GMA isn't the answer to the economic-military crisis

Alejandro Lichauco
Opinion, TODAY
March 25, 2000

     We have an economic crisis that have been compounded by the military crisis and those pushing for the resignation of President Estrada with hopes of seeing Vice President Gloria Macapagal succeed him have overlooked the origin and nature of the problem.

     The economic aspect of the crisis has its proximate origin in the havoc which GATT wreaked on the economy. The military crisis, on the other hand, rooted in the Mindanao problem, has been deeply exacerbated by the distressed condition of our Armed Forces.

     In both aspects of the crisis-the economic and military-GMA has much to account for. It was she, as chairman of the Senate Economic Committee during the Ramos administration, who steered the Angara Senate into a reckless ratification of GATT from whose impact the nation now reels. As for the military crisis, she was a ranking member of the political party under whose administration the P7.5 billion, earmarked by law for arms modernization, was diverted to promote t he political purposes her party, and perhaps her own vice-presidency.

     GMA never raised avoice against the sale of Fort Bonifacio nor did she opposed the diversion of the funds that should have been applied to update the fighting capability of the Armed Forces, who are now in a virtual suicide mission in Mindanao precisely because of logistic inadequacy.

      So how can you possibly entertain the thought that she will succeed to Malacanang should Estrada resign, whether voluntarily or forcibly. She won't and she shouldn't.

     She won't because should Estrada, for any reason whatever, cease to be president before the expiry of his term-whether through another Edsa or a military coup or for plain reasons of health-the Armed Forces are bound to have a heavy, if not decisive, say on just who will sit in Malacanang,and the Armed Forces aren't stupid enough to allow GMA to do that.

     They won't, precisely because of GMA's failed record as GATT pusher and as one who, by her silence, acquiesced in the sale of Fort Bonifacio and the diversion of funds earmarked for the Armed Forces.

     The fact that, by virtue of the Constitution, she is entitled to the presidential succession will hardly be relevant because the pretermination of the Estrada presidency, for any reason whatever, will bring into play powerful forces that would question, as they have long questioned, the relevance of the political system, and of politicians elected under the system, to a crisis that has beggared the nation and which threatens to dismember it.

     In the case of GMA, that questioning would be even more acute precisely because of her record.

     Let's not forget that while Edsa did restore the institutions of representative democracy, the conduct of every civilian governmen since Edsa has contibuted to the erosion of the Constitution as an operative document. The Constitution is virtually dead.

     The principle og checks and balances, for example, no longer exists. Congress has become the outright extension and tool of Malacanang instead of functioning as an independent body that would scrutinize the vital policies in issuing from the Palace. The principle of Church-State separation has been honored more in the breach than the observance. The socio-economic constitutional directives that the State shall promote a self-reliant and independent national economy, promote social justice and full employment, have become a joke. The juducial system is in shambles.

     The Constitution is up for the breaking by anyone who can afford it, and presidents have been most guilty of that. So what Costitution are we talking about?

     Nobody gives a damn about the Constitution anymore. And when you have a crisis of this order and magnitude, that document becomes a a worthless piece of paper precisely because it was under that document that the crisis arose.

     And when the crisis becomes to a boil-which it will should the Estrada presidency be predetermined, nobody is going to invoke a Constitution crafted by a body whose members were hand-picked by Malacanang.

     What will be invoke is the imperative need for a crisis government that will effectively govern, at least during a period of transition, without a Constitution and a Congress until the crisis is resolved, or evidently in the process of being resolved. Is there a precedent for that?

     Of course there is. That was the Cory revolutionary government, which governed for a year without a Congress and without a Constitution. The one-year revolutionary government that emerged from Edsa will surely be recalled as a precedent to meet a crisis far more lethal amd complex than what we faced after the Marcoses were put to flight.

     So, stop visualizing a presidency under GMA because that will never happen under these conditions.

     And it shouldn't for one overriding reson. The challenges facing the presidency are much too formidable for any single person, and that challenge is going to be even more daunting in the immediate future. There isn't a single one, man or woman, in the horizon who can possibly live up to the challenge. That is the argument for a collegial presidency, or a junta, whether composed by the military alone, or by civilians alone, or by a combination of both. A junta will ensure that at least more than one brain will be at work as chief executive of the nation, and that crucial decisions won't be made on the whims or failed judgment of one, single person.

     The fatal flaw of the presidential system now is that those decisions are ultimately the decisions of one who isn't accountable to anyone while he or she is in the office, who doesn't even have to listen to the counsel of his her Cabinet.

     And the even more fatal flaw is that where you have an inept chief executive many of those decisions are simply left to the individual members of the Cabinet-agriculture policy to the secretary of Agriculture, trade and industry, monetary policy to the finance secretary and/or governor of the central bank, and so on.

     And so the result is utter confusion and the effective abdication of presidential responsibility for policymaking at the highest level.

     That wouldn't happen if the responsibility and power of the chief executive were to be vested in a collegial presidency. At least the chances of uncoordinated decisions would be happening would be considerably minimized. The decisions of one department of government will actually be the responsibility of all. And that is how you achieve coherence of governance, which is exactly what we do't have, and which is a major source of confusion.

     That, in the view of this piece, is the closest to an ideal political system and decision-making mechanism that could effectively respond to the rising emergency. That would be much more preferable to a scenario where GMA sits in Malacanang, and we owe it to ourselves to work for that and see to it that GMA never sits, period. Nothing personal.


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