(The Best of)
(Move slider to shift time period, expand slider for longer time period.)
APA APC BR ECA $XNG
CRK CHK XTO XEC $XNG
CRED CWEI $XNG
Robry comments included
Long term model and pipeline receipt model
Demand Days vs NOAA norms 9/12/03
16,272 Robry's weekly summary thread
16,168 New degree day model 9/11/03
16,451 CBM is 40% of new production, not reflected in rig count! slow decline rate.
Note that last year's (orange) bottom near week 14 is the highest bottom. That high storage amount plus recent soft gas prices appears to have led to a reduction in drilling setting up today's current bullish natural gas situation.
2849 More about the fuss. SkepticalQuestioner
Figure 4 Graph of Gas storage since '94 (scroll down to figure 4) Note repeated peaks at 3TCFe
Basics of Natural Gas Storage EIA
2510 Example of early model Robry
2480-81 Example of Storage Model Forecast Robry
2382 Degree Day baseline Robry
2394 More Baseline Robry
2619 ditto
2805 Backshifted Baseline Robry
5360 Weekly projections, The score Robry
Data Complexity + Demise of AGA survey:
1928, 1970,1987,2025,2205 (demise of survey) Robry
2652 Pressure effects, Storage extremes Robry
2702 EIA methodology Robry
8238 Daily gas flows by ODB
9005 Taylor's list of NG sites
11,682 Castle on 1st week of month #s
12,157 Castle's model 12,143 ...
12,030 [12,040 correction]Degree Day Post series/NOAA revision-Robry
13,143 model and demand destruction M&B
13,235 robry modells perception Tayolr
14,139 model discussion Robry
14,284 discretionary model
More EIA graphs (many old from HubbertsPeak)
HubbertsPeak.com NG page Analysis at bottom
Energypulse LNG supply and demand
Methane Hydrate potentially huge supply
methane hydrate website
14,536 ditto/baseline formula, basepoint
14,861 ditto
16,272 LNG is included in pipeline receipts
16,614 EIA weekly monthly drift
more on model change 9/03
9,956 Sell rec of 6/5/03
21,571 Historical Drawdown Equivilents
21,614 followup on above
21,769 Importance and subtlety of DD's
22,055 Bullish turn of 11/03 clarification
3591 Receipts model defined
3518 Backshifting degree day adjustment
3186 Robry bullish at least until March 15 (12/3/02)
6133 Why CL storage is low,Working gas#s
7055 Baseline formula
9674 Hisorical baseline scores, TDD, weekly
10,534 1st week of month anomoly
11,650 Pipline receipt data source/table
12,399 Hurricane treatment in receipt model
130 REPS Explained
142 Robry's Trading Style
151 More on REPS
787 Last post? until 6/17/01
1918 Next post of 6/17/01
Well gas flow factors (geology) 8319 ODB
5 Nat Gas Education Links with descriptions
Annotated fossil fuel links for North America
Petroleum Geology Click on graphics for details
InvestingForIncome Free Newsletter, CanRoys etc
52,151 (TEI) US and Canadian Royalty Trust Compared
52,091 ditto Note: chart doesn't adjust for div's
Abiogenic Petroleum links
16,791 ODB says aboigenic theory is bunk
Abiogenic critic more of same
Energy inovation post with sites mentioned by Byrdwell
Wind power
