Posting
dated 2nd June 2001.
BSE Sensex
–Market Timing for June 2001.
Fibonacci market turning dates.
Fibonacci’s calculations when applied to certain highs and lows achieved by the BSE Sensex in the past pointed to some dates in June 2001 that bear a close watch.
The calculation is presented in the table below.
|
Market
date |
9/25/98 |
10/11/99 |
23/5/2000
|
10/19/00 |
1/11/01 |
3/13/01 |
4/16/01 |
4/27/01 |
5/30/01 |
|
Index |
3215.77 |
5150.99 |
3831.86 |
3491.55 |
4006.54 |
3436.75 |
3096.51 |
3357.83 |
3759.96 |
|
Hi /
low |
Minor
lo |
Sig.
low |
Sig.
low |
Inter
lo |
Minor
hi |
Minor
low |
Inter
Lo |
Minor
low |
Minor
hi |
|
Fibo
days |
987 |
610 |
377 |
233 |
144 |
89 |
55 |
55 |
21 |
|
No
of days |
979 |
598 |
373 |
224 |
140 |
79 |
45 |
34 |
1 |
|
June
date |
8 |
12 |
4 |
9 |
4 |
10 |
10 |
21 |
20 |
The last row in the table carries presents dates in June when the market is likely to have an “event”. The event may be a market high or low after which the trend may turn. Or a significant decline or spike on those days. All these days have a 1day leeway forward or backward.
One cant say well in advance relying on this method alone
as to what exactly will happen on those days. All that can be said is that those
days are likely to be more eventful in market terms than other days. So a
rational approach by following this method would call for following the daily
trend of the market as it approaches the fibonacci date window and then expect a
turn on that date.
I find it better to judge market behavior in advance by
combining Fibonacci study with Astrology (and Wave patterns that are not
presented here.)
minor high this year. The day co-incides with Sun’s release from the orb of Saturn after a recent conjunction. Perhaps that points to at least a minor low on that day followed by a recovery on subsequent days or a recovery commencing that day.
SUMMARY.
All in all from a Fibonacci and planetary perspective the market is good for buying and trading upto the middle of the month. It may be advisable to exit long positions during the second half upto the month end.
End.
Please read the Disclaimer on the Index page.