Jones' 2003-04 Final
NFL Power Ratings

Oh, the things that happen when a person with a degree in mathematics pretends to know something about football. To approximate the score for a game, find the two teams playing this week and add a touchdown for the team with home field advantage. (By the way, these numbers are a guide... I ain't liable for your dumb-ass picks if you use this.) The league average this week is 20.5.


AFC East
New England Patriots *
17-2
29.2
New York Jets
6-10
19.6
Miami Dolphins
10-6
18.2
Buffalo Bills
6-10
18.0

AFC North
Baltimore Ravens *
10-7
24.3
Pittsburgh Steelers
6-10
22.4
Cincinnati Bengals
8-8
18.4
Cleveland Browns
5-11
17.5

AFC South
Tennessee Titans *
13-5
27.0
Indianapolis Colts *
14-5
26.4
Jacksonville Jaguars
5-11
17.9
Houston Texans
5-11
13.7

AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs *13-4
23.6
Denver Broncos *
10-7
18.3
San Diego Chargers
4-12
15.4
Oakland Raiders
4-12
15.1

NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles *
13-5
26.5
Dallas Cowboys *
10-7
20.3
Washington Redskins
5-11
18.4
New York Giants
4-12
11.4

NFC North
Green Bay Packers *
11-7
28.0
Chicago Bears
7-9
21.1
Minnesota Vikings
9-7
20.6
Detroit Lions
5-11
16.6

NFC South
Carolina Panthers *
14-6
25.1
New Orleans Saints
8-8
22.8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
7-9
18.2
Atlanta Falcons
5-11
17.0

NFC West
Seattle Seahawks *
10-7
26.9
San Francisco 49ers
7-9
25.7
St. Louis Rams *
12-5
22.2
Arizona Cardinals
4-12
10.0
* includes playoffs

Back to This Week's Picks

My NFL Power Ratings are the results of a formula including such components as offensive and defensive production, and strength of schedule. Factors such as weather and recent injuries are not included, so be sure to consider your picks with those in mind. A team's Power Rating increases most significantly with road wins or upset victories. Teams on the top of the food chain can stay there by beating the teams they're supposed to beat.

Game scores using the above table are approximate. Some teams may have high Power Ratings because of stellar defense, so the numbers here are used to determine a game's point spread only, not the final score. The worst team in the NFL automatically gets a Power Rating of 10; predicted point spreads are determined from there.

Good luck on your football pool! --Jones

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