DRAFT -- Screening for Stocks Using Value Line -- DRAFT

 

 

Summary & Index Screens

·         Get a copy of the weekly “Summary & Index”

·         On the first page of the Summary & Index, under “SCREENS,” locate the pages on which the following two screens begin.

o        Timely Stocks In Timely Industries

o        Highest Growth Stocks

·         Copy/print those screen lists

 

Selection & Opinion Screens

Model Portfolios

·         On the first page of the Selection & Opinion, under “In This Issue,” locate the page on which “Model Portfolios:  Recent Developments” begins.  The model portfolios are:

o         Portfolio I:   Stocks With Above-Average Year Ahead Price Potential
(Suitable for more aggressive investors)

o        Portfolio II:   Stocks for Income and Potential Price Appreciation
(Suitable for more conservative investors)

o        Portfolio III:  Stocks with Long-Term Price Growth Potential
(Suitable for investors with a long-term horizon)

·         Copy/print the ” Model Portfolios:  Recent Developments” section

 

Periodic Screens

·         The Section & Opinion section usually includes one or two of the following periodic screens:

o        30 Largest Market Capitalizations

o        Companies with a Ten Year Record of Increasing Dividends

o        Growth Stocks with Moderate Risk

o        Income Stocks with Worthwhile Total Return Potential

o        Low Risk Stocks fore Worthwhile Total Return

o        Stocks for Dividend Growth and Low Risk

o        Stocks for Long-Term Gains

o        Stocks with A++ Financial Strength Ratings

o        Stocks with Large Upward Revisions in Earnings Estimates

o        Timely Growth Stocks

o        Timely Stocks with Healthy Price Appreciation Potential

o        Timely Stocks with High Price and Earnings Momentum

o        Timely Stocks with High Return on Equity

o        Timely Stocks with Low Risk

·         Copy/print the periodic screens from the past few issues


Narrowing the Field

At this point, you should have copies of the following lists and can start your own screening:

·         Timely Stocks In Timely Industries (from Summary & Index)

·         Highest Growth Stocks (from Summary & Index)

·         Portfolios I-III (from Selection & Opinion)

·         A few period screen lists (from Selection & Opinion)

 

Build your Prospective Stocks lists by applying the filters outlined in the following table.

 


Guidelines for Refining Value Line Lists

 

Value Line List

Add to Prospective Stocks list if…

 

 

Timely Stocks In Timely Industries

and

Highest Growth Stocks

·          Current PE < 25; AND

·          Low end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” > 50%; AND

·          High end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” > 110%; AND

·          PEG Ratio * < 1.50

Model Portfolio I

P/E < 25

Model Portfolio II

P/E < 15

Model Portfolio III

·          P/E < 20; AND

·          Low end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” > 50%; AND

·          High end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” > 110%

30 Largest Market Capitalizations

P/E < 20

Companies with a Ten Year Record of Increasing Dividends

Estimated average annual dividend growth rate for next 5 years > 8%

Growth Stocks with Moderate Risk

– No Filter–

Income Stocks with Worthwhile Total Return Potential

– No Filter–

Low Risk Stocks fore Worthwhile Total Return

Total Return > 15%

Stocks for Dividend Growth and Low Risk

Estimated average annual dividend growth rate for next 5 years > 8%

Stocks with A++ Financial Strength Ratings

– No Filter–

Timely Growth Stocks

Projected (3-5 years) earnings growth rate > 12%

Timely Stocks with Healthy Price Appreciation Potential

P/E < 20

Timely Stocks with High Price and Earnings Momentum

P/E < 20

Timely Stocks with High Return on Equity

Relative P/E <1.50

Timely Stocks with Low Risk

– No Filter–

 

Next Step

Eliminate any stock that does not pass the following tests:

·         Low end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” > 50%

·         High end of “Estimated 3-5 Year Price Potential” >110%

·         PEG Ratio * < 1.50

 

*  NOTE:  PEG = P/E divided by expected 5-year EPS growth rate

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