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Beyond Osama: The Pentagons Battle With
Powell Heats Up
- Jason Vest
The simmering conflict within the Bush administration over
how to prosecute the next phase of the war on terrorism
suddenly flared up last week as the Taliban fled Kabul.
Where to go next and how big it should be is whats
being argued right now-and Baghdad is whats being debated
at the moment, said a senior Pentagon official. This
is both an internal discussion at the Pentagon, and one between
departments. Our policy guys are thinking Iraq. Our question
is, do we make a move earlier than anyone expects?
To some, this goes well beyond madness: With Osama bin Laden
and Al Qaeda still at large and no obvious ties between Bin
Laden and Saddam Hussein or Palestinian groups like Hamas
or Hezbollah, taking the fight to Baghdad, Syria, or Lebanon
makes little military or diplomatic sense. In the wake of
the policy and intelligence failures that contributed to September
11, many here take it for granted that the U.S. government
needs all the help it can get from its allies, in addition
to taking a long, nuanced view as it navigates the shoals
of diplomacy in the Arab and Islamic worlds, lest perceived
American arrogance-in-action exacerbate already tense ties.
At this pole of grand strategy sits Colin Powells State
Department, considered by its detractors to be obsessed with
maintaining a tenuous international coalition against Al Qaeda
and the Taliban at the expense of swift, decisive, and much
more expansive military action. At the other pole is Donald
Rumsfelds Pentagon, increasingly seen by some as an
asylum where a coterie of vengeful Cold War unilateralist
relics plot a return to a forceful, Reaganesque Pax Americana,
broadening the war to encompass military action against Iraq,
Syria, and Lebanon-essentially fusing Israels national
security agenda with that of the United States. No fans of
multilateralism or diplomatic initiatives, this crew-despite
its majoritys lack of uniform service or time spent
in combat zones-is particularly bellicose, and contemptuous
of Powell and his belief in conflict limitation. Powells
such a product of Vietnam-he tries to prevent conflict, rather
than realizing its inevitable, sneers a Pentagon
official who, despite never having heard a shot fired in anger,
is spoiling for a larger war. When conflict is inevitable,
we should be the ones who decide the outcome. Its not
about schmoozing and sucking up.
Taking point for this policy option has been deputy secretary
of defense Paul Wolfowitz, backed by a so-called cabal
that includes undersecretary of defense for policy, Douglas
Feith, assistant secretaries Peter Rodman and J.D. Crouch,
longtime Wolfowitz comrade-in-arms Richard Perle, members
of the advisory Defense Policy Board Perle chairs and, less
visibly, some hawkish brethren at the State Department who
were forced on Powell early in the administration, including
undersecretary of state John Bolton. For this group, the events
of the past two months present an almost rapturous opportunity
to realize an item on the far rights national security
agenda. In their view, September 11 is nothing short of a
mandate to do what they feel the U.S. should have done over
a decade ago-take the fight to Baghdad and destroy Saddam,
coalition partners and world opinion be damned. And updating
to the Wolfowitz Cabal the Reagan-era view of then CIA director
William Casey that all terrorist groups were interconnected
via the Soviet, the links between Saddam, Al Qaeda, Hamas,
Hezbollah, and just about every other Middle East Islamist
group are clear-thus necessitating the speedy deployment of
bombs, and possibly even troops, to Iraq as well as Syria
and Lebanon.
At a meeting in the White House Situation Room last month,
Feith was so impassioned on this point that he took to banging
his fist on the table, saying it was essential that the historically
Hezbollah-controlled Sheikh Abdullah barracks north of Beirut
be bombed. Others interviewed by the Voice report that there
have been epic shouting matches in White House
meetings over the issue of war expansion, and personnel at
both Foggy Bottom and Langley have found their patience increasingly
tried by the Wolfowitz Cabal.
Indeed, despite the CIAs cowboy image, the Agencys
old Afghan and Middle East hands marvel at what they consider
lunacy. The Agency as an institution would never offer
up a view of these people, but if you ask individuals, they
think these guys are more than a little nuts, says a
veteran of the CIAs Directorate of Operations. Adds
another longtime case officer: I think theres
a common view in the intelligence community that if were
really serious about dismantling Osama bin Ladens network,
intelligence is key, and for that, we necessarily have to
work with our allies to get the best intelligence we possibly
can, which is going to take time and cooperation. Powells
done a good job of putting a coalition together and keeping
it together-he recognizes the reality that any coalition will
break apart in a nanosecond if theres a call to go after
Iraq. And going after Hamas or Hezbollah would be a terrible
mistake-neither has broad-based support in Palestine, neither
is an exclusively terrorist organization, neither is attacking
Americans, and if we do go after them, theyll start
targeting Americans.
Attack those places and there will be consequences that we
simply will not be able to deal with. But Perle and Wolfowitz
are absolutists, and theyre stupid. According
to both Pentagon and intelligence sources, in mid September
the Project for the New American Century-a hawkish private
policy group whose membership overlaps with the official Defense
Policy Board-sent President Bush a letter after a two-day
conference, declaring that failure to promptly remove Saddam
would constitute a decisive surrender in the war against
terrorism. Ominously, it also held that if Syria and
Iran refused to drop all support for Hezbollah, the
administration should consider appropriate measures of retaliation
against these known state sponsors of terrorism.
Perles Defense Policy Board also sent Bush a letter
recommending all measures be taken to install the heretofore
dubious and ineffectual Iraqi National Congress of Ahmed Chalabi
as new leadership in Baghdad, backed by the deployment of
American troops to secure Iraqi oil fields. The board also
implicitly slammed Powell, declaring that coalition-building
has run amok, and arguing that Powell was less interested
in achieving anything of substance than simply get[ting] a
lot of members.
The Project for the New American Century conclave and subsequent
memos were news to Powell, who reportedly considered the whole
scheme a highly improper end run. At the Pentagon, some hold
that Powell did the administration a disservice when, after
Wolfowitz made a passing reference to ending states
that sponsor terrorism, Powell-in response to a reporters
question on the remark-edgily shot back that Wolfowitz was
not speaking for the administration. Powell essentially
took a polite, behind-the-scenes policy debate public,
says a Pentagon staffer, adding that privately, Paul
has said he misspoke, and implying that Powell knew
as much, thus making his public rebuke bad form. But according
to intelligence and diplomatic sources, Powell-as well as
George Tenet-was infuriated by a private intelligence endeavor
arranged by Wolfowitz in September. Apparently obsessed with
proving a convoluted theory put forth by American Enterprise
Institute adjunct fellow Laurie Mylroie that ties Osama bin
Laden and Saddam Hussein to the 1993 World Trade Center bombing,
Wolfowitz, according to a veteran intelligence officer, dispatched
former director of central intelligence and cabalist James
Woolsey to the United Kingdom, tasking him with gathering
additional evidence to make the case. Woolsey
was also asked to make contact with Iraqi exiles and others
who might be able to beef up the case that hijacker Mohammed
Atta was working with Iraqi intelligence to plan the September
11 attacks, as well as the subsequent anthrax mailings. Perhaps
the most conservative of early Bill Clinton appointees, Woolsey
has only moved rightward since his tenure as DCI-which ended
with his resignation in 1995, in part due to failures of attempted
anti-Saddam covert operations. Apparently proving that directors
of intelligence organizations do not themselves make ideal
field operatives, Woolseys pursuit of the World Trade
Center connection led him to the small town of Swansea, Wales,
where his sleuthing piqued the curiosity of the local constabulary,
whose chief decided to ring the U.S. Embassy in London for
clarification as to whether Woolsey was visiting in an official
capacity. This was the first anyone at State or CIA had heard
of Woolseys British expedition, and upon being apprised
of it, Powell and Tenet were not amused. It was a stupid,
stupid, and just plain wrong thing to do, an intelligence
consultant familiar with the operation said.
According to a senior Pentagon official, the fact that Wolfowitz
has been keeping a much lower profile since his earlier public
statements and behind-the-scenes antics indicates that while
Donald Rumsfeld may be with Wolfowitz in spirit, the secretary
has found his actions irksome in a practical sense. Wolfowitz
either muzzled himself, the official said, or
someone did it for him.
Other fellow travelers who are not in government, however,
have been picking up the slack and saying things that have
caused the jaws of diplomats and intelligence officers to
drop. At an October 29 American Enterprise Institute panel
moderated by Perle, Iran-Contra luminary Michael Ledeen nicely
summed up the hawks worldview. No stages,
he said. This is total war. We are fighting a variety
of enemies. There are lots of them out there. And all this
talk about, well, first we are going to do Afghanistan, then
we will do Iraq, then we will take a look around and see how
things stand, that is entirely the wrong way to go about it.
Because these guys are all talking to each other and are all
working with one another. . . . If we just let our own vision
of the world go forth, and we embrace it entirely, and we
dont try to be clever and piece together clever diplomatic
solutions to this thing, but just wage a total war against
these tyrants, I think we will do very well, and our children
will sing great songs about us years from now.
November 21, 2001 AlterNet.org
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