Course code & title: GEO 2304 Population Geography

Professor: Dr. Shen Jianfa

Student ID: 98518901

Dept & Year: Geo

 

A reviewing report on Ronald Skeldon(1997),

“Rural-to-Urban Migration and Its Implications for poverty Alleviation”,

Asia-Pacific Population Journal, 12(1),pp3-6,

Http://www.undp.org/popin/regional/asiapac/ap,htm

 

  The reviewed paper stated the problems of poverty particularly in the ESCAP rural regions. There is significant interaction between urban and rural, which suggests that any programme that focuses solely on the either sector can’t help reducing poverty. However, policies that accept wider mobility of the population are likely to enhance the well being of greater numbers of people.

  However, the existing population data are usually underestimating the effect of migration to the actual population. It is particularly difficult to identify long term and short term migrants, but the effect of short-term migrants cannot be ignored. For example in China, there is a 70 million of floating population who are the short-term migrants.

  One of the indicator that the existing measures are underestimating the population, is the National Migration Survey of Thailand, it suggests that the population can be triple counted.  Nevertheless, migration becomes a more expanded part in urban growth, as there is a trend of growing internal and international migration.

Urban growth is most significant in Asian regions recently, however, most of the poor are found to be in the rural areas despite the trend of rural-urban migration. Hence the author would

like to deals with the associated problems of the existing situation, in the contest of Asian countries, which includes:

1.       whether rural-urban migration would further impoverished rural areas,

2.       whether rural-urban migrants would pauperized and degraded,

3.       whether rural poverty would transfer to the urban sector,

4.       and the gender implications of the migration.

However, I won’t quote all the examples the author has used, but to include a table, which is a summary of data of various Asian countries in this report.

The author ahs a very positive attitude to all the questions. Firstly, it is found that always not the poorest move, as they cannot afford the moving cost, mobility of educated youth is higher as they can to seek for a higher income job cross-regions. Hence, migration seems to exacerbate rural poverty by depriving the local elite, however poverty can be improved by the remittances from the urban-goers, it would properly have positive economical feedback locally.

On the other hand, returned migrants would introduce new ideas on agricultural techniques, entrepreneurial activities, and even new attitudes towards family size that may encourage family planning and would ease dependency burdens. Thus rural-urban migration can help to alleviate rural poverty.

Although rural-urban migrants are not the poorest and least educated, they are still poorer and less educated than urban residents. However, they have higher labor participation rates, and generally enter a wide range of activities usually in the informal sector, as formal employment is not large enough to meet the rapid urban growth especially in developing countries, but the informal sector can provide more jobs. But the informal sector is not only for the migrants, local residents also enter the sector, and the overall migrant/non-migrant difference is insignificant in terms of job nature. However, migrants from the same origin often institutionalized to form social network, and usually control access to a particular occupation. Thus migrants are not necessarily thrust into poverty, and it would be an effective approach in improving conditions in the largest cities in the developing world.

The aspect of gender is always overlook in migration process, the mobility of women is lower because of the lower levels in literacy, education and labor force participation in developing countries (table 1). However, there is an increase in female migration recently. The trend of international labor division gives the diffusion of labor intensive industries from developed countries to the newly industrialized economies (NIEs). Although they usually have temporary low-paid job, without unionized, and they are still usually double burdened to be family provider and income earner, this makes women to become more independent and would generally improve their status.

Where large numbers have moved out, late marriage is likely to rise and results in a decline in fertility. On the other hand, there is an increasing demand for educated women in urban service activities, over time the differences in level of education between men and women would become less significant (table 1). Thus, migration gives improvement and empowerment of women in developing countries.

After stating the problems and answers, the author tried to suggest some policies that would help lessening the problems. Migration policies in developing countries are usually encouraging urban-rural migration. However it usually involves limitation on labor-intensive industries, which enable rapid development, and there is a risk to impoverish both sectors. Policies therefore need to deal with the consequences of rural-urban migration. Existing rural programmes are no doubt requiring strengthening and deepening. It is the social and economic factors attract urban-goers, so government must plan accordingly.

In the context of the urban sector, the critical policy areas revolve around how to manage large cities most effectively but not controlling their growth. In the rural sector, it should open a greater range of opportunities. Thus, options may lie in how to promote the most beneficial systems of rural-urban interaction. Poverty is ultimately a function of lacking choice; provision of choice in terms of wider mobility might enhance the well being of grater numbers of people.

It demonstrates that rural poverty is not transferred to the city, but to allow circulation of goods, money, ideas, and people, between urban and rural sectors. It provides a population that is potential for self-organization, and creates a dynamic economy that is likely to improve the welfare of both sectors over the short term. Migration is an integral part of development and alleviation of poverty, but its important positive role remains largely unappreciated.

However, out-migration in rural areas would leads to a lesser and lesser rural population, therefore, it becomes more difficult for functioning of local government and provision of basic services. Besides, agricultural land-use is most common in rural areas, lose of male labor force do harm to the agricultural outputs, it is likely that more arable land would be abandoned. As it become harsher to make a living, it would become a push factor that rural people want to leave.

In fact, migration in most of the developed countries is an equilibrating or cumulative process in order to achieve a more optimal pattern of labor allocation. It is stimulate by inter-regional disparities in unemployment. Labor vacancies and wage rate, in result, may destroys such disparities by siphoning off surplus labor in some areas and eliminating labor shortages in others. Urban-rural migration may finally found, because of the rural industrialization that creates jobs, and the desire of better living environment. Hence, it is more serious the rural-urban migration becomes a problem in less developed countries.

From the viewpoint of behaviorism, people usually move to more desirable location, information diffusion from destinations to origins through friend-and-relative effect are usually over-evaluated, then the people remained would like to move, too. But the kind of diffusion is the most dominant; therefore people are usually moving with a biased perception.

Besides, attachment to old place seldom occurred among the youth, those with the highest mobility, therefore, back-flow of out=goers is not always possible. In developing countries, information diffuses almost in one-way that from the higher-order centers to lower-order centers, the satisfactory idea of city cores are brought by the social link, as a result net out-migration may result.

Besides, the remittance may help to improve poverty condition in the rural areas, however, as the author said, it would also widen the wealth gap. Moreover, usually the people left behind in the rural areas are the elders, women, and children, they are so call ‘dependent population’, and remitted money may usually use in the welfare of them, for example, education and health care.

Recently, there is a trend that women’s out-migration is increasing, children may send to larger towns for better education, it may worsen the problem. As more and more elder are being left, it finally will result in an aging population, if there is no measures to deal with, it will become a problem.

When more and more people migrate to urban areas, economically, there would be underused of social capital stock and infrastructure in areas of net out-migration and for the inflationary effects on housing and other sectors in areas of appreciable net in-migration. Policies that planned to deal with the problem are always come into an unsatisfactory result. Apart from the forced migration in planned economies, other policies like spontaneous deconcentration of urban core and resistance to migrant are not effective in controlling migration.

For those who migrated to the urban areas, although they have a high labor force participation rate, they are usually the less educated and less skilled and only able to find low-paid jobs, and have to work longer hours. They form a deteriorated group in the urban areas. As a group from the same origin, they may like to live nearby, and may produce a decayed zone. But they are still urban resident that requires basic welfare, and thus create urban poverty. As mentioned before, the new migrants can only afford to live in a decayed zone, or the old urban areas, the problem of urban decay may become more serious.

Traditionally, women are usually of least mobility, however, there is a trend that mobility of women are rising. When they move to the urban areas, they can only find poorer-paid job than man, as the education level is usually lower than men. Although they may gain more independence, it may not indicate that poverty in both rural and urban areas can be alleviated.

It would appear that female migration help poverty alleviation when the education level of them is higher; it increases their earning ability so they can seek for a higher income job. However, in the developing countries, female has few chances to go to school, and the education level is no doubt lower. Therefore though the labor force participation of them is higher than before, they still practice lower positions in firms.

Hence, whether the problem, would be worsening or improving, it depends on the balance of the above factors. Policy is the best mean for the balance. The government should lessen the regional difference in a various aspects, so to attract the rural resident to stay. Rural development is necessary fro this purpose, in order to provide attractiveness.

However, the author has not suggested any possible measure to fulfill this purpose, but only provide an approach in policy planning. The author believed that policies should be planned in accordance with the trend and not to discourage rural-urban migration, incentives to the informal sectors would do well to the situation.

For example, construction of infrastructures, setting up institutional industries, establishment of new public housing estates is the possible measures. However, when this is to carry out in the developing countries, it usually appears that the projects involve large amount of money that the government cannot afford.

Restricted residence or forced migration seems to be the most possible and effective way for the government to control the movement of people. But it is difficult to deal with the people who are not willing to move. Besides, the problem of compensation would be a heavy burden for the government.

However, the objective of the report is aiming on the discussion ‘whether rural-urban migration would enhance the well being of both the origins and destinations’, and the argument that ‘policies that accept wider mobility would be better’, therefore it is reasonable for the author not mentioning the possible measures.

The numerical data and other evidence used by the author are mainly cited from:

Banerjee, B. (1983). “Role of the informal sector in the migration process: a test of probabilistic migration models and labor market segmentation for India”, Oxford Economic Papers 35:399-422.

Skeldon, R. (1986). “Migration and the population census in Asia and the Pacific: issues, questions and debate”, International Migration Review 21:1074-1100.

United Nations (1996). World Population Monitoring 1993 (New York).

UNDP (1991). Human Development Report 1991 (New York: Oxford University Press).

World Bank (1990). World Development Report 1990 (New York: Oxford University Press).

 

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