Response vs. Opening   at GG

+-13-14-15-16-17-18-+---+-19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|2O ' ' '2X4X '2X ' ' '5O|
|   |
|      |  32  |
|2X ' ' ' '5O|   | '3O ' ' '5X|
+-12-11-10--9--8--7-+---+--6--5--4--3--2--1-+

Pip counts: White: 163, Red: 167


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

13/10 13/11 +0.058
    41.9%   11.2%  1.4%    58.1%   28.7%   6.0%
24/21 13/11 +0.055 ( -0.003)
    42.7%   10.2%  1.0%    57.3%   27.4%   4.0%
24/22 13/10 +0.052 ( -0.006)
    42.6%   10.2%  1.1%    57.4%   27.3%   3.0%
24/22 24/21 +0.031 ( -0.027)
    42.3%     9.4%  1.4%    57.7%   25.8%   3.9%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Jacob/Trice Met


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

24/21 13/11 +0.056
    42.8%   10.1%  1.2%    57.2%   27.3%   4.3%
13/10 13/11 +0.048 ( -0.008)
    41.4%   11.1%  1.4%    58.6%   28.7%   6.3%
24/22 13/10 +0.046 ( -0.010)
    42.3%   10.0%  1.2%    57.7%   26.8%   4.4%
24/22 24/21 +0.030 ( -0.026)
    42.6%     9.0%  1.0%    57.4%   25.5%   3.9%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Kazaross/Shaw Met


            • Equities at GG:  White: 1-away[Crawford], Red: 2-away

24/22 13/10 +0.056
    42.8%   10.3%  1.1%    57.2%   26.1%   4.1%
24/21 13/11 +0.045 ( -0.011)
    43.0%     9.6%  1.3%    57.0%   26.8%   4.0%
13/10 13/11 +0.045 ( -0.012)
    41.4%   11.1%  1.6%    58.6%   29.1%   6.3%
24/22 24/21 +0.033 ( -0.023)
    42.7%     9.3%  1.6%    57.3%   26.3%   3.6%

            Full rollout, 1296 games, Play: 0-ply/expert, Cubeless, using Mec 26 Met




Splitting to either 22 or 21-point also looks a must at a GG score.
While I prefer splitting to the 22-point with a 3-2 response against a 3-1 opening, at GG I slighty prefer splitting to the 21-point.
This play gives White more incentive to hit loose on his 4-point, but some of White's 2's and 4's will not hit comfortably for him due to the match score. If White does hit loose on the 4-point, contact favors Red anyway and if he doesn't, Red will be likely to get an option to grab a better anchor.










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