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andy martin : Death in Baghdad The Society NY, 31 December 2006 before the Society assembled |
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(CHICAGO)(January 2, 2007)
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Two presidents died in the past few days. The way they are being remembered says a lot about them and the nations in which they rose to power.
Gerald Ford came to the White House from humble beginnings and happenstance. He has remained mostly on the sidelines since leaving Washington thirty years ago. Ford inherited chaos in 1974, and created an aura of tranquility that allowed the democratic and political processes to continue. He sacrificed his own electoral future for the good of the nation. Saddam Hussein was executed, through American incompetence and Iraqi blood lust if you believe the governments, and through American cupidity and Iraqi revenge if you don't. What's to believe? Who belies anything coming out of Washington or the Baghdad regime any more?
Arabs like to blame the colonial powers for their chaotic governance. But the empires have long since departed, and the chaos only increases. In Egypt, we have the Mubarek regime, an explosion waiting to happen. In Saudi Arabia, small explosions have already occurred; bigger ones may follow. Syria? Another Middle East crime family. Iran, which is not Arab, elected a leader who is more obsessed with proving what did not happen sixty-two years ago than he is with confronting the dismal economic future for his own nation. What gives? I know from painful personal experience the United States is not a perfect place. I have spent a lifetime fighting corruption in government, in the courts, in daily life. I can count the ways in which we are imperfect. But overarching all of the evil is an essential goodness, and the resilience of a political system that has endured peacefully for over two centuries.
I was in Washington during the early 1970's. I remember the dispiriting conditions created by the Nixon administration. A president who should be remembered for progressive social legislation and the opening to China is instead enshrined in our history for the Watergate break-in. Nixon won big in 1972; two years later the people had removed him and Gerald Ford was president. The transition was peaceful, Nixon left; Ford moved in, and politics soon thereafter resumed. Ford may have been an "accidental" president but he was a good man and the goodness of his character almost carried him to reelection.
Saddam was buried quietly, with the assistance of U.S. helicopters (the American presence, again). Few have mourned him, although many have used his death as an excuse for attacks on his killers. Sadly, Saddam's death is probably a precursor to similar upheaval and instability across the Arab world. Mubarek wants his son to succeed him in Egypt? That is not likely to happen, not peacefully. Bashir Assad? I would not bet on a quiet end. The Saudis? Take your pick. Iran is a revolution waiting to happen. Only George Bush keeps the mullahs in power.
Germany recently replaced its leader; France will do so this year. Tony Blair will probably be gone. No one expects a bloodbath or a nation destroyed. The West has learned from its mistakes. The East has not. Not yet. And yet the Arab peoples will not be hostages to their leaders forever. Change will come. Peace and order will eventually prevail, perhaps not in my lifetime but in the foreseeable future.
Despite the clash of civilizations, tranquility predominates in the West. Gerald Ford was a peaceful man who helped save his nation. We honor him for his service and for his humility. The death of two presidents tells us a lot about two nations, one that desperately needs to heal, Iraq, and one that has already begun to heal in the wake of 2006's election results, America.
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andy martin :
Andy Martin as Executive Editor of ContrarianCommentary.com
represents himself as America�s most respected foreign policy, military and intelligence analyst
as well as a Middle East expert. He visited Iraq in 2003. He has run for office numerous times.
Despite much of Andy's puffery on his military background, to his credit,
Andy most accurately as early as 2000 forecast President Bush's induced state of paranoia and plans for war in Irak.
The Society regards Andy's views on Middle Easter politics as overly optomistic.
Contact
andy martin for further information.
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