Week 15 Preview

 

Get reacquainted with the Giants

 

If there is one team that can sympathize with the kind of maddeningly frustrating season the Eagles are having, it is definitely the New York Giants. After their dramatic win against the Eagles on Week 2 in overtime, the Giants lost a shootout to the defending NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks. At 1-2, this was not the Giants team many expected it to be. However, the Giants would then go on a tear following their bye week, winning 5 games in a row against the likes of Washington, Atlanta, Dallas, Tampa Bay, and Houston. While everyone else was buried in the depths of mediocrity, the Giants appeared to be running away with the division. That is until the injuries occurred. A combination of poor play as well as injuries to DE Michael Strahan, C Shaun O’Hara, CB Corey Webster, LB LaVar Arrington, WR Amani Toomer, and tackles Luke Pettitgout and Kareem McKenzie led to the Giants’ free fall. While they played some good teams in this stretch, the Giants did not play well, losing four in a row to Chicago, Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Dallas. The loss to Tennessee was particularly notorious because it saw the Giants lose a 21 point lead in the 4th quarter and was marred by the poor decision making of QB Eli Manning and an awful mistake by rookie DE Mathias Kiwanuka. This stretch was filled with in house turmoil as well as their star players such as Michael Strahan, Tiki Barber, and of course Jeremy Shockey came out criticizing coach Tom Coughlin, the media, and even each other.

 

Things appear to be getting better for the Giants despite the issues they’ve had since the Eagles last saw them in Week 2. Supposedly Tom Coughlin has worked out the differences with his players and the Giants also snapped their 4 game losing streak last week against the deteriorating Carolina Panthers. The Giants will be trying to make it two in a row on Sunday afternoon when the Eagles come to Giants Stadium.

 

On offense, the Giants have managed to do a pretty good job of staying away from the injury bug. Even though they are injured, O’Hara and McKenzie will likely play on Sunday. This is a huge boost for QB Eli Manning, who has been known to be flustered when under pressure. Even with Toomer on IR, Manning still has many great weapons in the air including the aforementioned TE Jeremy Shockey and his wide receivers Plaxico Burress and Tim Carter. The Giants also have an outstanding 1-2 punch at running back with Tiki Barber and Brandon Jacobs. Jacobs is the ying to Barber’s yang. While Barber is a shifty RB with a lot of moves (and soon to be retiring), Jacobs is a big back at 6’4’’, 264 pounds and can be counted on to grind down the defense when asked to. If Eli Manning finds a good rhythm, this Giants offense can be downright scary and explosive.

 

On defense is where the Giants have had problems given their injuries. A huge loss for the Giants is DE Michael Strahan, who is out with a foot injury. Their problems at defensive end don’t stop there as their other DE Osi Umenyiora has had a leg injury in recent weeks but will most likely play in limited action. As a result, most of the day we can expect to see the likes of William Joseph and the aforementioned Mathias Kiwanuka at DE. Even with the loss of Arrington for the year, the Giants still have some great LBs in Carlos Emmons and Antonio Pierce. They also have a playmaker in FS Will Demps who will have a busy day ahead of him.

 

What to watch for on Sunday

 

Eagles QB Jeff Garcia stated that this was a playoff game and he is absolutely right. The Eagles and Giants are both 7-6 right now and battling for a playoff spot in what has turned out to be an excellent playoff race in the NFC. Both teams are looking to rack up a win in the division as well for the obvious reasons. Both teams need this wind and are looking to get hot as both teams have difficult games next week with the Eagles at Dallas and the Giants against New Orleans. This will have the atmosphere and intensity of a playoff game and players on both teams will have to step up in this one. The Eagles and Giants will come ready to play and trying to expose each other’s obvious flaws. This is going to be a good one!

 

When the Eagles have the ball

The 75% chance of Michael Strahan being out for Sunday’s game is enormous for the Eagles’ chances on offense. T Jon Runyan will undoubtedly have an easier time trying to keep William Joseph from rushing Garcia as opposed to Michael Strahan. Right now Garcia has a hot hand, going 2-1 in 3 starts throwing for 805 yards, 8 TDs, 0INT, and having a 97.4 passer rating. Garcia and the Eagles will try to spread the ball around to keep the Giants defense off guard. The Eagles’ receivers pretty much have to play a perfect game in this one. No turnovers, no dropped passes, all while making plays. Garcia has the mobility and the intelligence to get the right guys the ball, it’s simply a matter of whether the receivers can do their part.

 

A critical matchup when the Birds have the ball is Brian Westbrook against the Giants defense. Brian Westbrook is the key to this Eagles offense and has been for several years. When he does well, the Eagles do well. The Eagles will need a balanced run/pass attack as they have in weeks past and will need to use Westbrook in a logical way. The Giants have done great against the run and not so good against the pass. There is a good chance the Eagles will run lots of screen plays to Westbrook, slants to the likes of Reggie Brown or Donte Stallworth, or runs up the middle with Correll Buckhalter. With the Eagles' playoff hopes pretty much riding on this game, they may not take as many risks on offense they normally would.

 

When the Giants have the ball

 

As we said last week in the post game, the Eagles’ run defense is horrible. This could mean bad news for the Eagles because Jacobs and Barber are two very good running backs. The guy the Eagles should be very concerned about, strangely enough is Jacobs. Jacobs had 35 yards rushing in week 2, but averaged 7 yards a carry! Even stranger about Jacobs, he has almost 900 yards less rushing than Barber, but has 8 touchdowns on the year as opposed to Tiki’s 1. The Eagles ability to win this game depends almost entirely on whether they can stop the run. The Giants know it is the Eagles weakness and will be trying to exploit it early and often. One thing is certain, the Giants are a much better team than the Washington Redskins. If the Eagles give up 210 yards rushing to the Giants this week, they will lose the game. The only anecdote is the Eagles need to stop the run and force Manning to pass the ball. The Eagles did a great job with Manning in Week 2 getting pressure. If the Eagles can get pressure on Manning, things should work out for the Eagles.

 

A big matchup on defense is CB Sheldon Brown against WR Plaxico Burress. Even though many Eagles fans would love to forget about it (ourselves included), it was Burress that burned the much smaller Brown in OT for the winning touchdown. Brown had said that he was embarrassed about that play and that he would learn from it. We will see for sure how Brown does against Burress this week. Brown should not be afraid to get physical with Burress. Burress is an emotional player with a bit of a mean streak. If he can get Burress frustrated, the chances of him doing something stupid, Burress will almost certainly commit a dumb penalty. Burress is Manning’s go-to guy and Sheldon has to be on him like white on rice.

 

The other matchup on defense will be rookie LB Omar Gaither against Tiki Barber. Gaither’s career has gotten off to a good start the past two weeks as he recorded his first NFL interception last week against the Redskins. Gaither will have a good test of his skill against the crafty Barber. With Dhani Jones keeping busy with Jeremy Shockey (yikes), it is up to Gaither as well as MLB Jeremiah Trotter to put a lid on that running game. It will be a very difficult task for them, but it is certainly not impossible by any means.

 

Special Teams

 

Neither team has anything particularly notable to mention on special teams. Even though he has battled injury, K Jay Feely has done a fine job for the Giants going 18/22 on FGs on the year and P Jeff Feagles remains one of the better punters in the league. For the Eagles, K David Akers has been reliable. More importantly, P Dirk Johnson’s punts last week helped the Eagles get great field position throughout the game and led to FGs instead of TDs because of the longer field. If Johnson can repeat the success this week, it will be to the Eagles benefit.

 

Returning kicks for the Giants will be Chad Morton and for the Eagles will be Reno Mahe.

 

Prediction: Eagles 28 Giants 24

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