Soccer Betting Strategy

Soccer betting, especially in Europe, is considered less complicated game because it does not involve point spread, first second half bet, and over time. People in the U.S have lost serious amount of money betting on American sports such as basketball, hockey, baseball, and football. You know why? Because there is a 35% chance of the Underdogs upsetting the favorites. And guess what? People hardly bet on the underdogs. Soccer is entirely different. The chance of the underdogs upsetting the favorites is only 12%!

- Soccer betting isn’t buying a lottery ticket. You can earn whatever amount you put in, maybe less or more, depends on the odds provided by your sports

- Always keep in mind this isn’t gambling. Soccer betting is a mathematical calculation of probability. Think of it as a business investment or stock and you

You choose a team at the beginning of a season but let your team play for 7-8 games without betting

Make a table of standing for the team in your league and give points to the teams according to my point system. (Remember not to bet on the first 7-8

After the first 7-8 games you should have a table in your hand and be able to use it on your first bet.

Look at how many points your team has and of course, how many points your opponent has.

Your team is Chelsea and your opponent is Arsenal. On the previous 8 games, your team has 28 points and your opponent has 22 point. What you

do is to add those point together so you would have 50 points total. For soccer betting without overtime, you have an option to choose your team to

win, lose, or tie. To make that decision, you subtract 22 from 28, you would have 6 points. Here is 2 different scenarios for you to look at.

This is GOOD to bet on Chelsea because you’re holding more than 50% chance of winning.

Case II : You play in Arsenal. The probability distribution is now different

Your chance or winning is only 44% now. You are better off not to bet on this game. Go with your Math! This is where your disciplinary

Keep updating as the season goes on. Keep adding the points to your team and do the calculation each time before you bet.

- Winner: This is a good case because you’re betting successfully. When you’re up, don’t go for a home run. Go for a single. What do I mean? I mean

bet smaller than your current winning money. Why? Because if you lose, you are STILL winning.

- OK: This is frustrating for some betters because you’re neither winning nor losing. Why are they still frustrating if they’re not losing money! Believe

me; some betters prefer to lose than just be even. Being even is just like losing to them because they put so much time and effort into it. This is what

I call “mentally break-out”. How should you be if you’re in this situation? Be Happy! Be happy that you’re not losing! Stick with your strategy.

- Loser: Nobody wants to lose but let’s face it, some of us are going to lose. Why would there be so many sports books out there is all of us are

winning. What should you do? First, don’t try to get your money in one big game. That’s absolutely not an intelligent way to solve the problem. Keep

betting with the same amount as previously. If you’re still losing, be smart and understand that your strategy isn’t working. Stop betting before

anything gets out of hand! People have lost houses and cars over this for not thinking through.

Chelsea Home Win	Draw	Arsenal Away Win
56%	12%	32%