The Market
Fundamentals
Season 2000
On the decrease, Shorter stay.
Concentration
fleet modernization
Deregulation
Cabotage
|
|
About the Market:
Demand for domestic and international ferry
transportation is linked to the Greek economy (as well as to the Turkish
economy). The Greek economy, with a gross domestic product currently
growing at 3.5 - 4.0% per annum, is amongst the fastest growing economies
in the European Union. Strong market fundamentals and increasing
integration with the EU support the view that this condition will continue
for Greece. Beyond the positive impact of the Greek economic growth on
demand for ferry transportation, other factors are playing a role:
· The European Union Greece is in the process of transforming from a
relatively remote Southern European Market to a modern exporting economy.
The erosion of Greek trade tariffs and Greek growing integration with the
European Union have accelerated this transformation. The countries in, or
bordering to Europe are affected by EU transport policy addressing the
need for a modal shift of cargo transportation from road to sea in order
to halt road congestion, reduce accident rates and improve the
environment.
· Fast ferries The introduction of modern high-speed ferries has
vastly increased the travel-time competitiveness of ferry versus overland
transport. As an example, by introducing relatively fast ferries on the
route Ancona - Patras, the travel time has been reduced by about 35% and
has increased the demand.
· Tourism. Changes in European demographics and lifestyle patterns
have led to tourism becoming among the fastest growth sector in the
European economy. Ferry business is "surfing" on this wave.
Season 2000 will be
risky:
The
Federation of Greek Tourist Enterprises (SETE) told a press conference on
Monday tourism to Greece from abroad this year will
remain at 1999 levels. SETE appears less optimistic than the Institute of
Tourist Research and Predictions, which had recently, spoke of an increase
of up to seven percent in this year's tourist movement.
SETE further noted the alarming fact that despite the increase in
arrivals, overnight stays are decreasing. The average stay of an alien in
Greece has currently dropped to 11 days. SETE analyzed its positions on
tourist policy and proposed, among others, that efforts should be made to
link the 2004 Athens Olympic Games to Greek tourism, particularly at
communication level, and that
the government's effort to create new jobs should give priority to tourist
investments which create jobs.
Concentration &
modernisation The
Greek ferry market which was a couple of years ago describe as a small
parcel business has change drastically. Concentration and Fleet modernization
program have change the face of the Greek coastal shipping. Ferries
companies are attractive as they hold significant shares of the market,
agencies and customer networks and can pursue good relations with
suppliers, customers and port authorities, thus generating loyalty within
a geographically focused area of operations. In this respect, no more than
5 companies can be considered. Investor any start to worried a bit about
the "Stratospheric" gearing of some of them and the value of
their shares in the Athens Stock Exchange has been smacked hard in the
past recent months. Analyst following Attica or Minoan Group of companies
have downgraded prediction in the light of the aggressive increase in debt
servicing created by their new building program. (On that respect, Anek is
a company with hardly no debt - with the exception of the M.USD 290 loan
from Chase and a few millions in working capital - is maybe the only
counter example)
|
|

Greek Ferry Revolution

Summer is
Short - Sommar ar kort

Concentration, Globalisation &
Rationnalisation
Greece
Remains Greece
|