Week 4 Preview

 

Meet the Packers

The Green Bay Packers are coming to town on Monday night. This is the second time in two years that the Packers have made a visit to Philadelphia. Last season, their match up occurred during Week 11, when it was very clear the Eagles and Packers would not be returning to the glory they were both accustomed to before 2005. The Eagles would win 19-14 in a very sloppy game filled with fumbles by the Packers and multiple interceptions from Packers QB Brett Favre and Eagles back up Mike McMahon, who was replacing the injured Donovan McNabb. The Packers would finish the season at an uncharacteristic 4-12 and saw many changes occur to their franchise during the off-season.

 

The Packers’ 4-12 season came as a bit of a surprise and led to the axing of longtime coach Mike Sherman. Following Sherman’s firing, there was off-season speculation in regards to whether Favre would retire and how the Packers would rebound. By the start of training camp, things seemed to have cleared up for the Pack. Disgruntled WR Javon Walker was dealt to the Broncos, Brett Favre chose to play another year, and they drafted a great LB in Ohio State’s AJ Hawk. The Pack also hired former Saints offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy to take the place of Sherman.

 

The Packers are coming off their first win of the season, a 31-24 victory against the Detroit Lions. After losing their first two games to Chicago (26-0) and New Orleans (31-27), the Packers came out hungry on the road against the lowly Lions. Brett Favre had a great day; his 127.1 quarterback rating marked the first week Favre’s rating was over 86 since last October. The 36 year old Favre completed a 75-yard TD pass to rookie WR Greg Jennings, putting him in elite company as the only QB besides Dan Marino to throw for over 400 touchdowns. Brett even showed signs of mobility on a bootleg play where he rolled out for six seconds before firing a laser to Donald Driver in the end zone. Favre was named NFC Player of the Week for his efforts and the Packers will be looking to build some momentum with another win in Philadelphia.

 

The Packers’ offense has a variety of weapons for the Eagles to watch. Even though Brett Favre has lost a step or two in recent years, he still has a good number of playmakers that can make the Packers’ offense very effective. Driver and Jennings get the lion’s share of work at wide receiver, and Robert Ferguson will get balls thrown his way in short-yardage situations. The Packers have two reliable, well-rounded options at tight end, seasoned veterans Bubba Franks and David Martin. But the most potent threat comes out of the backfield in the form of Ahman Green, finally healthy after sitting most of last year. So far, Green has produced over 115 yards of offense per game and is second on the team in catches with 17. However, the Packers’ running backs have already lost four fumbles, and nobody has emerged as a viable option to spell Green.

 

Green Bay added another standout performer this past offseason in wide receiver Koren Robinson. Robinson might not catch a ball all night, but he does have a chance to make an impact on special teams. Scandal aside, he enjoyed a breakout 2005 season in Minnesota as a kick returner. Despite no experience as a return man since college, Robinson represented the NFC in Honolulu with seven returns of 40 yards or more and one touchdown.

 

The Packers’ defense has not done a great job this year, giving up over 20 points a game, and McCarthy has said he is looking for improvement, especially along the line. They are seeing some improvement from fifh-year defensive end Aaron Kampman (9 tackles, 4 sacks), who seems to be on his way to a career year. Tackle Kabeer “KGB” Gbaja-Biamila is also a guy to be watched, but Green Bay doesn’t have too much past that. In the linebackers, their explosive rookie AJ Hawk will be playing the weak-side linebacker position. The Packers have a very experienced secondary with former Eagle Al Harris and the aging veteran Charles Woodson. With lack of depth along the D-Line, the Packers have had trouble making things happen on defense especially with the pass.

 

What to watch for on Monday

Why this game is a Monday night game is a bit of a mystery, but it will still be a good game nonetheless. Brett Favre is known for being a clutch athlete and it is certain that he will bring his A-game that night. Despite struggling on Monday Night Football in 2005 (0-3), the Eagles still have a 9-5 mark on Monday nights in the Reid/McNabb era. The Eagles know how important a win in this game is in order to prepare for the showdown on October 8th against TO and the Cowboys. This is a game for the Packers to prove themselves and try to stay alive in the NFC North, and this is a game for the Eagles to keep momentum going and prepare mentally for the Cowboys game.

 

When the Eagles have the ball

So far this year, Donovan and Co. have done a fantastic job moving the ball down the field as well as spreading the ball around amongst receivers and running backs. Look for that trend to continue on Monday. Even though he is listed as questionable on the injury report, Donte Stallworth will most likely play for the Eagles after being scratched last week. Add in that Reggie Brown is coming off a great game where he had 106 yards and that Brian Westbrook had 154 total yards of offense last game, and the Packers’ defense will have a hard time stopping this explosive Eagles offense. With the way the Eagles offensive line of Thomas, Herremans, Jackson, Andrews, and Runyan have been playing (not to mention staying healthy), McNabb should be able to make plays effectively.

 

It will be interesting to see how some injuries affect the Eagles offensive guns on Monday. Even though he looked great against San Francisco, Brian Westbrook is still having knee problems. Stallworth and Brown are also battling less significant, but still notable injuries. They will also be matched up against some good DBs for the Packers in Harris and Woodson. Something to watch will be Andy Reid’s play-calling and how many times he runs/passes the ball. The Eagles’ current pass-run percentages are about 60-40. The Packers have looked bad defensively and how the Eagles exploit that remains to be seen.

 

When the Packers have the ball

Brett Favre has been hot the past two weeks in his games against the Saints and Lions, both of which have shaky defenses. Although the Eagles defense has looked good in parts, there are a lot of things to be concerned about. The biggest concern is Brett Favre’s ability to complete long and accurate passes to his receivers. The Eagles’ secondary is very banged up right now with 5 DBs on the Wednesday’s injury report. Roderick Hood is listed as doubtful after a terrible game against the 49ers. Dawkins sustained a concussion, but will most likely play, as will Michael Lewis who is listed as probable. A huge question mark right now is Lito Sheppard, who may return on Monday. If Lito returns from his injury suffered in Week 1, his presence would give the secondary a much needed boost. Favre has very capable, sure-handed receivers in Jennings and Driver, so expect him to be launching a few bombs to challenge this depleted secondary. Look for Driver to run a reverse, too.

 

The Eagles should, however, be able to get some help from their superb defensive line. NFL sacks leader Trent Cole (5) will have some difficulty going up against seasoned veteran Chad Clifton, but that is really the only strong point of the Packers O-line since free agency claimed Pro Bowler Mike Flanagan. The two rookies featured on the line are Jason Spitz at LG and Tony Moll at RG. Look for the Eagles to blitz a lot and pick on these young guys. Favre is a pocket passer in every sense of the term and is prone to the interception when he is rushed. He also moves slowly in the pocket. Look for the Eagles to exploit this weakness and bring the blitz consistently all night.

 

Lastly, the Eagles linebackers will have to continue their great work against a solid running back in Ahman Green. Green is getting up there in age, but is still a capable running back with a killer combination of both speed and power. The Eagles’ best bet is to play a very physical game, wear Green down and force the Packers to give some touches to backup Noah Herron, who has almost as many fumbles (2) as carries (3). Neutralizing Green will put all the pressure squarely on Favre’s shoulders and will help the Eagle defense tremendously.

 

Special Teams

Both teams look pretty good on special teams, although the Eagles have had their struggles with David Akers missing kicks recently. It will be important to Akers to make every kick when given the opportunity, mainly to get his confidence up. The Eagles’ kickoff coverage will need to be sharp all day to keep Robinson in check. The Packers have a new kicker in Dave Rayner to replace the departed Ryan Longwell. Rayner is in his second pro season after handling kickoff duties for the Colts last year, but he is still unproven as an NFL field goal kicker.

 

Prediction: Eagles 34 Packers 17

 

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