Bowl Championship Series Schedule Strength
Rich Tellshow's Projected BCS Schedule Strength
Last Updated: 11-Dec Opponent Opp-Opp AA Projected Current
Rank Team W L W L W L Wins SOS Pts SOS Pts
1 California 1 10 71 39 611 586 0 0.6005 0.04 0.6005 0.04
2 Colorado 10 2 74 45 728 592 0 0.5984 0.08 0.5984 0.08
3 Tennessee 10 2 72 45 720 580 0 0.5949 0.12 0.5949 0.12
4 Kansas 2 8 62 39 597 498 1 0.5910 0.16 0.5910 0.16
5 Kansas St. 6 5 67 42 634 555 0 0.5875 0.20 0.5875 0.20
6 Arkansas 6 4 61 40 580 518 1 0.5787 0.24 0.5787 0.24
7 Mississippi St. 3 8 63 42 623 541 0 0.5784 0.28 0.5784 0.28
8 Wisconsin 4 7 68 44 634 594 1 0.5769 0.32 0.5769 0.32
9 Oklahoma St. 3 7 60 39 568 528 1 0.5768 0.36 0.5768 0.36
10 Auburn 7 4 65 44 625 551 0 0.5747 0.40 0.5747 0.40
11 LSU 9 3 67 49 712 572 0 0.5699 0.44 0.5699 0.44
12 Florida St. 7 4 65 43 599 586 0 0.5697 0.48 0.5697 0.48
13 Syracuse 9 3 70 48 670 618 0 0.5689 0.52 0.5689 0.52
14 Nebraska 11 1 66 48 686 572 0 0.5677 0.56 0.5677 0.56
15 UCLA 7 4 61 46 652 521 0 0.5653 0.60 0.5653 0.60
16 Penn St. 5 6 65 45 612 584 0 0.5645 0.64 0.5645 0.64
17 Miami (FL) 11 0 61 45 631 540 0 0.5633 0.68 0.5633 0.68
18 Michigan 8 3 63 46 632 554 0 0.5629 0.72 0.5629 0.72
19 Florida 9 2 62 47 647 531 0 0.5623 0.76 0.5623 0.76
20 Notre Dame 5 6 63 46 627 558 0 0.5617 0.80 0.5617 0.80
21 Kentucky 2 9 63 46 622 557 0 0.5612 0.84 0.5612 0.84
22 Texas Tech 6 4 57 43 584 495 1 0.5604 0.88 0.5604 0.88
23 Washington 8 3 61 47 641 532 0 0.5587 0.92 0.5587 0.92
24 Missouri 3 7 57 44 591 494 1 0.5578 0.96 0.5578 0.96
25 Stanford 9 2 62 48 649 549 0 0.5563 1.00 0.5563 1.00
26 Oregon St. 4 6 59 44 587 539 1 0.5556 1.04 0.5556 1.04
27 Texas A&M 6 4 55 44 595 487 1 0.5537 1.08 0.5537 1.08
28 North Carolina 7 5 68 51 662 645 0 0.5498 1.12 0.5498 1.12
29 Colorado St. 6 5 65 48 598 635 0 0.5451 1.16 0.5451 1.16
30 Alabama 6 5 58 49 632 538 0 0.5414 1.20 0.5414 1.20
31 Utah St. 2 7 55 39 450 547 2 0.5405 1.24 0.5405 1.24
32 Troy St. 3 4 48 35 380 448 4 0.5385 1.28 0.5385 1.28
33 Oregon 10 1 56 50 650 518 0 0.5377 1.32 0.5377 1.32
34 Baylor 2 8 55 45 545 518 1 0.5376 1.36 0.5376 1.36
35 South Carolina 7 3 55 48 606 511 1 0.5368 1.40 0.5368 1.40
36 Texas 10 2 61 56 731 568 0 0.5352 1.44 0.5352 1.44
37 Purdue 6 5 60 49 591 591 0 0.5336 1.48 0.5336 1.48
38 Washington St. 8 2 55 48 591 518 1 0.5336 1.52 0.5336 1.52
39 USC 6 5 57 53 670 528 0 0.5319 1.56 0.5319 1.56
40 Oklahoma 10 2 61 56 704 576 0 0.5309 1.60 0.5309 1.60
41 West Virginia 3 8 59 50 601 580 0 0.5305 1.64 0.5305 1.64
42 Minnesota 3 7 55 45 536 561 1 0.5295 1.68 0.5295 1.68
43 Illinois 10 1 56 52 648 532 0 0.5287 1.72 0.5287 1.72
44 Arizona St. 4 7 57 50 607 574 0 0.5265 1.76 0.5265 1.76
45 Indiana 5 6 58 52 623 571 0 0.5254 1.80 0.5254 1.80
46 Nevada 3 8 64 52 603 682 0 0.5242 1.84 0.5242 1.84
47 Pittsburgh 5 5 54 46 534 557 1 0.5232 1.88 0.5232 1.88
48 Vanderbilt 1 9 54 50 569 533 1 0.5183 1.92 0.5183 1.92
49 Houston 0 11 60 47 493 665 0 0.5157 1.96 0.5157 1.96
50 Ohio St. 7 4 54 54 636 545 0 0.5128 2.00 0.5128 2.00
51 Clemson 5 5 53 49 555 559 1 0.5125 2.04 0.5125 2.04
52 Georgia 8 3 53 54 629 539 0 0.5097 2.08 0.5097 2.08
53 Northern Illinois 5 5 50 42 445 563 1 0.5095 2.12 0.5095 2.12
54 Temple 4 7 57 52 562 603 0 0.5094 2.16 0.5094 2.16
55 San Jose St. 3 9 62 60 698 667 0 0.5092 2.20 0.5092 2.20
56 Iowa St. 6 4 47 51 613 468 1 0.5088 2.24 0.5088 2.24
57 Iowa 6 5 54 54 622 561 0 0.5086 2.28 0.5086 2.28
58 Fresno St. 11 2 65 65 771 699 0 0.5082 2.32 0.5082 2.32
59 Wake Forest 5 5 51 49 558 549 1 0.5080 2.36 0.5080 2.36
60 Miami (OH) 7 5 62 55 588 683 0 0.5075 2.40 0.5075 2.40
61 Virginia 4 7 57 57 635 586 1 0.5067 2.44 0.5067 2.44
62 Boston College 7 4 55 54 600 585 0 0.5052 2.48 0.5052 2.48
63 East Carolina 5 5 53 48 515 593 1 0.5048 2.52 0.5048 2.52
64 Georgia Tech 6 5 57 56 614 605 1 0.5042 2.56 0.5042 2.56
65 Utah 7 4 54 51 551 606 0 0.5016 2.60 0.5016 2.60
66 Hawaii 8 3 60 57 622 695 1 0.4993 2.64 0.4993 2.64
67 Western Michigan 4 6 51 48 486 555 1 0.4991 2.68 0.4991 2.68
68 Tulsa 0 10 56 53 550 646 1 0.4958 2.72 0.4958 2.72
69 Arizona 5 6 51 56 621 547 0 0.4950 2.76 0.4950 2.76
70 Virginia Tech 8 3 53 55 585 581 0 0.4944 2.80 0.4944 2.80
71 Ole Miss 6 4 48 52 560 519 1 0.4930 2.84 0.4930 2.84
72 Northwestern 4 7 53 56 600 585 0 0.4929 2.88 0.4929 2.88
73 Tulane 2 9 58 53 509 676 1 0.4915 2.92 0.4915 2.92
74 Duke 0 11 53 56 604 599 0 0.4915 2.96 0.4915 2.96
75 San Diego St. 2 8 49 52 524 579 1 0.4818 3.00 0.4818 3.00
76 SMU 4 7 54 59 614 644 0 0.4813 3.04 0.4813 3.04
77 Marshall 8 2 51 53 501 585 2 0.4807 3.08 0.4807 3.08
78 North Carolina St. 7 4 50 59 615 584 0 0.4768 3.12 0.4768 3.12
79 Ohio 1 10 52 55 527 632 0 0.4756 3.16 0.4756 3.16
80 Air Force 5 6 53 57 559 655 1 0.4747 3.20 0.4747 3.20
81 Maryland 10 1 47 57 597 560 0 0.4733 3.24 0.4733 3.24
82 UNLV 4 7 50 59 588 606 0 0.4700 3.28 0.4700 3.28
83 Boise St. 8 4 55 64 646 688 0 0.4695 3.32 0.4695 3.32
84 Louisiana Tech 7 4 50 62 641 609 0 0.4686 3.36 0.4686 3.36
85 Michigan St. 6 5 46 61 638 536 0 0.4678 3.40 0.4678 3.40
86 Louisville 9 2 51 60 588 627 1 0.4676 3.44 0.4676 3.44
87 Bowling Green 8 3 49 58 550 614 0 0.4628 3.48 0.4628 3.48
88 TCU 6 5 46 54 513 586 0 0.4623 3.52 0.4623 3.52
89 Memphis 4 6 47 54 489 586 1 0.4619 3.56 0.4619 3.56
90 Akron 4 7 48 58 535 614 0 0.4571 3.60 0.4571 3.60
91 Wyoming 1 9 43 55 539 562 1 0.4557 3.64 0.4557 3.64
92 Kent St. 5 5 45 57 504 597 1 0.4467 3.68 0.4467 3.68
93 Texas El Paso 1 9 44 59 555 599 1 0.4451 3.72 0.4451 3.72
94 New Mexico 6 5 46 62 567 616 0 0.4437 3.76 0.4437 3.76
95 Rutgers 2 9 44 65 593 579 0 0.4378 3.80 0.4378 3.80
96 Central Florida 5 5 40 58 521 541 1 0.4356 3.84 0.4356 3.84
97 Rice 8 4 49 72 668 682 0 0.4349 3.88 0.4349 3.88
98 Central Michigan 2 8 42 55 456 587 1 0.4344 3.92 0.4344 3.92
99 Brigham Young 12 1 49 77 731 666 0 0.4337 3.96 0.4337 3.96
100 Southern Miss 6 5 42 63 572 579 0 0.4323 4.00 0.4323 4.00
101 Idaho 1 10 44 57 463 627 0 0.4320 4.04 0.4320 4.04
102 Ball St. 5 6 39 58 501 537 0 0.4289 4.08 0.4289 4.08
103 North Texas 5 6 44 59 471 631 0 0.4273 4.12 0.4273 4.12
104 Navy 0 10 41 60 511 589 0 0.4255 4.16 0.4255 4.16
105 UAB 5 5 40 60 503 572 1 0.4226 4.20 0.4226 4.20
106 New Mexico St. 5 7 48 70 568 694 0 0.4212 4.24 0.4212 4.24
107 Toledo 9 2 39 64 523 581 0 0.4103 4.28 0.4103 4.28
108 Cincinnati 7 4 41 67 543 611 0 0.4099 4.32 0.4099 4.32
109 Louisiana Monroe 2 9 39 57 436 614 0 0.4092 4.36 0.4092 4.36
110 Eastern Michigan 1 9 36 55 391 545 1 0.4030 4.40 0.4030 4.40
111 Connecticut 2 9 37 58 425 604 0 0.3973 4.44 0.3973 4.44
112 South Florida 5 3 27 55 425 431 3 0.3850 4.48 0.3850 4.48
113 Army 3 8 36 70 529 626 0 0.3791 4.52 0.3791 4.52
114 Middle Tennessee St. 8 3 35 70 495 621 0 0.3701 4.56 0.3701 4.56
115 Buffalo 3 8 35 72 502 639 0 0.3647 4.60 0.3647 4.60
116 Arkansas St. 2 9 32 64 414 576 0 0.3616 4.64 0.3616 4.64
117 Louisiana Lafayette 2 8 34 70 444 618 1 0.3573 4.68 0.3573 4.68