2003-4 NAHL Computer Ratings

rankings last updated March 29, 2004

These ratings are in no way official, they are not endorsed by the NAHL, and are intended only as a way to compare teams from across this geographically diverse league whose schedule includes a very limited number of interdivisional games. Scores and ratings will be updated only once per week during the season, as time permits. Questions and/or corrections should be sent to [email protected].

2003-2004 NAHL Scores

  These are the scores that the ratings are based upon. It should also be noted that the ratings are an attempt to assess the on-ice game strength of each team, therefore games that are decided via shootout will be treated as ties and games decided via forfeit will be ignored. Follow this link for a description of how the ratings program works, how to interpret them, and what the column headings mean. There are now two ratings. The first has goal differential limited to 1 (thereby just considering w,l,t and strength of opponent), this is the system that has proven best for NCAA D1 teams. The second has goal differential limited to 4 in any one game, this system has proven best for high school hockey (where blowouts are more common and the schedule is less balanced). For more a more detailed comparison of the two ratings, see the NCAA D1 ratings at the link below. Links to other ratings: High School  Men's NCAA D1 Tier 1 U17  Tier 1 U16  How good are these rankings? How do they compare to other rankings? See a description of past successes for this algorithm ranking amateur hockey teams here.

U.S. Midget AAA Hockey Links

 Links to team, league, and tournament websites.
Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,USA U-Eighteen,____________________ 8 3 0, 0.5, 6.2, 6.66 2,Soo Kewadin Indians,_______________ 41 7 7, 0.6, 6.0, 6.66, 6.66 3,Texas Tornado,_____________________ 44 7 5, 0.7, 5.9, 6.57, 6.61 4,Springfield Blues,_________________ 30 19 7, 0.2, 6.1, 6.31, 5.78 5,Billings Bulls,____________________ 36 16 4, 0.4, 5.9, 6.23, 6.03 6,Cleveland Barons,__________________ 26 21 9, 0.1, 6.1, 6.18, 6.42 7,Fairbanks Ice Dogs,________________ 30 16 10, 0.3, 5.9, 6.18, 6.27 8,Youngstown Phantoms,_______________ 25 25 6, 0.0, 6.1, 6.11, 6.54 9,Fargo-Moorhead Jets,_______________ 31 21 4, 0.2, 5.9, 6.07, 6.13 10,Wichita Falls Rustlers,____________ 23 22 11, 0.0, 6.0, 6.00, 6.49 11,Texarkana Bandits,_________________ 26 26 4, 0.0, 6.0, 6.00, 5.93 12,Lone Star Cavalry,_________________ 23 25 8, -0.0, 6.0, 5.96, 5.95 13,Bismarck Bobcats,__________________ 27 25 4, 0.0, 5.9, 5.96, 5.83 14,Helena Bighorns,___________________ 27 25 4, 0.0, 5.9, 5.94, 5.89 15,Bozeman IceDogs,___________________ 25 24 7, 0.0, 5.9, 5.90, 6.09 16,USA U-Seventeen,___________________ 16 21 8, -0.1, 6.0, 5.89, 6.13 17,Minnesota Blizzard,________________ 19 32 5, -0.2, 6.0, 5.76, 5.64 18,Toledo IceDiggers,_________________ 13 42 1, -0.5, 6.2, 5.70, 5.30 19,Central Texas Blackhawks,__________ 15 32 9, -0.3, 6.0, 5.69, 5.55 20,Springfield Spirit,________________ 11 42 3, -0.6, 6.1, 5.52, 5.33 21,Fernie Ghostriders,________________ 12 41 3, -0.5, 6.0, 5.47, 5.45 363 predicted correctly 149 predicted incorrectly Ties 61 Predict Pct 0.70898 The Goal Diff Limit is set at 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Texas Tornado,_____________________ 44 7 5, 2.2, 5.8, 8.03, 8.14 2,USA U-Eighteen,____________________ 8 3 0, 1.3, 6.6, 7.87 3,Soo Kewadin Indians,_______________ 41 7 7, 1.6, 6.2, 7.76, 8.00 4,Springfield Blues,_________________ 30 19 7, 0.7, 6.4, 7.04, 5.94 5,Fairbanks Ice Dogs,________________ 30 16 10, 0.7, 5.9, 6.61, 6.64 6,Cleveland Barons,__________________ 26 21 9, 0.2, 6.3, 6.52, 7.02 7,Billings Bulls,____________________ 36 16 4, 1.0, 5.4, 6.48, 5.95 8,Youngstown Phantoms,_______________ 25 25 6, 0.0, 6.4, 6.39, 7.29 9,Wichita Falls Rustlers,____________ 23 22 11, 0.3, 6.1, 6.33, 7.29 10,USA U-Seventeen,___________________ 16 21 8, 0.1, 6.0, 6.12, 6.65 11,Lone Star Cavalry,_________________ 23 25 8, 0.0, 6.1, 6.12, 6.23 12,Texarkana Bandits,_________________ 26 26 4, -0.2, 6.1, 5.95, 6.07 13,Fargo-Moorhead Jets,_______________ 31 21 4, 0.4, 5.5, 5.89, 5.43 14,Helena Bighorns,___________________ 27 25 4, 0.3, 5.5, 5.83, 6.15 15,Bozeman IceDogs,___________________ 25 24 7, 0.2, 5.5, 5.67, 6.11 16,Bismarck Bobcats,__________________ 27 25 4, 0.1, 5.6, 5.64, 5.58 17,Toledo IceDiggers,_________________ 13 42 1, -1.4, 6.7, 5.24, 4.19 18,Central Texas Blackhawks,__________ 15 32 9, -0.9, 6.1, 5.21, 4.82 19,Minnesota Blizzard,________________ 19 32 5, -0.9, 5.8, 4.91, 4.80 20,Springfield Spirit,________________ 11 42 3, -1.7, 6.4, 4.63, 4.06 21,Fernie Ghostriders,________________ 12 41 3, -1.7, 5.8, 4.14, 4.01 365 predicted correctly 147 predicted incorrectly Ties 61 Predict Pct 0.71289 The Goal Diff Limit is set at 4

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