INDONESIAN STRATEGIC
FRAMEWORK
With
235 million people (2003) and 88 per cent of its citizens being Islamic, Indonesia
is the world’s fourth most populous state and the largest Islamic state in the
world. Indonesia
is also a kaleidoscope of nationalities with more than 300 tribes and 250
languages and dialects. Its location between the Indian Ocean, and the Pacific
Ocean which are the sea lanes cutting through the straits of Malacca, Sunda and
Lombok, connects the Asia Pacific to Europe and the Persian Gulf, bringing
energy and raw materials and providing an outlet for its manufactured exports.
Indonesian geography with five main islands, two major archipelagos, and sixty
smaller archipelagos causes difficulties in interactions of population, and produces
Indonesia’s
variations in culture and society. The total area claimed, including an
exclusive zone, 7.9 million square kilometers, a coastline of 54,716
kilometers, and land boundaries with Malaysia,
Papua New Guinea
and East Timor totaling 2,830 kilometers, is too vast
for Indonesia
to administer and protect its interest.
As the developing country which was proclaimed
independent in 1945, then struggled for formal independence until 1949 before
having the chance to develop the country, Indonesia has to face many
challenges, which threaten the national interest. However, five aspects are
important and need to be overcome first before going on to solve other problems
in sequence. Internal conflicts need to be resolved as the immediate threat to
the unity of the nation. Then political and economic structures have to be
established as a basis of the country. The problems of terrorism, transnational
crime, and border disputes also need to be solved.
Internal
Conflicts
There are separatist attempts and communal conflicts
across the country accompanying the state’s endeavour to unify the
ethno-linguistic diverse nation, which is a legacy from Indonesian historical
contexts. East Timor’s success in breaking away from Indonesia
stood as a model for separatist movements in Aceh and West Papua,
which are pressing their claims more strongly than ever. Gerakan Aceh Merdeka
(GAM, the Free Aceh Movement) with member estimates ranging between 850 and
5,000, insists on its independence. In West Papua, the
Organisasi Papua Merdeka (OPM, Free Papua Organization), which has fought for a
West Papuan state since 1965, insists that Papua declared independence in 1961.
There are also other groups, such as Satgas Papua and Papuan nationalists, who
have been trying to separate and declare the territory independent from Indonesia.
There have been vastly
complicated conflicts between ethnic or religious groups across Kalimantan,
in Central Sulawesi and in North and South
Maluku. In Riau, which is the largest oil producing area, but one
of Indonesia’s poorest regions, there was unrest caused by angry nationalists,
who felt that local wealth does not benefit local people.
In the long-term, the
separatist attempts and communal conflicts could harm the central government
and lead to the collapse of Indonesia.
The unity of the country will be destroyed and the status of state sovereignty
will no longer exist. Mismanagement of the conflicts may cause fragmentation,
as in the former Russia.
In the present, the internal conflicts
have caused loss of many lives, displacement and increase in refugee. In Aceh,
more than 4,000 people have been killed, and 70,000 Acehnese have had to move
north and live in refugee shelters. In the violence in Maluku, 10,000 have
died, and 500,000 have been chased from their homes and have become refugee.
The conflicts have also
destroyed the Indonesian economy at national and local levels. They have caused
insecurity in Indonesia;
consequently, foreign investors lack confidence to invest. To deal with the
conflicts, government has to pay a large amount of money. Unrest and conflicts,
such as in Riau and in Ambon, have damaged
infrastructure, accommodation, businesses and production such as oil
production.
The problems of separatism and
communal conflicts recently have decreased the international status of Indonesia.
The country is considered as a potential failed state because it cannot
anticipate the problems exactly and Indonesia
is likely to collapse. This makes it difficult for Indonesian to play a role in
the world community.
Globalization,
Economic Instability and Border Disputes
The power of globalization can be illustrated by the
financial crisis in 1997. It caused economic instability in Indonesia.
It is a challenge for the country to pay back its external debt, to develop the
country and to restore its economy. Globalization has also led to economic
competition in the period of chaos in the Indonesian economy. This has caused
more difficulties for the country.
Moreover, ethnic Chinese, only
three percent of the population, control almost three-quarters of Indonesia’s
wealth. Production sites create the income for Indonesia
also are mostly located in local areas where conflicts between local and
central government often happen. These will challenge the government in
redistributing the wealth of people. Additionally, the problem of corruption
has caused the country more economic difficulties.
Instability in the country has
led to the reduction of foreign investment. Although Indonesia
possesses large amounts of natural resources, the lack of technology and
capital and the awareness of environmental degradation have discouraged the use
of its resources.
Economic instability has a
effected the government’s ability to solve problems in the country. It has also
caused people many difficulties in their lives, which may lead to social
unrest.
Economic competition may cause
Indonesia to
have problems in relation to border disputes with its neighbours. The
boundaries between Indonesia
and the ten countries close to it are still not clear. Military conflicts could
happen at any time.
Terrorism
and Transnational Crimes
Indonesia’s
territory is used as a base for terrorists, its people are often recruited, and
its area tends to be an operational area for Islamic terrorists. As the world
has accepted terrorism as a threat to international peace, Indonesia
has been impelled to erase terrorists from its territory. This pressure has
caused Indonesia
a dilemma, facing high pressure from the international community, especially
from the United States
and its allies, or facing division of the country. Moreover, terrorists may
cooperate with other groups such as religious extremists, separatists, and
transnational criminal organizations to gain their common interest, such as
independence or illegal business.
Transnational criminal
organizations, such as piracy, illicit drug trade, arms-trafficking, illegal
gambling, people smuggling, fraud and corruption, money laundering, take
advantage of Indonesia territory, especially maritime areas and inhabited
islands, for their illegal business. These transnational crimes, especially
maritime piracies, have caused insecurity in the region. They have also
destroyed the regular economy of the country.
Policy
Options
Indonesian
National Interests, Capacities and Objectives
Indonesia’s
strategic policy aims to maintain the security of the nation and its people,
which is the most fundamental responsibility of government. To achieve this
aim, Indonesia
must be able to provide and sustain its national stability and to prevent or
defeat any armed attack on Indonesia.
Indonesian armed forces need to be able to do more than simply defend the
country. Indonesia
has to reestablish the unity of nation, to maintain its sovereignty and
territorial integrity, and to develop the country. Indonesia
is still fragile, yet it has to engage and be engaged in many ways – political,
economic, cultural and personal – with the countries in the region and the
world beyond. The importance of the Indonesian geopolitical location and
natural resources also attract involvement from outsiders.
As a developing country which
lacks abilities to do much, Indonesia
has to seek help from regional and international communities. To work with
others will support Indonesia
to do more than it can do alone. Indonesia
has to be realistic about the limits to its power, influence and capability.
Therefore, Indonesia
needs to define and prioritize the strategic interests and objectives as the
following.
To ensure the defense of
Indonesian territory from direct military attack is the most important
long-term strategic objective.
To foster the security and
unity of the nation is the second strategic objective, which concerns major
internal challenges that are threatening the stability and cohesion of the
country.
The third strategic objective
is to guarantee political transformation in order to build a democracy guided
by the wisdom arising out of deliberations amongst representatives, and
committed to protecting basic human rights, social justice, and political
freedom.
The fourth strategic objective
is to restore the national economy in order to ensure the prosperity of the
nation and the people.
The fifth strategic objective
is to promote stability and cooperation in Southeast Asia.
Indonesia must
work with others both inside and outside the region to preserve stability and
cooperation in the region.
The sixth strategic objective
is to support global security, which is the task of the international
community, especially the United Nations.
The most important of Indonesian strategic objectives is
defending the nation. Although it is not likely to happen, Indonesia
has to prepare for an uncertain situation in the future. Indonesian armed
forces will work together with the armed forces in the ASEAN countries to build
up confidence and understanding. Through this cooperation, the conflicts
between Indonesia
and its neighbors over border disputes will be solved by joint border patrols,
and also by economic cooperation in the disputed areas.
Indonesia
must have a good relationship and cooperation with the US
and other middle-size power nations. However, the relationship and cooperation
must be based on Indonesian interest. To be an ally of the US
and try to gain benefit from the US
is the appropriate strategy. Indonesia
must also build understanding and a good relation with Australia,
which is a middle-size power who is a close neighbor.
Indonesia
cannot ensure that major armed conflicts will not happen in the future. It is
also not possible to ensure that Indonesian allies will help to defend the
nation in time of need. The Total Defense Strategy, which needs the unity of
all components of the nation to defeat physical challenges coming from outside,
is an appropriate strategy for Indonesia,
which has less high technology.
Fostering the
Security and Unity of the Nation
Indonesia
must pursue its objective of fostering the security and unity of the nation by
integrating all its efforts to restore our integrity and stability. Indonesia
should also cooperate with regional and international organizations, and NGOs
to stop the violence in the Indonesian region.
The problems of separatism and
communal conflicts cannot be solved without the cooperation of all parties. The
implementation of Indonesian decentralization Laws No. 22 and No. 25 needs the
involvement of central and local government, intelligence agencies, development
agencies, police, and armed forces. The conditions creating separatism in each
region must be identified carefully. Negotiations between central and local
government must be conducted in order to search for their common interest. The
local population has to be the centre of strategic objectives. Development
agencies must plan to meet the needs of local people. In armed conflict areas,
police have to protect people and resources from the reach of insurgents. The
military should be prepared to support other government agencies in the case of
attack by armed insurgents. Government agencies must also work with regional
and international organization agencies, NGOs, and the human rights agencies
that exist in the areas.
Diplomats must try to create
international understanding of the situation in Indonesia
and seek cooperation in solving the problems of separatism and communal
conflicts. The results of Indonesian fragmentation may create many small
countries that could not survive by themselves and may thus create more poverty
as well as spreading insecurity to the regional and international communities.
Diplomats must also try to persuade the countries which may be involved in
supporting arms and money to the insurgent groups to cooperate in solving the
problems.
Ensuring Political
Transformation
Indonesia’s
aim is to guarantee political transformation in order to develop a democratic
country. In the short-term, the transformation will create some tensions, but
in the long-term, it will support Indonesia
as a platform to assure future prosperity. Every component of Indonesia
must work together to implement the process of transformation. Politicians,
both central and local, must develop themselves to be representatives of people
who work for people’s interests. Political parties must compete ethically when
seeking political powers. Armed forces have to be military professionals who
keep a distance far from politics. Interest groups, such as religious groups,
and working groups, should engage in politics peacefully. Programs should be
conducted to build up the understanding of democracy, such as education
programs, seminars and forums. The next election in 2004 should be run freely
and fairly. The process of democratization will take a long time. It needs
patience from every component of Indonesia.
Indonesia
should seek international understanding on the slow process of transformation
based on the diversity of the population and the difficulties of the geography.
Indonesia must
also seek help from the international community, especially from the US
and Australia,
to build up the necessary foundations for democratization.
Reconstructing the
Economy
The objective of restoring the national economy will be reached
by redistributing prosperity and managing the natural resources effectively. In
the vertical redistribution, national interests in local areas, such as oil,
gas, and timber production should be reconsidered on the basis of balancing
local interest, national interest and the need of arid areas which lack natural
resources. In the horizontal redistribution, the gap between the rich and poor
among the people needs to be decreased. The problems of corruption need to be
solved at the same time. Effective laws on economic redistribution and
anti-corruption with implementation strategies need to be established.
Indonesia
must reconsider its own economic development approach. Free trade has to be
applied according to the international norms. However, to reconstructs the
economic system in the country, an approach which is appropriate and could
serve the interests of Indonesian must be created and implemented. Capital from
foreign investment must be considered together with the cost of environmental
degradation and social disruption. The shares of interest between the foreign
companies, local government and central government also need to be just. Since
the implementation of Indonesian Law No. 25, the competency, accountability and
transparency of local government and local people have more become important in
dealing with foreign company.
Promoting
Stability and Cooperation in Southeast Asia
Indonesia should pursue its objective of promoting
stability and cooperation in Southeast Asia by working through a network of
multilateral and bilateral relationships with the countries in ASEAN and
outside ASEAN, especially the US and Australia. Indonesia
must cooperate with the nearest neighbors to solve the problems of terrorism
and transnational crime which use the regional and Indonesian territories to
run their illegal businesses. Projects for cooperative patrols along borders
should be conducted to prevent terrorist and transnational activities. Joint
intelligence between the countries in the region should also be established.
This will lead to the opportunity to overcome the problems of terrorism and
transnational crime, which benefit from globalization by operating their
business across borders and using new technology in their business.
Indonesia
will cooperate with the US
and Australia,
which are more competent and developed than Indonesia.
The cooperation in technology and intelligence with those countries will help Indonesia
to track and anticipate the terrorist and transnational criminal organizations.
Supporting Global
Security
To support global security, Indonesia
will contribute its efforts to UN peace operations based on Indonesian
capability and its interests. Indonesia
will also implement the international norms which are generally accepted.
In cooperation with the world
community, Indonesia
will have a chance to present itself as a peace lover. This will create
understanding of the situation in Indonesia,
especially the situation of separatism, communal conflicts, terrorism and
transnational crime. Indonesian armed forces and civil officers who are
involved in the UN operations will also have a chance to improve their
abilities through association with other parties in the operations. These
abilities will be useful in solving problems in the country.
Sensitivities and Pitfalls
The Total Defence Strategy is
the key to defending Indonesia.
Because of the strategic geography, no incursions can occupy all of the
Indonesian territory. This will provide a chance for the TNI to cooperate with Indonesia’s
people in order to operate unceasing warfare to counter-attack the aggressor.
This means Indonesia
needs a fundamental unification strategy. A key role would be to ensure the
preparation of people’s war and secret bases. The role of air and naval forces
is to deny hostile ships and aircraft approaching the Indonesian archipelago
and provide maximum freedom of action for land forces. The land forces will
launch counter-attacks to repel any hostile beachhead on Indonesian soil and
provide maximum opportunity for the TNI and militia to prepare people’s war
against the incursion. The preparation of this strategy will also help Indonesia
to create and maintain the security and unity of the nation.
Indonesia
will support peace operations under the UN authorities. The scale of the
contribution would depend on a wide range of factors, such as Indonesian
interest and the readiness of the TNI. A major Indonesian contribution to a UN
peace operation would more likely involve land forces than air and naval
forces. The experience of military operations other than war within the country
will provide the government with a range of options to contribute to low
intensity operations including peace-enforcement and peacekeeping.