.. After describing an investor with the courage to be “eccentric,
unconventional and rash in the eyes of average opinion,” Keynes says that
his success “will only confirm the general belief in his rashness; and... if
his decisions are unsuccessful ... he will not receive much mercy. Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.”
“Against the Gods", Peter Bernstein, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1996

" The great events of history are often due to secular changes in the growth of population and other fundamental economic causes, which, escaping by their gradual character the notice of contemporary observers, are attributed to the follies of statesman or the fanaticism of atheists."

p8 "Economic consequences of the peace", J.M Keynes


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