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| Battleground States |
| State Leans EC votes Unempl% 2000% Solid BGS Total |
| Florida Bush 27 5.3 49 |
| Ohio Bush 20 6.3 50 |
| Missouri Bush 11 5.6 51 |
| Tennessee Bush 11 5.3 51 |
| Minnesota Bush 10 4.4 46 |
| Colorado Bush 9 5.7 51 |
| Arizona Bush 6 5.9 51 |
| Nevada Bush 5 5.3 49 |
| Pennslyvania Dem 21 5.7 51 |
| New Hamp Dem 4 3.9 47 |
| New Mexico Dem 5 6.0 48 |
| West Virginia Dem 5 6.3 46 |
| Oregon Dem 7 8.5 47 |
| Iowa Dem 7 4.2 49 |
| Michigan Dem 17 7.2 51 |
| Wisconsin Dem 10 5.6 48 |
| Bush Dem |
| 279 259 |
| 170 109 183 76 |
| Arkansa Bush 6 5.9 51 |