How to handle hard decisions
On The Bright Side
By Kay Hafner
No one likes making hard decisions. While
flipping a coin helps in selecting from two options, like
choosing between beef or chicken for dinner tonight, life isn�t
always that simple.
Sometimes the possibilities get more complicated. Like
deciding between filet mignon, chicken parmesan or lamb chops.
Sure, you could play eeny, menny, miney, moe, but that�s a
pretty random way of narrowing things down. What you need in
this case is more thorough guidance. That�s when you reach
for your Magic 8 Ball.
Question: "Should I have steak for dinner
tonight?"
Answer: "Cannot predict now."
Ah, obviously I need to worry about lunch first. See, I�ve
already received insights into my life.
I confess that I hadn�t thought much about this wonderful
prognostication tool in recent years. My daughter received one
for a present a few years back, and occasionally I heft it for
a quick answer, or to ponder the mysteries of how it worked. I
was even so fascinated once that I attempted to write down all
the possible answers. I came up with 12. (Turns out I was
wrong, but more on the oracle�s intricacies and inner
workings in a moment.)
Then a few weeks ago, a friend gave me a website which
gives access to a Magic 8 Ball for those who don�t already
own one, or who don�t have children who own one.
Imagine a person so dedicated to both the Magic 8 Ball and
the Internet that he created a website where you type in a
question and then see the image of an actual 8 Ball answer
you. Jim Studt, dear readers, is that man, and The Public 8
Ball is his amazing website (http://8ball.federated.com). You
should really check it out for yourself. As of last October,
it had logged 460,000 fortunes.
I never realized how many people out there are seeking
answers that only the 8 Ball can give.
As fascinated as I was by Jim�s hard work and his
surmounted difficulties in creating and maintaining his
motorized, computerized and digitized cyber Magic 8 Ball, I
confess that I have only used it once.
Question: Will I finish my novel?
Answer: Without a doubt.
Considering this was before I�d even written the first
page, I believe this to be a very promising prediction.
However, since I have in my possession an actual,
three-dimensional real thing, on loan from my daughter, I don�t
foresee using the Public 8 Ball very often. I did learn
something from reading through this site: some of us have
hobbies and some of us have obsessions, but not everyone has a
hobby that is such a fulfilling obsession.
It turns out that Jim Studt isn�t the only person so
deeply committed to the Magic 8 Ball. Links from that site led
me to numerous other virtual 8 Ball sites�none of which are
so ambitious as to use actual balls, just simulated computer
graphics. The most valuable link of all was titled "The
Inscrutable 8 Ball Revealed" and it documented a
step-by-step dissection of an 8 Ball to learn its secrets,
including an analysis of the "murky, viscous (and
presumably harmless) blue fluid."
Caution: If you feel that your future Magic 8 Ball
experiences might be cheapened by discovering the oracle�s
secrets, you may want to avoid this next paragraph.
It turns out that 8 Ball answers are printed on each side
of a 20-sided polygon known as an icosahedron. According to
the research of Dan Egnor and Heath Hunnicutt, 50% of these
answers are positive (e.g. "Yes - Definitely), 25% are
negative (e.g. "My sources say no") and 25% are
vague (e.g. "Better not to tell you now").
The secret to successful use of the Magic 8 Ball is in
asking the right questions. Obviously, they have to be
specific. You can�t ask, "Should I ask Mary or Jane to
the concert," because the 8 Ball will respond,
"Better not to tell you now." This indicates that
you have not sufficiently searched your heart. Take a few
minutes of reflection, then ask again, "Should I ask Jane
to the concert?" and it will respond, "Don�t count
on it." Ah, this clearly means that Jane will say no if
you do ask her, so you should forget about even asking her and
go straight to dialing Mary�s number.
What if we all followed the wisdom of the Magic 8 Ball, and
avoided the doubts, regrets and second guesses of deciding
things for ourselves?
Answer: Outlook not so good.
Kay Hafner, a writer from Queensbury, can be reached via
her website at www.kayhafner.com.
copyright Kay
Hafner 2001