The following table summarizes the policy effects of increases in
the indicated variables for each macroeconomic theory. The effects
of a decease is just the opposite of those presented here. Long run results
assume that the economy began at full employment. The following notation
is used in the table; + means an increase, - means a decrease, 0 means
that there is no change, and ? means that the outcome is indeterminate.
|
Demand |
Aggregate Supply |
Level |
|
||
| Keynesian
Model |
|||||
|
Spending |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Taxation |
|
|
- | - | |
|
Consumption, Investment, or Net exports |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Monetarist
Model |
|||||
|
Short run Long run |
+ |
+ |
+ |
0 |
|
|
Borrowing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short run Long run |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
|
| Rational
Expectations Model |
|||||
|
Increases in Aggregate Demand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increases in Aggregate Demand |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowing |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changing Government Policies |
|
|
|
|
|
| Real Business
Cycle Model |
|||||
|
Innovation |
|
|
|
|
|
| Supply Side
Economics |
|||||
|
in the Marginal Tax Rate |
|
|
|
|
|
Recall that output can not exceed the full capacity of the society, as determined by the production possiblities boundary. It is assumed that in the long run the economy is at full efficiency so none of these changes can affect output in the long run unless it also moves the aggregate supply curve. Monetary policy does not affect aggregate supply but fiscal policy can. So monetary policy effects in this table are for the short run only.
In the simple Keynesian model changes in the money supply only effects investment if it changes the interest rate. In this table I have assumed that an increase in the money supply will decrease the interest rate which will increase investment and consequently aggregate demand.
In the simple Monetarist model more government money only affects demand if it increases interest rates. The increase in the interest rate causes people to reduce their money holdings which increases total spending.
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