Response vs. Opening   at GG

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O ' ' ' '5X '3X1X1X '5O|
|   |
|      |  33  |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '3O ' ' '3X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: White: 160, Red: 167


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

8/5(2) 6/3(2) +0.448
    54.5%   17.9%  3.5%    45.5%   19.1%   3.4%
24/15* 13/10 +0.434 ( -0.014)
    57.2%   14.7%  3.2%    42.8%   16.7%   2.0%
24/21(2) 8/5(2) +0.433 ( -0.015)
    55.4%   16.4%  2.0%    44.6%   16.4%   1.8%
24/21(2) 6/3(2) +0.405 ( -0.043)
    55.4%   14.9%  1.7%    44.6%   16.9%   1.5%
24/21(2) 13/10(2) +0.402 ( -0.046)
    55.8%   14.3%  1.7%    44.2%   16.3%   1.4%
24/21(2) 21/15* +0.396 ( -0.052)
    57.1%   12.8%  2.8%    42.9%   16.5%   2.1%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Jacob/Trice Met


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

8/5(2) 6/3(2) +0.456
    54.5%   18.3%  3.5%    45.5%   21.2%   3.5%
24/21(2) 8/5(2) +0.436 ( -0.020)
    55.9%   16.0%  1.9%    44.1%   16.0%   1.8%
24/15* 13/10 +0.422 ( -0.034)
    56.9%   14.4%  3.2%    43.1%   16.9%   2.1%
24/21(2) 13/10(2) +0.414 ( -0.042)
    55.7%   15.0%  1.7%    44.3%   15.9%   1.9%
24/21(2) 6/3(2) +0.411 ( -0.045)
    55.6%   15.0%  1.9%    44.4%   15.8%   1.4%
24/21(2) 21/15* +0.381 ( -0.075)
    56.6%   12.6%  2.8%    43.4%   17.8%   2.2%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Kazaross/Shaw Met


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

8/5(2) 6/3(2) +0.440
    54.4%   17.6%  3.5%    45.6%   20.5%   3.3%
24/21(2) 8/5(2) +0.432 ( -0.008)
    55.7%   16.0%  2.3%    44.3%   16.6%   1.8%
24/15* 13/10 +0.423 ( -0.017)
    56.8%   14.4%  2.5%    43.2%   17.6%   2.0%
24/21(2) 6/3(2) +0.415 ( -0.025)
    55.9%   14.9%  1.6%    44.1%   16.3%   1.4%
24/21(2) 13/10(2) +0.405 ( -0.035)
    55.9%   14.4%  1.7%    44.1%   16.3%   1.5%
24/21(2) 21/15* +0.400 ( -0.040)
    57.2%   13.1%  2.9%    42.8%   16.7%   2.5%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Mec 26 Met

            • Paul Weaver's Rollouts  (courtesy of G. Cattanach)

8/5(2) 6/3(2) +0.479
24/21(2) 8/5(2) +0.467 ( -0.012)
24/15* 13/10 +0.442 ( -0.037)
24/21(2) 21/15* +0.439 ( -0.040)
24/21(2) 6/3(2) +0.428 ( -0.051)
24/21(2) 13/10(2) +0.412 ( -0.067)


            SW4, 3-ply/Precise, cube: 3-ply, Full, 5184 games





While making two inner-board points is not a right approach for money and at most scores, it is by far the best play at GG.
Making the 5 and 3-points increases Red' gammon-win chances considerably when Red hits one of White's outfield blots.








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