The Myanmar
Issue and ASEAN Engagement
Wichai Chucherd
Background
The Kingdom
of Burma was occupied and included
into Indian Empire of Britain in 1886. Then Britain
took control directly in 1937. During WWII, Burmese Nationalists led by U Aung San dismissed the British and declared their
independent in January 1948. However, before becoming to be the first Prime
Minister of the Union of Burma, U Aung San was
assassinated by rebels, U Nu came up to be the Prime
Minister instead (Neher 2001).
Ne
Win and military party, Burma Socialist Program Party (BSPP), took control the
country by coup d’e’tat in 1962 and ran the state by
socialist ideology. The massive uprising in August 1988 compelled Ne Win to step back into a shadow. Sein
Lwin and then Muang Muang were resigned to be a leader. However, the situation
was still chaos; consequently, Saw Muang seized power
in September 1988 (Neher 2001).
In 1989, Saw Muang changed the country’s name to be Myanmar,
and changed the party’s name to be State Law and Order Restoration Council
(SLORC) in the following year. Surprisingly, in 1990, SLORC conducted the
elections for a new People’s Assembly. However, there was unexpected result for
SLORC, 81% belonged to National League for Democracy (NLD), Saw
Maung refused the result. Consequently, in 1991,
university students demonstrated and crashed with military (Neher
2001).
Than Shwe sized power in
1992, and then he changed the SLORC to State Peace and Development Council
(SPDC) in 1997. After that, the country has been controlled by 19 high-ranking
military such as Than Shwe, Khin
Nyunt and Maung Aye (Neher 2001).
Internal problems in Myanmar and their consequences
The consequence of
the 1988 uprising and the 1990 election in Myanmar,
the US, Canada
and most European nations ignored investment and development loan of Myanmar
(Moller 1998; Kraft 2000: 463; Neher
2001: 162; Steinberg 2001: 243). The UN condemned the use of forced labor,
torturing prisoners, abusing woman and conducting executions (Moller 1998). Furthermore, the US policy, which devote to
humanitarian, human rights and good government in Myanmar, (Steinberg 2001:
237) has been trying to discharge SPDC and replace by NLD of Aung San Suu Kyi
(Haacke 2003: 142-3).
Since Myanmar’s
strategic location is a nexus between south Asia, South
East Asia and China,
she should be a central position of trade and diplomacy in the region (Neher 2001: 157; Steinberg 2001: 224). However, she
isolated herself and became to be one of the poorest nations in the world (Neher 2001: 157). Economic indicators have pointed out the
crisis of Myanmar’s
Economy (Neher 2001: 162). Myanmar
survived by dark market along her boarder (Steinberg 2001: 225) and by the aids
from China and Japan
(Steinberg 2001: 226). Consequently, her foreign policy was affected by
Chinese, while domestic policy especially economic issues was
persuaded by Japan
(Steinberg 2001: 225).
There are arm
conflicts between Myanmar military and minority groups, such as Chinese
Nationalist forces supported by the CIA, Thai military, and Taiwan in Shan
state, Muslims in Arakan and rebels along Thai border
(Steinberg 2001: 227). In addition, in Shan
State, Northeast and Eastern of
Myanmar are the main productive area of opium.
ASEAN’s diplomatic development
For many reasons,
such as fear of Chinese domination in Myanmar both economically and militarily
(Moller 1998; Kraft 2000: 463; Steinberg 2001: 230; Haacke 2003: 143), spillover of internal problems from
Myanmar, economic interest (Haacke 2003: 143), and
refugee and illegal workers in Thai (Steinberg 2001: 246) encouraged ASEAN
especially Thailand to invite Myanmar to be a member. In 1995 ASEAN’s Bangkok
summit, Myanmar
represented by Than Shwe (Haacke 2003: 144) signed for a member, and Myanmar
became a member in 1997. ASEAN believed that because of membership position
they should persuade Myanmar to change her behavior on human rights, democracy
and other positive impacts (Kraft 2000: 463; Neher
2001: 162; Steinberg 2001: 238; Haacke 2003: 146). In
contrast, Myanmar
membership caused many problems for ASEAN.
ASEAN’s
member found that the relationship with the West increasing strained over Myanmar
(Moller 1998). In 1998, Asia European Meeting (ASEM)
in London, Myanmar
was prohibited, ASEAN dialogue moved from Washington
to Manila (Moller
1998), and ASEAN-EU Joint Cooperation Conference was postponed (Moller 1998; Steinberg 2001: 243-5). Indeed the main
impacts of Myanmar
membership came from the US.
ASEAN state welcome
the US because of five reasons; the access to American markets, external
security for ASEAN states, safety of sea lines of communication, the US did not
claim territorial in Southeast Asia, balance of power in the region (Haacke 2003: 139-41). However, between 1995 and 1997 when Myanmar
membership was in the process, the US
and western countries had tried hard with strong protest to stop the membership
of Myanmar (Haacke 2003: 143-5). ASEAN ignored because they think that
the human right and economic sanction is not effective for Myanmar;
moreover, they need equality between the US
and ASEAN countries (Haacke 2003: 148-9).
Consequently, after 1997, ASEAN lost partially their interest from the US.
Furthermore, the US
challenged the ASEAN way approach (Haacke 2003: 146)
and changed the policy by moving her interest from Southeast Asia
to Northeast Asia. In addition, to engage regional
security, the US changed her policy from dealing with ASEAN to dealing with the
other means, such as APEC, military alliance through US PACOM, US-Thai Cobra
Gold Exercise, Asia-Pacific Regional Initiative (APRI), and other bilateral
diplomacy (Haacke 2003: 159-63). Therefore, ASEAN is
going to less importance.
China-ASEAN
relations have developed after the end of Cold War. China
deal with ASEAN both ASEAN as a group and ASEAN as individual, she participate
in ARF and TAC (Haacke 2003: 112). Consequently,
process to solve the problem between China
and ASEAN countries in South China Sea has improved (Haacke 2003: 115). China
recognized ASEAN’s Declaration of the Zone of Peace, Freedom and Neutrality and
Nuclear Weapons Free Zone (Hoadley 2001.221). China
fairly followed the ARF 1995 such as confidence-building measures (CBM) (Haacke 2003: 118-9). However, China
quite dismissed with transferring from CBM to preventive diplomacy (Haacke 2003: 120-1). In general, China
supported partially ASEAN diplomacy. However, the 1997 financial crisis and the
change of the US policy have weakened ASEAN in the term of regional
organization, it caused China changing her policy from mainly deal with ASEAN
as a group to deal with as an individual by bilateralism (Haacke
2003: 137-8).
Way ahead
Myanmar
membership has complicated ASEAN in dealing with dialogue partners. In
addition, Asian financial and economic crisis is a further problem of the
enlargement. We may argue that the economic crisis is a result of the
enlargement (Haacke 2003: 166). Economic crisis
showed that the US still maintain her influence in economic and politic in the
region by using IMF as a tool to control the region to reform their economic
and political system (Beeson 2001.234). Meanwhile EU countries try to use ASEM
to encourage ASEAN to do so (Beeson 2001.235).
Post economic crisis,
ASEAN discussed the problem and considered that there may be something link
between Myanmar,
Cambodia
membership and the crisis. They try to look for a new approach (Moller 1998: 1088). ASEAN may have reached its plateau to
influence the region, it needs to be reformed (Kraft 2000: 463). Flexible
engagement proposed by Thai foreign minister is an attempt to reform ASEAN
diplomacy, which some countries realized that it has to be reexamined if ASEAN
want to exist in the globalization of western influence nowadays.
Conclusion
The phenomenon
aftermath Myanmar’s
membership have proved that ASEAN’s diplomatic
capacity has decreased. ASEAN lost political power to deal with western
partners, also China.
It lost its importance of its regional security organization. At first glance,
we might condemn that the internal problems of Myanmar
bound to have a deleterious effect on the ASEAN’s diplomatic capacity. However,
many factors may cause the decrease of the ASEAN’s diplomatic capacity too.
ASEAN diplomacy or ASEAN way is different from western and international society, it is inevitable that the evolution of this
diplomatic approach could appear. The evolution may cost something, such as
economic crisis and lost of importance, prior ASEAN could adjust itself in the
new environment. To be reform may be the answer for ASEAN to deal with problems
in the future.
Reference list
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