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Trading
System
Now you
have decided that you are going to trade a particular security and you
need to
find a way of entering and exiting the market. So, how do you approach
it, do you just
jump in with a gut feeling or do you use some kind of system to help
you make the decision.
We
will look at a few ways traders decide on the best way to make a decision.
First there
is just guessing which way the market is going to go. Now as surprising
as it may seem
there are many trader who do just that. They take a look at a chart
or some news and
then decide if they should buy or sell. If they make money consistently
then it is hard to
argue that this is the wrong way to trade the market. The problem I
see with this type of
trading is that it is almost impossible to reproduce results consistently.
In other words the
trader that trades by instinct can never really pass on his knowledge,
as there is no clear
rules that he applies to the market on a regular basis. I know a few
trader who trade like
this but unfortunately I don't know any who have gone the distance and
are there year
after year.
Traders
who apply a method to their trading inevitably have better results.
If you use the
same criteria to each trade then you at least have a reference point
from which to work.
If you are losing you can then change specific things in you're decision
making process in
order to find the right criteria. By using a method in your trading
you are moving towards
the scientific approach and just as a scientist will carefully research
and record each
experiment so should the trader trying to perfect the method he is using.
If
you apply XYZ as your reason for entering a trade and you can see after
a predetermined
amount of trades that it is not working then you can change X, Y or
Z until you find
something that does work. Typically the method trader has researched
a particular theory
he has by doing back testing (applying the theory to historical charts)
and comes up with
indicators, tools or some other method of determining the entry and
exit criteria. If at the
end of his research he find that he can make money he will then apply
that method to the
market. As he still has to make the decision to enter or exit there
is still the human element
to consider. Even though his method tells him he should enter a trade
for some
psychological reason he decided not to take the trade. There lies the
weakness of the
method trader. Even though he knows he should enter or exit a trade
he doesn't because
at that particular moment in time some voice inside him tells him not
to do it. The solution
is to make it mechanical as much as possible.
Mechanical
trading systems. There has probably been more written about mechanical
trading systems than any other topic in trading. The premise of mechanical
systems is that
a particular theory he's been beck tested over a long period of time
and has consistently
made money. There is no emotion involved with the decision making process
at all. If the
system says buy the security then you buy or an order is automatically
done for you. This
takes away all the emotional up's and downs and all you have to do is
buy the system and
supply the money. I have been in heated debates with other trades about
the value of
mechanical trading systems. Some traders swear by them and others think
they are a waste
of time. Which is true only the individual can answer. My own personal
experience with
systems after having tried over twenty different ones is that they typically
produce
unspectacular results and after a time they tend to blow up and lose
money. The other
reason I am not particularly fond of systems is that when you experience
large draw down
(your account goes backwards) you tend to lose faith in the system just
before it kicks in.
Conclusion
Trading just as in life there are no correct ways to trade only what suits
the individual.
Some people will be suited to giving it their best bet whilst other will
prefer to use a
particular method and yet others will prefer mechanical systems. It's
difficult to argue with
a man who is making money. My own personal preference is to use a well
thought out
method, which is 90% mechanical, but the final decision is left to me.
Nothing will beat your
own research and hard work. If you can find a successful trader and ask
him to mentor you
this will save a lot of time on the learning curve. Learn every thing
you can from him and
then adapt it to suit your own style of trading. On closing, ask yourself
this question? If
you really did have the goose that laid the golden eggs would you sell
it ?
Lesson
1 - Lesson 2 - Lesson
3 - Lessons 4 - Lesson
5
Lesson 6 - Lesson
7 - Lesson 8 - Lesson
9 - Lesson 10
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