I have conducted a study of each of the 30 teams, in attempt to evaluate the quality of each
franchise's minor league system. I have tried to use some objective measures, but I won't
pretend that this analysis is either scientific or accurate. Having said that, I have
tried my best to account for as many factors as I could, including total number of prospects,
total number of top prospects, age, position, and other criteria.
In order to have an objective basis for evaluating each team, I decided to first count the
number of prospects in each system. This was not a trivia matter since the definition of a
prospect varies from manager to manager. In the end I settled on the some rather loose definitions:
This definition is not perfect since there are many good prospects 26 and over. There are also
many prospects with good star ratings, but have maxed out as duds before the age of 26. In addition,
a pitcher with a 499 fastball is clearly superior to a pitcher with a 350 fastball, given that everything
else is equal. However, this definition allowed for an easy tabulation of total numbers which served as
my starting point. In analyzing the minor league systems I took into consideration all the factors not accounted for
in the "prospect count." In fact, the ratings that I assigned, and ultimately the final rankings, are only
loosely based on the number of prospects. I have included the counts simply because they are easily
digestible and may be meaningful to some people.
Please keep in mind that this is not an evaluation of everyone's franchise as a whole, just the minor leagues. Some teams have shoddy minors, but can afford to do so because of young major league squads. The converse is also true.
Rank
|
Team
|
#
Hitting Prospects
|
#
Pitching Prospects
|
Hitting
Rating
|
Pitching
Rating
|
Commentary
|
1.
|
Houston
|
29 |
14 |
A |
A- |
The minor leagues boast a plethora of northern leaguers in
the 24-26 age range; some are sure to develop into stars. The
team has spent heavily on nothern leaguers and should reap the
rewards in 4-5 seasons |
2.
|
Cleveland |
17 |
8 |
A |
A- |
This team is in a state of constant upheaval with major leaguers
often being cut wholesale. As a consequence, several top prospects
are playing in the major leagues well before they should be.
Nevertheless, this is one of the teams richest in talent,
having spent generously on the Northern Leagues in recent years.
Peter Decker is the most recently acquired star prospect. |
3.
|
Chicago (N) |
21 |
6 |
A- |
A- |
There aren't very many blue-chip hitting prospects in this
system, but there are a lot of solid ones. The total number
of pitchers in the minor leagues is low, but Houser and Fallon
are two elite pitching prospects. |
4.
|
Pittsburgh |
26 |
16 |
A- |
A- |
The system only has holds one 4/4 hitter, but the sheer quantity
should lead to some gems down the road. Many of the arms are
former Northern Leaguers, and age might be an issue with some
of the prospects. As a whole, the minor league system is similar
to Houston in terms of depth and quality. |
5.
|
Arizona |
18 |
10 |
A- |
A- |
This team features a lot of good-looking young talent, especially
at A-ball. This will be a team to be reckoned with in 4-5 seasons. |
6.
|
Los Angeles |
14 |
12 |
B |
A |
Most of the hitting talent is in AAA, and there is a severe
lack of depth in lower levels. Rafael Henry might be the best
pitching prospect in the league, and is surrounded by a solid
supporting cast. |
7.
|
Cincinnati |
18 |
7 |
A |
B- |
There is lots of depth in hitting with many potential stars.
The system's pitching ranks has thinned with prominent promotions
to the big leagues in recent years, but still has enviable talent
at the upper levels. |
8.
|
Texas |
19 |
7 |
B+ |
B+ |
The hitting is deep, but needs a few more blue-chippers to
join the ranks of the elite hitting systems. There's not much
in terms of pitching beyond Jesse Hayden, but when you have
Hayden you don't need much else. |
9.
|
Chicago (A) |
28 |
8 |
A- |
B- |
This is a farm system with a lot of potential hitting stars,
but there isn't one hitters who truly stands out as a sure-thing.
Starting pitcher Joe Mcdevitt is ready for the major leagues
and a couple of other pitchers are not far behind him. |
10.
|
Tampa Bay |
17 |
11 |
B- |
B |
There is a good number of hitting prospects, but many are
fairly far along in their development
and do not appear project to be stars. Randy Benton is a 12-star
pitching prospect who appears to be nearing the major leagues
and Carroll Albanese is also close to securing a spot in a major
league rotation. |
11.
|
Detroit |
26 |
4 |
A |
C- |
The hitting is deep in quantity and quality with
tons of young 4-star AVG hitters. Even the 3-star AVG hitters
are formidable as they almost all have 4-star HR ratings. Few
minor leagues have such a collection of power hitting prospects.
The pitching has seen better days with only 9 arms in the system
after recent promotions to the bigs. |
12.
|
Baltimore |
6 |
12 |
B- |
B |
There aren't very many hitters under 25 here, but there are
a number of prospects over 25 who have time to become impact
players in the majors. Most of the pitching prospects have great
fastballs, but are deficient in one pitch, so a little luck
is needed. |
13.
|
Colorado |
11 |
10 |
B- |
B |
None of the minor league hitters stand out as future impact
players, but there is decent depth. On the pitching side, there
are some solid RP prospects, but there are no blue chip starting
prospects. |
14.
|
Milwaukee |
12 |
8 |
B |
C+ |
The system holds a couple of high-ceiling hitters, but suffers
from an overall lack of depth. There are a few legitimate pitching
prospects, but none are truly first-tier. |
15.
|
Kansas City |
17 |
9 |
B |
C |
A fair number of hitting prospects, but the system lacks depth
and true studs. Lower control pitchers with good pitches is
a trademark of the team, especially in A-ball. Ed Wheeler and
Brian Howard are the gems in this system. |
16.
|
Philadephia |
26 |
4 |
A |
D+ |
This team's minors feature many young hitting studs, especially
at the lower levels. Low control in many of the pitchers with
high star-totals may be problematic. |
17.
|
Anaheim |
19 |
2 |
A |
D+ |
Boasts an impressive collection of high ceiling hitting prospects
with a solid supporting cast. Things aren't so rosy on the pitching
side with only a few decent prospects hidden amongst a crowd
of pretenders. |
18.
|
Toronto |
29 |
5 |
A |
D |
There are good hitting prospects abound in one of the deepest
hitting crops in the league. Several 4/4 hitters are the jewels
in a rich system. On the flipside of the coin, there are only
12 pitchers in the entire farm system and only a fraction of
those have a realistic shot of making the majors. |
19.
|
Atlanta |
6 |
5 |
B- |
C |
Many of the prospets are former Northern Leaguer draft picks
who have good chances to pan out. There is an evident effort
to stock up on 3/4 hitters, and the team may be rewarded down
the road. |
20.
|
New York |
8 |
4 |
B- |
C- |
A lot of Nothern League blood runs through the lower minors,
and a system that was barren last season is starting to show
signs of life. The recent firesale has brought in some real
hitting talent, unseen in New York for some time. The fate of
the pitching lies in a few key players in the 26-27 age range. |
21.
|
San Francisco |
7 |
12 |
C+ |
B- |
A lot of hope rests upon 3-star AVG hitters with good complementary
stars. Mark Shokes and Billy Corbett gives the team a couple
of legitimate hitting prospects, but they need company. |
22.
|
Florida |
6 |
5 |
C |
C+ |
This team features several pitchers who are star-rich but
fastball-poor. An ambundance of young 3-star AVG hitters helps
to make up somewhat for the lack of good 4-star AVG prospects. |
23.
|
New York (N) |
15 |
2 |
B+ |
F |
There are several first-tier hitting prospects at a young
age, giving a lot of promise to theminor league hitting. However,
there are only 7 pitchers in team's minors, leaving the team
little to rest its hopes on in terms of pitching. |
24.
|
San Diego |
7 |
6 |
C |
C- |
Neither the pitching or hitting talent is very deep. There
are a couple of prospects, but the quantity is sorely lacking.
|
25.
|
Oakland |
11 |
11 |
C |
C- |
The best hitting prospects are on the old side. The current
major league was built by raiding the minorleagues and holes
are definitely showing through. Minor league pitching is characterized
by low fastballs or AAAA players. |
26.
|
Minnesota |
8 |
3 |
C+ |
D+ |
This team is all about 27 year old hitters and pitchers with
poor fastball ratings. There is also a disproportionate number
of 30+ players cluttering the minors. |
27.
|
St. Louis |
7 |
6 |
D |
C |
The cupboards are bare when it comes to hittng prospects.
There are only a couple legitimate prospects and even those
have few stars. The team features one good SP prospect in Derek
Butters, but not much else. Both pitching and hitting suffers
from an overall lack of depth. |
28.
|
Boston |
4 |
11 |
D- |
C |
A recent charge to contend has taken its toll on the farm
system leaving little in terms of hitting. Most of the remaining
hitters are in the 27-30 age group. The pitching is in somewhat
better shape, with a couple of solid prospects. |
29.
|
Montreal |
8 |
2 |
D |
D |
There are 8 "prospects", but most of them are fringe
players who probably won't make the major leagues. There are
no real studs in the mix. Most of the team's pitchers seem to
be in the 27-29 age bracket. |
30.
|
Seattle |
6 |
3 |
F |
F |
This is the worst minor league system in the league. Even
the "prospects" are developed and not of major league
quality. This is the only system resorting to 1-star AVG players.
None of the 5 pitchers in the system have a realistic shot of
making the majors. |
.