Ilya Magid
Editor Steven C Siegel

Possible direction of development of Russia

We see three possible directions of development of Russia.
1) Non alignment to political block of the states
In case of war Russia can not remain outside of blocks for the same reason as the Soviet Union could not stand aside during the Second World War We shall remember some facts. Germany attacked Poland in September, 1939. England and France according to the contract about mutual aid with Poland announced war on Germany. Before that, Germany and the Soviet Union entered into a confidential agreement on the section of spheres of influence in Europe. Then the contract about no fighting between the Soviet Union and Germany had been signed. The Soviet Union attached to itself the Western Ukraine and the Western Belarus, Baltic States, Moldova, Caral isthmus (Finland). In 1941 Germany grabbed almost all of Europe. Germany did not presume to remain in the rear of the Soviet Union and in June 1941 Germany attacked the Soviet Union. The democratic coalition (England, France, and the USA) came to the Soviet Union with aid.
2) Movement in a direction of establishing in Russia the western values and a connection to a camp of democratic states including the USA.
Democracy is preferable to more than any dictatorship, as democracy corresponds more to human nature; the democratic states come to a consent among themselves more easily, than any consent among the dictatorship states. The victory over war will be behind a democratic coalition.
3) Movement in the direction of an established dictatorship and connection to opponents of the USA.
In this case Russia will suffer defeat. As it follows from experience of the Second World War, Germany suffered defeat; the Soviet Union collapsed itself after the war.

Some dictatorship states carry out a flexible policy, for example, Libya has refused the nuclear program and has gone on reconciliation with America. North Korea has conceded to pressure from a group of countries and curtailed its nuclear program. Cuba quite possibly will go on a way of democracy.

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