• 2.27.05, 3:02pm - Oscar
Predictions:
DISCLAIMER: I usually don't have much of a basis for making
Oscar predictions because I don't see
many of the nominated movies. This year is no exception. Of
54 movies nominated in 24 categories, I've only seen 12 films in 17
categories. I'm only making predictions in categories that
include at least one movie that I have seen. Of those, however, 9
of the "predictions" are for movies I haven't seen. You may be
asking, "Dustin, why do you even bother making Oscar
predictions?" My answer is, "I have no idea." So here we
go...
-
Actor: Jamie Foxx in Ray (but I thought Don Cheadle was great in Hotel Rwanda)
-
Supporting Actor: Thomas Haden Church in Sideways
- Actress: I've only seen Kate Winslet in Eternal Sunshine of
the Spotless Mind, but my guess is Hilary Swank will win
for Million
Dollar Baby.
-
Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator, although I haven't seen it.
- Costume
Design: I've only seen Ray, but I can't believe it would win in this
category. Best guess: The Aviator
- Original Score: The music in The Village was a big part of that film, but I don't
think it will win. The only other one I saw was Harry Potter and the
Prisoner of Azkaban, but I
can't imagine that one winning either. Complete guess: Finding Neverland
- Original
Song: I don't even know
why this is a category. Who knows these songs? I've seen Shrek 2, but I can't remember the nominated
song. I'm not even guessing on this one.
- Sound
Editing: Spider-Man 2
- Sound
Mixing: I don't even
know the difference between this category and the previous one, but for
some reason they never seem to go to the same movie. So, I'll say
The Aviator.
- Visual
Effects: The only
category in which I've seen every movie nominated (alas, there are only
three). I'll go with Spider-Man 2.
- Adapted
Screenplay: Sideways
- Original
Screenplay: I'm happy to
see that The
Incredibles was nominated, but
it'll probably go to The Aviator.
- Editing: I've seen three out five, but I'm
still going with one I haven't seen: The Aviator
- Animated
Feature: The Incredibles
-
Documentary Feature: The
only one I've seen is Super Size Me.
I don't think it will win, but I wouldn't know what to guess, so I'll
make it my "official" prediction. (What have I got to lose?)
- Director: It seems like it may finally be Martin Scorsese's year,
even though The Aviator probably hasn't been one of his best
films.
- Picture: Probably The Aviator, although I'd like to see it go to Sideways.
• 2.2.05, 10:53pm -
R.I.P.: