STOCK OF THE DAY


"CASINOS MAKE MONEY BECAUSE BETTING ODDS ARE IN THEIR FAVOR" ----Marty Schwartz,1999.


Trading 1000 Shares
STOCK ENTRY L/S STOP EXIT HOLD SHORT POS? PROFIT/L TOTAL CONDITION
PROX 10 1/2 OR HIGHER SHORT   10 3/8 YES,WILL FALL FURTHER $120 $120 Nasadq DN-UP

Date of trade: 03/26/01

Why PROX?

 

PRODUCT DESIRABILITY: NONE, INTEL HAS GIVEN IT THE KISS OF DEATH :

SELL

WHAT DID NETOPIA TOLD PROX ABOUT MERGER? : NO THANKS! : SELL

IS PROX AN ORPHAN? YES: SELL

RSI, OVERBOUGHT: SELL

MANAGMENT: DEFICIENT, SHOULD HAVE ANTICIPATED INTC MOVE AND

WARNED INVESTORS,THEY DIDN'T : SELL

COULD LAWSUITS BANKRUPT PROX : YES : SELL

COMPANY TECHNOLOGY NEW? NO,A BETTER TECH(WI-FI) IS IN PLACE : SELL

IS THIS COMPANY A BUBBLE? YES : SELL

MOMENTUM,OVERBOUGHT: SELL

IS THIS COMPANY RUNNING ON HYPE: YES : SELL

IS THE COMPANY MAKING OR BURNING CASH? : BURNING : SELL

BOOK VALUE: $ 6.74 : (WITH INTC OUT SLASH IT IN HALF OR LESS): SELL

TRUE VALUE: $2.24 : SELL

COMPETITION : INTEL, & 100 OTHER COMPANIES WENT WITH WI-FI,THE

BETTER SYSTEM : SELL

STOCHASTICS: OVERBOUGHT : SELL

DOES PROX HAS A FUTURE?, IN DOUBT NOW : SELL

PE RATIO : 174 OUTRAGEOUSLY HIGH : SELL THE POS

CASH IN EACH SHARE : $2.59, (WITHOUT INTC SLASH IT IN HALF) : SELL

MACD OVERBOUGHT,WENT FROM 5 1/2 TO 11 3/8 IN 2 DAYS : SELL

MARKET CAPITALIZATION : 279 MILLION : SELL THE FAT FLYING PIG

NET INCOME: 2.1 MILLION(WITHOUT INTC,SLASH IT IN HALF) : SELL

INVESTORS PAYING 279 MILLION TO GET 2.1 MILLION? YES : SELL

WILL SLICING IT 3 TIMES MAKE IT CHEAP? : NO : SELL

TOTAL SALES : 107 MILLION(WITHOUT INTC,SLASH IT IN HALF), : SELL

OPERATING MARGIN : - .3 % , NEGATIVE?....YUCK! : SELL

RISK IF YOU BUY AND HOLD PROX : $ 9 : SELL

UPSIDE POTENTIAL: NONE FOREVER : SELL

MOMENTUM,OVERBOUGHT : SELL

CASH IN THE BANK: $69.7 MILLION,THAT'S IT? YES,VERY LOW: SELL

HOW OVERVALUED IS PROX ? 90 % OVERVALUED : SELL

PROX FAIR PRICE: OPTIMISTICALLY $ 2.50 : SELL

NASDAQ & DOW TO TAKE PROFITS : SELL

PUT/CALL RATIO SAYS : SELL

LIKELYHOOD TRADE WILL WORK : 90.5%

CONCLUSION: MOST OF THE ODDS ARE IN OUR FAVOR


IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR A BOTTOM YOU PROBABLY WRONG,

IF YOU KNOW IT'S A BOTTOM YOU PROBABLY LATE.------Unknown


Trade cancelled if:

1.- stock gaps up or down excessively,

2.-if market conditions are not met.

3.-Or if stock lacks volume and doesn't move.


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"Casinos make money because betting odds are in their favor" ---Marty Schwartz, 1999


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