MDM 4U1 Cause & Effect

Consider the following pairs of variables; what type of a correlation would you expect to find between them:

  1. # of hours spent practicing at a golf driving range Vs. your golf drive distance
  2. # of hours spent practicing at a golf driving range Vs. your golf score
  3. size of a corn harvest & the size of an apple harvest
  4. your mark on a geometry test & your mark on an algebra test
  5. your income vs. the # of CD’s you purchase

We cannot just assume that because 2 variables have a (strong) positive correlation, that a true relationship genuinely exists and that one affects the other. To perform a complete analysis, you must do 2 things:

1. and then

2.

These are called: _________________________________

5 main types of causal relationships exist:

1. Cause & Effect Relationship:

 

 

 

 

2. Common Cause Factor:

 

 

 

 

3. Reverse Cause & Effect Relationship:

 

 

 

 

4. Accidental Relationship:

 

 

 

 

 

5. Presumed Relationship:

 

 

 

Let’s consider example 1 on page 196 of your text.

Definition: Extraneous Variables are

 

 

Example: consider the variables term marks obtained vs.final exam marks

~ the probable correlation which exists is:

 

~ possible extraneous variables which exist could be:

 

 

To reduce the effect of extraneous variables researches often compare 2 sets of groups: ____________________________________________

Definition:

 

 

 

 

Definition: A placebo effect occurs when

 

 

Example: Quitting smoking research wants to test a drug to see if it helps smokers quit. 50 people who want to quit smoking volunteer. The researcher divides the group equally into moderate/heavy smokers.

Group 1: is given the nicotine patch with the new drug

Group 2: is given a nicotine patch without anything in it.

Results found show that 14 people in Group 1 quit and 9 people in group 2 quit.

a) Which is the experimental group? ________________

b) Which is the control group? ________________

c) What is the independent variable? ________________________

d) What’s the dependent variable? ________________________

e) Can the researcher conclude the new drug is effective?

 

 

 

 

 

HMWK: 1. Pg 199 #1, 2, 4 – 6, 8, 10a

2. (Evaluated) Achievement Check question # 11 on page 201 DUE: in 2 days

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