines Minister Paul Holloway.
After the vote, Mr Holloway said it was the right decision.
"The State Government has made it clear all the way we would advocate for change to the uranium policy at the next federal conference," he said.

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HONEYMOON APPROVED

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FoE Adelaide info:
http://cleanfutures.blogspot.com/
http://cleanfutures.blogspot.com/2006/07/best-wishes-for-rann-wedding-but-call.html
http://www.geocities.com/olympicdam/honeymoon.html

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Rann approves Honeymoon uranium mine
Michelle Wiese Bockmann
September 29, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20496873-2702,00.html

SOUTH Australia's government has approved the final, crucial licence needed to open the country's fourth uranium mine at Honeymoon.

The Environmental Protection Authority today granted the mining and milling licence, clearing the path for developers SXR Uranium One to begin commercial mining at the site, 80km north west of Broken Hill.
The Rann government has disputed claims that granting the licence would breach the ALP's no-new-mines policy.
The Honeymoon mine will use the contentious underground in-situ leaching method also used at the nearby Beverley mine.
EPA chief executive Paul Vogel said SXR Resources had demonstrated that it could protect people and the environment from the harmful effects of radiation.
More than 161 public submissions were received by the Radiation Protection Committee, established earlier this year to assess the Honeymoon licence application.
SXR Uranium One board approved plans last month to begin mining at the mothballed site as early as 2008, and are building a $53 million plant to produce 400 tonnes of uranium oxide annually.

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Uranium go-ahead defended
Michelle Wiese Bockmann
September 30, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20500892-2702,00.html
THE final, crucial licence needed to open the country's fourth uranium mine has been granted by the South Australian Labor Government, but it insisted the move did not breach the party's no-new-mines policy.
The Environment Protection Authority yesterday granted a mining and milling licence to developers SXR Uranium One, clearing the way for work to begin at its Honeymoon site, 80km northwest of Broken Hill.
South Australian Premier Mike Rann -- who has described Labor's uranium policy as "anachronistic" -- denied that granting the licence breached the ALP ban on new uranium mines.
"It's an existing mine," a spokesman for the Premier said.
Mr Rann has argued that a mining lease was approved by the previous Liberal government in 2002, which conveniently places Honeymoon outside the no-new-mines policy.
The Australian Conservation Foundation said the uranium mine was the first approved by a Labor administration and broke an election promise.
"Mike Rann gave an election commitment that in this four-year term his Government would not promote the development of any uranium mines," said ACF anti-nuclear campaigner David Noonan. He said Mr Rann "was not living up to the same standards as his predecessors" who had previously rejected the mine.
Former Labor premier John Bannon cancelled trials at Honeymoon in 1982.
Federal Opposition Leader Kim Beazley has backed Mr Rann and called for the no-new-mines policy to be overturned at the party convention next year.
The SXR Uranium One board approved plans last month to begin mining at the site as early as 2008, building a $53 million plant to produce 400 tonnes of uranium oxide a year.

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SA government Honeymoon approval documents ...
http://www.epa.sa.gov.au/honeymoon.html

Southern Cross Resources Australia Pty Ltd has applied under the Radiation Protection and Control Act (1982) for a license for commercial uranium mining operations at its Honeymoon mine site.
Southern Cross Resources, a subsidiary of SXR Uranium One Inc, currently holds a license for non-commercial operations at this site. It currently has an approved Environmental Impact Statement (EIS), Mining Lease and uranium export licence.
The acid In-Situ Leach uranium mining process is the same as that currently used at the Beverley uranium mine.
The EPA Chief Executive is responsible for assessing the application for a licence under the Radiation Protection and Control Act. The assessment process determines whether the application satisfies the Act and associated Regulations and considers whether workers, the public and the environment are adequately protected from radiological hazards. The statutory Radiation Protection Committee provides advice to the Chief Executive regarding the application.
The public was invited to comment on the application. Public submissions closed on 30 June 2006.
Decision by the Chief Executive of the EPA on the Honeymoon Uranium Project Licence Application (65KB PDF)
Summary of public submissions (128KB PDF)
Media release - licence issued to Honeymoon Uranium Project (27KB PDF)

Application documents

To view the following documents you will need Adobe Acrobat Reader, freely available from Adobe. (Click on the graphic on the right).
Application—Licence to Mine or Mill Radioactive Ore (2.6MB PDF)
Environmental Impact Statement (15MB PDF)
Proposed Radiation Management Plan (210KB PDF)
Proposed Radioactive Waste Management Plan (185KB PDF)

Reference documents

Radiation Protection and Control Act (1982) 
www.parliament.sa.gov.au/Catalog/legislation/Acts/r/1982.49.un.htm

CSIRO 2003 Review of the Environmental Impacts of the Acid In-situ Leach Uranium Mining Process
www.epa.sa.gov.au/pdfs/isl_review.pdf

The Australian Radiation Protection and Nuclear Safety Agency national Code of Practice and Safety Guide for Radiation Protection and Radioactive Waste Management in Mining and Mineral Processing
www.arpansa.gov.au/rps9.cfm

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URANIUM MINING - ROXBY DOWNS

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Drilling reveals more uranium, copper and gold at Olympic Dam
Barry Fitzgerald
September 26, 2006
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/drilling-reveals-more-uranium-copper-and-gold-at-olympic-dam/2006/09/25/1159036472874.html
BHP Billiton's Olympic Dam in South Australia's outback, already the world's biggest uranium deposit, has just got a lot bigger.
Aggressive drilling by BHP and previous owner WMC Resources has allowed the June 2006 resource estimate for the ore body to be upgraded more than 11 per cent.
The upgrade adds more than 188,000 tonnes of uranium — worth close to $30 billion at current spot prices — to the previous estimate of 1.5 million tonnes, itself accounting for about 40 per cent of the world's known uranium resources.
And that is before taking into account the additional 5.1 million tonnes of copper — the main revenue earner at the remote mine site — indicated by the resource upgrade. The additional 7.5 million ounces of gold will not hurt, either.
But it is Olympic Dam's status as the world's biggest and growing uranium deposit that gives the operation its global significance, given the rush to secure long-term uranium supplies for nuclear power, with China and India emerging as buyers.
Since acquiring WMC Resources last year for $9.2 billion, BHP has carried on with an intense drilling program. The drilling has shown the deposit remains open in several directions — notably to the south — and at depth.
Results from the drilling will determine the feasibility of a $7-$10 billion expansion of Olympic Dam, which would at least triple annual production of copper (210,000 tonnes) and uranium (5000 tonnes) through development of a huge open cut. A feasibility study is due to be finished at the end of next year.
The rush to secure long-term supplies of uranium comes as new mine production continues to fall well short of global consumption of 77,000 tonnes a year. The squeeze has been reflected in spot prices surging from less than $US10 a pound five years ago to more than $US53 a pound.
Australia is scrambling to expand sales options to the boom economies of China and India. In April, an agreement allowing uranium exports to China was signed, but that has yet to translate into contract sales. China is still tipped to be a major buyer of expanded output from Olympic Dam.
India is not a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty but is pressuring Canberra to find a way around the ban on uranium sales.
The resource upgrade at Olympic Dam was noted without fanfare in the 2006 annual report, released yesterday.

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URANIUM MINING IN WA ... NOT

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ABC Last Update: Thursday, August 10, 2006. 10:02am (AEST)
No uranium mining on my watch, Carpenter says
Premier Alan Carpenter says it will take a change of Government before uranium is mined in Western Australia.
Mr Carpenter has told the ABC the South Australian Resources Minister's pro-uranium comments this week only referred to his state and had no implication on WA's uranium policy.
Paul Holloway says states like Western Australia are being left behind in the resources industry because of their anti-uranium stance.
Mr Carpenter says the Labor Party has won two state elections on a anti-uranium policy and will go to the 2009 poll with the same platform.
He says WA should be concerned about the current uranium debate.
"The issue that I think really needs to be addressed in tandem with uranium mining in Western Australia is that we have been earmarked already, potentially, as a site for waste disposal," he said.

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URANIUM SALES TO RUSSIA

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Russia to buy Aussie yellowcake
October 18, 2006 12:00am
Article from: AAP
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/story/0,21985,20602966-663,00.html
Australia is in negotiations to sell uranium to Russia, the Greens say, as it raised fears of it's 'shocking' nuclear safety record.
In parliament today, Greens senator Christine Milne claimed the government was holding meetings this week with Russian officials about the sale of uranium.
"What is clearly happening is that whilst the prime minister is talking up nuclear power in Australia, behind the scenes his real agenda is being enacted and that is increasing uranium mining and exports and uranium enrichment," Senator Milne said.
Despite Russia being part of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, Senator Milne said the country had a shocking nuclear safety record.
"Now we find the Russian officials are here organising an agreement with Australia to sell Australian uranium into Russia, in spite of Russia's appalling safety record on uranium."
Senator Milne wants the government to explain the details of the alleged deal.
She wants to know how far advanced the negotiations are and, if it goes ahead, which countries have the potential to access Australian uranium.
Senator Milne said it is not a good time for Australia to be selling uranium overseas, a week after North Korea's nuclear tests.
"If ever there was an example of the link between nuclear power and nuclear weapons its the proof that the North Korean bomb came from plutonium," she said.
In parliament today, Finance Minister Nick Minchin would not confirm or deny Senator Milne's claims.
"We only export to those countries who are signatories to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and those countries by which we have bilateral safeguard agreements," Mr Minchin said.
"Australia has probably the strictest standards with respect to the export of uranium of any uranium exporting country in the world."
A spokeswoman for Resources Minister Ian Macfarlane said she was not aware of any meeting with Russian officials on uranium.

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URANIUM SALES TO CHINA

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No way to check use of uranium in China
Michelle Wiese Bockmann
October 06, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20533313-2702,00.html
AUSTRALIAN exports of uranium could be used in China's nuclear weapons program ... and there is nothing Canberra can do about it.
The Australian Conservation Foundation told a federal parliamentary inquiry yesterday that a lack of proper safeguards meant Australian uranium "could disappear off the radar" as soon as it arrived in China.
But the Australian Safeguards and Non-Proliferation Office has insisted that China will not use Australian uranium for military purposes because it has enough already. ASNO director general John Carlson also cited "open source" information indicating China "ceased production of fissile material for nuclear weapons some time ago".
ACF spokesman David Noonan said claims that if Australia did not supply uranium to China somebody else would amounted to "the drug dealer's defence".
The inquiry is examining the Howard Government's April agreement to export uranium to China.
Mr Noonan said Australian yellowcake would be converted and enriched with uranium from other countries at facilities in China jointly run by the military, outside of the International Atomic Energy Agency's inspection regime. There was no way to adequately monitor whether uranium was used for nuclear weapons, he said.
The ANSO's submission responding to the ACF's claims was released yesterday. It said despite concern about China's non-proliferation record, Beijing "now has in place the policy and export control framework needed to implement its non-proliferation commitments".
China's appetite for uranium for non-military purposes is expected to increase four-fold in the next 15 years. It has 10 nuclear power reactors and plans to build a further 13.
China's uranium demands would be significant and treaties would be the "optimal" method of securing influence to monitor its use, the Association of Mining and Exploring Companies submission said.
The federal Government predicted Australia would supply China with up to a third of its yellowcake needs - 2500 tonnes a year - by 2020, currently worth $250 million.
BHP Billiton, owner of the Olympic Dam uranium mine, gave evidence behind closed doors. A $7 billion proposed expansion for the mine would make the mine the world's largest and BHP Billiton the major beneficiary of Chinese uranium sales.

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China 'could use Australian uranium for bombs'
Michelle Wiese Bockmann
October 05, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20529169-2702,00.html
CHINA could siphon off Australian uranium for military purposes because a bilateral agreement lacked proper safeguards, the Australian Conservation Foundation told a federal parliamentary inquiry in Adelaide today.

ACF spokesman David Noonan said claims that if Australia didn't supply uranium to China somebody else would amounted to "the drug dealers' defence".
The inquiry is examining the Howard government's April 2006 agreement to export uranium to China, reversing a long-standing policy not to supply uranium to the nuclear weapons state.
Mr Noonan said Australian yellowcake would be enriched and converted at facilities in China jointly run by the military.
He said there was no way international or Australian authorities could adequately monitor or check whether uranium was used for nuclear weapons.
China's appetite for uranium for non-military purposes is rapidly increasing. Ten of the world's 442 nuclear power reactors are in China with plans to build a further 13 and proposals for another 50, the Association of Mining and Exploring Companies (AMEC) said in its submission.
China's uranium demands would be "significant," and establishing treaties the "optimal" method of securing influence to monitor its use, the AMEC said.
BHP Billiton, which owns the Olympic Dam uranium mine, gave evidence behind closed doors, requesting a private briefing.
Joint Standing Committee on Treaties chairman Dr Andrew Southcott said the private briefing was necessary to secure the information.
A $7 billion proposed expansion for the mine, to triple output to 15,000 tonnes of uranium oxide annually, would make the mine the world's largest and BHP Billiton the major beneficiary of China uranium sales.
The inquiry will hear evidence in Perth tomorrow, Melbourne later this month with a report and recommendations would be prepared by year's end, Mr Southcott said.

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URANIUM SALES TO INDIA + USA REACTOR SUPPLY

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'No plans' for uranium exports to India
11th October 2006, 10:00 WST
http://www.thewest.com.au/default.aspx?MenuID=145&ContentID=9390
Australia has no plans to sell uranium to India, Foreign Minister Alexander Downer says.
The government is backing away from recent suggestions that it may be willing to change its nuclear supply policy in order to sell uranium to India.
Fears are growing that North Korea's action could fuel a regional arms race and set back global efforts to rid the world of nuclear weapons.
Liberal backbencher Russell Trood believes the North Korean nuclear test means now is not the time for a change in policy.
In the face of pressure from New Delhi and Washington, the government had been expected to reverse its policy and supply uranium to India.
Australia's policy currently allows the sale of uranium only to countries which are signatories to the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT).
India, which is not a signatory, is exerting pressure for Australia to reconsider its policy.
Mr Downer on Wednesday denied Australia had any plans to sell uranium to India.
"We've made no decision to sell uranium to India and it's not really an issue we've given any consideration to in the last few weeks or months," he told reporters.
"We have no plans to reconsider the issue at all."
Later, during a speech to an energy security conference, Mr Downer definitely stated: "We're not planning to sell uranium to India."

AAP

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RPT-India presses nuclear case for uranium with Australia

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/SYD208117.htm
16 Nov 2006 05:46:05 GMT
Source: Reuters
 (Repeats to more subscribers)

SYDNEY, Nov 16 (Reuters) - India's finance minister on Thursday pressed Australia's prime minister to give India access to the country's uranium, arguing it needs nuclear power if it is to reduce carbon emissions.

India has sought previously to buy Australian uranium, but Canberra earlier this year stood by its policy of not selling to countries, such as India, that have not signed the nuclear non-proliferation treaty.

India's finance minister, Palaniappan Chidambaram, said he paid Australian leader John Howard a courtesy visit on Wednesday ahead of a weekend G20 conference in Melbourne. Australia has more than 40 percent of the world's known reserves of uranium.

"I did mention that India would expect Australia to support India's case in the Nuclear Suppliers Group, and that we should be allowed access to uranium," Chidambaram told a briefing, adding that he believed Howard understood the Indian position.

India has agreed a deal with the United States under which it will receive U.S. nuclear technology in return for separating its military and civil nuclear operations and opening civilian plants to inspections.

The agreement, which has been delayed in the U.S. Senate, requires a rule change by the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group, which oversees nuclear exports and is divided over the deal.

Chidambaram said India needed to pursue rapid economic growth, but was willing to accept its obligations to control emissions.

"For that I suggest we be given access to technology, especially clean coal technology and we be given access to uranium so that a significant proportion of our energy requirements can be met by nuclear energy," he said.

India currently generates about 3 percent of its total energy production through nuclear power, and hopes to raise this level to 10 percent, he said.

Australia has 20 nuclear safeguards agreements covering 37 countries and Howard has long said Australia was keen for further uranium sales.

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U.S. Senate takes step on India nuclear deal
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N16198106.htm
17 Nov 2006 03:15:32 GMT
Source: Reuters
(Updates with Indian reaction, paragraphs 8-10; Bush comment, final paragraphs)

By Carol Giacomo, Diplomatic Correspondent

WASHINGTON, Nov 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. Senate approved long-stalled legislation on Thursday that is a key step toward U.S.-India nuclear cooperation for the first time in three decades.

The vote was 85 to 12 after the Republican-led Senate defeated a handful of amendments that India said would kill the deal, including a requirement that New Delhi end military cooperation with Iran. That amendment failed 59 to 38.

Several more critical approvals -- by Congress, the International Atomic Energy Agency and the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group -- are needed before the agreement can take effect.

But the Senate action put India closer to being able to purchase U.S. nuclear fuel, reactors and related technology.

Critics offered the amendments in an attempt to allay concerns that the landmark deal would encourage an expanding Indian nuclear weapons arsenal and spur a regional arms race with nuclear rivals Pakistan and China.

Senate leaders, under strong pressure from New Delhi, the White House and well-funded business lobbyists, held the line against what they considered "killer" proposals.

But they accepted by voice vote an amendment requiring President George W. Bush to determine that India is "fully and actively" participating in international efforts to contain Iran's nuclear program before U.S.-India nuclear cooperation could proceed.

India said it was pleased with the Senate approval but noted that more steps remained.

"Of course we are pleased," a top Indian official, closely involved in negotiating the deal, told Reuters.

"The fact that it is done is good. But what this does is every time a step is completed, it shifts our focus onto the next one that needs to be tackled," said the official, who declined to be identified.

The United States has accused Iran of developing nuclear weapons and is pushing the U.N. Security Council to impose sanctions. Tehran says it only aims to produce nuclear energy.

IRAN TIES

Democratic Sen. Barbara Boxer of California urged her colleagues to go further and force India to end military ties with Iran, given U.S. concerns about Tehran's nuclear program, support for "terrorism" and disruptive role in Iraq.

The United States since 1989 has sanctioned Indian individuals or companies a half dozen times for transferring nuclear or chemical-related technology to Iran.

But Republican Sen. Richard Lugar of Indiana, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said the Boxer amendment would kill the nuclear agreement and undercut U.S. efforts to get India to cooperate in curbing proliferation.

"This legislation will allow the United States to engage in peaceful nuclear cooperation while safeguarding U.S. national security and non-proliferation efforts," he told the Senate.

Lugar, a respected advocate of efforts to stem the spread of weapons of mass destruction, called the agreement "the most important strategic diplomatic initiative" undertaken by Bush.

Sen. Joseph Biden of Delaware, who will be committee chairman when Democrats take control of Congress in January and who co-sponsored the bill with Lugar, stressed the need for cooperation with India, one of the "pillars of security in the 21st century."

But Democratic Sen. Byron Dorgan of North Dakota said the agreement would enable India -- which never signed the landmark nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty -- to accelerate nuclear arms production, spurring Pakistan and China to do likewise.

More broadly, Dorgan said, the deal repudiated decades of U.S. policy of "telling the world it's our responsibility and our major goal to stop the spread of nuclear weapons."

"It's a horrible mistake," he said.

The deal, bringing India in line with some key international norms, was reached in principle by Bush and Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in July 2005.

It would require the rising South Asian power to open some civilian nuclear facilities to international inspections, forgo future nuclear tests and cooperate with the United States and other nations on halting the spread of nuclear exports.

Amendments that failed would have required India to stop producing weapons-grade fissile material and undertake non-proliferation obligations similar to the United States, like not helping non-nuclear weapons states acquire weapons capability.

Bush, en route to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Vietnam, praised the law's passage.

"I appreciate the Senate's leadership on this important legislation and look forward to signing this bill into law soon," he said in a statement.

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URANIUM RESERVES

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In a nutshell:
* considerable uncertainty about uranium reserves
* but unless there is a massive increase in the rate of uranium consumption, the problem of limited conventional uranium reserves is unlikely to be a problem for the nuclear industry for a very long time.
* at the current rate of consumption (67,000 tonnes p.a.), the estimated total conventional uranium reserves of about 15-18 million tonnes would suffice for over 200 years.
* lost count of the number of times nuclear critics have claimed that uranium reserves will be depleted within 20-50 yers or whatever, it is not accurate.
- JG


NUCLEAR TECHNOLOGY REVIEW 2006
www.iaea.org
International Atomic Energy Agency
<www.iaea.org/OurWork/ST/NE/Pess/assets/ntr2006.pdf>

(IAEA says: This section is based on the OECD/NEA–IAEA 'Red Book' (OECD NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY–INTERNATIONAL ATOMIC ENERGY AGENCY, Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand, Publication No. 6098, OECD, Paris (2006)). More detailed information on IAEA activities concerning nuclearresources is available in relevant sections of the latest IAEA Annual Report <www.iaea.org/Publications/Reports/Anrep2005>, at <www.iaea.org/OurWork/ST/NE/NEFW/nfcms_home.html>, and in Annex III.)

Identified conventional uranium resources are currently estimated at 3.8 million tonnes (Mt U) for resources recoverable at costs below $80/kg and at 4.7 Mt U for costs below $130/kg. For reference, the spot market price of uranium at the end of May 2006 was $112/kg. For both categories these estimates have increased in the last two years due both to new discoveries and to the reallocation of some resources from higher cost categories to lower cost categories.

Undiscovered conventional resources add another estimated 7.1 Mt U at costs less than $130/kg. This includes both resources that are expected to occur either in or near known deposits, and more speculative resources that are thought to exist in geologically favourable, yet unexplored areas. There are also an estimated further 3.0 Mt U of speculative resources for which production costs have not been specified.

Unconventional uranium resources and thorium further expand the resource base. Unconventional uranium resources include about 22 Mt U that occur in phosphate deposits and up to 4000 Mt U contained in sea water. The technology to recover uranium from phosphates is mature, with estimated costs of $60–100/kg U. The technology to extract uranium from sea water has only been demonstrated at the laboratory scale, and extraction costs are currently estimated at $300/kg U.
Thorium is three times as abundant in the Earth's crust as uranium. Although existing estimates of thorium reserves plus additional resources total more than 4.5 Mt, such estimates are considered still conservative. They do not cover all regions of the world, and the historically weak market demand has limited thorium exploration.

Figure A-6 (NOT INCLUDED IN THESE NOTES - JG) compares the geographical distribution of identified conventional uranium resources with the distribution of uranium production in 2004. Three countries — Australia, Canada and Kazakhstan — account for 50% of the identified conventional resources and for 60% of production.

Uranium production in 2004 totalled 40 263 t U, only about 60% of the world's reactor requirements (67 320 t U). The remainder was covered by five secondary sources:
- stockpiles of natural uranium
- stockpiles of enriched uranium
- reprocessed uranium from spent fuel,
- MOX fuel with U-235 partially replaced by Pu-239 from reprocessed spent fuel, and
- re-enrichment of depleted uranium tails (depleted uranium contains less than 0.7% U-235).

Of these five secondary sources, the largest contributions come from stockpiles built up from the beginning of commercial exploitation of nuclear power in the late-1950s through to about 1990. Throughout this period uranium production consistently exceeded commercial requirements due mainly to slower than expected growth in nuclear electricity generation plus high production for military purposes. Since 1990, the situation has been reversed, and stockpiles have been drawn down. However, precise information is not readily available, and possible future political decisions on releasing military material for commercial purposes add an additional element of uncertainty.

Recycling of spent fuel as MOX fuel has not significantly altered uranium requirements, given the relatively small number of reactors using MOX and the limited number of recycles possible using current reprocessing and reactor technology. Uranium recovered through reprocessing of spent fuel, known as reprocessed uranium, is currently recycled only in France and the Russian Federation. Available data indicate that it represents less than 1% of world requirements.

Depleted uranium stocks are substantial, estimated at about 1.5 Mt U at the beginning of 2005. Re-enrichment, however, is currently only economical in centrifuge enrichment plants that have spare capacity and low operating costs. Complete data are unavailable, but European Union (EU) statistics show that deliveries of re-enriched tails from the Russian Federation were 6% of the total uranium delivered to EU reactors in 2004.

Uranium prices generally declined from the early-1980s until 1994 due to over-production and the availability of secondary sources, and between 1990 and 1994 low prices led to significant reductions in many sectors of the world uranium industry. Beginning in 2001, however, the price of uranium has rebounded to levels not seen since the 1980s, with the spot price increasing more than six-fold from 2001 to 2006.

Table A-2 summarizes the potential longevity of the world's conventional uranium resources. For both the current LWR once-through fuel cycle and a pure fast reactor fuel cycle, the table estimates how long conventional uranium resources would last, assuming electricity generation from nuclear power stays at its 2004 level.

TABLE A-2. Years of Resource Availability for Various Nuclear Technologies
Reactor/Fuel cycle
* 85 years - Years of 2004 world nuclear electricity generation with identified conventional resources (LWR, once-through)
* 270 Years of 2004 world nuclear electricity generation with total conventional resources (LWR, once-through)
* 5000–6000 Years of 2004 world nuclear electricity generation with identified conventional resources (Pure fast reactor fuel cycle with recycling)
* 16 000–19 000 Years of 2004 world nuclear electricity generation with total conventional resources (Pure fast reactor fuel cycle with recycling)

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INDONESIA - NUCLEAR POWER

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Australia 'turning a nuclear blind eye'
From correspondents in Jakarta
November 10, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20738400-1702,00.html
ENVIRONMENTALISTS today accused Australia of turning a blind eye to Indonesia's plans to build nuclear power plants by agreeing to sign a security pact next week.
Australia and Indonesia are due to sign a new security treaty on the resort island of Lombok on Monday.
The treaty covers bilateral co-operation in a range of areas, including defence, counter-terrorism and steps to battle trans-national crime, but will also cover agreements on nuclear programs.
Indonesia's nuclear power plans were shelved in 1997 in the face of mounting public opposition and the discovery and exploitation of the large Natuna gas field. But the plans were floated again last year amid growing power shortages.
"Australia is closing their eyes to the whole non-transparent process and only put forward their uranium export business aspect," despite efforts to support democracy in Indonesia, the Indonesian Anti-Nuclear Community said.
"It is not fair for Australia to support Indonesia's nuclear program but prohibit the industry in some of their own states," Dian Abraham, spokesman for the non-governmental organisation said.
"There seem to be no plans to consult the people in developing nuclear plans in Indonesia as written in the 1997 Nuclear Energy Act," he said.
Australia holds 40 per cent of the world's known uranium reserves.
Prime Minister John Howard has said Australians "would be foolish, from the national interest point of view, with our vast resources of uranium, to say that we are not going to consider nuclear power."
"Indonesia is developing a legal framework for the country's nuclear industry in preparation for an operational nuclear plant by 2017, as laid out in the 2005 National Energy Policy," Sukarman Aminjoyo, head of the National Nuclear Monitoring Body, said.
He said that monitoring body "will open the tender for construction and operation (for the nuclear power plant) as soon as we have the law ready."
Indonesia has previously said that it plans to build its first nuclear power plant, with a capacity of 1000 megawatts, on densely-populated Java island.

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Russia to Build Indonesia's First Nuclear Power Plant
http://www.mosnews.com/money/2006/10/16/indonesianpp.shtml
Created: 16.10.2006 11:40 MSK (GMT +3), Updated: 11:40 MSK
(MosNews)

Russia's power grid monopoly UES will build Indonesia's first nuclear power plant, local media reported on Monday, Oct. 16.

The facility will be located in Gorontalo province, Sulawesi Island, in order to meet long-term demand for electricity there and in nearby provinces, The Jakarta Post reported.

Gorontalo Governor Fadel Muhamad said the new plant is expected to start operations by the end of 2007. He also claimed that Gorontalo would be registered as the first province in Indonesia to enjoy nuclear electricity.

The nuclear plant would be designed to have a generating capacity of 90 megawatts, which would be sold to state-owned electricity company PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) at a price one-third lower than that of conventional electricity.

A cooperation agreement will reportedly be signed by Fadel and UES representatives in Russia.

"The Russian side has prepared everything. It's now waiting for Gorontalo province's response", Farino Sariowan, an UES project developer in Indonesia, was quoted as saying.

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INDONESIA: Russian company to build nuclear power plant
Last Updated 20/10/2006 12:55:21 PM
http://www.abc.net.au/ra/asiapac/programs/s1769189.htm

Indonesia is the latest Asian country to consider nuclear power. Government officials are reportedly in talks with a Russian electricity company to build the nation's first power plant on a floating platform off the island of Sulawesi. As remarkable as this might seem, earthquake-prone Indonesia has long held ambitions to meet its energy needs with the help of nuclear power.

Presenter/Interviewer: Karon Snowdon
Speakers: Former Australian diplomat Richard Broinowski, Adjunct Professor at Sydney University;
Dr Mark Diesendorf, Senior Lecturer, Instiutue of Environmental Studies the University of New South Wales

SNOWDON: Indonesia's central government has dusted off a previously shelved plan to develop nuclear power with a proposal to build a plan to build a 1000 megawatt nuclear plant in Java by 2015.

Its yet to the the investment go-ahead.

Though the country has an increasing demand for electricity, dwindling oil production and growing power shortages. And that means Indonesia, like others in the region, is looking at the nuclear power idea again according to a former Australian diplomat, Richard Broinowksi,

BROINOWSKI: You can understand that in this stage when everyone else is talking nuclear and Australia's very excited about exporting more uranium, that they should resurrect such a proposal.

SNOWDON: Do you think they'd be any reason for say the Australian Government to be concerned about Indonesia's nuclear power plant and ambitions?

BROINOWSKI: I think that probably one would have to turn that question round. Are the Indonesians concerned about Australia's nuclear plants? Let's remember that Australia did have an active and open debate about developing or acquiring nuclear weapons in the Cold War in the 50's and the 60's. That seems to have receded of course for the time being, but some Indonesian generals have in fact recently questioned Mr Howard's proposal to enrich uranium. So one can understand that, the fact that Mr. Downer's treated that with incredulous content shows that perhaps we're not in that situation at this time. But I can understand why the Indonesians are saying such things.

SNOWDON: Richard Broinowski, author of the 2003 book Fact or Fission, the Truth About Australia's Nuclear Ambitions. Reports in local and international media suggest the province of Gorontalo in Sulawesi could be the first site of a nuclear power plant in Indonesia.

According to comments by Gorontalo's Mayor, businessman Fadel Mohammad, the small plant will generate 90 megawatts of electricity for sale to the state-owned electricity company PLN. PLN's business manager, Sunggu Anwar Aritonang, was travelling and could not be reached for comment.

Part of the sales pitch for Gorontalo's proposed nuclear plant is based on the claim that the electricity generated would be at a third of the cost of other sources.

Dr Mark Diesendorf from the Environmental Studies Institute at the University of New South Wales is sceptical and says the nuclear industry globally has only survived to this point on government subsidies.

DIESENDORF: There hasn't been a new nuclear power station built in the United States for nearly 30 years now and the prime reason for that is bad economics. The cost of a new nuclear power station in the US would be between 6.7 and 7 and a half US cents per kilowatt hour of electricity generated.

SNOWDON; So claims in Indonesia that nuclear power could be generated for half of that, say three and a half cents per kilowatt hour. How much water does that hold?

DIESENDORF: Oh they're unbelievable.

SNOWDON: Any decision on nuclear power would ultimately lie with the national government in Jakarta despite the relative autonomy now enjoyed by the regions following decentralisation some years ago.

But what of the floating plant? Would this also be a first?

DIESENDORF: Well as far as I know, the only nuclear reactors that are floating are those that drive nuclear submarines at present and they are very small ones. I guess the other worry is that one would hope that Indonesia would not choose the kind of reactor that exploded at Chernobyl.

SNOWDON: On its website, the Russian company that might build the plant, RAO-UES is described as a dynamically developing transnational company with more than 20 offshoots in 14 countries. It contains no information about its Indonesian office.

There's a long way to go yet before its proposal to build Indonesia's first nuclear power plant might get off the ground if at all.

But according to Richard Broinowski, any plans for power plants, Australia's included, increase the risk of a diversion into weapons in Asia.

BROINOWSKI: And yes I think that one leads to the other and we haven't at present following North Korea's capacity to demonstrate a capacity to detonate a nuclear weapon. Other countries in the region will be very much more interested in the nuclear chain than they have been before.

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THORP UK REPROCESSING ACCIDENT

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Sellafield fined over leaking nuclear pipe
By Anil Dawar
(Filed: 17/10/2006)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2006/10/17/npipe17.xml

The operator of Sellafield nuclear reprocessing plant was fined £500,000 yesterday after 83,000 litres of radioactive acid leaked out of a broken pipe.
Scientists took eight months to detect the spillage when it should have been discovered "within days", Carlisle Crown Court heard.
The acid, which contained 20 tonnes of uranium and 160kg of plutonium, was destined for a sealed concrete holding site at the west Cumbrian plant but dripped from a crack in the system.
No one was injured in the leak and no radiation escaped, but the plant has been closed ever since it was uncovered.
British Nuclear Group Sellafield was handed the fine after pleading guilty to three counts of breaching conditions attached to the Sellafield site licence.
Yesterday's punishment comes on top of a £2million penalty imposed on BNG Sellafield by the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority earlier this year.
News of the fine came on the same day that British Energy announced it was shutting down key nuclear reactors after discovering cracks inside boilers.
The discovery forced the firm to shut down its Heysham plant in Lancashire and prepare to shut down two similar reactors at Hinkley and Hunterston, in Ayrshire.

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FUSION

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Australia urged to warm to fusion reactor
Leigh Dayton, Science writer
October 13, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20572275-2702,00.html
SCIENTISTS hope a meeting in Sydney will help Australia hitch a ride on an international effort to harness fusion energy, the nuclear reaction that powers the sun.
Although Australia is not a full member of the $16 billion International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor, a project official said he was keen to find a way for the nation's scientists and engineers to be involved.
"We need to be part of the journey," said Matthew Hole, a physicist with the Australian National University in Canberra and chair of the two-day Australian ITER Forum, which ends today. "What will it cost us to get the technology back later on? To buy back the developed technology?"
Fusion - discovered in the 1930s by Australian physicist Mark Oliphant - promises the key to virtually limitless and waste-free energy.
It is in stark contrast to fission, the reaction behind conventional nuclear power plants.
That is why participants in the ITER see the development and commercialisation of fusion power as a sustainable solution to the world's long-term energy needs.
The seven ITER partners - Japan, China, India, South Korea, Russia, the US and the EU - plan to build a trial electricity-generating fusion reactor in France within the decade. But according to physicist Didier Gambier - head of the EU's ITER implementation office - Australia has already "missed the boat" as a full partner in the ITER.
Dr Gambier said the ITER International Agreement was initialled by all parties in May and would be signed next month.
Still, because of Australia's expertise in plasma physics and materials science, he said the ITER was keen to find a way for local scientists and engineers to be involved.
Dr Gambier said he had had "informal" discussions with Australian scientists, as well as government representatives. While they chose not to be identified, the officials are attending for informational purposes on behalf of the federal departments of Education, Science and Training and Industry, Tourism and Resources, as well as the Uranium Mining and Processing Nuclear Review secretariat.
The forum is timely, as the UMPNR will complete its draft report next month, with the final document to be tabled in parliament by the end of the year.
According to Dr Hole, Australia could benefit quickly from participation in the plan.
A large part of the cost of the ITER would be returned to the construction and hi-tech sectors in the participating nations through contracts to build the huge new machine, he said. When it is up and running, the reactor will generate 500 megawatts of fusion power - 10 times more energy than is needed for the reaction.
Atoms of deuterium and tritium - types of hydrogen - would be heated to about 100 million degrees, causing them to fuse together.
In the process, they would produce helium and energy in the form of high-speed neutrons. The energy would drive turbines.
While the reaction is well understood, developing a safe and reliable reactor has been difficult, said Dr Gambier. "But if fusion technology is deployed worldwide the value to Australia would be enormous."

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NUCLEAR SMUGGLING

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Smuggled nuclear waste cases double
Lewis Smith, London
October 07, 2006
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,20867,20538886-2703,00.html

SEIZURES of smuggled radioactive material capable of making a terrorist "dirty bomb" have doubled in the past four years, according to official figures.
Smugglers have been caught trying to traffick dangerous radioactive material more than 300 times since 2002, statistics from the International Atomic Energy Agency show. Most of the incidents are understood to have occurred in Europe.
The disclosures come as al-Qa'ida is known to be intensifying its efforts to obtain a radioactive device.
Western security services, including Britain's MI5 and MI6, last year thwarted 16 attempts to smuggle plutonium or uranium. On two occasions, small quantities of highly enriched uranium were reported missing. All were feared to have been destined for terror groups. Scientists responsible for analysing the seizures have warned that traffickers are turning to hospital X-ray equipment and laboratory supplies as a source of radioactive material.
Investigators believe that the smugglers, who come mainly from the former Eastern bloc, are interested only in making a swift fortune and have no idea that their customers are jihadist groups plotting an atrocity. Most undercover operations and recent seizures have been kept secret to protect the activities of Western security services.
Rigorous controls on nuclear processors, especially with Russia co-operating to stop the trafficking of enriched plutonium and uranium, have limited smugglers' access to weapons-grade nuclear materials. But medical and laboratory sources, including waste, remain vulnerable. Such radioactive waste can be used to make a dirty bomb.
A dirty bomb combines a conventional explosive, such as dynamite, with radioactive material such as spent nuclear fuel, including highly enriched uranium and plutonium. In most instances, the conventional explosive would kill more bystanders but the dispersion of the radioactive material could make it more lethal overall.
There were 103 cases of illicit trafficking last year, compared with fewer than 30 in 1996. Fifty-eight incidents were reported in 2002, rising to 90 in 2003 and 130 in 2004.
Seizures of the past three years equal the amount of trafficking in the previous seven years.
Olli Heinonen, deputy director-general of the IAEA, which monitors trafficking and inspects nuclear plants to audit their radioactive materials, said that while weapons-grade nuclear-material smuggling was rare, there were concerns about other radioactive substances.
"A dirty bomb is something that needs to be taken seriously," Mr Heinonen said. "We need to be prepared for anything because anything could happen. Terrorists look for the weakest link. We need to be alert."
Al-Qa'ida makes no secret of its desire to obtain a dirty bomb. Its leader in Iraq, Abu Ayyub al-Masri, last month called for scientists to join it and experiment with radioactive devices for use against coalition troops.
Even before the terrorist attacks on September 11, 2001, Osama bin Laden invited two Pakistani atomic scientists to visit a training camp in Afghanistan to discuss how to assemble a bomb using stolen plutonium. Captured al-Qa'ida leaders have since confessed to the CIA of their attempts to smuggle a radioactive device into the US.
Klaus Lutzenkirchen, who helps analyse the seized substances, said even small quantities of radioactive material could be of use to terrorists.
The Times

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