MARCH 1963 EDWARD N. LORENZ 135

substituting these series into (17) and (18). He arranged the right-hand sides of the resulting equations in double-Fourier-series form, by replacing products of trigonometric functions of x (or z) by sums of trigonometric functions, and then equated coefficients of similar functions of x and z. He then reduced the resulting infinite system to a finite system by omitting reference to all but a specified finite set of functions of t, in the manner proposed by the writer (1960).
He then obtained time-dependent solutions by numerical integration. In certain cases all except three of the dependent variables eventually tended to zero, and these three variables underwent irregular, apparent1y nonperiodic fluctuations.
These same solutions would have been obtained if the series had at the start been truncated to include a total of three terms. Accordingly, in this study we shall let 


where X, Y, and Z are functions of time alone. When expressions (23) and (24) are substituted into (17) and (18), and trigonometric terms other than those occurring in (23) and (24) are omitted, we obtain the equations



Here a dot denotes a derivative with respect to the dimensionless time τ=π2H-2(1+a2)kt, while σ=k-1υ is the Prandtl number, r=Rc-1Ro, and b=4(1+a2)-1. Except for multiplicative constants, our variables X, Y, and Z are the same as Saltzman's variables A, D, and G. Equations (25), (26), and (27) are the convection equations whose solutions we shall study.
In these equations X is proportional to the intensity of the convective motion, while Y is proportional to the temperature difference between the ascending and descending currents, similar signs of X and Y denoting that warm fluid is rising and cold fluid is descending. The variab1e Z is proportional to the distortion of the vertical temperature profile from linearity, a positive value indicating that the strongest gradients occur near the boundaries.
Equations (25)-(27) may give realistic results when the Rayleigh number is slightly supercritical, but their solutions cannot be expected to resemble those of (17) and (18) when strong convection occurs, in view of the extreme truncation. 

6. Applications of linear theory

            Although equations (25)-(27), as they stand, do not have the form of (4), a number of linear transformations

 

will convert them to this form. One of the simplest of these is the transformation

Solutions of (25)-(27) therefore remain bounded within a region R as r → ∞, and the general results of Sections 2, 3 and 4 apply to these equations.
The stability of a solution X(r), Y(r), Z(r) may be formally investigated by considering the behavior of small superposed perturbations xo(r). yo(r), zo(r). Such perturbations are temporarily governed by the linearized equations 

 

Since the coefficients in (29) vary with time, unless the basic state X, Y, Z is a steady-state solution of (25)-(27), a general solution of (29) is not feasible. However, the variation of the volume Vo of a small region in phase space, as each point in the region is displaced in accordance with (25)-(27), is determined by the diagonal sum of the matrix of coefficients; specifically 

This is perhaps most readily seen by visualizing the motion in phase space as the flow of a fluid, whose divergence is

Hence each small volume shrinks to zero as r → ∞, at a rate independent of X, Y, and Z. This does not imply that each small volume shrinks to a point; it may simply become flattened into a surface. It follows that the volume of the region initially enclosed by the surface S shrinks to zero at this same rate, so that all trajectories ultimately become confined to a specific subspace having zero volume. This subspace contains all those trajectories which lie entirely within R, and so contains all central trajectories.
Equations (25)-(27) possess the steady-state solution X = Y = Z = 0, representing the state of no convection. With this basic solution, the characteristic equation of the matrix in (29) is

This equation has three real roots when r>0; all are negative when r< 1, but one is positive when r>1. The criterion for the onset of convection is therefore r= 1, or Ro=Rc in agreement with Rayleigh's result.
When r> 1, equations (25)-(27) possess two additional steady-state solutions

1